How to Find Intrinsic Value of a Stock | Excel Calculator | Calculate Intrinsic Value of Infosys

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If you're tired of the guesswork and want solid techniques to determine a stock's true worth, this video is a must-watch as I unveil three proven methods to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock.
1. The Relative Value Model compares a company's financials to its peers, using metrics like the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio. I'll show how you can find the intrinsic value of Wipro Limited using this approach
2. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method is a very popular way of calculating the intrinsic value and I'll be breaking down the complex DCF method into five simple steps. Using Infosys as an example, we'll learn how to project cash flows, apply discount rates and compute the present value of future earnings
3. Dividend Discount model values companies that pay dividends and it requires just three key inputs - current dividend per share, discount rate, and dividend growth rate
👉 I have also put everything discussed in this video in an excel worksheet. You can find it at docs.google.com/spreadsheets/... .. the sheet is downloadable so please feel free to modify per your convenience
👉 Video Chapters:
00:00 Finding Intrinsic Value of a Share
01:02 What is Intrinsic Value?
02:44 1. Relative Value Method
04:54 2. Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
11:05 3. Dividend Discount Model
15:31 Shankar's Viewpoint
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#intrinsicvalue #discountedcashflow #shareprice
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered investment advisor or research analyst. I am not registered with PFRDA or IRDA either. The content posted on this platform is purely for educational purposes and none of it constitutes investing or trading advice. Viewers should do their own research and diligence before investing or acting on the information presented. Some of the links I have posted in the video, the description, the comments and other related resources might be affiliate links

Пікірлер: 256

@maulik2500 10 ай бұрын

This guy is like an underdog KZfaqr . He makes best videos on investing but very few people know about him. Let’s make him famous. Let’s share , comment and like his videos so that he gets his due.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Glad you like my work 🙌

@itskb5956 4 ай бұрын

Let's not

@veletiraghunathsharma7038 3 ай бұрын

Speed to be controlled

@shritejkz 10 ай бұрын

I dont think anybody can ever explain such a complicated concept in literally 17-18 mins. Kudos Shankar sir!

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much 🙌 I'm glad you found it useful & were able to relate to all the steps.

@dhavalpandya2971 10 ай бұрын

@@shankarnathawesome information sir you are doing very hardwork for us thanks 🙏🙏😊

@mnsgoswami 2 күн бұрын

I recently did my MBA from a top rung B school and Shankar Nath nailed it (by miles) and explained the concept of intrinsic value beautifully 🖖

@shankarnath 2 күн бұрын

Glad to hear that!

@mnsgoswami 2 күн бұрын

@@shankarnath meant every word as you earned it:)

@deepakjohsh7748 6 ай бұрын

Information which 90% of so called stock advisors on youtube can never talk about. Brilliant content!! your Intrinsic value of subscribers is definitely in Millions, The day will come!

@shankarnath 6 ай бұрын

Thank you very much for the vote of confidence, Deepak ji. I'm glad you like my work

@rajeevkumria 10 ай бұрын

You are brilliant Shankar. In fact this is a great learning for people who are in valuation and m&a stream.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much, Rajeev. Much appreciated! 🙌

@sandipghiya3493 10 ай бұрын

I always appreciate videos primarily because it’s data driven. Good job ✅

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you 🙌

@Abhaykk1994 10 ай бұрын

Amazing Shankar. Not even my finance prof had explained this to me so clearly. Great job and this is possibly the best video on intrinsic value calculation.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you, glad you liked it and found it useful

@shritejkz 10 ай бұрын

100% agree. As a PGDM (Securities Markets specialization) student , i can definitely say this was better than any proff

@DineshNarayana 10 ай бұрын

Excellent explanation for a Financial Dud like me..!! I have repeatedly heard it. Thank you Sir..!!

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

You're most welcome. Glad you like it

@DineshNarayana 10 ай бұрын

Just to not patronize, yet state the truth, I have been watching your videos (and taking notes) ever since you were on ETMoney..!! And a lot of my learnings are attributed to these videos. Many thanks. :D

@gkswamy2889 10 ай бұрын

Fantastic video. Most difficult subject exceptionally made simple. Too good to be true. Thanks ❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure 😊 .. please do put it to use. It's a bit tough initially but once one gets used to the process, it offers a big layer of comfort before investing

@ashwinisudan6462 10 ай бұрын

Awesome.Will need to see it a few times more before i get a grasp.I intend practicing it,let's hope I finally do manage to work it out.Thanks.Grateful.Very educative.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome. Glad you found it informative!

