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Climate Change and the Collapse of Civilisation. Decade by Decade until 2070.

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Count Everything

Count Everything

Күн бұрын

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@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
If you've enjoyed any of the videos on the channel and want to support me, then you're welcome to buy me a slice of (virtual) pizza via the buymeacofffe wesbsite - www.buymeacoffee.com/counteverything There are no benefits to you, apart from receiving my thanks. I don't need the money, but I do sometimes need the motivation.
@charlesvt2010
@charlesvt2010 Жыл бұрын
Did enjoy your video , sadly you said 20 yrs. I'd say 5 , maybe sooner
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
@@charlesvt2010 Maybe. I'm planning to do a video about some of the predictions that forecast a collapse sooner than the scientists. It will probably be posted early August.
@anthonypettid3769
@anthonypettid3769 2 жыл бұрын
I cried myself to sleep so many times out of the fear of societal collapse and now I’m coming to terms with it, if it happens, let it, if not, wonderful, i won’t be living in fear anymore. I’m praying for the best but expecting the worst. I won’t be bringing children in this world as sad as that is to say. I couldn’t bare to see them suffer knowing what lies ahead. Not to ring any alarms, I’m not suicidal but once collapse happens, I’ll be leaving this world with it.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
In the next video, I'm going to try and show there is some thing we can all do. Even if its not enough to save the human world. just by doing something can help people to find peace.
@cmcordoYT
@cmcordoYT 2 жыл бұрын
I see what you mean. There are a few solutions that a lot of people don't know about and by the time they do, it will be too late. One is called the Albedo Effect to where we can replace the problem with the ocean reflecting to the sky with everyone painting all buildings and homes with white colors to reflect the heat. Also, we have to be careful to not jump into trying to get rid of all emissions and pollution all at once. Because we have the situation right now where emissions and pollution do help block a lot of the sun's rays. If we get rid of it too fast or don't watch it, we could end up making it hotter on earth and killing all species a lot faster. We are in the middle of abrupt climate change, and we are watching it before our eyes. But I agree that we should not panic and let it make us lose sleep at this time. I have had an organ transplant and are dependent on multiple medications. Things are smooth right now when it comes to getting my medications on time, but once civilization starts to break down to where I can't get my medications, I'll die soon after. I have three adult children in their 30's and I am sad that they will be going through all of this since they are still very young and healthy right now. Fortunately, none of them are married or planning on having any children. This would be the worst time to have children.
@pce12345
@pce12345 Жыл бұрын
Just have as much fun and quality time as you can
@dariansheets
@dariansheets Жыл бұрын
The people that survive will be those that form groups unified by one thing, whether culture, religion, or just the desire to survive, and move into colder more stable environments. Most people will die, as in multiple billions, from war, starvation, dehydration, and cannibalization. City centers will become centers of war and cannibalism. The strong willed and those with strong bodies will survive. What I’m saying is the best way to go into this is by preparing your body and mind. It may seem cartoonish to suggest people will be forming tribes to keep themselves safe in the future, tribes with leadership and organized systems, but it is the unfortunate reality.
@christianzilla
@christianzilla Жыл бұрын
Aw, c'mon. It'll be an adventure! 😊 In the same sense that The Road was an adventure. 😬💀
@kimweaver1252
@kimweaver1252 2 жыл бұрын
It IS collapsing. The rate of collapse is arguable, but not the fact that it is occurring.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes.
@V8_screw_electric_cars
@V8_screw_electric_cars 2 ай бұрын
Yes but not because of weather rather the degeneracy everyone becoming gay and don't have kids (it is part of the climate change agenda tho).
@Captain_Nemo-y7q
@Captain_Nemo-y7q 2 жыл бұрын
Count, you are not being pessimistic. You are describing the horrific reality that our over-consumption and over-population will bring in coming decades, I have degrees in physics and engineering, and have been at first interested, then concerned, and now fearful of our civilisation's future train-wreck. If most people were motivated to do something about these problems and we had governments who were able to persuade us to commit to the needed changes to our mode of civilization, we might stand a chance. The reality is that self-interest, greed and ignorance are rampant. The necessary actions to escape the trap we are in will not be taken, and consequently human civilisation will be destroyed. The few survivors will never be able to rebuild civilisation because the needed environment and resources will no longer be available to us. Human civilisation is doomed.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I'll try to be more positive in the next video, but things are quite serious.
@kalithena88
@kalithena88 2 жыл бұрын
And this is why I’m happy to have the chance to see the extinction of the human animal. I feel sorry for all others though.
@stanleymizerski1065
@stanleymizerski1065 2 жыл бұрын
....spot on....human hubris has no limits...we smugly call ourselves "intelligent"...it follows that this "intelligence" is an evolutionary dead end....😍
@mrrecluse7002
@mrrecluse7002 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, we're greedy enough to destroy our own habitat, and will continue the illusion that we are somehow special, and exempt from the consequences, of this sixth mass extinction, largely by virtue of the hypnotic affect our technology has upon us.
@mrrecluse7002
@mrrecluse7002 2 жыл бұрын
@@stanleymizerski1065 Yeah...this kind of intelligence is apparently destined for a "dead end." We don't deserve this planet, and it doesn't deserve us.
@lindenjenkins4146
@lindenjenkins4146 2 жыл бұрын
You are not being pessimistic. My understanding is that the IPCC report does not take into account tipping points. Things will be far worse than they predict as the tipping points have already been passed. Refer to Professor Guy McPherson
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Linden. Another recommendation for Guy McPherson. His KZfaq channel must be going gang busters. I agree there's a risk things will be worse than predicted. Recent temperature records around the world have taken many scientists by surprise.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
My understanding is that IPCC scientists only started including tipping points into models and other research in the latest AR6 reports, which is almost as bad as your suggestion.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for referring to someone. I’ll look into what this scientist has to say.
@russvanorder673
@russvanorder673 2 жыл бұрын
Humanity is experiencing a confluence of natural cycles . No matter what we do this is not going to end well for humanity . We may have reached an end of our run for the current epoch. There are too many examples around the world of lost civilizations that experienced their own TEOTWATKI . This is just another turning . May be Humanity's end . Who knows ,but I bet there are manuscripts and other information in the Vatican's 2000 yr old library about all of this.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 2 жыл бұрын
Moreover, IPCC takes 5 years to cross the t's, etc to get the most recent report published!
@sentientflower7891
@sentientflower7891 2 жыл бұрын
Anyone who imagines that civilization exist beyond 2040 is a starry eyed optimist.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
But what day and time of day do you think it will end?
@sentientflower7891
@sentientflower7891 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything civilization doesn't end on a particular day, the end of civilization arrives at various times in various places. Sri Lanka evidently has fallen off the cliff, Haiti did so decades ago and the Southwest USA is dying right now. At what point does the entire global system seize up and cease functioning? That event cannot be predicted and even after it happens people might still deny that it happened or imagine it could start up again, as those Cargo Cult religions formed in the Pacific after World War II.
@maddogwillie1019
@maddogwillie1019 2 жыл бұрын
No shit…I love the way politicians stand before the microphone and say “we need to address climate change NOW”…well NOW has come and gone…the best you can do is like with a dying patient…do what you can to make your family, especially the young one as comfortable as possible.
@kevincrady2831
@kevincrady2831 2 жыл бұрын
@@sentientflower7891 Historians still debate about when Rome "actually" fell, so yeah. Los Angeles already has large camps of people living in "post-apocalyptic" conditions. The collapse is already here, it's just unevenly distributed.
@TheCosmosagan
@TheCosmosagan 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything At 1:17, with a long shear light and a series of low concussions
@helenroberts7490
@helenroberts7490 2 жыл бұрын
Hey there Count!! I live in Australia and wildfire and flooding have definitely increased in the last few years . The climate has gradually changed with weather systems coming from different directions than normal and the weather systems are more severe when they arrive. It is a bleak future. Thank you for your videos and the amount of research you have done to create them
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Helen. The future is bleak. Few people will realise how bad things are and most won't find out until its too late. It's interesting to know where your from. At one time the country was shown for each view, but its changed now.
@janklaas6885
@janklaas6885 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything Its already tooo late. GREAT VIDEO 👍 Collapse wil happen long before 2053.
@anglosaxonmike8325
@anglosaxonmike8325 2 жыл бұрын
Coal, gas and oil are all entirely 'plant-based' materials simply and purely formed from wild flowers and grains, sea weed, grasses, root vegetables and trees, all organically grown and untouched by pesticides or industrial fertilisers. These materials are carefully aged and gently pressed by Mother Earth herself over long periods of time to concentrate the essence of their life enhancing energy. When consumed they produce an effervescence, whose colourless, odourless and nature-based qualities when mixed into our planet's atmosphere creates needed nourishment, resilience against harm and sustainability for the healthy community of plant-life we all depend upon and value.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
Since you live in Australia, I have to ask you if you have read „Why the collapse of an Atlantic ocean current could mean La Niña becomes the norm“.
@helenroberts7490
@helenroberts7490 2 жыл бұрын
@@LeanAndMean44 Hi there, Yes I have read the Guardian article.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
If you wonder why these kind of videos and predictions in general about upcoming disaster never receive the widespread attention they deserve, I have figured out a simple rule that I guess described it pretty well: If humans hear about a disaster that will happen further away than some days to months, they think there is still enough time and don’t take it too seriously. If humans hear about an imminent disaster, they only care about themselves and people close to them and their survival and don’t inform anyone else than those people close to them. That is just my humble perception.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
For this channel, the video is getting a good number of views, but I agree in general that the climate and ecological emergencies don't the coverage they deserve. I wonder if its because the scientists don't explain things in a way that people can understand what the numbers mean in practice. I used Dr. Peter Carter's research because he does explain things in a practical way.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything I think it’s mostly because of vested views interests from downplaying or ignoring the problem.
@erikolsen5802
@erikolsen5802 2 жыл бұрын
I think youre right. Good point
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist 2 ай бұрын
I would add that when the disaster is on-going, the majority of people dig deep holes into the sand to stick their heads into. We saw that play out with Covid. Look at how natural it has become to catch the disease and deal with the health consequences.
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist 2 ай бұрын
What we also saw with covid is that in a time of crises people channeled their fear and frustration by turning against something more tangible than the virus: the health officials. I simply have no faith in our ability to get through the climate crisis. So far it's an F.
