I've started doing a thing recently where Patrons that are in the Discord tier get the episode a day(ish) early, so check that out if you're interested. Patreon: www.patreon.com/user?u=3409713 Discord: discord.gg/KAbG9btJgS

We Lions fans thank you Brett for summoning a 70-0 Packers win tomorrow

Look at Robert Saleh celebrating that defensive stop at 4:53. Nice to see a coach fired up like that.

All right everyone get your popcorn ready and let's witness why the Packers are not being the Packers

Gotta say that the thumbnail for this video and the overall production quality is really impressive

God brett just being a savage with that bit about packers fans being excited to cross the 50 💀

Thanks Brett putting my entire life savings on the Packers this week

Posted this one day before Rodgers threw 3 picks in a 15-9 loss to the Lions I am pretty sure I just watched the end of the Rodgers era in Green Bay

From a lions fan, this aged perfectly. Thank you so much!

Would be awesome to see an analysis of the Seahawks this year and, specifically, how Geno’s game has changed since his Jets seasons.

As a Packers fan, it’s amazing to see a breakdown of why they suck that doesn’t include placing all of the blame on one player or the lack of Davante. Really insightful (also you’d be an amazing analyst/assistant coordinator or something ngl)

As a jackass who never played but has been watching since Tennessee Oilers, I really appreciate these detailed breakdowns. I absolutely love learning the hows and whys of offense and deffense schemes. Great job.

It barely took 24 hours for this to age like the finest of wines

This is why I love football. There’s so much that goes in to every single play and it’s somehow both simple to understand and also extremely complicated. The breakdown of how the Jets shut down Rodgers was fantastic. It goes to show how the lack of weapons the Packers have COMBINED with impeccable game-planning and execution led to a Jet victory

I know people like to meme about the Kurse and enjoy it that way, but I honestly appreciate how you bring up the issues, the logic behind them, and potential solutions. I was able to follow what Quarters was and why it makes sense as a recent NFL fan. Hells, NFL coaching staff may use these vids as a point of reference and why not? Well researched, statistically explained film study isn't easy to come by. If teachers can show KZfaq vids as a teaching point, why not coaches? Thanks for all you do Brett, keep it up!

Really wish you broke down the defensive scheme of the packers. I'm not nearly as knowledgeable about football as you are but I feel like the defense isn't being schemed to the players strengths.

Your video popped up on my feed inexplicably today. Odd seeing as I'm not a Packers fan and for the most part I have distanced myself from football intentionally. All that said, I watched out of curiosity. Your data is well founded and well presented. Its easy to understand and you make the "scary numbers" you talked about super approachable. I've watched a lot of sports analysis for football and the way you've done things in this video alone has got to be among the best. Keep up the good work, I hope things go well for you. :)

I wish I knew you were there, my first ever live game was that one. As a packers fan the loss sucked but still fun as hell.

Thanks Brett can't wait for the Packers to make a run to the playoffs now 😁👍

Its a holiday when you drop a new video. You have great content man.

Man that tailgate shot had all of my favorite things in the span of about ten seconds lol: one wheel, bbq, pizza, guardians of the galaxy cosplay, and of course football 🏈

Dude this whole sunday ive been thinking about that stat 1st down: 40% yards of 10 2nd: 60% 3rd: convert or TD Makes so much sense for seeing successful plays.

As a Jets fan, this is great. Really gives me an inside look at the game and way to appreciate my team beyond network tv.

Thanks for posting this, Kollmann! ❤️ My Packers really needed a boost this season

This breakdown is so easy to understand. Great video!

Whats interesting to see how long Green Bay’s drives are when they’re running the ball, it really seems like they can’t generate explosive runs, something that I, as a Colts fan, can relate to so well. It seems like the two have similar problems on that front, caused by much of the same issue, o-line troubles.

