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Never Trust A Goalie
Рет қаралды 43,408
Ай бұрынAnd who are you, to think that money can buy consistency from the most difficult position in team sports? Though if I was a goalie, I'd want the agents these guys have.
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#nhlplayoffs #nhl #goalie #goalies #contracts #freeagency
@souperonion9990 Ай бұрын
Okay, so this is a great video no complains and I subbed. Gotta say though, I'm eating an aged cheddar right now and its incredible so you best take back your "aged like cheese" comment
@broadstreetbullies849 Ай бұрын
Sergei Bobrovsky went from one of the worst contracts in NHL history to being a borderline hall of famer in the matter of 1 and a half years
@wolfxp2 Ай бұрын
He was on that trajectory when he signed that deal…. 2 veznias is almost 100% to make the hall
@yeahboi4857 Ай бұрын
Bob was already a HOFer pre cup win. 2 vezinas great stats over a long career he was and is a lock
@broadstreetbullies849 Ай бұрын
@@yeahboi4857 yeah, you guys are both right, but his first 2 years were awful in Florida
@electricboogaloo5645 Ай бұрын
But if Bob would've played like Vezina winner from the start, Dale Tallon wouldn't have gotten fired ( or least his firing would've been delayed) By that time Bill Zito probably would've ended up somewhere else instead of becoming their GM, who turns Panthers into what they are now. Funny how things work out.
@broadstreetbullies849 Ай бұрын
@@electricboogaloo5645 absolutely
@theduxabides9274 Ай бұрын
13:27 Elvis' situation hurts me the most; essentially watches his little brother die right in front of him, signs a big contract months later based on his solid two seasons, then comes back down to earth alongside a shitty Jackets defense.
@cheddarandsourcream Ай бұрын
I will never judge him for his numbers dropping. It’s gotta be extremely hard to focus on stopping pucks when you’re more than likely in a constant battle with ptsd. I can’t sit here and say I know the guy or what he’s going through but I’m willing to bet he’s having a hard time mentally.
@dirtydangler Ай бұрын
Why does it hurt you? Dude worked his tail off, faced a tragic event and made it to the big show. Life isn't supposed to be easy.
@NSimmz Ай бұрын
This feels uncomfortably relevant with Swayman still unsigned and likely getting 8 x $8m
@slothsaymeh3728 Ай бұрын
It seems like a really bad idea trading him because a lot of people (myself included) watch the bruing because of the goal tending from swayman and ullmark there is really no reason to watch the Bruins if you don't have the goaltending team so trading him is going to lose them a LOT of money
@true3211 Ай бұрын
@@slothsaymeh3728 who watches hockey exclusively for the goaltending though? i assume a very small percentage. i agree good goaltending is beautiful tho.
@Goldie2831 Ай бұрын
I always found it interesting that the goalies payed less played better, this helps provide more reasoning. Great video!
@BloodRider1914 Ай бұрын
They're hunting for these types of contracts
@ratedRblazin420 Ай бұрын
Paid
@DanoFSmith-yc9tg Ай бұрын
Tell that to MLSE. I doubt they agree with you.
@packers256 Ай бұрын
goldie that's not even true though.
@bbbb-fr5tj Ай бұрын
This theme is PEAK, love it
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
Yeah lol I had so much fun making old-timey contracts and forms and whatnot. I definitely hope to make my videos more visually-themed from here on out.
@jacrispymcrib9992 Ай бұрын
Banger vid. The art/theme is awesome. I love the Markstrom trade contract
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
That's my favorite one!
@thestammer2991 Ай бұрын
Surprised there was no Luongo mention! "my contract sucks" is a soundbyte that perfectly encapsulates your thesis. Great vid tho Pinholes!
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
Lol he actually wasn't terrible that year, just -4.6 GSAx. And the other years of that contract he was 18.6, 6.1, 1.7, 4.0, 19.0, 3.5, 13.7, and -16.5. He was only in the negatives for his final season and 2013, which is probably the only time that's happened with a 12-year contract!
@thestammer2991 Ай бұрын
@@PinholesGraham Interesting! I didn't look up his GSAx during that contract, that quote just lives rent free in my head lol
@DustinoDelapine Ай бұрын
This animation was so hypnotizing and beautiful, well done!
