Arguments For God Tier List With Amos Wollen

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Deliberation Under Ideal Conditions

Deliberation Under Ideal Conditions

5 ай бұрын

Here's Amos's KZfaq channel • the ethics of tipping ...
Here's his blog wollenblog.substack.com/
Here's mine benthams.substack.com/

Пікірлер: 29
@Oskar1000
@Oskar1000 4 ай бұрын
I don't think the operation "take a random number from the linear distribution from 0 to infinity" is defined. Also, something weird with saying that the probability is literally 0 when guessing. It's like the cake paradox. Suppose you have an infinite amount of guests attending your birthdayparty and you baked a cake. You calculate that if each person should get an equal portion the amount each person gets is 1/inf = 0. So you give each person 0 cake and at the end of the party you have a whole cake over. So you were off in your calculations by 1.
@LeviFinkelstein
@LeviFinkelstein 4 ай бұрын
If taking a random number between 0 and 1 is defined, then from 0 to inf is also defined, given the mapping f(x) = x/(1-x) which sends [0,1] to [0,inf)
@Oskar1000
@Oskar1000 4 ай бұрын
@@LeviFinkelstein I specified linear distribution though. If you graph x/(x-1) you'll see it's not linear. Also, if you do the mapping and pick random numbers between 0 and 1 you'll get 75% of numbers being less or equal to 0.75. Which maps to 3. So than taking random numbers from a linear distribution between 0 and infinity would result in a number less that 3 (3=0.75/(1-0.75)) which is not what's expected right. Numbers less than 3 should occupy and infinitely small space of the resulting distribution
@LeviFinkelstein
@LeviFinkelstein 4 ай бұрын
aha, okay. Well if linear means that intervals of same size contain the same probability mass, then [0,inf) would contain infinite intervals of some constant non-zero probability, which would diverge.@@Oskar1000
@Oskar1000
@Oskar1000 4 ай бұрын
1:54:55 There is a great book by David Heuron on the psychology of music called "Sweet anticipation" which provides a good explanatory account of why we like music and shocker. It is neither "chanse" or objective estethics nor god. Essentially it is about anticipation
@JohnSmith-bq6nf
@JohnSmith-bq6nf 4 ай бұрын
I think the entropy argument from fine-tuning is good too. I would like to you guys take on kenny pearce version of contingency should be a or s tier. I guess its the same as laws one you guys talked about.
@rubyalseikhan3339
@rubyalseikhan3339 4 ай бұрын
Crazy intro I can’t lie
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
You forgot my S-tier argument from color-fruit harmony: Have you ever noticed there's a harmony between fruits and their color? E.g., lemons are yellow, strawberries are red, peas are green, etc. But we can imagine a world where lemons are magenta, strawberries are teal, peas are fucking vermilion and so on. What a whacky world that would be! What a total chaos and incoherence! Now, there are billions upon billions upon billions of possible color-to-fruit combinations and there's nothing explaining why we'd get the actual combination on naturalism. But good God would create a world with color-fruit harmony. This completely DEMOLISHES the probability of naturalism given the observed color-fruit harmony.
@deliberationunderidealcond5105
@deliberationunderidealcond5105 4 ай бұрын
The odds on theism that lemons would be yellow = the odds on atheism. The arguments aren't analogous because conditional on theism one would expect harmony while no one would expect any specific pairing between colors and fruits.
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
@@deliberationunderidealcond5105 Well, you just have to postulate a god who values psychophysical... eh, I mean color-fruit haromony
@deliberationunderidealcond5105
@deliberationunderidealcond5105 4 ай бұрын
@@kamilgregorThe prior probability of a God who wants red apples is no greater than of a God who wants yellow or blue apples, so that theory gets a ludicrously low prior.
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
@@deliberationunderidealcond5105 The prior probability of a god who wants the actual psychophysical laws is no greater than the prior probability of a god who wants any other set of psychophysical laws. This is because if you are consistent about keeping the physical states constatnt across possible worlds with different psychophysical laws so that only mental states change, then what "harmonious" means just collapses into being synonymous with "actual" and the argument from psychophysical harmony just becomes an argument from actual-world chauvinism.
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
@@deliberationunderidealcond5105 The prior probability of a god who prefers the actual psychophysical laws is no greater than the prior probability of a god who prefers any other set of psychophysical laws. This is because if one is consistent about keeping everything other than mental states constant in cross-world comparisons, the term "harmonious" just collapses into being synonymous with the term "actual" and the argument from psychophysical harmony just turns into an argument from actual-world chauvinism. If the difference in mental states between two worlds literally doesn't matter at all when it comes to anything else (because we're holding everything else constant), then there's no truth about which would has the "harmonious" psychophysical laws. Any inclination to call the laws in our world "harmonious" is then just down to us being used to them (because they are the actual ones) and the laws in the other world are just odd but not "disharmonious" in any meaningful way. So there's no reason to posit that a god would prefer the actual laws over the laws in the other world.
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
