Its crazy that everybody is pretending like the war in Jugoslavia never happened

A Russian here. Im 33 years old and last 20 years i”ve lived in Spain. Im a children of both countries. I have never imagined that we will live a civil war, thats my view of this conflict. We, Russians, asked and pleaded for an agreement which was sent down to the toilet. The diplomacy have failed from both sides, but i cannot be surprised by that because West thought that their point of view and their way of doing are above than the rest of the world. Those called “leaders” of West are just puppets, no one really has the power to stop it. The man behind the curtain is pulling the strings and seems to me that the main target is bring destruction upon Europe. Difficult times are ahead of us and seems to me that this aint over yet. Next generation of Russians political elite will be the veterans of this war and they will never forget and will never forgive. Being a bit cynical: this war woke up Russian military from the dream of old Soviet strength. Its like a huge knock down but its not knock out. What history taught us is Russia never loses when the destruction of Russian is on the table. Peace in the World!

Th biggest surprise is Putin’s patience in dealing with the idiocy of western leaders

Britain's most active involvement in the Ukraine conflict really came as no surprise to anyone who knows the history of Russo-British relations.

Russians withdraw voluntarily from Kyiv as part of the signeerattu peace deal in Istanbul April 2022.

Excellent. Great to see people in Britain using their brains.

Mississippi has health metrics approaching Bangladesh.

Very interesting. Perhaps a number of these points are not so surprising if one pays attention to relatively recent history. The first thing is that this war did not begin in February 2024. It begin with the US instigated and funded Maidan coup in 2014. If one looks at the Rand think tank documents the plan was to draw Russia into a war in Ukraine, sanction it heavily so that it would collapse as a unitary state. It could then be balkanised and the West could steal its resources. The West - NATO has put huge efforts into training and arming Ukraine for this purpose since 2014. In addition to this although Ukraine is one of most resource rich countries in Europe it is the most corrupt, with the people as a whole not benefiting from their country’s wealth. The Ukrainian people were lured and propagandised into believing that by joining the EU that there would be huge benefits for them. Alas that was not the case and their President, Yanukovitch saw this and wanted Ukraine to be able to be linked to both Russia and Europe. This was not the US plan. Hence the 2014 coup. Russia had since around 2008 begun to prepare its financial system for sanctions- though even they were surprised at how resilient their economy was as events unfolded. The West has underestimated Russia possibly because they have forgotten WW2. 80% of the fighting in WW2 was on the Eastern front. Russia really won the war against the Nazis. (It did have some material assistance from the US especially in the early stages). However there are between 30 and 39 million reasons why the West and its Ukrainian proxy will not defeat Russia - those are the updated estimates of the Soviet Union’s casualties in WW2. Russia has not forgotten. In addition to this Ukraine has a very difficult Nazi problem. For an idea of the ugliness of this I refer you to the Ukrainian Banderite Nazi active support for Germany during WW 2. They were responsible for many massacres of Jews and many other people during that war. I also draw your attention to the ethnic cleansing of Poles in the Volhynia region in WW2. The estimates of the slaughter of this people go from 100,000 upwards. That Nazi ideology is still very much alive in Western Ukraine and has been fostered by the West. The West’s so called liberal democracy and so called values are illusory. Western wealth has been built on colonisation, subjugation and exploitation of a huge number of countries around the world. The West still exploits and colonises Global South countries but now by economic and financial systems. And it, particularly the US sanctions and regime change wars to enforce its hegemony and exploitation. Such a system will inevitably collapse as all empires do - so perhaps not such a surprise. After WW2 the US, in Operation Paperclip smuggled many high ranking Nazis out of Germany to the US because they were useful to them. Theses were people who should have been in trial at Nuremberg. With regard to the British attitude to Russia. They have been very hostile to Russia since at least the mid 19th century when they perceived Russia as a threat to their empire in India. This threat was mainly in their minds but it certainly engendered a real hostility and antipathy that has not abated in the British deep state and establishment to this day. There are other elements to this as well. The Ukraine war - a Western proxy war against Russia has put in the spotlight the massive propaganda machine of the West. And that is a huge subject on its own. Finally, with regard to Russian manufacturing capabilities, Alexander Mercouris has spoken of visiting Russia some years ago and seeing massive factories only relatively small parts of which were being used. However the unused parts were carefully looked after and ready to be used when needed. In addition to this although the US has the most expensive military in the world it is not the most effective. The corruption in the military industrial complex has been well documented. Many of its weapons systems have not lived up to the hype in Ukraine. While the Russian MIC has some corruption it is far more efficient in terms of what is spent.

