and his prediction on grain prices was pretty much spot on

Jesus, this video touches on so many important aspects of climate change. Watching it 12 years later and you can see it all playing out.

I don't know why but he spoke at my high school and was really interesting. He must have dumbed everything down enough because he got 8th graders to shut up. Later I learned who he was and it's amazing to hear him again.

Where are my 2020 bros at? Surfs up for the Kali Yuga!

Can't believe this has only had 10K views! - should be required in schools. Wake up Canada!

This is a harsh lecture. Wait, 2010? Um, you mean we have learned nothing since then?!

Mr. Dyer was required reading in my Poli-sci courses at King's College in London, ON (where he attended). Watch his 1983 documentary "War". It is dated now, but excellent.

did he just predict the current refugee crisis.

March 5th, 2021 - 418.21 ppm carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. I think we're gonna make it to 450 before 2060.

390ppm atmospheric CO2 when the talk was held, 418.56ppm now.

Here, let me fix that for you: Soon you will understand, when the experience outweighs the doubt.

This has entirely too few views, let's start sending this to people. We need blunt facts and statements about climate change in the public consciousness now.

This is a superb talk. Most impressive is the last half hour of Q & A.

It is suprisingly adequate to the situation in 2023.. Why so low interest in tis lecture, it is a great one.

it is now 2016 and this is frighteningly prescient.

Dyer writes excellent articles weekly on international affairs for the Japan Times.

I liked this video many many years ago. Interesting how it has very little views. Much has come true. He predicted drying for agriculture, which has happened, in some places theres flooding. Either way, its no good for ag. Im sort of interested in midwest ag in how farms are going under from either trade with china (soy beans) flooding along the mississippi (climate change and monoculture) or just the failing of a dairy farm because of the market. Less grain to feed the cows might lead to less fast food supply? Maybe not. Theres so much being made and there still a huge demand for burgers, ice cream, cheese, etc. its odd that the way we farm is hurting our ability to farm. We are creating a dustbowl esque scenario but global and much much more complex. When is the breaking point? Will we see an increase in fast food sale from lower grain production? Will we ever have an inability to supply the chicken, pork, and beef for americans huge demand? Corn was pretty low this year in wisconsin.

He came to my school and gave this same lecture. Was really interesting!

11 years later and nobody has done a god damn thing. We're fucked.

I hate the fact that this has only had 716 views. Thanks for posting!

"Point of no return is 450ppm CO2, We're at 390 ppm CO2 now." - 2018, we're at 410ppm CO2.... 17:00

He just predicted the Arab Spring Five years of drought in the levant led to mass migrations into the cities by poor farmers when their marginal lands dried and their crops failed. So you had millions of poor people flooding the cities, with few skills, to find there weren't jobs for them in damascus or cairo or tunis. Until 2010, regional governments were able to buy grain on the international market in order to subsidize grain prices for the poor fellahin. Suddenly, Russia loses half of its crop and imposes export bans to protect its own population and keep prices in check. Suddenly, the millions of poor migrants in cities like Cairo and Damascus could no longer afford bread without subsidies, and they take to the streets in protest. In Egypt, the military threw their lot in with the tahrir square crowd simply to get rid of mubarak. Once they'd gotten rid of Mubarak, they turned on the protesters and took power back for themselves. In Syria, it split. Ten years later, Syria is a failed state with ruined cities and fighting causing mass refugee exodus to the surrounding countries, some of them making it to Europe *When Turkey wants them to*.

Oh man, please re-dub or clean up the audio of the beginning of the Q&A section. Between the muffled audio and bad automatic closed captioning most of it is indecipherable. But this is an important talk, that everyone should have heard 10 years ago when it happened. But it’s urgent that they hear it now.

So... for as long as I can remember, I've looked forward to being a Dad someday. I've been feeling a little self-pressure, given that at this point I'm 3 years older than my parents were when they had me (their first kid). But after this video... ...I'm not in nearly as big a hurry to bring children into this world.

Great presentation

If you’re looking away from the video just imagine David letterman doing this presentation. Dude sounds just like him!

God bless u n ur family, Mr Gwynne Dyer, I m ur Fan on Cyprus Mail NP. Ur all articles have been changing the Mindset of the Rulers, Politicians, Officials and the general public in the World. Therefore I request here to write about the Prisons in Brazil where many incidents happen frequently bcz of congestion in the ward, n Barracks. I dont think Brazil does not have land to build big prisons in open areas n big Barracks. Criminals r to punish bcz they r dangerous in Society but not kill like this n praise the Lord .

The problem in all of this is going back to the fundamental: Engergy, engergy &.. wait for it... Energy... What ever you do, you need to make sure that you do not use fossil fuel in order to generate the energy to design, build & maintain these geo-engineering systems. That is the real challenge.

Interesting to watch this from 8 years later - 2018. All the bad news has continued to worsen; none of the good appears even on the ropes. It's KO'd. Yes, geoengineering might buy us some time - to do the things we've spent another 8 years not doing. Nor will we. All of which, even before Trump and what will be his legacy - which greatly outlast him in legislative and administrative ways.Our - the North's - kids will be ok. Grandkids? Not so much. Beyond them? Pick you favorite armageddon.

this guy does seriously good work.

