Laurence Broers, associate fellow at Chatham House’s Russia and Eurasia Programme, sits down with CivilNet’s Karen Harutyunyan to speak about the developments in the region since the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war. Laurence discusses regional geopolitics, Western mediation efforts, the bilateral negotiation track, and Russia’s role. Even weakened, Russia will remain a tremendously powerful player in the South Caucasus, Laurence says.
Earlier last week, Laurence delivered a speech at a conference in Yerevan titled “The South Caucasus: Trends and prospects in the context of the war in Ukraine,” organized by the Caucasus Institute.
0:00 Why did Russia fail to enforce the full implementation of the November 9 agreement?
5:13 How could the situation over Karabakh have evolved if Armenia and Azerbaijan had kept to the deal?
9:57 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Azerbaijan’s new opportunities for coercive diplomacy.
12:07 ‘Putin wants to punish Pashinyan’
14:32 Can the West and Russia compartmentalize the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict?
22:22 Armenia and Azerbaijan are in post-mediation phase.
27:00 Why couldn’t the West prevent ethnic cleansing in Karabakh?
31:28 What could happen in the Caucasus if Russia wins the war in Ukraine?
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