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Prospect Theory: An Overview

  Рет қаралды 63,176

Ashley Hodgson

Ashley Hodgson

4 жыл бұрын

This video explains Prospect Theory, one of the foundational contributions of Behavioral Economics. I go over three important parts to Prospect Theory: (1) Loss aversion, (2) Reference point origin and (3) risk-seeking behavior in the negative realm / risk-averse behavior in the positive realm.
0:26 - Three Features
1:48 - Loss Aversion
5:57 - Reference point / Expectations
9:25 -

Пікірлер: 81
@nonsense7375
@nonsense7375 4 жыл бұрын
This video surpassed my EXPECTATION!
@el_thid
@el_thid 3 жыл бұрын
You explained the concept better in 13 minutes than my lecturer managed in 3 hours. Thankyou!
@Ali-md4md
@Ali-md4md 3 жыл бұрын
Hands down, the best explanation of Prospect Theory. Thanks Ashley!
@cpuzz8264
@cpuzz8264 6 ай бұрын
I never comment on how well things are explained in youtube videos but I had to on this one. Great job!
@jeffreygoh4647
@jeffreygoh4647 3 жыл бұрын
Explanation clearer than some professors’. Thank you.
@tjsmind
@tjsmind 4 жыл бұрын
What a fascinating concept. Impeccable explanation!
@mayankkumarmittal
@mayankkumarmittal 2 жыл бұрын
Such a nice explanation. made so simple to understand. It helped in my CMT Exam. People are occupied with junk stuff on the internet. Channels like this are Gems.
@michaeljbuckley
@michaeljbuckley 3 жыл бұрын
Explained the risk seeking in loss aversion excellently.
@justinjohnson8666
@justinjohnson8666 6 ай бұрын
Wow thank you soooo much you explained this concept so well that I am not gonna forget this for sure , god I wish I had a teacher like you, your students are the luckiest.
@Sindbad232
@Sindbad232 3 жыл бұрын
This is mindblowing ngl
@abdikafimohamud2931
@abdikafimohamud2931 2 жыл бұрын
This is so clearly explained! This video should have had a lot more views than this
@ozoxxx
@ozoxxx Жыл бұрын
I would say that people fair loses more than they desire gains. not that they hate loses more than they love gains. there is quite difference and since we are talking about subjectivity and emotions, this should take into account. Thanks for the content.
@cynthiaannecchini1351
@cynthiaannecchini1351 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for your brilliant explanation! I spent hours reading my notes and listened to lecturer online and still not clear. I understood it after listening for 5 minutes, great work Ashley!
@NoOne-qd2yp
@NoOne-qd2yp 4 ай бұрын
Beautiful teacher, beautiful topic, am very inspiring to learn. Subscribed.
@bongoflava11
@bongoflava11 2 жыл бұрын
Someone who can actually explain stuff. Hats off to you and keep on doing what you do best
@anakagungbaguswirayuda9593
@anakagungbaguswirayuda9593 Жыл бұрын
wow, this explanation answer a lot of social and psychological questions in human behavior. At least, the ones that I think of
@n0_n0
@n0_n0 2 жыл бұрын
These videos are incredibly well done and helpful! Great work and I hope you keep them coming!!
@minimonie9825
@minimonie9825 2 ай бұрын
Very informative. Thank you so much!
@user-nb6ef1jm2h
@user-nb6ef1jm2h 2 жыл бұрын
This video had a lot of utility for me I feel like I own it. I really don't want to loose it so I saved it for free. ;)
@krullsull
@krullsull Жыл бұрын
Thank you for explaining this in such easy to understand manner. My MSc prof went too much of a complicated direction
@aaronrey2658
@aaronrey2658 3 жыл бұрын
Awesome! Ashley, you should consider breaking down the 1000 most important econ concepts in videos, labs, data, etc. and shut the field down completely:) from the 10,000 average to well below avg. professors that have butchered the learning pedagogy in the field the last 40yrs.. you can be the Khan Academy of Econ.. Seriously.. you could teach a course in how to teach econ..
@rulz4us
@rulz4us 4 жыл бұрын
You explain things perfectly. Thanks for the videos.
@stephenkimani7150
@stephenkimani7150 6 ай бұрын
Thanks for explaining this so precisely!
@stevesimpson5994
@stevesimpson5994 4 жыл бұрын
