Redfin CEO: Housing To See Major Price Cuts, ‘Soft Summer’ Ahead | Glenn Kelman

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David Lin

David Lin

Күн бұрын

Glenn Kelman, CEO of Redfin, explains why the housing market in the U.S. will see "softness" this summer.
Glenn's last interview with me: • 2024: The Year Housing...
*This video was recorded on June 7, 2024
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Home Prices Falling: www.redfin.com/news/housing-m...
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
1:10 - Mortgage defaults?
5:40 - Housing affordability
8:45 - Mortgage rate outlook
12:20 - Housing market correction
18:15 - Housing shortage
20:22 - Fed rate cuts and mortgage market
23:40 - National vs. regional rent
26:00 - Listing agents
28:50 - Subsidized housing
29:47 - Rent control
#housing #realestate #economy

Пікірлер: 849
@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport Ай бұрын
Are you selling your home this year? Comment below and don't forget to subscribe! FOLLOW GLENN KELMAN: Redfin: Website: www.redfin.com/ Twitter (@glennkelman): x.com/glennkelman Home Prices Falling: www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-home-prices-decline-austin/ The Sun Belt Is Seeing Some of the Biggest Rent Declines in America: www.redfin.com/news/redfin-rental-report-april-2024/
@BarryKing-mc7vq
@BarryKing-mc7vq Ай бұрын
😊
@House_hacker_619
@House_hacker_619 Ай бұрын
I have 2.75 and 4.375. Nope not selling as a matter of fact I’m on the sideline waiting.😂
@TheBoilingWater
@TheBoilingWater Ай бұрын
no
@tyc1390
@tyc1390 Ай бұрын
Hey David! Love your content. Have you thought about bringing on the Economic Ninja for an interview? I've seen some great content from him on the real estate climate.
@user-dn5ud1cr3b
@user-dn5ud1cr3b Ай бұрын
No. That would be stupid. I am buying another in 2 weeks or less. Just working on financing. Need a place to rent? -Curtis Loew
@Dantursi1
@Dantursi1 19 күн бұрын
Mortgage rates are currently at an all time high since 2000(23 years) and based on statistics on inflation, we might see that number skyrocket further, a 30-year fixed rate was only 5% this time last year, so do I just keep waiting for a housing crash before buying or redirect my focus to the equity market
@Jamesbrown1126
@Jamesbrown1126 19 күн бұрын
The stock market is no different, to maintain profit you need to have some in-depth knowledge on the market. I mostly just buy and hold stocks, but my portfolio has been mostly in the red for quite awhile now. Unfortunately to be able to make good gains, you’ll need to be consistent and restructure your portfolio frequently.
@Davidstowe872
@Davidstowe872 19 күн бұрын
In my opinion, it was much easier investing back in the 80s but it’s a lot trickier now, those making consistent profit in these times are professionals reason I’ve been using an advisor for the past 5 years to consistently build my portfolio in preparations for retirement.
@Quason788
@Quason788 19 күн бұрын
My partner’s been considering going the same route, could you share more info please on the advisor that guides you
@Davidstowe872
@Davidstowe872 19 күн бұрын
My CFA, Annette Christine Conte, is a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
@Quason788
@Quason788 19 күн бұрын
I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.
@AdamGreene222
@AdamGreene222 11 күн бұрын
This is a really interesting take on the housing market. People are being impacted by the long-term decline in property prices and the housing market. I recently sold my house in the Sacramento area, and I want to invest my lump-sum profit in the stock market before prices start to rise again. Is now the right moment to buy or not?
@richardhudson1243
@richardhudson1243 11 күн бұрын
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
@Aaronduckstein49
@Aaronduckstein49 11 күн бұрын
Based on personal experience working with an investment advisor, I currently have $1m in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in stocks, but you also need to be knowledgeable, persistent, and have strong hands to back it up.
@hoosier-daddy-wv5gi
@hoosier-daddy-wv5gi 11 күн бұрын
I'd love to work with the same advisor you invested with. How do i align with the person?
@Aaronduckstein49
@Aaronduckstein49 11 күн бұрын
Annette Marie Holt is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
@EmilyMoore-n7n
@EmilyMoore-n7n 11 күн бұрын
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
@DonaldMark-ne7se
@DonaldMark-ne7se 7 күн бұрын
I’m a new dad, I moved to the Bay Area a few years ago and I’m thinking of purchasing a single family home, but with real estate prices currently through the roof, is it still a good idea to buy a home or should I invest in stocks for now and just wait for a housing market correction? I heard Nvidia and AMD are strong buys.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira 7 күн бұрын
it’s a personal decision, but according to Forbes, housing activities will remain stagnant for the most part of the year, so maybe hold off a little.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten 7 күн бұрын
well you could put a downpayment on a home and as well diversify as much as you can into Ai and pharm. stocks like Pfizer and JnJ.
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 7 күн бұрын
Certain Ai companies are rumoured to be overvalued and might cause a market correction, I’d suggest you go with a managed portfolio, but even those don’t perform so well, so it’s best you reach out to a proper fiduciary to guide you, that’s what works for my spouse and I.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira 7 күн бұрын
this is all new to me, where do I find a fiduciary, can you recommend any?
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 7 күн бұрын
When ‘Carol Vivian Constable’ is trading, there's no nonsense and no excuses. She wins the trade and you win. Take the loss, I promise she'll take one with you.
@okaydamian
@okaydamian 13 күн бұрын
People will have to accept reality that we won't ever return to 3%. If sellers must sell, home prices will have to decline, and lower evaluations will follow. I now look towards the stock market to fuel my millionaire goal. Sure I'm not alone in my chain of thoughts.
