Tim’s point about Western European intellectuals and politicians mistaking the events of 1989 and the 1990’s for what they were - a holiday from history - is spot on. Eastern Europeans understandably see things differently.

“No plans to attack a NATO country.” “We are not attacking Ukraine.”

Always comforting that some remember the history of Europe in the 1930s. Many Americans tend to be clueless about what happened last week.

We promised Ukraine to stand by it “as long as it takes…”We now know what that means: “as long as it takes for us to get bored.” Which is pretty quick…

In 1939, the British did not want" to die for Danzig". So a year later they were dying at Dunkirk and two years later they were taking shelter in the cellars of London. Macron seems to get it.

You’re telling me my sons are going to die in combat in a war we can’t avoid?

While I harbor significant reservations about Trump and find his actions often bewildering, I acknowledge the importance of Europe and Britain assuming greater responsibility in matters of defense. It is undeniable that the United States has provided substantial support in the past; however, it is imperative for our future security that we invest appropriately and enhance our defense capabilities. Recognizing this necessity is straightforward, and our actions today will undoubtedly be scrutinized by history.

Always appreciate Tim Marshall's point of view, always so well researched😊🎉

You are too confident that Trump would not pull out of NATO. John Bolton has spoken about restraining Trump’s impulses to pull out during his first term. The entire Republican party is against supporting Ukraine (and by extension Europe) and Trump would not defy them if push came to shove. If Ukraine falls and Trump is re-elected, I think it is more likely than not that the US will not honor section 5 in the event that Russia attacks a NATO member, and Europe will have to go it alone.

Always enjoy hearing Tim. Great insights and fun to listen to

Superb chat Tim. Shout louder & prevent hot ww3

So you are saying without the US, Europe can’t protect themselves from Russia. That’s sad. I guess Europe didn’t learn a darned thing from WW2.

Kremlin attitude towards the Baltics and Eastern Europe in general is exactly why we need NATO. We want peace, not junk with the red star or crucked z on our streets.

Great interview. Thank you

Correct call.

A very knowledgeable man who I have immense respect for. Excellent interview, thanks for this caliber of guest.

Abandon Eastern Europe at your own peril....

Excellent video, thank you. Yes this is the usual for Europe and it does feel like 1936.

It's interesting to compare people who support Ukraine and those who don't. In the first case they are usually recognised scholars, analysts, experts, who have been studying international relations for years, just like Mr.Marshall. Under the second category usually fall the persons who hadn't even known where Ukraine is on the map before the war started, but they think that they understand better than anyone the situation in Ukraine and the best course of action for their country. The first example that comes to mind of such a person is M.T.Green. I think for any person with at least some amount of critical thinking it must be obvious, that Ukraine's ability to defend itself is within the utmost national interests of the West

Was in the RAF with Tim Marshall. On my shift at Rheindalen 78/79.

Which is why the west should support Ukraine to the fullest, now.

Brilliant guest. Please invite him on again, maybe for a longer session next time 😊

It's a spoiled child's logic - "if i don't get this icecream now, i will drop on the floor and the world will end!" No, child. You will just have to learn that the world does not revolve around you.

I always love Tim Marshall

Correct

I've just watched Rick on the Running Channel podcast full of joy and laughing away with friends.. I now click on this and he's talking about a possible war...!?!?!?!

Love your books TM

Perhaps time to start peace negotiations first?

2014 and the invasion of Crimea was the 1936. We are now in 1939

Good podcast 😊

Thoughts manifest …

So why is it taking so long to welcome Ukraine finally into the NATO.. !!!!absurd how this all is going still.

Sound volume is low again. Increase by at least 12dB.

If Ukraine falls, then they become military servant to Russia. A battle hardened capable servant and at that point, an adversary to the EU and NATO.

Trump can do anything, nobody knows...

Props for correct pronunciation of Tusk

The issue with supplying the Ukrainian armed forces is not that there is "fatigue" the issue is that the stockpiles are exhausted. The USA does not share the view of the Europeans that their garden is the most important theatre for America's geopolotical interests and will husband what they have left for the Asia-Pacific.

DTRH again on Rupert's Radio!

If, ifs and butts were candy and nuts, it would be Christmas all year long.

These events are more like 1914, politicians talking themselves into a war in which ordinary people will pay the cost.

