If both Anatomy of a Fall and The Zone of Interest get in this will be the best Best Picture lineup in a long time imo

An 'Oscar Predictions' video without Brother Bro?? What has this world come to????

The social comentary of barbie is very similar to poor things, but poor things is crazier and i prefer it

waited the whole day for this, THANK YOU

Reminded Greta Lee has 20 nominations for Best Actress this year, 4 being international awards and many regional critic circle award nominationss are not even announced till january.

Leo is not getting snubbed it's like when people were convinced for the longest time that he would miss for once upon a time in hollywood and it simply did not happen.

I know it’s the perfect bait but I can’t help but think Maestro is going to flop in nominations.

I’m really interested to see if Song can get in director. That globes nom was insane.

Sandra Hüler will get 2 nominations, mark my words

Da'Vine Joy Randolph actually just lost for the first time with San Diego critics to Rachel McAdams. She also just lost the Black Film Critics circle to Danielle Brooks. I still think she's going to clean up the season largely, but perhaps McAdams still has a chance.

I think iron claw could be a dark horse this year

I hope Oppenheimer wins picture and director

Sandra Huller could do a Scarlett Johansson in 2019 if Zone of Interest and Anatomy both get into picture

Love to see Paul Giamatti win for best actor for his indelible and unique performance in The Holdovers.

I believe Cillian Murphy and Chris Nolan are locked to win.

I've been waiting for this so bad!! Good to see you're doing well King :)

If zone of interest and anatomy of a fall get in for best picture, sandra huller may win best actress

Best Actress never has a 5/5 lineup of actresses in Best Picture. There are always 1 or 2 from non Best Picture Nominees.

Great video btw it probably won’t get any Oscar nominations, but Godzilla Minus One is fantastic.

Maestro over May December in screenplay is definitely a choice

No cat, but it's OK. I love ya still

There’s always a wild crazy snub. I just don’t know what that snub is going to be. Maybe Gerwig misses the nomination?

Best Director: #1. Christopher Nolan - Oppenheimer #2. Martin Scorsese - Killers Of The Flower Moon #3. Yorgos Lanthimos - Poor Things #4. Sean Durkin - The Iron Claw #5. Greta Gerwig - Barbie

I’m really hoping for the colour purple. Such a beautiful adaptation. It would be such a shame if another excellent black lead movie gets cut out (woman king, Selma). Those 3 central female performances are so deserving. I really hope brooks can pull a couple of wins, and that the movie gets in BP, maybe carrying Fantasia and taraji with it.

Original screenplay for the holdovers

Best Picture: #1. Oppenheimer #2. The Iron Claw #3. Killers Of The Flower Moon #4. Poor Things #5. The Holdovers #6. Anatomy Of A Fall #7. Past Lives #8. Maestro #9. American Fiction #10. The Zone Of Interest

Oppenheimer does not suffer that much from front runner fatigue because ITS A NOLAN MOVIE that is considered to be one of his best works, is also loved by both critics and audiences and everyone has seen it. The front runner fatigue comes from excellently crafted movies that are not commercially successful or particularly well liked by audiences (or even seen for the matter). You got Roma (critics love it, a lot of audiences either didn't see it or thought it was too slow). Irishman (critics love it, audiences thought it was fine but not particularly passionate). Power of the dog (critics love it, no audiences liked it). Fabelmanns i guess (critics love it, audiences thought it was fine but no one saw it). The front runner fatigue is definitely stemmed from critically loved movies that fail to reach a bigger audience, as well as making them love it. Oppenheimer has absolutely no problem in that regard.

Those Twitter Movie Fans trying to make Bradley Cooper into this year's scapegoat without watching the performance first just so that Murphy wins are honestly vile and overestimating their power.

There’s a lot of zone of interest marketing right now, which must be swaying your predictions. No way it beats the holdovers!

Barbie is so insanely overrated. The only nominations it deserves are Supporting Actor, Production Design, Costumes and Original Song. It'll be an absolute joke if America Ferrera gets in. People will forget about Jamie-Lee Curtis last year if Ferrera happens.

Will be leading a prayer circle for Greta Lee, I know she's stressfully on the bubble.