Great video. Would love a similar film study on whats going wrong in Denver

The last couple thumbnails look really good. I like the style of them

Couldn't happen to a better quarterback. FTP and Karen Rodgers

Even the Kollman Curse couldn’t help the Packers beat the Lions.

It's refreshing to see a video highlighting the Jets doing something right for a change

The only thing better than brett dropping a bears video, is brett dropping a "packers suck" video

As a Packers fan, I am hopeful because I DO expect the defense to get better. If rumors are to be believed Joe Barry is losing the locker room, so SOMETHING is going to end up changing. And it's not like our Defense is without talent, they're just not being put in positions to succeed. We drafted guys that excel at man, and Barry loves his shell/zone looks. It took nearly 2 months for him to let Jaire follow the star receiver around. Unlike on offense, I feel like our defensive struggles are very fixable, we just have an incompetent DC and a head coach that is too reliant on his coordinators coordinating.

This aged like fine wine after the Lions game

Thank you for these breakdowns. I really like the detail you use. I'm a fan that favors the defensive side of the ball and you're the only 1 that gives me visual examples. I took some time to watch some Bama, Tenn( when Jeremy pruitt was there) and UGA clinics and they explained some things they do. Including this like stubbie and stomp etc. Thank you

20:31 That's cold, lol.

1:04 why you get a shot of the driest brisket i’ve ever seen

You have so stepped up your game!! Love this vid!

Brett you do an incredible job. Thanks for sharing your knowledge.

Watching this made me feel like I was watching my Vikings team with AP and ponder all over again.

As a packers fan, everybody knows that on 3rd down all you need to do is blitz or bring pressure and you got them. I believe they don’t have the wr talent to create separate quick enough to throw the ball in case of blitz

I’m really liking these new thumbnails Brett 🔥

I love the breakdown of the strategies the Jets used. Very informative. I have an objection to your comments about the Packers pace and how it relates to their defense. A bad defense is bad regardless of whether it's paired with a good or bad offense, or a fast or slow offense. In this case the Packers slow pace hurt them despite drive success, but mainly because they were trailing. In a neutral situation slow pace is not hurt especially by a bad defense. Slow pace limits possessions and scoring for BOTH teams. Advantageous while winning, but a disadvantage while losing. Unfortunately for the Packers, besides being better at running this game, they simply did not have the players to run much hurry-up. With Lazard and Cobb out and Sammy Watkins leaving the game late they had no WRs experienced enough to run a good hurry up when they really needed to. This passing offense COULD look a lot better if Lazard and Cobb can both come back healthy later in the season, especially once the you guys get a bit more experience.

The second I saw the bears got Claypool I knew the packers were screwed because now the wideout to beat man coverage is gone. I think Romeo could still do it, but that is a lot to ask for the rookie knowing he is going to get the ball about 15 time a game and he needs to catch it or the drive ends.

What camera(s) did you use for this video? It looks so good.

As a Bears fan in WI the season has been magical! The Pack has the same record as the Bears and the Bears are trying to suck. Hahaha

When the creator make such a good video you don’t mind watching the sponsor to support them

Ugh, as a Packers fan I'm just so sad this year. I even bought a Packers t shirt to celebrate the new season and I haven't put it on yet.

I need to know how you get your film. I would like to see film on every team from last week.

Jesus, that camera work for the intro was badass

Great job love your perspective

Brett your life rules! I have watched the come up and this season you are living my dream. Keep on rocking brother.

This is a solid breakdown of why Rodgers is struggling this year! I'd love to see a Commanders video about why they seem to perform so much better with Heineke vs Wentz

That intro was so cinematic Brett geez

I think a JF video or bears rushing attack video is a must

"But also equally bad, for equally different reasons" 😂

When I see highlights of Davante just cooking opposing DBs it just makes me die inside

Wow can’t believe Brett’s up to 340k subs! I haven’t really been paying attention to numbers but I remember discovering him at around 80-100k, time flies

I think they were already down when they went to ball control. If they start from the get go, it will be more effective.