If he was prettier he could do a Ted Talk.

i wish the majority realized how true that is. j

Except it's even worse than this, because of what we're now seeing with the destabilization of the jet stream, and how sticky weather patterns can turn relatively mild changes catastrophic. Back then we thought there would be a smooth effect starting at the equator and moving north, but we now know that was fantasy, nowhere is safe. Added on to that are massive die-offs and loss of biodiversity, and running out of key resources that would make these geo-engineering plans inoperable... welp, that's all folks! Smoke'm while you gottem!

what the hell happened to the camera setup when the Q&A started... Once the Q&A starts, my tip is to skip ahead to 1:08:45, the camera switches and you can hear what theyre saying again

This aged well.

How long has he had that jacket? :P

what he says ~ 13 about the built in delay in the IPCC reports is true of academia generally as well, hence many of the experts are lagging lagging lagging. Wasdell, Hanson, Schneider, and some others are stepping forward, but they are lone voices.

52:35 Oh My God, he actually went there. Anyone seen Animatrix? LOL.

My next read, for sure.

This guy is super smart, he knows what I know!

watch it at 1.5 speed for Jeebus sake

Crutzen actually threw his hands in the air and said were fucked. Be interesting to hear/read a revision to his 2008 book Climate Wars.

Rainfall is up and down all over the place, and the changing weather patterns are having a notable effect on grain production, water flows, salinity, and the greater economy. Perth is probably going to be in real trouble in a decade or so, they have little rainfall and the geography of Western Australia doesn't lend itself to water storage solutions at all. But it doesn't change the fact that this lecture claims a complete halt in grain exports since the late 2000s, which is utterly false.

His name says it all.

Well damn

Listen to him, is like listen to a guy from the future.

and children unborn will see us with scorn...

33:52 1:21:00

Andrew Yang running for president in America is advocating that we need to fund geoengineering research . the only candidate to do so. The time has come

i was correct when i said expence. but thanks for the added demension. i spell for crap. most who know me , know this is true. doesn't change the facts. of which i am correct about. with a light heart i do not really feel, again ty for at least remaining kind in your discourse. j

@bobthefishmonger Is this from personal/professional experience, or just the opinion of one guy in a room typing to himself? Easy to have convictions when nothing in riding on their accuracy, no?

soon you will understand, when the expence out ways the doubt. j

This man should be allowed an hour a week to explain all this to the idiots in this country that think Republicans are right.

this is terrifying

sad truth. j

Crazy how he predicted this 10 years ago. As far as I know all his pessimistic predictions seem to be more or less on track. The critical path is food I think. We need something like microalgae that grow in some kind of solar panel on rooftops. Genetically engineered to provide all the nutrients and automated, with very little water and energy consumption and very cheap. Something that can be grown almost anywhere. Just add more panels. Otherwise it's going to be total war.

Gwynne Dyer seems like a pretty intelligent person who is out over their skis when discussing topics like CO2 removal. Dr Dyer, yes we don't want it there. But it takes energy to do what you ask. Do praytell where all this energy for CO2 removal comes from? I think any attempt to answer this question by Dr Dyer will result in the absurdity of his desire to become manifest to him. Thinking in terms of energy should illuminate the problem for these believers in a supernatural.

This is a thoroughly interesting lecture from a clearly well researched man, but he really needs to reign in the alarmism. He completely had me going until the part about Australia's collapse in grain exports. As an Australian I can assure you that we have had no such halt on grain exports over any period, let alone the last three years. This year they've been damaged by EXCESS rainfall. It's true that climate change has harmed yields, but nowhere near as much as being claimed here.

This kind of stuff makes not want to have kids.

it is what the guy said it is , yet he has not taken into consideration the technological advancement and its role in making life conditions better in general, this is what many economists have failed to take into consideration in the 70's also when they anticipated a crisis of that sort also. i know over population is the worst thing that could happen to the planet. combining this with water scarcity and climate change and its a perfect recipe for disaster and regional wars . i just want to look at the positive side and hope just hope that technological advancement will solve some of these problems.

Malthusian.

10 years ago and not fucking thing in anyway presented in this lecture have been done? Come on homo sapiens let's try something or?

So this is how we fix the obesity epidemic, eh?

The prime minister of Canada writes books about hockey. Maybe he should write on Canada's future. Pathetic petty little man.

Test

Ice is now increasing in cover and thickness in the Antarctic ..... where does that fit in?

None of this applies to you if you are rich. You will always have a nice place to live and plenty of food etc.. You just need to keep the system going for as long as possible and when the time comes to cash out you simply move to wherever the grass is green and the water flows and the brown people are far far away. Be rich, be Republican, and you will be just fine. What's left of the world will be your oyster.

reddit collapse

Dyer has been predicting the end of the world since the early 1980s. This guy will be disappointed when nothing happens. He is a Doomsayer and he has made a living out of always predicting the End Times that never seem to come.

go vegan!!!!!!!!!

zzzzzzzzzzzz

maybe stick to 1980s war docs

Dyer is full of absolute nonsense.