Ultimately, it does not matter if the West lifts its manufacturing output, because if there are not enough troops to use said weapons then they are simply not going to be used or indeed not used properly. Ukraine has been calling on neighbouring countries to return Ukrainians that left the country at the outset of the war and has been "press ganging" its population into the military, where the average age is now 45+. The war need not have happened, but players such as Boris Johnson convinced Zelensky to rebut any notion of a negotiated settlement. Biden's rhetoric has also changed, going from "we will support Ukraine for as long as it takes" to "we will support Ukraine for as long as we can". The Western military products are also more complex and require greater skill levels to operate and maintain, whereas the Russian products are [generally] more utilitarian and robust requiring less skill to operate and, in most cases, maintain. I hope an English translation of that book is available soon. You can never have too many books

We do live in liberal oligarchy like romans had that kind of democracy before they became one man show.

GDP is nearly a useless metric in regard to manufacturing capacity for the hard reality of war. For one thing, in the U.S. about 80% of the purchasing of consumer goods is done by women. So, the market is focused on meeting the needs of women (one only needs to watch TV commercials to figure this out). This is terrific for the sales of cosmetics and luxury goods but not artillery shells. Add to this the West's mania for sending its manufacturing capacity to 3rd World countries and you have a prescription for war-weakness. All of this highlights the emptiness of Western bellicosity.

I am surprised that the superiority of Russian offensive and defensive weapons was not among those 10 highlights. The converse is true of Western/USA weapons.

Russia mistake in the early stages was trying to use her forces to stage a protest and force a coupe instead of all out war

Merci Monsieur pour diffuser la pensée de Todd Todd a eu une médiocre couverture médiatique pour son livre, généralement taxé d’agent du Kremlin mais son livre se vend très bien et j’espère qu’il sera bientôt traduit

An interesting analysis which reflects closely a lecture that I have been giving for some time. In essence, the USA is using the war in Ukraine and also its allies, to facilitate a desperate rearguard action to maintain its world hegemony, which is an integral part of its political philosophy and self-esteem. NATO and European countries have essentially been hijacked and groomed to support and legitimise this probably doomed initiative. It is not easy to explain this shift except perhaps in the case of the UK which followed George W Bush slavishly into Iraq, against considerable public outrage. As a UK citizen, I too was surprised and aghast at the alacrity with which the UK adopted a bellicose posture in 2022 although one suspects that the political machinations of the charlatan Boris Johnson were a significant factor. This is contemporary politics: in the event of a crisiis the USA attributes the roles of hero and villain (no nuances), and proceeds on that basis without regard to precedents, past history and the long perspective.

There is war all over the world, Congo etc but everyone makes a song and dance about Ukraine war.

Pres Putin outsmarted the entire West 🤣🤣 he was playing chess while the West played checkers. He truly is Yeltsin's revenge on the West 💕

He didn't mention an 11th surprise! The 11th surprise is the fact that the west drove Russia into a close alliance with China, the very country that the US had identified as their main competitor and challenger this century. Western leaders were too stupid to realise that would happen! China has been greatly strengthened by this alliance and is now in a far stronger position to challenge US hegemony because they now have full access to Russian oil, gas, other raw materials and grain to grow their economy and so to challenge the US more effectively as a political, economic and military power. I think he should have also added a 12th surprise which is the stupidity of western leaders brought about by hubris, arrogance and absolute ignorance. Western leaders thought, for example, that they could simply brush aside Russian objections to ukraine joining nato and refused to negotiate with russia on nato membership for Ukraine because they thought Russia was a has been power and little more than a glorified gas station that supplied the west with cheap gas. He covered western hubris, arrogance and ignorance in part in his 10 surprises but i think it merits a 12th surprise all on its own.