As a Bears fan, reading the video title warmed my heart

Great screenshot

The pain of starting this video before the Packers Lions game, getting distracted, and now finishing it the next day... this hurts...

I have a couple rebuttles for you Brett. Even in past years when the Packers pass offense was better, they still had a ton of long, time consuming scoring drives. They havent been a quick strike offense since the days of prime Jordy Nelson. A big reason for it is that Rodgers loves to drain the playclock to try to get the defense to show its hand and regularly snaps the ball as the playclock is about to expire. And we only saw them go into the run heavy offense midway through the 2nd quarter when they were already down 14-0. Had they come out with this approach from their first drive, it may have been a completely different game. As for the defense, its true they have underperformed. But they are a small and fast defense designed to play with a lead which the offense hasnt provided them with very often this year. Give them some early leads and they will look much different. Ive been saying it all year long that this team needs to commit to the run early and often and mirror their pass game to the run with playaction. Well they finally proved they can run the ball (against the best defense in football) and now they need to get the playaction rolling to compliment that run game.

I'm not really sure how the defense can really turn itself around at the moment. They're middle of the pack mainly because they're TERRIBLE on run defense, partially because of some young players freelancing too much but mainly because they're designed for speed, and to be an elite pass defense. But then their pass defense is more good than great, so it doesn't feel worth it. Also, these type of bend-but-don't-break defenses are designed to be paired with elite offenses, where the game script is in their favor.

I am so glad you said 28 point magical number to win most games. I’ve never heard anyone say this. I figured it a few years ago. A touchdown per quarter wins most games.

I would pay money to watch a game with Brett to explain everything

This data would be helpful for fantasy kickers I need this

The issue with combing pass and run success rates is that a “successful” rush play usually just barely meets the “success” requirement while a successful pass is almost always a first down or close to it. You could have 2/3 successful run plays on a series and still be left with 4 and short while a 1/3 success rate on pass plays on a series is likely going to result in a first down. Their 3rd down success rate is likely so low bc their passing game sucks. Having a good rushing success offense doesn’t mean you’re converting first downs. Running a lot is a recipe for making your team convert 3rd downs. Also, their issues have nothing to do with TOP but rather thinking they can have an elite offense by relying on the run. Burning a lot of clock is neither good nor bad unless you’re factoring in the current score of the game (maintaining a lead/overcoming a deficit). Their rushing EPA in this game was .14 which is ab the max you can achieve in a game running the ball. Most good passing offenses can reach .3 to .5 in a given game.

"They can beat the Lions" HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

You bring up a good point that a run heavy offence to any degree would need a good defence to allow for the win in possessions. The biggest example I can think of is the pete Carroll Seahawks' legion of boom era with Marshawn Lynch.

Was worried for a second but thankfully you just gave us a ring with this video..😅phew

It's funny listening to a Bill's fan talk down to Packer fans giving the Bill's are finally relevant lmfao

Great video, This was surprisingly helpful for me as a packer fan to be able to understand and cope with greenbays underachieving this season and well done on not just blaming greenbays struggles on lack of wide receiver talent and calling it a day like most people on the internet have been doing

“They can beat the lions” lol

Great video as always bro!

Hey Brett, Bills fan here, hope you had fun in Orchard Park, that tailgating is something else isn't it? And yes, fall in buffalo is my favorite season in any place in the world. hope you had a chance to check out some of the farmer's markets out there, the apple harvest is something else all together.

*_good shiit my doode._* I like to think there's coaches subscribed to your channel, and everytime you release a video their frantically taking notes.

Love the picture for this video.

Can you make a video why Raiders are struggling even though they have a lot of weapons on offense?

This was awesome work Brett. Not easy content to create.

