The way I put it to family is that 14 years ago we were probably heading for ”Mad Max” bad, and now we’re probably heading for “pretty rough.” Improvement, but lots of work left to do.

@@Randomgen77 Good news though. OPEC seems to be entering a panic. If OPEC, Russia and other jerks get weakened, that might mean more peace.

Progress, or evolution, is a slow process. And it starts in individuals 🙏

Me too. I'm 58 years old.

Me too! Just turned 50!

64

Me too I not only lived through the oil crisis, but I remember the first Earth Day and the Cuyahoga river burning.

This is the sort of rounding error I feel privileged being a part of! OK to be fair, I wasn't alive in 73 either, but on the plus side, my eyesight is still just about good enough to discern that I fall into one of the 0% "45 to 54" brackets on that YT Analytics screen shot...

I came here to say a similar thing, except I was much younger and completely unaware of what was going on in the world for another 7-8 years.

@@tsalVlog Understood. Thanks.

@@tsalVlog Ditto.

That's about when some Anthropologist started to say: 'We did not evolve to live in the societies we have erected" Inverted society: we put the people whit most severe antisocial behavior psychopathy/narcissism/sociopathy in charge, because they care about profits, not people, and certainly not Life.

@@a.randomjack6661 Yanis Varoufakis calls it Inverted Totalitarianism, I'm quite fond of that phrase for its accuracy.

thanks for sharing! it is wonderful to know so many folks of all ages watch these video!

Me too. I'm 58 years old.

@@dianewallace6064 Quiet down you kids! 😁

This is hopium.

gecgecgec

Well, it was deleted, again... 🤦‍♂

I don't see the link in the comments being held for review so I'm not sure where it is going (I'm not deleting anything)

@@zentouro I know it's not you Miriam. I spend my retirement on youtube and have been retired for many years because a... workectomy. Yes, I lie to them about my age since I've been a sort of privacy advocate since... lets just say some decades. The paper should be easy to find though. Bon courage dans tes études 👍

@@zentouro Also, the 93,4% comes from IPCC AR4 from 2007. 'Global Warming Components' illustration can be found on Skeptical Science, a website dedicated to combat fossil fuel misinformation and other beliefs we see all over. I've been going there since 2015. It is reliable and also has a section on the history of global warming that begins with Louis-Joseph Fourrier who was wondering how come the Earth wasn't frozen. Thanks again for your work. been silently following you for... 4 or 5 years I guess. Keep it up 👍 P.S. I also follow oceanographers, glaciologists, marine biologists and others, not forgetting and James Hansen of course.

Thanks 😁

yup

ugh, yes seriously. supremely frustrating he opened that up. i get mad every time i think about it.

@@zentouro Understood, me too.

Good news is it will probably not produce that much and likely become a stranded asset.

And Trudeau bought a pipeline project with tax payer money. Unsurprisingly, they also gave a standing to a real 90 some years old WW2 nutzee in our parliament, who's wanted for war crimes in at least one other country.

And yet I believe Trump would be much worse in that regard.

gecgecgec

i think that's how the math maths :P

@@zentouro Do you think G👀gle/youtube has reached peak censorship?

scenarios 5-8.5 is thankfully far worse than any track we're currently on. current policies, not just stated, put us more in the 2-4.5/3-7.0 world.

hi, i haven't covered that but impact of warming on agriculture is a research question in the labs i'm part of, so maybe i should! thanks for the idea.

@@zentouro thank you so much for addressing my question. It's a relatively unexplored topic on KZfaq and I thought it may be your kind of topic.

you're definitely right, it is very up my alley! one of my colleagues recently wrote a great paper on the topic (although this is global rather than N. America-focused) www.nature.com/articles/s43017-022-00368-8

hiya, okay lot to unpack here. yes, i'm definitely talking about fossil fuel emissions here. but i haven't seen compelling (or rather well accepted by the field) research showing that we have passed a tipping point in permafrost melt and fire that suggests if we reduced point-source emissions those would continue accelerating. this is a super active area of research though, so if you've got more data than me please share. most models using current policies have us under 3º now, which is frankly wonderful, because when i started in this field we were looking at some truly apocalyptic 4+ scenarios. and i don't think SOx geoengineering is the way to go at all. which is in part because of what my PhD research is in. I study extreme precipitation and drought as compound hazards. and the feedback onto precipitation from messing with atmospheric circulation/clouds can be pretty devastating. a solution that could harm as many people from crop failures as it saves by keeping the average cooler is not a solution to me.