Been waiting. Love you guys yayyyy predictions ❤

My current GoldDerby predictions (as of 29.12): *Best Picture:* 10. May December 9. The Color Purple 8. Anatomy of a Fall 7. Past Lives 6. Killers of the Flower Moon 5. American Fiction 4. The Holdovers 3. Barbie 2. Poor Things 1. Oppenheimer I kinda wanna bring Air back in, but also just kinda believe in these movies more. *Best Director:* 5. Celine Song (Past Lives) 4. Greta Gerwig (Barbie) 3. Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) 2. Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) 1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) Dude I'm gonna make soooo many points off this category. I got Yorgos at 70/1 odds and Greta at 46/1 odds. *Best Leading Actress:* 5. Greta Lee (Past Lives) 4. Margot Robbie (Barbie) 3. Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. Emma Stone (Poor Things) 1. Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) Constantly flip-flopping on 1 and 2, but I feel pretty good with the 5. *Best Leading Actor:* 5. Colman Domingo (Rustin) 4. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction) 2. Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) 1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) Of all the Maestro coping I'm commiting, this is probably the hardest one. *Best Supporting Actress:* 5. America Ferrera (Barbie) 4. Jodie Foster (Nyad) 3. Julianne Moore (May December) 2. Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple) 1. Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) Still not ready to declare Brooks as out of the winning race. *Best Supporting Actor:* 5. Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon) 4. Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things) 3. Charles Melton (May December) 2. Ryan Gosling (Barbie) 1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) I think we can all kind of agree this is the 5 by this point, even if we disagree on the order. *Best Original Screenplay:* 5. Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik (May December) 4. Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (Barbie) 3. Justine Triet and Arthur Harari (Anatomy of a Fall) 2. David Hemingson (The Holdovers) 1. Celine Song (Past Lives) Only took Barbie down a spot for the possibility it's gonna go back to Adapted after all. *Best Adapted Screenplay:* 5. Kelly Fremon Craig (Are You There God? It's Me, Margaret) 4. Martin Scorsese and Eric Roth (Killers of the Flower Moon) 3. Cord Jefferson (American Fiction) 2. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) 1. Tony McNamara (Poor Things) So yeah, I didn't really know what to do with that 5 spot so after seeing all the Margaret nominations elsewhere, I decided to hop aboard that train.

Oh man I needed this rn thank you Oscar Expert

Anatomy of a Fall getting into BP without being eligible for international feature would be insane

I think that if you predict that Margot Robbie isn't going to be nominated you can´t predict America Ferrera. She needs margot

It's strange that nobody mentions that Saltburn and Killers Of the Flower Moon present a similar story - about an impostor, an immoral cheat who wants to infiltrate a priviliged group in order to take over and possess what they have, and doesn't shy from crime/murder if necessary.

I see a KOTFM best picture win on the horizon. The package could be Picture, Actress, Adapted screenplay. It could be a consolation win for Scorsese in screenplay since Nolan looks locked in for the director win

Zone of Interest and Anatomy of a Fall should be there in Best Picture line-up. Two of the best films of the year.

I hope Barbie will only be nominated in the technical categories for the OSCARS....it's a FUN movie but let's be honest, there are so many other movies that deserve the nominations; Barbie is already the HIGHEST grossing film worldwide...that a HUGE win in and of itself!

25:48 Because Critics Choice doesn’t care about being the “critics” anymore

Maybe I’m just a uncultured swine, but Oppenheimer is alright? It didn’t blow me away. I’d watch a bunch of other Nolan films before I’d watch it again. Past Lives is my movie of the year. I’ve saw that movie 3 times in the theaters. Hoping it wins something! Teo Yoo’s performance was fantastic

Barbie has plenty of noms but I can't see it winning screenplay or anything "big"

Cooper is definitely taking the Oscar. It’s exactly what wins every time

I'm glad you loved Barrino. I'm hopping that between the Box Office and Sag she's able to pull off a nom. I also would hate to go another year without a deserving black actress being nominated in the Lead category.

I just have a feeling best picture will go to killers of the flower moon

I’d argue Gladstone’s performance is more oscar friendly than Stone’s. And she’s also crying a lot

I have no idea why so many people are counting KOTFM out. I think it’s gonna shock a lot of people and win a lot more than what people predict

Front runner predictions for above the lines currently: Picture - Oppenheimer (Barbie is winning GG comedy unless it wins CC or PGA. I just think Oppenheimer is stronger as a Best Picture winner.) Director - Christopher Nolan (It’s his year and I think he’s sweeping. Everyone wants to see it happen, it would be very exciting. I think it’s more than an overdue win just how much of a filmmaking achievement Oppenheimer is.) Actor - Cillian Murphy (I’m leaning towards Murphy at the moment, if he wins it would be an amazing winner in my book. Though it would suck to see Cooper still overdue so I’m a tad conflicted.) Actress - Emma Stone Supporting Actor - Robert Downey Jr. (I feel like RDJ could sweep or Gosling takes CC or SAG. I loved Gosling as Ken but I’m not sure if I see him winning over RDJ.) Supporting Actress - Da’Vine Joy Randolph (At first I thought Holdovers would be another Fabelmans. Feel good Oscar contender that goes home empty handed. But with Randolph, I don’t think so. I would like to see her win and that scene at the Christmas party of her breaking down was fantastic acting.) Original Screenplay - Barbie (I want Past Lives to win badly but I think it’s going to go to Gerwig and Baumbach. For what they were able to do with a toy movie and make it funny but also deep.) Adapted Screenplay - Poor Things (If I see American Fiction winning something it could be here, but I can see this as a race between Poor Things and American Fiction.)