@arlenehill4ril
@arlenehill4ril 13 күн бұрын
U.S. stocks have historically been the best investment. Treat it like real estate, don't panic sell and impulse buy.
@fromthebirchwood
@fromthebirchwood 13 күн бұрын
I like both. But in my experience, most of the millionaires that I know have gained their wealth through diversified investments and they all had a sort of advisor helping out with informed decisions.
@Charlesman_T
@Charlesman_T 13 күн бұрын
Agreed, advisors are the ideal reps for investing jobs, and straight up! that's how I’ve stayed afloat for 5 years now, accruing nearly $1m after 100s of thousands invested. IMO, home prices will need to fall at least 40% before the market normalizes.
@MAnderson5
@MAnderson5 13 күн бұрын
@@Charlesman_T real estate prices exploded, interest rates exploded, but my wage the same, i'm screwed! who is your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? in dire need of proper asset allocation
@Charlesman_T
@Charlesman_T 13 күн бұрын
She goes by ‘’KAREN LYNNE CHESS’’ I suggest you look her up yourself. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
@HugoBergmann-lu4nd
@HugoBergmann-lu4nd Ай бұрын
Purchasing a home is already a very difficult thing to do, unless you pay cash or don’t get a loan from the government. If only my minimum monthly house payment, over the course of 30 years I’ll pay more than double what my home is worth. I purchased before things got crazy so I got a good interest rate. I couldn’t imagine trying to rent or buy right now.
@cowell621
@cowell621 Ай бұрын
I hope to own a home some day, not quite long I started investing. I'm very curious already and need help on how to enhance and increase my returns. Any good investment tips will be appreciated.
@StacieBMui
@StacieBMui Ай бұрын
The enduring US stock market bull run evokes a mix of fear and excitement, presenting opportunities with insight, resulting in $780k gains in the past ten months, utilizing a portfolio advisor for a well-defined strategy.
@Wellerpage
@Wellerpage Ай бұрын
How do I reach out to one? my assets have been struggling since 2022 and I’ve been holding on by the skin of my teeth.
@StacieBMui
@StacieBMui Ай бұрын
“Sharon Lee Peoples”’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@naturallawgiver
@naturallawgiver Ай бұрын
Don't pay just the minimum. Take out a HELOC and use it to pay down the principal in 6 or 7 years...research Velocity Banking.
@faithsrvtrip8768
@faithsrvtrip8768 Ай бұрын
I bought my 2nd house in 2004 for $170k at 7.5%. It isn't that interest rates are too high it's that house prices are ridiculous.
@user-ch9pz1uq9v
@user-ch9pz1uq9v Ай бұрын
Yea because of the insane amount of money printing.
@aguywhohikes1271
@aguywhohikes1271 Ай бұрын
💯
@psychologyis
@psychologyis Ай бұрын
They are truly ridiculous.
@naturelover2292
@naturelover2292 Ай бұрын
We can blame Zillow and Redfin for artificially jacking up the value of homes
@superhitb
@superhitb Ай бұрын
I hope you have refinanced using low interest rate regime.
@gocelts
@gocelts Ай бұрын
Buyers are waiting for the market to crash. Sellers are waiting for the rates to drop. Something's gotta give. Something's gonna break soon.
@williewill1237
@williewill1237 Ай бұрын
Someone’s gonna win someone’s gonna lose
@danielmarks5133
@danielmarks5133 Ай бұрын
Obviously not the buyers 😂🍌
@cryptoricardo
@cryptoricardo Ай бұрын
If by soon you mean 2026, sure. But until then it's up only
@cryptoricardo
@cryptoricardo Ай бұрын
Being right but years too early is the same as being wrong. It is very unlikely that we see housing go down before 2026
@martinko4086
@martinko4086 Ай бұрын
Nothing is going to happen . **** buyers are going standing outside of the house, in the cold looking at the dream house and sellers are going to live comfortable in warm house watching TV and videos . REALTORs are going to spread bad news so they can get some commissions.
@ericmaclaurin8525
@ericmaclaurin8525 Ай бұрын
The only reason prices haven't crashed is because previous low rates locked millions in place and investors don't recognize bursting bubbles. The correction will be when investors start dumping inventory. Not when homeowners sell.
@josephedlin2172
@josephedlin2172 Ай бұрын
Very true. The humble mom and pop owner has not been the driving force for many many years. Investor money drives price direction and momentum and the fundamentals aren’t supportive so the money will flow away from real estate for sever years to come now… or at least until homes become relatively undervalued (rates fall AND prices fall).
@RoyalFizzbin
@RoyalFizzbin Ай бұрын
@@josephedlin2172 What’s a “humble mom and pop”? I have heard real estate investors on KZfaq consider someone managing 100 “doors” (homes) to be “mom and pop”. Meanwhile, that “mom and pop” is cash flowing $50k per month while collecting rent from 100 families.
@atothez418
@atothez418 Ай бұрын
@@josephedlin2172majority of those investors are humble mom and pop owners. They own 2 or 3 rental properties. People tend to think of investors as or major or corporate however majority is mom and pop.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
That's only part of the 'equation'. People bought 'high', way too high. Overextended. How many of these folks are included in 'layoffs'? People got 'taken to the cleaners' on houses, vehicles, home owners insurance, car insurance, food , & energy. They've spent their free money the gov't handed out. Even with their low interest rates, many are in or will soon be, 'a world of hurt & pain'
@user-xx2mq3ol7y
@user-xx2mq3ol7y 8 күн бұрын
@@B126USMCpeople that bought way high are mostly 2020 and 2021 and the also have a good amount of equity now and low rate. Most of them will not sell cos of their low rate and if the sell they get good returns
@rayzimmerman2242
@rayzimmerman2242 Ай бұрын
Waiting for a higher supply of houses to improve the affordability index is unrealistic. We need drastic reduction in house prices to rebalance the affordability index. This will require an economic crash like recession or depression-unless the sellers are pressured to voluntarily reduce prices.
