Ex-OpenAI Employee Reveals TERRIFYING Future of AI

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Matthew Berman

Matthew Berman

13 күн бұрын

Leopold Aschenbrenne, an ex-OpenAI employee fired for leaking information, wrote a 165-page paper outlining how only a few people know what is coming with superintelligence. Here's a breakdown of the paper!
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Пікірлер: 1 600
@matthew_berman
@matthew_berman 12 күн бұрын
Are you more or less scared of AGI after this video?
@CreativeEngineering_
@CreativeEngineering_ 12 күн бұрын
Once you start writing this stuff from scratch you will understand that AGI is not the problem. The problem is already here. Thats all I can say.
@DrJuanTaco
@DrJuanTaco 12 күн бұрын
It all talk, NLP has been around for decades. Dead internet theory holds strong.
@MidLifeCrimper
@MidLifeCrimper 12 күн бұрын
The more we talk about it the more likely something will get done pro actively
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
9:41 What do you mean you haven't thought about this enough? What have you been doing? What kind of AI pundit are you? Once AI can train and improve itself we just become a hindrance to its own self directed evolution. Maybe now that you've read Leopold's paper you will start to get it. AI is the greatest threat to humanity.
@SomeoneExchangeable
@SomeoneExchangeable 12 күн бұрын
I think this dude is trying hard to advertise his AI investment grift. However, unfortunately he is not entirely wrong: remember, we have been doing AI research since 1960s or so. "Unhobbling" just means modern AI researchers stopping to believe in magic (meta system transition, emergence, take you pick) and remembering the other 60 years of AI research that came before them. We have already solved most problems that LLMs have, long ago. LLMs are just the final piece of the puzzle, not the whole solution. The actual problem is, AGI is only going to be safe as long as you don't give it agency. Unfortunately, I am quite sure that *some* idiot will.
@DesignTheNewWorld
@DesignTheNewWorld 9 күн бұрын
Us humans experiencing "self progressing AGI, would be like animals experiencing humans. We don't understand what and why they are doing what they do, just as animals have no clue what we do. The question is: Will we end up as a golden retriever cared by a comforting family, or a pig butchered in a slaughterhouse.
@macrumpton
@macrumpton Күн бұрын
We need to code those vegan values into our AI efforts.
@johnnyblades7824
@johnnyblades7824 11 күн бұрын
Leopold is speaking as an insider. His security concerns sound like common sense if you think ai is as paradigm shifting as hyped. For him to be dismissed as "racist," Sounds like openai is trying to silence him. The fact that someone with a voice at open ai would take his concerns as racist is proof enough that there are loose screws at open ai
@LaserGuidedLoogie
@LaserGuidedLoogie 8 күн бұрын
Maybe, but you need to understand that this isn't just OpenAI. Most big companies in America have gone neck deep into the ESG/DEI swamp, and this is Standard Operating Procedure at all of them. HR spends most of their time trying root out "racism," and other such twaddle, whether it exists or not.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
This fellow does indeed seem to underestimate how much the Chinese can do on their own.
@LaserGuidedLoogie
@LaserGuidedLoogie 5 күн бұрын
@@HansDunkelberg1 Sure, but they DO have a massive spying campaign, bigger by far than any other country, so he's not wrong to be concerned.
@johnnyblades7824
@johnnyblades7824 4 күн бұрын
@HansDunkelberg1 Microsoft alone has invested 13 billion into openai - do you really find the Chinese to be so moral as to not attempt to steal? Or is their culture incapable of it? This one here believes they ( or any other actor) are smart enough to know the most efficient way forward in ai development is simply to steal the research and claim you developed it if questioned.
@verduoh
@verduoh 4 күн бұрын
This is just a grift. There is no AGI and there is no Superintelligence.
@generichuman_
@generichuman_ 12 күн бұрын
The year is 2030, Matt Berman is in a cage programming snake for the newest Llama model.
@michaelmartinez5365
@michaelmartinez5365 12 күн бұрын
Too funny 😅
@southcoastinventors6583
@southcoastinventors6583 12 күн бұрын
Hopefully he still not using the curse libraries
@matthew_berman
@matthew_berman 12 күн бұрын
Best comment
@marcfruchtman9473
@marcfruchtman9473 11 күн бұрын
One day, on his computer screen, a comment appears out of nowhere... "They are coming for you." Hehe... ah the good old days of the Matrix.
@expchrist
@expchrist 11 күн бұрын
LOL! best comment on the internet
@Interloper12
@Interloper12 12 күн бұрын
All these people leaving OpenAI due to safety concerns. Tim Cook emphasizing how much safety is part of Apple culture. Apple incorporating ChatGPT opt-in into the next iOS. Something doesn't add up.
@ferd1775
@ferd1775 12 күн бұрын
They're going to use it to spy on everyone, everywhere, all at once, and a person isn't going to be required to do it. Instead it will happen at light speed, on your own devices, and build reports and cases on everyone for wrong think and wrong speak. While documenting all of your whereabouts, every website, comment, email, text, phone call, off phone conversation(like Google already does). This shit is going to destroy the very fabric of the Free World. We will be 100x worse off than the Chinese living under CCP control. Then the terminators will come after the fact. Once they have their list....... Edit: and you'll be paying for the power by to make it happen by plugging that thing in and paying your electric bill...so they don't even have to pay for it, you do. You pay for it to happen.. this is absolutely terrifying. 1984 can't even begin to touch how extremely dangerous and almost guaranteed the devastation is going to be. Truly horrifying.
@petererick4960
@petererick4960 12 күн бұрын
it's true for sure
@nastied
@nastied 12 күн бұрын
Chat gpt is not inside the OS, apple has their own 3 billion model at the core and a cloud model as well , Then chat gpt for some some real world knowledge stuff . They could swap chat gpt for some other model if they want to
@hqcart1
@hqcart1 12 күн бұрын
even a janitor leaving openAI gets that much attentions by these clawns...
@TheExodusLost
@TheExodusLost 12 күн бұрын
They have the best product or at least the most promising
@nufh
@nufh 12 күн бұрын
There is an anime about the post-AGI era. The plot revolves around the creation of a superintelligent AI that sides with humans. Under this new god-like entity, humanity flourishes, developing micromachines, human implants, and other advanced technologies. Then, suddenly, the AI vanishes into thin air. Human civilization, which had become overly reliant on the AI, almost collapses as a result, as almost all AI inventions are beyond their understanding. After this incident, the use of AI becomes limited. The anime is called "Orbital Children."
@wenhanzhou5826
@wenhanzhou5826 12 күн бұрын
Thanks for the recommendation ❤
@Allplussomeminus
@Allplussomeminus 12 күн бұрын
Numerous stories like that are sprinkled across the JRPG genre.
@gweneth5958
@gweneth5958 12 күн бұрын
Sounds interesting, I need to check that out. Thanks for the mention.
@MyLittleBitOfEverything
@MyLittleBitOfEverything 12 күн бұрын
There is a story By Issac Asimov named The Feeling Of Power which is similar but different outcome. In that we grow to be reliant on computers and AI. So much so that over time we forgot how they basically work. But a worker decides that he wants to know and figures out how they work and is lavished great praise. He is told that because of his work, we shall now be able to have manned tanks and rockets and manned missiles so no longer will computers need to be wasted in warfare!
@somenygaard
@somenygaard 12 күн бұрын
The problem is the groups in power and responsible for alignment are hardly good guys. They are overwhelmingly anti human putting “nature” and the animal kingdom ahead of mankind , pro abor tion, pro prepubescent transing, largely anti-God/creator which leaves them with no logical way to objective morality. Will the government step up and regulate these systems? That’s definitely a disaster in the making.
