Markets Weekly February 3, 2024

Рет қаралды 9,382

Күн бұрын

#federalreserve #marketsanalysis
More signs of re-acceleration
QRA Debrief
New York Community Bank's bad day
00:00 - Intro
1:14 - More signs of re-acceleration
6:55 - QRA Debrief
12:32 - New York Community Bank's bad day
For my latest thoughts:
www.fedguy.com
For macro courses:
www.centralbanking101.com
My best seller on monetary policy:
www.amazon.com/Central-Bankin...

Пікірлер: 47

@patterson12123 4 ай бұрын

Once again, an insightful analysis. Beginners frequently question whether it's too late to enter the financial market, yet the market remains inherently unpredictable. Trading offers more benefits than merely holding, emphasizing the importance of learning before taking the plunge. Engaging in active trades is essential to ride the waves of the market.Thanks to Flora Elkin’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings, managed to grow a nest egg of around 127k to a decent 532k. Kudos to the journey ahead!

@regliahin 4 ай бұрын

It's unexpected to come across her name here. She understands every beginner’s intention and fix you to a trading course that matches your capacity, she knows her stuff! Her advice has been invaluable to my trading journey. Definitely worth giving a shot!

@Stlmyth 4 ай бұрын

It is really refreshing to see a comment about Flora Elkin.I have worked with her also for months now, reached out after reading more about her on the internet. she simplifies matters, whether it's a market surge or drop; her approach consistently keeps you ahead of the trend, She's a guru i'll say

@Iewisgreen 4 ай бұрын

Nice to see this here, Flora Elkin's understanding of market indicators is impressive. She knows exactly when to enter and exit trades for maximum profit. her siignals are top notch

@NorrisCohen 4 ай бұрын

Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Flora's insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

@anonmon6236 4 ай бұрын

speaking of truflation it's now down to 1.35%. Thanks for the calm non-hyperbolic market analysis.

@chrisp9466 4 ай бұрын

Joseph, your videos are simply world class. I would've loved to hear more about your current cautious posture within the context of your bullish stance for the year. I'm assuming its primarily based on recent price momentum. Perhaps you'll be writing about it this week? In any case, thank you very much. I am very grateful and appreciative for all you put out there.

@user-wy8ry2ck2w 4 ай бұрын

How did you know that I was questioning all the issues you discussed today! Amazing, no drama, love it! Thank you

@1neomonkey 4 ай бұрын

Joseph - I would love to get your expert analysis on what the economy is really doing over what the "official" data says. Can you please do a separate video on that?

@pepitogrilho 4 ай бұрын

Thank you Joseph for the valuable update

@freedomordeath89 4 ай бұрын

thanks for another great video! They getting better and better!

@Four_Eyes 4 ай бұрын

EVERYTHING IS GREAT except for half of the folks on my linkedin feed

@AllNighterHeider 4 ай бұрын

Thank you JW. Looking forward to seeing you again at George's Rebel Capitalist Live in a few months

@Lights_Darks 4 ай бұрын

Thanks, Joseph! Appreciate the perspective on the small banks and the Japanese bank. Very helpful.

@MichaelHarrington17 4 ай бұрын

Thank you Joseph!

@ridzuanali1919 4 ай бұрын

Thank you, JW. God bless.

@StewartButton 4 ай бұрын

Thank you Joseph. You're a great guy for posting these. So helpful for me.

@williaml232 4 ай бұрын

In your time at the fed, do you think the fed is politicized? There is commentary over the political implications of rate cuts helping Biden and hurting Trump. Will that come into play?

@CKL800 4 ай бұрын

Thanks Joseph

@petergozinya6122 4 ай бұрын

Thank you Joseph.

@clays7741 4 ай бұрын

Thank you!

@krastyokirov4459 4 ай бұрын

thank you!

@AA-vj1pe 4 ай бұрын

Great 👍

@janeznovak7589 4 ай бұрын

Joseph do you prefer to buy whole markets, sectors or you cut it down to few stocks ? I kinda do both, but prefer to be concentrated. Light bets are for boomers . Btw another great video, thanks

@kryptoknight9830 4 ай бұрын

Joseph , what is your view on NFP numbers was from part time job increase ?

@nonexistent5030 4 ай бұрын

Looks like Joseph doesn't really scrutinize data too heavily. Just accepts it at face value. Unfortunate.

@anonmon6236 4 ай бұрын

have fun on the sidelines as the market continues to skyrocket

@anonmon6236 4 ай бұрын

don't hate the player, hate the game

@AllNighterHeider 4 ай бұрын

JW focuses his focus and returns to the basics and those that want to be spoon fed interpreted answers complain. That's sad. That leaves them wide open to be manipulated by those they trust. It's much better to merely consider others interpretation to form ones own understanding and opinion.

@nickrobin7806 4 ай бұрын

Agreed. Don’t usually listen to JW b/c of that reason. What about lower participation rate? Lowest hours worked in 14years so yes your hourly pay went up but total compensation is down. Nonfarm uses formulas to “predict” what it will be. HH is more volatile but during changes in the economy gives you a better picture. GDI and GDP are diverging anytime this has happened GDP goes towards GDI not the other way around ie recession. How about 2 loans increased losses for New York bank by 9x over estimates. It’s a very weak economy under the surface

@cloudken 4 ай бұрын

he doesn’t pay attention cause it doesn’t matter even though its fake. it can be revised 6mo from now but it wont care. It’s a manipulated game i know but u have to just play it. He address what everyone is seeing and that’s what the market is pricing in.

@GenXstacker 4 ай бұрын

Thanks Joseph. I'm a doomer by nature but your sober analysis helps me not to get too carried away. What do you think about the fact that most of the job reports last year were revised down later? Is that something to consider, or not important?

@Fedguy12 4 ай бұрын

There are two things in the revisions - the overall level of people employed and the change in employment. These are estimates based on surveys and models. It looks like the revisions showed that the level of people employed was slightly lower, but the overall job growth was slightly larger than first estimated. I don't view these are meaningful changes.

@imjamming 4 ай бұрын

Working from home is not as common place anymore as many employers require their workers to be in the office.

@Actuary1776 4 ай бұрын

Didn’t average hours work decrease significantly this report? That would explain the increase in wage inflation. Seems like a pretty important point to not cover.

@Actuary1776 4 ай бұрын

@@maciejs5763 I’m sorry I missed that the channel was called the Market Guy and not the Fed Guy. The Feds most certainly are looking at average hours worked and it most certainly will or at least should impact monetary policy. And surprise surprise monetary policy is what this market is currently living and breathing on. Might want to think for yourself a little and not simply regurgitate YT host comments.

@Actuary1776 4 ай бұрын

@@maciejs5763 Listen dumbass, Joseph calls him the Fed Guy not the Market Guy. And you’re 1,000% wrong, the markets hang on knife’s edge regarding Fed monetary policy. Average hours worked will impact monetary policy in so far as it may be suggesting the latest read may not be indicating wage inflation. Stop parroting YT hosts and think a little.