Peter Zeihan - Are We Facing A Global Population Collapse?

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Chris Williamson

Chris Williamson

Жыл бұрын

Peter Zeihan explains what will happen with global population. Does Peter Zeihan think that we're facing world demographic collapse? What does Peter Zeihan think the total population will be?
#peterzeihan #population #demographics
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Пікірлер: 263
@ChrisWillx
@ChrisWillx Жыл бұрын
Watch the full episode here - kzfaq.info/get/bejne/rbiEarNeu7GxYJ8.html
@3sc4p1sm
@3sc4p1sm Жыл бұрын
Ye, hiring child groomers to teach kids and run a country is a good sign that society is collapsing 🤣 wasnt too long ago UK gave orphans to predators to study their growth behaviors, we are due for annihlation as the great filter demmands
@endcensorship874
@endcensorship874 Жыл бұрын
My favorite saying : "The future belongs to those who show up."
@lesseirgpapers9245
@lesseirgpapers9245 Жыл бұрын
You mean who shut up.
@gaddafigiraffi7805
@gaddafigiraffi7805 Жыл бұрын
His covid predictions with china have been spot on as have his previous predictions with brexit. I recommend following his twitter and youtube accounts for more info. The stuff he says isn't being said by most ppl right now and it's not "spookism" it's very technical and he's very good at not stepping outside his boundaries
@tonycatman
@tonycatman Жыл бұрын
I'm willing to take a very large bet that his predictions about population are wrong. He is a real outlier in his population prediction. He went as far as to suggest that there would be a peak this year, so I'll live to see him be wrong. Population numbers have an emergent self-correction mechanism. Humans can see into the future, and make decisions accordingly - even if only subconsciously. Japan has tens of thousands of empty houses which are in good condition, and this steeps into the collective psyche in those towns. So for example the birth rate of 1.4 in some 'ghost' towns has surged to 1.9. There's every reason to expect that it will go to above replacement rate. Search for "baby bump" and you will see that US birth rates have stopped declining. We have a couple of wars on the go right now. There's always a massive surge of births when wars end. Baby boomers will soon be dying like flies, and their kids will soon be inheriting incredible amounts of wealth in terms of houses and savings. When people have empty rooms in their house, they always fill them up with something.
@ophello
@ophello Жыл бұрын
@@tonycatman the US is not relevant in discussions about global population growth. He also didn’t claim that it would peak this year or any time soon. He said current estimates are just under 9 billion.
@user-ju1qd3ok2g
@user-ju1qd3ok2g Жыл бұрын
It is not "what he said" but what he wrote in his 6 published books the last 14 years. It can be checked against current reality.
@DTL0VER
@DTL0VER Жыл бұрын
Love this interview
@Glory005
@Glory005 Жыл бұрын
Once we have a platform for agricultural automation, it won't be necessary to do everything over for each new device. That is to say, once you've got a framework that can integrate cameras and manipulators that can recognize different plants and what state of growth and health those plants are in, that technology follows an experience curve, becoming substantially cheaper every year until cheap little machines that can move around a backyard vegetable garden can use it.
@SpencerLemay
@SpencerLemay Жыл бұрын
Nah it's gonna be full of DRM from some mega corp who charges a licensing fee every time you plant a seed.
@Issa_Jesus
@Issa_Jesus Жыл бұрын
Peter Zeihan has been interviewed by a million podcasters and KZfaqrs now, and apparently no one bothers to inform him that he should get a proper microphone... ffs, give me your address Peter, I'll buy and send you one!
@jcooper2373
@jcooper2373 Жыл бұрын
Haha it's such a distinctive tinny sound
@JoeMisseri
@JoeMisseri Жыл бұрын
It's part of his brand😂
@RipeTimes
@RipeTimes Жыл бұрын
where is the best place to have a conversation about what kind of world we want to live in and how to get there?
@M0viLover
@M0viLover Жыл бұрын
United Nations. And/or, the G20 Summit.
@ResonantFrequency
@ResonantFrequency Жыл бұрын
I think we need to reform our supply chain in a way that makes domestic manufacturing more viable and also fits in line with our goals for the environment and independence. I think that vision means massive SKU reduction. We should be manufacturing at most 5-6 programmable chips that we can use for everything. Your microwave, your washing machine, your dishwasher and your smart thermostat should all be running off not just the same chip but the same entire board with different software flashed on to it. With that model we can leverage economies of scale to produce the electronics the consumer market demands while also reducing our waste since we will be able to end appliance disposability if parts are more universal and accessible. We will also need right to repair legislation that cuts back on some of the excesses of copyright law that allows us to bypasses some of the software lockouts that allow us to service existing products and focus on extending product lifespans.