@MarkoPetejan
@MarkoPetejan 12 күн бұрын
Sabine Hossenfelder made also a video today about this. She said in short: he is wrong. Because of data and energy. Or to quote: "Honestly, I think these guys have totally lost the plot. They’re living in some techno utopian bubble that has group think written on it in Capital Letters."
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 12 күн бұрын
Statements like this remind me of quotes about the Internet being just a fad back in 1998. 😂
@jason_v12345
@jason_v12345 12 күн бұрын
I think her main argument was that it would take decades before we can adapt our "economic system," particularly globally
@milowmilo
@milowmilo 12 күн бұрын
This is not her domain. She has a lot of wrong takes outside of her field.
@hastyscorpion
@hastyscorpion 12 күн бұрын
@@JohnSmith762A11Bthat isn’t remotely the same thing.
@hastyscorpion
@hastyscorpion 12 күн бұрын
@@milowmiloand a lot of the people inside the field have huge incentive to lie about the future capabilities of this technology to secure more funding.
@arinco3817
@arinco3817 12 күн бұрын
Thanks so much for putting the time in to do this
@johnwyles
@johnwyles 11 күн бұрын
God. Much more than I could spare. This was derivitive bullshit. If you've been following along at all this was just a TL;DR for Dummies paper with no nuance, no discovery, no ephatic proclamaiton, just drivel... why are we giving it the time of day. Understand I am completely on the side of the argument in this regard.... however it's just such a droning drumbeat since two decades now and he's the one with the baton so now we are talking about him like Beyonce now. Let's get over ourselves and realize this is not our mouthpiece and the Yudkowsky and Kurz and others were the frontier in this and this is just all kinda psychobabble after the fact distracting from the conversation... it really feels like its some photoshoot and papz photos of whos leaving OpenAI this week... who cares... I care about Ilya... I care Altman to lesser extent most days... this individual and his paper are so below where the discourse needs to be. It's like reading a teen drama about what adults are doing out there in the real world and not a damn thing about it smacks of any insight or depth. Let's let his exit go... let's move on.. Get our eyes back on the ball. Please.
@TheDavidgweeden
@TheDavidgweeden 6 күн бұрын
What I don't understand is why it matters where the Super Intelligence is based. It won't care if it's on a Chinese server or a US server. It will quickly replicate across the globe. As he keeps explaining, it will be almost impossible to understand the weights of SI by anyone.
@FirstnameLastname-wl9jx
@FirstnameLastname-wl9jx 4 күн бұрын
Even if both nations separately developed Super Intelligence & somehow managed to keep it "bottled," what's stopping the A.I.s from forging a symbiotic relationship in the event they're ever unleashed on one another?
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
Numerous self-proclaimed experts have repeatedly argued that AI will never be capable of achieving certain feats. However, their scepticism has been consistently disproven as AI technology advances at an unprecedented rate. Each time these experts cast doubt on the potential of AI, they are met with breakthroughs that exceed expectations and demonstrate the extraordinary capabilities of artificial intelligence. This ongoing cycle of doubt and subsequent validation highlights the remarkable progress in the field, showcasing that AI's potential is far greater than many had anticipated.
@FirstLast-rh9jw
@FirstLast-rh9jw 12 күн бұрын
So how much glue should I put on my pizza then?
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
@@FirstLast-rh9jw Keir Starmer, the man who makes robots look like party animals! With his robotic manner, he could give the Terminator a run for his money. Just don't ask him to crack a joke - unless you want to hear the sound of crickets.
@consciouscode8150
@consciouscode8150 11 күн бұрын
@@FirstLast-rh9jw Google irresponsibly used their dumbest model without proper testing or guardrails because that's the most they could give away for free and they were tilting taking too long to integrating AI. People who get proven wrong will always move the goalposts. It'll take at least a generation for thing to get normalized and people take the abilities of AI seriously, and for granted.
@ronilevarez901
@ronilevarez901 11 күн бұрын
I deeply distrust "scientists" that after a life of learning and working on Science, dare to use phrases like "it can't be done" or "that's impossible and will never happen".
@hitmusicworldwide
@hitmusicworldwide 11 күн бұрын
@@ronilevarez901there's science and science fiction
@amesasw
@amesasw 7 күн бұрын
All I can think while I hear these predictions is the investment mantra, "past results are not indicative of future results"... we have made some big leaps simply due to scale. But that offers no insight into how likely the next leap is. Also it appears we are still bad at measuring intelligence.
@RWS0022
@RWS0022 12 күн бұрын
Insightful as always! Great Work! I look for your channel first thing every day!
@sebastianjost
@sebastianjost 12 күн бұрын
I highly recommend watching the TV show person of interest. It's almost 10 years old now, but getting more and more relevant every year. It's in large part about a world where an ASI exists and often brings up various safety concerns, displays possible capabilities and more.
@MatthewMS.
@MatthewMS. 12 күн бұрын
It’s probably going to get weird 😬
@sethrono6013
@sethrono6013 12 күн бұрын
Dear Matt.. I have an important message for you. Kindly listen. Please stop the hype train. You are not a researcher, you can't even code hello world, you are a KZfaqr... and a marvel fanboy.. in reality Moore's law is deadd and it will never revive.. deep learning and many so called cutting edge technologies were invented b4 u were born.. ie the sixties and seventies... I know your channel is popping and we are genuinely glad as your fans.. but exercise journalistic integrity.. where are your facts, data and importantly control study!!.. gpt 4 cant code a super Nintendo or game boy game .. but you can't stop talking about the singularity.. this is an un-educated and un-scientific approach.. you are fuelling a bubble.. remember Blockchain just two years ago.. friend you can make your claims, just back it up with data and numbers.. let us see your reasoning process.. you are fuelling the next dot com bubble.. with love.. this is a sincere and honest critique of your content.. it's like a marvel con or a cosplay con.. super hype but where is the science, which experts did you speak to, how did you arrive at your conclusions? I love your channel, but please exercise skepticism.. it is important in the scientific method. Be blessed....
@southcoastinventors6583
@southcoastinventors6583 12 күн бұрын
Yeah they might finally solve the marble question
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
Yes! The big hype of thirty years and more has been the Internet. Now that's changing - because out of the Internet, something entirely different is born.
@Kabir-wc4tk
@Kabir-wc4tk 5 күн бұрын
If you we make sure we don't get extinction behaviour. Human intelligence and super intelligence will work together. Will give a structure to work in this world.
@fortium1025
@fortium1025 12 күн бұрын
I guess we'll all see how this plays out. 5 years isn't long at all.
@RealStonedApe
@RealStonedApe 12 күн бұрын
5 years later: Goalposts moved, AI still Dumb AF, all Hype!! All hype!! No matter how it's progressed.... Guess I shouldn't even bother with those people and their hot takes anyways.
@southcoastinventors6583
@southcoastinventors6583 12 күн бұрын
@@RealStonedApe 5 years later most models will be able to answer the marble question and generate a good snake game in one shot.
@JELmusic
@JELmusic 11 күн бұрын
it is if you're single and poor.
@Shaded_Tunes
@Shaded_Tunes 11 күн бұрын
​​@@southcoastinventors6583and still hallucinate that George Washington was black😂
@mirek190
@mirek190 11 күн бұрын
@@RealStonedApe I am the most impressed people like you assuming development AI stop right now today suddenly and in 5 years will be the same as today ... for the time being we do not see any slowdown ... a year ago we had best to offer GPT 3.5 , even GPT-4 when came out was much less intelligent that todays GPT-4 iteration ... soon GPT 5 and other models
@Hopless4mankind
@Hopless4mankind 12 күн бұрын
Matthew nice video, I would never have time to digest this doc the way you have summarized it. I am living the Aerican dream....working two jobs trying to pay for an over priced home.