Ritter and (to a point) Meirsheimer see wars as a must for the US, that it cannot survive without wars.

The reason Ukraine was so strong, is not because it was independently motivated to be so, for it has no natural enemies, during this time. The reason it was so strong, was because it was prepped, and prepared by the west for a confrontation with Russia.

I am a new subscriber that found your channel after your livestream on The Duran. I'm so glad to have found your channel!

The unchecked greed and arrogance towards others, will be met with retribution unawares from the arrogance.

I hope Todd's book will be translated into English as my French language skills are quite bad. Good video!

This is excellent, I agree 100% with the 10 surprising facts!!

This was no surprise to me i was aware of this for some time...

In the west there aretoo many people with their hands in the same pocket.The ego of the west is there down fall. No wants to be the first to take their hand out of the cookie jar. It's odd how greed takes people back to their childhood actions.

No one with more than two brain cells is supried , except at , the gullibility of others....

Thanks for shedding light on a verry important piece of work by emmanuel todd. The ukraine war is unexpectedly bringing into focus who we are and what is becoming of us.

I suspect Emmanual Todt was listening to Alexander Mercouris....

Good to see that the true significance of this battle is coming to light.

The word “ truth “:should never be used in the same sentence as the word “ West”.

Thank you.Great help.

The United States believes that it is God's gift to the world. The U.S. believes this literally not just metaphorically.

Russia was never going to lose this once it became clear that western sanctions were not going to have the desired effect and that nations in the global majority regions were not going to isolate Russia. There was no hope for western ambitions at that point, none at all. The western powers ought to have cut there losses there and then (and spared the lives of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians as well as leaving the survivors to a totally devastated, economically unviable state).

Surprised that the author is surprised by these results

Considering the bellicosity of the 'Whig Commonwealth' it should be noted that at the same time the British military capability was undermined e.g. by *the 2010 'Strategic Defence and Security Review'* - a policy which Rob Johnson, resigned director of the novel 'Office of Net Assessment and Challenge' within the British Ministry of Defence, characterized as Britain now being incapable of engaging in military confrontation _on any scale_ (including counter-insurgency as during two decades of failed occupation/Westernization of Afghanistan). In other words, Great Britain - and by association the 'Commonwealth of Nations' - have been set up for catastrophe. The question is by whom - and to what end ?...

Thank you. I hope the book will be translated into Turkish as soon as possible.

who was it who said man makes plans and god laughs

No surprise for myself in regard to industrial capacity & GDP due to in reference to the former, being witness to the de-industrialisation of manufacturing capacity overtime within the UK's once large industrial sector, since Thatcher introduced neoliberalism via Hayek, which has been continued ever since by both major parties. My old hometown like many others is to put it bluntly a shithole with most employment being based on precarious service jobs that replaced the largely better provisions supplied by manufacturing, resulting in a smaller example of that which is referred to in the US as The Rust Belt & flyover country. As to the latter economist Michael Hudson has been banging on for years in regard to the dubious nature of GDP due to it's non-productive elements eg rent seeking & the factor of earnings generated through foreign corporations are included in GDP despite the profits leaving the country. Looking forward to more - thank you.

I’m really looking forward to reading comments on this channel six months from now!

A slip of the tongue, you mean of course that there was a rise in the infant mortality rate not a fall.

Okay, so here’s a question, isn’t the Russian economy being superficially inflated by debts from the war?

Great insights ! Thanks for sharing.

The weakness of the western military industry is a result of the change from fordistic production towards post fordistic production. Smaller quantities, just in time production. Infrastructure like storage facility were demolished, cargo rail infrastructure to the storage facility also aboslished. Furthermore there was lots of outsourcing of fordistic mass prodution to china, which is now playing on an other geopolitical side. Germany for example is reliant on producing machines, which do not require large quantities of material and fordistic mass prodution, but few higly specialized well engineered parts

Tank you, very good

Interesting observations of Western ideological isolation and the assertion of future self destruction of the West . Core to NATOs thinking is pre nuclear conventional warfare , confidence based on ochlocracy ( NATO mob rule) , and delusions re military superiority ( hubris) . That the UK and countries like the Netherlands send warships off the coast of China reflects colonial arrogance , of which the Chinese have only too recent memories .It is a long way from the north Atlantic ! In WW2 the Japanese ( contemptuously considered funny little Asian people by the British ) rapidly conquered most of SE Asia ( including British , French and Dutch colonies ) between 1940 and 1942 in spite of presumed western imperial military superiority . Maybe ' non action' by Russia will lead to western nemesis in time ?

