[Saturday] Beryl Restrengthening; Landfall in Texas Expected Monday

Рет қаралды 43,751

7 күн бұрын

Website: www.tropicaltidbits.com/
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Please note that these posts do NOT necessarily reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), and should not be interpreted as such. While tropical storms exist in the Atlantic, official NHC information is available at www.hurricanes.gov. Please refer to the NHC when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials.
Dr. Levi Cowan creates videos and blogs pertaining to tropical cyclones, primarily hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean. Posts occasionally concern other, non-tropical weather events around the world. Dr. Cowan has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Florida State University.

Пікірлер: 124

@falcon8531 5 күн бұрын

the mic quality is fine mate no need to apologize all we care about is that you willingly take time from your trip to give us your feedback for the storm, and that we thank you for 🙏

@weaponxreject 5 күн бұрын

Literally the only noticeable difference is the mouse clicks in the background as he draws on-screen, very minor issue if one at all!

@delcameron1992 5 күн бұрын

Some of his videos have had birds chirping in the background. I kept pausing thinking the bird’s outside my house were freaking out. But besides that being a little distracting, he’s always been understandable which is what is important lol

@gregknipe8772 5 күн бұрын

dont worry about audio quality, we are here for superior forecast quality

@Mustafakafir 5 күн бұрын

Yes we're going to read them tarot cards in order to predict the hurricane .

@OscarEDodier 5 күн бұрын

Yes very true!

@deepquake9 5 күн бұрын

Mic is fine. You are fine. Thank you always for the expertise.

@isabelvzp 5 күн бұрын

Thank you for your videos. I just started watching you these past couple of weeks and I can’t believe I didn’t find your videos sooner! Keep up the good work 😊

@Tropical-Tidbits 5 күн бұрын

Love to hear that - thank you :)

@hegemonycricket2182 5 күн бұрын

Im so glad you found this channel-- TT has been a huge help over the last few years. Pertinent information, right to the point. As someone who lives on the gulf coast i really appreciate it. ✌️

@ianfacerollsyou 5 күн бұрын

@@Tropical-Tidbits been watching since Irma in 2017, always enjoy your video formats, keep it up! :D

@suzanneforasiepi3942 5 күн бұрын

I'm in southeast Texas Houston Texas area wish me luck 🤞 🙏 please 🙏 🫂 @@Tropical-Tidbits

@markspann 5 күн бұрын

One of the best features of Doc Cowan's report format, is he doesn't bother showing his not-ugly mug in a headshot throughout the video, as do so so many other web-weather guys. I find this very respectful of his viewers because others that do the talking head thing don't seem to realize it is a) annoying b) distracting c) a poor use of the limited screen display. Doc C is not self serving, and only interested in presenting useful, not useless, information. In a potentially life threatening event, we appreciate this genuine respect of and his interest to the viewers. Thanks Doc !!

@hegemonycricket2182 5 күн бұрын

I agree 100%. I prefer the voice only with no face on screen, not only for weather channels but also for true crime type channels. If your voice is good and unique i dont want to know what you look like-ruins the mystery. And to your point, most people are viewing on a phone with a limited screen so it is not useful to the viewer to have your face taking up valuable real estate!

@janesmith7331 5 күн бұрын

Also I love how he gets right to the point and none of the usual “hit the like button and subscribe” nor does he blather on incessantly before getting to the information. Straight to the meat of it.

@hegemonycricket2182 5 күн бұрын

@@janesmith7331 yes! Pertinent information, right to the point. Love it

@markspann 5 күн бұрын

@@janesmith7331 Yes I do appreciate this kindness that he just gets right into it "like a dog on point" as we say down here in Alabama, with now self-serving promotions or pleas etc. That's another reason why I wait with baited breath for every video report Doc posts

@nobytes2 5 күн бұрын

If you don’t like talking heads don’t watch them but that’s their format and what they like to do.

@melissakay6143 5 күн бұрын

Thank you, Dr. Cowan for the heads-up for Texas & your analysis is always easy to understand. Great job even while you're traveling!

@lochmoigh1 5 күн бұрын

Don't apologize for helping on your vacation. Thank you.

