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The Balearic islands would be defended by the Germans, yes the German tourists.

Imagine the UK at Gibraltar just watching the world around them fighting.

I just want to make a little note. It is true that Spain operates old submarines of the galerna class, but in April 2021 a modern submarine of the S-80 class was launched and it's in the process of passing the tests of the navy , with another 3 under construction. This submarine has modern weapons and navigation systems, as well as the ability to launch BGM-109 Tomahawk missiles from them.

Soooooo, Spain got absolute air and sea supremacy but decides to end the war and give away ceuta and melilla.... i dont think war works that way. Spain win

You did it? Morocco: yes At what cost? Morocco: everything

Spanish here. Ceuta and Melilla are doomed in case of war. But can Spanish forces disembark on western Sahara? There's a separatist movement there against Morocco.

Love the vid, keep up the great work.

Great to Spain From Algria

Gibralter throughout this like: 👁👄👁

Morocco and Spain actually have decent relations, they've kind of just parked the territories issue indefinitely. They actually have two high voltage direct current (HVDC) electricity cables running under the Strait of Gibraltar between the two countries, primarily to trade renewable electricity generated by solar power instillations.

This might be the first time we've seen two kingdoms pitted against each other on this channel.

just one question, when have we Spaniards surrendered ?

Gibraltar is just like a middle child watching the older and younger fighting.

“Paramilitary wouldn’t have much use” Paramilitary: *Walks off the cliffs into the oceans* Yeah seems so

Binkov forgot to mention that Spain develops and builds its own submarines the S-80 plus class. This submarines are of the best quality for conventional submarines and in the next couple of years four of them will join the navy. Spain, France and Germany are working on a 6th generation fighter jet and the Spanish army enjoys much superior training and equipment than the Moroccan army. Urban warfare would also equilibrate the difference in forces in Ceuta in Melilla. It is important to remember that many Moroccan citizens live in those cities and that Spain enjoys naval and air superiority. Spain also counts with very professional special forces such as the legion and also counts with many desert warfare trained soldiers. It is very likely that any attack on Ceuta and Melilla would be countered by attacks on Casablanca, Tangiers etc which are coastal cities. I therefore do not agree with Binkov that Morocco would win, how can they when they are outmatched in air and sea and their army would be locked against strong fortified cities that are continuously resupplied and count with many Moroccan citizens as a deterrent

Imagining Spanish and Moroccan artillery shooting each other over the Strait of Gibraltar is such a cool image.

Binkov: "Moderate Morocco Victory" Me: "Sounds like Spain just keeps bombing them until Morocco says uncle"

you completely dismissed one possible strategy for Spain: going into offensive and not trying to defend those small islands

"Spanish heavy equipment would not see much action..." yeah, sure, because using a simple ferry is just impossible for Spain with its total control of the sea and almost total control of the air. It would look a bit like the war in Libya a few years ago. Morocco would just slowly get bombed into oblivion.

Spain would totally crush Morocco, this is no match. And I'm saying that as a Moroccan...

Just a couple of notes. Moroccan Spanish relation is not that bad. Spain is Morocco's first economic partner. The relationship is complicated... Morocco's border with Algeria are completed closed (that's a bad relationship!) making the country a virtual island. Spain could then blockade Morocco. It's interesting to think about what economic impact would the closing of the Gibraltar Straight have...

You forgot to mention the Spanish defence industry, far ahead of Moroccan's that's nearly non-existence. Apart from that, there is a naval base in the Canary Islands and an airbase. Spain could strike from the north and the east simultaneously so Moroccan army would be forced to split in half to defence their mainland and Ceuta and Melilla could resist. Also, Spain could bomb Tanger, Casablanca or Rabat with thermobaric bombs if Morocco dares to invade Ceuta and Melilla once the airspace is on the Spanish side.

I'm Spanish, so I'm biased, but I think that with both naval and aerial superiority Ceuta and Melilla could be defended or retaken even if they fell, as well as all those other small islands.

Me parece erronea su conclusión final. En el escenario de islas canarias ,hay base permanente de f18 hornet en dentro de poco eurofhigter tranche 3 al renovarse el ala de f18. Respecto al arma submarina en 8 meses podria estar operativo el s81 isaac peral.

