Harvard's Feldstein Says Debt to Reach 100% of GDP by End of Decade

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Bloomberg Television

Bloomberg Television

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Feb.22 -- Harvard University George F. Baker Professor of Economics Marty Feldstein discusses the U.S. debt and deficit. Bloomberg Intelligence's Gina Martin Adams joins the conversation on "Bloomberg Surveillance."

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@DP-js2fi
@DP-js2fi 5 жыл бұрын
Not to mention the industrial war complex....
@BrianCroner
@BrianCroner 5 жыл бұрын
Abolish the military.
@pranavkrishnan3239
@pranavkrishnan3239 5 жыл бұрын
America federal debt to GDP ratio is already over 108%. What is this guy smoking?
@caulijutsu1575
@caulijutsu1575 5 жыл бұрын
The Universe of Tranquility not even counting unfunded state obligations. A lot of people are not going to get the support they were expecting.
@pranavkrishnan3239
@pranavkrishnan3239 5 жыл бұрын
@@caulijutsu1575Yeah, adding state debt puts America debt obligation to over 125%. Then on top of that you have ridiculous amounts of corporate debt and personal debt. The total debt in the US is close to 78 Trillion. And almost a 3rd of that is debt owed to foreign entities. The economy is not as booming as most analysts would like you to believe.
@houfame
@houfame 5 жыл бұрын
@@pranavkrishnan3239 the professor is not talking of US government debt but the annual government budget deficit which now is around $1 trillion and will reach 100% of GDP by end of 2030. US total debt without unfunded social and welfare obligations stood at around $63.6 trillions. These debts are total of US govt., States, local govt, agencies, households, students loans, etc.
@henrygustav7948
@henrygustav7948 5 жыл бұрын
kzfaq.info/get/bejne/ncWZnsx72Z_MZnk.html Doesn't matter, Fed Govt 22 trillion debt = non Govt surplus. www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2018ltr.pdf "Those who regularly preach doom because of government budget deficits (as I regularly did myself for many years) might note that our country’s national debt has increased roughly 400-fold during the last of my 77-year periods. That’s 40,000%! Suppose you had foreseen this increase and panicked at the prospect of runaway deficits and a worthless currency. To “protect” yourself, you might have eschewed stocks and opted instead to buy 31⁄4 ounces of gold with your $114.75. And what would that supposed protection have delivered? You would now have an asset worth about $4,200, less than 1% of what would have been realized from a simple unmanaged investment in American business. The magical metal was no match for the American mettle. Our country’s almost unbelievable prosperity has been gained in a bipartisan manner. Since 1942, we have had seven Republican presidents and seven Democrats. In the years they served, the country contended at various times with a long period of viral inflation, a 21% prime rate, several controversial and costly wars, the resignation of a president, a pervasive collapse in home values, a paralyzing financial panic and a host of other problems. All engendered scary headlines; all are now history"
@henrygustav7948
@henrygustav7948 5 жыл бұрын
@@Emperor1118 no its at 105% and Japan is at 250% so WHAT lol
@pdales2257
@pdales2257 5 жыл бұрын
But military spending at 6 trillion, And bank bailouts are not the problem?
@svtrader
@svtrader 5 жыл бұрын
The old man is going senile. Debt has surpass GDP.
@chriscrabtree1735
@chriscrabtree1735 5 жыл бұрын
Here's a great idea: Lets raise retirement age while millions of jobs disappear over next decade.
@thefarmersdaughter8235
@thefarmersdaughter8235 5 жыл бұрын
This old crocodile would rob Social Security to save the bond holders.
@thefarmersdaughter8235
@thefarmersdaughter8235 5 жыл бұрын
@Gary Powell , you mean the government borrowed from SS don't you? And THEY don't want to pay it back?
@shaochiavang
@shaochiavang 5 жыл бұрын
@Gary Powell SS has a $2.5+ trillion surplus...the only reason why the government want to cut it is bc they used it all and can't pay it back now.
@dawnbreak2867
@dawnbreak2867 5 жыл бұрын
snake
@steved2667
@steved2667 5 жыл бұрын
Impossible to raid SS Trust Funds. There are ZERO dollars in them. Simply an accounting mechanism. The federal govt creates new dollars every time it spends. Neither taxation nor borrowing is necessary for the federal govt to spend.
@jamiekloer6534
@jamiekloer6534 5 жыл бұрын
Don’t you have to? If not you destroy your credit and no one accepts your currency.
@kimwelch4652
@kimwelch4652 5 жыл бұрын
Oh, yes, we must cut off the poor because no one can raise taxes on the rich. Greed is a mortal sin.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
For Catholics? That's a joke...but it sounds Catholic.
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf 5 жыл бұрын
huh? money in savings is not the same thing as hidden food or other assets...money is just paper or electronic bits. So, if a persons has tons of it in a bank account, it means nothing.
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf 5 жыл бұрын
the proper way to see things is not by judging "the rich" for having so much paper stuffed in their bank account...but instead, by how well the poor have been doing historically. And historically, the last 25 years has seen hundreds of millions of people brought out of poverty worldwide.