@bgiv2010
@bgiv2010 2 жыл бұрын
About 4.5 minutes in and you are exactly right! Climate change is a problem but it is built on a fragile market with just-in-time delivery and other wasteful practices. This is related to the idea that money that isn't working is wasted and is, in the end, built on the failure of capitalism. As you explained, capitalists prefer debt to savings and dynamism to stability. They prefer growth to life.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks BurnestThe4th. And thanks for all you other comments as well. I think capitalism can be made to work sustainably, but it relies of governments to regulate it and produce a frame work where sustainable businesses and rewarded and destructive ones go into decline. It all relies on people realising how serious the situation is and giving governments a mandate to act.
@bgiv2010
@bgiv2010 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything they will just complain. They'll say "that's not natural." "That's not the free market." "What truly matters is productivity, scale, control, and leverage." How do we get capitalists to put profit second? How do we get people to look forward to life beyond fossil fuels?
@Rnankn
@Rnankn 2 жыл бұрын
They will literally sacrifice us all, and everything that matters, for their freedom to pursue wealth. By the time they realize dollars have no value without an economy in which to make claims on future growth, it will be too late to do anything. We are literally giving up our lives, and the achievements of our ancestors, and potential of the future, so 10% of the American/European population can be wealthy for a few more decades. And we can’t stop them by force because they are armed, and protected by the largest military ever. It is perverse and criminal.
@rayn3038
@rayn3038 Жыл бұрын
VERY CLEVER AND GREEDY MATERIALISTS RUN THE WORLD BUT HAVE NO WISDOM OR SELF CONTROL AND THE ECONOMIES ARE A RUNNAWAY TRAIN
@MegaSquiff
@MegaSquiff 2 жыл бұрын
You spell it all out better than a scientist, and I’ve been watching and listening to quite a few. A credit to you, and a big thanks for your efforts.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Thanks Mega. Share it with your friends, the more people who see it the more will realise how bad things are.
@brooksanderson2599
@brooksanderson2599 2 жыл бұрын
Prof. Guy McPherson presents peer reviewed scientific articles that are MUCH more pessimistic than your sources. I agree with his sources. His conclusion is that it is far too late to slow, let alone stop or reverse, abrupt, lethal, climate change. old geologist
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Every one keeps mentioning Guy McPherson. I need to watch his videos, but I'm concerned I might start copying him rather than come up with my own ideas.
@claudelebel49
@claudelebel49 Жыл бұрын
​​​@@CountEverything I listened to a lot of guy McPherson 10 years ago. He makes a lot of good points and was quite extreme in predictions although he is right that things could get really bad very quickly.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
@@claudelebel49 I'm planning to do a video on Guy McPherson's ideas. It will probably be out towards the end of June.
@roberthornack1692
@roberthornack1692 Жыл бұрын
All Guy does is present the peer reviewed literature. If you can't deal with it, don't blame the messenger.
@chesterfinecat7588
@chesterfinecat7588 11 ай бұрын
@@CountEverything Al Bartlett explained it long before Guy. People don't grasp exponential growth.
@robertmikes619
@robertmikes619 8 ай бұрын
Some of us saw this coming as my first job was with BELL LABS and in 1958 they warned about Global Warming with their one hour TV Show ! I later moved back to Florida designing sonar systems for the Navy and became political chair of the area Sierra Club and we tried to push population control but the religious types freaked out and canceled their memberships ! But I managed to become Mayor of a Coastal City and helped create coastal wetland parks instead of huge areas of Condos ! We spent Trillions on useless Wars and occupyed our minds with Sports while our Planet began to die from overpopulation !
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 8 ай бұрын
It's interesting that if you show a group of people a film about global warming, most people won't really take on how serious it is. But there are always one or two people like you who 65 years later still remember it and go on to do some good, rather than just building condos. Politicians and the public always prioritise the present. In societies as inequitable as our, sadly many people have to practise the here and now just to be able to live. However, I'm starting to get the impressions that public opinion is reaching a tipping point where governments might have enough support to take the actions needed. I just hope we haven't left it too long.
@KateFrancis-eo2rp
@KateFrancis-eo2rp 3 ай бұрын
Thank you for trying to stop population growth. At least you tried.
@thedivinemissm7795
@thedivinemissm7795 2 жыл бұрын
A cogent presentation...not pessimistic, but probably somewhat optimistic given the way people will continue to treat each other throughout the unfolding disasters ahead... 'Greed is its own worst enemy' I'm editing this space to include that it is everyone's responsibility to recognize, and conserve resources right now...i'm telling you that you can live on 4 or 5L of water per person daily...for enough that you truly need to exist on... I have done so these past 13 1/2 years now and depend on meager solar for my battery recharge...my only major vulnerability is needing propane to heat at night here in the desert over winter...i am mobile enough to move around in my RV to follow temperatures seasonally, but choose to drive as little as possible...i store enough food to overcome shortages locally, so maybe i'm paying it forward a bit overall...it would be encouraging if more people embraced a survivability mindset rather than merely to "wait and see"...you see, by the time it is upon you, you will only actually be able to perish and beg for the end to come quickly. Good luck to you!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks W. Greed and the explosion of consumerism has certainly put great demands on the environment.
@mtn1793
@mtn1793 Жыл бұрын
Optimistic in the very fact that it’s not greedy, lying denial. But sad, so sad.
@notabene2403
@notabene2403 Ай бұрын
1 kg beef means more than 1500l of water use (better waste). So what sense does it make to reduce showering or cleaning a little? Go vegan or stop feeling superior for your endeavours.
@alexspringett
@alexspringett 2 жыл бұрын
Good work putting this together, very interesting and tough to do at the same time im sure. For me what i find really troubling is the total realisation that the infinite growth economic paradigm we have been living under all this time is a complete lie given a finite planet, it really has just been man versus the natural world all this time and every day we wake up and carry on with the lie. Once again great work, really appreciate the effort : )
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Alex. No news agency seems to have reported that the UN is calling for an end of constant growth. I wonder if they haven't noticed or don't feel able to report it. It's easy to blame the politicians, but how many people would be happy to give up wanting to have more money and buy more stuff? If we are to have a survivable future, the whole of society needs to change.
@alexspringett
@alexspringett 2 жыл бұрын
​@@CountEverything exactly - no one is willing to sacrifice their current standard of living, far more appealing to buy into the high tech solar powered space travel fantasy than get real.
@Magik1369
@Magik1369 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything So many humans have lost their way and have descended into narcissism and heartlessness that it seems extremely unlikely humanity will survive much past 2030. People would have to give up their fear, shame, and selfishness to survive climate change, and I just don't see it happening. The USA Is the biggest offender and basically caused climate change with its greed and unbridled capitalism and keep up with the Jones mentality, that we are all programmed with from birth. The US military is the biggest emitter on Earth and they have absolutely no clue and no plan to change...which is absolutely pathetic and evil.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. This simple truth was scientifically proven by The Club of Rome in 1972, in their Limits to Growth Report. Clearly, not enough people listened.
@craigcarmichael5748
@craigcarmichael5748 2 жыл бұрын
@@LeanAndMean44 "Still a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest" - Paul Simon. And many argue against the report not even on any merit, but because it was put out by something called "The Club of Rome", which has an elitist sound to it.
@russtaylor2122
@russtaylor2122 2 жыл бұрын
No hope, thank you. Hope is the enemy of grief, which has five stages to it. Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression, Acceptance. The planet should be in hospice, but the people with big money invested who will be dead soon, want to carry on as usual. They are at stage one. Do yourselves a favour and think about this excellent presentation and move through the stages. Acceptance is a great place to be. Enjoy each day as it comes to you. Stop striving, be kind, smell the roses and quit your pension scheme.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 2 жыл бұрын
I have been moving through these 5 levels of grief the last 5 years. It's difficult...
@russtaylor2122
@russtaylor2122 2 жыл бұрын
@@kirstinstrand6292 Nothing worth having comes easy. You'll get there. I hover between depression and acceptance with the occasional dip back to the 'if we just' of bargaining... Do a random act of kindness as often as you can, without any payback. Karma is instant...
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Although rationally I can see how bad things are, I'm not emotionally quite ready to accept it. The last thing to die is hope.
@olga7200
@olga7200 2 жыл бұрын
I agree with you - acceptance of death is probably The most important thing on human life. Only when you can accept the fact of death you can start living. Most are in denial- oh, yeah, - in denial of almost everything, it sometimes looks that this is a planet of lies- all kind of lies: big, small, to oneself, to others. But I disagree with the notion that "the people with big money invested who will be dead soon, want to carry on as usual" - in my opinion people with little or no money do the same.
@redrockcrf4663
@redrockcrf4663 2 жыл бұрын
So based over here in NZ, i'm trying to get people to see what is happening now. A lot of intense rainfall, drought, and much stronger wind events (which I think is what will really harm the Pacific). Yes we can rebuild after each event. But as they become bigger and more frequent, we spend more and more of GDP on "standing" still, which gives us even fewer resources to devote to mitigating and adapting. At least here, I feel we can see this process in action. That more frequent intense events are sapping our resources, and as people feel less wealthy, they are even less likely to want resources to go to the climate process so much as helping them coping with their situation.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
It's interesting that climate change is affecting NZ so clearly. Some people think NZ will be one of the countries that might survive a climate collapse.
@redrockcrf4663
@redrockcrf4663 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything We might go reasonably well, but it will require adaptation, and as your video pointed out, the government and society isn't exacly running apace towards a goal! As implied above, the concern is that even the moves to adapt will raise our emissions. If that happens writ large, then we are truly screwed. Making big changes quickly while still trying to do it sustainably is just incredibly difficult.
@rayn3038
@rayn3038 Жыл бұрын
Famine is coming and No One Sees it….but also weird Diseases in humans and animals….Locust will rise in enormous numbers….Domesticated Species will be ravaged by disease….Rivers either Flooding or Drying up…Volcanoes and Earthquakes…finally Scientists have admitted that climate change adds to Cataclysmic events seeming unrelated…the Chinese 5000 years ago recorded what to expect from Overpopulation and Interference with Nature.
