Stock Market To Drop 30%; Why Bullish Economist Turns Bearish | Peter Berezin

  Рет қаралды 65,465

David Lin

David Lin

Күн бұрын

Peter Berezin, Chief Global Strategist of BCA Research, gives his outlook for U.S. stock markets, economic growth, and the future of China.
Watch Peter's last interview with me: • Is China Collapsing? W...
*This video was recorded on July 2, 2024
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*This video is not financial advice. The channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors and affiliates.
0:00 - Intro
1:15 - Bullish to bearish
3:00 - Stocks vs. real economy
4:05 - Consumer spending
6:13 - Small businesses
7:26 - Unemployment rate
9:38 - The Fed and inflation
13:35 - S&P 500 target
16:21 - Tech stocks
20:30 - Defensive sectors
21:30 - Election and assets
24:42 - China’s economy
27:46 - Chinese gold demand
29:22 - Geopolitics
30:13 - Base metals
32:20 - Chinese stocks
33:00 - China’s impact on the U.S.
34:13 - Treasury yields
#economy #stocks #investing

Пікірлер: 320
@TheDavidLinReport
@TheDavidLinReport 4 күн бұрын
Is now the peak for U.S. equities? Comment below and don't forget to subscribe! FOLLOW PETER BEREZIN: Twitter (@PeterBerezinBCA): twitter.com/PeterBerezinBCA BCA Research: www.bcaresearch.com/ BCA Research Twitter (@bcaresearch): twitter.com/bcaresearch
@jcgoogle1808
@jcgoogle1808 4 күн бұрын
33:55 says he's going into long duration bonds. I agree. Been trading them. Ho ho ho,... Merry Independence Day and Happy New Year,.. and stay warm out there,.. when your decking your balls and roasting your chestnuts. Uhm,,.. wait,... anyway,.. I'm in it. I'm Joe Brandon and I approve this message.
@NghiaTran-kb6yk
@NghiaTran-kb6yk 4 күн бұрын
😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊😊
@ST-mh7tb
@ST-mh7tb 4 күн бұрын
p? 5 r=assseee33s3³433334 4#=@a rfQ-?-3z
@justincrane5821
@justincrane5821 4 күн бұрын
I think we are very close to an equity markets top
@takethat941
@takethat941 3 күн бұрын
30% decline? about 60% give or take 10% - hold on even gold is screwed. tide has gone out your already high and dry.
@RobbStonee
@RobbStonee 3 күн бұрын
I knew at some point the bull market will end and a bear begins, it goes on and on... I have a 7 figure ballpark goal and I intend spreading across maybe 50k - 150k on plummeting stocks, my question is how can I know when a market bottom has been reached?
@Marquez919
@Marquez919 3 күн бұрын
many investors make common mistakes like not researching enough, and not having a clear plan. in my opinion, some financial situations can be handled on your own, while others are best navigated in consultation with an advisor.
@Tipping-Point88
@Tipping-Point88 3 күн бұрын
Agreed, partnering with the right planner is invaluable, my portfolio is well-matched for every season of the market, and recently hit 140% rise from early last year. I and my CFP are working on a 7-figure ballpark goal, tho this could take another year.
@ScottStraw
@ScottStraw 3 күн бұрын
truly appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor... mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@Tipping-Point88
@Tipping-Point88 3 күн бұрын
Can't divulge much, I delegate my excesses to someone of great expertise ‘’Sharon Lynne Hart’’ preferably you can look her up on the web, her qualifications speak for itself.
@Tipping-Point88
@Tipping-Point88 3 күн бұрын
“Sharon Lynne Hart” is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@rickpearl1529
@rickpearl1529 4 күн бұрын
I've been hearing this same forecast forever. The insiders have figured out how to kick the can down the road indefinitely.
@ChineseRatfaceCHANG
@ChineseRatfaceCHANG 2 күн бұрын
Its an election year, theyll make sure to delay things until trump gets in and is forced to call a recession. Noone wants to take the blame
@mjbucar
@mjbucar 4 күн бұрын
Peter Berezin's perspectives are refreshingly interesting and most realistic. He is an excellent guest speaker - thank you.
@bigo8738
@bigo8738 3 күн бұрын
his statements may not be groundbreaking,HOWEVERRR His vocabulary is truly astounding and a testament to his high level of intelligence. His choice of words not only enriches his communication but also highlights his erudition. This makes him both sagacious and lexically adept, setting him apart in any professional discourse. *I am currently striving to become more lexically adept but believe my sagaciousness is at lowest, subpar 😉😊🤭🏌‍♂️
@kangamagic1206
@kangamagic1206 4 күн бұрын
Peter is insightful, good at articulating difficult concepts, and a fun listen. Please have him back.
@markphillips2648
@markphillips2648 4 күн бұрын
