Make a video about Ethiopian ethnic Federalism. The major reason behind the current civil war.

...

pog

It is interesting your entire narration is one sided glorifying. You are compromised my friend. I believe reporting just present perspective not declaration.

@@Zeyede_Siyum I will definitely watch it if it published.

Cruise missiles

But they have something in common both citiss are comparably isolated and are decently easy to incircle.

@@Qwerty-jy9mj Last I checked, cruise missiles cannot occupy a city.

Odesa - with one s

@@EminencePhront Not to mention, Odessa hosts the largest catacombs in the world. Which were used as bomb/nuclear shelters during WWII/The Cold War, respectively.

Actually I think your premise is wrong. I do not think Putin cares. The "sanctions noose" IS loosening in practice. Rusia orients towards the large part of the world not caring about the sanctions and every delivery to Asia is not a delivery to Europe. Europe IS replaceable - over time. OTOH Europe can not really live without european wars. Wait until the gas contracts run out this year - the renegotiations will be funny.

853 years but who’s counting. Tiocfaidh ar La!

But it didn't continue for the Irish, the reached peace. Also the sanctions are mainly from the western sphere not the entire world

Putin is not going to return to the old world. He switches Russia to trade with China and India instead of Europe. The reason for everything that is happening is the belief in the weakening of the West, the loss of the US status as a leading world power. Putin believes in China's imminent and inevitable dominance.

That's the problem with totalitarianism: nobody cares about losses.

There is always a problem with logistics, you can plan and plan and then suddenly your prediction of the weather is wrong or the number of troops send has increased more than what you thought...etc

@@napolien1310 fair enough, maybe it's just because they've puffed their chests so much (like all powers honestly) that I expected more from the Russians.

@@shinobiighost6946 I agree, for me that's how I measure super powers now, how long they can last when they make a major decision they would lose face when they fail.

There's an article called: Feeding the Bear. That talks about the Russian logistical shortcomings. A Major factor is their reliance on trains for heavy logistical work, Which of course hasn't worked out well.

They know how to do logistics in their country. Their military's primary purpose was to stop invasions of Russia since their geography made them a very popular target for invaders. They ran into problems because they didn't really design their logistical system for invading other countries. Their only geographic advantage is that they are big. This makes them hard to fully conquer, but it won't make it harder for invaders to do massive damage to what's fairly close to the border. Compare that to, say, the US and UK. Both have geography (namely big bodies of water) that make them hard to invade since amphibious invasions are hard to pull off and support. This allowed both militaries to focus on offensive capabilities, but it also forced them to really focus on logistics.

What do you mean ‘about gas’ Russia has a shit tonne of gas, they are a huge gas supplier, do you mean they want more bargaining power in selling their own gas?

@@VetrixOfficial Russia Supplied 40% of Europe's Gas at the start of this war. This gives them *extreme* bargaining power on a multitude of issues. In 2014, Ukraine was in the process of development of its offshore and land based Gas Reserves with western based corporations, which constitute between 10-15% of the *world supply* . This is indisputable fact and can be easily looked up. If a western friendly alternative to Russian gas entered the European market, Russia would be 100% F'd. Irregardless of the land border, russian military expenses, or anything else - a legitimate Gas competitor to the European market would kneecap Russia's economy and their power as a regional petrol state. In comes Russia in 2014, seizing Crimea and 2/3 of the offshore portion of those gas reserves. Now comes 2022, and they are threating 3 key regions - The Donbas, the Odessa/southern coast, and Transnistria to the west. Conveniently, *each of those regions holds the majority of those gas reserves* . This isn't hyperbole or a conspiracy theory, the reserve locations are publicly available on any natural resources map.

@@lord6617 im European, I know about this, Germany is the main problem, but they are actually getting rid of the need for Russian gas

@@VetrixOfficial So why did you ask "why is this about gas" lol?

It's definitely about gas, and it's definitely about NATO trained and armed Nazis destabilizing Russias western border for the last 8 years. You know, 8 years ago after the American backed coup of the Ukrainian president and the Odessa massacre.

But this affects Russian homosexual special rights ? Since collusion was proven, Bidan will not lift a finger until Clinton says so. Meanwhile Trimp is laughing in Mar a Lago.

As far as I know blockade only goes for military veicles. So it is not as bad as it sounds. I dont know about giblartar, if it is closed too russia can not support syrian bases. Establishing an air bridge seems imposible imo. But I bet russia will come on top in this war against west. So sucker punching russia now may lead to bad consequences later on.

then there will be no Russian tourists there and the Turkish economy will die

No. It actually is good for Russia. It only forbids military ships or supplays, wich is just what Ucraine needs, and isolates Odessa from NATO. There's seemingly some understanding between Turkey and Russia. Eyes wide open!

@@nicco5518 Well, you seem to have your eyes closed them. Virtually all the support from NATO comes from the border countries of Poland and Romania, because it is cheaper. Odessa is extremely close to the Romanian border, supplies won’t be an issue.

Ukraine is the dead man of Europe now, look at their country, destroyed, zero economy, no export, cities getting bomb day and night, turn into a warzone, a post apocalyptic country. dumping ground of bombs and soviet-era weaponries, dead civilians, refugee crisis, territories under Russian occupation, Russia will never leave Ukraine they have move their border inside Ukraine, it is a literall living hell hole. aka THE DEAD MAN OF EUROPE.

@Deadline very temporary.

"never really had" this comes out of our deeply rooted inferiority complex. Russia has always been imperialistic.

@No No cope.

It did have the glory. But its impossible to get it back

Pretty much explains the war. It’s just another Afghanistan for Russia. They just haven’t relized it. To quote RDJ: You’re missing the point. There’s no throne. There is no version of this where you come out on top. Maybe your army comes, and maybe it’s too much for us, but it’s all on you. Because if we can’t protect the Earth, you can be damned well sure we’ll avenge it.

It's not an original quote. It was said by the Taliban to the Americans. “You have the watches,” the Taliban commander apparently told Hillier, “but we have the time.”

He's as good as Biden's new Minister of Truth. If you want real situation assessment, check out Gonzalo Lira, Scott Ritter, Dreizin Report.