I've seen your analisys and, according to it, Spain would achieve both control of the seas and air supremacy. So I can't see how this ends in victory for Morocco, even if they manage to occupy Ceuta and Melilla. Morocco would remain blockaded and prone to airstrikes, so in the long run it simply collapses.

There are a few things with this video. First of all, training level. Spain has a profesional standing army in which every soldier has at least 3 years of training. Morocco has an army reliant on conscription (which means that 2 years is the most training the average soldier has). Specially in Ceuta and Melilla: the Spanish forces there are elite units that have historically been able to overcome numerically superior foes. Second, the naval disparity (which is shown) is so big that the Spanish fleet would be able to blockade Morocco without fear of retaliation, or if anything destroy the Moroccan fleet (not to mention that all the Spanish frigates have AEGIS systems) which would in turn allow Spain to send reinforcements or even launch landings in Moroccan shores. Melilla is within range of a military base of the Spanish Army of the Air (our Airforce) in Armilla, Granada, from which airplanes and helicopters can fly sending reinforcements or launching strike missions against the Moroccan forces. Third, the abilities of the Typhoon and the F-18 (modernised) against ground targets. It's true that the Moroccan artillery is self-propelled and can be easily moved, but it's also true that both fighters can track those moves with radar, and can both move faster and launch guided missiles that can track the artillery (in order to destroy it). And, fourth and last, most of the Moroccan equipment is imported from other countries, while most of the Spanish equipment is produced locally as the Spanish policy when it comes to acquiring military equipment is to buy production licenses and then produce locally, or even co-develop together with other countries. Thus, Spain would be able to replenish any losses in equipment, while Morocco would have it more difficult, specially if Spain declares a blockade of the Moroccan coast.

En caso de una guerra con Marruecos, España ayudaría militarmente a Argelia (enemiga mortal de marruecos) y Marruecos atacada por 3 frentes (recuerda el frente polisario al sur) sería aplastada. Tu análisis es muy simplista.

Ceuta and Melilla were spanish territories before Navarra

Morocco my second country from Egypt ❤️❤️ love Spain friends❤️❤️🇪🇬🇲🇦🇪🇦

Morocco is the 8 biggest market for Spain export More than half of Spain exports to Africa are to Morocco Spain is also Morocco biggest market The trade between the 2 country is more than 15 billions dollars Both countries are kingdom The king of Morocco end the king of Spain usually call each other brothers There gonna be no wars between this because both country control the straight of Gibraltar ( the backbone of world maritime trade)

In my opinion I highly doubt moroccos victory. Spain has really experienced soldiers and even has the oldest units in the world . Also spain has increased military spending which would increase to around 30 billion in defense spending and would allow the purchase of the f35 B that the navy has been waiting for and maybe building another amphibious aircraft carrier . During this years spain has also been making huge improvements due to their projects such as the f110 that would become the best frigates active at that time or the s80s ( would have 6 units in total including the s70s) or FCAS . A huge factor that would change everything would be the fact that spain is part of nato and that the most likely thing is that they would get supplies from all nations of nato. Another factor that could also influence in this unlikley war is the volunteering of spanish citizens to try and defend their homes from morocco . At the end of the day this war it is very difficult to know who would win and who would lose since as I mentioned there are many factors that influence .

This is an interesting thought experiment, but even without the help of other countries, Spain would have quite some possibilities. These are some I have thought up in a couple of minutes. I'm sure there are more and better ways. 1.- If Spain has the air and the sea dominated (as the video proposes), why would Spain end the war? Bombing a couple of ports and airports, and blocking the maritime transport, Morocco has no possibility to import or export anything. Most of Morocco's exports go through Spain anyway. To the east the border with Algeria is closed. To the north and west is Spain. To the south the Sahara and the Polisario. 2.- Bomb the water supply for agriculture. Wait a couple of months, let hunger make its thing, and wait until the Moroccan people topple their own government. 3.- Another possibility. There are about 1 million Moroccans in Spain. Take them, send them to Ceuta and Melilla and expel them through the borders, and let Morocco deal with them. Just like Morocco did a couple of month ago, but in style. Let's see how the country manages with 1 mio. refugees. 4.- Spain could also build in a short time a thermobaric bomb. The blueprints exist already and the bomb was tested. A couple of those would be enough. Morocco would never be able to do the equivalent to Spain, as it has not the capability to strike in depth. They would never reach Madrid, not to talk about Santander or Bilbao. Spain could bomb Rabat or Tangier to ashes. 5.- Block the strait of Gibraltar and send international trade into a spin (remember the Ever Given?). Let's see what happens. The thing is, everything would depend on how far the Spanish government would be willing to go.

