A failed gamble? How the Tory election campaign imploded

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11 күн бұрын

From the moment six weeks ago that Rishi Sunak announced the election in pouring rain outside 10 Downing Street, his campaign has faced a series of setbacks.
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From has seen the backlash triggered by his early return from a D-day commemoration, to a betting scandal in which a Conservative politician was discovered to have bet on the date of the election, the Guardian's political media editor, Jim Waterson, explains how the party's campaign fell apart and whether it stood a chance to begin with
Polls project a record swing to the Labour party, larger than in any previous postwar election. The Conservatives go into election day having lost more than half of their support, and polling more than 10 points below their worst ever previous result
What time will we know who won? Hour-by-hour guide to election night ► www.theguardian.com/politics/...
Ten things to watch as the UK general election results roll in ► www.theguardian.com/politics/...
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#politics #ukelection #generalelection #KeirtStarmer #RishiSunak #Labour #Conservative #ReformUK #LibDems #NigelFarage #EdDavey #GreenParty

Пікірлер: 342

@guardiannews 9 күн бұрын

What time will we know who won? Hour-by-hour guide to election night ► www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/04/what-time-will-we-know-who-won-hour-by-hour-guide-election-night-2024 Ten things to watch as the UK general election results roll in ► www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/30/ten-things-to-watch-as-the-uk-general-election-results-roll-in

@billyjo1148 6 күн бұрын

silly liberals with a silly understanding

@toddb9313 9 күн бұрын

The whole point of this campaign was so Rishi Sunak was voted out and not thrown out by the party. He did not want that on his record.

@donnabarchman7735 9 күн бұрын

😊

@TheSuperPsychoKiller 9 күн бұрын

I think getting humiliated in a general election is worse than getting kicked out by the party.

@ThePrinceOrtmayer 9 күн бұрын

@@TheSuperPsychoKiller He sets fire to the house and walks out the front door with a smirk this way.

@zam1007 9 күн бұрын

I can understand the reasoning for your thoughts Todd. But that fact remains that Sunackered is a loser. He wasn't chosen by the Party (truss was the chosen one) nor the country. He was just a placeholder. A token, a tick box excercise. He brought nothing to the table, stood for nothing and is a proven sell out (Johnson's pet Chancellor after Javid).

@1258-Eckhart 8 күн бұрын

It did rather look as if the party was about to ditch him in favour of Penny Mordaunt. So he flicked the switch the moment before that could happen. We'll have to wait until probably Penny Mordaunt's memoirs. She had probably already been asked.

@arseface2k934 9 күн бұрын

this election was rishi throwing in the towel. at some point he realised nothing will save the tories and he'd rather go back to his easy life with his endless millions in california.

@Abraham-uk4xy 8 күн бұрын

That prediction is wrong. He said he will stay as MP in Yorkshire. He is young. I think he can make a comeback.

@lepetitchat123 7 күн бұрын

@@Abraham-uk4xy taking a step down is also a kind of throwing in the towel. Who needs this stress of being a PM when you have a billionaire wife?

@aandwdabest Күн бұрын

@@lepetitchat123they are richer than the Queen. That says something.

@petyrkowalski9887 9 күн бұрын

In the future, the tory campaign and 14 years of power will be taught in universities as a case study on how to get everything totally wrong.

@BrianMartin-ph7pt 9 күн бұрын

Now do labour..

@Budanevey 9 күн бұрын

@@BrianMartin-ph7pt It'll only take Labour 14 weeks to get everything totally wrong...

@BrianMartin-ph7pt 9 күн бұрын

@@Budanevey I would not give labour 14 hours..

@snizami 9 күн бұрын

The future is too bleak for us to be sitting and studying anything.

@kellypaws 9 күн бұрын

If we stay out of the EU and make such a complete fud of trying to be imperial Britain, we probably shan't be able to afford any universities.

@monkeyboy8424 9 күн бұрын

I'll vote before I go to the food bank.

@michaelrch 9 күн бұрын

Vote Green if you want to send a message to the incoming Labour government that you will not be taken for granted.