@@asqalanmedia Likely an intentional allusion on Shirvan's part!

Russia chucks the watch at Ukraine's head, thus Ukraine runs out of time. 🇷🇺

Not only economic power: but effectively they would be in a position to blockade much of the world's land area just by refusing to export food. They are staying friendly with China, and by coincidence or not that it's a country that has a long land border with them and could conveniently fight back against any blockade

People need to look at the wider context here Russia has quietly annexed Belarus and the Russian army will not leave now.This threatens northern Ukraine, Lithuania and the Polish land border to the Baltics.There is no way the West will allow Russia to seize also the whole Ukrainian Black Sea coast.They will fight strongly

Saying that these are the goals doesn't make them the goals. A lot of implications and speculation.

@@Marvin-dg8vj to the last Ukrainian.

@@Omni_Shambles You can say that again! No mention of the China and Russian investment creating the northern "trade" route that is becoming available as the ice melts for example. It's a pity because the presentation seems much less biased than most, (either side) although calling Odessa just a consolation prize was understating its importance I thought. Nevertheless, one of the best recaps of the war so far for me, I'll be back for more.

@@willhall4037 The ice isn't melting that fast.

Hahahahah and you clown really believe 25x Chernobaevka story?

@@truthdealer9 sure. there're a lot of proofs but you're to lazy to watch them, soooooo... Maybe stop being a jerk?

@William Burns hope they'll follow after 'moscow'

They already tried to skip to the final boss of kyiv and failed. So they think they can take super boss odessa instead. Lol

Russian manipulation has many people thinking they were provoked.

Of course, what and how Russia is going to trade with most of them is a bit of a mystery. The Transiberia railway is at/near capacity. The Siberian oil/gas fields & pipelines that China is counting on supplying energy needs were operated by transnationals like BP & Halliburton, who have pulled out leaving production to spiral downward...since it is outside the expertise of the Russians. Their Black Sea oil & grain ports are in a war zone....and few ships other than Russian flagged ones are willing to go there, as international insurers will *not* assume the risk for that. Russia may have stacks of grain they can't ship....and oil they can't pump or store by the end of summer. Do you realize that if the Russians stop pumping... they can lose lots of that infrastructure? The last oil hiccup like that took Russia nearly 30 years to recover from.

@@ilikehardplay next thing you’ll be saying China doesn’t have worthwhile infrastructure.

Your favorite dictator will lose sorry

Forgot 1bn in Africa and 500m in Latin America as well.

@@willemhill2265 : While China's infrastructure is not on par with most of America, Japan, or the EU, it is head and shoulders above most of Africa, Central, and South America, and much of the Middle East, Southeast and Central Asia. The problem is that China has exactly no experience extracting oil & gas out of frozen tundra and then piping out to transshipment or markets. Like the multinational companies that Russia hired who had worked in Alaska, Canada, and Northern Scandinavia.

And for each attack by zelensky, russia will launch 30 missiles into kiev.

@@survivorsurvivor8704 Those missiles are a limited force. The pull back means they would need to be bigger, and thus more costly. Without boots on the ground, those missiles might as well be shot at Siberia for all their effect.

@@survivorsurvivor8704 so? Ukrainian air defence capabilities are increasing. And Russian stockpile of guided missiles is depleting. Wasting valuable resources for no political or military gain

@@survivorsurvivor8704 So what? All it will do is blow up some apartment buildings and piss people off. How many cruise missiles did the US lob into Iraq? How much ordinance did the USSR drop in Afghanistan?

@@survivorsurvivor8704 That would kill a lot of civilians, but wouldn't have much of an effect on Ukraine's ability to fight. Remember, Ukraine doesn't need its urban centres to keep its economy going because NATO can bankroll the country pretty much indefinitely.

I doubt they have the strengh for this *even* with mobilization. They still haven't even taken Donbass yet (and it's not even sure they can achieve victory there).

Correct. Besides, even if they announce mobilization - what's next? It is apparent that many russians support this war and want a prestige victory; but very few are realy eager to join the army. Consequently, there is a huge political risk for the kremiln government how those armed recruits will behave, especially mixed with discontent officers. It is a gamble for them and may accelerate their demise..

Bullshit. Russia is dominating this war. Face reality.

ref 'Second, it means going all in'. They already went all in, it's just that the West hasn't caught up to that reality. The only way there could've been a political victory was if the Plan A military victory worked, and the Zelensky regime were to be quickly toppled and replaced. Plan B is military victory at any cost, WW2 style, and full rearrangement of geopolitical tectonic plates. Which will happen as soon as al-Saud announces it will also take the yuan for oil. Winnie Jinping is working on an irresistible deal. The West is running on fumes, Winter is Coming for us all.

Russia can´t afford to lose this war, especially in the face of the war goal stated by Ukraine, the UK and implicitly the US, to push out Russia of all of Ukraine, including Crimea. Russia can still mobilize vast reserves to essentially outmuscle the Ukrainians given the vast difference in population. It will take a bit of time, but essentially Russia has now to fully mobilize in order to bring that advantage to bear and secure a decisive victory. Russia has to escalate the war effort in order to win and so it will. NATO is commited to a Ukrainian victory, so it has to make up for the Russian mobilization effort. The most likely answer to it is direct intervention.

God Neptune (neptune missles)

With assets from the West.

Well ukraine lost its entire navyfleet 15 ships, but of course our news will never say this. Ukrainian navy had 7,000 people. Luckely most are still alive and only a limited died on these ships. But yeah. This is why Ukraine dont have any navy anymore

@@TheStedomi but Ukraine is winning simulator say otherwise

@@TheStedomi Ukraine lost its Navy in 2014. Then sank "Moscow" in 2022. The news covered this, darling.

Crimea

From your perspective it's called occupation. From the perspective of people in Donbass it's called liberation so Russians won't have much problems with civilian population there. And about that "no way the rest of the world will allow any kind of peace treaty..." - are they the ones that should be asked or the Ukrainians at the first place? What if at the end Ukrainians say "yes" and agree to make peace? Will you respect their decision? It's easy to sit in comfort of your home on the west and watch other people dying.