Good report. Just forgot one detail, Spain has a Marine Brigade whose main function is to open a second front. The Moroccan army could not be launched exclusively on Ceuta and Melilla. On the other hand remember that in naval units the tonnage is not so important, for example the Spanish ships have the Aegis system.

Video: *starts Him: *something in russian Me: *Hold up*

Ceuta y Melilla son dos ciudades que tiene más de 500 años. Nunca han sido tomadas. Que te hace pensar que ahora si podrían?

Mh... I think there are some points that the video didn't account for that would make the outcome of the war being different. 1. Differences in the fighters. When you use jet fighters, it's extremely important to know how behave each fighter and their weaponry. Eurofighters are planes designed to be extremely maneuverable as well as fast (can reach Mach2+ with afterburners and Mach1.2 without them). They are equiped with MBDA Meteor AAM, which is an AAM able to reach Mach4 speed and with a range of 150km, being the one with the longest range, and deadly if fired from 40 to 60km. Now, there's the fact that the eurofighter has been praised for almost any pilot that used it and that have won several practice combats. Why am I saying this? In the video, it's said that the ratio of planes shot down would be 1:1, while that is only possible when the two fighters are identical. In a real combat situation, having a better weapon, electronics and a plane designed for a specific role matters a lot. The Typhoon has shown that it can outfight and win several enemy planes with little to no casualties on its side even when outnumbered (Typhoon Meet, Seville, 2008, where 8 Typhoons fought 27 enemies and won without casualties; and DACT, Canary Islands, 2009 where 2 Typhoons fought 8 F-15 Eagle, scoring 3 and 4 kills on the F-15). So, in a scenario where the Moroccan's F-16 are not upgraded to the V version (and that is mostly cos I don't know the specs of this version), they will not stand a chance against a Typhoon scuadron. What would happen in this case? Spain could lose some planes, but by no means would be a 1:1 or 1:3 ratio for sure. 1st because the superiority of the Typhoon and 2nd cos for each F-16 that Morocco has, Spain has 3 Typhoons. If the Typhoons can already outmatch the F-16s when the are outnumbered, they should stomp them when they are the ones who outnumbers. 2. Behavior of the artillery. Since Spain would have control of the seas, they can use their artillery in order to support both, Ceuta and Melilla, from the seas. In the first states of the war, the focus of Spain would be to secure a seaway that would allow to evacuate the civilians to the mainland. Achieved that, the main focus of the navy should be to provide artillery fire in order to both maim Moroccan's infantry/tanks and AA defenses. Maybe Melilla would be harder to defend, but in Ceuta, given its geography, the Termopilae strat can be used in order to hold the line. 3. Several places for landing. Securing sea and air superiority and being able to maim Moroccan's AA defenses, army and tanks from afar, there's a lot of places which can be used to land. Maybe Morocco diivided it's army between those who invade Ceuta, those Who invade Melilla and those who try to invade Canary Islands. If they have an army of 170k soldiers, divided by 3 that means that they will have almot 60k soldiers for each front. Suposing that no contry will recruit more soldiers from the populace, Spain, even using all it's army, would be able to just to fight in equal numbers in one front. That means that Spain must be wiser and use its advantage. If the Moroccan army is spreaded in order to defend all the coasts, then a bomb from air or artillery fire from the ships can make a hole and, if the army is put together, then they will sustain several damage from the same air or sea attaks ehy Spanish troops land away from them and join the fight from the rearguard. 4. Use of special forces. Spain has the G.O.E., a group of elite soldiers that can infiltrate in enemy territory and perform several missions like destroying AA defenses or cut supply lines. Both actions would mean that either the aircraft can enter in Morocco air space and perform bombings in key places, like the capital, and that the soldiers in the vanguard will not get reinforces or supplies. 5. War Goals. In case the war starts, Morocco and Spain will have different goals. While Morocco could set for invading Ceuta and Melilla (and even the Canaries), Spain would want to defend them AND assert control over Morocco. Why? Cos being able to control the strench is one of the most valuable strategic points Spain could have. That's why Spain would focus in a longer war even if that means to lose control over Ceuta and Melilla. They would like to lose a battle in order to win war.

