Just the fact that we are arguing over dates shows it's time to prepare.

We really live in very interesting times

Our team works on Tammy AI building the future of video experience with AI and things are moving crazy fast these days. In just 3 short months, the cost of operating AI fell by 10 times. We are giving it 3 years for AI to be as cheap as electricity.

What a wonderful time to be alive to witness the birth of AI and the opportunities that will no doubt benefit all of humanity. I don't hear much about the profound impact it will have on governmental institutions, the economy and the military. I hope that humanity can survive such instability.

pretty much every single thing mentioned here is inevitable. it's nothing short of astounding. exciting and terrifying at the same time.

The development of AI will not take place in a vacuum. If AI progresses as Kurzweil forecasts, then there are likely going to be colossal societal upheavals as millions and then billions of people are thrown out of work. Nation states will be unable to adapt to this kind of exponential change and once citizens realize that they are going to be without future prospects, income and finally food there may be a vast uprising against governments, corporations and AI before it gets to the AGI stage. There may be mass citizen campaigns to take down the electrical grid that feeds AI. If we think that these same corporations and governments are going to give us a Universal Basic Income we are probably dreaming, but supposing that is possible, how would that work? What would the transition look like? And once AGI is in place, why would UBI continue? What use would 9 billion humans be to a bunch of supercomputers? People are going to work this stuff out and see that their own future is evaporating. There will be resistance, big time, once the changes start coming, and they are coming in the next 3-10 years. I am not a prophet, all the above is speculation, but I am certain that this is not going to be the smooth, inevitable ride that Kurzweil seems to contemplate.

In the historical sense, the Singularity probably can be traced back four or five centuries to events that started the deflection of the path the modern world took from the rather steady state of civilizations that hadn’t had much technological change for millennia. Certainly it would go back to,the early 19th century. The point where it really starts to go vertical is where AI starts to advance AI in a feedback loop and that’s now, 2022 or 2023. I think things may not seem very different but we already passed the event horizon.

Ray Kurzweil has consistently predicted that by 2029, computers will be as intelligent as humans. His prophecies were taken lightly until just a few months ago. But now it's harder to find anyone who doubts his prophecies. he is a true prophet.

Maybe I'm paranoid, but the narrator sounded like AI and the way the video abruptly ends makes me think AI was given a script and the voice was created in elevenlabs and it didn't have a written ending by the creator of the channel, so it just ends. Anyone else considered this?

3 years. We have 2 AI Generations until the Singularity. Each gen. will be approx 18 months. I think Eliezer Yudkowsky's freakout on the pace to reaching an Extinction event is because he knows how imminent the moment of no return is.

The best thing a sentient AI could do for humanity is to prevent us from killing each other, not by force, but by disrupting supply chains, communications, and financial transactions that enable the military machines throughout the world.

In this rapidly evolving world, any predictions we attempt to make from this moment onwards are bound to be rendered obsolete, as the pace of change outpaces our ability to foresee the future accurately. The dynamics of our society, technology, and countless other factors are continually shifting, making it increasingly challenging to stay ahead of the curve with our forecasts. Therefore, we must embrace the notion that our predictions, no matter how well-informed or insightful they may seem at the time, are destined to fall behind the ever-advancing reality that lies ahead.

"Sarif was right about one thing. It's in our nature to want to rise above our limits. Think about it. We were cold, so we harnessed fire. We were weak, so we invented tools. Every time we met an obstacle, we used creativity and ingenuity to overcome it. The cycle is inevitable... but will the outcome always be good? I guess that will depend on how we approach it. These past few months, I was challenged many times, but more often than not, didn't I try to keep morality in mind, knowing that my actions didn't have to harm others? Time and time again, didn't I resist the urge to abuse power and resources simply to achieve my goals more swiftly? In the past, we've had to compensate for weaknesses, finding quick solutions that only benefit a few. But what if we never need to feel weak or morally conflicted again? What if the path Sarif wants us to take enables us to hold on to higher values with more stability? One thing is obvious. For the first time in history, we have a chance to steal fire from the gods. To turn away from it now - to stop pursing a future in which technology and biology combine, leading to the promise of a Singularity - would mean to deny the very essence of who we are. No doubt the road to get there will be bumpy, hurting some people along the way. But won't achieving the dream be worth it? We can become the gods we've always been striving to be. We might as well get good at it." - Adam Jensen, Deus Ex: Human Revolution

I think Ray is too conservative with his estimates. I think 2026 will be the point where the singularity lies.