That’s cause the west is full of psychopaths who can’t accept any part of the world not being in their sphere of influence. I hope Russia goes full scorched earth on that fake country.

@@Bee.Holder governments can still respect Ukraine decision of peace with Russia, while not agreeing with Putin's actions.

@@Bee.Holder Those people who are slaughtered by the thousands by Russian forces are "liberated"? Yeah, liberated from life 🤣 Kremlin propaganda really did a number on you. Since Putin created the Separatist movements in the Donbass region in 2014 because he was mad the Ukrainians ousted his puppet Yanukovich and wanted a justification for imperialist delusions, Russian trolls work overdrive to convince useful idiots like you that somehow they are in the right by invading a souvereign country and murdering civilians

Heck, 9 million died in the Russian Civil War. Slaughter is Russia's middle name.

However you have to consider that modern Russia is economically weak and the 90's saw Russia's population in decline because of it. Mothers don't have children during hard and uncertain times. Between the years of 2020 and 2021, Russia's population fell by a staggering 1 million.

The Finnish taught the Russians a tough lesson. 👍 Although the USSR won the war in the end, it was a Pyrrhic victory. Since then the Russians always respected Finland as a tough enemy and never ever bothered them again. If you compare Russia and Finland today, you clearly see who was the winner. The Ukrainian and the Winter wars share very similar characteristics.

@@Edax_Royeaux the birth rate actually fell below replacement in the 70’s. Russia can’t afford to lose tens of thousands of young men in a matter of weeks anymore.

@@slimdiddyd People really don’t seem to understand this, Putin is already throwing away Russia’s small and weak youth. It would be no suprise to me that Russia goes into full-on chaos if this war goes on for too long.

🤣🤣🤣🤣

Well, there hasn't been such a conflict since WWII I don't think other countries would do better in a large scale invasion of another country

It's not so ridiculous in this case. Their supply lines over land were bad, but with access to the sea they have multiple methods of sending what's needed. That said, Odessa is a fortress and it will be a long long conflict if they go for it.

It's astonishing how they can't even supply their troops across the border, I get they more than 100k troops to Ukraine, a number not seen probably since ww2, but Ukraine is just across the border, it's not like Russia is invading Liberia for example on the other side of the world, it's like if the us declared war on Canada or Mexico but couldn't supply its troops across the border, it's embarrassing

@@jamesmcgrath4250 And their ability to access Ukraine from the sea as not fared well at all.

you wish, you dont think the CIA is helping the Ukraninans? You dont think the EU is helping? You dont think Nato is helping? You are dreaming

It can. They just have to depend on Russia

Too bad Turkey loves Russia and hasn't even sanctioned them at all..

they wouldnt, theyre too scared of russia since the war on ISIS

Oversimplified reference?

Russia: time to take constanipole from the heritics

@@Bakarost its god damn time to take it, Constantinople Peoples Republic is coming next

Exactly and that money is only going towards Ukrainian land and air forces not towards vanity projects and nuclear forces unlike Russia. It would give Ukraine a much greater military budget going forward. (As per another of peruns excellent videos)

good way to waste taxpayers' money

@@NahteOllesac814 helping a country to survive is NOT a way to waste taxpayers' money! In fact, it is the most intelligent way to spend it, since Americans spend most of their taxes in the military anyway, not for sanitary reasons for sure, like Europe does.

Russia will soon discover why the US doesn't have universal healthcare

@@NahteOllesac814 cares more about money than democracy, sounds American.

Putin being having a gambling addiction and using people as chips is surreal I have to say.

Too much CNN fake news killing your brain cells.

Imagine coping this hard

Russian army should Bomb same way as USA did in Iraq, 70 days Non stop Bombarding country Until kill all. Then walk in w out any casualties. Russian dont do that. Russia dont Kill civilians. Instead Sacrifice own soldiers/ losses to save civil population.

Keep crying Russia is winning they still have 700,000 active troops and Thousands of volunteers.

The good ole' "we don't need to win, we just need to not lose" strategy

Yeah, I don't see Russia having any more luck with landlocking Ukraine than they did with their "lightning invasion".

Yes we all know its common for Russia to run out of men in wars......

It's going to be a stalemate. I doubt Ukrainian Army's ability to take back Kherson as they are trying that for a month now. And Russia can just keep sending manpower and they have resources right next to them to keep the war going in. Ukraine can only stand because of west's support

@@brandonhallam51 They don't need to run out of men. Running out of fuel, food, repairs or ammunition would be catastrophic for them. They couldn't even maintain supply lines to Kiev, so how could they possible get their supplies all the way to Odessa?

"We just had too many soldiers and too much old equipment and so we needed to let some go".

"Our goal always was to successfully get some of our troops safely back into Russian territory"

@@somewhatstrange2097 sounds like US

They announced that the main goal was demilitarization and denazification. So they destroyed most of their equipment, can't build more because of sanctions. The biggest ultrapatriots got used as cannon fodder. There for "achieved great results in the original goals"

"we weren't trying pfffff if we wanted to win we'd win"

Britain were not occupiers in the US revolutionary war. The war didn't have popular support. The US colonies were lost simply because France and Spain saw a chance to weaken Britain so joined the war with America.

In your comparison the British were an ocean away from home- seems quite easy to get fighting fatigue… will the same be true here? Maybe but I don’t think that scenario projects very nicely to this conflict

I can easily see it. I don't know how Ukraine can survive now, their military production is destroyed. They only have manpower left with ferign aid.

@@skywillfindyou I feel sorry for you. You have no idea what’s happening there.

It didn’t take Japanese a 1000 years to become buddy buddies with the yanks

Russia does effectively have a Navy this is not 1928 they're not using row boats

No he is sorta right, they have a navy but it’s split up in the Baltic, Black Sea and near japan (forgot what the port is called) so It’s really spread thin

@@grippatherippa3909 He's talking about Ukraine

@@visionentertainment8006 yeah I still stick with what I said it might not be a large Navy but they definitely have a Navy and a modern one at that

@@user-fl5cs6nq5l even russian admitted that flagship "Moskva" was sunk, are you bot?