I like the new mapping. Contour Lines of the hills and main roads. Looking good binkov 👍🏻

Portugal: *No one messes with my brother besides me caralho!*

Love Spain from Algeria we will help you if in war Spain.

No seáis ignorantes. Basta con recordar que el Global Firepower Index de 2021, que mide la potencia militar de 138 países, sitúa a España en el puesto 18º, mientras que Marruecos tan solo llega al 53º.

That many Brits on spanish beaches the UK might as well just join in for the fun

The Spanish Legion garrison in Ceuta would provide a stiff resistance, the symbolic importance of the birthplace of the legion would add to it. Can you please make a video of West Germany vs East Germany during the 1970-80's

Jamás hubo buena relación entre España y Marruecos, sólo hipocrersía política. Marruecos no ataca a España porque la teme, si no ya estaríamos invadidos. Pero, entre otros sucesos, en la isla de Perejil volvieron a darse cuenta de que con España, bromas las justas....

Small correction: Spain has only 1 submarine in service. The first of the S80 Plus type will be combat ready in several months time.

I know the rules of your scenario's ignores third parties but this war would be lost by the side that took the first shot at a civilian cargo ship moving through the Straits of Gibraltar. It's just too important an international shipping route for other countries to allow it to be restricted by a local war.

Ethiopia vs Egypt for the dam is a must !

YAY a new video :)

Your war concept is really oldy. Thanks a lot for so many figures and please forget about me

I’ve wanted this so long

If they want to keep this war between them, it would be like trying to walk to the other side of a room full of shattered glass without getting cut. Since right in the middle of the crossfire, there's a little UK territory daring them to be hit

The more interesting possible conflict in this region is a hypothetical war between Morocco and Algeria who have been in conflict for the past decades

Francisco Franco: *awakens from his grave with his Army of Africa*

Can moroccan military stand up to conquistador ? Love Spain from France. Respect Morocco.

If Morocco attacks Spain then hell will come to Morocco. Morocco will be split into three countries Republic of Rif, Sahara and Morocco. You are very wrong Birkov.

The map isn't complet and Morocco never shows his arms

🇲🇦♥️🇪🇸 peace ✌😙

not be happy...and be in postion to render an already Pyrrhic victory into a long term defeat for Moroco, yes? I mean, trading your navy/coasts & air force for a few tiny islands & slivers of land? Spain would be able to punish them horribly for a full decade, no? Loosing access to the sea alone makes this an insane trade, no?

First day of war: Spain bombs with termobaric bombs over Mohamed VI palace and Rabat capital. Day two: The war is over.

Por desgracia el tío San está haciendo migas por puro interés con Marruecos y le está vendiendo armamento , muy mal asunto ese

Next: could the Vatican convince Europe to go on a crusade?

"One is somewhat stronger" Man I feel old. Only 16th century kids remember the Spanish golden age

*Morroco takes Spanish soil* Spain: did someone order another Reconquista?!

at this moment, Spain has two more submarines completly new and moder (total of 4) and will come others very soon

In a real scenario with NATO allies and such, thing would look very different. USA would waltz in and say "yes, we have lots of old missile inventory we want to get rid of". :P

I doubt Spain would stop the war effort right after losing Ceuta and Melilla. Why stop when Morocco doesn't have an opposing force? That's exactly when Spain can retake the cities and force Morocco into submission, making use of their superior remaining Air Force and Navy. Also, you didn't take into consideration that the F100 are extremely capable AEGIS AAW destroyers that would negate large areas of airspace and make life very difficult for the Moroccan air force, even from the safety of Spanish ports. On the other hand, very entertaining video. I'll leave you with a like :)

El soldado español está mucho más preparado y es infinitamente más valeroso que el soldado marroquí...la principal desventaja de España sería su casta política.