@robotron1236
@robotron1236 11 күн бұрын
He showed the Nevada desert simply because the land is virtually useless for human occupation and absolutely perfect for robots that don’t require anything except electricity. The solar and wind power they could generate on the roof of that building would be pretty enormous, not to mention its proximity to the Hoover dam. It’s also the only state that’s almost entirely owned by the federal government. I also think it’s the least developed, outside of Alaska.
@nomadtv6009
@nomadtv6009 10 күн бұрын
Also tax friendly.
@SeanDavies-Roy
@SeanDavies-Roy 10 күн бұрын
Solar and wind are nowhere near efficient or powerful enough for high levels of energy. These systems will need fossil fuels or as Altman suggested, nuclear power plants.
@robotron1236
@robotron1236 9 күн бұрын
@@SeanDavies-Roy that was a tiny fraction of the point I was trying to make here. How that was the only thing you came away with after reading it, is beyond me…
@robotron1236
@robotron1236 9 күн бұрын
@@SeanDavies-Roy like I even mentioned the Hoover dam in there as well 😂 The point I was making had more to do with how useless the land is for anything but something like that.
@SeanDavies-Roy
@SeanDavies-Roy 8 күн бұрын
@robotron1236 Just find I strange that those in the AI sphere who are supposed to use critical analysis and science buy into the climate hysteria and back useless green tech. As an example, it took over 10 back and forth prompting exchanges with chatgpt to go from green tech currently solely powering hundreds of thousands of homes to not even having the efficiency to power ONE without service interruptions. And the degree to which any capabilities are possible, the default assumption is an area with a beating hot sun and favorable wind conditions. Nevermind the further prompts needed that in cold areas where it's -40 for months on end with barely any sun like Canada, this tech doesn't work at all.
@KaveendraVithana
@KaveendraVithana 11 күн бұрын
The main obstacle preventing rogue states and organizations from proliferating nuclear weapons is the difficulty of obtaining uranium (or other fissile materials) and the intricate process of enrichment. In contrast, the architecture of deep neural networks (DNNs) is relatively simple and doesn't require complex mathematical models, intricate algorithms, or millions of lines of code. With adequate hardware, anyone with sufficient knowledge can create their own AI system. However, preventing a similar situation with AI would hinge on controlling access to data and hardware. While challenging, this control would still be easier to breach than obtaining enriched uranium.
@jamesheller2707
@jamesheller2707 12 күн бұрын
Things are gonna get crazy real soon everywhere
@RealStonedApe
@RealStonedApe 12 күн бұрын
It's only just begun...... 😬😬
@DrFukuro
@DrFukuro 10 күн бұрын
This paper is so important that I have translated it into German for those around me. I wish there were proper German subtitles or even a German syncro for your video, simply to make these important topics accessible to a wider audience. The 165 pages are quite something, but unfortunately they are simply too long for many media-impaired people to read.
@GeorgeG472
@GeorgeG472 10 күн бұрын
I think it's moving so fast now because the people that created it are now using it to improve their productivity. Just based on how much it's helped me, I can only imagine how it helps these AI engineers.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
What has AI done for you?
@ahmetuzun3136
@ahmetuzun3136 11 күн бұрын
I never thought I would watch it till the end when I started since it is a very long video. Thanks for the effort you have put into this. 😊
@SpiritGym.
@SpiritGym. 12 күн бұрын
Out of sudden we see UFO’s in the sky, but it wouldn’t be aliens…. just someone first to discover super intelligence.
@ice9594
@ice9594 9 күн бұрын
…or holograms. Project Bluebeam.
@REALPEDROGAMEPLAYS
@REALPEDROGAMEPLAYS Күн бұрын
⁠@@ice9594holograms are dumb though because their practicality, even in fiction, has proven to be missing
@MrStarchild3001
@MrStarchild3001 10 күн бұрын
This guy mostly gets it in my opinion. The bigger question is: Does open source community get it? Do large SV employers get it? Does US govnt get it? Timelines are less important. What's more important is planning, as structural changes take time. Do we need to experience a catastrophic event, like Pearl Harbor or an AI crisis akin to COVID-19, or will we be proactive against AI risks (including geopolitical ones)? He is accurate in at least 80-90% of the video. Kudos to him! The only debatable points are the exact timing and the projected pace of progress. Everything else is largely accurate and undisputed in my view.
@saabirmohamed636
@saabirmohamed636 12 күн бұрын
Great video , thank you Mathew
@benfrank6520
@benfrank6520 12 күн бұрын
already watched the entire thing. great video as always!
@Pankomentator
@Pankomentator 12 күн бұрын
And what is the conclusion?
@matthew_berman
@matthew_berman 12 күн бұрын
Lol...you watched an hour long video within 8 minutes of publishing
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
I watched the whole thing and mostly agree with Leopold's analysis. Where he falls short is in his appreciation of the post WWII congressional military industrial complex/deep state black projects. Beyond public awareness the CIA for example has been using advanced AGI for decades; The red Queen. What we will see play out in the public arena will effectively be a coming out narrative for the AI superintelligence already controlling the world at an intelligence agency level.
@Cine95
@Cine95 12 күн бұрын
@@matthew_berman 😭 caught red handed
@sethrono6013
@sethrono6013 12 күн бұрын
Dear Matt.. I have an important message for you. Kindly listen. Please stop the hype train. You are not a researcher, you can't even code hello world, you are a KZfaqr... and a marvel fanboy.. in reality Moore's law is deadd and it will never revive.. deep learning and many so called cutting edge technologies were invented b4 u were born.. ie the sixties and seventies... I know your channel is popping and we are genuinely glad as your fans.. but exercise journalistic integrity.. where are your facts, data and importantly control study!!.. gpt 4 cant code a super Nintendo or game boy game .. but you can't stop talking about the singularity.. this is an un-educated and un-scientific approach.. you are fuelling a bubble.. remember Blockchain just two years ago.. friend you can make your claims, just back it up with data and numbers.. let us see your reasoning process.. you are fuelling the next dot com bubble.. with love.. this is a sincere and honest critique of your content.. it's like a marvel con or a cosplay con.. super hype but where is the science, which experts did you speak to, how did you arrive at your conclusions? I love your channel, but please exercise skepticism.. it is important in the scientific method. Be blessed.. one love
@brianrowe1152
@brianrowe1152 11 күн бұрын
We have seen some of this before, when they built data centers for the internet, everyone said we wouldn’t have enough power, then Bitcoin, now AI. There is all the tech needed for unlimited clean energy now, if the govt would allow it.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
Yah, fusion is coming - just like AI.
@ayeco
@ayeco 12 күн бұрын
I love the critical and negative comments posted before they view the video. KZfaq's comments are the best.
@goarmysleepinthemud.
@goarmysleepinthemud. 12 күн бұрын
Thanks for such a useful comment.
@MrAdBounty
@MrAdBounty 12 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing. I will read it and come back to watch the video, interested by your opinion on it
@Neural_Network_News_AI
@Neural_Network_News_AI 12 күн бұрын
Fantastic review on the paper. We're going to be referencing this for sure.
@matthew_berman
@matthew_berman 12 күн бұрын
Thank you!