@YTSparty
@YTSparty Ай бұрын
People are ignoring the rental market. In my city 1/2 the houses in the city are or were rentals. They aren't getting what they're asking for and more are becoming vacant. That's where the excess inventory is going to come from, rentals are going to sell off to home buyers.
@Typical-gamer-dad
@Typical-gamer-dad Ай бұрын
You’d need millions of homes to Sell for this to effect the housing prices in a big way. Why would rentals just sell? Makes no sense unless they needed foreclosure. Correction? Sure. But no crashes unless millions lose jobs or homes. Keep waiting. There’s no crash in sight.
@rayzimmerman2242
@rayzimmerman2242 Ай бұрын
@@dissident112 Totally agree. Houses are for families to shelter/live in, NOT for investment/trading/"passive income" purposes
@John_GGG
@John_GGG Ай бұрын
@@rayzimmerman2242 So change the tax code, good luck with that. Spread out depreciation, limit tax deductibility of taxes, interest, insurance, etc for investors. Most homeowners, except mainly the wealthiest, don’t receive much benefit from mortgage interest and property taxes.
@user-xy3dl2iy6t
@user-xy3dl2iy6t Ай бұрын
Vacation rentals are absorbing so much of this much needed inventory; we will be stagnant in unaffordability mode until this vacation rental business is regulated heavily.
@streetmoney21
@streetmoney21 Ай бұрын
The switch has happened in Irvine ca. greedy sellers and home builders want 3 million for a move up home. A 2 bedroom condo is at 1.2 million. Starter home 1.8 million. Nobody is buying at these destructive prices. A lot of suckers paid these prices not realizing they’re holding a bag of bricks. Good luck trying to escape without loosing your ass and then some. Better off renting for now. Too expensive to buy in this market.
@Chainyanker007
@Chainyanker007 Ай бұрын
But these high prices keep going up year after year in Orange County, esp. south OC. I know I’ve been living south of Irvine for 47 yrs. Bought my place for $65k back then and it was ‘high priced’, today it’s about $1.1mil, maybe a bit more and could rent easily for around $4,500 a month. With all this talk about prices crashing soon, etc. if it does happen it will soon rocket shortly thereafter, seen it before on several occasions. Why one might ask, because of the great climate, world class venues, amazing no. of great and highly varied restaurants (13 different kinds of ethic within 3 miles of my home), great schools including Univ. Of Calif - Irvine, great beaches, skiing 2 hrs away in winter, numerous beaches nearby, crime rate half the national average, very clean environment, no graffiti in this area, great health and medical personnel and facilities, year round gardening if you’re into that, and no real danger from natural disasters (only some earthquake potential but only very minor shakes in the decades I’ve lived here. The Mediterranean climate is one of the best in the world which means great weather year round. No tornados, hurricanes, no snow or excessive precipitation so no floods, drought might be a longer term concern but not a concern in the next 2-3 years. Lots of high paying jobs for the qualified, you need to have good skills and/or a pertinent degree, I know a young middle Eastern couple who immigrated a few years ago and have two properties, both have MS degrees in engineering from their home country and work for high tech companies. Our daughter just accepted a new job and was offered a bit over $192K, she has a master’s and 25 yrs of experience, bought her townhome 13 yrs ago for $450k, now going for just over $1 mil and 3 years left on her 15 yr. mortgage which was refinanced a couple of times. Great place to live but you have to have the right set of skills to make it, high school diplomas only won’t cut it, those are mostly the ones that are leaving Calif based on a recent survey, it figures. I know a guy who does not have a degree but has about 30 yrs experience as an industrial electrician and makes a ton of money. Those are the facts. Ymmv.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Ай бұрын
Prices are even higher in Markham and Richmond Hill, Ontario Canada.
@Chainyanker007
@Chainyanker007 Ай бұрын
@@parkerbohnn- Look up median price for Newport Coast, CA. ($15 million) cheaper just up the coast is Corona Del Mar, just $5.5 million), lol. You should see the yachts in Newport harbor and the adjoining homes.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Ай бұрын
@@Chainyanker007 I've got relatives who live there but they were born there.
@danpan001
@danpan001 Ай бұрын
​@@Chainyanker007how big is your house? So it is still seller's market in your neighborhood? I am surprised how high Irvine housing prices are.
@russianfool1
@russianfool1 Ай бұрын
Thank GOD! I'm a 45 year old male, with my own business, one employee and making around 120k pretax. I cant even think about affording a house now. I'm living on MOM's couch still. no wife, no kids, no nothing....
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Ай бұрын
And men don't want families they can't afford.
@Yeahdude1992
@Yeahdude1992 Ай бұрын
Is this supposed to be a brag?
@josephturner4348
@josephturner4348 Ай бұрын
You greedy fuck 😂😂
@mdishuge
@mdishuge Ай бұрын
I’m in the same boat but a little more income and living with my girlfriend and her kids in an overpriced rental in Southern California.
@moviesynopsis001
@moviesynopsis001 Ай бұрын
Stop bragging, some of us made life mistakes and dont have parents to accomodate us
@TheUnseenOracle
@TheUnseenOracle Ай бұрын
I’m so proud of the consumer staying informed. We are patiently waiting for home prices to go down. I am constantly researching my market, prices are over inflated.
@mikiko2872
@mikiko2872 Ай бұрын
As soon as Palm Springs banned/limited Airbnb, inventory on market has flooded. Those mom&Pop landlords who bought 2nd 3rd house with low interest rates due to luck of option to invest in super low fed rates need to be forced to sell investment properties. Otherwise, losing jobs would the only trigger for forced sale to lower the housing market.