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf 5 жыл бұрын
@Olivia P Mr. Shkreli went to prison if I recall...the population explosion is in the less developed nations, population decline in the West...so now the West is being colonized, ironic. Yes, too much income/asset consolidation can be destabilizing for a society, but life is getting better all the time, despite wealth being more concentrated...for example, I used to own an Audi in 2008, now, modern entry level cars are just as good, if not better, than an Audi from 10 years ago. Even poor people are obese...so there seems to be plenty of food...and unemployment is low, in America. In other words, yes, thanks to automation, the only real money is in hyper intellectual fields such as computer science, mathematics (algorithms) , medicine, etc...so wealth is concentrating in those hands...but life, for the average person, is still getting better and better...on average of course. Our biggest problems are reducing the national debt and improving education. You should heed the advice of George Orwell, when talking about "defenders of the poor"...he said, most of these activists don't love the poor, so much as they hate the rich.
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf
@MarkMcAllister-ni9sf 5 жыл бұрын
@Olivia P All of the things you mentioned, paint prices, dog nail trimming, etc...are first world problems. When I say life for people is getting better and better, I am thinking globally...global poverty has been halved in the last 20 years. We need to tackle our debt, we are being cowboys with the Dollar's status as the global reserve currency...we have everybody else of the barrel currently, but eventually the world will ditch the Dollar if we are not responsible with the global currency. Much of our standard of living is based on the purchasing power of the Dollar. Anyway, thank you for the debate, I don't really know what your solutions to any of the above is...perfect is the enemy of the good when it comes to how people see Capitalism...you seem to blame the rich and Republicans, which seems like a pretty narrow way to look at the problem of decline in low skilled labor wages; automation and immigration depress low skill wages...not the rich gouging the poor with sneaky packaging shrinkage. The poor have no money, so it's not very lucrative to steal from them. I mean the richest people in the World, today, are not royalty or the monopoly guy...they are self made men and women who made companies that changed the world...they created value, the didn't pick anybody's pocket. But your solution might.
@derekbedford9833
@derekbedford9833 5 жыл бұрын
I think we should just end social security.
@norrispg6085
@norrispg6085 4 жыл бұрын
wow, that's really going out on a limb when, at this time, the GDP was $21T and we were approaching $22T
@dogguy8603
@dogguy8603 3 жыл бұрын
Ha, thoese were good times now its closer to 29% Debt to GDP is at 128% and the money printer is working overtime
@rs72098
@rs72098 5 жыл бұрын
There are countries such as Japan, Ireland, Portugal that have well over 100% of GDP. It's hard to say when this will actually affect the US dollar.
@ireneuszpyc6684
@ireneuszpyc6684 5 жыл бұрын
small countries can afford to be irresponsible (like children) because they assume that big countries will bail them out; America cannot afford to be irresponsible: America is supposed to be a grown-up, and no one guarantees to bail-out America
@ireneuszpyc6684
@ireneuszpyc6684 5 жыл бұрын
@Teringventje how high is "higher debt levels" ?
@beamerM5
@beamerM5 5 жыл бұрын
Thanks Bloomberg, this is the one of the very few videos that you upload and actually makes sense.
@bananarepublic1339
@bananarepublic1339 5 жыл бұрын
His views are spot on. We are all waing for that collapse in bonds though
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
Are 30 year Bonds being manipulated down to entice buyers back into the housing market?
@bananarepublic1339
@bananarepublic1339 5 жыл бұрын
@@kirstinstrand6292 kicking the can down the road
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
@@bananarepublic1339 Yes, the simple reason. Then they are selling bonds...and they are being bought at the same rates? I guess I need a bond course. Thank you, every little bit helps. And of course they want to continue the housing piggy bank.
@benh9350
@benh9350 5 жыл бұрын
debt based economic system A debt based economic system is, in part, a poverty inducing, promoting, and masking system. The system encourages poverty than masks it with the goods and services that are rendered. The system exists with an interest in self perpetuation through the activity of banking. The system is nebulous and amorphic. Poverty is generally understood to mean a lack of something. Economic poverty is a lack of real economic resources. The current economic system is a debt based system based on fiat money and is therefore a nebulous and amorphic poverty inducing and promoting system perpetuated through the banking industry and allied interests. I don’t understand how people can say that the level of poverty is going down around the world based on the expansion of a debt based system. I don’t understand why people are concerned with the level of debt the US or any nation has because the system is debt, and all the level of debt tells us is the volume of the debt cloud. The system should be referred to and thought of as a cloud because that is what it most resembles. A debt based economic systems that is not tied to any one good or service is a conceptual creation in the minds of those who use the system as a factor to mitigate social interactions. That is all this is, and that is all it can be as an economic system. Why do we have a social system like this? The answer is to enable power and control over others in a systemic way much more than to enable a fluid functioning of work. I don’t really see a true need for this system. We can base our social interactions on something real, a shared understanding that some things need to be done for our collective mutual benefit. Dose a military draft and paying taxes not work this way? Most people run a home by asking and expecting people in the home to do chores to maintain the living space. Some people pay other members of the community to do house work but others expect family members or housemates to do work, and may call it an allowance, some people don’t and roll the payment of the chore done into the cost of running a home like paying a tax. But, work can still be done in the absence of money and benefit is still gained from that work. Do people pay trees to grow so they can be harvested for lumber? No, tress grow without the need for money. Do I communicate with you because I am paid to do so? No, I communicate voluntarily for our mutual benefit. That we currently exist in a debt cloud, all costs involved in the production of this letter are paid by me by my past and future social participation, which is contingent on the continuation of the economic system. So what is the real and true need of the monetary system we have right now? What is the true need of this debt cloud most of the world lives in? Your friendly neighborhood philosopher, Ben EDIT: I want to thank everyone for your interest in these thoughts. To the commentators who suggest that I do not understand the current state and workings of the monetary system just because I don't agree with it, all I can say is that this is my perspective, and thank you for sharing yours. If you are interested in books that are related to the concepts shared above I suggest looking at "Capital in the Twenty-First Century" by Thomas Piketty and UBUNTU Contributionism: A Blueprint for Human Prosperity by Michael Tellinger they are different books but both cover perspectives of the economic system in different critical ways. Thanks, be well.