@misterdeluxia5948
@misterdeluxia5948 Жыл бұрын
this is weirdly hopeful and terrifying
@Himcor
@Himcor Жыл бұрын
To use the high end silicon you need quite a lot of mid/low components as well. A motherboard is full on non-high end components. Am I missing something here? Maybe there is enough production of this in the west even though majority is produced in other regions?
@DecadeAgoGaming1
@DecadeAgoGaming1 Жыл бұрын
Really hope so
@dannypope1860
@dannypope1860 Жыл бұрын
I have a meat thermometer that tells my phone what temperature it is, and I f*cking LOVE it!
@Stuffandstuff974
@Stuffandstuff974 Жыл бұрын
Population collapse is going to be awful for those who are childless when they get old.
@the.typing.mantis353
@the.typing.mantis353 Жыл бұрын
Nah... I will just pay your kids to take care of me with the amount of money I will have safe from not having to pay 18+ years of child care expenses
@Stuffandstuff974
@Stuffandstuff974 Жыл бұрын
@@the.typing.mantis353 you hope
@Rscottphillips
@Rscottphillips Жыл бұрын
@@the.typing.mantis353 This!
@jayc342009
@jayc342009 Жыл бұрын
I'll get an ai robot to wipe my ass occasionally
@Stuffandstuff974
@Stuffandstuff974 Жыл бұрын
@@Rscottphillips again, you hope.
@jayturner3397
@jayturner3397 Жыл бұрын
We will if people keep getting jibber jibbed
@johnnarogers2088
@johnnarogers2088 Жыл бұрын
It's hard to believe they're still able to give them out at this stage.
@jayturner3397
@jayturner3397 Жыл бұрын
@@johnnarogers2088 sheeple, I spoke at length with my neighbours some weeks back..no more for us said they..just asked me to take them for booster next week..I give up 😆 🤣
@corymackin8723
@corymackin8723 Жыл бұрын
The root of the problem is corrupt politicians.
@jaykay5142
@jaykay5142 Жыл бұрын
And corrupt oligarchs paying off those politicians.
@correctpolitically4784
@correctpolitically4784 Жыл бұрын
Good !
@geoffreyharris5931
@geoffreyharris5931 Жыл бұрын
Good. There are way too many people in the world by far, by perhaps a factor of 100.
@farmergeorge6885
@farmergeorge6885 Жыл бұрын
Tempus made some good points.
@BobJoy_my_collection_of_stuff
@BobJoy_my_collection_of_stuff Жыл бұрын
over population is the number one world problem
@matthewhunty
@matthewhunty Жыл бұрын
Did you copy and paste your questions into an existing video. Or does Zihan always say the same things
@OneTribe.Community
@OneTribe.Community Жыл бұрын
@4:39 wtf did Chris say? Sounded like Swedish Chef “guhferdafer”
@120dbdavid
@120dbdavid Жыл бұрын
What if we get our hands on that flying saucer motorhome technology?
@rocko0214
@rocko0214 Жыл бұрын
Are collapse and decrease the same thing? Genuine question.
@jgooo101
@jgooo101 Жыл бұрын
Yes the whole thing depends on growth and the next generation picking up the tab, as soon as people really start to believe that's not going to happen it all gets really really bad, even the well off now will have nothing.
@cosmicprison9819
@cosmicprison9819 Жыл бұрын
@@jgooo101 This is the reason why so many on the left employ the “cancer metaphor”. I’m not a fan of it, but I think it’s often misunderstood. Yes, some use that image to merely vent their misanthropic frustration. But others use it in a less emotionally charged manner, simply to point out that anything that grows unchecked can do massive amounts of damage. And if the system relies precisely on that growth continuing ad infinitum, then the system has been designed to fail from the get-go - we merely didn’t notice it back then. The resources on Earth are finite, much more finite than living space on Earth - that’s as true for food as it is for fossil fuels. These are things that conservatives don’t have any answers for - because their entire brand is “keep doing what our ancestors have always been doing; those are the tried and tested methods”. That must have been the mindset of every other species that came before us on this planet, and ultimately went extinct because it failed to adapt. The tried and tested ways work - until they don’t.