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
A few goalies are tied with Campbell for the $5M cap hit - I chose him over the others because he is more topical. For the record, the others have the same inconsistency: Demko: (Pre-Contract Peak 6.8) 10.5, -5.7, 22.0 Petersen: (Pre-Contract Peak 6.3) -8.4, -9.3, -5.3 Kuemper: (($>5M) Peak 21.0) 8.8, -4.8
@stephenellsworth964 Ай бұрын
The real question is how will Shesterking's NEXT contract will age...
@KaiserChef Ай бұрын
I'd be curious on how the 5.3 mil cap hit Jarry has compared to the other 4 considering he was thrown into a higher role.
@scrotumscratcher2474 Ай бұрын
@@stephenellsworth964with the cap trending up every single year it’s more of a question of will any contract look bad down the stretch
@thdemontoothpaste Ай бұрын
underrated goalie contract was tuukka Rask. won a vezina, was nominated as well and not once was below average over the 7 years
@akirafromwiisports Ай бұрын
thank you for this illustrious post, i will be making the best 3 course meal of my life to sit down and enjoy this pinholes graham masterpiece
@steamyrv Ай бұрын
Matt Murray didn't get bought out FYI. He signed a 4 year deal with Ottawa in 2020, got traded to the Leafs in 2022 and his contract expired this offseason. The Leafs did resign him for 875K but he's also dealt with injuries and didn't play a single NHL game last season.
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
True! I think I got my notes on him mixed up with Campbell's.
@steamyrv Ай бұрын
@@PinholesGrahameveryone makes mistakes. Edmonton sure did with Campbell
@njdss4 Ай бұрын
Great video, but small correction: Jacob Markstrom will not count for $6M against NJ's cap. Calgary retained ~30% of it and NJ is only on the hook for a little over $4M.
@dabootvv Ай бұрын
thats exactly why I became a goalie, mentally the most challenging and rewarding thing ever
@dabootvv Ай бұрын
referring to the first 1:30 minutes
@Torgo1969 Ай бұрын
It really is a lot of fun, isn't it? I'm old but my greatest sports memories are from being between the pipes for college intramurals and gym class.
@dabootvv 24 күн бұрын
@@Torgo1969 yes, same here! whenever I catch something by reflex I smile a little, the conditioning is still there :D
@Torgo1969 24 күн бұрын
@@dabootvv YES! Whenever something slips out of my hand or falls off a counter next to me, out comes my foot and leg to make a sweet kick save once again!
@dabootvv 24 күн бұрын
@@Torgo1969 😆😆😆 I have to show my wife, I am not the only one!
@TylerAven10 Ай бұрын
6:45 I liked to refer to Jakob Markstroms last few years as “sin-graph esque” and I’m glad to see how the numbers presented tend to agree perfectly with that assessment
@jacobocallaghan3876 Ай бұрын
Between your team retrospectives (which are awesome btw) and your series rewinds and now these new style videos, you are quickly becoming one of, if not my favorite hockey channel on KZfaq. Thank you for the content and keep up the great work!
@xInfamousJuggernautx Ай бұрын
Excellent quality video once again! Really changed how I think about goaltending and I think this concept is probably years ahead of it's time in the mainstream.
@MikaTuukkanen 19 күн бұрын
This is a big reason why I like the way the Avalanche are handling their goalie situation. Just get a solid goalie that gets the job done and pay him like the average goalie they are. Then they can stack the top end for both offence and defence with the big contracts. I also usually follow this way when playing any hockey management game. But for the support of the goalies, it is a damn hard position to play. There was a quote approximately "Hockey goalie is the toughest individual sport there is". As at the end of the day, goalies are alone fixing the failures the 5 guys in front of them and often blamed if they can't magically save the moment every single time.
@noahmajors126 Ай бұрын
This videos graphics remind me of like any episode of Pretty Good Jon Bois ever made, you’re Pretty Good yourself Pinholes.
@DookieStain007 Ай бұрын
the way you present your videos is so fun and unique, you deserve so many more subscribers
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
Thank you so much 😀
@sharkhaos_probably Ай бұрын
YES! YES! HELL YES! NEW PINHOLES STOP GRAHAMMER TIME UPLOAD!