@brunosilvestrin9323
@brunosilvestrin9323 5 жыл бұрын
sounds like communism. credit and debt is needed to give the economy room to grow. with no credit and debt you are putting restraints on an economy. However you dont seem to be advocating for a gold standard but for communism which is laughable. An analogy of running the economy like a home? Who will be the man in charge of this home? Have you not seen society, a struggle for power takes place in nearly every household which makes teenagers move out and fed for themselves. In other words Communism leads to DICTATORSHIP (just like every household) we have see this through out history. cut it out.
@benh9350
@benh9350 5 жыл бұрын
@@brunosilvestrin9323 thanks for taking an interest in my comment. No, I'm not thinking of communism. Look up the Ubuntu contributionism idea for a closer and evolved version of what you may be thinking of. Im only saying that the system we use is not the best we can do and is not even that good. You think there needs to be a controller or many layers to social interactions, and yet here we are speaking with each other without a controller... Any idea that is opposed to capitalism and fiat money is not communism. I'm suggesting that we work towards a moneyless social system. Communism still uses money you know it's just about who has the money power between Communism and Capitalism. I'm thinking about what is best for everyone, and fair to everyone. In our current social reality banks and the fed are the bedrock and I don't think that is right, money talks and can control anything and that is not right. Do you think that is right? Do you disagree with my main understanding of our fiat debt based system?
@brunosilvestrin9323
@brunosilvestrin9323 5 жыл бұрын
@@benh9350 money is not the cause for poverty. Money is a measurement of contribution/productivity. Money causes poverty as much as a metre stick causes someone to lose a track race. So let's live in your world. I'm lazy it's 1:30 pm where I am right now and I just woke up. I don't wanna work. Now what is you utopian society going to do about it.
@brunosilvestrin9323
@brunosilvestrin9323 5 жыл бұрын
@Anthony Harness even if it were "NWO" what makes the old world order any better? we had 2 world wars and a multitude of other wars and problems
@benh9350
@benh9350 5 жыл бұрын
@@brunosilvestrin9323 Great questions. To your first comment about money. Money can be a measurement of work done or promised work to be done but money is other things too. For example, if money was only a byproduct of work done than any work done would result in money, but that is not true/ that does not happen because money is not a natural force it is a social construct. To get money you need to have someone give it to you, so money is also a form of power. Our main money, the US dollar, is a fiat currency that has not intrinsic value and when represented as a digital currency has not physical form. Our money is not as simple as a byproduct of work done. If you look at the current monetary system it looks like a fractal system where all people who use the system are creating ever smaller fractals of the larger system. For example, I give you money for work done which I took credit out to have done which was credit extended to me from a bank which is debt taken by the bank based on fractional reserve lending or credit extended to the bank from a branch of the federal reserve which is a member of the world monetary fund, and then good luck because it gets murky. That's just one line drawn through how USD exists, and there are other lines that can be drawn because the economy is a complex social construct. This is part of what money is and how it is used. Would you agree with my example and understanding? Yes money is a tool but how money is used helps create poverty and mask poverty and enables power plays. So I don't see how economists can argue that by expanding the system we see a decline in poverty, it is just not possible. Alternative monetary systems will suffer the same fate as the current one if they are allowed to be used in the same way, people will try to find a way to abuse the system and that won't make peoples lives better. For example, Bitcoin. My understanding is that Bitcoin is "mined" and that there is a finite amount of Bitcoin to be mined. What does this sound like? To me it sounds like a digital representation of gold mining, or any resource acquisition, and creating a monetary system based on mining or any resource acquisition. It is basically the same thing people used in the past with the gold standard and will likely have the same course of evolution that the USD has had. Bitcoin is nothing new or different than what has exited before except that it just fakes real resource acquisition, and wastes electricity. Your question about work is more interesting, life requires some kind of work. All living things have to work to get anything done, so any social system that people come up with will require work. I think these ideas are not utopian, though I suppose anything better than what one experiences can be seen as utopian. If you looked up the Ubuntu contributionisim ideas and are asking about that than I would suggest you read the book by Tellinger or watch videos on the subject, because there is more to it than I can cover here. But on the subject of work, people will always need to work and to do otherwise is boring, just ask any restless retired person or unemployed person who wants to be engaged or any entrepreneurial person who has the fire. People want to get things done so that is not really the question here, the question is what that work means socially and how that work is done. Still I bet you are wondering how we can get along if we don't use money, how will anything get done and how will people have private projects etc. If we go back to the ideas of Ubuntu contributionisim , Ubuntu is a popular South African or African word which means community essentially, people can still do what they want and more so because people will not have to work as much because the community would be leveraging work. In a way if you we remove money as a tool of enslavement than we can just use and benefit from the work we do and the work of others. So you see money while a tool is used in large part to enslave others, so human societies can not progress by using money. Also, with the continuation of the industrial age as we move into using more and more robots people will continue to be displaced from work and this is why we see the idea of Universal Basic Income being explored, the only logical end point is to remove money from communities. And if we do so, people will not go nuts and hoard or stock pile things to triad for other things that would be a reaction based on scarcity, part of what we use not to justify costs and precised value, but what happens right now is people manage the economy it is not an open free market like some think. For example food cost is subsidized, how much is food worth to you when you are hungry? Do you pay full market value of food right now? No, you don't, because food production is government subsidized. And then there is all the wast, for example millions of pounds of soy beans are going to go to wast because China will not buy them. Can the US give the soy beans to the US population, sure, can the farmers sell them to someone else, maybe but they would have to do it quickly. The point is is that our use of money as a tool creates scarcity, a self imposed handicap. Without money ideas can flourish and people can question who things are done and what can be done. Without this tool called money the world will be a better place. But, without money within a money world is not nice, just look at Venezuela right. So there will need to be a transition, and that transition will need to employ money to create a social environment that can then let go of using money. This is a lot to think about if you have not encountered this before but take it slow and look into the different points; I don't know your experience with these points maybe you are a banker and you may know these things but if you are a banker and do not know these things than why not? And yes, none of this matters if we all die from a mass extinction event self imposed or otherwise but baring the maga bad, this is how we can really unlock human potential. It is amazing to think that something so basic to everyday life, like the bedrock that is the banking industry in our society, can be holding us back so much, but that is reality and that is what needs to change. Our reality needs to change. I would love to read your thoughts.