@PeterParker-ot8pl
@PeterParker-ot8pl Жыл бұрын
But my meat probe to my phone has allowed my laziness to really bloom! I don’t even need to get off the couch to check the progress of my cook anymore 😎👍
@Wm.Havens
@Wm.Havens Жыл бұрын
How old is this interview?
@VA_Aggie
@VA_Aggie Жыл бұрын
The full interview is about 2 months old
@iampeachy1188
@iampeachy1188 Жыл бұрын
Internet of things was gonna br failure anyway , i think making every single thing into a smart device is very stupid idea
@A-la-Weiss
@A-la-Weiss Жыл бұрын
Let the rich and super rich have kids
@fortium1025
@fortium1025 Жыл бұрын
Hahaha!
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
system is rigged
@stevengtv
@stevengtv Жыл бұрын
Chis is in his 30’s with no kids.
@Nightdiver20
@Nightdiver20 Жыл бұрын
So am I. What's your point?
@RedH3
@RedH3 Жыл бұрын
Me too. Imagine getting married and having kids with an american woman in 2022.
@dhh488
@dhh488 Жыл бұрын
@Guy Incognito It didn't make me rich, but I am very comfortable.
@insmileyfacemur4242
@insmileyfacemur4242 Жыл бұрын
I'm 33 with no kids and my life is so great
@chilipepper9938
@chilipepper9938 Жыл бұрын
The biggest nuclear affect as been the introduction of contraceptives.
@jeffincanada5060
@jeffincanada5060 Жыл бұрын
I cannot believe that this video, that was talking about decreasing population, did not even touch on the increased death rates across the planet, and exactly what is causing it. And how are the drug companies involved in the population reduction?
@JCOwens-zq6fd
@JCOwens-zq6fd Жыл бұрын
Internet of things etc wont be going away though. The nature of how the economy & everything else works is about to change drastically. ESG & stakeholder capitalism changes everything.
@zacksymes
@zacksymes Жыл бұрын
Does anyone know of a video who details out what exactly causes the drop off from 9 billion. So many people say we slow down and decrease, but why?
@geneharper7535
@geneharper7535 Жыл бұрын
well if we can't sustain the agriculture we have, where are they all going to get food? 9 billion is a lot of hungry people on top of that a lot of developed countries have more old people than young people, and the young people aren't having many kids, so what happens when the old people die of old age?
@tbmike23
@tbmike23 Жыл бұрын
As long as census data has been collected, people living in the city have far fewer children than people on a farm. As Peter puts it, costed in the city are very expensive, and take up space, on the farm they're free labor.
@zacksymes
@zacksymes Жыл бұрын
@@geneharper7535 Now of course this makes perfect sense to me. What I would say “confuses me” would be the position held by Jordan Peterson - to the degree that I even understand his position. Something like, “We are doing just fine. The worlds getting better. Stop being an alarmist liberal! But we are going to see a decline around 9 billion…” Which makes me honestly wonder why concern in the now is “alarmist” but then the data clearly suggests we will start loosing people. Now I understand that if people naturally choose less children, then no need for concern. But if the agriculture issue you mentioned is a huge aspect, or reason, of what’s to come? Then how is that not alarmist? Even worthy alarmism - which can be hard to distinguish these days (obviously lol).
@louisbrown4620
@louisbrown4620 Жыл бұрын
Food.
@Tyler_W
@Tyler_W Жыл бұрын
People get old and die, and if they don't have kids to replace them, the overall population declines. It's not too difficult.
@bringyourdaughtertotheslau5297
@bringyourdaughtertotheslau5297 Жыл бұрын
Peter is always very passionate about what he says... but have his predictions ever come true?
@daedalusrws
@daedalusrws Жыл бұрын
Yes. Best example is when he called Russia's invasion of Ukraine years ago in his book. He gave a range of years starting 2022 on when it may happen.
@somtimesieat2411
@somtimesieat2411 Жыл бұрын
Of recent events yes surprisingly accurate
@libertarianPinoy
@libertarianPinoy Жыл бұрын
Geopop made a vid about his predictions of China and the COVID pandemic.
@obcane3072
@obcane3072 Жыл бұрын
Get his first book, Accidental Superpower and see for yourself. The most classic one is in 2014 predicting Russias would invade Ukraine in 2022. And the reason he gave is this was the last year that Russia would have enough 20 year olds to engage in war. After this decade they will never be able to man a sufficient army to protect their long border.
@realdeal139
@realdeal139 Жыл бұрын
Usually he preaches spookism
@mjr7991
@mjr7991 Жыл бұрын
Um speak for yourself regarding that thermostat that links to your phone 😂
@stephencuskley5251
@stephencuskley5251 Жыл бұрын
Hmmm... meat thermometer that talks to your phone... Hey, QVC ...