I really hope iron claw gets some nominations. It deserves it.

I think we are all underestimating The Iron Claw and overestimating American Fiction I think it will sneak in like Women Talking last year

Dwww... Margot Robbie IS getting in (and I'm Not sure Greta Lee will be the snubb that everyone thinks is gonna be in order to get Margot in. I think they r both getting in) And I've been saing it for months, I'll say it again, predicting Amerrica Ferrera and not Margot is BEYOND ridiculous, bc she is NOT getting in without Margot getting in. Amerrica Ferrera's nomination is 100% dependent on how much they like the movie, but the chances are over, the moment Margot is not in the conversation. She NEEDS Margot to get in. But it's not a worry bc Margot is getting 100% in.

The last time a movie won best picture without winning at least one of the above the line categories (director, screenplay, acting) was in 1941, so if killers doesn't win any of those...

I think the BP race is leaning more towards Oppenheimer than to Barbie. Here's why: The Barbenheimer Experience this summer was one of the best things that could happen to cinema in a long time. Both movies made a tremendous amount of money, together it would be like 2.3 billion dollars or sth. If you ask me, which movie was the better one, then, I choose Oppenheimer, and with that, it would be my No.1 film of the year. So, with the Oscars it's interesting, because I don't necesserily see Barbie as a No.2 for BP. I think there are 3-4 films that are imo far better and more deserving of a BP title, such as KOTFM, Poor Things, The Holdovers, hell, I even think that Anatomy of a Fall was better than Barbie. I see Barbie winning BP ONLY if Greta Gerwig wins Director, than it's crystal clear. But the director Oscar is Christopher Nolan's award, this is his year, his time, his award. I also think, that the Director's branch could be very snobby and be very annoyed of Barbie being a big contender, so they snub her, just like they did it with Denis Villeneuve (Dune), Ridley Scott (The Martian), Steven Spielberg (Jaws), Christopher Nolan (Inception), that's a situation that could also happen to her (Edit: I read a comment down here, that Gerwig maybe getting in for Barbie, but not for Little Women, after seeing LW, I don't know why they snubbed her for LW, but could nominate her for Barbie). I also get the point that Margot Robbie should get in, but there are 5 powerful performances from Gladstone, Stone, Hüller, Lee and Mulligan, I don't think that she has a chance, but I could be wrong though. I feel like the BP Oscar is more guaranteed for Oppenheimer, and here are the reasons: Nolan is so long overdue for an Oscar, that he has the narrative for the award, just like Martin Scorsese had it with The Departed. Both directors should have won earlier for other films. Oppenheimer is such an innovative film this year, in both storytelling and direction/production. Plus, the political message of the film. The end of the world caused by a nuclear war, not only was it the fear of the 80s kids, just like Nolan said in recent interviews, but the world in the current state, with both the Palestinian/Israel crisis and the Ukraine war, where at the last it was threatened with nuclear weapons. But also unionizing workers and also cancel people out because of different opinions. Barbie also had the political message of women' rights, patriarchy, life and existentialism and these messages of the 2 films are so highly important. The SAG ensemble win I think is a bit important, with Barbie being a potential winner with having a diverse cast and crew. If Oppenheimer wins Ensemble, it boosts it's potential of winning BP. Imo, Oppenheimer deserves Best Ensemble, because it actually was the best ensemble. Every little role in the film was so memorable casted with numerous actors, you recognize and think, that this figure could be important later, like Rami Malek's character creating one of the greatest twists in the film or Josh Peck pushing the button of the bomb. And now, I heard people, who were talking to me and saying "Oppenheimer had a lacking diverse cast". They are forgetting that they were watching a BIOPIC about J. Robert Oppenheimer, set during the 1920s to the early 1960s. And if you want to make a historical film as accurate as possible, you need the real picture of society during that time, yet also critizise it. That's a point many people forget somehow. Anyway, I'm still excited for the Oscars this year, and I would love to see a Nolan movie winning BP (Tarantino and PTA are next in line XD). Give the guy the recognition he deserves. Still predicting Barbie winning Production Design and Song, could be even Screenplay and Costumes, and Oppenheimer wins the rest. That would be such a hilarious year.