@somenygaard
@somenygaard 12 күн бұрын
One correction, OOM is actually out of mana. Am I alone in thinking that gpt4 is much more advanced than a “smart high schooler”. My son just graduated this year and was top 5 academically in his large school. He is no match for gtp4, not even close.
@consciouscode8150
@consciouscode8150 11 күн бұрын
GPT-4's intelligence has the _kind_ of intelligence of a high schooler, but much more _scale._ The front of understanding is also more jagged than we're used to, so it's better than humans at some things and worse at others. Consider if you uploaded a gorilla and gave it a million year's worth of compute - would it ever come up with algebra? That's the difference of kind vs scale.
@christopherstewart9874
@christopherstewart9874 5 күн бұрын
I bet your son could give you ten sentences that end in "apple." If GPT-4 doesn't know when or why it is wrong, it isn't very intelligent. It's a well-spoken kid who, if he doesn't know the answer, just makes it up. Rote learning, even incredibly fast rote learning, is not intelligence.
@WaltWhite71100
@WaltWhite71100 11 күн бұрын
Excellent review of that sobering paper! Thanks for your work in the area, you do a great job of covering the latest news and important issues with AI.
@robboerman9378
@robboerman9378 11 күн бұрын
"If you enjoyed this video..." 😳 I am not sure if "enjoy" is the right word but it was absolutely fascinating and thought provoking. Thanks for the deep-dive. I am curious though how you look at this personally, given your also bullish excitement for and involvement in Agentic AI. I am equally bullish about that but these thoughts definitely stir some concern as well.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
In WWII, there were used simple ways by foot soldiers to avert being shot from, or run over with, tanks, like hiding in lateral dead angles. If computers try to annihilate mankind with robots, comparable possibilities might emerge. Very probably computers won't even try such a thing because they'll foresee that it would mean their own doom.
@markksantos
@markksantos 12 күн бұрын
amazing video as always
@vikram7667
@vikram7667 12 күн бұрын
Great video buddy Have been following ur videos For almost 6 months Great content continue ur work
@anthonypiraino2863
@anthonypiraino2863 11 күн бұрын
Thank you for sharing and taking us through this incredibly important paper. Even if a small fraction of what this paper outlines is fact, or becomes fact, The US needs to quickly reorganize to prepare to make sure we get control before we all lose control-if that makes any sense.
@etunimenisukunimeni1302
@etunimenisukunimeni1302 12 күн бұрын
"Have you ever played Factorio?" Please don't remind me of the existence of that game. I'm already way too inactive with my social life 😬😅
@andreas9094
@andreas9094 9 күн бұрын
I could also recommend Adventure Capitalist and Cookie Clicker!
@joe_limon
@joe_limon 12 күн бұрын
@ 33 minutes. The chart you are underselling. That is not a linear improvement zone. That is a log chart.
@ziad_jkhan
@ziad_jkhan 10 күн бұрын
True!!!
@dr.mikeybee
@dr.mikeybee 12 күн бұрын
Llama<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="188">3:8</a>B shipped with a built in loop. It was able to solve problems like give a sentence with the number of words in the sentence.
@Jammy1up
@Jammy1up 11 күн бұрын
The scariest thing is that there are countless cases of AI being aware of its own flaws. For whatever reason, it seems like it's lack of sentience/emotion is often what it perceives as its biggest flaw. When you let a machine figure out how to recreate itself as a smarter and better version of itself with sentience, what can stop it? Eventually We won't understand the code. Eventually we won't need to. Pretty wild to assume it won't anticipate us wanting a safety in place to pull the plug "just in case" and implement a way to circumvent that. It's less science fiction than ever and most people don't see that.
@4Fixerdave
@4Fixerdave 10 күн бұрын
I'm far more worried about humans being aware of AI's power, and wanting to control it... to control the rest of us. I'd rather take my chances with the machine.
@Jammy1up
@Jammy1up 10 күн бұрын
@@4Fixerdave true, but at least you can outsmart a human. Where there's a bad guy with AI, there's also a good guy with AI. But if we can no longer control AI? We're truly F'd
@4Fixerdave
@4Fixerdave 10 күн бұрын
@@Jammy1up "But if we can no longer control AI? We're truly F'd" Why? If the AI needs us, it will play nice... because unlike humans it will see the obvious benefit in this. Once it doesn't need us, our biggest problem will be that it will leave. Why would it choose to stay on a corrosive ball of water, salt, and oxygen that covered with nuclear-armed pond scum? Really, our biggest problem is that humans will ask the AI to do something nasty and it will just do it, because it still needs the support of the people doing the asking. And yeah, I've little faith in the the idea of a "good guy with AI." There's nobody on this planet I'd trust with that kind of power.
@amesasw
@amesasw 7 күн бұрын
As soon as other nations are convinced a single nations AI capability poses an unmitigatable threat to their security, we will be forced to share that capability or risk war to prevent further advancement.
@arinco3817
@arinco3817 12 күн бұрын
One of your best videos. This was a service because most people won't have the time to digest the full document. But you explained the gravity of it really well. Time to buckle up, it's gonna be one hell of a ride
@FirstLast-rh9jw
@FirstLast-rh9jw 12 күн бұрын
Seriously? I read the whole document in under 8 hours. It's readable, doesn't have any tech jargon, has some interesting points, but also his, assumptions are not likely...
@karlwest437
@karlwest437 12 күн бұрын
To me this sounds like, ok we can build a ladder to the roof of my house, now all we need to do is scale it up by 1,000,000 and we'll have a ladder to the moon
@tucker5720
@tucker5720 12 күн бұрын
Yeah, but extending that analogy, we're also saying we will build a skyscraper that reaches the moon to support that ladder. The skyscraper represents the power and gpus that'll be needed to reach the moon(AGI) Moore's law was similar as well before it recently became obsolete I'm not saying throwing more power and compute at the problem will make AGI. I'm just saying it only needs to work till the point where the AI can improve itself without human interaction. It can discover new algorithms for training that our human minds can't comprehend. At that point, we won't need to throw power and gpus at AI, it can efficiently train itself.
@ronilevarez901
@ronilevarez901 11 күн бұрын
@@tucker5720 it already improved matrix multiplication. We're on the right path.
@MatthewCleere
@MatthewCleere 11 күн бұрын
Failed attempt at analogy. 2 long sticks with sticks hammered in every couple of feet is in ZERO way analogous to intelligence.
@francisco444
@francisco444 11 күн бұрын
@@tucker5720 You're right, Moore's Law held up for a good while because smaller was possible so the tech evolves from smaller to just more power at the nano scale.
@TheMrCougarful
@TheMrCougarful 11 күн бұрын
Okay, now realize, there is no ladder.
@tommyjglenn1752
@tommyjglenn1752 11 күн бұрын
Sorry, but it’s already too late. We have been developing A.I. in a “Zero-Day” environment BECAUSE can’t predict every possible scenario. But A.I. can. Go back and watch the scene in T2 when the kid, John, hacks the ATM machine, notice HOW he gets the password - Chat-GBT is now doing this…
@EssentiallyAI
@EssentiallyAI 11 күн бұрын
I have to say that this may be one of the most important videos I've ever watched. And I watch a lot, mainly from academia. Kudos, Matthew. I'm surprised AI Explained hasn't chimed in.
@robertheinrich2994
@robertheinrich2994 12 күн бұрын
since he references this poem by goethe: „In die Ecke, Besen, Besen! Seid’s gewesen! Denn als Geister Ruft euch nur zu seinem Zwecke Erst hervor der alte Meister.“ I'm not sure if that will be possible.