@jamesl2846
@jamesl2846 Жыл бұрын
Thanks to Billy and his magic injection, she added.
@-haclong2366
@-haclong2366 Жыл бұрын
03:41 Because patents keep such technology expensive.
@NotClosedMinded
@NotClosedMinded Жыл бұрын
My energy bill has tripled.
@insmileyfacemur4242
@insmileyfacemur4242 Жыл бұрын
Make my babies so when they grow up they could work and make money for the rich
@CommandoMaster
@CommandoMaster Жыл бұрын
The reason is: People are having less kids because of social anxiety, birth control, and different priorities other than marriage/raising kids.
@louisbrown4620
@louisbrown4620 Жыл бұрын
It’s because more people than ever are going to college and being indoctrinated instead of educated.
@emeraldspark8794
@emeraldspark8794 Жыл бұрын
also money. It price live and raise a kid only going up.
@SpencerLemay
@SpencerLemay Жыл бұрын
@@emeraldspark8794 Which is weird since poor people have more kids.
@emeraldspark8794
@emeraldspark8794 Жыл бұрын
@@SpencerLemay well if they have enough to raise a kid, if their didn't have a kid they would not be poor. Also some kids work and help provide for the family. Also government resources like welfare are a thing
@dinkaboutit4228
@dinkaboutit4228 Жыл бұрын
What are the chances that this positively impacts housing prices within the lifespan of a 40 year old man? Because I could get behind it...
@jgooo101
@jgooo101 Жыл бұрын
Its probably just going to destory your quality of life even further, think victorian slum landlords.
@ludwigwittgenstein5054
@ludwigwittgenstein5054 Жыл бұрын
We need less people on our planet. Since 1973 we doubled our population. That is crazy and irresponsible.
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
that's also when we got off the gold standard
@koblongata
@koblongata Жыл бұрын
If you can count robots as a workforce, then probably they can be part of the human population too
@JS-jh4cy
@JS-jh4cy 2 ай бұрын
Yes thanks to wef and the stupidity of politicians
@JS-jh4cy
@JS-jh4cy 3 ай бұрын
Shit that explains why my taxes always going up, ecen if I don't make more money
@tbmike23
@tbmike23 Жыл бұрын
We've been able to easily predict this for the last 60 years when the baby boom happened, and it's been taken for granted as fact for the last 40 when their children largely didn't have children. Largest generation in human history, followed by rapid global urbanization, and 3 well documented small generations, equals an eventual population decline.
@JamesTaylor-on9nz
@JamesTaylor-on9nz Жыл бұрын
However, in must also be noted that this is the first time in human history that humans have run out of virgin, resource-rich lands to colonise or conquer, either because we've literally run out of land or because weapons are too destructive to use as a means of land acquisition.
@Tyler_W
@Tyler_W Жыл бұрын
@@JamesTaylor-on9nz what are you talking about having no new land? Most of the United States is full of usable land, and the government is literally strangling our ability to take advantage of our own natural resources. Most of the landmass on earth isn't used for human habitation. Sure, there isn't a lot of unclaimed land anymore, but to suggest there's no land to spread out to and no rich resources to use is nonsense.
@pncicitap2519
@pncicitap2519 Жыл бұрын
Regardless of whether the statistics are those of a tribe or those of a continent, the clearest state of mind from which individuals can understand “demographics” is from a personal perspective. Because only from an individual vantage point can they can fully appreciate that unless they have someone who not only loves them but will also survive them, they are in a heap of trouble.
@ricardodelacrvz1400
@ricardodelacrvz1400 Жыл бұрын
your second sentence doesnt make any sense can you rephrase
@pncicitap2519
@pncicitap2519 Жыл бұрын
@@ricardodelacrvz1400 “Porque solo desde el punto de vista del individuo se puede apreciar plenamente que si uno no puede contar con alguien que no solo los ama, sino también que los va a sobrevivir, se hallan en serios problemas.”
@ricardodelacrvz1400
@ricardodelacrvz1400 Жыл бұрын
@@pncicitap2519 Im sorry I cant understand thats not english at all. "Can they can" "loves them but survive them" ????