@rs72098
@rs72098 5 жыл бұрын
Once we can't pay the interest on US debt, which would require national debt to be 120 trillion, then we definitely have a problem.
@chrisbaker2669
@chrisbaker2669 5 жыл бұрын
120 trillion in debt will happen in my lifetime unfortunately.
@oterenceo
@oterenceo 5 жыл бұрын
Thank you Gina Martin Adams for your clear explanation.
@havanascp9602
@havanascp9602 5 жыл бұрын
Dude our debt is 22 trillion and our gdp is less. 😬😬
@greghanna7753
@greghanna7753 5 жыл бұрын
22 trillion is total debt. Most of the time they talk about in the terms of 1 year deficit which is 1 trillion or so.
@havanascp9602
@havanascp9602 5 жыл бұрын
Greg Hanna the frighting part is that the majority of this country don’t have any net worth whatsoever. Is all debt. How are they gonna retired wout being poor.? Then we wonder why so many retired overseas.
@houfame
@houfame 5 жыл бұрын
US total debt without unfunded social and welfare obligations stood at around $63.6 trillions. These debts are total of US govt., States, local govt, agencies, households, students loans, etc.
@rhm01
@rhm01 5 жыл бұрын
End of decade being December?
@SFBay69
@SFBay69 5 жыл бұрын
2020
@slovokia
@slovokia 5 жыл бұрын
High government debt means eventual fiscal dominance for monetary policy. The priority of the Federal Reserve will become stabilizing the real burden of government debt. To do that they will ultimately sacrifice the purchasing power of the dollar - i.e. the USA will undergo another period of high and unstable inflation. This will play out over many years of course. Japan is already well into this scenario - their central bank is essentially funding their government via outright monetization. The Japanese financial system cannot cope with normal market determined interest rates. Our political leaders and the leaders of the Federal Reserve have already put us on this course - but they would rather not admit it. The name of the game in the future will be to avoid being the suckers left holding the bag - i.e. letting your wealth be indirectly confiscated by the government / central bank. If you aren’t taxed by the IRS, you will be taxed by the central bank.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
High stakes Poker? Timing is everything.
@paulstone3590
@paulstone3590 2 жыл бұрын
Your a smart man. This is exactly what happened with the Covid lockdown one year later to save the Stock market and the Global economy. The FED added 4T to its balance sheet. And Congress printed 3T. Now the US is dealing with a surge of Inflation since August 2021. Which will be around for the next couple of years or longer above the desired 2% level. The question is how long this can last before a Depression or ? Takes place.
@zioslayerbear8592
@zioslayerbear8592 5 жыл бұрын
Still time to Convert your petrodollar into Real money like gold silver and Bitcoin !
@Slimecrazy234
@Slimecrazy234 4 жыл бұрын
a rock, another rock, and some digital bits.
@LouieTzepher
@LouieTzepher 5 жыл бұрын
I guess it's that time again for me to start loading up on gold, shorting the market and holding cold hard cash for the cheap real estate deals that are on the way. Oh wee....good times are ahead.
@elreytriton
@elreytriton 5 жыл бұрын
Who's gonna accept gold as payment?
@MrMarkEdward
@MrMarkEdward 5 жыл бұрын
Bitcoin
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
Pick your shorts carefully, there are oodles of games being played.
@coachhannah2403
@coachhannah2403 5 жыл бұрын
Had you ever done that correctly you would not be posting here. I bet you have no money to invest.
@micalda1
@micalda1 5 жыл бұрын
Short NASDAQ to get a big piece of the FAANG bubble
@trentpetersen3072
@trentpetersen3072 5 жыл бұрын
Entitlements>>> YOU MEAN THE MONEY THAT WE EARNED !!!!!
@goodgood9955
@goodgood9955 5 жыл бұрын
Whatever it takes!
@capitandelnorte
@capitandelnorte 5 жыл бұрын
who are "we" ?
@KushtrimiMalcis
@KushtrimiMalcis 5 жыл бұрын
Tax payers
@domjervis
@domjervis 5 жыл бұрын
The time to do something about the National Debt passed LONG ago. My last semester in college (Spring 1980), I remember thinking, "We need to get a handle on our National Debt or there's going to be BIG Trouble." Guess how much it was then? TWO TRILLION!!