@Chevy-jordan 9 күн бұрын

@@michaelrchLib Dem * green stand no chance

@michaelrch 9 күн бұрын

@@Chevy-jordan they don't need to win seats to influence the Labour Party. Labour know that many people voting green are disaffected Labour voters. Just like the Tories knew that most UKIP voters in 2015 were disaffected Tory voters. UKIP got no seats but they did get Brexit. Labour have won because the right wing vote is split down the middle. You should vote for the party that most reflects your values. If you believe in taxing the rich, ending child poverty, reversing the crippling privatisation and defunding of the NHS and taking real action against the existential threat of climate change, vote Green. The Libdems are marginally better than Labour. The Greens are the real deal. You don't need to vote tactically. Vote freely. Vote your conscience.

@SP-lw7mr 9 күн бұрын

Why don’t you get a job instead?

@Dynasty1818 9 күн бұрын

Governments don't control rent, your mortgage which is a private loan, your car payments, food prices, energy prices, or your inability to balance your finances so you don't need a food bank. That's entirely your fault, accept it instead of lashing out.

@simulationkoyo 9 күн бұрын

the lettuce was the best

@mickmaphari6606 9 күн бұрын

Knock! Knock! Who's in there? Bazooka! Bazooka who? No, I mean Rocket! Rocket Lettuce! Lettuce out!

@mrmeldrew693 9 күн бұрын

Done on purpose Sunak's ticket to California is already booked.

@MiPointIs 9 күн бұрын

Agree why else did he donate £3million to a school in California after he donated £1million to his old school?

@ArmourGX 9 күн бұрын

This was my thought too, he just wanted to get out of being the PM.

@arghjayem 9 күн бұрын

@@ArmourGXyep, he served as PM- now he can sit back relax and maybe earn the odd half a million on the speaking circuit like Blair! 😂

@MM-xr6tz 9 күн бұрын

I'd agree with that.

@owenthomas5103 9 күн бұрын

he probably has a bet on himself losing.

@Jonpoo1 9 күн бұрын

That first speech when it started raining really showed it was doomed. They couldn’t postpone it because so many had a bet on.

@paulgibbon5991 9 күн бұрын

And nobody had an umbrella, apparently.

@kanedNunable 9 күн бұрын

dont forget, they spend 20m on a new media briefing room that has never been used.

@bigblue6917 9 күн бұрын

@@kanedNunable He wanted to look statesman like outside Number 10. Instead he just looked wet.

@JallenMeodia 9 күн бұрын

@@kanedNunable It was £2.6Million, now I'm not saying that's not a lot of money and that it wasn't a total waste as I don't think it has been used since Covid briefings stopped, but it isn't £20 million.

@danjames4086 8 күн бұрын

@@JallenMeodia Sports Direct sell umbrellas for about a fiver.😂

@cooley987 9 күн бұрын

Eu goes right, uk goes left. Its like a seesaw

@MikeL-7 8 күн бұрын

The Labour Party is a centre right party that has ruthlessly purged its progressive members and embraced big business and US Imperialism so yeah, not really.

@iche9373 6 күн бұрын

If the UK was still in the EU, the European Union would stay centrist.

@diluteduk 9 күн бұрын

It's really funny watching Rishi at the moment. It's like he's stood on the deck of the Titanic, watching it sink, and saying that everything is fine.

@daniel117100 8 күн бұрын

He’s worth half a billion he’s on the lifeboat already

@lepetitchat123 7 күн бұрын

Everything is indeed fine for him😂

@geofflepper3207 3 күн бұрын

@@daniel117100 For half a billion a person can buy one heck of a lifeboat.

@peterjones6640 9 күн бұрын

The slide downhill for the Conservatives really started when Cameron called the Brexit referendum. Cameron thought that would firstly appease the right wing of the Conservatives and that he would win a yes vote and could then put the problem to bed for the Conservatives. Instead it had the exact opposite affect.

@marilynkick2956 9 күн бұрын

Yes because of 'Grey Money' in the background, and the European Reserch Group, we were all completely conned!

@jeromefitzroy 6 күн бұрын

Worst gamble in history

@catalinacurio 9 күн бұрын

NHS dentists anyone?

@BrianMartin-ph7pt 9 күн бұрын

There will be none under labour - but illegal immigrants will still get their on call 24/7 taxpayer funded doctors and dentists. VOTE REFORM!

@user-ol6rd7pl5t 9 күн бұрын

They've all been deliberately underfunded to force everyone to go private.