@pncicitap2519
@pncicitap2519 Жыл бұрын
@@ricardodelacrvz1400 Okay, Ricardo. I am going to assume that you are an American. If you aren’t, I ask that you to please pretend you are. Pretend also that you are an old man, who is retired, who was an only child, who never got married, who never had children, and who lives paycheck to paycheck on the social security stipend that the U.S. government direct-deposits to your bank account every month. Is there someone in your family demographics who truly loves to the degree that you can depend on them coming to your rescue if you ever needed them, and who is not already dead a buried? Don’t answer the question. Just pretend that no such person exists in your life, and you will be considering "demographics" from “the clearest state of mind”. By the way, just in case my response makes you wonder, I am old (78), I am one out of seven siblings (3 of them are still living and older than me), I have two children (both of them financially secure), and I am financially secure myself to the degree that the only thing I need from my children, and that they need from my wife and me, is the love that all of us know we have and always will have for each other. Other than that, please stop concerning yourself with the semantics and the sentence structure of my original comment.
@ricardodelacrvz1400
@ricardodelacrvz1400 Жыл бұрын
@@pncicitap2519 hey Now I can see what you were trying to say even tho I dont see the point or relevance to the topic in hand. Im not american, Im a young 26 yo portuguese living in France . There is no individual vantage point to demographics. Demographics is statistical data centered work around population groups. You being part of family or not doesnt change demographics. You dont aproach demographics with a emotional bias. Its basically data. Predictions of this data might be biased or not, but if you work in the field they are probably based on patterns, scientific polls and studies, data crossing. I dont really know because its not my field. The guy being interviewed is geopolitical analyst and author. Love is not a scientific variable in demographics. Survival and socioeconomics are tho.
@-haclong2366
@-haclong2366 Жыл бұрын
03:53 Most of the world wouldn't need it, we just need a few super producers that will feed the world.
@hydroac9387
@hydroac9387 Жыл бұрын
That would be the United States, which has the most fertile and most extensive good farmland in the world AND access to capital AND farmers that can automate agriculture AND the tech base to produce technological innovation to agriculture AND huge tracts of farmland AND land that is likely to be less effected by climate change. Can the USA feed the world? No.
@davidcramb5793
@davidcramb5793 Жыл бұрын
The big issue for the West is going to be pensions. Not enough people of working age to pay the taxes to pay our pensions. We're going to see even more population migration from S America/Africa, and the destruction of our Judeo Christian world & values.
@scaldon2
@scaldon2 Жыл бұрын
Western women expectations are too high. And men have no reason to steele down sex is giving out like candy . Most wonen want a guy to marry that makes over 6 figures and is 6 feet tall . Thsts less that 10 percent of men in America
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644 Жыл бұрын
I guess is time for every men to make 6 figures,is the only way so better go hit those books
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644 Жыл бұрын
@@baalzebub5000 don't worry, the fools will always outbreed everybody
@Rhino11111111
@Rhino11111111 Жыл бұрын
@@rafresendenrafresenden.1644 not everyone can be rich otherwise no one is rich.
@scaldon2
@scaldon2 Жыл бұрын
@@rafresendenrafresenden.1644 yup and if you were born below 6 ft ur screwed . That's all these women want . Little do they no below 10 percent of men make that
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644
@rafresendenrafresenden.1644 Жыл бұрын
@@Rhino11111111 6 figures is not rich
@brushstroke3733
@brushstroke3733 Жыл бұрын
The world will be a kinder, more compassionate, more enjoyable place with far fewer propagandized zombies beating their drums in unison. I'd love to be alive in a world with only a billion people, as the Earth was for the majority of human history before petroleum based fertilizer.
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
exactly
@anonperson3972
@anonperson3972 Жыл бұрын
I think a massive drop in population will be a good thing for people's quality of life and the planet. Ultimately leading to conditions that increase people's children (lower population density), and the cycle continues. Booms and busts, peaks and troughs, like many other species. Like many species, though, absent a huge disaster resetting the population to a very low level, the peaks and troughs will get smaller, eventually stabilising more closely to a stable carrying capacity.
@Nightdiver20
@Nightdiver20 Жыл бұрын
@@SteveJones379 If living is THAT bad, stop doing it
@yamoto1833
@yamoto1833 Жыл бұрын
Population will decline in us and Europe in Africa where there will be no food the population will be high and child death rate higher
@felixfungle-bung4688
@felixfungle-bung4688 Жыл бұрын
@@SteveJones379 those are gatekeeping attitudes.
@chickenbroski99
@chickenbroski99 Жыл бұрын
@@SteveJones379 Your incredibly narcissistic assumption assumes that nobody enjoys living. Stop eating crap and go to the gym mate. You'll feel better in two weeks.
