Market Cycles Report: June 17 | Buffett Indicator

Market Cycles Report: June 17 | Buffett Indicator - Is there a cycle?

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Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC)

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Market Cycles Report: June 17 | Buffett Indicator - Is there a cycle?
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00:00 Intro
10:25 The Buffet Indicator shows an overvalued US stock market, with a peak expected in October/November.
16:45 Cycles analysis reveals a dominant 180-week cycle, indicating a potential shift in the market.
21:10 Extending the analysis to include the 360-week cycle provides additional confirmation of timing predictions.
29:50 Timing aligns with historical US election periods, suggesting a possible change post-election.
In 2001, Warren Buffett told Fortune magazine that "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment" is the total market cap of the stock market divided by the the gross domestic product (GDP). This metric has become widely referred to as the "Buffett Indicator."
Today we'll analyze the Buffett Indicator and see if we can find any cycles.
Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
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Пікірлер: 13

@FSCtv Ай бұрын

I promised to publish the public cycle workbook in our ideas section, here is the link to the idea and workbook: app.cycles.org/workbook/LVM0YeMboL

@banman17 Ай бұрын

Insightful analysis Lars, thanks.

@user-wq2qu7hl2c Ай бұрын

Great presentation, very educating. Thank you! Kind regards from Denmark

@michaelmansfield1289 Ай бұрын

Perfect! I too was questioning why you wouldn't want to utilize 1100-1200 bars in order to capture three phases of an approximated 360 to 380 bar longer cycle of the Buffet indicator. As in WD Gann's 360 degrees of a circle cycle. Everything has a "Tunnel In The Air." Thank you, Lars.

@chheinrich1988 Ай бұрын

The Buffett Indicator is in alignment with the spx 180 weeks cycle.

@FSCtv Ай бұрын

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@YashShah-le8xj Ай бұрын

Hey can you show cycles in currency market...

@alliedmastercomputer5407 Ай бұрын

do you know what else data series are in 'datapool' or where we can look to see which ones are there? thanks

@konigstefan2585 Ай бұрын

Hi Lars, kannst du bitte den Financial Stress für den Zeitraum Ende Oktober/Anfang November mitbringen? ...Der Auslöser (oder einen davon) mit den US-Wahlen kennen wir ja bereits... Danke für die tollen Infos.

@FSCtv Ай бұрын

Das ist eine gute Idee! We did not look at financial stress cycles for a long time. I will bring that up during one of the next sessions.