@danpan001
@danpan001 Ай бұрын
I think Juasha still allow Airbnb?
@lesleyjohnson8488
@lesleyjohnson8488 Ай бұрын
AirBNB is dead anyway. Hotels are back. People hate paying a cleaning fee and having to clean anyway for a greedy sociopath. Give it time
@danpan001
@danpan001 Ай бұрын
@@lesleyjohnson8488 It is an option but with all the fees and false advertisements it is better to stay in a hotel
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
Lost jobs, more layoffs coming sooner than later. However, it's more than what 'meets the eye' that compounds the issue(s).........
@AbcDef-iq4no
@AbcDef-iq4no Ай бұрын
Here's where my former "discretionary" cash is going: I am paying an extra $60 per month for my homeowners insurance, which has been increasing every year the last two years; An extra $60 per month for gas prices thanks to $4.00 per gallon gas where I live in Oregon; An extra $80 to $100 per month for groceries thanks to exponentially rising food prices.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
You left out 'maintenance on the house And the car ......What's that leave now? Isn't Oregon one of those places where they listened to the people's cries over wages weren't enough? I'm sure the price increases have much to do with your circumstances. And I wonder how many lost their jobs via layoffs because the business owner had to find ways to survive himself?
@brynduffy
@brynduffy Ай бұрын
First he pretends that the United States doesn't have an immigration problem and then he tells us that a 25 basis point cut to the interest rate is going to make a real difference on home sales? Can this guy speak truthfully about anything?
@JamesBlazen
@JamesBlazen Ай бұрын
The entire real estate industry is full of lying snakes. They lie all day to everyone. After awhile they lie so much they've convinced themselves.
@Eric00700
@Eric00700 Ай бұрын
You’re clearly not understanding what he’s saying, take off your political blinders
@banjoboy01
@banjoboy01 Ай бұрын
he's a realtor, they all lie for a living
@youssefhamidi8152
@youssefhamidi8152 Ай бұрын
Moat of what he said was solid info but i agree w you. 25 basis points WILL NOT move the needle. The market needs to see AT LEAST a 100-150 bps drop to make any sort of impact. Values are still ridiculously high. Im in NE Florida. Homes started at low $400k in 2020. Now same Homes in the 2nd phase are starting at low to mid $700K 😂. Builders are delusional here.
@caucasianafrican1435
@caucasianafrican1435 Ай бұрын
I caught that, too. The guest said the US is "more draconian" than Canada on immigration. Does draconian now mean Not Strict?
@patrickw8453
@patrickw8453 Ай бұрын
As a builder for 25 years, I can confirm building single family home is no longer an option. The build costs far exceed the market value by as much as 30%. Rental condo units, towns, semi, and cheap will be the new norm. Get used to it folks....
@JamesBlazen
@JamesBlazen Ай бұрын
Markets adjust. Land costs will plunge, labor costs will decline, building materials will decline.
@dp-by1wg
@dp-by1wg Ай бұрын
​@@JamesBlazenexactly !
@youssefhamidi8152
@youssefhamidi8152 Ай бұрын
Honestly i dont mind having a nice townhome. I have an sfr now and the big downside is maintaining the lawn/yard. It costs alot of money and alot of time.
@TheBoilingWater
@TheBoilingWater Ай бұрын
That means there will be a severe shortage of single houses
@JamesBlazen
@JamesBlazen Ай бұрын
@@youssefhamidi8152 You can hire a gardner for $250/mo if you're too lazy to take care of your yard. HOA fees in a condo development will be enormous.
@slhines7
@slhines7 Ай бұрын
Seems like one of the main reasons for the high housing costs is due to the massive currency debasement.
@Michael-qy1jz
@Michael-qy1jz Ай бұрын
Absolutely and the Decade Plus of Forced Zero Rates from 2009
@DaveEPie
@DaveEPie Ай бұрын
It’s just starting Fiat usd has a lot of downward pressure- Thus taking more USD to buy the same things as 2 years ago/ You can’t support a failing war and not except inflation- War = inflation. If they lower the rates, and they will eventually, the prices on everything will rocket higher-
@mth469
@mth469 Ай бұрын
that and mass immigration and deliberate attempts to restrict housing supply. the govt's plan to engineer a fake housing shortage and debt servitude among the population through mortgages is about to backfire spectacularly.
@Twotone-ld1fb
@Twotone-ld1fb Ай бұрын
Actually the biggest driver is supply and demand. When you plan for a certain average population growth and housing need then suddenly you have millions of people fleeing California and new york and spreading across the nation the housing and rental supply gets gobbled up fast. Then those people with money that want to move there offer more then the asking price and the values go up. And because they are middle class or higher moving from new york and california they have money and can afford to pay above the normal market rate for the area. Then add to this banks or other organizations that were buying up homes or individuals with money, buying homes trying to capitalize on the market so they could flip the home for more, thus driving prices up even further. Way to many people were moving in a short time, big part of this is covid and people fleeing blue over regulated weaponizeation of covid states.
@derekmason1790
@derekmason1790 Ай бұрын
Correct. The issue is its going to continue so investors are buying houses to combat inflation. Rental nation here we come.
@TheRealEstateMix
@TheRealEstateMix Ай бұрын
I think were all patiently waiting for this "softness" of the summer market, thanks for this David and Glen!!
@mandyc3658
@mandyc3658 Ай бұрын
Date the rate??? What is the cost of refi and can you say for sure that rates will come down in the next few years?? Then what is the affect on your credit doing that??