One wheel spotted

Would love to see a Dolphins pass game breakdown. Whoop

Beautiful camera work

As a Packer fan who has watched virtually every game since the mid 90s, and has understood offensive scheme and concepts since about 2006, it was pretty apparent to me that Davante was a crutch for this offense. Every time he would convert a 3rd down with an insane catch, I had that thought in the back of my mind that this way of achiving success on O was unsustainable. Contrasting it with times in the past under McCarthy where they schemed for passing success with formations and route concepts that allowed Favre (with their "Big 5" 5-WR sets), and later Rodgers to pick apart defenses underneath, spread the ball around to 7-10 different receivers over the course of the game, it was really striking that they had started to rely so heavily on Davante in crucial situations under LaFleur. Credit to Davante that he was inhumanly consistent in making those plays week in and week out for years, but the team should have been trying to find alternative ways to succeed after year one under LaFleur. It's just too easy to scheme against an offense that revolves around one or two guys like the Packers' has. And it has come back to crush them in the playoffs every year. It was only a matter of time before Adams or Aaron Jones were gone and those problems became more apparent in the regular season as well.

Bills tailgate looks amazing

u cant talk abt the dfense in the bils game because we had 3rd string and 2nd string linebackers and corners

See the packers use play action and having explosive fast touchdown drives to win by 20 points tomorrow 😂

That's it. Time to put savings on the packers. Thx for the jinx Brett.

I feel like im in the 2010 class. Do you have a video where you break formations etc. down in a 101 way ?

This also revealed how good aj Dillion is in pass blocking bro taking backers head on and bullying em

Bret, as a Brit who grew up in Houston and is by default a Texans fan, can we have a video of Pierce being an absolute beast please? Love you.

Success rate is a weird metric that can easily mean wildly different things for different teams. Being unsuccessful on 1st down actually makes it easier to be "successful" on second down since the defense will happily allow you more space to run or pass underneath and tackle you leaving you in 3rd & 4 or longer which is basically the defense's main goal: get as many 3rd downs as possible and eliminate the run as an option on them. So I do not find success rate a useful stat AT ALL. Not even a tiny bit. What's more useful is something I'd call "favorable", that is starting the down with a distance that favors the offense in converting the series to a new set of downs. 2nd and 5 or shorter is generally favorable, same 3rd and 2. 2nd and 7 or longer is unfavorable, same 3rd and 4 or longer. Roughly speaking. Although even this not great because I think any defense would happily convert every first down to 3rd and 2 all the way down the field and like odds to convert one of those to a stop. What an offense really needs is chunk plays at a decent rate. So maybe a metric that combines chunk play % with favorable down % gives you a good snapshot of how successful an offense is with another metric for red zone efficiency, since that's its' own beast. A team that gets chunk plays at a good rate can have a lot of success despite a high rate of failed downs. And a team that's constantly in favorable downs can be unproductive without enough chunk plays and red zone conversions. I'm just musing to myself now.. lol

The Packers defense is where a lot of the blame for this lies. The optimistic scenario going into this season was that while the Packers offense would struggle at least early and have to rely on slow-developing run-heavy drives, the defense would be a top-5 unit that would keep them in games. And that wasn't an unrealistic expectation--they had studs on the line (Clark), at the edge (Gary/Smith), in the secondary (Alexander) and even at linebacker (Campbell). Unfortunately, they have Joe Barry, a complete hack, at DC, and he has badly misused every single one of those studs. It was obvious from the first half of week 1, when Minnesota basically blew them out of the stadium. And I think the Packers realized that very early on--it's why they kept going back to the passing game time after time, even though it wasn't working. We saw what happens when they try to play the offense as designed, and it's not pretty.

Thank you for your infinite wisdom football daddy

BRETT WHAT HAVE YOU DONE

Thanks for cursing the lions a win we really needed it!

The packers mindset at this point is just “if it broke, don’t fix it”

This day has finally come! I’m a bears fan

Rebuild time starting at qb

I really thought you was gonna get into the poor coaching of the defensive players Brett. There's a lot of Blown coverages in their defensive schemes to get them at the championship level.