@gabeernst2727
@gabeernst2727 5 жыл бұрын
nothing can be done in the discretionary budget, an absolute lie
@frankblangeard8865
@frankblangeard8865 5 жыл бұрын
Debt of 22 trillion is already more than 100% of the GDP of 20 trillion. And the end of the decade is only 6 months away (6/23/2019).
@Jackrobert28
@Jackrobert28 4 жыл бұрын
Don't scare people. They really don't want to tell you the truth
@AntonioCostaRealEstate
@AntonioCostaRealEstate 5 жыл бұрын
The manufacturing base in Japan is roughly 70-80% on small firms with up to 30 employees. The number of firms that sustain that percentage have been halved since the last thirty years Japan has been mired under a recession , hence affecting the number of available jobs in that sector all cut drastically. How did they get there ? I have no idea. Yet , Japan, unlike the US does not have a large financial services industry. Manufacturing is the bread and butter, followed by services, agriculture, health care. In short, the Japanese live to produce things the world consumes. And they do a darn good job at it. A 200% debt to GDP ratio affects on how The Japanese workingman earns or fulfill his /her potential. The unemployment rates in a Japan , and that could be Germany as well, is not as severe because these countries there is a collective mentality that pervades their culture. We call it a social contract. The business owner will sustain employment, even at expense of lower profits, in exchange for loyalty and a social duty to its fellow employees and community. Inflation and higher public debt affect the supply of cheap money. Government becomes the 800 lb gorilla in the room usurping all that cheap money to bankroll its programs , boondoggles , money that otherwise would go to finance productive activities. If the cost of money becomes too high, then you, as a manufacturer , would hesitate in undertaking a loan or leasing to finance that machinery or software that will increase your product line, productivity , or whatever. You would fret over funding your sales expansion, hiring and training additional help. . The cost of money would be too prohibitive, the return would not be as enticing , specially against the choice to reward your available cash through speculation on guess what, ....the bond market. There is a limit on how much the world outside the US can take on US debt through the purchase of Treasury Bonds. To create additional demand in a stale product , then the Treasury must raise the yield of such bonds. You can only do so much with discounting face value, so the next thing to do is to entice buyers with higher payout rates. Which makes sense , given the higher built in risk default. Higher bond returns without face value discounting means the Government is paying more on the paper it issues, hence triggering higher interest rates , so money becomes costlier for everyone else, be a consumer or a small business taking on money for capital expenditure. If History can tech us anything, monetization of debt leads to higher inflation rates, widening gap of haves and have nots , shrinkage of demand and productive activities. Look up on Germany Weimar Republic , Brazil through the 70’s and 80’s There has been a lack of courage in our leadership in tell us that we cannot have our cake and eat it too. Ever since Jimmy Carter no one has has the courage to say we can’t have it all. And Jimmy Carter was one President who pushed a record number of social programs and bills ( thank you Ralph Nader ) despite his warnings of austerity. The most striking impression on this discussion is how American NIMBY shows its true colors. Most everyone wants that high paying job with a defense contractor , the in the job stability of a government paycheck, the fat perks the big pharmaceutical company provides, the fat commissions derived on the institutionalized mugging at Wall Street, the decent paycheck from Health Care. No one, given the choice, will take a job toiling in the fields, working in the plant, or caring for the elder. And given those above outlined industries affect the Federal Budget in some shape or form, yet everyone blames the Government and Politicians as if the state of affairs in the American Public Sector would be their sole fault. Well you voted on your Congressman and you did not take him accountable for the overall welfare, only yours.
@joseestevao2037
@joseestevao2037 5 жыл бұрын
Debt to GDP in Japan is more than 200% and the Japanese currency is not the world's most important reserve currency. My guess is that by being able to borrow in our own currency, the world's reserve currency, we can pretty much get away with murder. Overtime, however, all this debt will be a drag on the economy, if it's not used to maximize productivity.
@jefflombardi7763
@jefflombardi7763 5 жыл бұрын
Debt to GDP is already 110%. Debt will be $50 trillion by 2030. 3 trillion deficit by 2025 because we will enter recession before then.
@TheQueendom-Au
@TheQueendom-Au 5 жыл бұрын
What a little monster! Discretionary spending is the big problem! They are just throwing money away and then have the nerve to blame "entitlements". SS os not an entitlement when I'm paying Into it! Give me my damn money back with inflation adjustment and cost of living increase and I'll plan for my own damn retirement!
@muffinman1
@muffinman1 5 жыл бұрын
How about stopping massive deficit spending i.e. by withdrawing the massive overseas garrisons and spend less money on war. Oh no they wouldn't want that, politicians need to fill their pockets.
@jamesevenden6559
@jamesevenden6559 5 жыл бұрын
Many bases in the U.S. can close also.
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
Yeah, but the Industrial Complex needs the orders and so does our GDP. How can I get in on that game?
@theyoungcapitalist4927
@theyoungcapitalist4927 5 жыл бұрын
Public Service Announcement: Even if we abolished the military completely we would eliminate 716 billion dollars worth of spending (for the fiscal year of 2019) leaving us with a projected deficit still over 300 billion. The problem isn’t as simple as just “get rid of the military spending”...
@leifc.6045
@leifc.6045 5 жыл бұрын
@@theyoungcapitalist4927 what about getting rid of public education and replace it with trade school, self taught, or business related schools?