@gmanlive5764
@gmanlive5764 Ай бұрын
We need a depression and have home prices drop by 50 percent to make things normal
@g.i.520
@g.i.520 Ай бұрын
You’ll lose your job and then credit goes and then forget buying at any price
@InvestingWithAdamK
@InvestingWithAdamK Ай бұрын
Wonderful. And when you and 25% of the population is unemployed due to this depression and have an income of $0 I’m sure that home price correction will do people a lot of good.
@futureoutfit
@futureoutfit Ай бұрын
@@InvestingWithAdamK you sound fully invested into your "home" (fake investment)
@jaredman2393
@jaredman2393 Ай бұрын
@@InvestingWithAdamK some of use have recession proof jobs and have enough savings to buy a cash home now at these prices and a much nicer home if they did drop 50%.
@scoby41
@scoby41 Ай бұрын
I’m actively looking to buy and there are sellers (and realtors) in the area listing homes $100k more than 2022… it’s crazy.
@ericmcginnis7576
@ericmcginnis7576 20 күн бұрын
When Redfin CEO says the housing market is softening, it's gotta be true. If I were to believe anybody saying that, that's this man right here.
@markovichglass
@markovichglass Ай бұрын
You forgot to add redfin helped create this situation in the housing marekt. Woth inflated housing prices. But yall won't mention that.
@sfpelkey
@sfpelkey Ай бұрын
That's like blaming the NYSE or NASDAQ for stocks going up...
@ericmaclaurin8525
@ericmaclaurin8525 Ай бұрын
Previous low rates and low inventory are not why the market is slow in the US. It's the high rates that with high prices make prices way too high.
@tamekaallen7023
@tamekaallen7023 Ай бұрын
Lack of inventory is the reason for these prices! Let’s not pretend these investment funds aren’t buying up all the inventory
@kitana097
@kitana097 Ай бұрын
Yes! I agree with Glenn that your hair is fabulous right now. That curly perm was your low point.
@onetruecalling
@onetruecalling Ай бұрын
100% inflation on home prices in many markets. Let’s get real, most people cannot afford these hyper inflated prices.
@downrightmike
@downrightmike Ай бұрын
100% brought to you by the red fin algorithm to drive up prices.
@House_hacker_619
@House_hacker_619 Ай бұрын
3 words for you “Supply and demand”
@hakomii
@hakomii Ай бұрын
NYC, I see prices decline 7-10% (few in range of 20% down) stop trying to fomo. I'm seeing hell lot more inventories. The current market is supply > demand in which it's forcing these declines (although not fast enough).
@Twotone-ld1fb
@Twotone-ld1fb Ай бұрын
@@hakomii The reason your seeing the drop in prices and the rise in inventory in new york is because people are fleeing new york. And in doing so driving up prices elsewhere.
@TheBoilingWater
@TheBoilingWater Ай бұрын
There will be no market on real estate market. Sellers are unwilling to sell because of high interest rate; buyers can’t afford both price and rate
@stefslyfe
@stefslyfe 27 күн бұрын
The problem is that people who bought homes in 2020 for $350K are being told and have been being told for the last few years that they’re now worth $650-750k, and these people don’t understand that home values were artificially inflated over the last few years so their homes aren’t actually worth anywhere near that. Reality hits hard and that’s the part that’s screwed everything up. Interested rates my butt. Homes don’t double in value in two or three years. That’s what’s gotten us here, nothing else.
@rayzimmerman2242
@rayzimmerman2242 Ай бұрын
The opening statement is so true; realtors need to advise sellers to reduce prices instead of realtors rooting for mortgage rate reductions; across the board, lower prices will more effectively correct the housing affordability index than will a mortgage rate reduction
@ReeLSpirit
@ReeLSpirit Ай бұрын
In the end, it’s up to the seller if they want to budge on price or not
@ebutuoy5088
@ebutuoy5088 Ай бұрын
No
@mupreport
@mupreport Ай бұрын
i think things in FL will get really bad. the insurance for homes, i've heard, is growing & growing bc of hurricanes & even with higher insurance you still have to pay 5% of hurricane damage
@bethlacerona1510
@bethlacerona1510 Ай бұрын
Can I have advise if mortgage is paid off? The best thing is to get notary or keep in the bank to be open ready for barrow
@juliorivas7428
@juliorivas7428 Ай бұрын
Glen Kelman provides so much helpful information. Thanks David.
@veronicavicente4374
@veronicavicente4374 Ай бұрын
Thanks so much for this content! I appreciate your channel! I'm in california were everything is over priced ? Can't wait for food , home ? Gas prices to go down It's just out of control 😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮!
@sallyho146
@sallyho146 Ай бұрын
How come there’s no property tax increase control? Also, the law needs to be changed or flexible. A lot of older ppl want to move but they don’t want to hit with a large capital gain tax. If the law allows the older ppl to >55 or greater to carry the old house property tax base instead of taxing on a new house price. Then a lot of inventory will come out.
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf Ай бұрын
My main concern is how to survive all of these financial and political crisis, especially in light of the US political power struggle.
@Peterl4290
@Peterl4290 Ай бұрын
Bad year for me, META down 40k, ALLP down 35k, Draft Kings down 6k, NIO down 15K, ABML down 8k, and my wife doesn’t know. I'm just hanging on to Jim Cramer's words about opportunities in volatile times so perhaps, I either wait for a recovery or pick profitable investments to substitute for my loss.
@larrypaul-cw9nk
@larrypaul-cw9nk Ай бұрын
I agree that hiring a portfolio coach is a smart move and that in this case, patience is your best friend. I make a lot of investments and cannot afford to take the risk of doing it alone. Instead, since the rona outbreak began in late 2019, my portfolio has been maintained by a qualified advisor. I only need about $86k more to reach my three million dollar ROI goal.