@rick7424 8 күн бұрын

@@BrianMartin-ph7pt ??? That did not even make sense

@MrDavey2010 9 күн бұрын

Sunak will be packing for California this morning!

@SimonFrack 8 күн бұрын

Calling the shelf life of a lettuce an “era” is a bit of a stretch.

@MrTonyHeath 6 күн бұрын

There are things at the back of my cupboard which would qualify.

@user-ol6rd7pl5t 9 күн бұрын

Tax the greedy to help the needy.

@ggunga7764 9 күн бұрын

Yes

@iche9373 6 күн бұрын

And establish a wealth limit for the super rich class

9 күн бұрын

Time to help the working class

@ggunga7764 9 күн бұрын

Big time

@byromtaylor6482 7 күн бұрын

England is f - its too late the country has gone and nothing great about britain anymore

@Simon-pg1bm 6 күн бұрын

If the working class cared about their situation they would vote TORY!

6 күн бұрын

@@Simon-pg1bm insane comment are you captain one eye

@geoffreylee5199 7 күн бұрын

After the distractions and lies of Brexit, no wonder the Labourites won. The Tories went further and further to the right. There isn’t a middle ground in UK politics, interesting to see the jump of support for LDPs. Your Reform party amounted to nothing, being right of the Tories, really.

@kacper-8847 9 күн бұрын

Last six weeks. More like last decade.

@rishavganguly92 3 күн бұрын

14 years tbp.

@kathleentanti4387 8 күн бұрын

Delighted that the Tories are out. Disgusting behaviour for 14 years of lining their own pockets and targeting the poor.

@martinholmes-ue9ko 9 күн бұрын

The Guardian- stating the obvious in a posh way, as always.

@wandersonfrancisco8494 9 күн бұрын

I think the seed of Tories downfall started during the referendum campaign when David Cameron supported Britain to stay in the EU and Boris used the referendum to gain political power supporting Brexit. When Brexit won, an internal civil war started and the Tories became more concerned about individual power than a unified government party. I never voted for Labour, but I am now considering. Even though I don't think is a great option, it is the lesser evil, because at least they will not waste time fighting each other.

@finnjay6149 9 күн бұрын

I've given up the "lesser evil". I'm voting for smaller parties that will actually benefit the working class, even if they won't win at least it shows that we won't stand for the Tories or Labour any more.

@iche9373 6 күн бұрын

The Tories are coded to fail because they are Tories

@sayedkhalilullahmonib3363 9 күн бұрын

I believe it’s not about campaign of Tory. It is all about failure of the past they did take UK out of Europe and also they had horrible leadership the combined of all those made Tory to lose. UK must join Europe back otherwise they will go down very drastically in few years

@TC-th1ey 9 күн бұрын

The question is do Europe want the UK? Therefore any new deal will be much worse than arrangements in the past.

@unaitxo 9 күн бұрын

Not in Starmer's lifetime [sic]

@the_mastermage 9 күн бұрын

We will take you back, just you won't get your previous special exceptions. Basically you are getting the Euro as currency.

@TC-th1ey 9 күн бұрын

@@the_mastermage No not the Euro, anything but the euro!

@ryanmcmahon2422 9 күн бұрын

THE WASTED MONEY ON TRACK AND TRACE, AND THE PPI SCANDAL, SHOULD BE MADE TO BE GIVEN BACK TO THE TAX PAYERS .

@rrbh 9 күн бұрын

Track and trace is for parcel deliveries ! 37 billion pounds was wasted/ stolen on TEST and TRACE.

@Budanevey 9 күн бұрын

@@ryanmcmahon2422 Labour wanted to spend more...

@thomHD 8 күн бұрын

The election was a very very minor gamble compared to the gambles of austerity and Brexit.

@kal77uk 8 күн бұрын

Austerity is the Tory word, Labour started it in 2007...look who is in power again!!

@thomHD 8 күн бұрын

@@kal77uk Tightening budgets in the context of a global financial crisis is very different to always-ideological cuts and post-Brexit malaise. If you're disatisfied with the levels of spending I hope you've voted Lib Dem.

@mike-myke22 9 күн бұрын

Popcorn and beer tonight.