@tinkerscussmusic
@tinkerscussmusic 7 ай бұрын
Don't forget about global tourism. I live in a small very popular Cotswold village and we get up 6000 visitors a day in season. These people come from all over the world including India and China. They fly here, take a tour bus, buy cheap plastic crap (That's made in China) fly back home, wonder why they bought it and throw it into landfill. This goes on year in year out. Then we have all the cars that arrive and flood the village (Car spaces in two large car parks for 1000 cars) When they are full they park on the residential areas so the residents can't park at home. It's a nightmare. You know! It's no wonder we're doomed and TBH it's good riddance to a crappy species like us. The things I feel sorry for are the millions of animal and plant species that will go extinct because of us who deserve the little blue planet more....
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 7 ай бұрын
Yes. A lot of energy is used in transport and a lot the travel is unnecessary. Humans have done a lot of damage to nature. The thing that surprises me is how most people are completely oblivious to it all.
@chrisrichards3076
@chrisrichards3076 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Count, I first started watching your videos when preparing to walk the Camino (St Jean to Santiago) as you provided some really interesting comment. I'm now very pessimistic about our future. My best hope was that the US would lead the world in fighting climate change, but Biden is struggling to do anything. I'm really staggered at the naivety of the general public, and the almost total lack of interest in what will undoubtedly hit everyone in the coming years. It's so sad that your superb presentation has had 562 views when 'The Skilled Man Brilliantly Fixing A Car Radiator' has had 913,000 views since late June! Very few people take the trouble to look at climate change videos. Looking forward to you next video. Many thanks, Chris
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Hello Chris. I'm honored that you're still following from my Camino days. If you've watched those videos, I think you're know I try to follow Stoic ideas. I just concern myself with what I can do and try not to get too down about where the World is headed. When I first started to be involved with XR, people would shout at us that climate change wasn't real. Now they shout that it's too late. Either way, it gives people an excuse not to do anything about. These last two videos have had more interest than many of my recent ones and I think I'm getting views for them at a higher rate than even the Camino ones. So far I've had 259 new subscribers between the two of them. It took my two years to get 1,000 subscribers with the Camino videos, so for a small channel like mine (that prides itself on making videos that most people don't want to watch) they're doing quite well. I do have some sympathy for the World's governments. How can the UK insulate all its houses with so few builders? How can India adapt? What can Joe Bidden do? However, there is lots more they can easily do and its frustrating that they don't do it.
@maddogwillie1019
@maddogwillie1019 2 жыл бұрын
Chris if you waiting for the US to address climate change you’re waiting your time…the US has a capitalist financial system that is based on fossil fuel…the moon would smash into the earth long before capitalist for give up their profits
@RussCR5187
@RussCR5187 2 жыл бұрын
“Hope is definitely not the same thing as optimism. It is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense, regardless of how it turns out. It is the ability to work for something because it is good, not because it stands a chance to succeed.” --Vaclav Havel, author, former dissident, and first president of the Czech Republic.
@cedarmountain1525
@cedarmountain1525 2 жыл бұрын
@@RussCR5187 This is brilliant. It pretty much sums up what I feel. We "work for something because it is good, not because it stands a chance to succeed." That alone makes a difference somewhere in the cosmos, even if it doesn't solve the immediate problem at the 3D level. Somewhere, at some time in the present and/or the future, it makes a difference. Even if we don't live to see it. This is all so much bigger than our individual lives, even though it is an individual life that is needed to "make it good." Paradox at its supreme best. Thanks so much for that quote.
@cedarmountain1525
@cedarmountain1525 2 жыл бұрын
@@RussCR5187 And this is how we sleep at night...
@jean6453
@jean6453 2 жыл бұрын
Very well done. You explain things quite well. Thank you.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Jean.
@TheDoomWizard
@TheDoomWizard 2 жыл бұрын
You might like my channel too then 😉
@DanMccarroll-vd1nj
@DanMccarroll-vd1nj 2 ай бұрын
Only trouble is, he is full of crap.
@jean6453
@jean6453 2 ай бұрын
@@DanMccarroll-vd1nj Dan, I have noticed that when someone writes what you did, that they are not interested in investigating anything, and have zero curiosity. It is fine if you don't think the climate crisis is real, your view will make no difference. I do think that this topic is concerning to you, and that is why you took the time to watch the video and then comment.
@Dr.Gehrig
@Dr.Gehrig Жыл бұрын
I'm a medical school student and after seeing a presentation I did for a climate club I founded here on the causes to and solutions to the climate crisis, one of the professors asked me to do a lecture in one of the curriculums for "the health impacts of the climate crisis". I want you to know that this video was instrumental in putting several parts of that presention together. Thank you for organizing this crucial information in such an efficient manner for those of us who then seek to pass it on.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
I am honoured that you found the video useful enough to use for a lecture to fellow students. Thank you for letting me know. All of the information is available online for anyone with eyes to read, but so few people realise how serious things are.
@AlignmentCoaching
@AlignmentCoaching 2 жыл бұрын
People sleep at night by denying facts and responsibility and some belief that someone else will save the day. Afterall we’ve never gone extinct before!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. It's a great problem. The risk of becoming extinct will have to be a separate video.
@notabene2403
@notabene2403 Ай бұрын
Same with me. 71 and not a single death experience yet. So why should that ever change? Even more, from a statistical point of view it becomes more and more unlikely!:)
@rogercoppock407
@rogercoppock407 2 жыл бұрын
These 40 minutes of lecture are well worth listening to! No, this lecturer is not being pessimistic or alarmist, he is just summarizing the best science currently available. Personally, I think this honesty is refreshing. There is a lot of magical thinking on climate change, even among climate activists, (or maybe especially among climate activists). The speaker does a quick and especially good debunking of the carbon capture scam, for example.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Roger. Before the debate was between climate deniers and the scientists now its between the doomers and the more positive people. Its a difficult thing for anyone to predict.
@brandy2378
@brandy2378 2 жыл бұрын
People will hold onto hope p until the last second
@lentilreflection2676
@lentilreflection2676 Жыл бұрын
Yes carbon capture does appear to be a total farce. It may be possible to capture some carbon efficiently, but I seriously doubt that any efficient carbon capture scheme can be scaled up to a level that has anything more than a trivial impact on the temperature.
@supersasquatch
@supersasquatch 2 жыл бұрын
It didn't take 20 years for England to experience temperatures over 40 celcius, it only took 2 weeks!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. Climate change is always worse than you think. Although the point I think the weather lady was trying to make was the high temperatures - 40 degrees C over a long period of time would mean we would run out of water, energy and food. I don't thin two days of 40 degrees C would cause that.
@edwardmiessner6502
@edwardmiessner6502 2 жыл бұрын
And a field caught fire, among several places, and reached a street of terraced houses! I saw the video in the US. Shocking!
@johntaplin3126
@johntaplin3126 11 ай бұрын
If the prognosis for climate change is so dire and it is caused by the damaging effects of humans, modern life etc and is unsustainable, the answer will inevitably be a dramatic reduction in world population, as I believe this video and others of its ilk are forecasting This can only occur by a number of actions: reduced birth rates, increased death rates e.g. war, pestilence, deliberate culling of those considered unproductive or undesirable, and so on. This will then leave only the strong, wealthy and superior humans, who will either enslave the remaining untermenschen or create cyborgs to do the dirty work. Wonder why nobody thought of this a a final solution before?
@tanyahempstead9119
@tanyahempstead9119 2 жыл бұрын
Good presentation. England right now is experiencing the kind of temps you weren't expecting for several years. Meanwhile here, the Australian government is planning new coal and gas mines. No one hold their breath for any type of useful climate change policies.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Tanya. The climate emergency is always worse than you think. I think the weather lady meant in 20 years time we would regularly have 40 degrees C in the UK. This would mean we would run out of water and energy in the cities, as the UN is predicting. The UK is also planning to open more coal mining. No country anywhere in the world has done enough in the last 30 years and until things are much more serious, I don't think any of them will.
@karin4012
@karin4012 2 жыл бұрын
Hi Andrew, so many comments. You got the right theme here. Keep well ❤❤
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Hello Karin. There are a lot of comments. I much preferred the times when each video I made received 7 likes and 4 comments, one of which was from you. Thanks for continuing to follow the channel.
@russtaylor2122
@russtaylor2122 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you Count, for a thoughtful and realistic exploration of the possible future.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Russ.
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
When there is no food in the shops, no petrol at the filling station and no water in the taps people will begin to blame. Here, on my Island home, (Vancouver Island Canada), the government is leveling the forests. The wildlife is dyeing due to habitat loss as herbicides and pesticides are sprayed into the forest to protect corporate interests. People unapologetically consume, burn and drive. Here on this place, the only place in the cosmoses where we know there to be life and, without hesitation we tern the wonders of the known universe into cold, stale cash. Well done people, well done, everything evil and foul in the cosmos is impressed.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I'm sorry to hear what is being done to the environment where you live. It sounds similar to things that are happening all over the world.
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything Copernican principle: if here then why not there as well.
@christinearmington
@christinearmington 2 жыл бұрын
Vancouver Island should be left pristine and wild. Sorry to hear about such destruction to such magnificent land.
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
@@christinearmington it is the way of things now. I expect all the wild places in the world are gated off and the resources divided amongst the captains of industry.
@craigcarmichael5748
@craigcarmichael5748 2 жыл бұрын
It's not true! I moved from Van Isle to rural Haida Gwaii in 2017 and there's life here, too. (Okay, moving right along...) I came here (from Victoria) to escape the strong potential for violence and destruction and mobs of desperate people when the groceries run dry. Presently growing about 150 feet of potato rows since they grow like weeds here and other than shooting deer would seem to be about the most simple and reliable potential food source. Not that I'm not keeping 4 chickens for eggs and growing various garden things and trying out a few grains - barley, kamut wheat, rye seem to do well. Just got some oats to try next year. (I even got good quinoa one year, but more often it's too damp.) I've put up 18 solar panels and have a few KW of battery storage to keep fridge and freezer going. EV ($ave$ plenty even now). Electric chain saw for firewood. An electric conversion kit for the lawn tractor but no time to do it so far. I should weather a long storm pretty well. Of course if there's no ferry bringing food from the mainland it'll be rough -- but not as rough as most places owing to it being a rare place with more resources than people. (But it's a P.O. that no one anywhere is allowed to keep a dairy cow or two or a few. That's going to hurt everyone needlessly when the supply chain breaks down and we can't get milk trucked up from the lower mainland.)
