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Dividend Discount Model Explained in 5 Minutes

  Рет қаралды 37,273

Ryan O'Connell, CFA, FRM

Ryan O'Connell, CFA, FRM

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 59
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
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@vyshnaviraja55
@vyshnaviraja55 11 күн бұрын
this is the best explanation ive received. thanks from INDIA.
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 11 күн бұрын
Thank you from the US!
@user-yg7gn8yg8w
@user-yg7gn8yg8w 10 ай бұрын
Cheers mate. Explaining it better then my lecturers.
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 10 ай бұрын
Haha I appreciate it!
@nealshah9575
@nealshah9575 Ай бұрын
Thank you Teacher
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Ай бұрын
You are welcome Neal
@AshishKumar-if9yt
@AshishKumar-if9yt 9 ай бұрын
crisp and concise. Thanks
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 9 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@arp312
@arp312 3 ай бұрын
Thank you sir for such wonderful video and explanation.
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 11 күн бұрын
It is my pleasure!
@abdullahbinsohail7628
@abdullahbinsohail7628 Ай бұрын
Great explanation. You are a life saver.
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 11 күн бұрын
My pleasure! Thanks for the feedback
@lifelessonsfromelsie7994
@lifelessonsfromelsie7994 2 ай бұрын
Thank you 🙏
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 2 ай бұрын
My pleasure!
@betastrand3333
@betastrand3333 10 ай бұрын
TY! this was wayyy clearer than how my professor tried to explain it
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 9 ай бұрын
Haha I appreciate the feedback!
@funnyperson4016
@funnyperson4016 Ай бұрын
Buffett views retained earnings as the same or better than a dividend (no taxes for reinvested earnings), and has an equity bond theory that that accumulated value of “owner earnings” belongs to the investor…. by discounting the sum of all future owner earnings back to today in a similar manner, you can value a stock that doesn’t pay a dividend. Some people make the mistake of thinking equity bond is the initial 1/PE or E/P yield, but that isn’t how Buffett looks at it. I don’t know how bonds work or how Buffett values a bond, and I think Buffett is starting with that initial framework to build his equity bond theory but he has mentioned coupon rates and Mary Buffett has a few different books where she explains it a bit.
@Furry_lil_goblin
@Furry_lil_goblin 10 ай бұрын
How did you get 103.47? 7.41+8.57+4.76+82.32 = 103.06
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 10 ай бұрын
Good catch, that is just a summing error on my part. The rest of the logic in the video is right but I should have written 103.06
@JoseHernandez-ke7rr
@JoseHernandez-ke7rr 10 ай бұрын
Super clear explanation thank u!
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 10 ай бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@valeriocapano6222
@valeriocapano6222 11 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for the explanation
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 11 ай бұрын
You're welcome!
@levibaptista7900
@levibaptista7900 7 ай бұрын
Thank you
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 7 ай бұрын
My pleasure!
@alexsutherland1175
@alexsutherland1175 Ай бұрын
Isn't Dsub1 the current dividend multiplied by (1+div growth rate)? D1 should be the NEXT div to pay. In short, it should have been $8 * 1.01 = $8.08. The final formula would have been the $8.08/ (.08-.01). The intrinsic value using that formula would have been $115.43.
@annanielsen165
@annanielsen165 8 ай бұрын
Why do we add the $100 at year 4? Is it because we expect to sell the stock again after those 4 years?
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 8 ай бұрын
Correct! The $100 is the cashflow that we expect to receive from selling the stock 4 years from now. We expect the stock price to be $100 and we will sell the stock at that time
@agastyamishra3619
@agastyamishra3619 Күн бұрын
I was also looking for the answer for the same question😅😅
@dreamthread
@dreamthread Жыл бұрын
when using the Gordon Growth Model, what if g > r?
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
Good question! In the Gordon Growth Model, if the growth rate (g) is greater than the required return (r), the model will not hold, as it will predict a negative stock price, which is not realistic. This scenario typically suggests an overvaluation, unrealistic growth expectations, or too low of a required return.
@manishakaushik112
@manishakaushik112 5 ай бұрын
Best explanation ❤
@Evan-4579
@Evan-4579 5 ай бұрын
I have one question. Why is D1 = $8? Why is it not D1= 8(1+0.01)? Great video❤️
@RedTiGeRJJ
@RedTiGeRJJ Жыл бұрын
Great Video, thanks man
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
Glad you liked it! My pleasure
@husky9007
@husky9007 9 ай бұрын
You should do a problem where there is a period of high growth/low growth and constant growth thereafter. Kind of ties the Gordon model with a typical problem
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 9 ай бұрын
Good idea, I can look into this topic in the future
@Gaurav_Shrivastav
@Gaurav_Shrivastav Жыл бұрын
Please make video on how to start preparation for CFA LEVEL 1 for 2024 and also on "Will A.I overtake the CFA's jobs in future?"
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
Those are 2 very good and broadly appealing video topics that I will look into
@Gaurav_Shrivastav
@Gaurav_Shrivastav Жыл бұрын
@@RyanOConnellCFA Thank you
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
@@Gaurav_Shrivastav Thank you for the suggestions!
@Hasnainkhan-xk8rz
@Hasnainkhan-xk8rz 3 ай бұрын
can you explain why in gordon model we minus growth rate from the rate of return ???
@stankoone9666
@stankoone9666 Ай бұрын
Because R is risk associated with a stock and g is growth rate associated with the stock. So you minus the risk from the growth rate which is positive to a stock to obtain less risk since potential growth reduces overrall risk in a firm. Hope it helps. Thats the best way i can explain
@watchmefilms8495
@watchmefilms8495 Жыл бұрын
thnks
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
My pleasure!
@avikstar6067
@avikstar6067 3 ай бұрын
great , but how do you use this information , this model basically tells you if the company is profiting or not . Is that its sole purpose?
@user-qp1dt8pw8k
@user-qp1dt8pw8k 3 ай бұрын
It tells you if the company is correctly valued. If the Intrinsic value is higher than its current stock price, then the stock is undervalued and is selling for less than its actually worth so you should buy more of it.
@mohammadali-rp5ds
@mohammadali-rp5ds 5 ай бұрын
Please make video on multistage growth model
@hrcrewgaming
@hrcrewgaming 8 ай бұрын
What if D2,D3, etc. is not given?
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 8 ай бұрын
It depends on the way the question was phrased in that case. They may say, "the dividend will grow by 3% each of the next 2 years" which would mean you need to calculate D2 and D3 yourself
@jazmin98XD
@jazmin98XD Жыл бұрын
yooo ty
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA Жыл бұрын
My pleasure!
@snehabansal4205
@snehabansal4205 Жыл бұрын
😊
@nessagotdrip
@nessagotdrip 6 ай бұрын
thanks i love you
@RyanOConnellCFA
@RyanOConnellCFA 6 ай бұрын
You're welcome!
@hkim9151
@hkim9151 3 ай бұрын
But expected dividend payouts in forever in 100 years or more and payout every 3 months (not each year,) 😂
@funnyperson4016
@funnyperson4016 Ай бұрын
Say again.
@cruz5327
@cruz5327 4 ай бұрын
Liked this a lot was easy to follow. Was trying this out on Hershey stock to see if its a buy using Gordon Growth since dividends have increased the past 15 years but end up with negative number? Dividend CAGR 20 y is .0952 & amount is 4.46. 4.46/(.08 - .0952) = -293.42 ?😂 Either Im doing it wrong or Hersheys is going under asap hahah
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