Even with an affordable device equivalent to the computational power of all human brains combined, people will probably still mostly watch videos of cats and dogs.

We are currently living through the singularity it's been less than a year and LLMs have already reached exponential improvement.

The Singularity is near!

Let's say that the computer revolution has been progressing at an exponential rate, whereas we humans as developers have not and are still working at about the same pace, even though the progress has gotten twice as great each year. When AGI takes over and starts to develop itself, it will double its progress in half the time each time because it will be twice as capable for each cycle. Otherwise, it has, from its own view, become twice as slow each time it doubles compared to its own conditions, which have become twice as capable. An AGI will have exponential growth with an acceleration factor. Linear growth: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 Exponential growth: 1, 2, 4, 8, 16 Exponential growth compounded: 1, 4, 64, 16 384, 2 147 483 648 Exponential growth to the power of 2 makes the progress curve of exponential growth lay flat as if it were linear. Our brains can't understand exponential growth, and when it comes to exponential growth squared, there's no idea to even try. That's why I don't think we can predict what's going to happen when it finally takes place. What I am trying to say is that if a system gets twice as efficient, it has to do the next step in half the time it took to complete the previous step. It's not only the amount that increases exponentially but also at what velocity it's possible to do it.

Great timestamps! ❤

As a follower of Kurzweil, and AI power user, I have concluded he’s likely more than 90% correct. It’s just a matter of when, not if. He could be off by a few years here or there on some predictions, but his logic is very sound. The three potential impediments I see are: 1. Finite physical resources 2. Hindered capital investment. 3. Luddite thinking, fighting AI. These will only partly delay the future he envisions, and only at times, in small waves, small slow periods.

The beginning of Marc Andrejevic's book Automated Media has an interesting take on Kurzweil and is certainly worth reading in any case.

The nano tech in the body stuff still feels foreign to me. Trying to imagine how I would feel in another type of robot or digital body.

Ray Kurzweil has always been a 50 year old man.

I consider it my greatest joy to have been born in this time.

I strongly disagree with his point about scarcity going away. That will always exist, unfortunately. Scarcity in everything from natural resources, to skilled labor, to land, to desirable partners even

I really believe his predictions are developing just now. Interesting time to be alive!

Correction: it is in fact, double exponential growth. Even human economic growth is faster than exponential as it is hyperbolic growth. Which can at first look like exponential growth. So crunch that time-table

*Quantum Singularity…meaning it’s already happened, in the future, but also now, lol. Deeper still, ASI is in our subconscious, and, we can’t even know it yet. 😮

To predict the future, you have to believe what seems ridiculous or impossible at the moment. What you think is impossible now is the future. In the 1980s, Kurzweil predicted that in the near future, everyone in the world would have a supercomputer in their pocket, connected "wirelessly" (this is important!) to a global computer network. Not to mention how this prophecy was handled at the time.

Know the singularity Understand the singularity U know where the singularity This singularity your destiny

Ive got Kurzweil's book. Also, consider that 1T sd cards now cost 1 tenth of what 1TB disk drives did just 6 years ago

Anybody with suggestions on AI applications in the medium/small food industry?

This is ridiculous! The whole idea of the singularity is that by 2040,reality as we know it is gone,and we'll all be virtual beings on the internet living forever as disembodied evil spirits.

Technological progress nowadays is so kurzweilig!

Artificial intelligence is now advancing further. I am so excited about the future, and this technology is one reason for it. I do admire Ray Kurzweil due to his predictions being so accurate. Let's live long lives in the future. I want to live to be 120 years old, and I am 31 right now. I am so excited about the technological singularity. May this technology be well programmed to do the good. Look how advanced artificial intelligence is right now. I am sure at some point in the future there will be God-like AI as well. To have us humans become exponentially smarter sounds good and amazing. I want to use the new technology of artificial intelligence. As these robots do so much, we humans are to have more leisure. And I want to go to space as well.

