They ALL work on the same algorithm. Totally random. And the "win" percentage can be set pretty low.

Me too 😂

Great guitarist 🎸

I always take that to mean it's hot - because a lot of people are playing it.

Good tip

LOL

😂

😂

😂😂

😅

Wow, thank you!

It's not designed to play in cycles. In most jurisdictions, It's the law that any spin has to be completely independent previous spins on that machine (except for bonus rounds)

We can't even begin to tell you how touching and welcoming this comment was thank you so much it means a lot to us.

It’s because the volatility of the games has become higher and higher over the years. Higher volatility means larger swings (variance) from the payback % settings. I should do a video on that - great topic :)

fascinating.. what are the factors?

Thank you! Glad to have you :)

Thanks Nat! Good luck in your old stomping ground!

Sounds great!

You're so welcome!

Think of it this way. If you found $1000 blowing around would you gather them up and throw em up in the wind in hopes of finding $10000 or would you be glad for the $1000 you have in your hand? Money management is the name of the profit game.

You stop when you win, cash out and run out of there. Or the Casinos will take it back and you will go to the ATM. I know it's hard but when you're up....LEAVE!

Absolutely - but, always try to explain it in a way most people can understand :)

What you are describing is now possible. There was a law passed in 2015 that allows manufactuers to show "near hits" IF and ONLY IF the RNG has decided it's a losing spin. So, if you don't have a line covered, they can have the reels fall to make you feel like you would have gotten it. It's just super important to understand that this can occur ONLY AFTER the RNG has made the determination that it's a losing spin.

Exactly, the flipping of a coin is a great example of probability distribution. The important thing to remember, however, is that spins on a slot machine aren't sequential - so just because you had 8 wins in a row, doesn't mean the odds have changed to have 9 wins in a row.

That’s a great explanation. Everyone has experienced this. That’s why they find it hard to believe that it’s all random. But like you said… it doesn’t make any difference. Because you’ll never know until after you’ve played the session anyway. And also, there are always those instances where the machine is “cold” then all of a sudden, you get a big win. You don’t know what’s going to happen.

interesting. what are the reasons hot and cold are used? anyone can describe a hot or cold session after it is over what this video is about, and the main trick is, how to figure it before the session starts. what is your advice for that

It's pure math. When they make the game, they can manipulate what the final outcome will be by having the RNG pick from a set of symbols. The higher the payback %, the more "paying" symbols are available for it to pick from. For example, on the virtual reel strips on a Double Diamond machine, a 85% payback setting might have 25 blanks (no symbol wins), where a 98% payback might have 21 blanks (more symbol wins). The important thing is that the algorythm is not ACTIVELY balancing - it does it naturally using the Law of Large Numbers.

​@GambleSmart That makes sense, but I've noticed casinos "monitor" each machine's payout history. If it's locked-in, full-proof, why the extra layer of tracking? Just curious.

Purely for accounting reasons - They also look to make sure the game is performing well.. not with how much it is taking in or giving out but in how often the game is played. They need this info because the most critical thing for casinos is to pick games that people will play, otherwrise, the valuable space isn't being used well.

You’re welcome

Yes!

so how do you learn timing? that is what the world wants to know

Yes, but over millions of spins does this occur. Which is why you can’t spot this in such a short term session.

No, that’s not correct. There are no algorithms that balance it back out.

Completely false

Yes, that's why it's never truly 50/50 there can be edge cases. It will get really really close though the more times you do it.

My casino pulled in a couple of different electronic crap games but they are classified like a slot machine. The Bubble Craps is a 1-on-1 unit but the Stadium unit has multiple machines with multiple game offerings (craps, roulette, blackjack ...). Since these are classified as slot machines they have a payout/take control right? I've yet to find anything on the internet that talks about how these units control the outcome to fall into that payout amount? Do you have any insight on how these things work? I've developed a very large distaste/distrust for these things. I've played at real felt crap tables for over 40 years and I've never seen number strings "rolled" like what these machines have done not just on 1 occasion but multiple times. Amazing how the player gets sniped just at the right moment (as in when a bet is significantly increased). Any insight on these things?

I've flipped my cigarettes thousands of times and every once in a while it lands face up. Strange

A little here and there - but, this is my primary focus (marc)

You got it! The only comment I'll say to people is to not raise your bet unless you can safely afford to do so. Even though the odds are winning are slightly higher, it's not something you'd be able to witness in such a short time at the casino.