@stizan9185
@stizan9185 Жыл бұрын
@@SteveJones379 That's a very atheistic world view, not everyone is souless like u m8.
@mimetype
@mimetype Жыл бұрын
No, we're facing a KZfaqr clickbait boom. I see it everywhere, competition is too fierce so KZfaqrs resort to tried and tested MSM tactics and the cycle completes
@philu3
@philu3 Жыл бұрын
Captain Doom & Gloom, back for another episode....
@orneryoverwatch7031
@orneryoverwatch7031 Жыл бұрын
I mean most people are more concerned about the bad things that might happen. He doesn't always get it right, but he has been correct on a lot of big things. Think of the last time something "good" was predicted... four day work weeks? Flying cars? Unlimited energy? Yeah I dunno, those things will be nice once they get here (if ever haha), but in the mean time, I'd like to learn how to avoid what doom me to the grave.
@princemishkin1601
@princemishkin1601 Жыл бұрын
This has been surprisingly void of facts - the growth of Africa is what is not talked about - the continent is due to double in the next 25 years. If you think mass migration is bad at the current levels - just wait until the number of Africans fleeing war zones doubles. Talking about global population levels is therefore largely unhelpful - the issue is local instability and mass migration caused by local over-population, mostly in central Africa, which will drive instability mostly in Europe.
@venomlink2033
@venomlink2033 Жыл бұрын
The growth of Africa is almost solely due to foreign fertilizer imports and greenfield investments. Africa dies once it stops.
@princemishkin1601
@princemishkin1601 Жыл бұрын
@@venomlink2033 not before half of them flee
@venomlink2033
@venomlink2033 Жыл бұрын
@@princemishkin1601 Where?
@princemishkin1601
@princemishkin1601 Жыл бұрын
@@venomlink2033 Exactly where they are going now, for exactly the same reasons you outline. No food and no jobs = choose to starve or migrate North and South - there are about 12 000 a month estimated to be coming into Europe illegally and I suspect this is a gross underestimate. Net migration to just the UK was 300 000 in this last year. In an island of 62 million, that is unsustainable. When migrating North they go to Spain and Italy, and from there they move into the rest of Europe. When migrating South they go to South Africa, where they find jobs but cause huge local problems - crime, taking up scarce jobs, consuming scarce resources: xenophobia is at least as hot politically in South Africa as it is in Europe.
@SpencerLemay
@SpencerLemay Жыл бұрын
@@princemishkin1601 "When migrating South they go to South Africa, where they find jobs but cause huge local problems - crime, taking up scarce jobs, consuming scarce resources: " Wasn't SA like that anyway?
@masatoizumi926
@masatoizumi926 Жыл бұрын
Dude microcontrollers are more important than microprocessors
@cosmicprison9819
@cosmicprison9819 Жыл бұрын
I just know that both are more important than micro-aggressions 😁…
@dan2304
@dan2304 Жыл бұрын
Due to aging demographics global population will reduce but longer term, global supplies of energy, minerals, metals, fertilisers and food will all decline. The scientific understanding of geological formation of commodities has been well understood for 70 years. There is little left to be found and reserves are in decline.
@robbenvanpersie1562
@robbenvanpersie1562 Жыл бұрын
Oil reserves?
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
there's enough the world provides
@dan2304
@dan2304 Жыл бұрын
@@didforlove For whom, definitely not the 8 billion people currently on the Earth.
@didforlove
@didforlove Жыл бұрын
@@dan2304 its going to peak and start to decline this century
@nosotrosloslobosestamosreg4115
@nosotrosloslobosestamosreg4115 Жыл бұрын
as long it happens in africa and asia
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
In a large part of Asia, it already is. When did Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, or Taiwan have a positive birth rate? I find it funny that China ended the one child policy years ago, but have almost no takers.
@nosotrosloslobosestamosreg4115
@nosotrosloslobosestamosreg4115 Жыл бұрын
@@skylinefever Let's say they killed the "drive if life "
@cmo5807
@cmo5807 Жыл бұрын
Im not trying to be a ass.... but dude seriously needs to do some CARDIO.
@surenot1
@surenot1 Жыл бұрын
'AI is only about image recognition' HAHAHA what a brain!
@JS-jh4cy
@JS-jh4cy Жыл бұрын
Fuck no SOUND
@mgtowbylogic5592
@mgtowbylogic5592 Жыл бұрын
If you want more 30 year olds you have to have started 45-50 years ago cuz you need the parents to want to have marriages and kids in the first place. Y’all need to dig another 5 layers deep for your root cause.
