Ted Oakley - Oxbow Advisors - Interview Series 2023 - Felix Zulauf

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Oxbow Advisors

Oxbow Advisors

Күн бұрын

Ted Oakley interviews Felix Zulauf on geopolitics, markets, and the economy.
To learn more about Felix here are his social links:
www.felixzulauf.com/
LinkedIn @zulauf-consulting
KZfaq Channel @zulaufconsulting
Visit www.oxbowadvisors.com/2023-books for a complimentary copy of Ted Oakley's new book "Stay Rich with a Balanced Portfolio" Link: oxbowadvisors.com/balanced-po...
To speak to a portfolio manager at Oxbow Advisors click this link: bit.ly/3Tg0YIS
Social Media & KZfaq Disclosure: bit.ly/3LJ8IRs
0:00-0:38 Intro
0:38-2:30 Geopolitics - US Leadership
2:30-6:15 Global Conflicts
6:15-8:11 Thoughts on the Global Economy
8:11-13:55 Ukraine
13:55-17:20 Effects on Gold and US Dollar
17:20-21:33 Outlook for the Next Decade
21:33-22:36 What is the Endgame for Debt?
22:36-24:54 Stock and Bond Expectations
24:54-29:38 How to Manage Volatile Markets
29:38-31:00 Today’s Market vs 2000
31:00-33:10 Industry and Advisor Complacency
33:10-35:58 Public Company Boards
35:58-37:37 What To Do - The Next 5 Years
37:37- 39:40 Outro

Пікірлер: 103
@mrsterling5306
@mrsterling5306 4 ай бұрын
Felix is Ultra Intelligent! He knows what’s going on everywhere! I am fascinated by this conversation, Thank You to Oxbow Advisors. 🙂
@absoluttchamp
@absoluttchamp 5 ай бұрын
This channel is such a hidden gem.
@supertramp1692
@supertramp1692 2 ай бұрын
Any others that you can recommend?
@absoluttchamp
@absoluttchamp 2 ай бұрын
@@supertramp1692 Too much sensationalism out there. I follow Theo Trade with Kaufmanns reports post market close, but they have a bit more of a technical angle.
@misty671
@misty671 5 ай бұрын
Felix certainly has a ggod grasp of events in Europe especially those related the the war in Ukraine. I pray more N. Americans start asking questions about US foreign policy.
@markwade3509
@markwade3509 5 ай бұрын
One of the best discussions I have listened to for a long time. Thank you. From the U.K. The demographic time bomb is very real in many parts of the world!
@jays9870
@jays9870 5 ай бұрын
Terrific interview and a superbly interesting perspective. Thank you.
@alexandreo9603
@alexandreo9603 5 ай бұрын
This guest has a realistic view on the world, i like that
@not_nostradamus683
@not_nostradamus683 5 ай бұрын
Excellent observation of what is going on with the Board of Directors at companies.
@mayor5326
@mayor5326 5 ай бұрын
Excellent interview. Felix is a great thinker. Love this!
@nickblair802
@nickblair802 5 ай бұрын
Ted, I really appreciate the quality of your interviews. I especially appreciate how this particular interview ties geo politics to the IS and world economy. You provide more clarity, with fewer words than anyone else.
@markhow3818
@markhow3818 5 ай бұрын
Nice work Ted! You teased out unique and valuable information out of Felix. It was helpful, not only in the way I think about investing. But also in the way of thinking about business.
@jivepatrol6833
@jivepatrol6833 5 ай бұрын
Great interview and I really appreciate your style of asking thoughtful questions and then letting the guest speak. Thank You
@ll-sw3tm
@ll-sw3tm 5 ай бұрын
Outstanding! Thank you Ted.
@SuspendedLogic
@SuspendedLogic 5 ай бұрын
This guy knows a lot about what's actually going on.
@MrMatisse22
@MrMatisse22 3 ай бұрын
Highest value interview.
@markphillips2648
@markphillips2648 5 ай бұрын
Brilliant!
@haze1123
@haze1123 5 ай бұрын
Great to see that Ted has his own channel now!!! SUBSCRIBED 👍
@adalbertmack9529
@adalbertmack9529 5 ай бұрын
Sehr interessante Aussagen nicht nur in Bezug auf die ökonomische Entwicklung sondern auch geopolitische Analysen, die in den Mainstream-Medien so nicht vorkommen.
