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Basic Excel Business Analytics #64: Introduction To Monte Carlo Simulation In Excel

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excelisfun

excelisfun

8 жыл бұрын

Download files: people.highlin...
Learn how to create a Monti Carlo Simulation In Excel:
1) (00:12) Introduction to what we will cover in this chapter.
2) (00:53) Models with Set / Static Variables. Compare and contrast how these models are different that Mote Carlo Simulation Models that contain Random / Uncertain Variables.
3) (03:48) Mote Carlo Simulation Models that contain Random / Uncertain Variables
4) (04:10) Random / Uncertain Variables based on past data based Relative Frequency Distributions (Probability Distributions)
5) (06:07) Excel Formula to create Continuous, Uniform Random / Uncertain Variable using RANDBETWEEN Function.
6) (08:36) Create Simulation using Excel Data Table feature and an empty cell for the Column Input required for the Data Table.
7) (14:37) Create Summary Statistics such as Mean, Standard Deviation, Min, Max (using AVERAGE, STDEV.S, MIN, MAX functions), and a Relative Frequency using the FREQUENCY Array Function.
8) (20:23) Analyze Simulation Data.
9) (21:26) Review What a Mote Carlo Simulation is and What the steps are to create a simulation in Excel.
How does Data Table with Empty Cell work? Here:
Data Table is a feature that copies many formulas down by substituting in a new input from the column based on a cell that is a formula input into the formula. Because the cell is an "Empty Cell" that is NOT a formula input in the formula being copied, Data Table tries to make a substitution, but it can't, and therefore it just copies formula down. Because it is a randomizing formula, every time it gets copied down a row, it randomizes. If you need to be reminded about how the Data Table feature works, see my earlier videos in this class here:
• Basic Excel Business A...
and
• Basic Excel Business A...
Download Excel File Not: After clicking on link, Use Ctrl + F (Find) and search for “Highline BI 348 Class” or for the file name as seen at the beginning of the video.