@human_oid9994 10 ай бұрын

The Best video on valuation ❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Wow, thank you! 🙌

@mayurmore7936 10 ай бұрын

Supremely quality content, i never thought a stock can be valued in such a way, kudos shankar

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks, glad you found it informative

@amittiwari7400 10 ай бұрын

Bhai u are a champ , was looking for this...

@zenobiasanchawalla4339 10 ай бұрын

Great research and content is in a very easy to understand language

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much

@prasadrayannavar9117 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for valuable information sir 🙏🙏🙏

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome 🙌

@lakskanth 10 ай бұрын

As always, your content is awesome & simple to understand. Thankyou

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure! Glad you found it useful and easy to comprehend

@singaramsingaram2075 10 ай бұрын

I was thinking about today’s video and got a pop-up. Thanks, as always, Shankar 😊

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure!

@akhaleefa 10 ай бұрын

Your are one of the best in making such amazing videos. Thanks.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Wow, thank you! 🙌

@MrSachin1087 8 ай бұрын

As always, excellent video Shankar. Clear, concise and very helpful. Thank you for sharing your knowledge.

@shankarnath 8 ай бұрын

My pleasure. Thank you very much 🙌

@anandvipr 3 ай бұрын

This is one of the best videos of Stock valuation that i have come across. It takes Warren buffett's methodology (DCF) and puts it in a way where a layman investor like me can understand.

@shankarnath 3 ай бұрын

Thank you very much 🙌

@hemanthkaja 10 ай бұрын

nice video Shankar ji. I always have a little confusion in my head with respect to DCF but you explained it in a simplified manner. Thanks😀

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure. Glad you found it helpful!

@naveenkumarkaranam2799 10 ай бұрын

Thanks once again for this crisp stuff. Will try out on the stocks in my portfolio and see if I have made the buyings at right price.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome. Yes, please do .. it would give more clarity & reaffirm your investment thesis

@DIVIDEND-RETIREMENT 10 ай бұрын

Appreciate for your hard work. Very informative and knowledgeable video. Learn lots of things. Thank you❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome. I'm glad you liked it

@sguchait 10 ай бұрын

So important for any investor to understand this. Thanks Shanker

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure!

@chuttiarivu 10 ай бұрын

Thanks a lot, easy to understand by the common man, great work.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Glad it helped! You're most welcome

@anondodasgupta5275 9 ай бұрын

This is the simplest and most effective explanation of DCF. In the oast I followed the EV/EBITDA, P/E and P/B models, especially the first one. Never tried the DCF as I felt it too complicated. I agree with you on the DDM. Not a bog fan of it though. Of late, I am not doing much valuation as I am predominantly a momentim investor. But, looking to do valuations again for a few stocks. This video will definitely help me.

@shankarnath 9 ай бұрын

Glad it helped!

@sokat36 3 ай бұрын

What an excellent vedio on Instrinsic value, Superb!

@shankarnath 3 ай бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

@revanthgowd5744 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very well explained & presented ❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

You’re welcome 😊

@akshaypatyal3228 10 ай бұрын

Your presentation skills are top knotch❤❤❤❤❤❤❤😍👌

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks 🙌

@user-lr7du9cy4m 10 ай бұрын

Great content & learning!

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Glad to hear that! Thx!

@nakulvavale3009 10 ай бұрын

Thank you so much for the amazing video buddy! Hope you would keep bringing such more content. Kudos to you!!🎉

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome 🙌

@jesin1993 12 күн бұрын

Nobody in youtube explains it simpler than you do Shankar

@shankarnath 12 күн бұрын

Thanks for the suggestion

@gopikannans9246 10 ай бұрын

An excellent session Shankar Ji. You had put things in a easy way to understand it.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks a lot. Glad you liked it

@edwininnocent6408 5 ай бұрын

This method of finding the intrinsic value of a stock sounds like the method used by Warren Buffett. If we analyze stocks like him and act like him we can earn huge profits. Great analysis. Thank you very much.

@shankarnath 5 ай бұрын

Glad you like the video & found it informative!

@SSB2706 10 ай бұрын

Fully loaded with information, thank you

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Glad it was helpful!

@Sundarperunarkilli 10 ай бұрын

As usual woww ! Great video Shankar , at some places sounded like listening to Einstein relativity theory .But it's so good .will try to do the same calculation for Wipro !

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks a ton. Please share your results (intrinsic value) on Wipro for the benefit of the larger group.