@churchlady31 5 күн бұрын

Thank you, voice is great!!

@haroldclark1787 5 күн бұрын

Dr. Levi Cowan for president 2024! Your insights are immeasurably helpful, and your understanding of the weather phenomenon of the hurricane is priceless. Thanks for your learned expertise!

@txtoolfan 5 күн бұрын

really appreciate you taking the time while traveling to do these.

@nickp4961 5 күн бұрын

You do an amazing job…..No audio issues. Thank you very much.

@aaronhome27 5 күн бұрын

Always appreciate your thorough updates. Thanks

@BiaMaria_777 5 күн бұрын

Irma 2017 is when I started to watch your videos. Thank you!

@bodacious12Barb 5 күн бұрын

One of the best forecasts ever , explained very thoroughly , but not talking down to us or over simplifying.

@richard1835 5 күн бұрын

Beryl already has a center of circulation and she is moving into a less hostile environment. Once the hurricane hits a hot deep upwelling in the ocean with minimal wind shear , she will intensify rapidly. Texas could see a Cat 3 hurricane or higher. Thank you for the updates.

@jake3306 5 күн бұрын

Wishcasting…

@mjmgoad 5 күн бұрын

Thank you. I'm in Kleberg county, this is the best info I've been able to find all day.

@sbchildrey1 5 күн бұрын

Thanks for all your great work, Dr. Cowan! You are very appreciated!

@rtaylor616 5 күн бұрын

I appreciate your factual forecast with no drama, thanks. Been a user of TTB website for last couple years

@kyleflounder9783 5 күн бұрын

Your audio sounds just fine; some of the wishcasters I used to watch back in the day could only dream of sounding this clear. 😂 I always turn to your site in times of winter weather forecasting and of course for the tropics as well. I live in a land-locked state far from the coast but we get the remnants often; always good to remain weather aware for as large a zone as possible so nothing surprises you!

@klove0313 5 күн бұрын

Yay corpus christi needs water ! Thank goodness 🙏.. we been in water restrictions for 5 years !

@RashMonroe 5 күн бұрын

Thanks for taking time out to do another update!

@kristierutledge88 5 күн бұрын

Thank you Dr. Cowan for excellent updates! Watching closely from Rockport, Texas and getting out of harms way. Beryl is forecast to come in very near the location that Hurricane Harvey landed. San Antonio Bay / Matagorda / Calhoun County is 30 miles northeast of the city of Rockport and is adjacent to the Aransas National Wildlife Refuge. Harvey blew up from a tropical depression to Cat 4 in less than 42 hours. 🙏🙏🙏

@eric131313 5 күн бұрын

Storm looks really healthy i expect cat 3 on landfall

@NesconProductions 5 күн бұрын

Agreed, with rapid strengthening a Cat 2 or stronger at landfall seems more probable. Also see a continued shift in the model tracks to the East, meaning more time for the storm to be over open (& very warm) water. As a broad comment it seems when water temperatures are extremely warm models tend to underestimate the capacity for tropical systems to strengthen. It's very interesting that with tremendous amount of data gathered on tropical storms how difficult they are to forecast. A few days back many models predicted the storm would track much farther west and south into Mexico. Will be curious to revisit our our predictions Eric in the next few days .

@johnmoore3504 5 күн бұрын

I’ll take the under. So far it’s struggling to get its act back together. Due to the shear it has not stacked back up yet. It’s been running above average in terms of strength but the current model guidance is only low end Cat 1 so reaching Cat 2 is questionable but it could get there. Tomorrow will let us know, it will either already be a Cat 1 working towards a 2 or still be just a TS. Right now all the strong winds are NE of the center so it hasn’t wrapped up. Pressure actually went up not down during the last recon flight.

@paulstein916 5 күн бұрын

Thanks for the update Levi.

@reneesheppard1901 5 күн бұрын

Good morning Levi Thank you for all you do. God bless you 🙏❤

@Kit-Ballou3664 5 күн бұрын

Just the info I was looking for at this point. Thank you. Safe travels!

