10 Day Trend 10/07/2024 - Any signs of a jet shift? - Met Office weather forecast UK

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Met Office - UK Weather

Met Office - UK Weather

22 күн бұрын

This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 10/07/2024.
The jet stream has been stubbornly sitting to the south of the UK recently. Any signs of a shift?
Bringing you this 10 Day Trend is Aidan McGivern.
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Пікірлер: 275
@keeksputels1851
@keeksputels1851 21 күн бұрын
Gone straight from spring to autumn this year. Ive already been finding species of mushroom that are meant to start coming up in september. This isnt just a bit wet, or typical british summer, this is extremely strange weather
@TrancetasticWilza
@TrancetasticWilza 21 күн бұрын
If Autumn is like this I'll be happy 😂
@meltecal
@meltecal 20 күн бұрын
Shrooms
@rodneyquinn2528
@rodneyquinn2528 20 күн бұрын
Been autumn since October 2023, no winter, no spring, no summer, is appalling. Need that high pressure to come in, have a trip to Wales on the monday 22nd
@keeksputels1851
@keeksputels1851 20 күн бұрын
@@meltecal 😉
@sja45uk
@sja45uk 20 күн бұрын
@@briocheoleary5043That is astronomical summer (NOT meteorological summer). It makes no sense to have the longest day of the year as the first day of summer !!
@katrinaryan1739
@katrinaryan1739 21 күн бұрын
This is so depressing so fed up with low pressure all the time
@daylight44ful
@daylight44ful 20 күн бұрын
I get high blood pressure listening to it lol
@saabinsanity
@saabinsanity 18 күн бұрын
it needs to stay like this until christmas
@nuffseed596
@nuffseed596 21 күн бұрын
" it's not going to be quite as unsettled as it has been" How could it be more unsettled? 😂
@adamlea6339
@adamlea6339 21 күн бұрын
The one thing we haven't had yet is destructive flooding, so it is not as bad as the awful summers of 2007 and 2012 so far, but I wouldn't put it past the UK's weather to give it a go in August.
@domenicobarani863
@domenicobarani863 21 күн бұрын
We have only two seasons, in the uk, cold rain season and warm rain season 👍
@shadowysea
@shadowysea 21 күн бұрын
The joke was always "We have 3 months of winter and 9 months of bad weather".
@PhilbyFavourites
@PhilbyFavourites 20 күн бұрын
And we appear to have a “windy” season for 12 months of the year. Case in point 40 years ago throughout the 80’s I sat on a south coast beach waiting for the wind to kick in for my windsurfing. It was markedly calm for the decade. Now I’m too old (read that as unfit) to windsurf it’s pretty much 20 knots plus of wind every day! It’s not Global Warming - it’s Global Winding….
@MrFrampo56
@MrFrampo56 20 күн бұрын
…and permanently grey skies!
@fingerpicker2
@fingerpicker2 21 күн бұрын
The met office app used to be spot on over 3 or 4 days now it seems 3 or 4 hours is your max .too many models maybe
@ianchantrey8868
@ianchantrey8868 21 күн бұрын
“The summer so far” , I must have missed it.
@markgallagher5908
@markgallagher5908 21 күн бұрын
We did have summer, it was last Thursday, we even had a two hour break between showers.
@hyruleansans473
@hyruleansans473 17 күн бұрын
climate intervention is what we're seeing, being put into practice in a bid to halt climate change😊
@paulmckernan7518
@paulmckernan7518 21 күн бұрын
Hope we get at least a week of hot dry weather, it'll be dark, wet & cold again before we know it.
@helenaawdry8916
@helenaawdry8916 20 күн бұрын
No summer for us commoners.