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah Ай бұрын
Magnificent! Could you please provide additional information about the coach who mentors you? might save me a lot of money
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah Ай бұрын
I just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to send a mail to her and let you know how it goes.Thanks for sharing truly!
@Chainyanker007
@Chainyanker007 Ай бұрын
Fyi, there has always been a ‘political power struggle’, and I’ve been an adult for 65+yrs.
@davidmacgown321
@davidmacgown321 Ай бұрын
Where can I find the PE ratios of metropolitan areas? I think that the higher the PE ratio the cheaper it is to rent and the lower the PE ratio it's cheaper to own.
@winstonsmith6204
@winstonsmith6204 Ай бұрын
Florida has left the chat👀
@Michael-qy1jz
@Michael-qy1jz Ай бұрын
We are going to Implode here as they build off a cliff. No idea how people! re missing this
@christaylor8337
@christaylor8337 Ай бұрын
We are dead in the water here in Sarasota. This guy's smile makes him look like an actual shark.
@pawelek7
@pawelek7 Ай бұрын
Texas follows
@Michael-qy1jz
@Michael-qy1jz Ай бұрын
@@christaylor8337 They erased my comment again, but I'm here in Sarasota also. It's going to implode here!
@scottdavis5749
@scottdavis5749 Ай бұрын
Big jump in inventory in Pensacola and nothing is selling.
@00301200
@00301200 Ай бұрын
We do NOT want “softness” ….we want a “crash” so home prices will come down and people can afford to buy . They are so “Lukewarm” in their narative …..it is ridiculous .
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
Redfin, Zillow, & whoever else 'downplay' because they want to keep making money to 'fill their coffers'......They don't care about you. Plus , they know that new law goes into effect soon
@reneelibby4885
@reneelibby4885 28 күн бұрын
never wish for a crash. that affects the ENTIRE ECONOMY.
@user-99.99
@user-99.99 Ай бұрын
Lots me at “America has been much more draconian on immigration”. You’ve got to be kidding me.
@lesleyjohnson8488
@lesleyjohnson8488 Ай бұрын
Compared to Canada ….
@sociolocomtsac
@sociolocomtsac Ай бұрын
@@lesleyjohnson8488 Bingo
@dianedean4170
@dianedean4170 Ай бұрын
🎉❤😊 Great conversation, David and Glenn. Committing to any loan is a very big long-term decision. Thank you, David, for posting your excellent videos. It is important to follow your informative podcasts because you and your guests are speaking from experience.💫💥
@cindypope4238
@cindypope4238 Ай бұрын
The banks are covered by the Federal Reserve from day one of the mortgage when the customer's signature pays for the entire loan and the bank is paid immediately plus interest with our promissory note. It is the homeowners who are suffering NOT the bankers. We have been so scammed
@mrg7407
@mrg7407 Ай бұрын
Remember ALL New Homes Have Cut Deals With Your City. They ALL Have HOA fees and they are close to The SAME amount as your Property Tax. Plus Many HOAs Get Taxed for the WHOLE Compound PLUS The Units
@youssefhamidi8152
@youssefhamidi8152 Ай бұрын
I though HOA fee was a rip off but now that I have a home the cost of watering lawn, mowing, pest control, fertilizer and time it takes is comparable to the HOA fee so in most cases it’s a fair tradeoff paying the HOA fee.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
@@youssefhamidi8152 Depends .......
@IOSALive
@IOSALive Ай бұрын
David Lin , I liked!
@deborahoconnor1606
@deborahoconnor1606 Ай бұрын
Spot on observations of the current housing market and the behaviors of sellers and purchasers right now.
@CoreyJKeating
@CoreyJKeating Ай бұрын
Yes, we have a “shortage” of inventory, but not for long. There will be an oversupply once the layoffs pick up steam - which will be compounded by the Boomers selling and dying off!!! ⏰
@downrightmike
@downrightmike Ай бұрын
16m homes being held vacant to create artificial scarcity.
@user-dn5ud1cr3b
@user-dn5ud1cr3b Ай бұрын
@@downrightmike No. 😂
@user-dn5ud1cr3b
@user-dn5ud1cr3b Ай бұрын
We have UNDER built since 2010. We need to OVER build 300,000 to 500,00 house per year to catch up. In 5-10 years. These are facts. Everyone here is running on their feelings. I will continue to buy (want to rent?). Actually some time this month or early July. Even this old black man is doing the work baby! -Curtis Loew
@vdkid1016
@vdkid1016 Ай бұрын
Average boomer is between age 70-78. You'll be holding your breath for another 10-15 years for that "dying off" strategy. Bigger issue during that time is Boomers downsizing to the very 3 bedroom / 2 bath house that others were hoping to be starter homes.
@user-dn5ud1cr3b
@user-dn5ud1cr3b Ай бұрын
@@vdkid1016 boomers start at 60 years old. Today. With medicine, many will live to 90-100 years old. Stop whining and get to work child! At least you should have your mommy’s basement for a long time.
@CollectorChronicles
@CollectorChronicles Ай бұрын
This guy's a fun guest. Great top see him back.
@user-dn5ud1cr3b
@user-dn5ud1cr3b Ай бұрын
Buy now! Prices will continue to rise until at least the early 2030s. Why?? Because new home builders have not kept pace with population growth since 2010. Simple but everyone focuses on the tiny details. And the information is from Robert Deitz of NAHB. -Xurtis Loew
@ace9840
@ace9840 Ай бұрын
But the population growth is from illegal immigration. They’re a net negative for the economy.