@ericksheldon3870 Ай бұрын
@@sharkhaos_probably “Grahammer time” is an all-timer. That’s amazing.
@rickgrimes4845 23 күн бұрын
Amazing video. Never seen this high of a production quality video about the NHL. Subscribed!
@alexandrelaforest5838 Ай бұрын
I can feel the Jon Bois inspiration from everywhere in this video aha. i love it so much.
@TheVanishedMan1 Ай бұрын
I was going to write this exact comment. This is filling the Jon Bois-shaped hole in my KZfaq life
@TheMe9595 Ай бұрын
I think part of the issue is a piece of a bigger issue and that is players are paid for future performance based on past performance. Predicting that out is just super difficult. Great video
@stivvits1067 24 күн бұрын
Amazing quality content! Appreciate the artwork, narration and attention to details. Keep up the good work!
@rileyschuler8029 Ай бұрын
Love the aesthetic of this one! Great video! I must ask: do you think it would have been better for the Preds front office to trade away Saros and call up Askarov or do you think extending Saros was ultimately the right call? It's been a hot debate in the Preds fan community.
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
Only time will tell, but I would have gone with Askarov. Obviously, part of huge contracts is a sign of respect, as in if someone is a celebrity of sports in their city like I assume Saros is for Nashville, then it makes sense to give him that kind of money. But I would only do that for skaters, not goalies.
@lup1up 28 күн бұрын
I've come to know you for deep, informative data dives. I appreciate that while you kept that up, you also created a detailed presentation format that's way more exciting than just data on a black background while maintaining informative-ness and not just acting as pure eye candy. Great work, awesome presentation. The data/narration as good as always too. PS. slight typo for your Clarification Ordinanace at 12:30. You signed it as the "Creactor" instead of "Creator"
@milesbaillie1011 Ай бұрын
Man, the quality of these videos is just amazing. My favourite channel for sure. I believe cheese tends to age well though lol
@valttering 23 күн бұрын
Really well-written video. Loved the theme and graphics. Really makes you wonder how much these outside of hockey issues may be caused by the expectations set by the massive contracts
@newsoup11 Ай бұрын
i’ve only started watching hockey 3 years ago. ur vids have been really captivating & you’re one of the better content creators i’ve seen on yt
@CrackerBarrelXheese Ай бұрын
This is what drives me crazy about people slobbering over their team's goalie prospects years in advance. It doesn't matter who it is, fans never learn. Some of them will hit, but they may not hit until after the team has given up on them.
@sleepypete9341 Ай бұрын
I’m telling you dude, you make by far the best hockey content on this platform, hands down no question
@aamocryp Ай бұрын
as others have stated, this is a viaually stunning video, love your work & loved getting an insight on goalies and agreed, goalie is just overall such an unpredictable position you can't tell who will pan out or count a goalie's worth in comparison to a skater's, like Auston Matthews is pretty good bet for at least a 30 goal / 60 point season even on a bad year, more likely more - and that's consistent value, a goalie giving you three consecutive .900 runs where they play at least half the games? a small miracle, but someone whose worst is average is more trustworthy than someone whom you don't know if they'll be an AHL backup the following year
@ThunderRieder Ай бұрын
Minutes in and I can tell you love Jon Bois (like us all) and you put in a crazy amount of effort to boot. It paid off, this is a fucking cool as hell. Great work
@johnronald9767 Ай бұрын
As a goalie myself, I agree, you shouldn’t trust a goalie. They are all a little crazy, they have to be, in order to stand in the way of a puck travelling at 90mph towards them
@ethanambuehl Ай бұрын
Finally a video on this topic. I’ve said for a while that goalies are the runningbacks of the nhl. Ie don’t pay them and you don’t need a great one to win. Feels weird being I am a goalie, but Adin Hill, Jordan Binnington, and Matt Murray are examples of goalies coming out of nowhere and winning cups. Plus all the examples of bad goalie contracts.