@andrewgoodbody2121
@andrewgoodbody2121 19 күн бұрын
I don't think most people understand what the situation is for those who grow food, everything is extremely slow, farmers can't gather hay for winter feed we can't get a break to winter plant and Europe is baked to a crisp and farmers are suffering there too, we have lost most of our pollinators to climate change and this on top of everything else means food wise we are in SERIOUS trouble
@janettetaylor8760
@janettetaylor8760 19 күн бұрын
Last year weather is this year weather wet wet wet and cold cold cold cold
@VenlyssPnorr
@VenlyssPnorr 21 күн бұрын
Well, that was (expectedly) depressing... :D
@markwarren1803
@markwarren1803 20 күн бұрын
Looks like weather manipulated to me don’t know about stuck 😂
@RobMorton-cd4ps
@RobMorton-cd4ps 21 күн бұрын
The one thing that keeps being missed is this weather has been going on for months, its not just a summer problem. The lack of sun this year has been horrifying. We keep being told it will be better and it keeps changing, it's ridiculous now as referenced. Worst year on record for certain
@grahamheaver9797
@grahamheaver9797 21 күн бұрын
Excellent comment, they keep saying the summer been poor,but what about spring, dull and wet, only reason May was above average for temperatures was the overnight min, because of the cloudy nights, Winter Dull and wet, Autumn dull and wet, there is something major gone wrong with the climate for us in the UK
@RobMorton-cd4ps
@RobMorton-cd4ps 21 күн бұрын
@@grahamheaver9797 Glad I am not the only one! I have asked for this to be answered but they never do
@grahamheaver9797
@grahamheaver9797 21 күн бұрын
@@RobMorton-cd4psI’m on a lot of weather forums, and they are all asking the same, Why are we stuck in this rut, unfortunately some of the senior forums members have said due to the rise in sea temperatures in the Atlantic it picking up more moisture causing the jet stream staying to the south, which they say will stay for the foreseeable…but the met office who I thought were the market leaders on climate change keep telling us the summers will be hotter and drier, Really don’t think they have an answer either…
@RobMorton-cd4ps
@RobMorton-cd4ps 21 күн бұрын
@grahamheaver9797 truly shocking if that's happening, if we can't get out of this rut. Though what I would say that if the same weather models which have been so useless at telling us the weather so far are predicting the rest of the summer are like this I will hold judgement on that!
@adamlea6339
@adamlea6339 21 күн бұрын
It is the worst year since ....... last year. Apart from June and the first week of September the weather was persistently awful.
@woooster71
@woooster71 21 күн бұрын
It’s like the jet stream is doing it deliberately now.. It’s just not funny anymore. Quite fed up with hearing “this low pressure will move in over the UK bringing with it wetter weather and below average temperatures” ☹️👎🏼🌧️
@tullypoo
@tullypoo 21 күн бұрын
What a miserable, horrible cold, windy & wet summer. 😢
@karlosiouk
@karlosiouk 19 күн бұрын
Hey it will be claimed as the hottest year ever again.. watch this space. 🤣🤣
@gerardmackay8909
@gerardmackay8909 19 күн бұрын
@@karlosiouk we just had the warmest spring on record that’s a statistical fact. It felt rubbish because it was unsettled and often cloudy and windy but that doesn’t alter the record high average temperature
@mylesfinn66
@mylesfinn66 21 күн бұрын
Weather from the west, rain. Weather from the east, rain. Weather from the south, rain..... Oh you get it.
@jamieharrison6048
@jamieharrison6048 21 күн бұрын
It feels like a repeat of last summer to be honest, but not the record breaking heat in June this time, just something warmer and more settled. That seemed earlier in June last year, this year at the end of June. July 2023 was very disappointing last year, again a south shifted jet stream being the cause. Remember, the hottest day of 2023 wasn't until September following what seemed a cool, wet and unsettled July and August. It felt to me like we had broadly the same weather (wet) for most of the last 12 months!
@_Shinasu
@_Shinasu 19 күн бұрын
Yeah we had like 9 weeks of constant low dominating pressure from June to that hot week in sept
@alanwilkinson9487
@alanwilkinson9487 21 күн бұрын
Can't we just tilt the planet south a bit... 😮... Easier than waiting for summer to arrive...