Interesting to imagine, but it will never happen as the US, Britain and the rest of Western Europe would force both Spain and Morocco to not start anything, and would quickly meddle in and extinguish any potential escalation between them as there are strategic and economic interests on the line in that zone, and another conflict zone with a humanitarian crisis and rise of new terror groups so close to Europe would be catastrophic and the last thing the world needs with all the chaos going on. The only ones who would like a war to happen are bored Spanish/Moroccan teenagers in these comments.. plus Russia, Iran and their vassal Algeria, for obvious reasons to anyone who keeps an eye on the region, and these reasons can be summarized into "land, gas/energy, hegemony, control"

Should be a "Binkov Gaming" side channel for him doing war like, war, RTS, and alternate history games such as HoI4.

Nice explanation in the video but you should do more research regarding equipment and proucurement contracts, Morocco is still waiting for lots of equipment to be delivered but a lot equipment in use was missing here

Whatever the outcome, no one would win in this war. Peace everyone ✌️. Best wishes to our Morrocans neighbors.

Porque siempre nos infravalorisan ? Un dia pondremos los puntos sobre los i !

Spain particularly and partly the EU overall have launched a big diplomatic, economic and security campaign to improve ties with northwest africa, improve security, and better control the flow of immigration. And Morocco is a big part of this. I forgot what it's called

thanks for bringing back the russian phrases at the beggining of the video

Love Morocco from UK 🇲🇦❤️🇬🇧

You forgot that we have the spanish legion and regulares in Ceuta and Melilla they are the best trained soldiers in the spanish army and the would problably fight untill the last man is still standing.

Hi ! Which software do you use to draw and animate these beautiful maps ?

Starting morale and training are vital factors

It seems that the script did not like the Spaniards 😅

Spain would lose the war against Morocco just like they lost in World Cup 2022 😂😂 They will miss the target just like they missed penalties😂😂😂

I think the Spanish air force and air defence are a bit underrated in this scenario. Id claim that morrocos airpower would be almost entirely negated by spanish airforce and patriot units. Its not that fun to attack a defensive position in a conventional war without any air support while the enemy has almost full air support.

I'd love to see a big project put out by the Binkovs Battle Ground's team that explains a hypothetical run up to WW 3. Then cover it week by week like how some other KZfaq channels covered WW1 and 2. ( I can't remember the channels name. Indy nidale is the presenters name I believe). Just out of curiosity what aspect of a videos development takes the most time? My guess is research. Love your channel thank you so much for the content.

no hay marroco suficientes para enfrentarse a españa los españoles luchamos no nos rendimos nunca no somos americanos que huyen de kabul y de viet nat

Spain and the rest of the EU will little by little integrate and Spain is the bridgehead of Morroco's goods into the EU through Algeciras. Problems will come and go depending on the internal politics of Morroco but Morroco will probably become in many cases the distination of companies returning from Asia instead of Turkey

As a Brit I would back the Spanish to resolve this conflict but I do not underestimate Morocco. Morocco has a very large military for its budget but history shows us plain to see that North African/Middle Eastern militaries face different challenges when compared to NATO forces. First of all their militaries are more about maintaining control over their own population than anything, while the chain of command is most often based on a general's loyalty to the government rather than competency or merit. Adding to that the command structure is split so as to avoid the everpresent danger of a military coup. They even deploy their military in a very odd way because of this. Some gulf nations for example have historically deployed their tanks in the middle of nowhere, away from urban areas split away from the rest of the military for this reason. Wars aren't won on paper. That said, if Morocco is attacked first rather than being the one to strike first, I think it would be more united and therefore more dangerous. So in my opinion Spain I think would be able to force a stalemate, but it wouldn't make gains on Moroccan territory. By African standards Morocco's military budget is very large (if I remember correctly it's over 3% of their GDP) and they have lots of equipment, so it's not a walk in the park, and despite Spain achieving naval and air supremacy the Moroccans would have made a net gain in territory for most of the conflict. I do think though that with that air superiority as well as complete naval dominance the Spanish could win out in the long run, especially with the economic advantage as well as supporting a local uprising in the Western Sahara. I would imagine the Spanish would force the Moroccans to come to the table and the pre-war borders would be reinstated

4:43. Smart move. Launching an attack on Ibiza would effectively be declaring war on the UK :-).