That was an exceptional summary. Thank you :-)
@sun-riseshetty556
@sun-riseshetty556 3 ай бұрын
beautiful explanation...
@ashishkiift
@ashishkiift 4 жыл бұрын
Ashley .. I am so fortunate to have stumbled upon this .. You are such an incredibly gifted teacher .. wanted to use this concept for a consumer behaviour problem .. is there a way to connect for further questions .. Thanks
@massimilianomanzini1726
@massimilianomanzini1726 3 жыл бұрын
Ashley you literally saved me. So clear, thanks a lot
@JoshKoaster
@JoshKoaster 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for making the explanation so clear! :)
@alexandrav.paredes5964
@alexandrav.paredes5964 Жыл бұрын
This is very good, thank you.
@douglasmutua6967
@douglasmutua6967 5 ай бұрын
Great explanation
@maksymrudnichenko5688
@maksymrudnichenko5688 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks for a clear and easy-to understand explanation!
@Samtaztic99
@Samtaztic99 3 жыл бұрын
How does Prospect Theory differ from Expected Utility Theory? Also, for confirmation, if I am correct: 1) The function being relatively steep in the loss zone and relativelt horizontal in the gains zone explains loss aversion. 2) The 0,0 interval is the reference point. 3) The function being convex in the loss area and concave in the gains area explains risk aversion and risk seeking behaviour in different situations. Please correct me if I am wrong, thank you.
@annadovha6998
@annadovha6998 Жыл бұрын
I love your channel, thank you!
@mbogocapital
@mbogocapital 2 жыл бұрын
Good teacher.
@akashagarwal9747
@akashagarwal9747 Жыл бұрын
Excellent explanation Ashley
@phillipnormann1319
@phillipnormann1319 2 жыл бұрын
Great video! Thanks for the easy explanations and practical examples 😊
@hiteshthakkar7716
@hiteshthakkar7716 4 ай бұрын
Similarly, Christmas bonus : most can relate with expectation management by bosses before performance payouts ;-)
@ashwinsivakumar13
@ashwinsivakumar13 3 жыл бұрын
clear and concise explanation. thanks
@Alejmen009
@Alejmen009 8 ай бұрын
Thank you. The examples helped a lot.
@thisisnotmyrealname6046
@thisisnotmyrealname6046 Жыл бұрын
Day before the exam, you just saved my grade!
@sun-riseshetty556
@sun-riseshetty556 Жыл бұрын
Marvelous... Well explained..
@aziahabdshakur
@aziahabdshakur 3 жыл бұрын
this is very well explained! tq so much!
@user-or3zv2xl8r
@user-or3zv2xl8r 2 ай бұрын
This covers the value function i propsect theory but not probability warping which is also important
@titusmazima4187
@titusmazima4187 Жыл бұрын
Thank you very much
@amyjennthg123
@amyjennthg123 Жыл бұрын
THANK YOU!
@rajarshimajumder6659
@rajarshimajumder6659 3 жыл бұрын
Awesome explanation!!
@janlauterbach8204
@janlauterbach8204 Жыл бұрын
Great video, super useful
@ibrahimmustafa4692
@ibrahimmustafa4692 3 жыл бұрын
you are the best . Thank you so much
@plinden
@plinden 4 жыл бұрын
Preferring not to trade the pen for the mug because you have it, makes sense since you know how you feel about the pen, but you do not know quite how you feel about having the mug. It is not that these are not phenomena. It is the further declaration about what is rational that is questionable. The extra price you add to your bundle, is for covering the cost/risk of learning about other bundles/perhaps being wrong about its utility.
@syremusic_
@syremusic_ 3 жыл бұрын
Great point! Can you recommend some material to learn more about this?
@plinden
@plinden 3 жыл бұрын
@@syremusic_ Thanks, let me get back to you. The general point here is that biases are part of our nature, and since they are, we should not be too quick to dismiss them as irrational. They may be rules of thumb that serves a greater rationality of survival. Being willing to trade something you like and know about, for something you have less information about may be a rational strategy from this perspective even if it looks arbitrary or irrational in an instance such as the one described.
@rnsbakhietrm5914
@rnsbakhietrm5914 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you. Very Informative