@Great_WesternTVFan
@Great_WesternTVFan 18 күн бұрын
If you are the master of gravitational field, you can
@DMiddleton-bj5wc
@DMiddleton-bj5wc 21 күн бұрын
So why is the jet stream splitting up so much this year? I suspect that this is why forecast confidence /accuracy is so low.
@tcod3137
@tcod3137 21 күн бұрын
It’s coming to the stage, if I want to know the weather, I look out the window, cause the predictions are a bit hit and miss!
@Osk.S57
@Osk.S57 21 күн бұрын
I've seen one butterfly in my garden and very few bees this year. That's despite the garden being set up to attract them. Roll on next summer.
@nuffseed596
@nuffseed596 20 күн бұрын
Same, no insects to speak of at all, very poor form
@PhilbyFavourites
@PhilbyFavourites 20 күн бұрын
@@nuffseed596very noticeable on the lack of insects. In the 70’s I rode my motorbike to Scotland one summer. I stepped off after 120 miles and my visor was covered in flies. That hasn’t happened for YEARS. I rode for 1400 miles in France last month and I got rained on, but again hardly any flies on the bike’s screen
@video99couk
@video99couk 20 күн бұрын
That was it! That was the butterfly that messed up all the weather patterns then.
@wrekin
@wrekin 20 күн бұрын
Same here, I've seen no butterfly's and very few bees. Very worrying.
@Bee.V.1
@Bee.V.1 20 күн бұрын
Same here, 1 bee and 2 butterflies
@DB-pm2vy
@DB-pm2vy 21 күн бұрын
In my experience when weather gets in a rut it’s inclined to stay there. Personally I could do with some sunshine, so could my veg. 😢
@geoffreycodnett6570
@geoffreycodnett6570 21 күн бұрын
Before the days of computer modelling the general rule of thumb was exactly as you say.
@Ology3121
@Ology3121 20 күн бұрын
I'm beginning to think you guys also sell used cars😂😂😂
@markquigley9730
@markquigley9730 21 күн бұрын
Interesting that computer models make the same mistake repeatedly. It suggests there is a deficiency in the models or the quality of the data. Any idea what it might be?
@adamlea6339
@adamlea6339 21 күн бұрын
Models beyond seven days have little skill so it is unsurprising that forecasts at ten days lead do not verify very often. The example given in this video is too small to establish whether there is a bias in the models.
@tonyjackson1817
@tonyjackson1817 20 күн бұрын
Both I would say.
@michellemcgowan5657
@michellemcgowan5657 21 күн бұрын
What a fantastic summer “ said no one in the uk EVER !!
@gerardmackay8909
@gerardmackay8909 19 күн бұрын
1975, 76, 83, 84, 89, 90, 94, 95, 96, 97, 2003, 06, 13, 18, 19, 22 apart from in these years
@Hix066
@Hix066 21 күн бұрын
Has Brexit meant that the Azores high has to deal with higher levels of bureaucracy and paperwork, thus it's just decided to stay in the mid Atlantic? On a more serious note; There must be some bigger force at play that is resulting in the jetstream doing what it has done this year (and a large part of last summer). Is it down to the Northern Ice Cap warming and creating a lesser temperature differential? The modelling seems to repeatedly hint at a high forming to the SW, but every time it seems to be thwarted by the jetsream and a low system forcing it away again.
@hellrazor2050
@hellrazor2050 18 күн бұрын
Has been a fantastic summer so far for outdoor pursuits temps have been nice not overly hot long may it continue
@crotsi
@crotsi 21 күн бұрын
@metoffice how unprecedented has this past year of endless low pressure systems been? The last period of stable high pressure was in September 2023, since then (bar the odd few days here and there) it's been endless wind, cloud and rain and below average temperatures. And is there much evidence that climate change is actually making our climate in the UK even cooler, wetter and cloudier than it already is?