The argument from psychophysical harmony runs into a risk of turning pain into a gratuitous evil - presumably, there's a possible world in which all the physical states are the same but mental states involve no pain. So an all-loving god would chose to create that possible world rather than the actual one. I don't think theodicies are going to work against this because we're holding everything other than the presence of pain constant across the two worlds. So it can't be the case, for example, that pain is instrumental for some greater good. I think the only two options how to get out of this are: 1/ It's a brute fact that god cannot create a pain-free world, which is, of course, ad hoc as fuck (especially given that we can ask not only why painful mental states exist at all, given the actual physical states, but why this specific amount of painful mental states, given the physical states, and not more or less). 2/ God just inherently values psychophysical harmony over the complete absence of pain. In other words, they totally could have created a pain-free world but decided not to, entirely for its own sake. Which is some top notch Lovecraftian cosmic horror right there.
@deliberationunderidealcond5105
@deliberationunderidealcond5105 4 ай бұрын
Of course a theodicy can work. Soul building might say real psychological anguish is valuable, skeptical theism can explain it, genuinely helping avert pain may strengthen relationships, and the HI theodicy also explains it benthams.substack.com/p/a-theistic-theory-of-everything
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
@rationunderidealcond5105 Saying that "real psychological anguish" is valuable is just my point no. 2. If you think we experience it bc there's a god who values it even though it's not instrumental for anything is just another way of saying you believe in the Mad Sultan Yoth-Shogoth. Theodicies that postulate that pain is instrumental don't apply because we are holding everything other than the presence of pain across the two worlds as constant. E.g., in both worlds, souls get built up just as much but in one world, they do without any painful mental states. One can of course say that god is so grossly incompetent that the only souls they can manage to create are souls than can only be built up by painful mental states AND that this god also cares about whether a very few souls actually get buit up or not (most people go through they entire life without any painful sensation at all, given that most pregnancies end in miscarridge). But that's just adhocness squared. Ditto for similar theodicies.
@dustin.crummett
@dustin.crummett 4 ай бұрын
​@@kamilgregorthe demon sultan is Azathoth, not Yog-Sothoth. ("Yoth-Shogoth" is not anything--you may be conflating with shoggoths, a species created by the Elder Things.)
@JohnSmith-bq6nf
@JohnSmith-bq6nf 4 ай бұрын
@kamilgregor Value often emerges from contrast. Pleasure gains significance when contrasted with pain. Without pain, would pleasure lose its meaning? Perhaps psychophysical harmony requires this balance. However, without contrast, pleasure becomes mundane. Imagine a symphony playing only one note-it lacks richness. Pain, as the contrasting note, enhances the symphony of experience. You mention that souls can be built up without painful mental states. But perhaps pain plays a unique role in shaping souls. It could be akin to the chisel that sculpts a masterpiece.
@kamilgregor
@kamilgregor 4 ай бұрын
​@ith-bq6nf Let's use a specific example: Imagine a possible world which is exactly the same as the actual world except for one difference - the phenomenal experience of pain is "swapped" with a different phenomenal experience, compared to the actual world. And for the sake of simplicity, let's imagine it's "swapped" with a phenomenal experience that nobody gets to experience in the actual world. Let's say that it's the phenomenal experience of what it's like to taste a well-done, juice tyrannosaurus stake. In that possible world, literally everything is the same as it is in the actual world, except when someone, for example, puts their hand into fire, they have the phenomenal experience of tasting a tyrannosaurus stake instead of the phenomenal experience of pain, but they still say "Au!", learn to avoid touching fire in the future, teach their kids not to touch fire, etc. In that possible world, all the "work" that pain is doing in the actual work is done by the phenomenal experience of tasting a tyrannosaurus stake. For example, in that possible world, it's the phenomenal experience of tasting a tyrannosaurus stake that makes people appreciate pleasure and prevents pleasure from becoming mundane. In that hypothetical, there is no truth of the matter about which of the two worlds (the actual world or the imagined possible world) is more "harmonious" than the other. The possible world is just different. People might have the intuition that surely, the possible world must be "disharmonious" but that intuition is misguided by the fact that in the actual world, us not experiencing pain would have adverse consequences. But as long as we stipulate that whether pain is "swapped" or not across the two worlds doesn't make any difference for anything, the intuition loses its force. The imagined possible world just seems odd to us (because we don't live in it) but it's perfectly normal for people living there - they don't go around saying "oh no, what a disharmonious world we live in!" (because everything except for the phenomenal experience of pain is kept the same, including what people believe, say, how they behave, etc.) Us calling that possible world "disharmonious" and ours "harmonious" is just actual-world chauvinism. And more importantly - a perfectly loving god would OF COURSE chose to create that world instead of the actual world. Postulating that they wouldn't is tantamount to believing in a Lovecraftian cosmic monster. My epistemic credence that this is true is much higher than, for example, my epistemic credence that the statement "torturing babies for fun is immoral" is true and astronomically higher than that the following statement is true: "The actual psychophysical laws are the case and no gods exist."
@dr.h8r
@dr.h8r 4 ай бұрын
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