Пікірлер: 72
@hasibulhasan32
@hasibulhasan32 Жыл бұрын
people like you reminds me "generosity " ❤
@sedarathnadcd
@sedarathnadcd 2 жыл бұрын
OMG, What a wonderfull explanation, Thank you, it absolutely wonderful.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 2 жыл бұрын
Glad you like it!!!
@tynaev14
@tynaev14 7 жыл бұрын
You're AMAZING! Thanks a LOT for doing this for people! GOD BLESS YOU!
@robmaclennan9469
@robmaclennan9469 3 жыл бұрын
You're an amazing teacher. Thank you.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 3 жыл бұрын
You're very welcome!
@waterstream
@waterstream 8 жыл бұрын
You are an awesome teacher! I am loving it!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Luis Lee Glad you like it!
@Marius_Johannes
@Marius_Johannes 2 жыл бұрын
You make this look easy!!! Thank you!!! Plus your skills awesome
@dorissweanapo9860
@dorissweanapo9860 6 жыл бұрын
Best channel😍✨👍 !!!! It contains every topic that I need to learn :)
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 6 жыл бұрын
Yes, Monte Carlo is one of the more useful and cool things that Excel can do!!! Thanks for your consistent support, Doris : )
@dorissweanapo9860
@dorissweanapo9860 6 жыл бұрын
I'm trying to improve my analytical skill and your channel is helping me to achieve that goal. I'm so thankful to you for download all these videos. No words to express my sincere appreciation :)
@nachiketjangam4343
@nachiketjangam4343 4 жыл бұрын
I anyways like ALL your videos, this was the pinnacle for me
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your consistent support. I sepend on Teammates like you to help support. I agree - this Monte Carlo Simulation In Excel is the best : )
@vijayrao6321
@vijayrao6321 6 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 5 ай бұрын
Thank you very much for the donation : ) It really helps, Vijayrao!!!
@seengyadu
@seengyadu 7 жыл бұрын
Very good, engaging explanation and good power tips for Excel!! Well done!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 7 жыл бұрын
Glad you like it!
@brentcos9370
@brentcos9370 8 жыл бұрын
AWESOME! Exactly what I was looking for in monte carlo simulation in Excel for business use. SUBSCRIBED! Thanks much.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Brent COS I am glad that the video helps!
@brentcos9370
@brentcos9370 8 жыл бұрын
+ExcelIsFun Can you please share the links to the other KZfaq videos for #65-#69 videos? Also, how can I find a "directory" of your videos? Thank you.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Brent COS All Basic Excel Business Analytics videos: kzfaq.info/sun/PLrRPvpgDmw0mSJCZaqQPFj0eto4qnzkCZ For all 2700 videos I have , please watch the intro video: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/p9ChdK2p3M7Kio0.html
@brentcos9370
@brentcos9370 8 жыл бұрын
+ExcelIsFun Thank you very much! I have been going through your great videos. Question: Do you take questions outside of KZfaq? I am trying to model a new distribution business unit (multiple product categories) and some variables, such as product category, have multiple cost points for a given product category as well as varying sell prices depending on the customer type. I have built my own Excel model with simple matrices but after going through your videos, my model, relative to yours, is not nearly as powerful or insightful! Before I get into any further detail, do you entertain assitance outside of KZfaq? Take care.
@michaelvonalpen5481
@michaelvonalpen5481 8 жыл бұрын
Best Tutorial I've seen so far
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Michael von Alpen Glad you like it!
@krn14242
@krn14242 8 жыл бұрын
Thanks Mike. Merry Christmas. I hope Santa is good to Isaac this year.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+krn14242 Merry X-mas to you and your family, WRH!!!!
@Firesun07
@Firesun07 8 жыл бұрын
Awesome training!!! Thanks!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Jason Lowe Glad you like it!
@garyt4391
@garyt4391 3 жыл бұрын
Nice Tutorial! Since I am using Excel 2003 I downloaded your .xlsx file and converted it to .xls using the "Microsoft Open XML Converter". I ran into some issues with how the "=FREQUENCY(Data Array,Bins)" function works. When I hit CTRL+SHIFT+ENTER, it does enter the function into the active cell but it does not fill it all the way down as in your video. I tried dragging it down using the "Angry Rabbit" but my computer locked up. I found that I have to highlight the cell with the formula and all the cells below it EXCEPT FOR THE LAST CELL; AFTER THE LAST DEFINED BIN. Then I have to hit F2+CTRL+SHIFT+ENTER. This results in the same output you got. From your "Simulation (an)" tab I see that you actually have the {=FREQUENCY(B29:B10028,D39:D50)} formula in that last cell (beside the "4000
@wafaalmasri7659
@wafaalmasri7659 6 жыл бұрын
You are a gem brother!
@vacilando86
@vacilando86 4 жыл бұрын
Let's assume that there is no one can give distribution of purchase prices, Is there a way to calculate "Relative Frequency" in excel by ourself. ? Thank you
@Barelski
@Barelski 7 жыл бұрын
This guy is good! Thanks!!
@ibarix
@ibarix 6 жыл бұрын
man you are awesome, i learned some tricks, thanks
@vijayrao6321
@vijayrao6321 6 ай бұрын
How do you suggest modeling negative growth using a triangular distribution? There is a likelihood that growth can decline to -3% in a scenario (worst case) with most likely and best case both being positive. Appreciate your guidance on this.
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 6 ай бұрын
I have not run that distribution before. Here is a link I found that should be helpful: www.drdawnwright.com/easy-excel-inverse-triangular-distribution-for-monte-carlo-simulations/ If you create a good simulation model, you should e-mail it to me so I can check it out @ excelisfun at gmail : )
@humbertosoto3259
@humbertosoto3259 8 жыл бұрын
Great video! This for sharing!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Humberto Soto You are welcome!
@Hari983
@Hari983 5 жыл бұрын
Man you are God!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 5 жыл бұрын
Just guy having fun with Excel : ) Glad the video helps you, Haritha!!!!! Thanks for your support with your comment, thumb up and of course your Sub : )