@hareshdesai3966 10 ай бұрын

Excellent presentation

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks 🙌

@hirendesai5724 10 ай бұрын

Awesome stuff to introduce someone to valuations. Please make video on reverse DCF

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for the appreciation and suggestion

@ajaysundaramurthy338 10 ай бұрын

It is very nicely presented and the content is very well defined. Thank you for this information.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

You are most welcome 🙌

@sunithanair8216 3 ай бұрын

A truly enlightening experience Sir thank you

@shankarnath 3 ай бұрын

My pleasure 🙌

@lalalali9767 10 ай бұрын

Others are influencers but you are a real teacher sir thankyou very very much sir. But sir can you please make a detailed video on economic moats and how to find companies with very big economic moats

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for your suggestion. What all would you like to understand with regards to moats?

@baibhavRishu 10 ай бұрын

As always amazing sir 😁

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you so much 😀

@user-sm6ev6ro6m 10 ай бұрын

Excellent. Thanks for your efforts

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure

@RitikGangwar 9 ай бұрын

Hi sir! I just came across ur videos they r amazing... Keep up the good work 🙌🙌

@shankarnath 9 ай бұрын

Thanks and welcome

@eskay1959 10 ай бұрын

Very nice presentation. Easy to understand

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much!

@VIJAYKUMAR-vg7xr 10 ай бұрын

Thank u Shankar nath sir ❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome 🙌

@nabeelyahiya 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for informative video

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

My pleasure. Glad you found it useful

@drthiruna 8 ай бұрын

Great effort. Really worth watching

@shankarnath 8 ай бұрын

Thanks a ton, glad you liked it

@krushnadeshmukh2489 Ай бұрын

More conceptual video like this on investing

@Vinod-ws1sm 10 ай бұрын

Very good job sir, God bless u 🎉

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks a lot 🙌

@kaumallose6198 2 ай бұрын

Thanks for valuable lesson

@shankarnath 2 ай бұрын

You are welcome

@mohammedshahid8937 10 ай бұрын

Buffettology in less than 20 min...Great!!!

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks

@Husain_bohra 2 ай бұрын

This is Quality.

@advmpschauhan3834 3 ай бұрын

You earned my subscription bro..

@shankarnath 3 ай бұрын

Welcome aboard!

@narendragautam1457 4 ай бұрын

Excellant Shankarnath ji keep it up

@shankarnath 4 ай бұрын

Thanks a lot

@jav1wx 10 ай бұрын

Great content as usual. Will try the spreadsheet and give comments.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Awesome, thank you!

@RamakrishnaJK Ай бұрын

Excellent Sir.🙏

@shankarnath Ай бұрын

Thank you!

@jeetendradhawde6232 9 ай бұрын

Sir... thankyou for the Excel sheet

@shankarnath 9 ай бұрын

Most welcome

@arvindgandhi1007 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much.

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

You are welcome!

@Narayanmbadree 10 ай бұрын

extremely careful method

@ske1899 10 ай бұрын

Hey Shankar, Nicely explained!! Appreciate your efforts. Wondering if you have any plans of doing a video on Aswath Damodaran's way of finding an Intrinsic Value of a Stock ??

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you. I have no plans presently

@gauravrace 6 ай бұрын

Awesome presentation.

@shankarnath 6 ай бұрын

Thank you!

@mevikki4u 10 ай бұрын

@Shakar - I have been trying to learn how to calculate Intrinsic value. Followed the dean of valuation - Prof. Damodaran also. It's a fancy concept and unlike many other financial ratios and numbers, it's quite complicated and has lots of subjectivity to it. In your video you have explained it with a great ease. Thank you so much. I have a question though on Infosys' intrinsic value. Infosys traded at 854 in Covid times (Jun'20). It will need to shed 40% to get back to that. Also, it's imp to note - Infosys is trading at historically lower than five-year median PE. So this gets confusing. As per Intrinsic value - Infosys is not a good buy. However, as per latest IT sector down trend and low PE - Infosys is a good buy. What am I missing?

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much. This intrinsic value calculations are based on my assumptions. Owners earning growth rate, terminal value multiplier, discount rate and the margin of safety were all crucial assumptions. Understandably, on an excel sheet, it is easy to show that even 2000 rupees is a steal for Infosys. Now it's upto you and what you believe it. The point on Infosys trading at historically lower than the 5-year median PE is an interesting point you raise. Many investors will say "Oh wow! It's low" but over time, I've forced myself to ask "Why is it low? Is it because the growth rate has stalled? Are there headwinds? What is the management saying? etc."