@fqrez239 Ай бұрын
This is interesting so far PG, as a goalie it sure is hard to be consistent and a lot of expectations but can’t imagine how it is for the pros
@WybornD40 Ай бұрын
As a preds fan, the level of excitement that shot through me when seeing this pop up was truly unmatched, thank you
@SuperRavensfan101 Ай бұрын
Thank you for these videos man, the quality you make is great
@RedhawksReport Ай бұрын
love this video. thank you! I play franchise mode NHL 24 and i never pay a goalie above 5M for this reason lol. A lot of times lower overall goalies perform better than your star high overall goalie, which is sort of accurate to how this video pictures the real world.
@nightfly016 Ай бұрын
As a schlub-level goalie, I feel this one. The thing is, even an overpaid skater can be sheltered - they'll be overpaid but they can still be effective mid-sixers or PP specialists or something. But you only get one goalie at once, and the difference between "top-level starter" and "unplayable" is quite small. One suggestion - I always like to say "goals saved AGAINST average" rather than ABOVE, because a negative value is not above at all, but below. Saying "against average" just makes it consistent and simpler to understand when has to bandy about negative numbers.
@devackroyd Ай бұрын
I am pretty raw about this as an Oilers fan, the Jack Campbell thing reeked from the moment it was signed, his deal ended up being worse for Edmonton than Nikolai Khabibulin's in Edmonton... Which is stunning. Edmonton sorted of proved this all in one year, had a horrendous contract sent to the minors and had a reasonably paid drafted goalie in Skinner help get them to Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Finals. Draft well and be careful kids... Goaltending sure is voodoo.
@scottymascotty8692 Ай бұрын
Analyzing goalies performance without playoffs is not revealing the full picture. Good teams can survive their star goalie being average in regular season. They need them to be at their best in the postseason.
@thesunkenlocker Ай бұрын
As a Manchester United fan, I never understood why you wouldnt trust your Goalie. Then Onana came along
@bough2923 Ай бұрын
This guy is the most underrated hockey KZfaqr
@TheGordonBrothers Ай бұрын
the more I see jon bois-like videos out there, the happier I get. especially since this one is related to hockey. great video
@gyrate598 Ай бұрын
Great video Graham, loved the old timey theme! Were you planning on going over the best playoff series of 2024? Really loved the one you did last year and the one for the SCFs. Be interesting on how this SCF compares to previous years as well
@gremn5443 Ай бұрын
Literally the most amazing hockey video I've seen in years. You surely put a lot of love, time and effort into this. While also making a great point! Hoping your channel blows up soon (in a good way)
@gremn5443 Ай бұрын
Oh, maybe its just me, but the music gets a bit too loud from time to time? If you want something constructive or complaintive.
@overdahedge2014 Ай бұрын
the aesthetic of this video is so different to the usual and so cool
@neeltheother2342 Ай бұрын
That Bill of Trade graphic is just *chef's kiss* my dude.
@michaelfortunato3117 Ай бұрын
In the NHL, I have a feeling that teams with really good goaltending end up paying the lowest cap space on the 'tenders. The Boston Bruins come to mind. Swayman and Ullmark were two great goalies and both of them combined for like $6M in cap per year.
@sawyerwolff269 Ай бұрын
Absolutely love the theme, made it that much more interesting! Great vid PG
@kylehart8829 Ай бұрын
The fact about goalies is their quality of play is way less impactful than we like to think. We love saying goalies are carrying teams, but the fact is that even GSax is much more of a measure of quality of defense. The fact that these numbers jump up and down drastically from year to year should tell you exactly how nebulous goalie stats really are; pure luck and quality of defense can easily cause a swing of 30+ GSax. It's so easy to point at bad numbers that actually don't reflect on how well they're playing. A goalie simply cannot actually carry a team consistently in hockey because their play just doesn't impact the team nearly as much as people think. The sample sizes are tiny and the stats we have are nowhere near good enough to properly analyze goaltenders currently. Expected goals is a fundamentally flawed stat yet it's used to judge players of every position on the ice, and nobody gets under- or over-rated by xG quite like goalies do.