@arthur1670 9 күн бұрын

No it did not, you make it out like it was working at the start 🤣🤣🤣

@patmartin9727 8 күн бұрын

Boris has a lot to answer for. He was the ruination of the Conservative Party.

@johnlock1605 9 күн бұрын

People are fed up with conservatives and Labour is offering nothing. Lets see what today brings.

@brianconnor9988 9 күн бұрын

Ultimately, it’s the Tories that have really won because Labour is now Tory-lite in policy terms, e.g. no tax rises for the very rich, no rejoining the single market.

@user-ol6rd7pl5t 9 күн бұрын

As long as it's not Reform I don't care.

@daniel117100 8 күн бұрын

@@brianconnor9988if Labour just gave the workers what they want, less immigration, they wouldn’t have to pretend to not be socialists, but Londoners loath the working classes

@MrTonyHeath 6 күн бұрын

Nothing? Wait and see.

@sciencelab7597 9 күн бұрын

I don’t think we’ve ever seen a campaign implode like this before. And it’s all self-inflicted. It’s quite shocking, really.

@McCloudious 8 күн бұрын

Sunak really doesn't want to be there.

@SP-lw7mr 9 күн бұрын

Negative comments about Labours last term are being taken down by YT. Needless to say it was the beginning of the end. People have short memories.

@herbetone 9 күн бұрын

Well said.

@haroldwillrich8135 7 күн бұрын

Sunak reminds failed US governor Bobby Jindal never to be heard from again.

@MiPointIs 9 күн бұрын

Labour’s six first steps 🌹Delivering economic stability. 🌹Cutting NHS waiting times. 🌹Launching a new Border Security Command. 🌹Setting up Great British Energy. 🌹Cracking down on antisocial behaviour. 🌹Recruiting 6,500 new teachers.

@GG-hi5if 9 күн бұрын

1. Already there 2. Going down 3. Reorganising border force 4. No one has explained what it will do 5. London looks nice 6. Across a country of 70 million? Hahaha

@bigblue6917 9 күн бұрын

@@GG-hi5ifYou torys are your imaginary world. Meanwhile in the real world people are waiting 18 months for appointments while 4 in 5 locums cannot get work. And before you try to counter what I wrote here this comes from personal experience not tory lies.

@monkeychu420 9 күн бұрын

Reform

@Sicario-Sunny 9 күн бұрын

@@GG-hi5if 🤣🤣🤣 delusional bot.

@stevedavy2878 9 күн бұрын

@@monkeychu420 Just a word. The people behind it are just Tories with a new badge, not gerring fooled by that rebranding

@SandraKindreich 8 күн бұрын

The last 14yrs have been chaotic

@jontalbot1 9 күн бұрын

I am not sure Sunak believed he could win just there was no reason for him to think things would get any better.

@K0msur 5 күн бұрын

Nah, it wasn't a gamble. I personally think something was found out about Sunak or some senior Tory MPs that the party judged it couldn't survive (more partygate stuff? I couldn't say). Think about it: why would Sunak announce the election in the pouring rain with very little warning? It's not like the day he was announcing it was a nice, sunny day, and it just happened to start raining mid-speech; it was miserable all day. Sunak could have waited overnight. Either that or his party basically said "you have to do this now, or we're removing you tomorrow".

@johannesnicolaas 9 күн бұрын

"Do those people have a death wish...??" stinging question, the best!1

@SirNigel60007 8 күн бұрын

We need Labour to deliver on their manifesto as many racist Labour voters drift to Reform

@dot222able 7 күн бұрын

Sunak didn't want to win, he did everything he could to throw the fight. He deliberately handed power to Starmer. I feel rather uneasy about why he would do this.

@Steven_Rowe 9 күн бұрын

It wasn't a failure gamble, the Tories know full well they can't win. I would go so far as to say that Sunak knows he will loose his seat so he can bow out and fade into anonymity. If he does keep his seat he will step down an fall on his sword as leader. It was never out money as he is mega rich.

@chinaman1 7 күн бұрын

I don't think it was a failed gamble. I think he just wanted to get out of No. 10 ASAP. Now the country is other people's problem.

@knightshade2654 8 күн бұрын

As an American, this election has been a great deal of fun to watch. I am a bit jealous of your parties' leaders compared to ours.