i really think this prediction is much more reasonable than before

KOTFM has more Best Picture wins than Poor Things and Barbie at the regional critics. Bradley and Celine are stronger than Payne. Especially Bradley, he scored both Golden Globes AND Critics Choice. Also Payne has personal controversy. Bradley and Austin are incomparable... Cooper is a 9 time Oscar Nominee LOL. Trying too hard is a superficial and weak argument. JLC was considered thirsty. Maestro will win Best Make-up like The Whale. Cillians performance was too subtle, introverted and understated. Bradley ate every scene he was in. Melton can still miss. Hes a relative unknown. Critic's awards dont mean squat. Academy loves their double nominations. I expect Dafoe to Melton's spot. May/December and Air I believe are stronger for screenplay than Maestro.

Waiting for that oscars shortlist reaction

Poor things and anatomy of a fall were the best movies i’ve seen this year. Also killers of the flower moon was very good. I’m rooting for poor things ❤

The academy loooove to nominate Bradley Cooper. My bet is he’ll make it into the director five

I really hope Barbie doesn't win best picture

Part of me wants Maestro to be snubbed just because I thought it was very disappointing. Unfortunately since Netflix is behind it I don't see it be snubbed. Like sure acting nominations but as a whole the film was terribly misguided.

I cant believe you ate brother bro

All the reviews I've been reading and watching on KZfaq have been raving about The Color Purple and Danielle's performance so I don't think they should be counted out so fast already. Wonka is performing well at the Box Office so I do not agree with your assessment that audiences don't like musicals. I think Warner Brothers has been nervous about marketing The Color Purple and Wonka as musicals because of last years low performance of West Side Story at the box office. Hopefully Wonka and The Color Purple box office performances will show that musicals are still enjoyed by audiences.

Poor things is wayyyy to avant-garde for Oscar voters

People are underestimating the fuck out of Margot Robbie. Barbie is not Babylon, she is probably cast in the role of her life in a top 3 best picture contender and her co-star is gonna get a nomination. It seems crazy to me that she would miss in HER movie. I would put her at 5

Its been a Great Year for movies, maybe the best since 2007

I feel like American Fiction could be the Scrappy underdog; the stat of TIFF audience award is a good one, it's a front runner for adapted screenplay, and i feel like it's the perfect antithesis to Oppenheimer . I could see like a Spotlight or Moonlight type Win with this film

As predicted, Oppenheimer sweep incoming. 🧹🧹🧹

The Holdovers was so good. I'm just rooting for that movie. And Sandra Huller! Give me Oscar wins for Paul Giamatti and Sandra Huller.

I'll be rooting for Poor Things this season. That movie is amazing and the main three performances are some of the best of the year! It may be difficult to compete with the more oscar baity movies, but I hope it can succeed.

Margot in Barbie is amazing, and is nomination worthy, people disagree because the story is literally about Barbie

Even with no best picture nom in the critics choice. I’m still hoping spiderverse will get a best picture nomination. It’s been way too long since an animated movie got nominated for best picture

America Ferrera isn't happening. That would be the Judd Hirsch wtf why nom of the season

Really hope Saltburn gets some noms, interesting to see you dismiss it so much, maybe it’s not had the same reception overseas? but this is the film everyone’s talking about in the UK right now - can see it being nominated for BAFTAs for sure

"quick and breezy..." I like that!

i'm trying to watch as much as i can as award season continues. i don't get may december. constant ridiculous musical crescendos indicative of nothing. overwrought uninteresting one note characters. it was not complex, it was a tv movie w agents forcing their clients into the cast. melton? weak, but best acting in this movie. julianne moore? no. portman? that was not good. barbie: making it a comment on feminism/masculinity etc made it more interesting than it was, kudos to gerwig for that. perfectly suited for a broad audience imagining they've seen something meaningful, which it wasn't. robbie? no. ferrera? no. not deserving of awards. set design, costume mebbe? so that's two of the most noted movies this season. may december i didn't like one bit. barbie was fluff but had good costumes and set design. that's it.

"time come...and time BE." so true, oscar expert

Barbie got 3 nominations in the best song category, that's why it looks like it's doing well when it comes to nominations

Cillian Murphy will probably win, but Paul Giomatti is overdue.