@timferguson593
@timferguson593 5 ай бұрын
Always watch these presentations. Thanks Ted.
@crouchhill
@crouchhill 5 ай бұрын
There are two people I listen to every word they say, one is Felix and the other is Russell Napier. Excellent podcast Ted, thank you.
@MartinJG100
@MartinJG100 5 ай бұрын
Yes to Russell Napier. A hard man to dig out.
@sunjungsonne
@sunjungsonne Ай бұрын
Same here
@sunjungsonne
@sunjungsonne Ай бұрын
plus Anthony Deden
@crouchhill
@crouchhill Ай бұрын
@@sunjungsonne Absolutely, he interview with Grant few year back was superb 😊
@philippebouchard-bourdeau5100
@philippebouchard-bourdeau5100 5 ай бұрын
Thanks for the interview, loved it !! ❤
@JohanTetzel
@JohanTetzel 2 ай бұрын
Great interview - two goliaths of the investing world in one video (making them both look normal sized)
@tenplus1025
@tenplus1025 5 ай бұрын
Really like that dude! Ted…you are the man. Love your philosophy and demeanor, buddy!
@WickedSmaaht
@WickedSmaaht 5 ай бұрын
My favourite person as well, since yesterday) your video with him is the second
@MichaelHarrington17
@MichaelHarrington17 5 ай бұрын
The 70s crises in the West delivered Thatcher and Reagan, which implies a return to economic rationality and fiscal rectitude.
@goldsilvercryptos5963
@goldsilvercryptos5963 5 ай бұрын
Great interview! Loved it. Thank you!
@crimeajewel
@crimeajewel 5 ай бұрын
I met someone,( now deceased), who knew John Maynard Keynes. He was Quentin Bell. Virginia Woolfe's nephew. At Fitzwilliam College Cambridge in the 1980s.
@eh7599
@eh7599 5 ай бұрын
Very interesting
@prashantiyer1216
@prashantiyer1216 5 ай бұрын
thank you ted .You ask the right questions
@m8kid
@m8kid 5 ай бұрын
His narrative portrays Russia as the victim and the United States as the aggressor, a perspective that significantly aligns with Russian propaganda. However, this viewpoint neglects to acknowledge the extensive history of Russia's use of soft power in Europe. For years, Russia has strategically employed soft power tactics to a much larger extent than any other nation to influence and achieve its objectives. This critical aspect of the geopolitical landscape is conspicuously absent in his analysis, suggesting a one-sided and unbalanced interpretation of the Ukraine situation. Also, if Putin aimed to protect ethnic Russians, as this individual claims, why did he allow the near-total destruction of Mariupol, where the majority of the population were ethnic Russians?
@borisantolovic2721
@borisantolovic2721 5 ай бұрын
I didn't want to comment but since you did...This guy is completely wrong about putin Russia and Ukraine.
@jmcmob608
@jmcmob608 5 ай бұрын
Thank you very much...
@darrenmcinerney2212
@darrenmcinerney2212 5 ай бұрын
Excellent very interesting. Thank you 👍.
@hmqsmith
@hmqsmith 5 ай бұрын
Great interview!
@wernermesserer4464
@wernermesserer4464 5 ай бұрын
simply great interview
@ritschi66
@ritschi66 5 ай бұрын
Great questions, great answers👍
@aarong8933
@aarong8933 5 ай бұрын
Thank you Ted. I really respect you as a money manager. I wish I worked for you. That would be a dream come true.
@adirare100
@adirare100 5 ай бұрын
My favorite money managers ❤️❤️❤️❤️❤️yaaaaayyyy!!!!
@hoosharp
@hoosharp 5 ай бұрын
Ted, this needed to become general knowledge, thank you! With less growth we will have less profit potential.
@drwinklepecker9298
@drwinklepecker9298 5 ай бұрын
Great interview.
@JamieDupont-tj5lx
@JamieDupont-tj5lx 5 ай бұрын
Thanks Ted! Though I disagree with most of what Felix had to say (too alarmist), still good to hear another perspective.
@detectiveofmoneypolitics
@detectiveofmoneypolitics 5 ай бұрын
Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is still watching this very informative content cheers Frank as subscriber 😊
@RichardwWestmark
@RichardwWestmark 5 ай бұрын
Awesome interview! Sounds like the late Harry Brown’s perfect portfolio strategy may be good idea for capital preservation.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 5 ай бұрын
Downcycle & upcycle refer to the treasury yields, right?