@arielmatinez 5 күн бұрын

If a hurricane cools the water, does that effect make it less likely to have higher intensity systems during the rest of the season specifically around its track?

@Tropical-Tidbits 5 күн бұрын

This can happen over a narrow area, but only persists for a week or two before the cold wake warms up again. It typically takes a special coincidence for a 2nd storm to be hindered by the first one's cold wake.

@houstonwehaveaproblem4187 5 күн бұрын

Only for a short period of time. Don’t forget that Rita tracked over some of the same water that Katrina became a Cat 5 on but Rita became the strongest Gulf of Mexico hurricane on record.

@arielmatinez 5 күн бұрын

@@Tropical-Tidbits thanks for the explanation

@tmondaro1 5 күн бұрын

Another excellent discussion !! THANK YOU !!

@sarahterry2140 5 күн бұрын

Sound is fine and we so appreciate your expert analysis (plus your delivery is so much easier on the ears than that met student with the hyper “weather man” voice.)

@BADrury1 5 күн бұрын

Thanks for the updates!!

@unicornpaco 5 күн бұрын

You're the absolute best. Thanks doc

@tjtampa214 5 күн бұрын

Thank you. 🌿

@fresh-eggs 5 күн бұрын

Watching from Barbados 🇧🇧

@aviancm 5 күн бұрын

Fantastic reporting.

@suzannelummus 5 күн бұрын

Ok..thank you Levi

@rowleyma 5 күн бұрын

Thanks for the update!

@bherylkuebler986 5 күн бұрын

Thank you for the updates!

@vaderjones357 5 күн бұрын

Thanks Levi! 💜🌀

@chrisvarcados5812 5 күн бұрын

Thanks Levi!

@Dave-po2mz 5 күн бұрын

Love your content!

@netta358able 5 күн бұрын

Gratitude is a must ♥️ thanks always for your update 🇯🇲❤️💛💚

@tyronewalker5764 5 күн бұрын

Those of us in central Texas are, shall we say...concerned.😏

@lounaj7184 5 күн бұрын

Thank you! God bless you

@0tt0z 5 күн бұрын

Thank you!

@ChrisEllenBliven 5 күн бұрын

Thanks, Doc!

@jeffreystevens964 5 күн бұрын

Hopefully the intensification won’t be like Harvey 😢

@PetitJoeLouis 5 күн бұрын

The sheer cerated by the upper low to the West also veers Beryl a bit more to the North. I bet on a Cat2 between Corpus Christi and Port Aransas.

@essiebessie661 5 күн бұрын

Thank you.

@catherinebreitfeller669 5 күн бұрын

Beryl is not done yet !!!!!

@bherylkuebler986 5 күн бұрын

I really hope they retire the name after this. I'm getting teased a lot.

@benbryceholden1 5 күн бұрын

Best coverage I’ve seen. Awesome explanation of the atmospheric phenomena affecting the storm’s strength and direction. I like seeing comparisons between previous forecasts and current storm composition.

@benbryceholden1 5 күн бұрын

Also, hello from Matagorda County!

@weathermanmark 5 күн бұрын

Sounds great doc

@michaeldugger6964 5 күн бұрын

mic quality is great!! ROCK ON!!

@douglascooper1987 5 күн бұрын

Thanks Sir.👍👍

@LichaelMewis 5 күн бұрын

Watch out for the rain Louisiana, we need it though.

@ReeferMadman 5 күн бұрын

Thanks doc!

@michaelcegielski8859 5 күн бұрын

My lawn is being watered right now. From South east Texas

@williamhalloran4218 5 күн бұрын

Very informative. Thanks from Port Isabel Tx.

@vincea2996 5 күн бұрын

Thank you Batman

@mandy416 5 күн бұрын

I have a bad feeling… don’t ask why

@Michael-ty2uo 5 күн бұрын

That is quite possibility one of the best laptop mics ive heard in my life lol

@QGJohn 5 күн бұрын

Thanks. What is this HASP B modeling you refer to. Even though on the runs you mention European (ECMWF I think) and of course GFS. How come it's pretty rare for these tropical systems to just fall apart after traveling over various land masses. Yet tornados often fall apart easily after interaction with large structures or terrain on the ground.