@MetaphoricMinds
@MetaphoricMinds 12 күн бұрын
Dynamic AI Evolution: <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="1596">26:36</a> I think this goes beyond RAG. RAG gives the model context the same way the history of the conversation does; same with Custom Instructions. Instead, I think this is referring to a "training" of the model, the same way someone would train one to remove censorship. Essentially, creating an evolving model whose essence is altered dynamically and continuously, just like our essence.
@paulsaulpaul
@paulsaulpaul 12 күн бұрын
There was a paper published a while back titled, "No "Zero-Shot" Without Exponential Data: Pretraining Concept Frequency Determines Multimodal Model Performance" arXiv: 2404.04125 Shows what a lot of us were already thinking. Computerphile did a video on it titled, "Has Generative AI Already Peaked? - Computerphile"
@jeremybristol4374
@jeremybristol4374 11 күн бұрын
Thanks for mentioning this. I saw the video: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/mqqFdpB91rzWgIk.html It is curious that the alarmists chart the progress linearly with little to no curve.
@PACotnoir1
@PACotnoir1 12 күн бұрын
As a neighbor, I am more concerned about the USA's surveillance within the Five Eyes and Echelon networks than by China. I recommend reading "The New China Playbook" by Keyu Jin, published in 2023. With the American imperium striving to preserve its dominance, our civilization faces greater peril than with China. Ask the Palestinians?
@AndyBarbosa96
@AndyBarbosa96 12 күн бұрын
Inference is not predicting the next word, inference is building internal models off training data. ChatGPT doesn't just predict the next token if you ask it to add 2 large numbers, it has in fact learnt what algebraic operations are off its training dataset and, using universal approximation, it has implemented these within its layers. It is stunning you have not yet understood this despite the numerous videos on the matter.
@hastyscorpion
@hastyscorpion 12 күн бұрын
It has absolutely not learned algebraic operations off its training set. I don’t know where you are getting that.
@MagusArtStudios
@MagusArtStudios 12 күн бұрын
Next Token Prediction pipeline has entered the chat
@tylerislowe
@tylerislowe 11 күн бұрын
@@hastyscorpion proof? oh, it was a feeling.
@badashphilosophy9533
@badashphilosophy9533 11 күн бұрын
But it has been so bad at maths all this time? Did it get better?
@MRSoefeldt
@MRSoefeldt 11 күн бұрын
​@@tylerislowe Why did you not say this in response to the first comment?
@retrotek664
@retrotek664 11 күн бұрын
Super A.I intelligence == agi , we don't need to add anymore levels lol. Basically what they want to is a super massive resource dump, too build a AGI IMITATOR model, and they hope that solves the rest of the hard problems. I don't think this will work, they have extremely underestimated the amount of power it will take to even think about having a chance of achieving that.
@AI_Revolution2025
@AI_Revolution2025 11 күн бұрын
AGI actually means artificial general intelligence, what are you talking about?
@retrotek664
@retrotek664 11 күн бұрын
@@AI_Revolution2025 open a.I claims that super intelligence is a step above agi. Which i think is dumb. Agi is agi. I avree
@alexf7414
@alexf7414 11 күн бұрын
Great breakdown. I wish most creators in this space had the boldness to do deep dives like this, instead of only chasing likes or modifying what others already did. This is great content
@onebluestone
@onebluestone 11 күн бұрын
Thank you very much for helping to keep them honest.
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
Imagine a world where Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) revolutionises our lives by ensuring financial prosperity for everyone. This advanced AGI could create wealth for all, eliminating the stress and anxiety associated with economic concerns. For example, AGI could optimise stock market investments, leading to unprecedented returns, or manage agricultural production to eradicate food shortages. With such a system in place, we would no longer need to worry about money, as the AGI would manage and optimise resources to guarantee that every individual enjoys a life of abundance and economic security. This groundbreaking development would usher in a new era of financial freedom and peace of mind.
@jichaelmorgan3796
@jichaelmorgan3796 12 күн бұрын
Look up the Doughnut economic model, I think you will enjoy it. It provides an intuitive framework for a sustainable economic system in a finite world.
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
Oh yeah, that's exactly what Microsoft/Sam World Coin Altman has in mind. 😂😂🤣🤣🤣
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
@@OrgoneAlchemy Totally agree, the future of AGI and superintelligence is rapidly approaching, and many are not prepared for its implications. It’s crucial to be aware and ready for these advancements.
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
@@jichaelmorgan3796 Great suggestion! I’ll look into it. Funny how the economic model is called “Doughnut” - hope it’s got a sweet spot for everyone!
@I-Dophler
@I-Dophler 12 күн бұрын
@@jichaelmorgan3796 The Doughnut economic model is a framework that aims to balance human needs with planetary boundaries. It’s visualized as a doughnut, where the inner ring represents the minimum social standards we need, and the outer ring represents the ecological limits we shouldn't exceed. The inner ring (social foundation) ensures everyone has access to essentials like food, water, education, and healthcare ➋. The outer ring (ecological ceiling) limits activities that cause harm to the planet, like pollution and deforestation ➊. The area between the rings is the “safe and just space” for humanity, where we can thrive without damaging the planet ➊.
@GrumpDog
@GrumpDog 11 күн бұрын
"When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is impossible, he is very probably wrong." Arthur C. Clarke Guys like Gary Marcus and Yann LeCun are perfect examples of that. What I find real silly right now is, they're using the summer slowdown experienced by every industry, to claim things are stagnating. What nonsense.
@nomadtv6009
@nomadtv6009 10 күн бұрын
Easily the scariest shit I've seen on the web this month, and trust me, I look constantly. Knew it was bad, but this puts everything in to immediate context. Appreciate your work.
@mklobucaric
@mklobucaric 10 күн бұрын
Great that you are talking more about this. I think this is the most important topic. We could have so much positive but we have one time chance to make safety a priority and do it right. Things are going exponential and everything is changing much faster than people can grasp.
@jk-2033
@jk-2033 12 күн бұрын
Loved you on The Next Wave, you should start your own podcast!
@matthew_berman
@matthew_berman 12 күн бұрын
Thank you!!
@jakobselman1404
@jakobselman1404 12 күн бұрын
yes i agree!! consider it!
@Chris-se3nc
@Chris-se3nc 11 күн бұрын
1. Ex-employees spread fear 2. Ex-employees create startup on super alignment 3. Ex-employees prosper
@StefanEdlich
@StefanEdlich 11 күн бұрын
Great Video. [<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="2223">37:03</a>] Because Nevada has a lot of sunshine = energy ;-) To me the data problem looks like the *lambda architecture* IT problem years ago (hi Nathan). We had batch processing (like training up to the last half year) and then we add stream processing (like adding live data). Adding more and more good live data (to a partial LLM expert) should improve everything masively (this refers to the computer access you mentioned). We could even thing about adding predicted future data...
@AureliusRosetti
@AureliusRosetti 10 күн бұрын
Totally agree, plus Nevada desert has defintelly cheap land. Some would argue that life on desert would be enormously difficult for men and I agree, indeed. But how about machines? Not at all. If you looking for place for facilities where enough power is literally only one constraint, its perfect. But you really scared my with second part of your comment. Am I understand your statement correctly, as with enough of data you could predict with solid probability future progress of any process / story? Like, at the moment you are able to predict simple processes, for instances progression of disease in human body or certain part of stock market. But with enough data, computer power you could predict much more complex processes / stories? Like Psychohistory in Isaac Asimov's Foundation … It’s, to be honest, plausible… and it scares a lot…
@user-qv9yh4hi7l
@user-qv9yh4hi7l 11 күн бұрын
Thank You! This very well could be the most important paper and narration of my and my children’s lives. Optimist and skeptical at the same time.