@sirluciussquigglesworthlll6503
@sirluciussquigglesworthlll6503 5 ай бұрын
🔥
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 5 ай бұрын
He is selling Ray Dalio’s thesis at the beginning.
@rawmean8989
@rawmean8989 5 ай бұрын
The crazy thing is USA and Isreal do not have any mutual defense pacts or agreements.
@user-eb3pi4tv9k
@user-eb3pi4tv9k 5 ай бұрын
I think the volatility will appear much faster than people think, trouble over the US election could spark it off.
@originalfred66
@originalfred66 5 ай бұрын
Felix was interviewed on Wealthion in Dec 2002, and he predicted a recession in Q2-Q3 2023. He made a lot of other predictions based on that recession call. Most of his predictions turned out to be wrong because of the bad recession call. I would have liked to hear him explain what happened to the recession and if he still felt a recession was on the table. Long term predictions are nice, but as investors, we really need to know what will happen over the next 6 months to a year.
@billflipper1130
@billflipper1130 5 ай бұрын
I watched those same interviews. There were definitely a lot of wrong calls but nonetheless I respect his opinions and think his opinions are very thoughtful. He just did a blockworks interview where he kinda answers what he missed.
@draymond5067
@draymond5067 5 ай бұрын
Many were early on the recession call, but it's coming...tax receipts falling
@KK-pm7ud
@KK-pm7ud 5 ай бұрын
There was a banking crisis and the Fed pumped in liquidity. Hardly good times.
@gordpearson9802
@gordpearson9802 5 ай бұрын
Some experts say we are in a minor recession, other so call experts say we had a recession, so who really knows, surely the FED won't tell you --- just saying!
@jamesmiller2296
@jamesmiller2296 5 ай бұрын
What could happen on quad witching on DECEMBER 15 2023 ; GOOD OR BAD?.
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 5 ай бұрын
How can CPI rise with a contracting money supply?
@issenvan1050
@issenvan1050 5 ай бұрын
He is everywhere again: three interviews in a row. Out of his closet after a while. 😂
@Notaslave1961
@Notaslave1961 5 ай бұрын
100% Roller Coaster, buy and hold, passive, or normal portfolio management will not be good.
@eh7599
@eh7599 5 ай бұрын
Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy
@onceANexile
@onceANexile 5 ай бұрын
Z=good thinking.
@tiaretsnyheter6026
@tiaretsnyheter6026 5 ай бұрын
Interesting perspectives on varied dynamics. But a lot of three dimensional chess talk on geopolitics. The latter unlikely to be very accurate, from my european view.
@ivivivir
@ivivivir 5 ай бұрын
Great analysis of geopolitics. It is amazing to find people thinking in the same way I believed it developed the Ukraine war. It has been US pushing Ukraine to a deadly war against a brother nation.
@robbyh7037
@robbyh7037 5 ай бұрын
Does congress needs to approve QE or can the fed take that decision without? Basically can Republicans block QE in 2024
@jhull5870
@jhull5870 5 ай бұрын
Like Ted but he was totally wrong with the markets direction in all of 2023.
@MAC...
@MAC... 5 ай бұрын
The Russia angle is flawed...why would Russia invade Crimea in 2014? And use the same justification for invading Ukraine, while also funding Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine...
@sunjungsonne
@sunjungsonne Ай бұрын
He said, Ukraine under pro USA government was preparing to attack eastern Ukraine
@MichaelHarrington17
@MichaelHarrington17 5 ай бұрын
Somewhere along the way, Larry Fink lost all perspective. But fiat currency has created excess volatility and excess leverage, leading to greater systemic fragility.
@App12-qk3xq
@App12-qk3xq 5 ай бұрын
What's really bad is all the people who made millions and billions off zero interest rates now running around telling people to buy gold etc. Hey Robert rich dad poor Dad types. Conversely as much as I like Tedd I get annoyed that no one actually mentions the most important thing which is when you were born in history.
@MichaelHarrington17
@MichaelHarrington17 5 ай бұрын
Felix offers great perspectives on geopolitics. I don't know if my analysis would be exactly the same. National interests adhere to economic trends, but over the long-term these are constrained by demographics, debt, technology, energy and most importantly, political and social institutions. The US and the West have the political foundations of political and economic liberty that is not to be found elsewhere in autocratic states on the Asian continent. This counts for a lot in predicting the future because free societies adapt to change, whereas autocratic societies do not. Europe has two intractable problems: energy and demographics. China and Russia face a severe demographic decline that cannot be fixed. The developing world has a growing population and untapped resources, so which direction makes sense for them: freedom or autocracy? It's tough to see the USA, with all its faults and political mismanagement, losing this advantage to China. They say China will grow old before it grows rich. It certainly looks like asset deflation is in its short-term future. And where will rich Chinese go? To the West. It only makes sense.