That aside, as an American who discovered Ray Dalio, I would LOVE to read this book in English.

Shame on you America As for his & his flwrs lies, I cannot imagine how they are allowed breathing the air after ending the lives of so many innocents 😢

Sunrise and sunset

When do you start explaining the content of this book

Thank you for your efforts

exciting to find your channel

Thanks.

A very interesting analisys! I will subscribe, then read the book and make up my own mind. At this moment, I agree with the first 9 'surprises'. But I struggle with the last. I've also studied history and based from that, I know European countries can very rapidly change into 'war economies'. Even with the liberal oligarchies. The biggest mistake I think we in Europe made was the feeling we would be protected by the USA. It goes even to the point that, whenever we discussed about an independent European army, the USA stepped in to prevent it. (with this I mean from the Bush sr. admiration onward). And we accepted it. In the last decade, Putin was building up a 'war chest' so he came prepared and the West was'nt. Looking forward to see you're next video! Greetings from The Netherlands.

Thanks!

For those interested, may I also suggest you read the book by Jacques Baud (former Swiss Army Intelligence, who worked in Ukraine) called "The Russian Art of War - How the West Led Ukraine to Defeat." It is excellent, and up-to-date as of October / November 2023.

So, this is IT!

Thank you!

This war is not about NATO and Russia, but about decades of imperialism of a consortium of countries, controlled by business groups that are true global robbers. Western ideas were embraced when Western companies industrialized peripheral countries and increased the standard of living of these countries. The Western dream was sold. However, with the sending of Western factories to China, the industrial deconcentration that was seen in poor countries raised serious questions about the Western dream. The situation only worsened with the law fair, the infiltration of NGOs, the colorful revolutions, the spread of the woke discourse and the interventions as in Euromaidan. All ignored by the population of Western countries. In fact, the view of Westerners is that poor countries do not develop because of corruption, the lack of educational policies, the lack of freedom, the dictators who end democracies. They do not know or forget that much of the corruption is encouraged by companies in Western countries, that the absence of education is the result of diversion of investments to Western agendas, where in the poor country one is entitled to sex change surgery, but does not have basic sanitation for example. Dictators emerge in response to a local ruling class aligned with Western interests of exploitation of the population.All this is ignored and analyzed only superficially by media groups linking to large corporations and super-rich families of the West. The war in Ukraine is about the enslaved global south and the west living the opulence with the looting it promotes to the poorest population on the planet.Russia needs to win this war because it symbolically represents the liberation for a fairer capital system, which seeks to break the relationship between big capital, infiltration in governments and the arms industry. It is a new pact in which the local elites of poor countries become supporting actors on the international scene and not just puppets for Western capital.

How would you explain this to someone like Piers Morgan 😂

Thanks for this. Why hasnt the book been translated into Englisb yet. Seems important it should be.

May i make another point? .... just go out and look at the physical state of young people in broken 3rd world Britain. And ask yourself how would they perform in 1939 and in Ukraine....... you know the ze answers.

Why was you tube hiding this video and channel and Emmanuel Todd's book from me?

