This episode of Linecraft features Judah Fortgang, an expert in sports analytics and a professional bettor. With a background in political philosophy and a passion for sports, Judah has carved out a unique niche in the world of sports betting. He currently works in R&D and betting at Pro Football Focus (PFF), where he leverages his analytical skills and deep understanding of football to identify edges in the betting markets.
Throughout the conversation, Judah shared his approach to gaining an edge in sports betting by challenging conventional wisdom and looking beyond surface-level trends. By combining rigorous analysis with a willingness to question established norms, Judah has developed a winning strategy that can help bettors at all stages step up their game and get more wins.
Here's a glimpse of what we covered:
[05:00] The transition from political philosophy to sports analytics
[11:36] Weighing the impact of different positions and player grades
[16:15] Handicapping strategy and building models from first principles
[27:03] Mastering the art of the same game parlay
[32:14] Market taking vs market making: Pros, cons, and the future of exchanges
[39:47] Reflecting on trends and the evolution of football analytics
[44:12] Advice for aspiring analysts: Focus on questions over model complexity
[50:55] Bold predictions for the upcoming NFL season
Catch the full episode with Judah Fortgang here: novig.co/linecraft