No, odds are based on the denomination of the machine. The only exception to this is some games that have progressives attached to them - it can be easier to win those progressives the higher you bet.

No, that is not correct

@@GambleSmart Could you explain a little more. Could go either way

It’s not possible for a casino or anyone to manipulate game play in any way. They can’t even change the odds remotely. I’d have to know more about the situation you had to know for sure what happened. A video would be helpful :) But, I just want you to feel comforted knowing that nobody can monkey with machines like you described, so it might be something else in the game mechanics that isn’t understood.

@@GambleSmart you are very cruel to burst his bubble. let him have hope, what is the harm?

Payback % are to be realized after about 10,000,000 games played. That is when the math works itself out. The part that is random is that the RNG randomly picks a symbol on the virtual reel. Think of the virtual reel as a deck of cards. If you were to randomly select a card from a standard 52 deck of cards, that part is random (RNG), but the percentage is the odds of you selecting a specific card (the control).

It’s pRNG - impossible to be truly random, but as random as it can be with machine code.

​@@GambleSmartso depending on how they generate said number it maybe possible (probably very slim to almost 0) to predict a pattern

It’s become much more difficult over time as the pRNG no longer follows any sequence. You’d have to reverse engineer the algorithm. Back in the day, if the machine lost power, it would seed the pRNG at the beginning so there was some predictable sequence. Those days are long gone though.

No, that's not how it works. It does not "actively" balance as you described. It's passive. It's all about long term math using the Law of Large Numbers.

@@GambleSmart In our casino, once you get a nice large payout or hand pay, spin no more than ten times if you must. Machines I've played go into recoup mode and no matter what you do you are throwing away your money on that machine and sometimes that bank of the same machines.

speak for yourself. obviously, many are skillful

Yes, that’s me :) Just a new project.

It's not totally random. There is a random aspect and a control aspect. The randomness means it's unpredictable as to what will come next. The control, is that the RNG has to pick from a certain set of symbols. If it's going to be a "loss", they can program it to show near hits... but that only happens AFTER the RNG has picked a losing set of symbols.

of course it cant be totally random. the casino has to win, and they have to play mind games on you like near misses to get you to keep playing. what were you thinking?

Who said that? They know absolutely nothing about how slot machines work.

@@GambleSmart did you not read his comment . someone in vegas said that. they should know. they were in vegas

Most of us go through the same thing - it's tough!

they do not work on an algorithm.

@@GambleSmartDon't believe that. Anything else is illegal. The results must be random. There are no "systems" Same as with craps and cards. It's random.

There is a random aspect and a control aspect. Just like in craps, throwing the dice is random, but it has to be one of 6 numbers per dice. It’s all about probability distributions, but the randomness is that nobody can predict what will come next.

Think of it this way. The random aspect of flipping a coin is you actually putting it on your thumb and tossing it into the air. The control part is it HAS to be heads or tails. For slot machines, the RNG is responsible for spitting out a random number (1 for each reel on the machine). This number then corresponds to a symbol on the reels (or virtual reels). Low volatility machines have LESS symbols for the RNG to pick from. High volatility machines have MORE symbols for the RNG to pick from, but the values on those are larger.

@@GambleSmart Ok. Makes more sense! Btw, thank you for the informative videos!

Of course - glad that helped!

They can't do that. All of that is just anecdotal.

Sorry, but you are not correct. State law determines min and max allowed payout settings, but it's up to casinos to set it how they want (with oversight from gaming control). Machines do not actively balance so there is not way to detect a hot or cold machine. It happens naturally through randomness with large probability distributions.

People need they why, otherwise they'll never believe it. :)

@@GambleSmart no you need one to make more money

I’m on the side of providing facts. If you think that makes me belong to a side, that’s your decision.

You’re hysterical bro… what do you want from him? He’s trying to help you out with DECISIONS. Not trying to make you spend more. Actually less and giving you tools to help yourself. And you leave THAT as a fucking comment? I swear I don’t understand how in the fuck people can’t even understand help anymore… do you know how businesses and casinos work? No one’s gonna be out here twiddlin mustaches giving you predatory advice on all things SLOTS! Hahahahaha! wtf!

lol he didn't say no