Market Cycles Report: April 8

Market Cycles Report: April 8 | Metal Miners

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Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC)

3 ай бұрын

Market Cycles Report: April 8 | Metal Miners
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"The golden period for Gold mining ETFs starts"
This is what we concluded in our analysis from 11 March. Since then, metal miners gained over +10% following that analysis. Time to recap and update.
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Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
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Пікірлер: 17

@FSCtv 3 ай бұрын

🌎 Become a Cycles Insider. Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/

@alanjell1514 3 ай бұрын

Great analysis as usual; certainly comes in handy since I own selected mining shares.

@user-ks5kl6zm2d 3 ай бұрын

Thank you for keeping us informed 🌹

@FSCtv 3 ай бұрын

you are welcome and thanks for your feedback.

@banman17 3 ай бұрын

Great analysis Lars, and excellent answering of questions. Thanks a lot.

@FSCtv 3 ай бұрын

Thank you, the live Q&A part is important for me to stay in touch with you and support the learning on that subject. Good to see that you like it. Thanks, Lars

@168rollo 3 ай бұрын

great stream, and top actual in the market situation on the gold- and miner-market. thank you so much.

@FSCtv 3 ай бұрын

Thanks, I think this asset class is important to update regular as we are in interesting times.

@Christopher.Capital 3 ай бұрын

TY. Just a little tip, the SIL ETF is mostly comprised of Gold miners. The SILJ ETF would be a much more accurate representation of the Silver Miners. None of the ETFs are pure Silver mining stocks, but SILJ is the closest of them all.

@FSCtv Ай бұрын

thanks for the hint!

@Christopher.Capital 3 ай бұрын

Have you ever studied and practiced the Bressert Cycle technique? Lots of folks on Twitter using it with some degree of success

@vanda3801 Ай бұрын

Hi again Lars, would you mind posting a quick video for GDX when you see the cyclic swing indicator hit the lower band to signify potential entry long? GDX is taking a beating today (down 7% on June 7)and I wonder whether based on your video the cycle bottom for the daily chart you showed will be in July or August and not May if i understood correctly (in your video you showed a bottom into May but also showed it going into a daily bottom in July/August depending on how many composite cycles you use). Thanks again!

@FSCtv Ай бұрын

Hi vanda3801, thanks for picking this up. I did a quick check and the cyclic indicator is not hitting the lower bands so far (more room to go). And the cycles are still there for a daily bottom ~July. Let me see when I can put a new video up. But that as a quick answer to the current situation.

@vanda3801 Ай бұрын

@@FSCtv Thank you Lars, very kind of you to respond and help out.

@allenedwall3835 3 ай бұрын

I'm a bit confused about your Energy Model. It shows a sharp change from up to down in COPX weekly. Yet, in the real world, the end of one cycle is usually the strongest part of that cycle, while the start of the next cycle is not that strong, as it takes a while for the new cycle to "get going". So it seems like your graphic is backwards. I don't think the start of the down cycle (which is right after the up cycle concludes) should be shown so strong, as that cycle will get stronger over time, not weaker. I hope you understand my concern. Thank you,

@FSCtv 3 ай бұрын

Hi, thanks for your view and comment on the energy model. I agree with you that the "start" of the cycle is not where the most energy comes from. The energy model is still in its early stage and requires more research. But in short, the size of the histogram bars takes not only the turn into account, it is a combination of turn, duration of the next (composite) phase and slope during that phase. So if you have a "long" duration downturn with a strong downward slope over a long time, and you are in the early stage (=beginning) you will see a big bar. Which should more be read - there is a "lot of negative energy coming from here" (that does not mean that the strongest move is to be expected at that bar with the highest histogram reading). hope that helps - but I agree it needs more explanation and research