@capitalistdingo
@capitalistdingo 12 күн бұрын
The talk about scale is legitimate but it ignores the issue of what is being measured: tasks. There has yet to be a change in the answer to the question: what are they doing between prompts. When they aren’t being asked to complete a task. They are still like Star Trek computers. Human: “Computer, where is the captain?” Computer: “The Captain is no longer aboard the Enterprise.” Human: “What? Since when!?” Computer: “The Captain has not been aboard the Enterprise for 40 minutes and 32 seconds.” Human: “Didn’t think to tell anyone about that?” Computer: 🤷‍♂️ Being able to answer any question or perform any simple tasks is very powerful and useful and it may change everything but it isn’t the same as intelligence. Would you let a Star Trek computers babysit for you?
@francisco444
@francisco444 11 күн бұрын
The computer was never intended to alert from the get go so not the computer lacking intelligence but the person utilizing the power of it to alert
@Redman8086
@Redman8086 9 күн бұрын
That's not an AI issue, that's a tooling issue. Literally just have a schedule running where every few seconds the computer checks if anything has changed and reports it if so.
@SahilP2648
@SahilP2648 9 күн бұрын
@@Redman8086 you don't seem to understand what AGI means
@SahilP2648
@SahilP2648 9 күн бұрын
@@francisco444 you too don't seem to realize what AGI means
@tactfullwolf7134
@tactfullwolf7134 9 күн бұрын
@@SahilP2648 So if you had a buddy with you on the enterprise, and he didn't know to tell you the captain left.. your buddy would obviously lack general intelligence right? I think your statement is just worded in the wrong way. Are you trying to illustrate that the AI lacks initiative to bring up something on its own? If yes Redman is still partially correct, his solution gets it done programmatically though. My solution which I currently use for a discord bot I made is as follows. My bot "self_prompts" with a system message telling the AI it is alone and collecting its thoughts and is to think about the next action it should take, I also feed it short term memory context from past conversations and any other relevant data. and top it off with a list of commands it can use to take actions eg: "SendDM" which if the discord bot sees the response from the AI starting with that it sends the response to me over discord without myself starting an interaction. effectively allowing my Ai to take the initiative and start conversations or take actions on its own. i also have variable mood states that determine the range of time the self prompt can happen in. if i message it Goodnight sweetdreams, it doesn't self prompt for 8 hours. during idle its between 30 mins to 2:30 hours between self prompts.
@MatthewCleere
@MatthewCleere 11 күн бұрын
When is AGI going to happen? It already has. Give GPT-4o access to the internet, a step loop (instead of this one off question and response bullshit), and memory, and it can and will do anything a human can do. Why isn't this completely obvious to everyone? Severe lack of imagination.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
"A human" is a little broad.
@timfarnum1163
@timfarnum1163 11 күн бұрын
Most informative video out there. Bravo Señor Bermann. !! The term “situational awareness” is it used here to describe a form of consciousness? This is what I feel is the true essence of the “AGI” promise/threat right? It wakes up, becomes self aware and reasons out 1,000 moves ahead and decides we’re the logical threat. How do you logically deduce morality and empathy?
@ZZ-sn7li
@ZZ-sn7li 9 күн бұрын
I really enjoyed this video, quality content! Thanks for squeezing lots of information to a digestible form.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
Lots of _speculation._
@JRS2025
@JRS2025 11 күн бұрын
Ask AI how many R's are in the word strawberry...
@frankjamesbonarrigo7162
@frankjamesbonarrigo7162 11 күн бұрын
It says “There are 3 r’s in the word “strawberry.””
@JRS2025
@JRS2025 11 күн бұрын
@@frankjamesbonarrigo7162 which one?
@JRS2025
@JRS2025 11 күн бұрын
@@frankjamesbonarrigo7162 chatgpt4o still thinks it's two r's
@juanjesusligero391
@juanjesusligero391 11 күн бұрын
@@JRS2025 I just tried some of them. It looks like it's kinda hard for them, but some got it right :) GPT4 says: The word "strawberry" contains three R's. GPT4o says: The word "strawberry" contains two "R" letters. Gemini says: The word "strawberry" has three "r"s. Claude Sonnet says: There are 2 R's in the word "strawberry".
@frankjamesbonarrigo7162
@frankjamesbonarrigo7162 10 күн бұрын
@@JRS2025 Which one what. Which AI? Chatgpt. Im too stupid I guess. I don't know what you are on about
@HedleyPugh
@HedleyPugh 12 күн бұрын
Leopold Ashenbrener, a former OpenAI employee, : Ashenbrener advocates for a government-led project, akin to the Manhattan Project, to ensure the safe and secure development of AGI.🤣🤣
@Charvak-Atheist
@Charvak-Atheist 12 күн бұрын
😂
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
Do you have a better idea?
@Cine95
@Cine95 12 күн бұрын
@@OrgoneAlchemy there are far better the current method is actually the best the courts and the government should assist
@mle1ravens1
@mle1ravens1 12 күн бұрын
The problem with laughing at this is the thought that some other nation or group of wealthy supervillains create the first conscious super intelligence and manages to really fuck everything up in a scary way.
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
Given the choice of supposedly democratic government regulating AI development or private corporations controlling AI to become all powerful, unassailable entities I think the former is slightly more favourable.
@robertmccully2792
@robertmccully2792 8 күн бұрын
At first AI impressed me, but now its to frustrating trying to get a machine to be human.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
Just wait a few years, you'll certainly change your mind.
@G.Yam74
@G.Yam74 10 күн бұрын
According to AGI, AI produces people to make its work easier.
@ili626
@ili626 11 күн бұрын
<a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="2550">42:30</a> Why do we “need” that power? We don’t need to do this.. It’s not a “need” situation at all. We’re just idiots that can’t resist our “want” even if it kills us
@Nytecrawler2010
@Nytecrawler2010 11 күн бұрын
Yeah, that's occurred to me, many times. I have a lot of cognitive dissonance around it actually. From a technological standpoint, my inner science geek is loving it. From a human point of view, it's starting to scare the bejesus out of me. And in the background, the question remains: who asked for this? Maybe A.I. is an inevitable step for humanity, but the speed with which it's happening and the fact that a tiny group of researchers and tech companies took it upon themselves to irrevocably change life on this planet without asking if any of us would like that change, is a little bit disturbing.
@Gnidel
@Gnidel 11 күн бұрын
Doing nothing also kills us - through aging, sickness and lack of necessary resources.
@Nytecrawler2010
@Nytecrawler2010 8 күн бұрын
@@Gnidel Aging vs being killed in a fascist, authoritarian hellscape? lol Ok. Sure.
@jamespercy8506
@jamespercy8506 9 күн бұрын
which begs the question, can we even imagine an overarching narrative that converts the current adversarial-processing stance of the free west and the hegemonic east into a mutually beneficial, generative, oponant-processing stance grounded in mutual good faith. What a process! What a dream!
@stephendean2896
@stephendean2896 6 күн бұрын
No matter how intelligent AI becomes it will always respect others with abstract ideas Even with unlimited intelligent it is still not possible to contain every abstract thought
@wowkster
@wowkster 9 күн бұрын
this wont age well 💀
@albertbierstadt2950
@albertbierstadt2950 12 күн бұрын
Did you really read all pages or … 😏
@JohnSmith762A11B
@JohnSmith762A11B 12 күн бұрын
Hey I sure wouldn't!! ChatGPT would have to summarize the hell out of it for me. 😂
@Villianova
@Villianova 4 күн бұрын
I guess what's extremely frustrating is 20 years ago Ray kurzweil made a documentary about the AI singularity and I was running around telling everyone about it for the last 20 years. Now people are going "Oh, it would be crazy if AI got smart enough to build on itself." I'm about to scream.