@ohsweetmystery
@ohsweetmystery Жыл бұрын
Hopefully we are. A couple hundred million people left worldwide would be super nice. I always liked the idea of Asimov's Solaria. A few people per planet.
@dhh488
@dhh488 Жыл бұрын
That could mean you disappear, in which case it wouldn't matter to you anyway.
@robbenvanpersie1562
@robbenvanpersie1562 Жыл бұрын
yep In western countries tho
@ythandlerandom1278LK
@ythandlerandom1278LK Жыл бұрын
If the west just allows people to immigrate and we open up trade the world's problems will really start to sort themselves out.
@Diegoshadow85
@Diegoshadow85 Жыл бұрын
China is on the brink of population collapse too.
@emana.3562
@emana.3562 Жыл бұрын
No population is declining in Asian and Latin American countries too. Even Africa's birthrate is declining
@skylinefever
@skylinefever Жыл бұрын
Also, eastern ones. I love laughing about how low the numbers are in Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore.
@RJ-vk5kh
@RJ-vk5kh Жыл бұрын
@@emana.3562 what about India
@mkam9193
@mkam9193 Жыл бұрын
I like Peter but he talks about things as if they are so black and white. If this, then this. This is not a game of Civ.
@general_electrics
@general_electrics Жыл бұрын
Lol. It really does sound like Civ when he talks sometimes. I'm sure he played some.
@michaelschmidt1101
@michaelschmidt1101 Жыл бұрын
Usually I am a huge fan of you both... but this is all really old news...
@mm650
@mm650 Жыл бұрын
Concerning depopulation: Peter is not considering a very important factor here: The HIGHER the standard of living, and the more URBAN the population, the fewer children people tend to have. But the reverse is also true... the poorer, and more RURAL the population the MORE children they have. (It doesn't matter that htis doesn't make sense, it's born out by the data). As such, de-globalization will see a modest de-urbanization from a need for more food to be produced more locally and in less centralized easily mechanized farms. But that will be a small effect compared to the increase in poverty. Both will drive higher birthrates. Concerning automation: Peter is also a bit off... the automation that matters is not the automation that replaces a worker with a robot whole-cloth, but rather the automation that lets a worker do the work that used to be done by two workers or ten. Think of it as LABOR-SAVING devices not "robots". Examples: One check-out guy watches 5 self-check-out stations at a grocery store. These sorts of automation CAN be easily tweaked and re-factored because the remaining workers can pick up any slack dynamically. Automation and population and economics come together here in a way that he's missing: A lot of the automation that will matter for a the economy in decades to come will be strictly SOFTWARE automation enabling ENTREPRENEURS to start and grow businesses as sole-proprietors or only a small set of partners. Consider, if I had a cool idea for a product in the 1970s, I would need to get investors or a loan, and build a prototype and then hire workers and build a production line, hire a production manager, and HR people, and a lawyer, and an accountant, and a secretary... and all of that just to bring the first version of the product to market. To some degree in the present, and even more so in the future, all of that can be dispensed with to automation or out-sourcing. (Out-sourcing and automation are functionally the same thing, and sometimes even actually the same thing). In the future, if I have my idea the initial funding is via IndieGoGo crowdsourcing... Gone is the need for some slick business major to make an elevator pitch to a VC. The manufacturing is out-sourced, the accounting and lawyer and secretary work is handled by software-bots who deal in customized cookie-cutter contracts and balance sheets and have software guides for customizing them to a given business. These software bots will be available for free, with service contracts available for more advanced needs following the software as a service model. There will be no HR as the only employees will be partners compensated in equity, and buying their benefits on the private market. Likewise, no facilities, no janitors or security for those facilities, etc. To be sure if the product is successful and the company grows enough, there will come a point where it makes sense to become a legacy-style brick-and-mortar business, but let's face it that's a waste of funds in most cases. Optimistically only 3 in 20 startups get that far. Note how this entrepreneur automation model allows for the number of businesses and products to go up even as the number of consumers and producers goes down. On the production side it is powered by a larger fraction of people being product creators, and on the consumption side on bespoke customized products with smaller production runs becoming more valuable to consumers than economy of scale driven commodity consumption... that is people would rather have, at a given price-point, a cell phone that has a particular set of features that serves their needs even if they pay a premium for it than a phone that is broadly more powerful but not optimized for them... or to say it another way, every consumption industry will start to have the properties of the fashion industry: value arising from design rather than commodity price point. In such an economy, population is only loosely coupled with economy.