@yashagar4443 10 ай бұрын

Interesting

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Cool 🙌

@faheemhasan3902 10 ай бұрын

Superb content

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks

@TheSigmaEmpire 8 ай бұрын

Wow amazing content..!

@shankarnath 8 ай бұрын

Thank you very much

@santoshchandude5974 10 ай бұрын

Thank you

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Welcome!

@avgang99 10 ай бұрын

Great video Sir !!! Also could you emphasize more on your checklist in another video ???

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for the suggestion

@hareeshmuthu5412 6 ай бұрын

Nice easy way of Explanation. But i have a difference of opinion in Discounted Cash Flow Analysis in your excel, if possible we can discus.

@shankarnath 6 ай бұрын

Thanks. Sure, we can connect over email. I'm at hello@beginnersbuck.com

@mdrafeek786 10 ай бұрын

So complex math 😅. Never realised this calculation behind scene 😂. Thank you Shankar

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Most welcome 😊 .. the process is nothing but how we think - in reverse. Look at it this way, we buy a house at say, 50 lakhs .. and the assumption is that in 5 years, this will be worth a crore. DCF just reverses this thought i.e. OK, this company will deliver 1 crore after 5 years, what is it worth today? That's it, it's that simple!

@mdrafeek786 10 ай бұрын

@@shankarnath feel great today after your reply

@narendranath3529 4 ай бұрын

I felt like learning from warren Buffett himself, such an ease in explaining difficult topics 🙏🙏

@shankarnath 4 ай бұрын

Glad to hear that. Thank you for the vote of confidence

@debusukla 10 ай бұрын

Excellent explanation

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks

@saurabhbhardwaj1511 10 ай бұрын

Wonderful

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you

@sasikalaa8821 5 ай бұрын

Great

@RecitationBangla 10 ай бұрын

I really like your videos!!

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you so much!

@gauravgokzz 10 ай бұрын

Good work. Explained in best way. But please tell me how to get mcap data from 5yr .

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks. A rough and dirty way of doing it is to take the current mcap and dividing it by the 5 year price returns. For example - if a company X is at 10000 crore mcap today and over the last 5 years, it has given a share price return of 20% per year. Then --- 10000 divided by (1+20%) raised to the power 5. This will come to 4,018 crores

@rajneeshplp 6 ай бұрын

Hi shankar. Assuming all assumttions of CF growth, terminal value multiplier turn out to be correct and assune you baught at the price available by DCF method ( without margin of safety) and you hold for 10 years. What return will you earn - CF growth %age? Or Discount rate-12% or something entirely different. ( I'm trying to understand what's the benefit of doing all this future guessing exercise)

@gagansingh-kb6gu 8 ай бұрын

Good , need more on valuation of stocks

@shankarnath 8 ай бұрын

Thanks for the suggestion

@wisdomhatchwithsuresh 10 ай бұрын

Wonderful is the Word I would say for this Presentation by Shankar Anna ❤

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much 🙌

@ashishasati 3 ай бұрын

Sir sorry delay..your presentation awsome

@shankarnath 3 ай бұрын

Thanks!

@dr.anishagarwal7499 10 ай бұрын

Awesome

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks! 🙌

@SuperDry_ 10 ай бұрын

Thank you for this video. Request you to please answer my question, 2 companies of the same sector, similar PE, ROCE, PEG, Promoter holding etc. BUT the 1st company has FV of 10 and the 2nd has FV of 1. Which one would you choose?

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

I will be indifferent to it. Out of curiousity - why did you ask this question?

@SuperDry_ 10 ай бұрын

@@shankarnath I thought you would be the right person to ask considering your acumen. Had this query in my mind for some time. Thank you once again for the reply and always look forward to your videos 👍

@mann-k-bol 10 ай бұрын

Hoping for your and myself best..❤

@hirdeshtulsiyani9720 8 ай бұрын

Amazing

@shankarnath 8 ай бұрын

Great to hear

@Pokchok44 10 ай бұрын

Any idea what approach screener uses to show the intrisniy value?

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Hi. Have you seen a screener which shows intrinsic value? If yes, pls share. I haven't seen one yet

@shubhampatil3798 10 ай бұрын

Sir can you make a video on reverse dcf on tijori finance

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thanks for the suggestion

@shiv1pl 10 ай бұрын

Hi from Muscat Oman.. I am totally impressed with your clarity in presentation. Would like to Seek your service in managing portfolio. How to Reach you?

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Thank you very much for your kind appreciation 🙌 . Apologies, I'm not into fund management nor into advisory for now. I'm keen on focussing on education; that's where I am at peace and I think its something I can do well at. If I were to pick up 1-on-1 consultations in the future, then I'll certainly keep my community informed through a community post.