@gavinbarnes6310 9 күн бұрын

Does feel like it’s been 6 weeks already

@peterkirby2771 9 күн бұрын

Today is kick a Tory Day , we’ve been waiting 14 years to kick the Tories out . Vote Tactically

@Dynasty1818 9 күн бұрын

In a month it'll be kick a Labour day as they're not going to improve a thing.

@widecat1404 9 күн бұрын

@@Dynasty1818at least they don't have as many active criminals as the Tories do

@tinfoilslacks3750 6 күн бұрын

"Tories under fire after stating party's core values verbatim"

@m0nopoly 8 күн бұрын

Population are sheep.

@darkuser9992 7 күн бұрын

Am I the only person who saw the whole point of the election as a coup de grâce....rather than slow death

@Caoimhin1909 8 күн бұрын

Never seemed to get off the ground. Don't think it imploded so much.

@johnmunro4952 9 күн бұрын

2:30!! 100%!!

@luke62k93 9 күн бұрын

Not 1 tory cared,no more now, unusual.

@aleccap5946 7 күн бұрын

A new corner shop opens in Bradford by former PM 😂😂😂😂😂

@trevellyanblack4101 8 күн бұрын

Catching most of his cabinet unawares, Sunak seems to have called the election unilaterally, displaying an incredible amount of incompetence. He could have limped on until the Autumn in the hope that the economy would improve, but more importantly, could have spent the summer preparing for a GE with his cabinet in the loop.

@thethirdman225 8 күн бұрын

I had this idea that Sunak saw Labour’s vote slightly decreasing, while Reform’s was going up, to the point where they were now almost on equal footing with the Tories. Not wanting to let Reform become the major Conservative Party and with a wish to save the furniture, I think he saw it as the least worst option. I don’t think anyone expected the betting scandal or the Reform canvassing debacle on ITV.

@stephfoxwell4620 8 күн бұрын

It imploded four years ago. Two weeks to flatten the curve they said.

@MikeL-7 9 күн бұрын

Big Society!

@petercrane2065 9 күн бұрын

Nobody in the right mind would want to be on Starmers side

@user-zc4yd9ss7h 7 күн бұрын

Thanks Rishi for doing the right thing and calling the election early. Brilliant decision.

@Red_Schuhart 4 күн бұрын

Mmm yes it definitely had nothing to do with policy, no way!

@DangerAngelous 7 күн бұрын

Tories gotta up their meme game if they’re going to take on the mighty Nigel Farage

@banditalley9592 9 күн бұрын

Don't count your chickens. It might not go as much in Labour's favour as the polls suggest - I hope I am wrong though

@Justin-jh4ym 9 күн бұрын

RIshi had enough and is onto pastures new. He knows the UK is doomed.

@edshotsdotcodotuk 9 күн бұрын

Sunak has been tanking this on purpose so he can leave the UK and just work the circuit in America.

@billybatts8283 9 күн бұрын

When you look at everything certain Tories have done it's not a gamble if they work for the same people at the WEF as Starmer and Labour.

@rad4924 9 күн бұрын

Not that I expect for even a moment that the Tories will win, surely you should wait until the polls close to post their eulogy? Surely this is some sort of breach of election rules.

@ghandi409 7 күн бұрын

Nobody would ever say it and the guardian and its readers would never admit it in a million years. But he lost due to racism.

@istherenofreename 9 күн бұрын

Let's rejoice in this final day of Tory rule - Things Can Only Get Better!

@shankarbalakrishnan2360 9 күн бұрын

We human may be fascinating characters but why do we fail so much❤❤🎉🎉

@Rick-xp5sy 9 күн бұрын

It’s over now, Labour have got what they wanted but it won’t end well, Europe is changing fast especially in France so Britain needs to sort out the economy and fast.

@TheSinzy 5 күн бұрын

And still noone talks about elephant in the room - the war in Ukrain.

@atfernando1 6 күн бұрын

They wanted to lose. I'm a bit worried about the why.

@xcoder1122 8 күн бұрын

Tories: We've always lied to you, we've done nothing to improve any situation, and we're completely incapable of running a country - hmmm.... I see no reason why people should not vote for us.