@katiegreene3960
@katiegreene3960 Жыл бұрын
If you want more 30 year Olds you would've had to start 31 years ago. Yikes
@wyleecoyotee4252
@wyleecoyotee4252 Жыл бұрын
The poor will always procreate
@spacet1me
@spacet1me Жыл бұрын
This guy makes 7000 predictions every year for the past 20yrs lmao. //Edit: I agree btw that we are in a population collapse. That's why when I reach 65 I'm moving to India, SEA or Africa prolly by then.
@dougn2350
@dougn2350 Жыл бұрын
"The comfort of the rich depends upon an abundant supply of the poor." Voltaire
@scottwilliams1623
@scottwilliams1623 Жыл бұрын
Zeihan talks and presents with conviction but he makes up a lot of stuff or has poor sources. I'd bet he has never even been to China for example but those who fall for his style of speak as though he is an authority would assume that he is some type of expert, which is far from reality. He has become popular on KZfaq because a lot of content creators look for someone like him as some type of celebrity expert, so as each copy one another and the algorithm pops him up again and again he seems to be everywhere as the go to expert. He is an entertainer, not sure he's an actual expert
@Tushar_Talwar_09
@Tushar_Talwar_09 Жыл бұрын
*"Global population collapse" Their globe: America. Edit. Don't worry bois if it actually starts to happen my country will definitely come in clutch. Edit. India
@MisterMonsterMan
@MisterMonsterMan Жыл бұрын
The Americas are the primary area of the planet that people immigrate to and will become even moreso if there is a global famine or anything like that. The population here isnt shrinking although many here wish it would. Countries with huge swath of abject poor (like China and India) are the ones that are going to watch people starve to death by the millions.
@Jonra1
@Jonra1 Жыл бұрын
Well it's also happening in China and most parts of the western world, so I don't know what you are trying to be snarky about.
@karenwang313
@karenwang313 Жыл бұрын
Bro Pakistan is on the verge of collapse right now, I don't know what you guys think you'll be contributing for the near future.
@d3r4g45
@d3r4g45 Жыл бұрын
This dude is a total joke. A doomsday doom and gloom jesus is coming clickbait "trust me bro" is all he is. Go back to older videos, nothing he said came true, who would expect that lol. Chris you are making a bad name by hosting this kind of people here. Will drag you down.
@karenwang313
@karenwang313 Жыл бұрын
Even though he predicted COVID and the Ukraine war?
@okaySam
@okaySam Жыл бұрын
He's an adviser to the US government, is he not? He does have some cred
@d3r4g45
@d3r4g45 Жыл бұрын
@@karenwang313 It's the broken clock effect, even a broken clock says the correct time twice daily. This lunatic made so many wild "predictions" everything you can imagine, something eventually happened. lol. Covid could not have been predicted in the specific. If gereal terms it was statistically known there would be a bigger pandemic. Bill Gates was rasing awareness in 2014 for a major future pandemic. So he did not "predict" anything. Ukraine war, again, he could hardlt have predicted something like that.
@Stuffandstuff974
@Stuffandstuff974 Жыл бұрын
Population collapse is going to be awful for those who are childless when they get old.
@Slays_Media
@Slays_Media Жыл бұрын
Why would it be awful for the single individuals who are living their best lives? 😂
@jcrosenkreuz5213
@jcrosenkreuz5213 Жыл бұрын
@@Slays_Media I take it you're being sarcastic, but having far fewer taxpayers holding up pension programs makes "proud childless 70somethings" a Tragedy of the Commons issue
@baddolphin1423
@baddolphin1423 Жыл бұрын
Who wants to be a 80 year-old helpless muppet? I advocate starting extreme sports after 60 - climb some mountain in Antarctica, swim with sharks, whatever. I've seen people die in their bed of old age, surrounded by the family. I'm not looking forward to that, better spend the precious time you have on yourself and then go out doing something thrilling.
@SpencerLemay
@SpencerLemay Жыл бұрын
@@baddolphin1423 We all die. Nobody will ever look at your vacation pictures after you die alone, and having children is not mutually exclusive with doing interesting things. Spending time on something only for yourself is usually the least important thing you can spend your life doing. Caring for family has an impact that could carry on for the rest of human history. Swimming with sharks... that's cool but whatever.
@baddolphin1423
@baddolphin1423 Жыл бұрын
@@SpencerLemay I don't take pictures of myself. I live in the now and don't need validation of others. I only care about my opinion of myself.
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