Rule of 240: How to Work Backwards From a Future 10-Bagger to Today’s Stock Price

  Рет қаралды 6,901

Focused Compounding

Focused Compounding

4 жыл бұрын

QuickFS Link: quickfs.net/?via=focused
Twitter: @Focusedcompound
Email: info@focusedcompounding.com
Focused Compounding is an exclusive, members-only site for buy and hold value investors. Inside, you will find research writeups written by hedge fund manager, Geoff Gannon. Experience all this in the company of investors who follow the principles of Buffett, Munger, and Fisher instead of the whims of the crowd.
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Пікірлер: 18
@daxeshchaudhary6981
@daxeshchaudhary6981 3 жыл бұрын
Characteristics of 10 baggers: 1. Low PE multiple (future PE rerating) 2. Market size >> 10 x Market Cap (sales/earnings growth)
@polishfish
@polishfish 4 жыл бұрын
Just bought thinking in bets because of you. I appreciate every book recommendation you give! This is my favorite type of content: where you take the 20000ft view and a long time frame and think about how small changes in key variables over a long time can equal those large returns. Especially appreciate the discussion of high PEs and how it’s such a negative for already-recognized high-growth companies.
@FocusedCompounding
@FocusedCompounding 4 жыл бұрын
Awesome stuff. Thanks for following along and enjoy the book! It's a good one
@erickoop5442
@erickoop5442 4 жыл бұрын
If neither of you have done the work to look into Bolloré its a bit of work to figure out their spaghetti corporate structure but it is worth the work. I love the pod keep it up!
@l4k
@l4k 3 жыл бұрын
I love your podcast, and that's a very huge compliment since in the last 4 years I've been averagig 5-7h/day on youtube.
@lisapurplehayes
@lisapurplehayes 4 жыл бұрын
Good work thank you for the time to post!
@FocusedCompounding
@FocusedCompounding 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching, Lisa
@roystendsa9071
@roystendsa9071 4 жыл бұрын
This is was interesting and insightful I had to stop whatever I was doing and actually watch the video so I could get everything, unlike a regular podcast. The whole 240 thing really puts things into perspective and helps you understand how you understand how small a business has to be in order to be a 10-bagger. Also gave me a better idea of how people would be willing to invest in a company (that retail company in India) with 125x P/E multiple because the company grows EPS at 40% p.a. Seems like it would just take 240/40 = 6 years for the stock to be a 10 bagger assuming the P/E remains fixed.
@taifoongchung
@taifoongchung 3 жыл бұрын
Hi, Geoff and Andrew, thank you for the content, it's great! However, the math does not sound right to me. Triple of the multiple in 10 years means CAGR of 12%, plus the 8% company growth equals 20% CAGR, compounding this 20% for 10 years only gets us a 6.2 baggers. Am I missing something here?
@user-ut1gz9ty3l
@user-ut1gz9ty3l 4 жыл бұрын
The engagement is going up... Might be the number one investing podcast soon.
@FocusedCompounding
@FocusedCompounding 4 жыл бұрын
just maybe ;)
@eggzncookies
@eggzncookies 3 жыл бұрын
Books mentioned: Thinking in bets 100 baggers 100 to 1 in the stock market
@kennethhorrocks448
@kennethhorrocks448 4 жыл бұрын
Hey Geoff, I would like to know your opinion on the criticisms made on the book the Halo Effect on Jim Collin's books (since you have previously recommended them).
@l4k
@l4k 3 жыл бұрын
Can I check very small companies in QuickFS? I tried searching for companies like VLGEA or HWIN and if I'm not wrong I couldn't find them. In Gurufocus most of these small companies have wrong data, but at least I can see them or screen.
@MrMCsquare100
@MrMCsquare100 4 жыл бұрын
What does geoff think about the new facebook shop feature ?
@FocusedCompounding
@FocusedCompounding 4 жыл бұрын
probably no opinion.
@jdp0359
@jdp0359 3 жыл бұрын
Don't compare Buffet of now to Buffet of 50 years ago. He is looking for totally different companies now based on size alone.
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