@PinholesGraham Ай бұрын
The statistics just do not back that up. The teams with the highest GSAx (WPG, FLA, BOS, BUF, and STL) ranked in xGA (how good their defense is) as: 10th, 5th, 15th, 22nd, and 26th. The teams with the lowest GSAx (OTT, MIN, PHI, CHI, SJS) ranked in xGA as: 11th, 8th, 7th, 28th, and 32nd. There is no correlation because GSAx already factors in what the defense is allowing, good or otherwise. And I have no idea what you mean by "the sample sizes are tiny." Every time a puck hits the goalie or the net, the calculations are made. I think xG isn't as useful for skaters since both the way the play and how they play depending on who they skate with is so fluid...but as I mention in the video, the goalie's job is so unique in that their only effect on the play is whether or not there is a goal, or a save. So actually, GSAx, while imperfect, is the most relevant statistic there is.
@powwowken2760 Ай бұрын
Dang, this video was really well made, like REALLY well made. Good job.
@SIGuy7480 Ай бұрын
love the graphics on this. great video
@meukowian Ай бұрын
your editing is on point and makes the video a lot more nicer to look at, well done
@d_swan7 Ай бұрын
subscribed, this channel needs to be at least tenfold bigger for this quality
@ComradePaolo Ай бұрын
The Bois style lives! I love everyone doing this lets goooooo
@jasperslavone1275 Ай бұрын
Really enjoyable content. Super high quality!! Looking forward to your next posts. It really is crazy how much of coin toss goalies can be
@amiraclebuser6154 Ай бұрын
I dont even watch hockey but the presentation was so great. keep em up
@MEATbody404 Ай бұрын
fantastic video these just keep getting better! as a goalielover i was so excited to see this on my home page
@ShadowKnightX71 Ай бұрын
Keep up the great work!
@Random_Guy518 Ай бұрын
Such a well made video! Great commentary and I loved the old timey-vibe of the presentation. Subscribed!
@tenchi100 Ай бұрын
As a Lightning fan, Vasy came down to earth due to realizing he needed back surgery, plus he was bailing out the Lightning in multiple cases of defensive lapses. Combine that with making it to the Finals 3 seasons in a row, Vasy was going to fall down to earth at some point. However, Vasy does have two Cups, so it’s not all that bad.
@wild_insomnia Ай бұрын
totally agree,Saros' contract will age very bad.I can see him falling down as soon as next season,even before that extension kicks in
@stu5865 27 күн бұрын
Hey graham, I kind of have a great idea for a video, the best playoff runs by a goalie since 2010 For example, there’s 2011 Tim Thomas, 2012 Johnathan quick, 2012 Martin brodeur, 2014 lundqvist, 2018 fleury, 2021 price, etc.
@justinblack5474 Ай бұрын
Wow what an incredible piece of content! Absolutely love the Wild West type theme and the active illustrations and art. Beautifully executed. My first time coming across your channel, instant sub! Keep up the fantastic work my friend 🤘
@ericwertz9448 Ай бұрын
fantastic work as always, this is why i was so uneasy when Isles signed Sorokin. he was good for a couple years but goalie contracts are so damn terrifying…
@mikidof Ай бұрын
I just don’t think you can boil down a goalie’s performance in one number and pretend it tells the whole story
@gabrielarrigo1525 Ай бұрын
Great video! Love the analysis and the aesthetic. You make a fantastic point about it being fine to take risks on guys.
@Bobcat205 Ай бұрын
I really like the presentation on this. It feels like a cross of Jon Bois and Grifflix/Griffin Schroeder (if you're familiar with that name) and it works to perfection. This rules, I'll stick around.
@Naskari_ 21 күн бұрын
It's wild that you can be the best of the world at the most important and the hardest position to play in hockey. Be at a perfect negotiation postition and still get smaller contract than Darnell Nurse.
@simonpro2282 Ай бұрын
love the montage and the writhing
@MrPhilionaire Ай бұрын
Saros wasn't really talking to Ryan O'Reilly in that investment commercial, he was negotiating his contract with Barry Trotz... "No goals"
@zjsz4954 Ай бұрын
Being a goalie is so mental that feeling like a burden no doubt hurts their game further
@cheddarandsourcream Ай бұрын
Can’t right now babe, pinholes uploaded.
@user-rm6oo9ln9o Ай бұрын
Good effort ! Earned a subscriber:) good video thank you
@noahkoz6873 Ай бұрын
Once again, great video, hope they get big one day
@benbrien-dp6ws Ай бұрын
Found you on the nuckhead podcast, great video.