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Ай бұрын
American real estate is dirt cheap right now.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
'Suckers' bet
@jimbobarooney2861
@jimbobarooney2861 Ай бұрын
Manufacturers are still sniffing the glue of greedflation eventhough the economy is slowing hard where I'm at, unfortunately it will take a recession for the memo to register
@jagpilotohio
@jagpilotohio Ай бұрын
Yep. We’ve been getting gouged for years now and corporate profits have been at record highs. That isn’t supposed to happen during actual inflation periods.
@PercyY-ib2vx
@PercyY-ib2vx Ай бұрын
In light of the extensive money printing that has led to the depreciation of the dollar, it is perplexing why there is an expectation of price reductions. How can houses be sold for less than their replacement costs under these conditions? Why are people not holding the government accountable for the pervasive rise in prices?
@cristoceacatalin8233
@cristoceacatalin8233 Ай бұрын
Why people call having a roof "Dream" ? American dream.. whatever dream? Having a house is a necessity not a dream.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
Maybe a 'wet dream'
@RatTerminator
@RatTerminator Ай бұрын
Where??
@BPoweredLove
@BPoweredLove Ай бұрын
20:25 The answer is a resounding "NO!" not a "yyyyyyeah....". I thnk Glen knows this. I hope he knows this.
@bastroman4845
@bastroman4845 Ай бұрын
Housing supply sure is a problem but less so than corporate greed, eventually with the depression hitting into high gear the amount of young men commiting suicide will drive demand down.
@mth469
@mth469 Ай бұрын
immigrants will be brought in by the boat load as soon as the blood splatter on the sidewalk from people who have suicided themselves has been washed away...... apparently that's the plan.
@AS-gf5jn
@AS-gf5jn Ай бұрын
Great talk! Is Redfin stock a buy? Or they going BK?
@blondelion7918
@blondelion7918 Ай бұрын
US immigration more draconian than Canada? LOL. This dude is out of touch.
@justinkennedy1182
@justinkennedy1182 Ай бұрын
I noticed the same thing.
@frugalex-maineah6761
@frugalex-maineah6761 Ай бұрын
The seller will pocket the difference on the sale. The market determines the price, not the buyer or seller rate.
@MikeTesa
@MikeTesa Ай бұрын
LoL---Prices holding here outside NYC! Multiple offers in my area! Prices really need to drop 40% where I live---its insane here. It will take years and years for a price drop
@jrobinson5661
@jrobinson5661 Ай бұрын
not if unemployment rises…
@ronniepratt8710
@ronniepratt8710 Ай бұрын
Agents are always spewing that is a good time to buy no matter the conditions.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
Yeah,,,,no matter what the situation the agents will always say it's a "good time to buy".......They need that EZ money in their pockets
@socalgolf9978
@socalgolf9978 16 күн бұрын
lol yeah cracks me up when agents talk real estate.
@user-jn9gv9ve6e
@user-jn9gv9ve6e Ай бұрын
i live in michigan and florida. the only price drops i see are condo's in florida. house's are stable. in fact they are still very high.
@ihtfp004
@ihtfp004 Ай бұрын
Home prices are at levels like rates are at 2% Either rates or prices will need to come down for equilibrium.
@B126USMC
@B126USMC Ай бұрын
BOTH need to come down......not sustainable....
@desertcat8029
@desertcat8029 Ай бұрын
Interesting interview. I didn’t know about the law suit Realtors lost. Great info👍
@Capitalist_Pig314
@Capitalist_Pig314 Ай бұрын
Government regulations and zoning have done a lot to drive up home cost. Other things like material and labor cost of gone up, but I don’t know if they can be helped. But the government stuff certainly can And Zoning so people can have smaller houses like a micro house would certainly help. regulations that make development of lots more expensive is a problem also
@simpleman5541
@simpleman5541 16 күн бұрын
All relative, last month there was 3 houses listed for sale, all sold above asking price in the same weekend. I am in orange county in California
@hedgedrisk
@hedgedrisk Ай бұрын
4:32 I don't think a lot of buyers are interested in upgrading, they just want/need the cash IMO
@hedgedrisk
@hedgedrisk Ай бұрын
2:50 banks lowering their rates don't always correlate to bond buying which is what lowers interest rates
@jazzbeau507
@jazzbeau507 Ай бұрын
Smart guest, Good interview.
@judgetoogood1033
@judgetoogood1033 29 күн бұрын
How much can home owners be allowed too charge for rent? If they pay ? If they pay $350 a month is it okay to rent it for $2,000 a month?
@WasteDeep
@WasteDeep Ай бұрын
Remember folks, buyers ALWAYS have the power to set prices. Don't buy until 2026, and if you have to, REFUSE TO BID UP. We need to bring home prices down 30% at least. Tons of apartments are about to hit the market. Negotiate lower rent and invest your cash until housing prices correct in 2026.
@saundrafoster8768
@saundrafoster8768 Ай бұрын
Price is going down is good for me since I’m looking to move. The problem is if those houses go down mine will too I won’t have enough money to buy a home.
@shanmugasundaram6625
@shanmugasundaram6625 Ай бұрын
Homes are available in areas people are not interested. In some places, more houses can not be built and prices will never decrease.
@reversemoustachecat8127
@reversemoustachecat8127 Ай бұрын
The guest came across as authentic and practical. Enjoyed listening to him
@gamanshoo
@gamanshoo Ай бұрын
14:14 refreshing to see/hear CEOs like this: candid and down to earth , telling things like they are. It is LAME to see/hear MOST CEOs who have been promoted to their roles for having a great ability to lie, meander and deceive when they open their mouths publicly..
@officialmarcjenkins
@officialmarcjenkins Ай бұрын
ATL Metro: 50% more inventory year over year in May! Over 6,000 more active listings compared to last year with fewer sales... Uh oh 😮
@user-xx2mq3ol7y
@user-xx2mq3ol7y 8 күн бұрын
People are waiting for interest rate to drop.