@carolisaac5459
@carolisaac5459 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you. This is a service to us. You have been quite moderate on your presentation. It works best that way. It's the best that can be done. Very reasonable and simple enough presentation of conditions ... as reasonable a check of available science as it provides.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Carol.
@juliebarks3195
@juliebarks3195 2 жыл бұрын
The much-maligned Guy McPherson is spot on, give or take a few years.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Everyone keeps mentioning Guy McPherson. I ought to watch his videos, but I'm worried they might influence me too much and I much just end up copying his ideas.
@juliebarks3195
@juliebarks3195 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything Dear Count. Guy tells it like it is. He is much like you. I don't think you could be influenced by him. You have a lot in common, that's why I like your channel. Give it a go.
@christinearmington
@christinearmington 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything Don’t worry. His perspective aligns in effect but is still different asked on loss of habitat.
@UnknownPascal-sc2nk
@UnknownPascal-sc2nk 2 ай бұрын
Eliot Jacobson comes at it from a math background but essentially the same conclusion.
@1stMemberEver
@1stMemberEver 2 жыл бұрын
You may be too optimistic. Like pointed out by many scientists, IPCC don't consider positive feedbacks (tipping points if you will) like growing permafrost and arctic methane releases. So it can well be 3 C by 2040 or 2050.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Hello 1stMemberEver. The IPCC reports are so long that its difficult for me to fully understand or criticise them. Even written as they are, they show things will be serious enough to endanger our civilisation. I think 2040 to 2050 will be an interesting decade to live in, and not in a good way.
@tr7b410
@tr7b410 2 жыл бұрын
The lack of any real effort proposing meaningful policies at the latest 2022 IPCC meeting in Bonn is a harbinger of how climatologists have given up, & now are just willing to become spectators in the context of the climate crisis becoming a disaster of biblical proportion,s.
@kiwi1fruit
@kiwi1fruit 2 жыл бұрын
Likely no one will see my comment but I'll make it anyway. There is a solution to the CO2 problem that is available now. The trouble is that it would require the ending of wars and the military machine and then have global cooperation. There is a system using a large installation that is put in the ocean, it is neither labor or power consuming once in place but is an expensive unit (although way cheaper than war. It is estimated that about 460 of them need to be built and put into the oceans around the world. It combines the CO2 with elements in the ocean to create Lime which then settles to ocean bottom to be stored basically forever. With huge amounts removed from the oceans, they would then absorb the CO2 from the air. None of the straight air removal systems will ever work. It is also known that wind turbines can now be placed in deep ocean and straight into the earth's wind tunnels and could produce twice what the world needs daily in power. The catch is, "The whole world needs to cooperate to make it happen!" That is a joke as they can't even stop useless wars as we watch the world burn up. So 'Count Everything', after studying climate for years, (I am over 80yo), your timeline and analysis is quite correct. I do think it will happen faster as the polar ice caps and glaciers are disappearing much more rapidly then expected and the secondary emissions of CO2 and methane, etc., are rapidly coming into play. I had hoped to live to 100 but pretty much doubt that to be a good idea anymore! Keep up the good work.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Hello JW. I read everyone's comment whether they like it or not. I'm not qualified to say if your idea would work, but there are people like Bill Gates who are sponsoring these innovative things so organisations like might be best to contact. Certainly ending wars is important. We all need to cooperate to have a good chance of having a survivable future. I'm glad you agree with my time line and like my work. I agree it's happening faster than I thought. I hope you make it to 100. I need all the viewers I can get.
@davidprice3456
@davidprice3456 2 жыл бұрын
Outstanding. Well done. Thanks.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks David.
@sultanbev
@sultanbev 2 жыл бұрын
19:45 one scientist calculated that Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) would require 38 million articulated lorry sized units world wide running 24/7 for 30 years just to stop CO2 emissions increasing. The amount of fossil fuels burned to make those machines would far outway any emissions captured, even if we had the mineral resources to make that many.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I forgot to say I in the video that while 10% of the gas in a chimney might be co2, the current 420ppm of co2 in the atmosphere is 0.00042%. Good luck coming up with a process to remove the Hugh amounts of co2 needed when it is such a weak concerntration.
@cedarmountain1525
@cedarmountain1525 2 жыл бұрын
Amen to that!
@lorduprz6359
@lorduprz6359 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent work! I can't wait for the next series. I hope this time you could add what if a nuclear scenario could turn out to be, what would happen to wild life and ecosystems, how the climate crisis could accelerate in a fewer years, and how pandemics and mass migrations play out due to climate crises.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Lord UPrz. You're right to mention ecosystems. It's just as serious as climate change, but gets far less attention. I'm not sure what role nuclear will be able to play. At the moment it seems to take decades to build a nuclear power station which will be too long if we are to reduce our carbon emissions in time. I think in the UK the amount of nuclear power is set to reduce as older power stations are retired.
@susanfairman2051
@susanfairman2051 Жыл бұрын
I love this guy He always says it like it is! 2053 - I'll be 100 yrs old, not looking forward to that! I have been teaching about global warming/ climate change since the 1980s and I am sure geography, science and other teachers around the world have done the same, so by now there should be enough awareness to take action faster than we see. Here's hoping that governments will actually pay attention now and take action, stop funding fossil fuel use and development, put that investment into alternatives for energy, transport and industry before it really is too late. Since the 1990s I have set my students an essay on "future wars will be fought over water". Sadly the inertia between knowledge and action may truly be the end of our civilisation.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Thanks Susan. It's very strange that no government anywhere has done enough to tackle climate change in the last 30 years. They always seem to prioritise the immediate future. I think a politician would need courage to act. Sadly, I can't see anyone in politics at the moment having that courage.
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 Жыл бұрын
There will never be a water shortage on this planet. We have desalination technology. Water is an energy issue made worse by climate policies. If you're as old as you say, then you must be aware of the numerous crises that never materialized. In the 1950's Americans were building more backyard bomb shelters than backyard pools. In 1973 we lived through the energy "crisis" that never materialized. Then we were told of the impending ice age. Then we were told by Nobel prize winning physicist Paul Ehrlich that we were all going to starve to death by the 1980's. Ehrlich is still making failed predictions that nobody calls him out on. Lastly there was Y2K, where planes were going to fall out of the sky and nuclear missiles would be accidentally launched. All of these began with "scientists say......." There is zero evidence of a climate "crisis".
@carinwiseman4309
@carinwiseman4309 2 жыл бұрын
By the time it is critical, which is now, the governments will start to act....which, of course, is and will continue to be far too late.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. Although I think most people won’t realise it’s critical until things are so serious that it impossible to act.
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
I think the thing to keep in mind is that for those rare places where intelligence arises, civilisation and culture is the flower produced by the vine. Like all flowers civilisation will come to its end; it is as natural a thing as life itself. If one were to ask my naive opinion, I would muse that death of a civilisation occurs when it no longer has the means or will to produce anything beautiful. When art and wisdom are exchanged for monetary goals, there is nothing there but competition and attrition; an artificial, made up analog of nature. There is nothing beautiful about an economy, it is forever hungary and we are all to be thrown to it. Perhaps our future is on a place like Mars with people like Elon. I don't know, I'm just thinking to myself as my fingers run the keyboard. Cheers mate, I truly appreciate what you are expressing.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Chris. You have a beautiful way of seeing the world.
@Rnankn
@Rnankn 2 жыл бұрын
I think thats naive. The greatest tragedy is the biodiversity loss that will arise because of the speed of change. It exceeds any historical analog meaning animals and plants evolved for an ice age will just start dying in significant numbers. Adaptation would take generations of mutation and evolution that are not going to be possible. This is the only known planet in the universe that has life, and any future potential for emergence of higher intelligence will be lost to mass extinction. Recovery of current complexity will take longer than is fathomable, and is not guaranteed to occur at all. We may be snuffing out the one moment the universe became aware of itself, through us. And we did it for quarterly earnings reports.
@kalithena88
@kalithena88 2 жыл бұрын
@@Rnankn 💔
@nobody8328
@nobody8328 2 жыл бұрын
@@Rnankn don't forget about all the life in deep caves and the ocean floors. There's multicellular life around thermal vents that get their energy from chemicals, not the sun like the rest of us. The coming and going of surface life is utterly irrelevant to them. They'll be fine. Also keep in mind that life has adapted to even more drastic change that what we're doing. Meteor impacts and massive volcanic eruptions have decimated this planet many times in the past and killed some 90% of everything alive in one fell swoop. But here we are 🙂 Mind, I'm not saying that civilization will survive, or even humans. Tbqh, I'm not sure that wouldn't be for the best. But take comfort in the fact that the planet can, and will be ok in the long run. Life will exist and continue to evolve and adapt. Hopefully whatever comes next will do a better job than we did.
@christinearmington
@christinearmington 2 жыл бұрын
@@Rnankn Well said. 👍
@MaxandTimmyBengal
@MaxandTimmyBengal 2 жыл бұрын
That’s exactly what i’m thinking as well. How can people not freak out about this???
@KateFrancis-eo2rp
@KateFrancis-eo2rp 3 ай бұрын
Average IQ is only 100-110 unfortunately.
@StephenWylie1522
@StephenWylie1522 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent video. Terrifying content. A third video to look forward to. Thank you Count you seem like a genuinely decent man, I hope you sleep well tonight.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Stephen. From your comment, I think you must have got all the way to the end. Well done for sticking with it for 40 minutes. I do try to be decent, but fall of the wagon now and again.
@TacSav253
@TacSav253 2 жыл бұрын
In the grim darkness of the near future, there is only heat.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
heat plus famine, flood, war and pestilence.
@redrockcrf4663
@redrockcrf4663 2 жыл бұрын
A communication problem for scientists is that these are probabilistic models, and there is still year-to-year variation. E.g farming getting harder, there could still be good years where we successfully get crop yields, but there are also going to be years when all the bad events line up. As odds go from once in 100 years to less than 1 in 10 years, the chance of simultaneous bad outcomes becomes much more real, but that is hard for mos people to get.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. It's difficult to predict anything. If I had made this video last year and warned that Ukraine was a risk to food supply, no one would have taken it seriously. However, in the UK enough people realise that climate change is real that the people who were climate change deniers now argue against a zero carbon transition on the grounds of cost. I think this is what is stopping the worlds governments acting.