@maxlee6739 Ай бұрын
What matters with goalies is resume over just one season. When you scout goalies for the draft a key indicator of a star prospect vs an alright guy is that they’ve performed in juniors for years on end rather than just had a good draft year. If you average out the 3 years pre-contract the drop off is not nearly as bad. Situation is everything for a goalie. John Gibson is the obvious example but look at Quick. Got terrible coincidentally right when LA did, moved to NYR and then was suddenly good again. Personally, in my career, I was a middling to bad goalie on my high school’s 2nd varsity team. We played in the same league as the 1st team and lost all but 1 league game. I looked awful, I played awful. Next year I get on the 1st varsity team and suddenly have a .935 or something like that and lost 0 games the entire year.
@seanbrady2232 Ай бұрын
Man I was stoked when Nashville resigned Saros. Now I just see hundred dollar bills with Juse’s face on them
@DanoFSmith-yc9tg Ай бұрын
I feel for Geubauer, he had a good thing going with my Avs, but he chased the money. I feel like he would have had a much steadier road with Colorado if he stayed, even though he eliminated the Avs from the playoffs his first or second year in Seattle.
@rjcraig6302 Ай бұрын
Bro your videos are so well put together-you deserve more subs!
@shyguy23000001 Ай бұрын
That's hockey baby! New pinholes graham vid!
@dunsbroccoli2588 26 күн бұрын
K now do a video on the relationship between top D pairing performance/value and goalie performance/value. And then the next one can be about team defence structure in relation to top D pairing performance/value and goal tending performance/value. And then you can do one about how there needs to be a boat anchor contract cap termination clause because every team has a terrible signing that ruins the player and destroys team morale. And then you can do one about how there needs to be difference financial arrangements for Canadian teams because it's a major disadvantage to be taxed more on a contract. And then you can do one on how there should be a cap allowance to teams who rank highest on no-trade clause lists because it's a major disadvantage related to geography/broader cultural relevance.
@SeanMackYo Ай бұрын
I haven't watched the whole video, but Tuukka Rask's contract I'd say worked out pretty well for a long contract.
@Kilometers_KPH Ай бұрын
"Never Trust a Goalie" Unless his name is Bobrovsky
@lw1391 Ай бұрын
The really weird thing about this video, is it suggests that the Leafs strategy is really good, at least contract management wise - which does not seem to match on ice performance.
@daniellowry660 Ай бұрын
@7:45 unfortunate not to mention right where that dip in Gibby's play occured was when the ducks hired Dallas Eakins.
@emmanuelpaul6903 20 күн бұрын
Im convinced price could have been great if he wasn’t injured and didn’t have all these problems, but a few of these problems came from the contract and the MASSIVE expectations of being the highest paid goalies in the nhl in a canadian team and that team being Montreal, and price showed he could be great be some years he just.. wasn’t. Anyways great video
@odyssey1537 Ай бұрын
Murray wasn’t bought out. He just became a free agent
@Zamppa86 Ай бұрын
The best goalie contracts of all time are the ones Patrick Roy got. Only goalie, and only player overall, to win 3 Conn Smythes. Worth every million he got.
@kristianlarsen9875 Ай бұрын
awesome video and loved the animation very unique
@vincentregis Ай бұрын
With his unbelievable GSAx numbers, Lundqvist first contract must now look like a freakin' bargain!
@jimbothy9852 Ай бұрын
I think Juuse is pretty unique - his contract is VERY long, but has a reasonable salary, given that he has had good to great numbers with a mediocre to atrocious roster in front of him. I also think that while the term may be long, considering that they have Askarov behind him, the contract could be being used to have a transition much like with Rinne to him.
@Maisonthrope 21 күн бұрын
Oh gosh! You stories are so good! I really like the visuals, what kind of program is it?
@maxsundux Ай бұрын
Forgot another example of big contract bad play Darcy kuemper 4.5 mil mediocre season than beat out by Charlie lindgren for his starting spot finishing with a below 900 on the season
@rjcraig6302 Ай бұрын
As a Preds fan, I love the thumbnail of the video.
@eldrasidar Ай бұрын
Would have been interesting to compare with some of the contracts like Rask or Lundqvist, who had ups and downs for sure, but were I think pretty consistently top goaltenders for the majority of their seasons.
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