Have you seen the Ukrainian bodies littered all over Telegram

Even full mobilization can't help them. In Ukraine full mobilization already going the third month. Even if they will do it, they will have just more problems with the quality of the army and supply lines. And I don't think that regular russians want to go to die in Ukraine for nothing. They can watch TV and support Putin, but not be cannon meat. And even if they will do it, they have no weapons to arm these people, and there is a big chance that these people will turn this weapon against Putin, and not Ukraine. And Putin is afraid of it that's why he didn't do it yet and I think he will not do it. Regular russians watch TV and think that everything going on the plan. To tell them about mobilization means telling them the truth about war and how russian army sucks in Ukraine.

You are just informed by thd news channels that they want you to see. Better dig a hole and go to sleep. It would be a better use of your time.

The morons in power in Kremlin probably plan a mass mobilization and a total war on the world nazis; expect URAAA! charges of conscripts dying in the tens of thousands to artillery barrages, minefields and machine gun killing zones. My curiosity is, with what they will transport them, clothe them and feed them; cause I have no qualms believing they have the intention to do it, but the means... eh. Also, Lend Lease will start to have a major impact in the next months, expect the russians to find out that the night is dark and full of terrors, when they will be out-ranged by the new artillery pieces coming to the Ukrainian Army.

I always assumed this was actually the goal. Historically Ukraine is a landlocked nation and southeastern Ukraine are Russian lands. Taking back their lands seems a logical endgoal.

You said it yourself, Russia's entire black sea fleet is at risk unless they liberate Odessa at this point. They can mobilize a lot of new troops from Kherson and Mariupol and make a push at Odessa.

@Mark Shanks Excellent analysis. That’s why they say an army travels on its stomach.

@@gledatelj1979 I doubt a successful one. They still haven’t taken Mariupol, which is literally feet from the border of the separatist regions, after 2 months. Odessa is Mariupol but more fortified and further away.

@@gledatelj1979 " They can mobilize a lot of new troops from Kherson and Mariupol" LOL In what fantasy world are you living in, comrade? The one broadcast by Russian media where grateful Russian speaking Ukrainians meet Russian troops with flowers? (...filmed in Rostov and Belgorad, because actual Ukrainians are more likely to respond with curses, AKs, and anti-tank missiles...) The only place Russians are mobilizing more troops are conscripts from Russia itself. Because even Belarus wants no part of Putin's folly. Has everyone in Russia forgotten history? Ukraine voted for independence in 1991 from the remains of the Soviet Union that became Russia....by 92% of the population. Not a single city or oblast had a majority of the population indicate they wanted to remain in Russia. Not one. Do you imagine an invasion changed that? The Russians need most of the forces they used to capture Kherson and Mariupol to *remain* and defend Russian supply lines heading East against partisan attack from a hostile Ukrainian population actively engaging in guerilla warfare. That's especially true in Kherson, where the Ukrainians are itching to destroy the waterworks supplying the Crimea....and the bridges over the Dnieper River, without which the Russian occupiers are out of supply and fresh meat for Ukrainian forces pushing from the West. Or are you unaware that Ukrainians have been recovering territory around Kherson? With the loss of the Moskva, Russia's Black Sea fleet is in an untenable position... Since the Moskva was the ONLY ship in the fleet that could provide serious anti-missile and anti-air defense to the other vessels outside of Sevastopol. Sortie West towards Odessa? Only if you want Ukrainians to use them for target practice practice with their own anti-ship missiles....and the Harpoons that NATO is starting to send. Do you really hate Russian sailors that much?

@@jonathanpfeffer3716 They have taken Mariupol , they are just waiting for human shields to escape to end the war there. Odessa and surrounding region is a huge threat to the entire Russian black sea fleet as they can use drones, missiles and nato spy planes to take out almost any ship on the black sea.

America has literally given Ukraine like 80 billion dollars worth of stuff. I’m impressed that Russia has continued this proxy war against the entire western world, even though they’re the most sanctioned country on the planet

Not the first time, and it won't be the last.

Imagine Afghanistan now, country that fought the strongest country in the world for 20+years without support that Ukraine has been receiving since the beginning of the invasion

@@adamsnotebook850 yeah but the US dominated Afghanistan in a matter of weeks. where the US failed was in prolonged nation building. Russia hasn't even come close to getting to a nation building level because they haven't won any major battles.

@@adamsnotebook850 The Taliban has been unofficially receiving aids from both Pakistan and Saudi, and even Qatar to an extent for over 10 years. But since it's all speculation, there's no way to actually prove it.

Can you recommend those other KZfaqrs?

Nope Caspian report seen little shaky this time..

@@Artsu1993 look no further from this kzfaq.info/love/Hqqf2BwNM4Oih-a_ikbWww

@@udhayakumarMN he is nato sided

@@Artsu1993 serch Aditya Rathore he is very good his research is onn point

Then the russians can just start carpet bombing the country until it agrees..

Imagine the sort of ongoing insurgency there would be especially with Western support. How would they hold the conquered territory?

Russia will be fine without the signing of peace. For example, peace between Russia and Japan has not been signed since World War II. Peace will be temporary anyway: Russia will not stop until it takes all of Ukraine. There will be new wars in the coming years.

Kool opinion

The fact that Ukraine will defend until the last Ukrainian is dead? The fact that Russia may start using tactical nukes just to get over it, at some point. The fact that Poland may decide to grab some Ukraine on the other end - they are, after all, just bringing troops into position. See WW2 and Germany to realize how "not accepting war ending terms" may end up for the loser.

SLAVIA BLACK ROCK WHO CONTROLE UKRAINE AND USA. US CITIZENS ARE SLAVES OF ISRAELIS BANKERS WITH US PASSPORTS

i have the impression that the majority of content creators are misleading the public against russia. putin is not a puppet of oligarchs like the western leaders he is the oligarch maker. people are sleeping on the reality of this war. the west is not the world. let’s see how we will survive after the summer if the war intensifies. great comment.