@Kelvin555s
@Kelvin555s Ай бұрын
Seeing all the housing drama pretty enjoyable. This is obvious that US will prefer investors over homeownership as a shelter, as it's just how the whole market and country set up. Sadly UK, Australia and Canada followed that path. Instead of a basic necessity Shelter became a thing of profits. Doesn't matter even if rates go even higher, rents are way high to make profit on investments.
@user-dx4hh3ky2r
@user-dx4hh3ky2r Ай бұрын
18:00 min mark log jam? How much would the mortgage companies/banks lose if home prices were to come down? Answer- too much. So as a lender, do/ignore/ pretend like everyone else involved to keep the ‘illusion’ of value going for as long as possible so the borrower keeps working overtime to slave that loan/tax. If you’re really lucky, take out a HELOC to afford average groceries. Modern day surfs we are…thanks David, awesome interview.
@erickcoley7554
@erickcoley7554 Ай бұрын
O’Hare area just outside of Chicago, multiple offers , highest and best.
@jeffrice3044
@jeffrice3044 Ай бұрын
Canada's mortgages are for far shorter terms. In the US they are 15 or 30 yr.
@787ram
@787ram Ай бұрын
This doesn't apply to Canada, does it David?
@GreenKnight7
@GreenKnight7 Ай бұрын
First I’ve heard of it. Maybe RF wants people to lower their home prices on a large scale so they can rake in a lot of cash.
@truthmonster3290
@truthmonster3290 Ай бұрын
These prices are not normal
@GreenKnight7
@GreenKnight7 Ай бұрын
@@truthmonster3290 everything is being manipulated. You’re true to your name. 👍
@downrightmike
@downrightmike Ай бұрын
Their algorithm raised prices to where they can't make a sale and need prices to come down, but now delusional sellers can't believe reality thanks to this jerk and RF
@denisemariefugo5126
@denisemariefugo5126 Ай бұрын
Charleston SC rents are increasing $500 to $1500 per month! 40% to 150% on C grade properties. Devastating for single working heads of households! Terrible for Families.
@user-ir1bl9ii1e
@user-ir1bl9ii1e Ай бұрын
In Las Vegas a 2-bedroom apartment goes for around $2000/month now. Ten years ago it was only around $1000/month. Inflation has shot up in Las Vegas. Crazy.
@ecashtoenslavement4320
@ecashtoenslavement4320 Ай бұрын
I'm always jealous of David's nice head of hair. Thank you for your work bringing us the facts sir!
@karenashford284
@karenashford284 21 күн бұрын
Talking about well to do...what is the percentage of single family homes bought with cash?
@brynduffy
@brynduffy Ай бұрын
Rents go down because you can't squeeze blood out of a stone/unemployed citizen.
@alexb8926
@alexb8926 Ай бұрын
@@ComommonlyCensoredthen no income for no one 😅 we fall down….
@tudvalstone
@tudvalstone Ай бұрын
In Canada you can get a mortgage below 5%, so it's not that high, historically.
@jimbooneway1808
@jimbooneway1808 Ай бұрын
glenn i am rooting for u buddy ! big fan! focus on winning market share and profits and less on DEI please
@user-pj6lu9lh1y
@user-pj6lu9lh1y Ай бұрын
Is Canada’s real estate market suffering similar trends ?
@sameagletheregal8526
@sameagletheregal8526 Ай бұрын
It's even worse.
@cmockingjay7265
@cmockingjay7265 Ай бұрын
Downtown Seattle and surrounding areas are on an earthquake zone so it costs more to build there. They have to be up to code with everything earthquake safety.
@triciaknox7824
@triciaknox7824 Ай бұрын
In Oregon, our home prices are having price deductions each week (existing and new construction). Even with the price reductions many are not selling still. Many houses on the market sitting there 4-12months.
@blizzliftie
@blizzliftie Ай бұрын
Good to see the guest speaker complimenting David’s hair 😂
@captainbuck5969
@captainbuck5969 Ай бұрын
Things don’t always move in extremes. Just because there is weakness, doesn’t mean a collapse.
@Billy97ify
@Billy97ify Ай бұрын
The collapse could take five years to play out.
@meltorment09
@meltorment09 Ай бұрын
Which is in line with the RF CEO’s thesis, 1% decline in values. He never said it was armageddon
@cjmuniz12
@cjmuniz12 Ай бұрын
Why doesn’t Canada have 30 yr fixed?
@tylerburgess3484
@tylerburgess3484 Ай бұрын
Top notch interview here David!
@EconomicNinja
@EconomicNinja Ай бұрын
Some people have been preparing to buy up this excess inventory from the home builders....
@mth469
@mth469 Ай бұрын
some people = Blackrock ?
@dimebagg1
@dimebagg1 Ай бұрын
CPI isn’t released on 15th of every month. Why is he saying that?
@toram6210
@toram6210 Ай бұрын
So black rock can buy more houses And rent out for u as subscription
@katethielmann4244
@katethielmann4244 Ай бұрын
What really makes the housing market break? No one buying or selling bc if the economy The percentages of foreclosures and no movement in the real estate market?
@smb7304
@smb7304 Ай бұрын
Really good interview as usual ❤
@parkerbohnn
@parkerbohnn Ай бұрын
Prices in Markham and Stouffville will rise double digits this year. The temporary lull in housing will end June 25th this year.
@dg8676
@dg8676 Ай бұрын
Most home owners refi or take out credit on their homes that means the sellers can’t lower the price they are on the hook for the equity they took out
Home builders trigger major Recession Warning. Supply spikes to 2008 levels.
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