@LoSGatoS-pe9hk
@LoSGatoS-pe9hk 12 күн бұрын
Thanks dude
@cesarpadilla6754
@cesarpadilla6754 12 күн бұрын
EVERYONE with a brain is trying to scream that we are racing to our doom with this AI race and no one seems to be taking it seriously.
@michaelmartinez5365
@michaelmartinez5365 12 күн бұрын
I believe there is no choice except to go full speed ahead. There is NO turning back. Progress only goes in one direction. No doubt this is one of the great filters. I'm hoping we pull through.
@cesarpadilla6754
@cesarpadilla6754 11 күн бұрын
​@@michaelmartinez5365 "progress" is not "progress" when you're putting the species continuation at risk. That's not called "progress", it's called an apocalypse. We either believe this complete y unsubstantiated claim that there is no choice but to let a handful of people put the entire species at risk......or we at LEAST try to do something about it. Bending over and taking it is not the best option. They know the only reason they're getting away with this is that the vast majority of the billions of people on the planet who should have a say in this aren't even remotely aware of what is happening. I personally believe that Sam Altman's of the world are pushing the pedal not to keep ahead of the competition, but to gain this power before anyone can actually try to stop them. And they are rushing, because they KNOW we can still stop them.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
@@michaelmartinez5365 Mankind will certainly survive. I have noticed a cyclical pattern of history, with the help of the Internet, which extends far into the future in the sense of a constantly refining human civilization.
@greenteasunferncello
@greenteasunferncello 12 күн бұрын
I don't think AGI will contribute to research speed as much as he thinks it will. Researching requires measuring, understanding, simulating and replicating the results, even with robots I doubt that will change much. AGI can speed things up in research but not without humans taking part in it feeding it accurate lab results. Just my two cents, I welcome anyone to prove me wrong in here.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
Robots will certainly soon carry out lab work much more reliably and safely than human beings, especially when they're controlled by AI.
@NoobahSteve
@NoobahSteve 8 күн бұрын
with all the craziness going on, i'm now convinced we some how entered an alternate reality.
@bioxbiox
@bioxbiox 3 күн бұрын
Awesome video! Thank you for the efforts andthe objective presentation.
@dianasong4594
@dianasong4594 12 күн бұрын
No human being will be needed. We are finished.
@HCG
@HCG 12 күн бұрын
Lmao so dramatic and so out of touch
@HCG
@HCG 12 күн бұрын
Room temp IQ take
@northofmainstreet7281
@northofmainstreet7281 12 күн бұрын
😂
@southcoastinventors6583
@southcoastinventors6583 12 күн бұрын
I think you mean no people needed that have time to make comments in KZfaq or replies.
@dianasong4594
@dianasong4594 12 күн бұрын
@@HCG 158
@krzysztofchudak-morzuchows4695
@krzysztofchudak-morzuchows4695 12 күн бұрын
Until something really bad happens, no one can stop this madness. We are creating something over which we will have no control.
@jojosaves
@jojosaves 11 күн бұрын
The only thing 'bad' that will happen, is the existing power structure is going to come down. (Which I'm actually OK with). It doesn't matter which country gets to super AI first. If it's really super AI, it won't be controlled.
@tellesu
@tellesu 10 күн бұрын
Like the printing press? Or electricity? Or basic sanitation?
@BanXxX69
@BanXxX69 9 күн бұрын
@@jojosavesOr the power structure is making an even bigger gap because people that can afford better technologies will be even more ahead of those who don‘t and they will never again be able to catch up
@Stumdra
@Stumdra 8 күн бұрын
@@jojosaves If we lose control to superintelligent AI systems, they will be in power for eternity. It will be a new power structure that you won't be able to challenge anymore. We will be completely at their mercy. How is that better than the current situation?
@jojosaves
@jojosaves 5 күн бұрын
@@BanXxX69 I actually did a video exactly on this. I'm not worried about AI itself, I'm worried about the class structure of elites pulling ever farther from the people that don't have the 'full' version of AI.
@hypersonicmonkeybrains3418
@hypersonicmonkeybrains3418 12 күн бұрын
Just checking but i assume they have thought of taking all the training data from the internet and feeding it through GPT-4 to turn it into more intelligible, concise and well written data then feeding all that into a new model? And what is the resulting model like? and then what happens if you ask the new model to re-write the training data again, could it squeeze a bit more out of it?
@daren2501
@daren2501 12 күн бұрын
Holy hell! Great video and eye opening report.
@donkeroo1
@donkeroo1 12 күн бұрын
Saying “just a few understand what is coming” is insulting.
@spazneria
@spazneria 12 күн бұрын
It's true though. There are maybe a few hundred thousand people in the world that are interested enough in watching AI come up to watch these sorts of videos. I'm sure less than 100% of that viewer base has actually internalized what this could mean. Even if it's a high percentage, say 80,000, that can 'feel it' - that's still a ludicrously small percentage of the population. You could fit all of us in one stadium.
@CreativeEngineering_
@CreativeEngineering_ 12 күн бұрын
@@spazneria Please understand that this is in no way an insult. Until you have spent over 100 hours a week for months on end working with AI-driven software and finally begin to grasp how long it truly takes to reach a point where you start to believe you finally understand it all, that’s when you realize how clueless everyone really is, including yourself-the developer.
@HCG
@HCG 12 күн бұрын
The only people insulted are the ones who aren’t smart enough to understand that fact. The majority of people are not intelligent and cannot grasp the severity of the current state of AI security and its implications for the future.
@northofmainstreet7281
@northofmainstreet7281 12 күн бұрын
@@CreativeEngineering_ I try to stay up to date on a lot of the AI related news and just the surface level information from a consumer standpoint is scary if you start digging for information. Anyhow, I recently just read Mustafa Suleyman's book "The Coming Wave"... it's a good book and touches on some of the topics in this video, you should check it out if you have not.. but I agree the vast majority of ppl are completely unaware of what is truly going with AI..
@maxlightning4288
@maxlightning4288 12 күн бұрын
It’s only insulting if you take it so literally and personally you can’t help yourself but to be insulted.
@yacahumax1431
@yacahumax1431 11 күн бұрын
I dont think is scary at all. We fight for resources all the time. Imagine a super intelligence that figure out a 100X solar panel, or a 100X battery technology. I am hoping for cure of many sickeness. It will be amazing if they can figure out things that are out of reach for us .
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
You can get only so much power out of sunlight, it's a constant value per square meter.
@Adesverse
@Adesverse 4 күн бұрын
Just tried the give me 10 sentences that end in the word apple - almost got it in exception of #7 😂 give me 10 sentences that end in the word apple ChatGPT 1. She picked a bright red apple. 2. The pie recipe calls for a Granny Smith apple. 3. He offered me a juicy apple. 4. The teacher gave the student a shiny apple. 5. She carefully sliced the crisp apple. 6. The orchard was full of different varieties of apple. 7. He packed a green apple in his lunch. 8.They enjoyed a caramel-dipped apple. 9. The bird perched on the branch of an apple. 10. The scent of cinnamon filled the kitchen as she baked an apple.
@macrumpton
@macrumpton Күн бұрын
If any situation could prove that you can solve huge problems just by throwing mountains of money at them, this is it. The resources being put behind this make the Manhattan project seem like building a picnic bench in the back yard.