Sorry, but you're overlooking a few key points. The lack of grain exports won't be blamed on Ukraine b/c Ukraine can just keep fighting the war and the narrative to starving countries stays as it is. Can't blame Ukraine for a war Russia started. There's no reason for a country to expect crop exports from Ukraine when there's no crops to export in the first place. The war is what is stopping grain exports, not sanctions. The longer this all runs the more grain the US starts exporting to completely nullify the problem. The world will be fine without both russian and Ukrainian grain, right now it's just a matter of redirecting existing shipping concerns and rewriting contracts. Russia will find it's grain unwanted the same way it's finding it's oil unwanted even by those who are dependent on it like Germany. Russias oil and grain will become obsolete, not some Sword of Damocles hanging over the West and end the sanctions. Secondly, what sort of exports are you expecting when the region will remain a warzone for as long as russian occupation exists? Kuwait wasn't sending anyone oil when Iraq occupied it. What did the Vietnamese exports look like in the early seventies? How about those French exports in 1941? The cargo hauling business was just booming along the English Channel while the Battle of London was happening, wasn't it? Booming as in exploding and sinking. No company is going to risk their ships trying to do business in a warzone. Trade will completely evaporate, even with non-combatant ships since in the day and age of insurgent warfare a Turkish cargo ship can be used as an anti-ship missile platform by Ukrainian partisans. Same problems with oil and gas refining. Sure russia can *occupy* the regions of Ukraine with immense underground wealth, it's totally useless tho as long as MLAWs are flying. If you think a tank exploding is costly to Russia, just wait till it's an oil rig blowing up. That's the reason shoulder mounted rockets were sent in the first place; the West didn't expect Ukraine to fight a conventional war but fight an insurgency. The same shit that broke US occupations twice now. Literally none of these territorial gains are worth anything while actively at war. No one is going to be 'dependent' on russia for these resources and no one is going to blame Ukraine. Russia is the one shutting off the tap to these resources. Your entire narrative falls to pieces the moment Ukraine says "no" and refuses to accept russias terms. And no one is going to blame them for saying no. And no one is getting access to those resources, not even russia. Finally, just take a look at the footage of Mariupol and tell me how economically productive the depopulated ruins of the city are. Yup, russia is really gonna be rich off of that. Russia can TRY to rebuild it, at the cost to their already trashed economy (wont be long before St. Petersburg is just as destitute). The flip side is Ukraine will be receiving pallets of western money for years, and get a nice cushy reconstruction package just like the Marshall plan did for Western Europe. After the war, Ukraine will be drowning in foreign aid money and investment money as the posh thing to do will be starting business ventures in Ukraine. Nike wants to open a new factory, well guess where they're going to do it now. Europe moves towards green energy, hey guess whose got uranium for those clean nuclear power plants. Titanium, colbalt and other valuable industrial metals can be sources right in Europe for the EU industrial base. Ukraine will become a wealthy country after this war. Russia? Basically a big North Korea.

@@Lusa_Iceheart I think you misunderstand me. I’m not blaming any of this on Ukraine. The scenarios fall squarely on Putin’s shoulders. But you seem to think this war will be ongoing for years. I disagree. Once Russia completes its westward sweep to Transnistria, the world will beg Ukraine to sue for peace. Financial and military aid will dry up because the countries supplying those resources will finally see it as a lost cause; they’ll realize their response was far too late and to little to alter the outcome. As I said, the world will realize a choice between supporting a Ukrainian insurgency vs getting life-saving food to hundreds of millions of people will be an easy one to make. You talk about the devastation of Mariupol as a detriment from Russia’s point of view. I don’t see it that way. I don’t think Putin cares one whit about the infrastructure or the citizens of that city. In fact, it is painfully obvious he does not. He just wanted it out of the way..for now. His ruthless long game will play again and again during the relentless march to Transnistria. If Putin finds Odesa in the way, he will destroy it as well. He couldn’t care less about buildings, innocent civilians or history, itself. Don’t underestimate the single-minded severity of his psychopathy. (And, if you want to put a really cynical spin on it, just remember that even Hiroshima and Nagasaki were rebuilt (to say nothing of Berlin and Dresden and Paris, etc)). You reference the Marshall Plan. May I remind you that occurred at the end of the War, not during it. Respectfully, it is just nonsensical to foresee a time when an ongoing war and a Marshall Plan (both financed by the same nations) will be happening simultaneously! One must end before the other can begin.

I agree with you said but when you said the world will lose, I'm sorry you get it wrong. The third world don't care about who is winning or losing. We just care for the poor Ukrainians who are suffering because of the stupidity of their leaders. These leaders were stupid enough to believe NATO. What happened to Georgia doesn't teach them a lesson. Only NATO will get humiliated in this war. Because they are cowardly letting Ukraine being destroyed.

I'm sorry But I Just want to leave a dumb looking comment here... Slava Russia! F NATO 💪

Shots fired 😂

Russia never had a big navy. The soviets didn't even build any battleships during the interwar and ww2 years- Probably because it wasn't nescessary and/or feasible due to the lack of warm water ports and general location that goes through several easily defended chokepoints like the bosporus, suez, baltic sea and gibraltar strait.

The Russian Navy is not the USSR's Navy. The two are completely different....

The Russian Navy during the Russo-Japanese War was a leading naval power. After that war, it became the third rate joke that even the German Navy could smack around.

@@Edax_Royeaux ha! that’s a good one! the russian navy didn’t even damage one japanese vessel during the war and got their entire fleet destroyed including their flagship

Ok kool

Agreed, Russian losses are staggering thanks to your soldiers' and civilians' resistance on all levels, Russia cannot win anymore and it will be a matter of time before you reclaim everything rightfully yours. Weapons delivery and Russian morale are the two keys to how long this will take. Hoping in a few months a massive counterattack by Ukraine can push Russia out completely and maybe by years end a possible liberation of Crimea? I am not sure about the latter but am fully confident your victory is assured

there is no point anymore any russian terms, mass graves, destroyed citys etc, if russia protecting russians, east ukraine russia population where 90% or so,mariopol where russia city now its 100% destroyed

and if russia should take ukraine it means everyone who fought against russia will be exe ... cuted

Really, I don't see Ukrainian soldiers occupying Russian real-estate. In fact I don't see Putin running around the world begging for weapons. You must be listening to Chicken Noodle Network with Chicken little reporting. Will you please show us your news man that is on the mighty Ukrainian front line kicking Russian ass.