@theyoungcapitalist4927
@theyoungcapitalist4927 5 жыл бұрын
Leif C. The total education budget is 68 billion, even gutting the 129.8 billion set aside for grants loans and work study assistance will still only get rid of roughly 200 billion in total spending. I for one would love to see the government dollar put towards better use in education. Milton Friedman advocated for school choice in the form of vouchers (worth say $10,000 per child) given to each family with children of school age. All public school funding would be withheld and schools would gain income purely based off of the number of vouchers they received. These vouchers could also be used at private schools. The idea is to allow parents to decide where to send their children (as hopefully they know best where to send them), and to allow markets to carry some of the load.
@zbLoodlust087
@zbLoodlust087 5 жыл бұрын
As long as the rate at which GPD grows is faster than the growth of our debt
@ankeralaphelt9991
@ankeralaphelt9991 5 жыл бұрын
Why can't we raise the ceiling on the payroll tax so the wealthy pay more? Why not means test? Millionaires and billionaires should not receive a penny of SS and why aren't they paying more in taxes. If is absurd that most are just paying about 14% because most of their income is the product of capital investment. Why is income from labor taxed more than income from stock investment? Sure, raise the age of retirement to 70 so many Americans die before they even get a year of retirement! Welcome to King Louis and 17th century France.
@user-or7ji5hv8y
@user-or7ji5hv8y 5 жыл бұрын
Who is buying US long term debt despite record deficit? Does Fed keeping short term rates low along with QE help fund such long term debt purchases? Still?
@akashkurien2111
@akashkurien2111 5 жыл бұрын
That's shocking
@hahaclintondix2815
@hahaclintondix2815 5 жыл бұрын
Cuts have to be made all around, only cutting entitlements isn’t a good way to decrease the deficit and move towards a balanced budget.
@user-or7ji5hv8y
@user-or7ji5hv8y 5 жыл бұрын
But won’t dividend yield go higher with rise in interest rates, making bond issuance still attractive to issuers?
@dlewis8405
@dlewis8405 5 жыл бұрын
So a T-bill of ten years or whatever is item put up for sale. When that item is purchased by an investor the US government has borrowed money at a certain interest rate. If no one buys that means that the US government is no longer able to borrow, at least at the interest rate set.
@jsnagra1able
@jsnagra1able 5 жыл бұрын
Tax cuts for the rich combined with massive military spending has caused the debt crisis, yet no one has the courage to fix the problem.
@richbright540
@richbright540 5 жыл бұрын
As the desired need of consumer goods declines we the people are looking for employment.
@shawnmathew2768
@shawnmathew2768 5 жыл бұрын
Debt is already 105 percent of gdp
@michaelschmidt6653
@michaelschmidt6653 5 жыл бұрын
To anyone who claims we have been hearing this for years and it hasn't happened, a good analogy is a dam that is full of cracks. You can patch it and it seems fine except for a few leaks here and there. It's difficult to predict when the right amount of rainfall will come roaring down the river and will cause the dam to fail, but you can't fight physics. In the meantime all is calm. It may be decades or it may happen tomorrow, but the collapse is inevitable. This economic party of debt can go on for quite a while longer, but unless we rewrite the laws of economics, there will be one hell of a hangover.
@cityvegetablegardener2638
@cityvegetablegardener2638 3 жыл бұрын
Let's raise the age for benefits by 100 years and maybe everyone will live for 100 years longer!
@JacksonWelch
@JacksonWelch 3 жыл бұрын
Oh boy did this age well
@OakhillSailor
@OakhillSailor 5 жыл бұрын
I can not believe this guy teaches economics at Harvard of all places.
@thenorthowl2033
@thenorthowl2033 5 жыл бұрын
He's one of the tribe.
@abbasakbar6597
@abbasakbar6597 5 жыл бұрын
Isn't it already ahead of GDP? 22T outstanding debt, and roughly 20T for domestic GDP.
@robertostman2075
@robertostman2075 5 жыл бұрын
why even bother with such a topic... the deficit is a arbitrary thing that has been kept there by convenience...
@robertostman2075
@robertostman2075 5 жыл бұрын
keep in mind that I am aware of such a thing, yet I am also aware that it has been previously paid... and then it was reintroduced by convenience!, most economist agree that it is convenient to have it, are they wrong??... I do not know,... but if they are correct, then there is little reason, if at all, to even trouble ourselves with such a topic.
@kirilmihaylov1934
@kirilmihaylov1934 5 жыл бұрын
Debt is already 105 %of GDP
@michaelmcfeely6588
@michaelmcfeely6588 5 жыл бұрын
Future generations should repudiate the debt. They have no obligation to pay our bills. It is OK if bond holders lose their investment, or take a hair cut, as they say in business. The bond holders attempted to profit from an injustice; it is OK if they lose.
@BRuane-pw6xq
@BRuane-pw6xq 5 жыл бұрын
The Plan , for those responsible for this mess including Fat Donny Chump , is to die before it hits the fan . Millennials and Gen Z should rise up and kick the shit out of these old Bastards.
@4jeffryangelus
@4jeffryangelus 5 жыл бұрын
when was this interview? by international standards the us already has a debt to gap ratio of 106%. yes interest rates are low but you also have to repay the principle. can't live on borrowed money forever. the us debt to gap is now higher than Greece's when the problems started.
@pootranoncnbc
@pootranoncnbc 4 жыл бұрын
yah this is 2020 and it's 130% already
5 жыл бұрын
So why are we still giving Israel $4 Billion in FREE MONEY every year?!?!!? Israel did 9/11!!!!