I wasn't surprised that the Ukrainian military put up such a good fight against Russia initially. It can be discussed forever, but I agree with those who have said that Russia went into Ukraine under strength, not because they didn't believe that Ukraine was militarily capable - they're essentially Russian, after all, but because they wanted to demonstrate that they meant business and hoped for a swift political agreement that would recognize their genuine concerns about western military build-up on their borders (and address the persecution and murder of Donbass civilians). Frankly, if Ukraine had turned its army westward I think it would have rolled over everything between it and the English Channel. They were the best (non-Russian) army on the continent by a distance, and would have rolled over pretty much all their opponents (with the possible exception of Poland) with relative ease. perhaps the French airforce would be problematic, but on the ground, I think Ukraine would have won it handily.

excellent points

I will write in my native language, because this video made me laugh, and I feel the need to explain why. I'm not so proficient in Englsih to explain properly. Jedino iznenađenje (za Zapad) jeste činjenica da je bilo šta od ovoga - iznenađenje za Zapad. Naprimer, Britanija nije postala američki vazal 2022, već verovatno još od Tonija Blera naovamo, a moglo bi se ići i dalje u prošlost, u vreme neposredno posle Drugog svetskog rata koji je okončao (konačno, posle smrtnog udarca tokom Prvog svetskog rata) britansku imperiju i učinio je dužnikom i podstanarom Amerike. Britansko oduševljenje ratom protiv Rusije nije nikakvo iznenađenje takođe, uzevši u obzir da Britanija kuje planove za osvajanje/rušenje Rusije još od Krimskog rata, a verovatno i od ranije. Ideja da se "rat više nikada be može dogoditi u Evropi", jeste ridikulozno utopistička ideja nekoga ko ne zna apsolutno ništa o: Americi nakon Drugog svetskog rata, Evropi samoj, i, najzad, ljudskoj prirodi. Tzv. "iznenađenje" Zapada nakon što je njihov plan za izolaciju Rusije propao, takođe nije nikakvo iznenađenje, ako se razume superiorno/kolonijalni/rasistički stav koji Zapad oduvek gaji spram ma koga i ma čega što nije - Zapad. (Po zlu čuvena Boreljova bašta i džungla rasistička poredba.) Ukoliko se razume kompleks superiornosti od kojeg Zapad pati vekovima, i (ne manje bitno, štaviše) način na koji se Zapad ponaša(o) spram ostaka sveta kroz sve te vekove (kolonijalna osvajanja, genocidi nad domicilnim stanovništvom, rasistički mentalitet Zapada, konstantni pljačkaški ratovi od Vikinga nekada do američke neutažive žeđi za naftom/američka gramziva kultura (mentalitet?) danas itd itd - niko osim Zapada i nije bio iznenađen, najposle. U tom kontekstu, takođe, u tom rasističkom pogledu na svet/mentalitetu, leži uzrok "iznenađenja ratom u Evropi, obziirom da se rat dešava samo u tamo nekim džunglama u kojima žive divljaci (koji nikad nisu beli)". Još jednom, Borelj. Maločas navedeno takođe je uzrok i za "iznenađenje" usled ruske, kako autor navodi, "fleksibilne ekonomije", naročito rasistička komponenta koja podrazumeva da ništa van Zapada nije i ne može biti dobro - kamoli Zapadu doraslo. Najzad, najveće "iznenađenje", "iznenađenje" zbog toga što NATO (NE Ukrajina, jer je ovo rat NATO-a, odnosno Amerike (niko u NATO nije bitan osim Amerike) i Rusije, NE Ukrajine i Rusije) gubi rat od Rusije - nije iznenađenje ni za koga ko posmatra Zapad poslednjih decenija, od šezdesetih godina prošlog veka i, naročito, posle sloma SSSR.a. S tim u vezi, propast Zapada je u toku ne od 2022, već decenijama unazad, i ovo što se upravo dešava zapravo su poslednji stadiji propadajuće imperije. Propasti koja je odavno u toku. Čini se da se na Zapadu prosečan čovek mora obratiti profesionalnom istoričaru (?) da mu objasni kako je voda mokra, ali čak ni to nije nikakvo iznenađenje za ma koga van Zapada. Ovo je knjiga važna za Zapadnnjake (koji su zadržali dovoljno mentalnog kapaciteta da je razumeju) ali u isto vreme apsolutno nebitna (u nekim segmentima čak i sramotno smešna) za bilo koga ko sa Zapada nije. Mi iz džungle znamo da je voda mokra, hvala najlepše.

We‘re in some deep shit in Europe 🥴, and it came so fast

Russia waited 8 years to isolate the west before SMO.