@@vredacted3125 I have heared a different story and i believe that Russia is Russia. Ukraine can call itself Russia too, if it wants, but it does not seem to want that. Culturally both principalities were the same, had the same church, language and are all from the same ethnic group (eastern slavs). Now it is obviously different, but Ukraine wants to be Ukraine. All in all the past and history of both nations should not have anything to do with the modern times and should not be used as an excuse to wage war.

yeah agreed I think I'm honestly like 90% certain they'll hold down what they got rn n plus take more of the donsek n lusnkt regions (sorry for miss spelling) but won't be able to hold Odessa or anything westward

They are not planning to hold them; they are willing to ensure Ukrainian infrastructure is as destroyed as possible. If you can't have Ukraine, nobody else can at last in the short-mid term.

Russia will take the resource-rich part of Ukraine. maybe Poland will over part of western Ukraine under the guise of a humanitarian mission. Then Ukraine will be left a poor, landlock country with a massive debt to pay to the West. all those weapons given by the West aren't free.

If the Russians had a substantial navy (or allied navy!) in the black sea, holding the coast would be viable. Maybe in a few years, unless someone else steps into (or out of) the fray.

Holding a border on the river will be much easier than one in the middle of nowhere.

A nuke should answer that question.

some guess that russia would mobilaze 1mil of people on May 9, old soviet cannon-fodder tactic, my guess.

@@Grek1574 can you imagine the losses if they really mobilaze? As said in the comment even the expirienced russian fighters have very little to no success. They still didn't take Rubizhne and Popasna.

@@UkrozaVR Yeah, you are right, 20% of Rubizhne is still under Ukrainian control.

@@Grek1574 it would take a propaganda genius to keep the civilian morale up. you are talking about taking in a million people that didn't ever held a gun before and throw it against mix of professional soldiers and other combatants that already had more experience in the field and know their city well.

Ukraine is being unmanned by their puppet comedian, 25k casualties and counting, and that figure is well out of date, will be at least double by the end, the dubai portapotties have fled and the flower of the youth are being ground down by those cheering on the most avoidable of proxy wars. A flood of weapons means nothing, even through forced conscription, Ukraine is down to children and old men.

that is western wish. but u dont understan that big bos is putin there. he will decide whwn,where and how wil be!!!

Problem is that Russia has bombed railways and will bombard bridges that lead to the southern and eastern fronts, so it will be hard to get everything combat ready. Also, there might be lack of skilled manpower on Ukrainian side. Russia will have it's own problems in terms of logistical issues if they push too far, but they have lots of artillery to bomb Ukrainian positions to back their movements, so crawling slowly from town to town is viable strategy for them. I fear that this war will take long, maybe whole year, and when it will become stalemate, it will be solved diplomatically. Ukraine loses, but Russia will gain towns and port cities with rubble and seriously angry Ukrainians living in them, which will be a nightmare to control, even for ex-KGB autocrat Putin. Who knows if they will eventually even take Moldova, since they already have Transnistria on their control.

This is missing the point entirely. Western arms can't even reach Ukraine through sea ports and the land border can be mined/ sabotaged or even irradiated in a nuclear "accident". That shuts out Ukraine to slowly starve. If I were an intelligent Ukrainian I would definitely leave by now. A more intelligent Ukrainian would realize that the Americans sold Ukraine out and are only making open visible promises of aid knowing that such aid can't reach Ukraine. Such is the reality of geopolitics

Exactly. A war only ends when _both_ sides agree, look at Afghanistan. As long as Ukrainians have the will to fight for their freedom Ukraine will be a never ending nightmare for Russia.

It’s because time for nukes from Ukraine’s territories to fly to Moscow and destroy it is about ≈15 minutes. And if we move our boarders, we can make this time much longer, so we can react and send our nukes back.

@@SuperSkibidiShrek what about nukes from Baltic states how far are they?

@@SuperSkibidiShrek The only nuclear weapons in Ukraine were from the USSR. If NATO would want to threaten Russia by stationing nuclear arms close to its borders, it would station them in Poland or the Baltic countries, which are closer than Ukraine. The arms closest to Russia are in Turkey.

@@SuperSkibidiShrek the US may now put nukes into Poland, so this rationale makes no sense. everything Russia has done since 2014 has bolstered NATO and EU resolve and has created a strong incentive to further militarize eastern europe

He wou

Nuclear weapons are an irrational option, but Putin hasn't exactly shown to use rationality in this conflict. We can't assume they're ever off that table.

Due to the nuclear taboo, its a very unlikely posibility. You van watch Peruns video on the matter her. Don't worry, there is a TLDW in the beginnig of the video. kzfaq.info/get/bejne/qd5_gpOZqKm3m2g.html

@@cristy7381 I'm not arguing that it's likely, I'm just saying he could have found another for possibility instead of using it twice lol. I hate useless word repetitions

@@mads7790 I'm not arguing that it's likely, I'm just saying he could have found another word for possibility instead of using it twice lol. I hate useless word repetitions

Russia may just decide “fuck it” and use nuclear weapons to achieve their war aims at in not just Ukraine but Syria as well. Might as well just go for broke.

It’s Kiev

Russia will nuke odessa Last option

They will besiege it for 20 years if it's needed.

the defenders are certainly worn out and not moralized or motivated, after all a great tragedy in 2014 happened there when azov burned dozens of russian alive in a building

See ya in a month

@@anarchyorslavery1616 I’m sorry you’re brainwashed, buddy. Don’t let the leader Orcs turn you into one!

In this case, there will be no peace, but a truce. Like in Korea and in Cyprus.

Let me just add that you don't need just one side to attack, you need a side that defends.

Problem is that Ukrainian government doesnt care about Ukraine. They are ready to fight till last ukrainian coz they they are paid to do so. Zelenskiy and CO are american employees

If you dont defend you will be erased

Well, until the whole of Azov is destroyed, they will definitely not calm down.

please tell me more about how you could make the Stanca-Costesti dam navigable :)))))))))

Turkey is the power house of the Black Sea. Russia and Turkey relations aren’t strained, they understand the west

@@Chefchaot Not with billions in aid from the West. Slava Ukraini, baby!