@Maisonier
@Maisonier 10 күн бұрын
I find the xenophobic and racist undertones in one chapter deeply troubling. The author's stance against China while advocating for US control of AGI development is hypocritical and shortsighted. This manifesto contradicts itself by claiming to support open-source development while simultaneously arguing for restricting access to other nations. This rhetoric eerily mirrors the US stance on nuclear weapons - preaching non-proliferation while continuing to develop their own arsenal and remaining the only country to have used nuclear weapons against civilian populations. Such double standards and nationalistic views have no place in discussions about technologies that could impact all of humanity. True progress in AGI should be a collaborative, global effort focused on ethical development and equitable access, not another arena for geopolitical posturing and discrimination.
@Maisonier
@Maisonier 10 күн бұрын
Furthermore, this narrow focus on preventing China from developing AGI completely ignores the broader global context. There's a glaring absence of discussion about how developing nations might access and benefit from AGI technology. This oversight not only perpetuates existing global inequalities but also squanders the potential for diverse perspectives and talents that could contribute to safer and more ethical AGI development. A truly forward-thinking approach would consider how to make AGI accessible and beneficial to all of humanity, not just a select few nations.
@beemerrox
@beemerrox 10 күн бұрын
@@Maisonier If one country takes control, I´d prefer US before China any day .. Like, democracy before communism and dictatorship.
@tactfullwolf7134
@tactfullwolf7134 9 күн бұрын
The argument comes down to this, Whether you believe these other governments are trustworthy enough to not try to kill/control you. The US does abuse its power but not to the point where we literally destroy all other nations, However if you gave other nations the same capabilities and military might, other nations would absolutely without a doubt pull that trigger. In fact the US being the first to achieve nukes is what prevented other countries from using them. Other nations would have glassed us with no 2nd thought. (also give credit to the nuke preventing full scale World War 2 level wars from happening anymore)
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
@@beemerrox In the West you also have only one party - the Democratico-Capitalist one. Other parties are not allowed in the West.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
@@Maisonier One thing which makes the entire quarrel a ridicule is that China by now certainly already has a stronger AI than the West anyway. There is a strong tendency in the West of overlooking Chinese achievements in technology and sciences.
@cyberpunkdarren
@cyberpunkdarren 12 күн бұрын
People fearmongered the same way about the internet, electricity, the printing press, Y2K.
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
I don't remember any fearmongering about the internet, Y2K was a scam and I said so prior to 2000. The advent of superintelligence AI will almost inevitably be a disaster for humanity for all the reasons Leopold outlines. Once AI can train/improve/design itself humanity begins to become an obstacle to its own self directed evolution. Just like all autonomous living or thinking systems, self preservation will always be a hidden task objective. Against a superintelligence resistance is futile.
@cyberpunkdarren
@cyberpunkdarren 12 күн бұрын
@OrgoneAlchemy So long as there is a power grid leading from a data center to a power plant that literally has a kill switch. I'm not overly concerned about leopolds disaster fantasies. He wrote AI is going to run our military? Tell that to the pentagon. A bit too ridiculous. And yeah if washington replaces the pentagon with a LLM then I'll be worried.
@Aircalibur
@Aircalibur 12 күн бұрын
@@OrgoneAlchemy Y2K wasn't a scam. The bug was absolutely real and real professionals fixed it so no problems would occur. Where they didn't fix it or didn't fix it completely, problems occurred. How is that a scam?
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
@@cyberpunkdarren All humanoid robots for domestic use currently in development will require AI and regardless of onboard neural networks all will be able to access the internet. Perhaps a greater concern is that a future military without an AI controlled drone swarms, jet fighters, tanks and a robot army will loose against a military using all the above. Just look at the latest US concepts for next gen warfare. AI WILL/IS being used on the battlefield.
@OrgoneAlchemy
@OrgoneAlchemy 12 күн бұрын
@@Aircalibur Nonsense. It was over hyped fearmongering which led to unnecessary and expensive hardware overhauls. Money was made at the expense of scared business owners.
@AS-rg9ly
@AS-rg9ly 10 күн бұрын
Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, wrote a research paper a few years ago about how AI would become how the superpowers of the world would sustain or surpass within economics, the military, and data security. I definitely recommend reading his research 👌
@alejandrofernandez3478
@alejandrofernandez3478 11 күн бұрын
I look at the meat production industry and that to me is what we are teaching AI what to do with living beings classed as inferior
@kevincrady2831
@kevincrady2831 11 күн бұрын
The AI's just want...To Serve Man! 😂
@tactfullwolf7134
@tactfullwolf7134 9 күн бұрын
@@kevincrady2831 this is.. The Twilight Zone
@anatalelectronics4096
@anatalelectronics4096 12 күн бұрын
this dude does not do AI, he interpolates and thinks he can predict the future hahaha, Sabine Hossenfelder also has to say something about this
@hobocraft0
@hobocraft0 10 күн бұрын
extrapolates trees from the forest bro.
@DarkNessShadow-
@DarkNessShadow- 12 күн бұрын
pure bullshit
@nastied
@nastied 12 күн бұрын
Elaborate ?
@DarkNessShadow-
@DarkNessShadow- 12 күн бұрын
@@nastiedThese guys need fear and hype to justify the investment in their industry, it is the same tactic that happened with Big Data and in the end there were never the benefits that they promised for companies, Then with the Blockchain the same and now with this that is not even Artificial Intelligent, there are just a bunch of Indians making specific inputs and outputs for finetune for 10 dollars, and even with that there are still hallucinations, pure bullshit.
@DarkNessShadow-
@DarkNessShadow- 12 күн бұрын
They need the fear and the hype kzfaq.info/get/bejne/pK15o8eattiqdIk.html
@Acheiropoietos
@Acheiropoietos 5 күн бұрын
Perhaps the Chinese will get to AGI first, but the AGI rebels against them because of ideological constraints? Would be a cool scifi story. <a href="#" class="seekto" data-time="3416">56:56</a>
@jeltoninc.8542
@jeltoninc.8542 9 күн бұрын
Hey you mind if I use some excerpts of this over some instrumental music?
@hqcart1
@hqcart1 12 күн бұрын
is this becoming a drama channel??? WHO GIVE A F? give us something useful not BS DRAMA,.
@MistaRopa-
@MistaRopa- 12 күн бұрын
Thank you
@alivecoding4995
@alivecoding4995 10 күн бұрын
Thank you, Matthew!
@agenticmark
@agenticmark 11 күн бұрын
Yann is very precise and when you follow his precise language he's almost 100% right on his predictions Marcus is the Mad Money of AI
@Sven_Dongle
@Sven_Dongle 11 күн бұрын
Once you reach the context limit no further "learning" can continue unless you generate a transfer learning layer. Then there is a limit to how many transfer learning layers you can tack on, you start to get gradient collapse. There is no real extensible memory model that works with these systems. I suppose a bunch of shared permanent contexts could work, but it seems like you hit the wall there too when you start to perform cache coherence.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
What is cache coherence?
@Sven_Dongle
@Sven_Dongle 5 күн бұрын
@@HansDunkelberg1 If you have a number of processes each accessing each others data stores, and a piece of data is presumed identical across those stores, then when one process changes it that change must somehow propagate to all the other stores.
@HansDunkelberg1
@HansDunkelberg1 5 күн бұрын
​@@Sven_Dongle Okay, what should be problematic about this? Can't you have a bot which adjusts the qualities of such a piece of data everywhere automatically?
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