My comments Redacted, edited out. However, I agree 100 percent with the book. The book won’t be noticed by Lady” Liberty”. Her course is set.

The resistance of Ukraine is very easily explainable: they were preparing for this war since the CI4 cup the 3tat.

Wait, where is Emmanuel Todd ? The thumbnail (picture) is a bit misleading, I thought he will be interviewed. For a future video then ?

Thank you. Rod dreher and Christopher Caldwell have recently covered Todd, so I hope that drives some English language coverage your way. I just subscribed. Looking forward to future Todd videos

The Iraq war in the 2000s did not break out ...

Very good. Thanks

Good analysis

UK bellicosity is as relevant as Taiwan, the US "pivot" for China, or Israel, the US "pivot" for the Middle East. If Ukraine is the front line "pivot" for Russia, the coordinator and second line "pivot" is UK, the joining of the "Nordic protestant bellicose nation" to NATO acts as a defensive barrier for UK. In the even of a new war between Russia and NATO, it will be fought in the Artic, Scandinavia, North Sea and UK. That could be the end of UK as a nation and the end of "pivot" for Europe.

Wow 😮, so interesting

Nonsense- don't waste your

$83.61 …… it’s a pity I can’t afford it…. 😡

GDP in not a metric, neither money - it’s guns, manpower, resources and most importantly; Resolve!

What USA do here in Europe?????

Thank you man. I wish i had the time to read the book :(

They thought they would fight their wars in Africa and the middle east. Also they thought they are far ahead only to discover that everyone is moving with their own pace and not copying. Also Russia knew they were going to fight for a long time.

sounds like an ineresting book. My opinion at the present time is one that others have commented on - our leaders and elites are disconnected from the people. They hold opposing views and have a "religion" known as "woke" . I'll need to get a copy to see if he explores those . Who would go to war for a country that despises it own flag and promotes a relgious one ? btw some of us have been of the opinion that the Ukraine civil war ( for that is how it started ) was lost once the Russian Federation interviened in 2022. As a student of history I wondered how long it would last with NATO intervention ( support).

Ceausescu’a Decree 770 created a lot of children in Romania after 1967. How did that work out for him in 1989?

Это хорошо, что у вас на Западе, еще остались люди, трезво смотрящие на мир. Возможно эти мысли, со временем, дойдут и до вашего руководства. Но это не точно.

That book is about home truths

Emmanuel Todd is one of french biggest brains. I drink his words to the last drop

Anglo-Saxons and Europeans have had a supremacist mentality for centuries. The colonial arrogance is still very prevalent. I'm writing from liberated South Africa, whom the Russians helped liberate. How many people even acknowledge this nowadays. Viva Mother Russia! 🇿🇦❤️🇷🇺❤️🇿🇦❤️🇷🇺❤️🇿🇦❤️🇷🇺❤️🇿🇦❤️🇷🇺❤️

Excellent

list starts at 6:12

tuesday 13th of august 1997 in hong kong ... the time you understand you've already lost

10 is a nice round number, but I still find it shocking that mainstream media has completely failed to provide impartial analysis. DW, BBC, CNN, CBS, etc, even channels that would normally appear critical of the official line were and still are sticking to the official narrative.

Excellent analysis

Can anyone tell me what kind of cat is that? I have a very similar cat.

Im searching this book en English.

Incredible. Todd outlines exactly the things I have been seeing unfold. The last point about about the W self destructs rather than being attacked by RUS might be a translation problem. It is not clear that these are mutually exclusive choices.

I'm not sure that a "liberal oligarchy" is possible. If it is, it certainly has a short half-life.

Time and time again critics ignore democratic realities of the West. We will always lag in the start, but the West’s inventive scale and efficiencies of production will always win out in the end. The ‘French school’ of philosophy and critical view of the West’s development and destination have always overhyped the ‘End is Nigh’ mantra. It won’t be geopolitics that end us, but climate over heating and resource depletion wars in 20-40 years hence.

Thank for your video Mr. Todd. Deep analysis. But I must add that your voice sound like G-Man a character of Half Life franchise