@@vadstradamus not if the aid can't reach

@@John_Doe448 I agree, they will go for a siege, same as with Mariupol.

@@Bee.Holder Have you ever looked at a map of the region? With the rivers, floodplain, distance to Russia, proximity to NATO, it would be very very difficult and expensive to besiege this city.

The Ukrainians will use all means including suicidal missions to kill as many Russian soldiers because it is difficult to invade and stay in someone's homestead ,he will use all means to cause huge losses and attrocities to invader.

Ukraine is a very important BRI partner of China just so you know and China has invested billions into the country

I think you are talking about the Ukrainians who have no infrastructure and everything is coming through Poland....lmao....fucking casuals......this is just a slow ride to defeat as the larger wears down the weaker......it is a numbers game my friend.

You forget that Russia navy would destroy any attempt the Ukrainians muster to make it to the coast.. Also don't get lost in the propaganda.. Ukraine aren't capable of any counter offensive lol.. The only reason they survive this long is by doing a defensive strategy

No, the Russians will annex Russian populations along the coast. Other historically foreign areas might be given to Poland, Hungary and Rumania. What will be left is a Ukrainian rump-state that will serve a a financial bottomless pit for the UE to impoverish themselves even more after making themselves victims of their own sanctions. A rump-state full of weapons of all kinds in the hands of Bandera-worshippers and Azov-neo-Nazis. What could possibly go wrong!

@@karabomafa5609 and you're assuming Russia will be just allowed to hold on to it's illgotten gains.

@@karabomafa5609 How long you been in command in a real war. other than computer games. you are spouting propaganda. You have no idea what is going on or no experience in battlefield positioning.

@@malguckn21 As I heard, they are very welcome in the south east parts of Ukraine.

Thousands of soldiers is a small number for russia anyway

Yeah bro , a war criminal who fought in donbas , Igor girkin , said: "our troops are being bogged down in urban warfare and swampy terrain , once it all dries up we'll (by we he means russian troops) be shot from every bush, the forces we have committed are just not enough not only for a 3 mil city, but to hold that perimeter that we have , we'll have to shorten the frontline, but ofc if we withdraw fully that'll be an embarrassment" no element of distraction here , only humiliation and a 64 km convoy which failed

Agreed, Ukraine is defeating the Russians....which means no need of Western intervention? :)

its impossible to take a city of 3 million with 40k men. It was a distraction. To be a distraction it has to be believable. the 40 mile military column was that

@@chrisconnor8086 its impossible to take 35 million nation (5 million more are refugees abroad) with 200 k troops , so the whole war is a distraction?? Edit: the point is , russia is losing it

Russia really need to mobilize.They are currently outnumbered at least 2-3 to 1.

@@davidshapiro292 Before mobilising, they have to fix up some scenario where they can admit that they are at war. But mobilisation isn’t much use unless you are mobilising people who are actually trained to really do stuff - like artillery, piloting, missile systems. two million half-trained grunts is only useful as an occupation force. At minimum they have to have manpads like the other side.

@@davidshapiro292 They lost almost all of their troops (5 Million) when Germany invaded Russia. But in the end Russians mobilized 10-11 million troops and push back Hitler to his grave. We can only fantasize about Ukraine victory ✌️

@@eh1702 Unlike most western countries Russia do have military draft, so if they would start to mobilize their reserves most of what they would get are people who got basic training.Most of these mobilized lower quality soldiers wouldn't operate airplanes or missile systems but be grunts and work on supply. Its not like the enemies they fighting are all professional soldiers.Most of the army Ukraine have right now are low quality conscripts themselves. I heard some hearsay that Putin is planning to declare official war on Ukraine and start mobilizing on may 9. There is no other way for Russia to win other than mass mobilization.

@@davidshapiro292 “Its not like the enemies they fighting are all professional soldiers.” Yet they are not equivalents. For one thing a much higher proportion of Ukrainians have done a turn at the front in the last eight years. But even the Ukrainian raw recruits are as a rule better educated than Russian conscripts, who are heavily weighted to the people at the bottom of society, and will be even with general mobilisation, since the draft system like every other Russian institution is thoroughly corrupt. The Ukrainian recruits include people at the top as well as the bottom of the educational ladder, and (reflecting the social/cultural gap that has opened up since the 1990s) they are more able and willing to exercise self discipline and initiative - and are expected to. This is not such a psychological wrench from normal work-colleague or peer-to-peer relationships compared to induction into the brutally hierarchical Russian forces. Unlike the Russians, Ukraine’s forces have adopted the “western” practice of training everyone to step up a grade or into another role, rather than wait for someone to be replaced. It breeds mutual confidence and trust. (Whereas Russian soldiers take stealing from comrades and leaving people behind to die as dog-eat-dog standard.) The Ukrainiansare also really highly motivated, unlike the Russians for whom there is still no clear necessity to be in Ukraine, despite Putin’s attempts to manufacture them. At present, no-one is wasting time making Ukrainian recruits do square-bashing, and they are encouraged to learn from the more experienced how to use and look after their kit and webbing. The time from induction to learning how to operate some serious equipment is extremely short right now, and this seems very successful. (The drone unit even bootstrapped itself into the military as a going concern.) Ukrainian forces have benefitted from a big shift in military organization and from training by Nato forces, notably Canada, and they are propagating this themselves now.

because they wont

Putin may escalate by calling up hundreds of thousands of reservists. Still might not succeed,

They have a munitions suuply problem which is why the lighting strike didn't work as they had supplies for 2 weeks. They're factories are pumping now and in a few months if this stills continues, they'll be able to do a continuous non ending lighting strike if need be but the Russians want to end before that time period. There supplies were why they were able to capture so much so fast and its also the reason why they're losing now because of modern munitions

This part of the video is BS. If Russia can conquer Severodonetsk in the East and hold on to Kherson, they should feel lucky. They can only dream of coordnating the pincer movement to cut off Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. And that is despite the vulnerable salient and long supply lines of the Ukrainians in the East. Mykolaiv with its shorter supply routes and natural obstacles looks out of reach.

