based

i'm sure there's a poll for that

@@papastalin69 Papa Stalin, Papa Stalin! I'm afraid my polls are half-staffed! 😭

Voting for the Labour-Tory duopoly got you that, sorry not sorry lad.

@@Lunar_Pendragon I am America.

I suspect there will be a winner this year

very close

I think the fat one will win

I'm pretty sure that Kim Jong Un will win against Kim Jong Un this cycle

@@darkmatter9643As to who… I guess we’ll have to wait and see, it’s impossible to know

Trump is doing even better in the swing states though

@@spacemario Trump is going to win with well over 300+ electoral votes. Biden is TOAST after the debate.

​@@spacemario heck, even non swing states are close. Looking at his gains in NY, he might be able to flip 4-5 blue states if things really take a turn for the worse

Now he'd definitely get my vote 🐱

It's because people are broke and life isn't good

It’s largely immigration in EU and America, I think

@@aidanpeet2128 that's also another factor

In the UK its mostly due to the extensive corruption of the tories that have completely stagnated wage growth but accelerated expenses.

It’s because of Liz Truss, it’s literally because of Liz Truss. The last 18 months have basically just been damage limitation after she left.

No its because no one cares.

@@gustavusadolphus6097 I can think of at least 1.4 billion people who do care.

@@stephengray1344 I wouldnt call them people but what i meant was, it isnt changing the world because no one cares. And thus it cant be on the list.

@gustavulsadoophus.. Okay genius.

Well put.

The Overton window shifted so far it's not even in the same house anymore. I live in hope that it's just the parties Tories chasing the reform/ukip vote and not the people.

your opinion being common is probably why reform are polling so well lol, lots of conservative voters who are abandoning ship for that reason

My local reform UK candidate had to be replaced because it turns out he was a child safe guarding issue and schools wouldn't hire him.

@ibx2cat I think that lib Dems are in general the best option although there always should be an anti-immigration party. I do wonder if we'd see a economically left and socially right party pop up at the end.

wdym

@@anomite121brain worm

@@sellerspiano9811 ok

I'm hoping he at least takes second place somewhere so that people consider third parties more in the future. It doesn't look like he's going to get that, though.

@@MidwestArtMan It's very hard to beat established parties with a 3rd party in the US. Each party has a brand that goes back a hundred years or more. To form a new party requires the old party has a large number of unsatisfied members. The Republican party formed as an anti-slavery party from the Whigs in the 1850s.

:(

They are centre right and labour is centre left

As a Dutchman, both seem right to me

@@mint8648since Starmer has taken head Labour is pretty clearly center-right

Minnesota...Virginia...New-Mexico....EVEN NEW-JERSEY NOW... What is Biden doinggggg 😂?!!!

Only place they are bad is France. I genuinely do not understand how in the world people are even considering supporting Le Pen. She is essentially Trump but 500x worse. I get people are fed up with Macron, but for the love of god, Le Pen is not the answer

@DUFFAL02 bad does not mean whether or not you agree with people's opinions, I'm talking about how accurately the polls represent voter preferences. As far as I'm aware, the French electorate currently prefers le pen, that's not the polls being bad that's just what they prefer

Election prediction markets are far more accurate ime

No, CDU CSU and Wertunion are famous for liking Nazis from the Afd, they have their own Nazi Group called Werteunion. CDU is a right wing party. SPD and gruene are centrist, while gruene has a some left people who dont actually hold any power though.

Yes. Especially historicially. But in recent years both both the CDU/CDU and the SPD are shifting right. Not Nazi-right but therevis definitely movement.

They have been moving very right the last year to steal afd voters.

@@yoshimeier3060 True. 16 years of Left-wing CDU Merkel did their part. CDU was not centered enough.

@@cedrickterrickMerkel? Left-Wing? Well I guess we know where you stand if you think Merkel is left wing…🤦‍♂️

Bindependance day is coming

I only found out about this guy yesterday, but I’d love if him or Niko Omilana robbed Rishi Sunak’s seat

I think he's been blowing it on visits to other countries and showing us videos of it rather than eating kebabs.