@adamlea6339
@adamlea6339 20 күн бұрын
There is a theory that climate change will weaken the jet stream due to polar amplification. A weaker jet stream will meander more frequently and is more likely to get locked in place for periods of time causing blocked weather patterns. It is blocked weather patterns that result in persistent anomalous weather conditions. Over the last decade or so blocked weather patterns and persistence of one type of weather in the UK seems to have become more frequent. We almost seem to have a hybrid combination of a temperate and seasonal wet/dry climate, with the timing of the wet and dry seasons random.
@davelocktalk
@davelocktalk 18 күн бұрын
Weather hasn't been great, but I rather have this weather than to hot.
@seancairns4947
@seancairns4947 16 күн бұрын
You need to move to Norway mate
@annagilda1
@annagilda1 21 күн бұрын
Theres been no summer at all. Ive been frozen and had the heating on. Its mad.
@jgl9050
@jgl9050 16 күн бұрын
Move out of Scotland. It hasn´t even been that bad down south, just a bit dull
@annagilda1
@annagilda1 16 күн бұрын
@@jgl9050 what? Where did I say I was living in Scotland?
@jgl9050
@jgl9050 16 күн бұрын
You mentioned you had the heating on. Well it hasn´t even been cold at all.
@annagilda1
@annagilda1 16 күн бұрын
@@jgl9050 and from that, you got that I was in Scotland? Fabulous deduction skills there. You should join the met police.
@unf3z4nt
@unf3z4nt 21 күн бұрын
Is this to do with the lack of temperature contrast between the polar regions and the lower latitudes within the North Atlantic? Not even a hypothesis about what is causing the jetstream to meander south is causing some frustration, if I am being honest.
@johnsonsteven664
@johnsonsteven664 21 күн бұрын
It’s strange that it only goes south around mostly the uk then heads north with no contrast just long periods of bad weather
@user-tq5oc2jg9u
@user-tq5oc2jg9u 21 күн бұрын
They used to talk about this, but don't anymore. The warmer the artic the less the contrast in temperatures, so the weaker the Jetstream. This causes it to meander and move further south, which is bad for our weather. Ironically the solution is to reverse the global warming, to make our summers better again 😂
@georgepointer1127
@georgepointer1127 20 күн бұрын
It all to do with the lack of temperature.
@_Shinasu
@_Shinasu 19 күн бұрын
Makes you wonder if the tonga eruption back in 2022 is also playing a part in it with how much moisture it chucked up into the atmosphere
@Kevin-vc9nw
@Kevin-vc9nw 20 күн бұрын
Please explain to me why some people like wind and rain in summer
@AmbientDarkside
@AmbientDarkside 21 күн бұрын
Actually have you noticed how few flies and blue bottles there are ? Result of a summer I'd say :D
@UCCLdIk6R5ECGtaGm7oqO-TQ
@UCCLdIk6R5ECGtaGm7oqO-TQ 20 күн бұрын
And when they're all gone, so are we.
@lesleygardiner5586
@lesleygardiner5586 18 күн бұрын
We have never had so many mosquitoes.
@CycleXplorer
@CycleXplorer 21 күн бұрын
Please 🙏 I've had enough of forever autumn!
@DarrenIsted
@DarrenIsted 21 күн бұрын
i'd suggest re-calibrating your model !!!! talk about blinding us with confusion.
@24jonbarnes
@24jonbarnes 21 күн бұрын
We dont get summers here in the uk anymore
@Kevin-vc9nw
@Kevin-vc9nw 20 күн бұрын
I strongly disagree with the intro global warming is affecting the position of the jet stream
@ianhamilton3113
@ianhamilton3113 20 күн бұрын
Oh! so you're the expert?
@Mykst
@Mykst 20 күн бұрын
Are you a meteorologist? I'd love to see your take on why you disagree.
@paulajones4999
@paulajones4999 21 күн бұрын
My plants are not growing very fast. They don’t know it’s summer.
@ematthews3267
@ematthews3267 21 күн бұрын
Mine are doing great, had more strawberries than ever before. Not too hot, mild enough to get going early in the spring and plenty of water. South West Wales has been lovely.
