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这位就是华尔街著名投资人，霍华德马克思(Howard Marks) 。他是我时刻关注的超级投资者之一。霍华德身价22亿美元，创立的橡树资本(OAKTREE) 目前管理超过1800亿美元资产。橡树资本自从成立以来，年化回报平均19%，如果20年前你向橡树资本投资100万，现在已经有了1.7亿的身价。而霍华德在华尔街出名不是因为投资成功，而是定期撰写的投资备忘录，连巴菲特都要拜读。当然我也不例外，每次都要读好几遍。其中几篇，是关于美国经济的第三次重大转向，霍华德管他叫“巨变”(Sea Change)。我们在去年专门做过一期霍华德的访谈解读。几周前霍华德再次接受采访，谈到第三次巨变的后续发展，更新一下他这次经济转向的最新看法。这次我们来重温第三次巨变，看看霍华德目前对于市场的看法。更重要的是2024年霍华德对于投资者的5大建议，每一条都能帮你赚大钱。
00:00 第3次巨变开始!
01:50 经济如何走到现在
03:16 低利率还是正常利率
05:23 政府债务早晚要还
08:49霍华德对投资者的5大建议
10:04 1.短期事件
10:27 2.交易心里
11:08 3.投资短期表现
11:36 4.波动
12:10 5.投资多动症
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