@decentrifytech
@decentrifytech 11 ай бұрын
Honestly these numbers should be revised: 2022 to 2030 1.2C to 1.5C --> 1.5C to 1.9C 2030 to 2040 1.5 to 2C --> 1.9C to 2.4C 2040 to 2050 2C to 2.5C --> 2.4C to 3C 2050 to 2070 2.5C to 3C --> 3C to 5C 1. First of all, the IPCC is improperly basing their 'baseline' "The choice of baseline period has often been governed by availability of the required climate data. Examples of adopted baseline periods include 1931 to 1960 (Leemans and Solomon, 1993), 1951 to 1980 (Smith and Pitts, 1997), or 1961 to 1990 (Kittel et al., 1995; Hulme et al., 1999b). There may be climatological reasons to favour earlier baseline periods over later ones (IPCC, 1994). For example, later periods such as 1961 to 1990 are likely to have larger anthropogenic trends embedded in the climate data, especially the effects of sulphate aerosols over regions such as Europe and eastern USA (Karl et al., 1996). In this regard, the �ideal� baseline period would be in the 19th century when anthropogenic effects on global climate were negligible. Most impact assessments, however, seek to determine the effect of climate change with respect to �the present�, and therefore recent baseline periods such as 1961 to 1990 are usually favoured. A further attraction of using 1961 to 1990 is that observational climate data coverage and availability are generally better for this period compared to earlier ones." "The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) used the 20-year period 1986-2005 as the baseline in many graphs in the Fifth Assessment...." " The global surface temperature (shown as annual anomalies from a 1850-1900 baseline) has increased by around 1.1°C since 1850-1900 (panel (c)). T" (AR6_SYR_Longer_Repor) What exact baseline are they using? it isn't clear...and they are doing a disservice not being clear to the public and just spouting off "1.5C...1.5C" - relative to what? And their website is so convulsed and hard to find the crucial points for the mass public to even read and understand! While the IPCC is concerned with having a 'proper data set' to establish a baseline, the reality is, these baseline periods already have the effects of climate change - if they were to be real and honest, the IPCC would need to use the correct baseline before humans started using fossil fuels at enormous quantities when hums lived in authentic thermodynamic balance, which means from at least the 1750's ending by 1850's before the insane spike in human population due to fossil fuels. But the IPCC is distorted because they want to base 'realty' off of industrial society because they do not want to scare of those who fund them. In short, we are already at 1.5C in 2023 compared to the pre 1850's reality - when humans lived within authentic thermodynamic balance with nature. 2. Capitalism is the root cause of climate change. Let's make it simple to understand: 1. Capitalism forces you to work, converting Earth's resources into money to live, using fossil fuels --> 2. That process destroys the biosphere and emits a medley of greenhouse gasses --> 3. And due to physics, chemistry, thermodynamics and the carbon cycle, this gradually raises the Earth's temperature and climate systems --> 4. Feedback loops in Earth systems exacerbate climate change WHILE 5. Capitalist market economics demands constant growth and sustained cyclical consumerism to function --> 6. More destruction of the biosphere in order to feed market capitalism It is THERMODYNAMICALLY IMPOSSIBLE to have a constant growth, market-based, debt-based society - PERIOD. Science and nifty technology cannot allow us to 'have our cake and eat it too' but do you honestly see the 1% ownership class giving up their economic system that gives them power and wealth? Do you see your fellow 99% working class giving up their 1st world lifestyles to live in balance with nature who are conditioned to work and consume as a reward - whose entire identities are built on their job and being a consumer?
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
The MIT has predicted a collapse of society in 2040 based on a new assessment of the Club of Rome report Limits to growth from 1972. I wonder why you didn’t include that in this video, there is still a chance to include it in the third part of your series. By the way, I surely hope that will finally answer the question, as you promised to answer it in the second video. But i am very keen of your style of videos, can you make a longer series out of this, just keeping us up-to-date on this topic? I don’t like reading so many articles anymore, and it seems you enjoy making these videos. Also, have you read the book 2052 from 2012?
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
kzfaq.info/get/bejne/obx_h7Ny3djWgGg.html
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks. I didn't know about the MIT prediction. Every time I make one of these videos I realise there's a whole lot more to be covered than I realised, so I decide to make another video to cover it. The next video will be a more practical one about what we can do to get people to realise how serious things are, but the video after that should finally get to what its like to be living in a civilisation that collapsing. It might take me some weeks to make it, because I don't yet know what its like, so I'll have to work it out.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I will make more videos on the subject. I haven't read the book 2052, but its suspiciously close to my prediction of 2053.
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything i think your predictions are just good. But one year is important based on how you want to respond to a collapse. Try to survive? Say goodbye?
@LeanAndMean44
@LeanAndMean44 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything I can wait. Am just looking forward to your video :).
@porkymor1
@porkymor1 2 жыл бұрын
The biggest challenge is to face it, but not to drown in fear and anxiety at the same time and try to live in the now a bit.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. Although I think at the moment the problem is getting people to accept the dangerous situation we are in. Very few people seem to be in danger of being too concerned.
@porkymor1
@porkymor1 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything That is also very true yes, the acceptance and the awareness has to come first
@shelleycowden1738
@shelleycowden1738 Жыл бұрын
This is really clear. A great summary, thank you. Most folks I know are averse to seeing things this way, as the emotional suffering of accepting this future is too overwhelming for them. I have never been able to look away from this issue. As a child of the 80's, the Kyoto Protocol was the great hope of my late teens....and nothing but empty promises since then. Have decided not to have children, largely because the impacts on human well-being feel so imminent. Such a devastating reality. If there is any hope at all, it's only that perhaps the awakened masses (snapped out of complacency by the coming droughts, fires, sea rise etc) might turn on the industries that have led us here (and not only on eachother). PhD in Yoga, Melbourne Greenie.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Thanks Shelley. When making these videos, it's easy to get caught up in the technical theory and not fully take on the human cost.
@coweatsman
@coweatsman 2 жыл бұрын
So glad I am childfree.
@KateFrancis-eo2rp
@KateFrancis-eo2rp 3 ай бұрын
Me too. I'm shocked by how cavalier people are!
@fuxan
@fuxan Ай бұрын
Likewise
@SkepticalTeacher
@SkepticalTeacher Жыл бұрын
As a 40 year old, I thought that what's happening now would be happening when I approach retirement age, but it's already started during the past 5 years. On the other hand: it's interesting to be alive at a historically interesting time, the collapse of a civilisation, and have it suddenly dawn on me why exactly the same thing happened with the Romans etc, and the same kind of resignation ordinary people must have felt, knowing their leaders would do nothing. And why civilisations just die in a few decades.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
I still have hope something can be done. I've got on my list of videos to make, one on the case for being positive. There are a couple of climate scientists who criticise people for being pessimistic. Maybe if I make a video based on their point of view, I'll be able to find reasons to be positive. Although for people in Pakistan, Bangladesh and parts of Africa, the climate apocalypse has already arrived.
@thedivinemissm7795
@thedivinemissm7795 Жыл бұрын
The pessimistic vantage point: I remember in 1984, scientists warned us that we barely have 40 years to embrace the immediacy of change before there would be looming disasters...so what did we do? We talked some and back-burnered it and trotted it out somemore for more empty talk. Meanwhile the collective governments were busy digging / equiping survival tunnels for those in power...could that really be any clearer what the intend for the rest of us?
@freeheeler09
@freeheeler09 2 жыл бұрын
I was evacuated from my home for the last week. My home was ok. 50 families had their homes burn down and are now homeless. The mountains I live in catches the rain that feeds the farmlands that grow most of America’s fruits, nuts and veggies. And Russia’s genocide in the Ukraine is disrupting grains, cooking oils and gas supplies throughout the world. There are 8 billion people in the world, and production and supply lines are stretched to the breaking point. The famines will start soon.
@freeheeler09
@freeheeler09 2 жыл бұрын
Also, Count, here in the US, we are looking at perhaps 50 million internal refugees, here at a time when our nation is in a cold civil war, and very close to hot war. We no longer can cooperate. So, chaos will reign here
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I'm sorry to hear you had to be evacuated and 50 families lost their homes. I'm starting to meet and receive comments from people who are already experiencing the affects of climate change. Yes. The famines have started (in Africa) and it looks as though they will spread.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
It will be interesting how the states in the US and the countries in the EU respond when their fellow citizens need help.
@freeheeler09
@freeheeler09 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything - Count, RE my famine comment, I hope I am wrong. There are good people, people willing to make a difference, everywhere. I hope we good people can start burning a calornie and getting off of our couches, and helping! Also, I enjoy your posts.
@erikolsen5802
@erikolsen5802 2 жыл бұрын
Fantastic video, excellent channel!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Erik.
@dinnerwithfranklin2451
@dinnerwithfranklin2451 2 жыл бұрын
Well my friend I think you are being quite optimistic myself. There are many who think we will survive just fine without any major changes or pain. Personally I think they are delusional but that is just me I think sometimes.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.
@StephenWylie1522
@StephenWylie1522 2 жыл бұрын
Ah here it is! Thank you Count
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. Well done for picking it up withing the first 10 minutes. It's quite long, it took for ages to do.
@StephenWylie1522
@StephenWylie1522 Жыл бұрын
Views still rising and 700 plus comments /conversations started. I am proud of you and your efforts and hope you are healthy and happy today Count.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Hello Stephen. Yes, plus 800 likes! I'm nearly ready to record the next video. It's been such a long time since I posted one that the KZfaq algorithm is only allocating me 100 views a day for the whole channel. So I need to post another one. Thanks for your support.
@drewstead316
@drewstead316 3 ай бұрын
Scientists have actually used the data from the London marketplace to find that crop fields actually lose 2% of yield each year because meticulous records were kept for hundreds of years about which grain came from which farm or which field. 2% compounded cuts the yield by half in just 35 years, and after 70 years that field has gone fallow. Today fertilizers and farm machinery allows for farming at scale that would be otherwise be impossible. There's also only 4.62Billion acres of farmland worldwide and falling so we can never exceed 9Billion people.
@keyboardoracle1044
@keyboardoracle1044 Жыл бұрын
Temperature increase won’t be linear, it will be exponential as we hit tipping points.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Yes, possibly.