@kmkcorner
@kmkcorner Жыл бұрын
Wow, thank you.
@marcuscitoandjuliaprunk
@marcuscitoandjuliaprunk Жыл бұрын
that was so good - thank you & very helpful!
@user-tm3wu6fh1d
@user-tm3wu6fh1d 6 ай бұрын
Very good
@Christinnaaaaa
@Christinnaaaaa 4 жыл бұрын
Amazing! Thank you so much for this!
@NateGPT
@NateGPT 3 жыл бұрын
So well done
@rumila372
@rumila372 2 жыл бұрын
This is amazing!!
@JoaoVitorBRgomes
@JoaoVitorBRgomes 4 жыл бұрын
Great. Kind regards from São Paulo.
@patrickvanderlinde5283
@patrickvanderlinde5283 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you! really great content
@lukemurray7285
@lukemurray7285 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you
@andrewwei8087
@andrewwei8087 3 жыл бұрын
great explanation thank you!
@anthonylawton5363
@anthonylawton5363 4 жыл бұрын
Brilliant - thanks for the hard work :)
@thuhuongle4976
@thuhuongle4976 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your videos! Your examples help me a lot in understanding the materials. In this particular video, though, I haven't understood how the mug-pen example connects to the graph. According to my understanding, holding the assigned mug or pen makes the person more attached to it (thinking it is more valuable). Hence, they wouldn't trade it for something that value less (in their perspective). I do not see how this act of trading is like moving along the graph. If it is, then what the x-axis represents here?
@AshleyHodgson
@AshleyHodgson 4 жыл бұрын
With the mug-pen example, people have lower value for a mug that they don't own (willingness to pay someone else to buy a mug: $3) than they do for a mug they own (willingness to sell a mug that is theirs: $5 required to give it up). So, if you move "1 mug" to the right of the origin, the utility on the graph might be $3 (or 3 utils), while "1 mug" to the left of the origin will put you at -$5 (or -5 utils).
@thuhuongle4976
@thuhuongle4976 4 жыл бұрын
​@@AshleyHodgsonAh, it's clear now. Thank you. We expect people to value the mug and the pen equally on average. This would likely happen if we ask them to choose between pen and mug without assigning since they are framing both as gains. With assigning, however, we change the reference point, making one a gain and the other a loss. Since people do not want to trade, we know that the graph must look like that: loss is steeper than gain.
@alfredarus3043
@alfredarus3043 2 жыл бұрын
Amazing!! Thank you
@muskduh
@muskduh 2 жыл бұрын
thanks so much
@mrana5648
@mrana5648 3 жыл бұрын
Good explanation Ashley! Could you pls shed light on Editing and Evaluation phase of the theory? Thanks…
@bamdadsalarieh7125
@bamdadsalarieh7125 4 жыл бұрын
Nice explanation!
@DhanAadian
@DhanAadian Жыл бұрын
good stuff
@faizaahmed6869
@faizaahmed6869 2 жыл бұрын
its a good explanation maam. can we measure prospect theory as a secondary data what are those variables?
@jiayisong3119
@jiayisong3119 3 жыл бұрын
really great!thank you!
@ResemeeC
@ResemeeC 3 жыл бұрын
really helpful thanks!!
@tarekz4505
@tarekz4505 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you 🙏
@hiteshthakkar7716
@hiteshthakkar7716 4 ай бұрын
Replace pen and mug example with stocks of 2 diff cos, and everyone can relate
@houghtonstreet3392
@houghtonstreet3392 2 жыл бұрын
I Love you
@StephanieHughesDesign
@StephanieHughesDesign Жыл бұрын
What Behavioral Economics textbooks are using for these courses? Thaler, Wilkinson, et al?
@AshleyHodgson
@AshleyHodgson Жыл бұрын
At the moment, I just use Thinking Fast & Slow, Thaler's Misbehaving and a couple of others in that vein. The first few times I taught it, I used the Wilkinson and Klaes textbook (www.amazon.com/Introduction-Behavioral-Economics-Nick-Wilkinson/dp/113752412X), which I thought was very helpful to begin with as an overview in the field.
@StephanieHughesDesign
@StephanieHughesDesign Жыл бұрын
@@AshleyHodgson Excellent 👍. Thank you!
@Ksnieup
@Ksnieup 3 жыл бұрын
Damn I thought I was smart by taking the sure bet😂
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