@@CraigXJ87 not the stadium… the town. There was like an art fair thingy

I want to take this seriously but almost 20 years after that video came out I’m actually old enough to vote this time (jealous of my classmates born a few months earlier and able to) and I just can’t truly care.

Probably by putting a piece of paper in a ballot box.

​@@familygash7500 vote Reform 🇬🇧

labour

@@ciaranReal”vote Nazis”

Basically Northern Ireland has very few sets (like 18/650) so hardly ever affects government in a national election. I believe both SF and the DUP are predicted 7 seats each though

the end result is a couple of seats moving to or from a party that doesn't take their seats, so it's not relevant to the next UK government, but rather just who represents those seats (which is important, but locally not nationally)

Just talking about it could make the situation worse. Best to leave it alone.

@@JunkMan13013 Exactly this. It's a mess that was never cleaned up properly, that everyone hopes will just go away if it's ignored.

@@ibx2cat thanks, I think it's interesting to know if the Sinn Feinn will continue to grow

He misread the seats lost number as the seats won.

yeah, misread "seats lost" as "seats" - but in either case the point was below the 201 required for majority government. Oops!

That's better for Le Pen because the left will be split and the right will be united

Plus polls do not have the recent debate performance baked in fully yet

Have you seen the leaked Dem internal poll? It's bad

exactly

Three nightmare choices.

@@anishraja9655trump yes, le pen i have no clue, farage is the only competent politician out every other party

@@anishraja9655all the best choices possible, especially trump

@@graazioso They're not the best. They're not the worst, such place is reserved for the Hitlers, Maos, and Stalins of the world.

Well if he is only covering individual countries I don't think he'll count the EU, unless you mean India.

@@beasley1232India is actually bigger than the eu

@@akshatgupta4817 well yeah that's true, they are the most populous country in the world now, so you would be right, thanks for the correction.

So now they're shifting left?

@@TheStopwatchGod nah theres a clear shift for reform the party didny exist before and is on the rise massively in some polls they are up to 3% ahead of the conservatives and they will most likely replace the conservatives in the uk because the conservatives have failed to do anything they were voted in for.

​@@TheStopwatchGod The Right is always the Left of 10-20 Years ago

@@TheStopwatchGod The UK is only shifting left because the Labour party is the only realistic alternative to the current government. I don't think people's views have become particularly more left wing. Labour is only in the position to be able to win a huge majority because they shifted to be closer to the centre, and a new right wing party is taking votes from the Conservatives.

Nah. Can't get much worse than Trudeau even if you tried. The status quo has failed to address the concerns of the people.

To win a seat you have to get the largest majority of the votes in local constituencies (regions of a few small towns may be one, major cities usually have multiple ones within them etc). If for example the torys got 40% of the votes in every constituency and Labour got 50% in every constituency, then Labour would win every single seat, even though 40% of the country actually voted tory. It seems unfair because it is, it's a pretty bad way of representing the publics views, but it's the one we use.

Proportional to what? You don't technically vote for a party, you vote for a person, the party label on the ballot paper is just that, a meaningless label that means nothing legally. You obviously couldn't ever stop MPs colloborating and forming teams who act together, and in reality many people do vote based on party affiliation of the candiates, but technically political parties are an informal part of the system. When you vote for "Fred Smith, Labour" you're really only voting for "Fred Smith", and the "Labour" bit is just an informal tag. So there is no total party vote across multiple constituencies, there's only votes for a bunch of individual people. The constituency is at the heart of the system basically. We talk about a "general election", but really it's 650 little elections that all happen on the same day. But they're all independent of each other, and that is kind of the point. An MP is linked to the consituency, not the whole country. So you could have a different system of voting (like STV) in a constituency that many people would argue would make things more fair and give more choice to voters, but doing so wouldn't change how MPs and Parliament work. But if you want _proportional_ voting (I assume here you mean proportional to the votes for a particular party across the country, that's what is normally meant), you have to first of all change to have people vote for parties, not people, giving parties a formal role and more power in the constitution, and secondly you'd have to get rid of the role of constituencies and that link with a particular MP who represents you as a citizen, both of which would be fundamental changes to the whole constitutional setup. (That's not to say whether it would be preferable or not of course, just that it'd be a really fundamental change and it's an entirely different way of thinking about how we represent people in Parliament, not just a minor tweak or a difference to "which team wins"!)