@nathangant7636
@nathangant7636 2 ай бұрын
I would disagree with that. Although carbon waste in the atmosphere is an exponential equation, but you can get a more accurate prediction (80% correlation) of temp by matching the carbon curve to a linear graph of temp, as long as you're basing it on the upwards curve of the carbon (non-linear) graph. The global average temp data from 2010-2023 is somewhat scattered because of variances, so a curved or exponential graph for temp would actually give you a lower correlation value.
@rdallas81
@rdallas81 Ай бұрын
​@@nathangant7636tell it to India and their melting roads.. Tell it to the glaciers some that no longer exists.. In 5 years come back to these comments- But you won't because you will be too busy trying to figure out what happened to everything
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
I don't sleep at night. I have completely changed my lifestyle but, not nearly enough. In fact I have forsaken a 25 year career driving a lorry and am now sleeping on the floor attempting to make beautiful things on youtube. Well, attempting anyway. Still don't sleep; the forests death rattles keep me awake.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I'm sorry to hear you're sleeping on the floor and can't sleep at nights. I've just subscribed to your KZfaq channel, watched one of your videos and gave it a like.
@chriskelly6574
@chriskelly6574 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything Thank you but, don't be sorry I sleep on the floor, as a buddhist I enjoy the firmness of it. The sleeping bit well, who can when we're burning a zillion,(estimat), liters of petrol a day. How much 'green house gasses' came from the Siberian traps, basalt event...thingy? How much diesel oil did we,( all of us on Earth), burn last month; I only went through eight thousand bucks worth...last month...and I'm very part time.When I was married and had horses I would drive all the time; around fifteen hundred kilograms of diesl a week...1500kg of fuel/week. Typical lorry hauling through the Rogers Pass and Mallahat. What penance can I do? So, I have started to wage art upon the land. What you are doing is important. If there is to be a history it is important.
@AndyRRR0791
@AndyRRR0791 2 ай бұрын
This man is out standing is his field!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Ай бұрын
Lol
@myplan8166
@myplan8166 2 жыл бұрын
That irritating moment all over the globe, when business as usual won't be able any longer... . When even it doesn't make sense that your second car is an electric one, too.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. A new prime minister is being chosen in the UK and everyone, including the BBC, wants to know what they will do to increase growth. No one seems to know that the UN climate people think that we can no longer have growth if we are to have a survivable future.
@AlexandreLollini
@AlexandreLollini 2 жыл бұрын
if you compare Paris from the 1800s to 2020 : at that time all food was produced at 2 days walk distance from the user. Today if power is cut, there are only 2 days of food, if main market closes there is less than a week stock in stores. If you cut BOTH power and trucks : people cut each other throat by the end of the 5th day. Then you will say that Africa is much more civilised, at least they have machettes to do cleaner cuts. My view is that all is going down since 1970, at least then there was still some local agriculture still running and all soil was not yet killed by chemicals. And we had bare breasts on TV. And washing machines were able to work for 20 years (now 3).
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Our modern economy does put us at risk if our food supply is disrupted, but I’m not so sure civilisation would breakdown so quickly as people think. In 2012 260,000 people starved to death on Somalia and Somalia still carried on. I’m going to make a video about what might happen when society runs out of food.
@AlexandreLollini
@AlexandreLollini 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything I am trying regenerative agriculture, securing water source, making ready for worse droughts and forest fires. I am stopping desertification on the land patch around the house. (above Nice, France)
@russtaylor2122
@russtaylor2122 2 жыл бұрын
Scientific Reticence really drives me mad...You're correct about the positivism from governments and scientists, if they told us the truth we'd stop paying tax. Pace of habitat change will annihilate insects' ability to evolve too.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. But the governments wont tell the people how bad things are because I think it would only accelerate the breakdown of our societies.
@rhene1548
@rhene1548 3 ай бұрын
Yes, it is the speed of change
@raybod1775
@raybod1775 3 күн бұрын
Seeing this 2 years after you made this, your prediction for temperature rise seems right on target.
@kiedranFan2035
@kiedranFan2035 5 ай бұрын
Dont worry, guys...natures response is relatively meriful. It is better than the way humans could reduce demand and population. The main issue was that when we found oil we did not recognise its potential and install hard limits to family size since day 1. Seems like we forgot what our microbiology class taught us
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 5 ай бұрын
It will be interesting to see how merciful nature is as climate change progresses.
@jamesrichey
@jamesrichey 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for posting this video. I've known about this for quite some time now. I've tried to discuss it with others but they just don't accept the possibility of civilization collapse within our lifetime. So, I just do what I can to learn how to grow food and water management. Each of us will have to turn to our local communities to support one another. If the entire ecological system collapses then we are screwed. The Earth will have its great reset shrugging off the dumb monkeys that were too stupid to harmonize with nature.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks James. It really affected my family when I was arrested for sitting in the road at an XR protest, . Now they realise how bad things are for me to do something like that. So there are ways to get through to people. I reading up now on what it is like when a society collapses. Growing food and water management are important, but it seems that the powerful and wealthy do best in a collapse. Having a good connection to someone in that situation might be the best plan.
@loopylynda1974
@loopylynda1974 2 жыл бұрын
Need it to be a blockbuster video to get anyone's attention. I live in Texas and all our grass is dead. If we stopped our waste things could slow this course.. Take cut flower industry. Right now we are cutting down swaths of rainforest to grow flowers for the benefit of Americans. If we stopped for 5 years and replaced it with industrial hemp we would suck more of the carbon out of the atmosphere besides all of the other benefits. We can do things but the US will not sacrifice anything until it is too late.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 2 жыл бұрын
Flowers for the benefit of people? How about for the PROFIT MOTIVE?
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Lynda. This is a very small channel and my videos normally get one or two hundred views. At the time of writing, this video is getting about 600 views a day, so for me it is a blockbuster video. We are all very wasteful. The US is a comparatively wealthy country and has had easy access to fossil fuels, which I think has made it more wasteful than other countries. Any ideas to reduce the carbon in the atmosphere such as industrial hemp should be encouraged, but I think we're in such danger now that more drastic action is needed.
@russtaylor2122
@russtaylor2122 2 жыл бұрын
Have you considered population growth? The UN recently celebrated our reaching eight billion, then in the next breath tell us than two and a half billion are in dire poverty...??!!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I did think about population growth, but decided not to cover it because - 1. China has had a one child per family policy for 40 years and only now has the population growth started to level off. If we waited 40 years, it really would be too late to tackle climate change. 2. The wealthiest 1% of people are responsible for twice CO2 (and I suppose consumption) as much as the poorest 50% of people in the world. When people say there are too many people, I think they mean too many poor people. The problem seems to me that we have too many wealthy people.
@thedivinemissm7795
@thedivinemissm7795 Жыл бұрын
I cannot help but ponder how India can justify that they play no part in the global breakdown of stable climatic conditions. If they don't check their population numbers, won't they make it impossible to feed and water themselves sufficiently? They're putting a strain on resources at the same time as western countries are mucking up the climate... Are we all not in the same soup, or are they going to realize their own contributions and work to change their future conditions rather than hold out for reparations... I'm not trying to be insensitive, but were it not for the immediacy of climatic growing conditions fluctuating, wouldn't they be enduring shortages/scarcity of resources going forward anyhow, if they cannot support their numbers as a sovereign power?? I mean to say, they have a pretty big straw in the glass too, by virtue of how they are increasing their population as if nothing can be wrong with that .. Please point out how I'm wrong on this... Be safe, keep on preparing for changes...!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
All government prioritise short term over the long term. I suppose poorer countries find it more difficult to look longer term than the richer ones.
@henrikisberg4869
@henrikisberg4869 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks! Very logic and reasonable scenario. Hard to predict exactly, yes. But not pessimistic, rather realistic and balanced.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Henrik.
@peterjol
@peterjol 2 жыл бұрын
it might be too late now but almost all problems could be solved by making it financially worthwhile for people to SHARE the jobs we can agree we NEED people to do and work much less...no more working and doing anything FOR money but sharing the work we NEED ...no more an infinite growth system on a finite planet. At least 70% of people do jobs we could live without....only about 30% do the jobs we can't live without. It wont 'cost' anymore MONEY to have them all sharing the jobs we NEED and working less but it would save the planet a fortune in resources.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. Many of the wealthier countries have enough wealth that people could live quite comfortably without needing to work quite so many hours.
@SenorAngelPolvo
@SenorAngelPolvo 2 жыл бұрын
London had forty degrees celsius this week. She said "in two decades." It's been two weeks.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
The climate emergency is always worse than you think. I think the weather lady meant in 20 years time we would regularly have 40 degrees C in the UK. This would mean we would run out of water and energy in the cities, as the UN is predicting.
@Bangle9
@Bangle9 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your presentations. Here in the US it’s zombieland of denial and diversion. Reminds me of the years leading up to the Fall of the Eastern Roman empire or the last days of Pompeii. Ive gone whole food plant based to at least withdraw all my spending from the factory farming industry and meat consumption thats driving so much of the destruction. I want to find out how you grow food in an unstable environment with limited water (hydroponics?). People continue on here as if nothing has changed-still building in places that will be flooded in a few short years and saying “not in my lifetime.” No one is openly talking about how so much of our limited water resources are going to be contaminated by the mobilization of landfills, old mines (mercury, uranium, plutonium, etc), nuclear waste dumps leaking into rivers and groundwater, forever chemicals, and so forth. The big picture is grim-what I can piece together of it. Thank you for displaying screenshots of your sources. I want to find a way where I can assist at least a handful of young people to survive the collapse.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Bangle. Anything you can do to get people to realise how serious things are is worth doing. This document explains why people don't take crises more seriously in general. Many of the things they list apply to climate change. e.g. its not affecting them personally (yet). www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=emergency.cdc.gov/cerc/ppt/CERC_Psychology_of_a_Crisis.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwig5M690b75AhX5QEEAHeiADCYQFnoECCkQAQ&usg=AOvVaw3-3tJzjTxhsodMPOOOsfcr
@rayn3038
@rayn3038 Жыл бұрын
Paul Solomon channeled that it would get so bad that the Air would be almost unbreathable and Food would have to be grown indoors. Pure Water hard to find and a huge Population reduction. Not Decades . The Planet wants to Detox and super Volcanic eruptions will get the Ball Rolling. People are Idiots. There is a Boom Economy but it is just a greedy Money Grab. More high wages paid and conspicuous Consumption and over use of Vehicles…waste…Junk Food addiction…lack of Spirituality and the Worship of BAAL the ancient God of materialism and SelfIndulgence. Gluttony is the Boom Economy . At a Time when we should be using less…eating less…traveling less…taking less from Earth.
