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With the Atlantic simmering down, attention turns to the Western Pacific where two areas of interest could develop into storms on either side of the Philippines.
A surface low is beginning to develop in the South China Sea, and could become a brief tropical storm as it heads towards the coast of Vietnam, but its progress could be disrupted by another system trying to form in the same space this weekend. Near the Philippines, a small storm is expected to form and pass through northern Mindanao and the Visayas this weekend or early next week.
Regardless of development, rainfall will be elevated in the Philippines and Vietnam, with total accumulations of over 400mm possible.
An area of interest in the open East Pacific also has a chance to develop, but it looks unlikely at this stage.
In the longer range, some models are still suggesting impressive typhoons will form in the Western Pacific and go on to affect Taiwan, Japan and China as substantial typhoons. More time is needed before we can forecast these storms with confidence next week and into the following week.
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