@anthonystar 8 күн бұрын

Yeah The People Have Spoken Call a snap election with no proven tenure and performance on record That's what u get even if u rich n privileged Sunak 😘😘

@salakhadoos3544 7 күн бұрын

So it’s not abt a country that would rather vote another Caucasian but would never vote a -1st brown PM. It all comes down to skin Color, UK showed its absolute true colors, the country never wanted a brown PM. They’d rather rot with the labor party as it was our white. For all the gravy you can spout, if you look at the data from 2019 to now 2024, constituency to each other, the turnout #’s and how many abstained, well the country would always want to elect a white guy than a central conservative.

@notjustforhackers4252 9 күн бұрын

They refused to do what people voted for. End of conversation.

@loneranger114 7 күн бұрын

That indian who was pm without an election was finally DISCARDED AND BUSTED ✌️✌️👍👏👍🤣🤣🤣

@ks_ig2728 9 күн бұрын

Something something Labour something something

@tflp1950 9 күн бұрын

This is such a pointless video, here are 3 big political things that have happened that everyone knows about. The end. No meaningful insight at all.

@bigblue6917 9 күн бұрын

Sunak's problem is that he is politically inept. He is what you get when you are promoted well passed his ability.

@bakhithajoseph5999 8 күн бұрын

Gamble mean

@JusticeGlobal 9 күн бұрын

Throw him out immediately. Wonder where all your money is gone? Triple rogue and corrupt folks will never deliver what's right.

@fpdhu 8 күн бұрын

Vote Reform! I want to be able to get a job and afford rent again...

@extremegrieferbible 6 күн бұрын

And that's why you vote for Farage; the guy who lied to you about how great Brexit would be. Genius.

@Martinbeef 9 күн бұрын

Sunak was such a fool.

@ChickityChicken 8 күн бұрын

Fools, its because Rishy knows whats coming in October WW🌳

@informedchoice2249 8 күн бұрын

They were going to lose they knew they were going to lose so they just said what they thought would be the most appropriate things.

@ggunga7764 9 күн бұрын

Rishi obviously wants to go

@markomarten 9 күн бұрын

It’s time for change, let’s put the Great back in to Britain.

@markgt894 8 күн бұрын

Give it 5 years, and Labour will be out

@markgt894 8 күн бұрын

@Shaun-kh7ic KZfaq really needs to remove all these bots

@AchyutChaudhary 8 күн бұрын

*I don’t understand…given the highly unpopular decision of Brexit & its consequences (with a majority willing to rejoin now) - why is the former ‘Brexit’ Party suddenly surging in the polls against the also rising EU support? 🤔*

@kal77uk 8 күн бұрын

The Brexit negotiation was a Tory failure. Labour wont rejoin as it would mean going against their left leaning ways. The EU is a center right set up.

@petersimms4982 9 күн бұрын

😊 the most honest newspaper I’ve ever read in my 56 yrs on this planet 🌎 😊

@strangemagic5502 9 күн бұрын

I think labour will win but it won't be the dream majority they would hope for. It's going to be a poor turnout too with maybe Greens and Reform performing well

@lovejetfuel4071 9 күн бұрын

I think the conservative turnout will be poor, and most votes going to Reform, and the rest staying home. Tories gonna be toast

@kanedNunable 9 күн бұрын

reform wont even get 10 seats.

@strangemagic5502 9 күн бұрын

@@kanedNunable 10 more than what they have now. There you go, I'm sure they'll be delighted with that number

@virtualpilotflightsimulati645 9 күн бұрын

His got his prime minister pension it’s all he was after

@WestfaliaStuff 8 күн бұрын

I thin SUnnak just wanted to leave that pile of Trash behind and go back to his rich kid life TBH.

@robertmanella528 3 күн бұрын

I never liked him!! To much money to Ukraine!!

@Gerrygambone 9 күн бұрын

To the Bay City Rollers song ' Bye Bye Tories bye bye

@sidneybell64 9 күн бұрын

Boris Johnson 👍

@michaelrch 9 күн бұрын

Interesting to note how people on the left are expected to fall into line and vote Labour even though the party has dropped all its left policy. Meanwhile people on the right vote the way they want to and get Brexit or indeed a new party that actually represents their views. You don't have to like the right to notice that their political strategy actually works.

@paulgibbon5991 9 күн бұрын

The voting public demonstrated with Corbyn that they don't want a leader who's overtly left-wing. The left has an unhealthy love for principled and heroic losers.