@ricksmall5240
@ricksmall5240 2 жыл бұрын
Zero baseline is 1750, iceage minimum, when the steam engine was discovered The average global temperature has risen 1.5c above iceage minimum
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I think they choose a later date than 1750 to a period when the weather reporting was better. In some ways it doesn't matter, because the targets of keening global warming to are chosen by politicians, not by scientists. I think the original 2 degrees C of warming target was chosen by Angel Merkel and was used for a long time without any scientific basis for choosing it. Paris 2015 used 1.5 degrees C for the first time, but again it was a political rather than a scientific one.
@preppertrucker5736
@preppertrucker5736 2 жыл бұрын
It’s the domino effect….. It’s not being pessimistic it’s being realistic which people are not akin to…..
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Prepper Truck.
@ceeemm1901
@ceeemm1901 Жыл бұрын
"I'm being too pessisistic", they told you....Yeah I broke my leg the other week and the bone was sticking right through,I shrugged and thought, "Just a fleshwound". I wish I had been pessimistic because it turned gangrenous and I had to have it amputated.....but then I was on the railway track the other day and the train was coming, I just shrugged and stayed on the track. I wish I had been pessimistic and jumped off the track because the train ran over me and killed me.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
In some ways I hope I am being pessimistic, because then there would be more hope.
@ceeemm1901
@ceeemm1901 Жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything I know. I heard once that pessimistic people are more times correct than optimistic folks. If you're pessimistic all the time, when things go right it's a bonus.When they don't, it's just normal. When things go wrong for an optimist, it's a bummer but when they go right, it's just normal. I think pessimism wins. Marcus Aurelius and Seneca would agree. And I like Eeyore and Marvin the Paranoid Android.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
@@ceeemm1901 I'm glad to hear from a fellow Stoic.
@CLYMA1.5CHAINZ
@CLYMA1.5CHAINZ 2 жыл бұрын
I am not gonna lie, i find your accent and voice very soothing. And, keep up the great work!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Lupe.
@aztec8888
@aztec8888 2 жыл бұрын
Heat moves to cooler areas. Think about how you heat your house. The area close to the ceiling gets hotter first. This is what is happening right now globally. The heat is melting the polar regions. Notice where the heat waves are, they are in the middle latitudes. The jet stream has collapsed. I live in the tropics. Here in Central America the temperature is basically unchanged at an average of 78 degrees year round. In the tropics where weather is generated by the trade winds we are going to last a bit longer. As the temperature difference decreases we will eventually get hotter. I find it rather unreal to create a narrative where the black and brown people of the world die first. Look carefully - the indigenous people who have a low tech society will be less impacted. In a collapse, the last place you would want to be is in a large city in the developed world in the mid latitudes. Your presentation is very good. Since I was young I never thought the world would last past 2040. Sad to say, it looks like I was right.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Hello Renee, fellow rebel. I did say that people who were self reliant would have advantages over those, like me, who rely on the global economy. The science seems to show that the tropics will be affected first. The map I showed of dangerous heats waves by 2040 showed this. I'm glad to hear the place where you live has been affected less than other areas.
@aztec8888
@aztec8888 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything yes you have an excellent presentation. I used to live in California and it was getting unbearable with the heat and humidity. I researched carefully where to move to. I studied the wind and water currents. I am at a higher elevation in the tropics. You do not read about heatwaves in the tropics, you are reading about more heatwaves in the mid latitudes. It is very plain that the extra heat at the tropics is dispersed to the poles where it is raising the temperature there first. The warming reduces the temperature differential between the polar and jet stream currents thus causing heat domes that park over areas in the mid latitude regions. Gradually the heat will affect the tropics. As overall the globe will get to be evenly hot 🥵 This is why I moved to Costa Rica. They have microclimates and in the mountains it is cool. In addition, I moved to a rural area where everyone knows how to get along with very little tech. No one where I live has even hot water, air conditioner, or heater. When the power shuts off everyone knows what to do. My former neighbors in California would freak out if the power went out. I live next to a small river and I am raising chickens, I have no car, I bake my own bread, me who was born in Los Angeles, California. Everyone could do better if they prepare for what has already arrived and stop thinking it will happen to others first. It is my observation that as long as people in the wealthy countries think the undeveloped will suffer the most - they will never try and seriously mitigate the problem. I even have the terrible feeling that there are some people who would be happy to see less people in Africa and India and Asia. The glaring racism is evident from some. Poor people are resilient and used to living with less so will survive what is coming better than those in the complex societies. You did mention a little about this. 2040 is the end of it all. IMHO. I felt this when I was 7 yrs old, and now here we are.
@aztec8888
@aztec8888 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything keep up your wonderful presentations. They are very informative and will help people to think more about what to do to prepare. Thank you for what you do!
@shockwave9100
@shockwave9100 2 жыл бұрын
at 2:42, that aged like fine wine hahaha, UK is already gonna reach temperatures upwards of 42C, it's going to be crazy
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
The climate emergency is always worse than you think. I think the weather lady meant in 20 years time we would regularly have 40 degrees C in the UK. This would mean we would run out of water and energy in the cities, as the UN is predicting.
@SuperTonyony
@SuperTonyony 2 жыл бұрын
"The more you overtake the plumbing, the easier it is to stop up the drain." Montgomery Scott
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
I don’t understand your comment, but I think I’d agree with it if I did.
@rizzm.eickelman3960
@rizzm.eickelman3960 4 ай бұрын
And just over a year later here in 2024 and we've hit +1.48C already. This timeline is generous; things are happening twice as fast. Good ol' acceleration.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 4 ай бұрын
The rate of heating might be accelerating, but so far we're still within the expected range of warming predicted decades ok.
@radman1136
@radman1136 2 жыл бұрын
It wouldn't matter what we did now. 8 years from now? It will matter less. Good luck, be well, your video is nicely done.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks RADman.
@kingpest13
@kingpest13 2 жыл бұрын
And yet there are still people who are spewing fossil fuel industry generated doubt.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. At one time what I was at XR protests people would shout there is no climate change. Now they shout it's too late. I can't help noticing the one thing both those arguments have in common is that they both involve carrying on the same.
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist 2 ай бұрын
I've lived in the Southern US and am (happily) back in the north part of the country. My current home is much better insulated than any home I had in the South ever was. I have well-to-do friends in Texas (who you wouldn't think live in shacks) whose air conditioning can't keep up. One imaged his living room with an infrared camera and discovered that the wall insulation stopped 20 cm short of the ceiling. The tops of the walls were at over 30 degrees, with the AC on full blast. My house in the north is designed to withstand long freezing winter nights. It does pretty well in the heat as well. It does have large windows, but I block them out with insulating boards when it's hot or very cold. I grew up in the foothills of the Alps in France and I would argue that our 400 year old house was superbly suited for temperature extremes, with thick stone walls and window shutters. For some reason, sturdy blinds and shutters are not a thing in the US, despite the extreme weather events that have always plagued that country. Large windows are good to have for utilizing cool nights, where and when they exist. In the Southern US, pre-AC era homes have windows that reach down to the floor, on either side of any room. Open them in the evening, and within hours the floor and the air have cooled to where one can catch some sleep.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Ай бұрын
Britain also has badly insulated houses. It will be a lot of work to bring them up to a reasonable standard. Since the US is so wasteful of energy, even when they decide to act, it will take a massive effort.
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist
@Off_the_clock_astrophysicist Ай бұрын
I feel the hopelessness whenever the neighbor's central air unit's compressor kicks in on a cool day, or at night, while their windows remain shut tight. It's a whole cultural shift. We have to teach an entire population to open their windows at night, use shutters during the day, and put up with some fluctuations in heat and humidity inside their homes. Throw on a sweater when it gets chilly at night, deal with a bit of sweating during the day.
@thesaurus664
@thesaurus664 Жыл бұрын
This is such an incredible summary, good work, going to spread this to others.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Thanks. Well done for sharing it.
@richardravenclaw318
@richardravenclaw318 2 жыл бұрын
good presentation. all too true i fear. so far our plan is a) not to talk about the looming disaster and b) to pretend it isn't happening. i wonder how that is going to work out?
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Richard. It will certainly be interesting seeing what will happen in the next decades.
@donnabirnbaum6580
@donnabirnbaum6580 2 жыл бұрын
Thank You!!!!!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Donna.
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 Жыл бұрын
The incessant climate mantra: "Just you wait, it's going to get bad, you'll see". Repeat decade after decade in perpetuity.
@rhene1548
@rhene1548 3 ай бұрын
Lol:) I sure hope you are correct!
@majormarketing6552
@majormarketing6552 2 ай бұрын
If you were watching you would have seen the development already
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 2 ай бұрын
@@rhene1548 Data proves that humanity has never been safer, healthier or more prosperous than at any time in history, by any measurement you care to examine. After 200 years of warming, 200 years of growing fossil fuel use, warming has proven to be mostly benign, easily managed and a net benefit to humanity and nature.
@anthonymorris5084
@anthonymorris5084 2 ай бұрын
@@majormarketing6552 What "development"? Please enlighten me.
@oldgeezer8038
@oldgeezer8038 Жыл бұрын
Over and over we've heard projections of by 2100. In my opinion we'll be lucky to even make it to 2050. We've been on a gradual decline of habitat that is gaining speed. At some point it becomes exponentially fast.....
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
None of this is certain. The sooner we get to net zero, the more hope there is of a survivable future.
@oldgeezer8038
@oldgeezer8038 Жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything thanks for the reply. However, we'll never get to net zero
@mikebocchinfuso9437
@mikebocchinfuso9437 2 жыл бұрын
Unfortunately here they will not do anything it is too late
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes.
@ruairievans
@ruairievans Жыл бұрын
But is it too late to make changes and make the world safer and more liveable?
@mendyboio3917
@mendyboio3917 2 жыл бұрын
Because of Methane from the permafrost and global dimming, the temperature will rise faster.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes.