@@zak3744 I get your point, but then if you completly ignore the teams part and vote for the local person you like... What control do the people of the country have over the main government?

relevant to the elections happening in 2024, probably

they just won and probably (and hopefully) will win on sunday too!

​@@JOKERATM Why hopefully, what good has the far right ever done

DEPENDING who wins the 2028 elections if that is the case, if Trump wins in 2024 (this year) then Democrats are most likely to take back presidential power in 2028.

He didn't Express his opinions on the ANC here

Yeah but I think elections in Mexico, the USA, UK, India etc will be the most important elections.

@@beasley1232 okay it's only a big EU member part of the frugal 4 and looking like the FPO is going to dominate also meaning they will pull back from alignment with NATO just saying

@@thanes1343 If Trump wins the USA presidential elections, which he likely will, then NATO will go into dormant slumber. Trump has already vowed to end US support for Ukraine AS WELL as called for raising tariffs on the EU. Trump could instead negotiate with Russia to end the war on a more favorable term for the Russians which will benefit Russia. Also if Trump wins the US presidency, I can potentially see France, with a more right wing government to become more emboldened to also end their support for Ukraine and possibly even become more emboldened to act against the EU in a Trump presidency. We've seen this with the UK, where Trump supported and backed the Brexit movement since it became a thing. Right now, more then 120 Republicans in the American house of representatives have voted to end support for Ukraine, if Trump takes the presidency, the US Republican party will be more emboldened to end their support for Ukraine.

Probably because nothing really changed. Sure Modi lost support surprisingly, but in reality the BJP still holds the power. Sheinbaum ostensibly being AMLO 2 is not too different, but it is at least someone new in power.

you commented this like 10 seconds after the video dropped have you even watched any of it yet

Same

you mean the increase in far right parties ?

@@anomite121 If the so-called "far right" are the only ones advocating for a reduction in immigration, then yes. There's even a left wing anti-immigration party in Germany now.

Reform is not gaining from anyone against the Conservatives who are practically donating seats to them, green are probably going to do better than them

And Labour has over a 30% point lead over both 😂

@@anomite121 yes.

I meant we have the reform and the conservatives lol

what economic policies are left?

We barely have a left tbh

True, but I don't trust that there won't be "shenanigans" again.

Both the USA and UK are sitting on that self district button.

@@beasley1232 I have hope

under apartheid, many industries were state controlled by the white bourgeoise elite

It was surely better back then

Center-right

@@mint8648 only in name

Bro forgot about the largest election in human history in India lol. It’s very consequential for the region and for global politics.

yup!

name one far left government in the past ten years

@@mint8648 Spain says hello

@@JOKERATM they are under centre-left gov, no different from labour or spd

@@mint8648 we have a socislist government in coalition with communists, separatists and ex-terrorists

He’s not a centrist lol

The Brexit Years were crazy for the UK too.

Brexit was a mistake for y'all

Scottish nationalists are not gone lmfao

@@jetsflyingoffatrain4338 consevatives aren't gone either but they're both collapsing

what are you on? it's because there's a massive inmigration from the neighbouring countries due to the infinitely higher standard of living, and the native people of the island have had enough, much like in metropolitan france where people are sick of mass inmigration. hope the french put an end to the madness on sunday

Totally wrong, there are no "colonists" in Mayotte, 99% of the island is black and muslim. And birth right needs to be abolished, there is nothing extreme about that.

Finland:

cartels control the presidency

And what wing of politics caused that uncontrollable rise in crime?

For a socialist jew no less

​@dominicchallis2928 In Mexico that would have been the right wing and it's center factions.

Trump is 1000x better than a brain dead vegetable we were forced to put up with the last 4 years. Just accept another Trump term is coming.