@vamsikrishna24 10 ай бұрын

Hi Shankar. If you are computing Enterprise Value (Value available to both the debt and equity holders of the company) using the DCF and thus discounting it by the WACC (weighted cost of capital for both debt and equity holders) then in in the final step shouldnt you deduct debt as well in arriving at the equity value? Enterprise value + Cash/Marketable securities - Debt = Equity value

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Yes, you are right. Since Infosys barely has debts & what is has is lease obligations, I ignored it. Perhaps I should have taken a different example and clarified the difference between levered and unlevered DCF. So what I did was to find the enterprise value. From here, the debt gets deducted to arrive at the equity value which is then matched with the market cap. So in this case, it will be 5,12,000 crores minus 8,300 crores giving us 5,03,700 crores or 1,202 rupees per share

@rohitshrivastava792 3 ай бұрын

watching it today when wipro is at rs.513 with a PE of 24.5

@karthekeyansubramanian.v3489 10 ай бұрын

❤❤❤

@satanite13 3 ай бұрын

Q: Where did you get the historical data for market cap?

@rajhshah96 10 ай бұрын

Risk hai toh ishq hai

@vinaytejagunnam8508 10 ай бұрын

thumbnail ❤

@anoopg95 10 ай бұрын

It got changed ?

@vinaytejagunnam8508 10 ай бұрын

@@anoopg95 yes

@CredenceFinancialKnowledge 5 ай бұрын

Sir, I seek clarification regarding the Cash Flow Discounted method. Some experts deduct after-tax operating cash and then subtract capital expenditure. In your calculation, you consider pre-tax cash for evaluation. Which method do you find more appropriate? Thank you.

@shankarnath 5 ай бұрын

I have seen people using either of the approaches. I find the pre-tax part better although over long periods, it shouldnt matter asmuch

@CredenceFinancialKnowledge 5 ай бұрын

@@shankarnath Thank you so much Sir.

@Sandeesh_Srikantam 4 ай бұрын

Which Method should to used for banking stocks in India ?please reply

@shankarnath 4 ай бұрын

Please watch my video on how to analyse banks -- kzfaq.info/get/bejne/o8qDZ9Fht5nXYIk.html

@manishp7206 4 ай бұрын

Hi Shankar, tried following this with few stocks, but did not get expected output. What happens if the profit growth rate is more than the discount rate in the denominator for Divident Discount Model (like in case of HDFC Bank)? Similarly, what happens if a company is not generating significant cash, like Avenue Supermart? How would cash flow analysis work for such companies?

@shankarnath 4 ай бұрын

Hello Manish: 1. The dividend discount model has its cons. Please read this document at leisure for more insights on it: pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/valn2ed/ch13.pdf 2. I think you mean free cash flow because DMart does have growing & positive operating cash flows but since they are growing, they spend a lot on growth & working capex. In scenarios of you projecting negative FCF (or negative cashflow in other firms) in the future, the result of the DCF would be a negative total present value. You have two options - a) project the FCF in the future such that they eventually turn positive. This will happen at some point for Dmart also and as an analyst, you have determine when b) discard DCF for evaluating Dmart (the same hammer can't be used to shape an ivory statuette and for breaking a mountain)

@aniketgupta4407 5 ай бұрын

Soon you will be famous mark my words 👍

@prasadghagare7241 5 ай бұрын

What I wonder regarding financial statements, can't they be standardized? Can Sebi not enforce a schema on companies to put these number into, this way it would be trivial for computing the indicators for retail investors? May be it's already happening, just trying to understand if such things exist already.

@shankarnath 5 ай бұрын

Good thought. Pls pull out a few annual reports to check on the standardization bit

@SrinivasPaulraj 10 ай бұрын

sir can we consider as discount cash flow method is more reliable than relative and dividend discount model? from your pov please guide me. 😅

@shankarnath 10 ай бұрын

Hello. Yes, I prefer DCF over the other two methods.

@jeevyaballal3264 9 ай бұрын

Hi Shankar, I'm new to investing.Could you tell me which platform did you use for getting last 10 yrs market cap data?

@shankarnath 9 ай бұрын

Hi. I don't use a platform .. I do it manually i.e. pull out the number of outstanding equity shares as of March 31 of that financial year and multiply it with the share price on that date. I also adjust it for bonus or splits.

@YogeshRathod2303 5 ай бұрын

@@shankarnath Where can I find no of outstanding equity shares.