@georgepointer1127
@georgepointer1127 20 күн бұрын
It isnt
@thewonkyeyedwoman
@thewonkyeyedwoman 20 күн бұрын
Some of the trees where I live, their leaves are already stared to turn less green just like autumn
@DUBaviator
@DUBaviator 21 күн бұрын
It's all just a guessing game.
@georgepointer1127
@georgepointer1127 20 күн бұрын
I guess
@shongololo9778
@shongololo9778 21 күн бұрын
More good news, I don't know why I watch, its depressing
@ruperthiggins7358
@ruperthiggins7358 21 күн бұрын
Thanks Aidan. Brilliant explanation and so interesting to see the model progression over time.
@they.call.me.abraham
@they.call.me.abraham 21 күн бұрын
would i be right in thinking that when i was younger ( - 30 - 40 years ago) the jet stream was much more stable and often sat above the british isles ?
@mattcrispin6737
@mattcrispin6737 20 күн бұрын
There was a run of terrible summers in the 80's 85-88 dreadful!!
@they.call.me.abraham
@they.call.me.abraham 20 күн бұрын
@@mattcrispin6737 sure . what i am trying to get at is the stability of the jet stream , now and then.
@mattcrispin6737
@mattcrispin6737 14 күн бұрын
@@they.call.me.abraham Yeh, I agree with you, it's getting stuck more that in the past.
@HelmutSchmacker.
@HelmutSchmacker. 21 күн бұрын
`British summers are notoriously variable from year to year, with or without global warming` - so how do we know that global warming is really happening?
@stephenhirst8197
@stephenhirst8197 21 күн бұрын
Because theBBC says so
@metoffice
@metoffice 21 күн бұрын
Because the globe is much bigger than the UK and on average it is clearly warming.
@johnsonsteven664
@johnsonsteven664 21 күн бұрын
@@metofficeyes but the uk isn’t
@shongololo9778
@shongololo9778 21 күн бұрын
Trust us to be the only place on earth where the weather isn't getting warmer
@stephenmcpherson2888
@stephenmcpherson2888 21 күн бұрын
@@metoffice 👍🏻
@fuccasound3897
@fuccasound3897 20 күн бұрын
your map says 18 degrees over North Lincolnshire at 1500hrs, its 1530hrs now and the temperature in North Lincolnshire is 12 degrees, with a heavy blanket of cloud, could the met office get it any wronger?
@kevinjones4559
@kevinjones4559 21 күн бұрын
1978 was a cool summer fantastic winter followed
@michellemcgowan5657
@michellemcgowan5657 21 күн бұрын
Great 🙄
@faescotland4174
@faescotland4174 21 күн бұрын
This is just not on, get that jet stream aimed properly. Come on, we need some summery weather. Soggy! Hmph.
@shireboundscribbles
@shireboundscribbles 21 күн бұрын
Those of us who struggle with hot weather are extraordinarily grateful for this coolerness.
@Jake-vh6jp
@Jake-vh6jp 21 күн бұрын
💯 I'm loving it tbh
@shadowysea
@shadowysea 21 күн бұрын
I'm not even asking for hot, just a nice, mostly dry, warm and sunny summer would be great. Think picnic weather.
@jgl9050
@jgl9050 16 күн бұрын
100%
@karmascotland8
@karmascotland8 21 күн бұрын
I like when a Met presenter introduces themselves by name, Aiden. I missed that. Thank you and thanks for the forecast. Go well.
@carolinekelly3415
@carolinekelly3415 21 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing your U.K. weather. I was surprised to receive this.
@georgepointer1127
@georgepointer1127 20 күн бұрын
Not as much as us
@crosswindperspective
@crosswindperspective 21 күн бұрын
Not the forecast I wanted to hear but a great video nonetheless. Thanks Aidan and team.
@carlwatson9947
@carlwatson9947 20 күн бұрын
Why don’t you just say summer is cancelled
@VRFlightSimGuy
@VRFlightSimGuy 21 күн бұрын
Fingers crossed for Fairford Airshow a week on Saturday 🤞
@JackoLid
@JackoLid 21 күн бұрын
same here!