@@zentouro thanks for your reply. Happy to share additional data. Will reach out and see if I can find you on LinkedIn, rather than long messages here.

@@zentouro We entered multiple tipping points in 2023. The literature will always lag, but there were multiple records that were literally off the charts as I'm sure you're aware. "Canadian" fires, as Jonathan Logan mentioned, have entered uncharted territory. They've continued to burn all winter. We'll see (hopefully we wont) what happens this summer. Recall coral bleaching in the gulf of mexico. And so on. Your points on sulphur geoengineering are valid, however the geoengineering already happened over the decades that sulphur was being emitted in shipping. I think of it less as geoengineering and more as preventing termination shock from a geoengineering project which has already occurred. Also 3 degrees is apocalyptic. I swear euro/americentrism will be the death of us. Recall suitability change projections under high RCP scenarios from now to 2070 (iirc it was xu et al.'s paper). It looks _alright_ for parts of the eurasian steppe and north america, but then recall the Yuxi circle and look at suitability change for the region where 60%+ of humanity lives. And then recall (rather, study) the british partition of india and learn what mass migration actually looks like. And then juxtapose that with a mass migration that makes 1946/47 India look miniscule. "frankly wonderful". i understand youre trying to be optimistic. and that's a great thing to do. but anything short of near total drawdown by 2030 is catastrophic. we both know that. we both also know that the only way to achieve that is to completely dismantle finance capital from our positions of power within the imperial core. the fundamental disconnect between neoliberal economics and biophysical reality is the root cause of capitalogenic climate omnicide.

dang it I should have started the video like that

i may have engaged in some slight ~number play~ those numbers are just from the last month (and i haven't uploaded a video recently). i suspect the only people watching my videos in between videos are the unfortunate souls who get assigned my ramblings in classes -- an they skew younger. if you look out on a longer timeline the numbers get a bit more spread out.

I'm 58 years old.

that's true, particularly with solar, china is leading the world on PV development and sales.

eep, i do wish all these international bodies had more fun names, it would make talking about them both less confusing with shared initialisms, but also more enjoyable for me personally.

I was disheartened to learn that hydrogen leaks impede methane breakdown initial research shows so another reason to avoid most hydrogen uses… biochar preventing N2O emissions excellent if that research continues to be confirmed!

this is for fossil fuel emissions, so agricultural emissions associated with fossil fuels, yes. not methane or NOx from livestock and fertilizer (that i'm aware of)

blah blah blah blah When The Keeling Curve trends DOWN then and only then are we "reducing emissions." We are fucking doomed. We can fix this and we're not. Simple as that.

OK olde guy, what will be YOUR legacy?

@@mrunning10: Nothing to be proud of. :(

.... do you think i don't know what vostok research station is? sigh. anyway, the answers to your questions have been repeatedly answered. and your questions aren't the 'gotchas' you think they are. 1. co2 and temperature are linked, but no CO2 is not the primary cause for warming and cooling historically. co2 increases as temperatures increase, further amplifying warming. skepticalscience.com/co2-lags-temperature.htm 2. see point one. 3. see point one.

sigh: THIS: th.bing.com/th/id/R.f6ef957d6459320ad3db91b30dd4b8ce?rik=C24VnU8OwwAblg&riu=http%3a%2f%2fstatic1.businessinsider.com%2fimage%2f5af0af8419ee865b008b4987-1000%2ftemperature+and+co2.jpg&ehk=F%2b3rj84nggbgkANlFGGXg4Tq5Zq%2fGKfUbRinAzbOPic%3d&risl=&pid=ImgRaw&r=0 is caused by THIS: sustainabilitymath.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/cropped-original.jpg YOU tell why that little blue line will go DOWN?

Temperature increases co2 because of melting permafrost.

@@NashHinton Oh? Increases it where exactly? And exactly where is the source? And, you work for an oil lobby perhaps with your horseshit?

@@NashHinton And what "increases the temperature?"