@MrExistance1
@MrExistance1 8 жыл бұрын
Marry Cristmas... Its really enlightening.. Thanks so much...
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Kubilay Tastutar You are welcome! More videos coming out on Simulation soon!!!
@ExcelStrategy
@ExcelStrategy 8 жыл бұрын
Hi Mike Love Monte Carlo method ! I also have a video project on it but haven't had the time to shoot it :) it is not so exstensive as your series ! Merry X'mas and happy holidays :)
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+ExcelStrategy Happy Holidays to You!!!!
@aklankrisz
@aklankrisz 5 жыл бұрын
You like the Monti-Carlo method! Monte Carlo is a location, Monti and Carlo are two person! Please note.
@gdwfs
@gdwfs 8 жыл бұрын
Fantastic (again).
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+gdwfs Glad you like it!
@DIGITAL_COOKING
@DIGITAL_COOKING 5 жыл бұрын
epic video Mike !!!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 5 жыл бұрын
Yes!!!! Simulation is a perfect use for Excel : )
@anekanek24
@anekanek24 2 жыл бұрын
Hi, this video is very informative; thank you so much! I have a question though, you mentioned that the probability distribution for the direct labor cost per unit is based on historical data. Assuming there are no available data to use, is there a way to make a probability distribution for DLC by myself? Thanks!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 2 жыл бұрын
Not a reliable one. How do you do it if there is no historical data for a company? Costs have many different types of distributions, so I guess you would have to research the industry and see what other company's costs have been.
@winnieip9851
@winnieip9851 8 жыл бұрын
I now got it. thx a lot
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Winnie Ip , Great!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Winnie Ip Thanks for clicking Thumbs Up and Subscribing!
@agustinvelazquez3871
@agustinvelazquez3871 8 жыл бұрын
Hi Mike, good video! I have some questions. I saw in that the frequency distribution is similar to a uniform distribution, that´s for the uniform distribucion of the cost? The random nomber generated has a uniform distribution? And other question is why we pick an empty spot to create the "Data Table"? The number created have a distribution? Thanks a lot! From Argentina
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Agustin Velazquez , Yes, if you use a single random variable with a particular probability distributions and run a simulation, it should have that distribution. How does Data Table with Empty Cell work? Here: Data Table is a feature that copies many formulas down by substituting in a new input from the column based on a cell that is a formula input into the formula. Because the cell is an "Empty Cell" that is NOT a formula input in the formula being copied, Data Table tries to make a substitution, but it can't, and therefore it just copies formula down. Because it is a randomizing formula, every time it gets copied down a row, it randomizes. If you need to be reminded about how the Data Table feature works, see my earlier videos in this class here: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/e716g7OG27Cbk2w.html and kzfaq.info/get/bejne/adGfoNGerdzLnJc.html
@agustinvelazquez3871
@agustinvelazquez3871 8 жыл бұрын
+ExcelIsFun excelent! Thanks!
@zakariaabdulrashid6763
@zakariaabdulrashid6763 7 жыл бұрын
Thanks
@winnieip9851
@winnieip9851 8 жыл бұрын
Hi Thanks very much. It is a useful & interesting monte carlo simulation. but I cant search for the highline BI 348 class for the subject file u use for demo. Pls instruct me how to get it right. thx Happy holidays & have a wonderful time ! Winnie
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Winnie Ip Click link below video, Ctrl + F (Find) then type "Business Analytics", this will bring you to the correct section. Otherwise, just scroll down through the hundreds of listings and look for Business Analytics section.
@rahulpriyadarshi9365
@rahulpriyadarshi9365 7 жыл бұрын
Really Informative. I just want to know How are you getting corresponding formulas in next cell after hitting enter?
@devexpost8508
@devexpost8508 7 жыл бұрын
Rahul, You could figure this out simply by downloading the provided Excel file from the Excel Is Fun website shown above and examining the cell contents. Nonetheless, the formula is: =IF(ISFORMULA(cell)," "&FORMULATEXT(cell),"") If you see: =IF(_xlfn.ISFORMULA(cell)," "&_xlfn.FORMULATEXT(cell),"") then your version of Excel does not support the Functions. www.excelfunctions.net/excel-isformula-function.html www.excelfunctions.net/excel-formulatext-function.html
@mohammed333suliman
@mohammed333suliman 8 жыл бұрын
Thanx ,Great
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+Mohammed Suleiman You are welcome!
@Barhomopolis
@Barhomopolis 7 жыл бұрын
BBBUUUUTTT IIITT WWIIILLLL CCCAAALLLLCCCCUUUULLLLAAATTTEE RRRRREEEEEAAAALLLLLYYYY SSSSLLLLOOOOWWWWLLLLYYY!!! ROTFL !You're the best teacher EEEVVVVVERRRRRR
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 7 жыл бұрын
I am glad that you are having fun with the videos AND that you have your picture of you as a smiling guy having fun with Excel : )
@Barhomopolis
@Barhomopolis 7 жыл бұрын
Thanks, Mike! I really appreciate your work. Ibrahim (www.linkedin.com/in/ibrahimakomar/)
@aklankrisz
@aklankrisz 5 жыл бұрын
Why do you write "Monte" in the video name when it is Monti-Carlo ?
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 4 жыл бұрын
Because I am human and make mistakes.
@maxwellkfma
@maxwellkfma 8 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@excelisfun
@excelisfun 8 жыл бұрын
+maxwellkfma You are welcome!
@georgebowen2935
@georgebowen2935 4 жыл бұрын
I got dizzy watching you thrash all over the screen. Just trying to see where you were. Why in the world did you multiply by 100 then divide by 100? All you had to do was format the decimal place. You made this way too complicated. The only people who could follow you already had a strong understanding of Monte Carlo simulations. You left thousands of newcomers totally bewildered
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