NATO not going anywhere, interviewee loses all credibility at this point. Trump would stay in NATO, it's in the US interests to do so. However, he would be clear about everyone needing to contribute the right GDP% to defence. Countries that weren't contributing enough have been increasing their own spending on defence. There's more work to be done but it needs to happen. He's just admitted that the Baltic states pay more than their fair share so defended they will be.

Does anyone know how to reach Tim Marshall? I’d like to invite him to my school -in London-to speak. Thx!!

Trump would be a disaster. He already is.

I get the impression that half the "experts" interviewed by TimesRadio are a bunch of people who've read a lot of books and formed some opinions from them and now think that makes them experts.

Russia wont wait 2 more years to make his point. Thats the scarey part.

Putin also said he would not invade Ukraine

Putin also said that he would never attack Ukraine

I don't ever hear the UK or EU going after those countries that continue to pay well below the 2% level, such as Spain at 1.4%. If they don't do it, they should.

This man is convincing.

this is quite confusing in other interviews they say nato is not ready for war with Russia but here they say russia is “vastly inferior in military aspect vs NATO”

Putin had no plans to invade Ukraine either.

Yes I'm a historian. This absolutely parallels the summer of 1914 an the summer of 1939. It's going to be in the fan before this fall. 2022 was the 1936 of our era.

Anyone who has studied the diplomatic history of the inter war years 1919-1939 would appreciate the dangers of appeasement, and disarmament which encouraged the dictators and weakened the democracies. One of my late colleagues was a former Polish diplomat attached to the Polish embassy in Berlin before 1939. I have no doubt whatsoever that Tusk’s warning is reminiscent of a former Under Secretary of State Vansittart at the end of 1936.

History ism a point in time that fits your point of view. Tusk looks at it from the Polish point in history

NATO... very spoiled people 😂 weakness 😢

Much like Ukraine, Poland is very aware of the kind of threat that Russia is. We need to listen. A message for my fellow Americans who want to be isolationist: we tried this approach and STILL got dragged into 2 world wars. Now that nuclear weapons are a factor, we CANNOT afford to make the same mistake again.

1. One member of the Duma submitting a draft bill to parliament does not make it the view or the policy of the government. 2. Look at the impact of the end of the Soviet Union on Russian society in the 1990s, then you'll understand why Putin described it as a catastrophe. If you want to know what Putin thinks of the Soviet Union, consider his famous quote that: ‘anyone who doesn’t regret the passing of the Soviet Union has no heart. Anyone who wants it restored has no brains.’ 3. Tim's argument seems to be that war between Russia and a NATO country is only likely if NATO ceases to exist, which as he concedes is not going to happen. By his own logic, whether Ukraine 'wins' this war or not has no bearing on the likelihood of Russia invading a NATO country. It's in Ukraine best interests to negotiate a settlment to end this conflict as soon as possible. Ukraine is never going to win this war, even if it got all the support it asked for. Delaying reaching a settlment is only going to cost Ukraine more land and more lives.

Why do they always compare to the past? Things change its never the same

Claptrap!!

It's so obvious is meant to happen...

When Putin says that he has no plans to invade a Nato country, then one needs to understand that he means that literally. He does not see the three Baltic states as countries so invading anyone of them would not break his promise. Let's say that Russia invaded Lithuania and took Vilnius, a few hours from the Russian border, and then said "okay, let's talk". Would the US come to the rescue? I am not so sure and then there is no Nato left.

If the Russians rupture the thin Ukrainian defensive lines it will be very difficult for the Ukrainians to prevent a rolling up of their lines.

😂😂😂😂

I hope NATO and Russia negotiate even though I can't see a chance I do hope I'm proven wrong.

I thought Putin already lost?

The Times completely wrong as usual.

In 1936, Soviets and Fascist were actively involved in the Spanish Civil War.

This 'expert' is wrong on just about everything

Trump didn’t demand NATO members pay 2% - he said he won’t come to their aid if they don’t pay “enough”. He didn’t specify how much “enough” is. Trump’s goal is to weaken NATO all his unhinged behaviour makes sense if you suppose that is one of his goals.

Terrifyingly prescient, thank you for sharing, I think. .

Chechen, Georgia, Dagestan, Aghanistan(failed) now Ukraine, it will not stop by words, deplomacy never existed in Russia.

NATO poked the Bear, they had an agreement not to move east 1 inch when the Berlin Wall fell, that area was consider a buffer zone!