@rugguy57
@rugguy57 5 ай бұрын
He's a Putin fan boy. He inaccurately described the Revolution of Dignity and the whole Ukrainian war.
@swiss-man7733
@swiss-man7733 5 ай бұрын
Never bet against the US
@richardc861
@richardc861 5 ай бұрын
True but i also wouldn’t bet against Russia. History says as much
@paulgrimes4826
@paulgrimes4826 5 ай бұрын
Maybe
@jonaslisauskas1650
@jonaslisauskas1650 5 ай бұрын
honestly no idea where he gets this geopolitical ideas, i think he is just being contrarian for the sake of it. Is he saying that all those destroyed russian columns on a way to Kyiv, that consisted of amongst other things rossgvardia anti riot vans, and even a medals of "taking Kyiv", "liberating Odessa" in the belongings were just a decoy lol ? Ukraine showing incredible will to fight a war that started in 2014 btw, its ludicrous to say they are being pushed into it. They know everything is at stake here, they know russians never stop until they are stopped by force, none of those Budapest agreements are worth anything. Great interview otherwise, he is entertaining as ever even if needed to be taken with a lot of caution just like Peter Zeihan
@edwardk4198
@edwardk4198 5 ай бұрын
Crisis in the bond market? Maybe the mechanism that deals with unsustainable debt. My thesis is that a new generation, unsympathetic to boomer entitlements, will restructure and redeploy. Politics in Washington is backward-looking and sclerotic. All policies have some tweaks as to what worked in the past.
@jonathangilmore3193
@jonathangilmore3193 5 ай бұрын
Zulauf seems at odds with all US and European military analysts, i.e., Ukraine has lost, Russia has won! Seems a little premature!
@maciekwais
@maciekwais 5 ай бұрын
Ukraine wanted to attack Russia? They for sure had hope to win against them... I agree US won from this war but the loser of any military conflict would always be Ukraine. Now if Felix listened to what Putin said 2 days before the war he would remember that Putin demanded NATO to move out from Baltic's and Eastern European countries - that's for sure not imperialism lol... Ukraine is the unfortunate loser in game between China, Russia and US. It's unbelievable that not a single word of criticism was said about Russia here. Not surprising as a lot of EU money would like to have access to cheap Russian resources no matter what Russia does with neighbouring countries. Russia is just innocent isn't it? :D
@user-zj6fc9qv7p
@user-zj6fc9qv7p 5 ай бұрын
Felix you must be drinking to much Russian vodka.
@chrisjohnson6724
@chrisjohnson6724 5 ай бұрын
Having been in the areas mentioned of Ukraine, in 2012 and having extended family members in these areas to this day, well some of the comments about Ukraine are utterly false and deeply offensive to these people. How do you justify the complete destruction of an entire city and it's people jobs and life? and say you are "liberating" them. Disappointing, and a bad call to put this up on an otherwise very good channel. Sounds like he repeats someone else's story, does he run Russian money in Swiss accounts?
@radupetrescu8537
@radupetrescu8537 5 ай бұрын
Some of Mr. Zulauf views sound like they came out from a russian troll
@HD-wp2oo
@HD-wp2oo 3 ай бұрын
Great!! 2 guys that missed the biggest stock market rally in years talking to each other. So Pathetic
@hjfcorp2208
@hjfcorp2208 5 ай бұрын
Focus on your economic analysis. Your geopolitical analysis is a disaster. Especially CCP China - Taiwan part. Felix sounds like a pro CCP propaganda.
@kruby1165
@kruby1165 5 ай бұрын
Felix is so dramatically wrong on his assessment of the war in Ukraine (he is simply repeating Putin propaganda without even trying to challenge those concepts) that it undermines his ability to make sound calls on other issues
@TubeBoobforyou
@TubeBoobforyou 5 ай бұрын
How so? Ukraine is literally running out of soldiers and conscripting 50 year Olds and females to fight and die on the front lines. They simply DO NOT have enough soldiers left to go on the offensive and will run out far before Russia.
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