@kirstinstrand6292
@kirstinstrand6292 5 жыл бұрын
They may have been in on it but it was an 8nside job...needed to destroy records, give Silverstein insurance pay out and to get Americans behind the planned MidEast wars...starting in Iraq with more countries lined up.
@mouselt1
@mouselt1 5 жыл бұрын
Debt does not matter...not one bit. As long as two things remain in place, nothing will happen concerning the debt incurred by this country. First, as long as the world accepts the dollar as it's reserve currency and secondly, as long as the federal reserve is allowed to print money, nothing will happen. The federal reserve can merely monetize the debt so debt is of no consequence to the health of this country.
@bargdaffy1535
@bargdaffy1535 3 жыл бұрын
If the National Debt was $1T in 1980 and now is $27T and before CoVid we had the Greatest Economy ever, that is incongruent reasoning if you propose that the National Debt is actually a problem.
@paulstone3590
@paulstone3590 2 жыл бұрын
Nov 2021 Debt to GDP 125%. When will everything come crashing down?
@afromythmusic6822
@afromythmusic6822 5 жыл бұрын
It's not productive to keep everyone producing without consuming. Everyone!
@luluu7808
@luluu7808 4 жыл бұрын
I will think about it when I get older
@adinota3
@adinota3 5 жыл бұрын
Didn’t we reach 104% of dept to GDP in 2016 already I’m pretty sure we already did. With the growth of the economy the current dept to GDP has shrunk. It’s currently sitting at 98 percent. The overall Dept has increased of course because the total amount of taxes we collect by percentage has decreased but it has not increased according to GDP. A simple search could prove that. The economy is chugging along right now. We’re having problems with China but over time that could change and seeing a 4 percent growth to GDP could be a norm for at least the next 3 years. If we keep growing the economy and the job market naturally increases wages like it did in 2018 by over 3 percent the trend will tend towards Lessening of govt entitlements. As jobs will be numerous and companies will be more accommodating towards people’s personal circumstances. Literally we have seen not an increase but a decrease of necessary govt entitlement’s not due to underfunding but the free market has drawn people out of them. Keep going and you’ll see a natural balancing of the budget over time.
@davidsine4390
@davidsine4390 5 жыл бұрын
Japan's debt to GDP is 200% and the yen isn't the world's reserve currency. Is the national debt a problem? Of course it is, but the crisis is at least 10 years away. And for most people, 2 weeks is long term thinking.
@jamiekloer6534
@jamiekloer6534 5 жыл бұрын
We will wait for a credit crisis and everything will be cut I would think the people using social security would want change before they lose it all.
@dakattack8900
@dakattack8900 5 жыл бұрын
The "Market" should be pushing up interest rates?? What planet is this dude living on? The fed almost single-handedly controls the interest rate that the federal government pays.
@billybangbang9180
@billybangbang9180 5 жыл бұрын
This simple financial U.S. debt and deficit shit... sheer God damn insanity !?!
@alexanderbjerkvik
@alexanderbjerkvik 5 жыл бұрын
Money is all make-believe.
@darylloeng
@darylloeng 5 жыл бұрын
well done americans! keep going at it
@sorennilsson9742
@sorennilsson9742 5 жыл бұрын
Large debt will increase interest rate that is unavailable.
@ITech2005
@ITech2005 5 жыл бұрын
This is obvious but I'm ok with just pretending it doesn't exist for at least a few more decades. Please? I'm just coming out of college for Christ sake let me live a little first.
@hsk8787
@hsk8787 5 жыл бұрын
When did the golem from lord of the rings become so intelligent?
@richardleston5237
@richardleston5237 5 жыл бұрын
Be nice
@lissettewendymorenovillanu3111
@lissettewendymorenovillanu3111 5 жыл бұрын
US high indebtedness is due to the important role the dollar has in the well functioning of the world economy. US is always financing the world economic activity. Money entering the US economy is a good signal of confidence in US financial markets. Reducing its indebtedness would mean a reduction in the economic activity at the rest of the world. They have more dollars because The US is an important market for them (Japan, China, Korea). To reduce this indebtedness, those countries should start importing more US products.
@BobQuigley
@BobQuigley 5 жыл бұрын
Bowtie guy still lives in 1980
@michaelpondo6324
@michaelpondo6324 5 жыл бұрын
We are a war mongering country that cares more about milatery spending than quality of life.
@Caomusca
@Caomusca 5 жыл бұрын
Why is he saying that a large national debt would push interest rates higher? I would think the opposite is true, large debt requires small interest rates so the interest payments aren't big. If interests rates double, the US would need to pay 2x interest on the debt, thus requiring low interest rates and inflation in order to prevent defaulfs on debt
@Caomusca
@Caomusca 5 жыл бұрын
I think i found his reasoning: large national debt=> oversupply of government bonds being issued => bond prices go down => %yield on bonds therefore goes up => interest rates go up. I think that's his reasoning.
@jamesbilly7141
@jamesbilly7141 5 жыл бұрын
Sorry old gentleman, we've already passed that.
@michelvandepol1485
@michelvandepol1485 5 жыл бұрын
So many economist do not seem the day of reckoning coming!
@delta8868
@delta8868 5 жыл бұрын
Am I the only one that initially read this as Harvey Weinstein?
@rokyericksonroks
@rokyericksonroks 5 жыл бұрын
Delta Yes, you are.
@ransom182
@ransom182 5 жыл бұрын
BLAME SOCIALISTS!!!1!