It will have to be nuclear as Russia is incapable of preforming on battlefield. Russia is a male peacock without the feathers, just a turkey on long legs

Russia has moved almost all its markets into Asia in the last year, its economy and industry is looking more robust than ever... what use does it have invading European countries?? Looks likeits the girlfriend that decided to breakup, and now the old boyfriend is losing its marbles, while she goes on living her new life with a better, more appreciative partner.

Trump can't pull the US out of NATO without the agreement of Congress

I don't understand who are we in war with russia? i mean seriously why? anyone can explain... just sign the minsk agreement and that it it's what he asked for

What's probably making Putin really scared is NATO could respond to Russian use of tactical nukes with conventional weapons to great effect.

i live in New Zealand and in anticipation of Russia winning i've already put my toilet outside and started learning how to speak Chinese

I don’t why everyone is worried about America pulling out of NATO how about you pay the 2% and you don’t have to worry anymore 😂

Is WW3 going to be conventional, nuclear, or both?

'vastly' out classed by Nato? Situation in Ukr. would suggest otherwise.

All the more reason why NATO should up the ante in defense of Ukraine. Stop dillydallying....

Why do you keep deleting my posts? They’re honest and objective.

Hurra 🇷🇺🇷🇺💪

Maybe AI taking over might not be a bad thing. When you look to our modern leaders, one wonders if the word 'leader' has become redundant.

Poland is not "Eastern Europe" Poland is Central Europe, look at the maps.

It was in 1936 that Kiev became the capital of the Ukrainian S.S.R.; before that it was Kharkov.

Withholding weapons from Ukraine, while US is bursting at the seams with Cold War stockpiles, which it is disposing of, is absurd and wrong. Third year into the war, the EU is refusing to start producing weapons to supply Ukraine. Russia is starting to win at the front as a result. What are you guys thinking?

You guys do realise the sun set on the empire yeah?

Not lose America? But will they try very hard? Will they block supply of weapons for example?

“You can be friends with Russia - it is generous, you can cooperate with Russia - it is honest, you can ask from Russia - it is generous, Russia can be deceived - it is gullible. But you can’t fight with Russia - it’s invincible”!!! (A.V. Suvorov)

Don't worry. It won't happen...

Or, perhaps, NATO should leave Russia alone😅 What do you mean, If Russia will defeat Ukraine?😅 It's done🤓

Times radio 😂

So prevent that Ukraine is losing.

Are you seriously talking about potentially “Trusting “ Trump?

Did I understand Tim Marshall correctly, he drew a parallel between Germany's involvement in the Spanish Civil War and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. I see no parallel at all; the Russian invasion of Ukraine was prompted by the treatment by Ukraine of the Russian-speaking people in the Donbas and by NATO's unwillingness to stop expanding towards Russia, which was a serious security concern for the latter to put it mildly. Where is the parallel Mr Marshall is speaking of. Having experienced first hand Russo-phobia by a Pole to what extent is Donald Tusk fuelled by the same feelings? Correct me if I'm wrong but, unlike the West, Russian military engagements have tended to be much closer to home. The West, America in particular, wants its sphere of influence to be worldwide, a comparable aim has not been demonstrated by modern Russia to the best of my knowledge. As is the norm the causes of the Ukraine-Russian war was not mentioned in this interview for the simple reason that, based on the historical context, the West are entirely to blame for the conflict. Was Russian seen as a serious / existential military threat by the West before the events in Ukraine took place, I don't think so. According to Tim Marshal NATO is far stronger than Russia. The West has miscalculated, got itself into a position it never dreamed off, and now has to talk up war because it's messed-up big time. It chose to ignore another countries genuine security concerns and is paying the price.

Rather than worrying about guns as being the problem. Humans are killed about as often with hammers, knives, and other such tools. (The coconut is illegal since you can't eat it without a big knife?) Perhaps there should be an initiative to have conflict resolution education classes for even kids. They seem to be the ones getting abused the most in their future by all the conflicts going on. If the UN would like to suggest standards, perhaps that might be well to listen to. And frankly, a fully top down system seems to me to be exactly what is stirring things the worst.

Agreed, if a certain eastern polity is not halted in Ukraine, the price will be much, much higher later. Best regards, from the USA

Politicised and mainstream news based predictions by Tim.