People in the comments cant take a African country possibly beating a European one in a war

se te ha olvidado q cnla superioridad naval y aerea d españa, podria estar mandando refuerzos a ceuta y melilla constantemente

You should start including cyber tech/warfare in these vids.

Spain and Morocco: in shambles Andorra: now is my time

Please, note: - Spain is a full member of NATO. Spain has territories out of the mainland (Same than USA (Hawaii, Guam, Puerto Rico, etc.)) Should the territory of a NATO member would be invaded, Spain is not only 1 army. - Spain, at the moment, has no foreign enemies. Morocco has an enemy, which is Algeria. They do not have, even diplomatic relations. - For the USA and its geopolitical interest, Spain is the entrace door of Europe and, the one and only entrance to the Mediterranean sea. - Spain, like it or not, is a country mostly white, Christian, homeland of one of the main Jew race (Sefardí) and, Spain is mostly Anticomunist. USA has excellent relations historicaly with Morocco but ... The free world will not leave the Mediterranean sea in the hands of a muslim country (Nowdays).

Saying Ceuta and Melilla are Maroccan because they are in Africa is like saying Istambul is a Turkish colony in Europe, total BS. Fun to watch video tho!

Wouldn't Spain attack the Moroccan possessions in the Sahara from the Canary islands? It could gain a lot of valuable territory with relatively few troops once it gained air superiority, IMO

Couldn't Spain just keep hammering any and all military/industrial targets in Morocco?

Nice analisys and great video. You has forget the System AEGIS from Santa Maria and Cristobal Colon Fragate, so probably the Marrocan air forces will don't survive more than 2 days active, and after that the misiles for destroy the moroccan anti air craft systems. The other point is the Termobaric Bomb for destroy strategic points. And finaly de cyber war and the electronical war. Thanks for your work.

The folly and foolishness of armchair military analysts like "Binkov" can be understood by understanding the following: 1) All armchair analysts must use PUBLISHED data in evaluating weapon system peformance. And published data is always suspect for two reasons. Its either overstated to boost sales on the arms market or understated to hide full capabilities from the ememy umtil needed. Either way, not the true picture. 2) When Binkov dreams up these fantastic scenarios based on the number of ground divisions, naval assets, air assets, etc. numbers on paper are useless. You have to consider how much of a given military's stock is actually battleworthy for combat at any.given time. How many tanks are in maintenance garages? How many ships are in port or drydock for repairs? How many.planes are in hangers for engine overhauls? By the way, the reason the F22 never saw a day of combat and production was cancelled well below the original amount, is because it is known as a "hangar queen". It is overly complicated snd requires frequent.expensive maintenance. Its a fragile plane vulnerable to even smal arms fire. So in, short,what any.armed force can field at any.given moment is gonna be less than its full on paper. inventory! 3) Another hole in Binkov's "Analysis", and perhaps the most.important is the will and determination to win on the part.of the adversaries. The Viet Namese prevailed ( i said prevailed, not defeated) over a vastly militarily.and technologically suprerior.adversary. Same thing for the US in Afghanistan aftet 20 years of figjting.the Taliban. The Saudis believed that with all the sophisticated american arms their huge.budget has bought, that they could obliterate.the Houthis. This lightly armed guerilla force handed the Saudis their butt. So a Binkov chess piece style scenario is best left to the world of video games

An idea that I think will be very controversial, but France vs Algeria seems interesting.

Well, to be fair. If the airforce treat is gone you would probably just proceed to bomb them and slowly wreck anything of value in Morroco.

When you're standing in Tarifa in Spain on a clear day, you can actually see across to Morocco, it's that close. Only 14kms.

Support and love spain Respect Morocco