@JonBernard41
@JonBernard41 5 жыл бұрын
Needlessly complex language to express a very simple issue.
@liyang8337
@liyang8337 5 жыл бұрын
Unless the yellowstone erupts, don't worry about us debt
@richardlumleysmith2843
@richardlumleysmith2843 5 жыл бұрын
Pray for USA !
@bleedingred-white-blue8749
@bleedingred-white-blue8749 5 жыл бұрын
Just much much bigger ......just that. It's no problem.
@thatrandomchannel8589
@thatrandomchannel8589 5 жыл бұрын
It all doesn’t matter until it does.
@lilmamasomeanlovedymond5416
@lilmamasomeanlovedymond5416 4 жыл бұрын
😂 this very old white doesn't think giving rich whites like himself a huge crippling tax break in spite of an already drowning economy.
@thatguyinthathat.s6969
@thatguyinthathat.s6969 5 жыл бұрын
Social Security---Bitch we pay for that. Comes out of my check every week. How about not spending money on $100,000 missiles.
@kahhoeng88
@kahhoeng88 5 жыл бұрын
Raise debt ratio, have the FED conducting another round of QE to mop up the debt. There you go, problem solved, debt is higher at extremely low cost. Send carriers touring the seven seas, tell them, buy our debt at extremely low rate is good for your economy. Another problem solved.
@cnsmiles
@cnsmiles 5 жыл бұрын
Kah Hoe Ng you forgot the interest on that debt is equivalent of a government program. Another QE will require the budget to be cut in half. No medicare payments, food stamps, no defense spending, etc.
@kahhoeng88
@kahhoeng88 5 жыл бұрын
@@cnsmiles nope, you are wrong. When QE to buy a trillion of debt, the interests are 'earned' by FED which could be returned to the government to spend as 'dividend'. A successful QE required the rest of the world to help with shouldering the extra printed currency. Of course, that would need a carriers travel the seven seas to help
@l1m90
@l1m90 5 жыл бұрын
Buy Bonds
@augurcybernaut4785
@augurcybernaut4785 5 жыл бұрын
Ez for him to say.... he wont be alive in three years
@augurcybernaut4785
@augurcybernaut4785 5 жыл бұрын
Dennis Eaton but true... kzfaq.info/get/bejne/d8qAqM6CnpzadXU.html
@migtora
@migtora 5 жыл бұрын
Nobody bats an eye. All matter now is trade talk on the headline
@CIA_Is_aTerrorist_Orginization
@CIA_Is_aTerrorist_Orginization 5 жыл бұрын
The debt already surpassed GDP
@dominickmasonry3878
@dominickmasonry3878 5 жыл бұрын
We're bankrupt. Let it burn.
@artamerican
@artamerican 5 жыл бұрын
As long as the US dollar being the dominant currency with no one coming up to replace it, the total debts incurred by the US won't cripple the economy
@thatrandomchannel8589
@thatrandomchannel8589 5 жыл бұрын
What is he talking about it’s %105 already.
@markmoses4646
@markmoses4646 5 жыл бұрын
I say who cares? Japan has a much higher debt to GDP ratio. How come they're not imploding? Their debt to GDP ratio has been high for a long time. So when is the end?
@ivyli4956
@ivyli4956 5 жыл бұрын
No, don’t touch SS and hurt middle class again and again, raise taxes on super rich, that’s 2 trillions in ten years.
@tibsyy895
@tibsyy895 5 жыл бұрын
108-ish in 2019. The consequences for another crisis will be a Debt/GDP ratio at a 130-ish percentage wise. That is the level of Italy's which is dead broke! America is in a debt-spiral already. USA is bankrupt. What to expect? Monetization of debt by the FED, QE infinity and creating inflation "whatever it takes" as Draghi said by ECB. Despite we might see an even increasing strength in the dollar as the situation in Europe is even worse and the DXY(dollar strength) index have a 57,6 % weighting in EUR. So it highly, inversely correlates. Debt monetization will be the answer same as Japan!!!
@reho7387
@reho7387 5 жыл бұрын
Soon, the bells will toll, and our economy, beleaguered by debt, will potentially collapse or there will have to be a plan to reduce our nation's debt....taxation, government benefit reduction and smaller federal budgets.
@bkinouye
@bkinouye 5 жыл бұрын
Way to go, Trump and Republicans!
@Cfass1
@Cfass1 5 жыл бұрын
We’re going to have recession with significant inflation
@indigo11274
@indigo11274 4 жыл бұрын
Nothings is sad until it's over, then everything is. Dr. Who
@jesselivermore2291
@jesselivermore2291 5 жыл бұрын
end of the decade? usa debt to gdp counting everything is above 350 percent
@gabeernst2727
@gabeernst2727 5 жыл бұрын
can you explain this and comparing it to other countries counting all of the same things?
@chrischoir3594
@chrischoir3594 5 жыл бұрын
This guy looks like Yoda
@Cfass1
@Cfass1 5 жыл бұрын
1986 was a badass year. Battle of the bay. Tyson world champ. Ricky Henderson stolen base record. Steve Garvey was on his 3rd child with 3 different women
@rokyericksonroks
@rokyericksonroks 5 жыл бұрын
Henderson was already showing he had Hall of Fame talent. Garvey was in the Hall of Shame as far as we could tell. Hey, stuff happens!
@watchouttheangel
@watchouttheangel 5 жыл бұрын
So cut the defence budget, world doesn't want war, let others fight isis
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