@woooster71
@woooster71 21 күн бұрын
Given the trend so far.. it’ll rain, and feel chilly 👎🏼🌧️
@Hix066
@Hix066 21 күн бұрын
I'm banking on it being as wet and miserable as 2023. I've not even booked a ticket yet, such is my low expectation of it being ok for that weekend. :/
@Tiredtowel101
@Tiredtowel101 21 күн бұрын
Thank you for the always anticipated 10 dayer.... any idea when we may know with more certainty if the optimistic or nonoptimistic forecast will prevail?
@christinepease890
@christinepease890 21 күн бұрын
Thank you, Aidan
@Zinzer24
@Zinzer24 18 күн бұрын
Best explanation of the UK weather forecast this year. Jet stream 👍 The rain is really testing my new roof... 😊
@stuartwells4133
@stuartwells4133 21 күн бұрын
So far this year we have had two weeks of nice weather 🌤 in the North East & then the odd half day sunshine ☀️ & the rest has been 💨⛈🌦🌧💧☔️👎🏻. Might as well shut the blinds & put up the 🎄🎅🦌☃️❄️🎁
@echosonicmusic
@echosonicmusic 21 күн бұрын
Great extended forecast! A suggestion for a future Deep Dive: What are high/low pressure and how do they interact?
@markrichards7164
@markrichards7164 21 күн бұрын
Depressing forecast 😊
@echosonicmusic
@echosonicmusic 21 күн бұрын
@@markrichards7164 Great forecast of depressing weather ;)
@MegaDeano1963
@MegaDeano1963 21 күн бұрын
The British Isles extreme (average) weather
@ekcs3941
@ekcs3941 19 күн бұрын
Whenever it’s meant to get better it gets worse I have zero tomatoes growing on my allotment this year unprecedented never had this before they are barely flowering . I feel like I have wasted months of hard work
@DanChippendaleMusic
@DanChippendaleMusic 21 күн бұрын
I bloody enjoyed watching this even though we are experiencing a trapped vortex. Which sounds a bit uncomfortable and means we might get a bit damp down south on Saturday afternoon
@protectiongeek
@protectiongeek 21 күн бұрын
Thanks for another great 10-day trend video, Aidan. Settled weather would be helpful for outdoor construction work but it is what it is. Just wondering if the trend this summer is particularly intriguing or interesting to you and your colleagues? Maybe it's very mundane. Most people I speak to are pretty fed up with it.
@showme360
@showme360 20 күн бұрын
I have a question, is anyone at the Met monitoring the relationship between the AMOC and the weather above it, especially our half of the AMOC at the northern end of the Atlantic. I know the AMOC itself is being monitored using buoys that measure the water flow, temp at various depths. Because some models suggest that the changing AMOC if slowed will bring cooler weather to Europe. Is this what we are seeing?
@JelMain
@JelMain 21 күн бұрын
No they're not variable. We get a day or two of sun in May, then it rains or drizzles until it snows. The only thing that's variable is the forecast.
@SteveW67
@SteveW67 20 күн бұрын
At 3:31 it was heavy rain all day in the south, by 4:14 we had "very little rain on Friday for a change, quite soggy in SE by end of Friday". I fail to see how it can be both scenarios ?
@dalemarsh357
@dalemarsh357 20 күн бұрын
Looking forward to September. We'll be away from this bl00dy horrible weather for a fortnight.
@tinabaines5876
@tinabaines5876 20 күн бұрын
For anyone North of Birmingham August has never really been a summer month. We have to accept that we won't get a summer this year.
@andrewbeevers4686
@andrewbeevers4686 20 күн бұрын
Interesting description of upper / lower pressure and model uncertainties at the end.
@ianedwards6189
@ianedwards6189 20 күн бұрын
You still haven't answered my question. I'll try again I live in Derby obviously the east midlands. When you forecast the weather it's always the north of country or the South. So is Derby classed as the north or south 🤔🤔. ??. Thank you
@fuccasound3897
@fuccasound3897 20 күн бұрын
Thinking that the Cold Blob in the atlantic where the AMOC is getting weaker has something to do with jet stream position.