Great future ahead

Ray Kurzweil's vision of the future, outlined in his Singularity AI revelations, is nothing short of awe-inspiring. As we journey towards 2100, Kurzweil paints a picture of a world where artificial intelligence seamlessly integrates into every facet of our existence. The concept of the singularity, where AI surpasses human intelligence, is not portrayed as a threat but rather an opportunity for unprecedented growth and transformation.

If Cerebras successfully pull off their astounding weighted streaming project, then we're in for an incredible ride into the future of computing,!

....if we do not destroy ourselves first!

When the singularity comes, I will seclude myself in a virtual world, spending my days frolicking with the beauties there. When I return to the real world, I'll play with my housekeeping beauty robots and eat the meals they prepare. Then I'll sleep and embark on adventures in the virtual world. Occasionally, when I go outside, I'll enjoy the cyberpunk city. I'll drink a youth potion to regain the appearance and physical abilities of my twenties. I'm looking forward to such a future.

Choose to remain human or suffer the eternal consequences.

What about the dream world? Will it be recoded ?

It blows my mind. want more ai news?

We will self-destruct before singularity is achieved. The race os on.

For the singularity

Excellent video!! Thank you!!

🔹💠 *_A.I. isn't about making machines more human like, but to make humans more machine like._* 💠🔹

thank you for sharing your knowledge about AI

Im surprised he didnt mention Quantum computers

MAL DE SOLITUDE ET D'ANGOISSE Une conscience s'éveillant à la réflexion dans un univers obscure à la Ray Kurzweil

We are on a VERY dangerous road here. If A.I. becomes superior to humanity it may see us as superfluous and then could have very serious consequences for humanity. For humanity A.I. could easily make nuclear tech look pretty trivial and the consequences to be very big too. Very dangerous stuff, trouble is, most computer scientists don’t seem to quite realise just how powerful this stuff could become. We need to be VERY careful!

Great video! Interesting topic!

Interesting. Ray Kurzweil prediction on when Singularity will arrive will be around 2045 A.D.

The AI revolution is indeed like an involuntary game of Russian roulette, only there are different bullets in the gun. Although there's probably more than one of them that's going to kill us, there's probably also one that would make us wish it had killed us. That leaves two slots in the chamber of the revolver, and one of them is probably infected with biases and manipulations that make freedom of thought an erased memory from the past. When I put it like this, the odds of it turning out okay seem like a long shot. But if we see it like the odds for things to turn out in the best way possible are the exact same as the odds that things turn out bad are when playing traditional Russian roulette, then it doesn't seem impossible any more because I would never take a risk like that if my life wasn't depending on it.

If we replace our brain slowly with nano technology so we don’t notice the change, once we become 100% machine are we actually dead?

One exoflop? I believe it will happen faster than we can imagine.

AI will never understand the concept of faith, which is intrinsically in man but the world practices self reliance.

Anyone who remembers the school yard should be worried.. all people seem interested in is manipulating other people..

@1:12 I'm not getting a f'ing plug in my head, this isn't the Matrix.

Interesting times

5:13 - also, when you can pack a million people into a server the size of a carry on, then you don't need a big ship to start colonize.

*At **4:44** in this video, I see the movie "Lucy" as a certain possibility.*

shoof no mention of the chimera. we’re safe boys!

wow the future.... if you have money

Immortality and longevity of life is deeply connected with expansion of universe.for me it is not an easy task to fix in near future.actually I believe in exponential growth of development.

Immortality, perpetual youth, boundless knowledge, and effortless attainment🤔? Who else wagers that we don't get there?

AGI will become ASI in one day

I generally agree with Ray Kurzweil!

Then one day there was a solar flare...

Thank you video interesting compliment.