@@erictsagiannidis4051 He can call million of reservists for that matter, but he can't call million of tanks, elicopters and aircrafts, because he's already scrapping the barrel of the equipment. Those reservists would be only cannon fodder "you have boots, you can fight".

Мета Московії - знищення України, а не щось захопити.

Russia will win

Yes, Nato's budget is very big. Shame it's just propaganda though

@@awannagannaful Just because the truth offends you, it doesn't make it propaganda.

@@BoroMirraCz first casualty of war is the truth. That applies to both sides. And who started with censorship? FACT: RT in the West was banned before BBC or CNN were in Russia... that should give you a clue as to who has more to hide ;

@@awannagannaful its all propaganda my friend, don't trick yourself into believing anything you consume isn't a machination of another's view of reality... until we act on our volition, any which way, we are but leaves in the wind

@@r0rch4kbh0dlz8 i literally said "both sides"... but whatevs

Not so sure. All he did was claimed that the Kiev operation was not arranged to tie up a lot of Ukrainian recourse. Did you ever wonder why Russia did not launch any type of real invasion towards kiev? Why their amours just stood there outside in long lines? Kiev was fortified while they were just standing parked there. And how they just left, without any real big battel ever taking place.

you might wanna study actualy history instead of the heavily romanticized version they teach in usa, which is closer to fan fiction than actual history. the usa war of independence was fought and won by france, spain, india(yes, india), and netherlands. washington and his rich slaver friends were symbolic figures, at best.

Yeah, pipes filled with flammable gas on a territory filled with people willing to fight russians - WHAT CAN GO WRONG?! LOL

Yes... Russia annexed Crimea few years after oil was discovered. Ukraine would've challenged Russia's energy hegemony over EU.

@@adeyemikolapo2158 Precisely! Glad to see at least some people see the truth. Most people think Putin invaded Ukraine simply for historic claims and to reunite the USSR, which is complete nonsense and a cartoonishly farcical depiction of Russian foreign policy. Not to justify the behavior of Russia but it's not like they just decided to do this for no reason. There's a very specific reason why this invasion took place and it has everything to do with those offshore oil/gas reserves and almost nothing at all to do with ideological aims.

@@poloziki9990 What are you talking about? You are clueless. The territory of Novorossia has like a 50% the amount of people that are pro-russian. Others would be defeated.

@@alx9889 there is no novorossia. Only a few traitors. Even now there are anti-russian protests in Kherson.

@@marcosolo6491 minus all the nuke nonsense, you’re correct. On the nukes, wtf would Russia use nukes on its own people? And especially so WHILE ITS WINNING THE WAR. Using a nuke is a tactical AND PR disaster for Russia as it would be abandoned by its allies and neutral nations. Plus it would suffer greatly having to physically deal with the mess and fallout (LITERALLY!!!) on territory it would come to control AND so close to its own borders. The nuke talk is all projection by the west.

@@marcosolo6491 if they nuke Kiev russia will stop existing as a place when NATO unleashes all their rockets and army capabilities. Do you understand that?

@@marcosolo6491 you've got sound judgment of the situation. 👍🏾

@@marcosolo6491 1. You don't know what you are talking about. Turkey clearly does not want strong Russia to exist. It is Russia's direct rival in the Caucasus, the Central Asia and Syria. Turkey supported Azerbaijan in the war against Russia-backed Armenia and it seeks to create its own alliances with Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and other countries. What's more is that it actively participates in the anti-Russian trade route from China and builds new gas pipelines from Turkmenistan, Iran and Azerbaijan. It also vehemently opposed events in Crimea because there are many Crimean Tatars that are generally pro-Ukraine and culturally linked to Turkey. Supporting Ukraine is both in direct Turkish interests and helps Erdogan to look tough. He has already closed the straits to Russian navy, forbidden Russian war planes to fly to Syria and provided drones to Ukraine. Wheat and gas dependancy is irrelevant because Turkey, as other countries in Europe are committed to make Putin go. 2. Transnistria numbers about 10 000 poorly-equipped Russian troops cut off from Russia. There is very little will to fight among the civilians. For both reasons it has not come into the conflict and probably wouldn't. However, if it does, it would be a relatively easy target for mobilized and reinforced Ukraine especially if Moldova and Romania join the operation. As for nukes, it is just an empty threat. Each time Russia talks about nuking something, the world gets less and less afraid. It is just a scary tale for comfortable soft Westerners. If Putin goes completely off the rails along with the entire general staff and actually nukes Kiev, Russia would be immediately attacked in turn by all other nuclear powers. Those are the rules of each nuclear country's military doctrine. First country to actually use nukes in combat for any reason is a danger to Earth and must be eliminated. Everyone knows this. What's more is that Russia is very unlikely to use nuclear weapons so close to its territory. 3. You continue to overestimate Russian and underestimate Ukraine. The only source of "very heavy losses" on Ukrainian side is Russia's propaganda machine. Sure, they have losses and those losses must be significant. However, pretty much every non-Russian-state source confirms that Ukrainian losses are far lower than Russian ones. You are wrong about the timing. Ukraine has already mobilized its population and very soon it would have significant reinforcements. In the same time period it would receive necessary equipment and money from the West. USA alone can bankroll Ukraine for as long as it wants using the frozen Russian assets. In turn, Russia is left alone. It has already lost its best combat-ready troops and its best equipment. Without Western supplies the equipment losses are hard to replace. If Putin does not order a mobilization, Russia would run out of manpower as well. Especially in times of economic crisis caused by sanctions. Time is on Ukraine's side. It is ready to fight for as long as it takes, while Russia is not.

@@marcosolo6491 💯

From what I see they arent having much progress on both of those fronts, thankfully

Exactly 😆

Which is why Russia will destroy their military in the coming weeks for the battle of donbas. They won’t be an issue

If you think the Russians are bad take a look at Belarus. Their propaganda just full on says there are no Russian troops in Ukraine and it's actually America that has invaded Ukraine and they're using Russian weapons to make the world turn against Russia