@margaretsmitherman-j6p
@margaretsmitherman-j6p 20 күн бұрын
what about us in the channel islands ? we never get a mention. and i do not mean Jersey either
@truthforall1303
@truthforall1303 21 күн бұрын
Hi Aidan What might your prediction be for Devon on 4th August? I know it’s way off but any ideas??? Mandy nr Exeter
@ianpetherick4326
@ianpetherick4326 20 күн бұрын
Sick and tired of this weather now its affecting the bee,s pollinating plants ive not seen any in my garden this year
@stephenkerr7454
@stephenkerr7454 20 күн бұрын
Every day, there wrong just look out the window now!
@_Shinasu
@_Shinasu 19 күн бұрын
It urks me everytime after 6-7 pm, cloudy all day then bam almost no wind and clear skies 😅 I've noticed it alot this year. It's like we need to get the night time weather flipped over with the day weather
@RWTWM
@RWTWM 21 күн бұрын
At some point the optimistic solution must be right though? Not because it's inevitable, but because it's offered as a legitimate solution to the evolution of the atmosphere over the next 10 days. Is there a forcing, a background driver or a known model bias that allows us to rate the pessimistic solution more likely than its share of the ensemble output?
@OmuraXD
@OmuraXD 21 күн бұрын
There are way too many factors for a model to identify and track, and some factors change rapidly - which the model has to adapt to as a baseline for a new output. Therefore the most recent model output is looked at to be "the best" as it is the most up-to-date and accurate to current conditions.
@trick700
@trick700 20 күн бұрын
Well Aiden, are you saying 40 days of rain after St Swithin’s Day?
@petebelfield
@petebelfield 21 күн бұрын
Great presentation
@davewalters6246
@davewalters6246 18 күн бұрын
Seems to be very similar to last year - very mild for most of the year and then - in summer - we're mostly in the relatively cooler, wetter weather to the north of the jet stream. Is this a sign of things to come? Are the extreme temperature ranges in the US driving the jet stream further south in summer than we might have previously expected?
@Hugh-nr5sx
@Hugh-nr5sx 19 күн бұрын
When you talk about compared to average which 30-year dataset do you use.?
@WeeSecure-uk
@WeeSecure-uk 20 күн бұрын
lovely balanced analysis ;)
@anthmckenzie
@anthmckenzie 21 күн бұрын
Really sick of this weather. If only we could control the weather haha. At least I had 2 scorching hot weeks in Turkey in June, I'll wait for summer next year.
@nigelclifford8405
@nigelclifford8405 21 күн бұрын
We don’t need hot temperatures in the low 20’s is just fine even felt a bit too warm in it I just don’t like the rain!!!
@shadowysea
@shadowysea 21 күн бұрын
Lucky for you, some of us are stuck here 365.
@garrywalton
@garrywalton 21 күн бұрын
Dull Dull Dull.... was hoping for a dry ride to Cornwall on Friday.... your mp had the highest rainfall just where I was heading... you couldn't make it up!!
@jenniferibbs4942
@jenniferibbs4942 17 күн бұрын
Been un somerset this week, weather was not how they said it was!
@sisulart
@sisulart 20 күн бұрын
Looks like a repeat of last year’s awful July, only without the lovely June that preceded it. 🙄
@Hugh-nr5sx
@Hugh-nr5sx 19 күн бұрын
How frequent are trapped vortices of this nature.? I guess they predominate in the summer months when the jet stream is generally weak. A winter polar vortex I guess would minimise the probability. We seem to have had variations on this theme before in 2024.
@margaretmaddern5443
@margaretmaddern5443 21 күн бұрын
Thank you Aidan
@Exploretheoutdoor
@Exploretheoutdoor 17 күн бұрын
Seems to be a regular occurrence low pressure and really don’t check the forecasts much now as they get updated and change by the hour. It changes that much I just go out and wait and see what it’s like. Everywhere else seems to get their seasons but we just get one big season all the time. I really don’t trust it anymore unfortunately.