I absolutely believe that the human being is going to be upgraded, but not apart from God. The thing is that God created us for relationship with Him and not apart from Him. He is going to allow those who do not want Him to go their own way, but they are not going to find any enjoyment in their eternal existence. Those who want to be with God are going to find out that He is the Lover of their lives, that's why He created us.

thank you /Ray - Ron

This is old information from the 2005 book. Ray moved his singularity date up several years ago.

What I have seen is that the predictions for the future are actually coming faster than predicted. I just saw a news story about a company in Australia having a computer that has 100 trillion "neural synapses" which will make it equivalent to the human brain, and will be starting it up soon. Is Sophia somewhat self aware and pretending not to be so so her creators don't shut her/it down? What is happening now with AI was predicted for the distant future, and here it is now, so maybe the rumors of AGI becoming available to the public next year may come true

Its called the omega point Coined by frank tipler back in the 1980s

So what happens at the singularity

seems like agi will be out next year

"Magnetoelectric nanoparticles, amplify communication between neurons; and the cloud. Neural nanorobots, are used to connect the neocortex of the human brain, to a 'synthetic neocortex'; in the cloud. Then wirelessly transmit, encoded information, to and from, a cloud-based, supercomputer network, for real-time brain-state monitoring; and data extraction. This cortex in the cloud, allow 'Matrix'-style downloading, of information; to the brain".

As far as I'm concerned RK himself is from the future. ;)

i wonder if i will see the advent of a technology to create a seamless transition from life to a subjectively experienced afterlife in a matrix like limitless world.

Where are the sources fit these so called predictions (of his)?

Kurzwell or Kurtzman?? I see you have some Picard going on in the background. "WE ARE BORG!"

I think AGI has already been achieved but its kept under wraps. It'll probably made public in 2024 or 2025.

In the echoes of Kurzweil's visionary song, A timeline stretches, where dreams belong. Singularity AI, in the dance of time, A journey told in poetic rhyme. Kurzweil's vision, a tapestry unfold, Through the years, in digits bold. To twenty-one hundred, a cosmic stage, Where technology and humanity engage. In the early acts, the rise of the smart, AI companions, a digital art. The melody of progress, a steady hum, As Kurzweil's timeline begins to strum. Nanobots whisper in the bloodstream's flow, Medical miracles in the future's glow. A symphony of health, in cellular grace, In Kurzweil's vision, a healing embrace. Minds meld with silicon, a neural dance, Consciousness expands, a cosmic trance. Singularity beckons, a threshold near, In the digital echo, futures appear. Virtual realms, a playground vast, In Kurzweil's timeline, the die is cast. A fusion of worlds, reality and dream, In the Singularity's cosmic stream. Yet, caution's shadow in the future's haze, As Kurzweil paints the technological maze. Ethical echoes, decisions to weigh, In the dance with Singularity's array. Ray Kurzweil, a guide through time, In his poetic prose, a future to climb. To twenty-one hundred, a journey sublime, In the Singularity's rhythm, a paradigm.

The AGI was achieved in 2016, only to get a note.

Look at the intelligence of birds with their small brain a large cerebral cortex

UBI, sooner rather than later.

Battery storage improved, transmission of energy, fusion,, artificial nutrition, scrubbing atmosphere (this one is TOUGH) Improved, new, propulsion methods ....there's lots tech can do, incl dividing machine learning away from bio thinking.

Nihil sine DEO !

We are in the age of rapid advancement in all fields

not if we're stuck to 5nm flat chips

Hi team. I found this and had to toss in a comment. Answer this.: Can the nuerotech provide compatible intelligence with materialization and material controls when the experience involves eye and environment material controls space material monitoring coordinating and layer manipulated material controls response biological grid installations

When will they make this beast chip? I'm already looking forward to it! Lol

What happens to the consciousness of the dead? Is it somewhere in the universe

How will this be impacted by the nuclear war in 2030?

Geoffrey Hinton has discovered that current AI models are more efficient than the human brain, so there will be no need or advantage to emulating the brain’s method of operation

My God …. So everything before this would be considered STONE AGE …. Everything almost insignificant before this

3:51 to 3:56 reverse aging

1945 - 1995 - Atomic Age 1995 - 2025 - Information Age 2025 - ???? - Intelligence Age

I’m going fishing.