Oppenheimer is gonna be the « Gravity » of the Oscars 2024

It’s wild that everyone is underestimating Portman for the fifth slot, she has a good chance to surprise like Christian Bale did in American Hustle

WOW, three foreign language films in the top ten! Seems lot a lot to me, but would be amazing.

What I find weird is that if both Charles Melton and Julianne Moore get votes, I don't see people who watch the same film not voting for Portman who has that OSCAR Clip near the end. Plus they really like her and she is a mega star. I know that they are all in different categories and Moore may indeed have the best chances considering that category is the most open but the argument Oh Portman won't get enough votes doesn't apply if they are watching the film and voting for other two actors, especially since the 3 roles are so connected, and constantly sharing the screen with one another. Now May December is not as strong as Barbie, Maestro, Poor Things, Past Lives and maybe Anatomy of a Fall or even The Color Purple BUT being in a stronger film doesn't always help, ask Amy Adams in Arrival how she felt when Ruth Negga happened as a lone nominee for a small film. Also I think May December may get either completely shut out to its nature and only maybe get screenplay or it gets all 3 actors a la The Master(which is another weird film for the Academy but was a great acting showcase).

No Brother Bro and no fancy feline. Okayyyy. For now, I'll let it slide. 🙃 Somebody please nominate Rachel McAdams! She was so good in AYTGIMM. 🙏

i think the preferential voting could fuel a holdovers Best Pic win. It's a delightful movie with good peformances, I can see it being a lot of ppls 2nd and 3rd choice. I actually think there's a small chance that barbie gets snubbed for best picture

praying for a the holdovers sweep 🙏🏾

Great observations! I'm interested to see your brothers' predicitons.

What makes me question Danielle Brooks winning is that in the last 20 years every winner in every category got support from critics, not only major gritic groups but also the smaller ones. Danielle Brooks has till now only been nominated twice for smaller critic groups and ofc by Golden Globes and Critics Choice. That is VERY WEAK imo. For frontrunner I mean. The Randolph sweep is similar to the one Regina King, Helen Mirren, and Quan had ND we know how that turned out. Also Dafoe if I remember correctly was also sweeping critics but Florida Project was not bigger than 3 billboards and Holdovers is a top 5 film while the Color Purple is hanging and fighting for that last spot.

I think sag is going to be all kinds of crazy. Don’t forget we were on strike and the year we had was challenging. Barbie will win I think. We all need movies to make us feel better this year.

The season‘s underdog is All of Us Strangers. It’s so fucking good and can get a late surge to get into Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor 2x. The distributor is Searchlight. They know how to work their ways to voters.

Brother Bro! We miss you sir. But well done on the vid!

Best Actor and Best Picture do not have to overlap. Those categories split all the time. Follow your instincts, Bradley Cooper is the better performance.

I think Oppy is the film to beat, but watch out for American Fiction. I've seen alot of people shrug that off as its nothing, but I think that might win Adapted over PT/Oppy/KOTFM & if that happens I can see it be a runner-up for BP.

I don't think comparisons of stone v gladstone to yeoh and blanchett are completely fair, because there is definitely a bigger gap in this years race than last year. The two performances last year were pretty on par, with yeoh and blanchett being equally amazing, with yeoh embracing her action chops as well as being very strong in the emotional scenes. Blanchett is a more traditional performance but is still phenomenal. When a race is this close, THAT is when narrative pushes it to the top, but never the deciding factor. It is a much better comparison to link with Hopkins and Boseman. Boseman has an even stronger narrative, post humous + diversity + still a great performance. But there Hopkins was just on another level and got him over the top despite being a previous winner.

I really think a saltburn best picture nom is a lot more possible than people think

bafta loves margot (wasn't she nominated twice one year?) i wouldn't be surprised if she got bafta and sag tbh

Y'all can kill me for this but I think Emma stone gave a generational performance. Not just because of the whole "sexual empowerment" thing but I don't recall seeing a lead actress commit to a role like that in quite some time.

Think May December gets into Picture over Zone of Interest honestly, especially considering May December is likely to get 2 acting noms and for me will get into original screenplay over Maestro

(What it will be) American Fiction Anatomy of a Fall Barbie The Holdovers Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro Oppenheimer Past Lives Poor Things The Zone of Interest (What it should) Barbie The Holdovers The Iron Claw Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro Oppenheimer Past Lives Poor Things Spiderman Across Spiderverse The Zone of Interest Goddamn I want The Iron Claw to do more. I feel the late release is delaying some of the awards.

no on todd haynes not for the worst film of the year - May December yes on Carey Mulligan and Emma Stone--julianne moore no chance even for a nom