@astronemir 5 күн бұрын

Inertia. Compare physics of hurricane vs tornado

@scythezilla9163 5 күн бұрын

thanks brotha levi

@gy4bg-iz8wq 5 күн бұрын

Thank you

@JonMembersonly 5 күн бұрын

Beryl doesn't quit. I like his style.

@samhain9283 5 күн бұрын

Im in NW Harris county so I'm all in on watching this storm over the next day.

@FourOf92000 5 күн бұрын

is there a one-time donation option to support your work?

@Lunaticked 5 күн бұрын

Why do meteorologists refuse to tell us what the ceiling is on a storm? If I’m in the path, I want to know if there’s even a modest possibility it could come in far stronger than forecast. What’s to prevent Beryl from going through RI again and stop it from being a major hurricane at landfall? It already went from TD to Cat 4 in less than two days once. Not a single meteorologist told us that was even a possibility, it’s important information that you need to get out. As someone who used to talk to you on the wunderground days, please help the industry figure out their messaging on this. I had family members get absolutely blindsided in Michael because y’all didn’t get the message out that Michael could go through RI. All us enthusiast knew it was a possibility, the professionals did too, but the public didn’t.

@lelelum4103 5 күн бұрын

Mainstream media is VERY bad at this!!! This is why I go to KZfaq for the forecast bc watching mainstream u will be a sitting duck

@markspann 5 күн бұрын

Yes sir, you are spot on sir. And same with 2020 Sally which at last minute took a hard right WHILE UNEXPECTEDLY STRENGTHENING. Even without the track divergence, if folks down on the AL FL panhandle had heard messaging it could have a stronger top-end, they would have not been caught flatfooted.

@TheJoshlaymon 5 күн бұрын

It’s simple actually. If they mention high end forecasts, that’s all people will talk about. Then when it doesn’t end up that bad they will say that the meteorologists overhyped the storm. Then people will stop listening and the situation will be even worse. If you want to listen to worst-case-scenario people, you can find them all over KZfaq. If you want an honest analysis of the most probable outcome, then you have already found what you are looking for.

@churchlady31 5 күн бұрын

I have heard many forecasters say it could strengthen up.

@14720509 5 күн бұрын

They are not great at predicting the intensity of a storm so I think they are more cautious. I would expect that if it's already showing signs of organizing that it would be a major hurricane. They predicted Beryl to only be a Cat 2 at the windward Islands. It was a Cat 5.

@FourOf92000 5 күн бұрын

tbh your laptop's mic is pretty good

@kappc2014 5 күн бұрын

Do you think my Monday 7am flight out of Houston will be affected? Headed to Tampa hopefully.

@lelelum4103 5 күн бұрын

@@kappc2014 I think it will be affected Monday morning is supposed to the worst time of the storm in Houston

@emilywhite5459 5 күн бұрын

Yeah... probably not happening

@mdog86 5 күн бұрын

Looking like Corpus will be on the south side of the storm, thank god. Been on the north side many a times and it's always so much worse.

@benn746 4 күн бұрын

The way it looks makes me wonder if one of these could ever split in two after going over a land mass or there's probably not enough fuel or they will always combine into one because of physics. You know like it would be crazy if the part on north that looks split off became it's own Hurricane or tropical storm and now there were two back to back!

@unnamed2737 5 күн бұрын

I’m concerned about rapid intensification. Seems to happen to us on the gulf coast lately.

@ThatBoyFlossy 5 күн бұрын

Will it hit Corpus Christi bad brotha?

@MegaMikeylikes 5 күн бұрын

I'm very very glad Beryl didn't have this convection hit last night and the storm did weaken to 1001 MB or you would be talking cat # on a Texas landfall. My other Dr. friend Reed Timmer is headed for Texas Dr. Cowan hehe he never stops chasing.

@JosesGaraje 5 күн бұрын

I certainly wish we (Central Maine) had the expertise demonstrated in your forecasts. We have to deal with an AI or computer generated forecast map that changes every 30 minutes, not much time to deal with severe weather.