@rogermartinez78
@rogermartinez78 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for putting together this video my friend, I have been thinking about this for years but I am glad you put my thoughts into this video! I think the coming collapse will be worst that we could ever imagine but it is coming if we don't change our ways!
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Roger. Although things seem serious, I'm not quite ready to give up yet.
@rogermartinez78
@rogermartinez78 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything I am changing my ways for the next generation, I am turning 50 this weekend and I know I am not going to be here in 2100 but we don't have until then to change our ways!
@bgiv2010
@bgiv2010 2 жыл бұрын
"How do people sleep at night knowing this will happen?" Usually some kind of medication. Whether it be a bed of money or earnest prayer, those with the ability to cope do just that.
@juliebarks3195
@juliebarks3195 2 жыл бұрын
We eat, drink, and are merry for tomorrow we die.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
There is another way and it will feature in the next video.
@bgiv2010
@bgiv2010 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything oh I'm also learning how to grow food with regenerative practices and become carbon negative at the small scale.
@Rnankn
@Rnankn 2 жыл бұрын
@@juliebarks3195 It sounds like tomorrow you suffer, become malnourished, lose your home and face famine while witnessing the destruction of everything that matters bit by bit, day by day. Just because the world ends doesn’t mean you won’t die of old age in some ditch alone bitter and angry.
@artm8dk
@artm8dk 2 жыл бұрын
United Nations reports are in fact a "little" consevative. It might be worser !
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Oh, good!?!
@bradleywinter2803
@bradleywinter2803 2 жыл бұрын
Hey count thanks 😊 man ya remind me of Phil Collins can't wait to see ya third 💚
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Bradley. A fat Phil Collins maybe, although it's probably best I don't try to sing, I have very few viewers as it is.
@bradleywinter2803
@bradleywinter2803 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverything haha 😂 that's cute
@jacknastyface5623
@jacknastyface5623 2 жыл бұрын
Thankyou for not dramatizing this for the sake of it, but rather letting the information speak for itself. Your presentation is very clear and feels very open and conversational. Nevertheless, it appears we can expect a 'four horseman of the apocalypse' type future as recorded in the book of Revelation with its 'biblical scale' age ending catastrophes to match. (I think I'll start reading my bible again!)
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Brian. Things certainly look very serious, but I'm not quite ready to give up yet.
@edwardmiessner6502
@edwardmiessner6502 2 жыл бұрын
Unfortunately here in the United Statex the Christians (at least the politically "conservative" ones) have learned and are learning the wrong lessons!
@jacknastyface5623
@jacknastyface5623 2 жыл бұрын
@@CountEverythingThanks, I'm with you on that. My main concern is that because human nature, with all it's variants is driving this, we are too often focused on or distracted by other things, leaving our response to a very last minute, 'knee-jerk' set of actions. It seems increasingly likely that our very best options will continue to be allowed to drift downstream out of reach, though not out of sight, regret and intensely angry recriminations!
@jasonsteinmann6224
@jasonsteinmann6224 28 күн бұрын
Thank you for this. However, far from being pessimistic, I think you're being quite optimistic. I believe the last 13 months have been +1.63 degrees. Also, I believe, the accelerating nature of feedback loops will hasten the scenarios that you discuss here. How fast, who knows, but we're about to find out.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 28 күн бұрын
Thanks. So far the rate of warming is as expected although impacts are happening sooner than forecast. I agree that some of the Earth's systems might have already reached tipping points or might soon do so. it will be interesting to see how the rate of warming is affected.
@Mike80528
@Mike80528 Жыл бұрын
If we stop all carbon output now, we're still heading toward a climate that will be harsh to near impossible for humanity. Factor in the tipping points already crossed and I doubt humanity is much of a factor by 2100, if there's even anyone left. We'll be desperately trying to keep islands of "nature" alive if we are...not a future I care to think of. Sea level rise is a red herring meant to distract people from the deeper issues as it is a target further down the road. Notice more focus on that and less on 1.5c? That's because we are already practically at 1.5c when you compare to actual pre-industrial (modern) averages. It was also never a perfect value. It was always an estimate AND a red-line (of sorts).
@CountEverything
@CountEverything Жыл бұрын
Thanks for such a long comment. It will be interesting to see how it will all play out.
@old_toucs6283
@old_toucs6283 Жыл бұрын
Not true, there is no evidence of doomsday. The scatter of past proxies is huge. When the maths of that fact is included we simply have not got the data to make a call that 1.5C is unusual. There are plenty of historical records of warm or cold times, we just don't have thermometer readings from long ago.
@Mike80528
@Mike80528 Жыл бұрын
@@old_toucs6283 I have no idea what you are saying, but CO2 level of 400ppm is enough CO2 to induce forcing of over 3 degrees centigrade. The ONLY reason we aren't hotter is due to atmospheric shading from pollution and the cooling effect it causes. This is *well documented in science*, and the effect made clearer when COVID brought the global economy to a halt, and the skies cleared, temps spiked and geological methane releases jumped and never dropped back down. Everything I have stated is from papers published by experts and easily validated for those who care. That said, believe what you want because NOTHING you do will make a difference as shitty as that is.
@old_toucs6283
@old_toucs6283 Жыл бұрын
@@Mike80528 I process complicated data for a living. If you actually check the forcing for a doubling in CO2 and put that into the actual equation for Earth's temperature it is 0.7C. Note that some of the constants in that are themselves derived from models that make a range of assumptions. We have not had a doubling of CO2 yet so the actual CO2 rise is 0.5C. All of the rest is covered by feedbacks that are lumped in with sensitivity factors. The shading you mentioned is one of these feedbacks. There is no evidence at all that temperatures are rocketing up or are the worst ever or any other similar claim. This is a blatant lie and anyone with basic math skills can prove this by graphing the proxies up and seeing for themselves how much variation they have (proxies are downloadable from NOAA PAGES12K metadata spreadsheet). The smooth past is created by averaging these sources out without explaining how much the actual proxies vary and what their actual accuracy is. The proxies have poor accuracy, poor geographic coverage and the average gap between temperatures is 150 years. There is simply no way we can make the "hottest ever" claim based on this data. There is no evidence of a climate crisis, no "unusual" or "extreme" weather. We are actually having normal weather that is being dishonestly and irresponsibly reported. Overall the problem is small but is being wildly exaggerated by people with social and political agendas.
@Mike80528
@Mike80528 Жыл бұрын
@@old_toucs6283 "processing complicated data" Not very well, obviously.
@chris4973
@chris4973 2 жыл бұрын
I appreciate your efforts. No one gets things perfect (me particularly!), but I appreciate your efforts. I am absolutely laughing off what ass I have left that you give such a specific date for the collapse. Takes balls, that… guess you’ve got a pair, predicting things not just down to a decade, not just the year, nor the month, nor the day, but the time of day! Wow! That won’t garner for you any accolades, btw… laughing to my inevitable grave…
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks.
@Kuldeep-vb8mi
@Kuldeep-vb8mi 3 ай бұрын
Prosperity ripens the principle of decay! Most people don't want to think about it.
@johnnelson2382
@johnnelson2382 2 жыл бұрын
On the money how uncanny the weather presenter stated that the UK could reach a temperature of 40 degrees celsius within 20 years it reached 40.3 last week.The collapse is happening now.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks John. I think the weather lady meant a whole series of 40 degrees C days for us to run out of water, food and energy. However I remember climate scientists discussing when the UK would have such temperatures a few weeks before on Twitter and they would have been surprised how soon I happened.
@reuireuiop0
@reuireuiop0 2 жыл бұрын
Civil Disorder. That's the keyword. It's not seas slowly rising, melt of ice caps or Amazon breaking down, not even multi-year drought, fires or harvest failures, it's how people will be reacting to those created mishaps, that's going to cause the largest disaster - world economy going to pieces, much quicker than anyone's guess, like a row of dominos. This summer, minor constraints following COVID already caused riots on the world's airports. Imagine what large scale food & fuel shortages will do. Apocalyptic might be a minor byword.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Yes. This is something I'm going to look at in a future video. In some countries hundreds of thousands can die or become refugees from famine of floods and life seems to go on in the rest of the country just the same. I need to try and understand what it would be like to live in a society in the global north that was collapsing. In the global north there is a tradition of protest, political change and revolution. As the stresses on societies increase, it's possible governments will become more authoritarian and we will lose our freedoms before we lose our lives.
@reuireuiop0
@reuireuiop0 2 жыл бұрын
So far, without major tipping points triggered, I do doubt temp rise will roll out as steep as you project - with half the world pop gone by 2050. Though indeed major efforts to remove carbon from the atmosphere are essential to keep temp in check (sorty of) with no project even in blueprint stages, with carbon remaining in the air, world temp likely will climb over 3' before 2100. Also non climate factors are to take in account, like the enormous dependency of the global agriculture on fossil resources, either as fuel for working the fields, or source for fertilizer and pest control chemicals. Plus, we can't effect the energy transition without stabile finance systems backing it up, and those will be very thoroughly tested by all political en economical insecurities and downturns, once climate change gets really serious - devastating harvests, floods, mass migration, tropical pests spreading to warming temperate zones etc etc. Lack of financial stability probably will topple the system, the question being, all at once, or slowly bumping downhill until crash. I still put that beyond 2060, though we might be in for a early surprise, unable to recover from what seemed "a minor crisis" at first. ( COVID just was a slightly serious flu at the start, remember? )
@Encephalitisify
@Encephalitisify 3 ай бұрын
This is the stuff the news doesn’t talk about. People just think it’s going to get hot. They don’t realize that the failure in crops, and the large swaths of uninhabitable areas causing mass migration will cause everything to collapse. They think they’ll go about their lives as normal, and it will just be hot. Some people actually look forward to it and act like they want it. No idea.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 3 ай бұрын
I think that one of the most unfair aspects of climate change is most people won't realise how serious it is until it's too late.
@AlignmentCoaching
@AlignmentCoaching 2 жыл бұрын
I live in Singapore...have been for 15 years...it’s not that hot here. People say it is but really it’s not. I think the lack of significant heat and weather issues here insulates the Singapore community and leaves them more apathetic and ignorant.
@CountEverything
@CountEverything 2 жыл бұрын
Ok. Thanks.
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