@bbbf09
@bbbf09 21 күн бұрын
Don't appreciate the fact that the deviation from temperature average band they use is +3/-3 C in a single colour block. You can look at the colour map and say - ok an average summer day. That'll do. But that could encompass a day of 16C or 22C - one is very cool and chilly day out, the other a very pleasant and warm one. Useless
@darrengreen7906
@darrengreen7906 21 күн бұрын
5:28 Possibilities for very localised Tornadic conditions???
@laughing_gnome
@laughing_gnome 20 күн бұрын
Last year was el nino, which meant warmer than normal this year. This year is La nina, the opposite of El nino, which means this weather is perfectly normal next year, which will be more settled and near to normal
@usaneebeilles9510
@usaneebeilles9510 21 күн бұрын
Thank you v much.
@cryhavoc8461
@cryhavoc8461 18 күн бұрын
Summer of 2024 in Aberdeen will be on Monday, 15 July between the hours of 13:00 and 21:00. All are invited, but please bring an umbrella.
@Bee.V.1
@Bee.V.1 20 күн бұрын
What's causing the jet stream to sit south in summer? In summer the jet should be north of the UK?
@benstradling7615
@benstradling7615 20 күн бұрын
Great video I'm in Finland until the 21st the weather forecasting here is none existent I've been relying on the Google weather on my phone which is quite frankly a joke I'm currently staying in Turku on the south west coast the weather has been pretty good overcast and humid we're hoping to go north to stay in a cabin on a lake with no electricity or running water great if the weather is good but a nightmare if it rains the whole time any chance of a forecast for northern Finland for this weekend and next week please 🤞
@swifty0000007
@swifty0000007 21 күн бұрын
Please bring nice weather in Sept as doing lands end to John ogroats - Indian summer???
@suewright1299
@suewright1299 20 күн бұрын
….and extreme weather. Ring any bells for this year? 👁
@dboots133
@dboots133 20 күн бұрын
thank you
@Joncl
@Joncl 21 күн бұрын
Oh dear- I won’t blame forecasters but I do hope summer gets going soon. No decent summer before another round of autumn and winter is such a depressing prospect.
@indianjoe52
@indianjoe52 21 күн бұрын
Yes, all 8 months of it
@suewright1299
@suewright1299 20 күн бұрын
Many thanks Aidan, not a great forecast but very well given. One thing I keep in mind is the fact that you’re all affected in just the same way by the weather, even more so that you too have children. Also, if it is all down to Climate Change or Global Warming… Someone else’s question please: Why is it that the Jet Stream is so far south?? Thanks a lot Aidan and the Met. Take care everyone 😊
@pink221
@pink221 19 күн бұрын
So low pressure has no problem toppling us but the high pressure weather front is trying to avoid us! Got it!
@vicsaul5459
@vicsaul5459 20 күн бұрын
Svalbard is quite nice this time of year 😂 🥶 😱 ❄, oh no its the upper level vortex 😮
@juliedurkin9462
@juliedurkin9462 21 күн бұрын
So we are due 30 days of wet weather oh bugger no summer this year
@mattcrispin6737
@mattcrispin6737 20 күн бұрын
Try and remember the summers of 2022 and 2018. People forget what a great run of hot Julys we had between 2013 and 2022, bar a couple of years. Having returned to the U.K in 2016, this is the first year that I have been depressed by the weather. Remember coming back to the U.K from Sri Lanka in July 2013 and 2014 and being amazed how hot and sunny it was. M
@LeedsLeo_JLArt
@LeedsLeo_JLArt 20 күн бұрын
Cheers Aidy, hoping the settled weather comes in as off to the tippy top of Scotland for a bit smash a like folks. ✌🏾
@Lee-m
@Lee-m 21 күн бұрын
The amount of northerlies we have had so far this summer..if this was winter we would have had tons of snow lol
@Andrew-tr5zg
@Andrew-tr5zg 21 күн бұрын
It'll be a BBQ christmas no doubt!
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