Over 40 years of investing in healthy and not so healthy markets and just today I had a conversation with a good friend after he said ,”have you been watching the market I’m kicking ass !”My answer, “When others get greedy I get going,” “I have been selling every high for the last two weeks and will continue this until the bust.” I explained in my bond portfolio that you do not hold this for the yield but for the convexity and the blank stare back was troubling. He said I’m ok,I’m invested in the total stock market and when I asked if he was worried about concentration risk he said, “what’s that.” I explained concentration risk to him and he said that he was frozen and that we will just have to see . Scary
@yodurk21
@yodurk21 4 күн бұрын
There's still over $1T in RRP and TGA combined. Plenty of liquidity and govt spending to keep stock prices propped up. I'm not sure much else matters anymore .
@nitemoves3157
@nitemoves3157 4 күн бұрын
It’s a good conversation. I just will believe it when I see it.
@ersvale1986
@ersvale1986 3 күн бұрын
13:08 «It’s that golden shower» 😂 But seriously: great interview, great insights.
@andreab.8523
@andreab.8523 3 күн бұрын
I really enjoyed this video, thank you.
@bbustin1747
@bbustin1747 3 күн бұрын
Great guest and great thorough analysis !
@bpb5541
@bpb5541 3 күн бұрын
Finally someone talked about why the FED funds rate doesn't really matter. It's the 10 year yield that does. If it just stays here lots of buisnesses are in trouble. What happens when it surges up past 5% again and keeps going. It will be mass distruction. The FED has no control of the 10 year yield. When the FED comes in and buys up those failed auctions as a buyer of last resort... hyperinflation or said better stagflation is about to hit us like a train.
@ryandeleon222
@ryandeleon222 Күн бұрын
I don't think so. 10 year is going DOWN before it would do what you're saying.
@bpb5541
@bpb5541 Күн бұрын
@@ryandeleon222 what if the FED slams the short end to zero really fast and folks realize that the US is in way worse shape then they have been reporting for the last year and will need to double the debt because that is what happens during a recession they need money to stimulate, and the debt goest to 70 trillion. Then what. Who is going to lend to the teenage girl that has all of her credit cards maxed out without requiring more money to assume the risk of her possibly never being able to pay it back... which means the 10 year is going higher not lower. It has. Broken out of the its 10 year weekly down trend and is now up trending. Money is no longer free and this is the real risk I think most are missing. What if I am correct? It's end game stuff and the US Government does not control the long end. They don't really even control the short end they really just follow the 2 year with a lag but hey what the hell do I know. Should I be correct and we will no soon enough just be ready because a 10 year going up not down would cause massive distruction and if you have read some books you know exactly how to take advantage of it. Should it not go up... we go into hyperinatation or worse stagflation. Pick one. A soft / no l landing was last year.
@jhull5870
@jhull5870 4 күн бұрын
The only thing that matters to the S&P 500 or one should say the S&P Mag 7 is interest rates going lower or as we have seen these past 8 months is the assumption. And the reality is that the Mag 7 do not reflect the true economy.
@luisbarragan9555
@luisbarragan9555 4 күн бұрын
I'm running out of money to keep buying calls 😂 all your guests are amazing contras. Thank you for your service.
@spatialmemory5040
@spatialmemory5040 2 күн бұрын
Don't stress it. The fewer you buy the less you'll lose.😂
@ktanrko
@ktanrko 3 күн бұрын
Had a chance to meet Peter in person. Just amazing!
@leonlei5102
@leonlei5102 3 күн бұрын
Among all of the interview, HeiThe only person who actually knows China and understand the relationship between base metal and China, bring him back David
@cjb8993
@cjb8993 4 күн бұрын
He's right, the economy is hitting a wall on many different metrics however, the SPX is also exhausting and will top in a week or so, if not sooner. See you at 35-3800 SPX later this year.
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
Definitely not. The printer must go BRRRR. Deflation risk is far worse than inflation. Japan went deflationary and never recovered.
@cjb8993
@cjb8993 4 күн бұрын
@@Fearzero Doesn't matter, the charts don't lie. We called the covid crash 6 months ahead of time, we called the ensuing recovery from that period and even called this top in SPX, using EW. It's not that hard, the fundies come out in the technicals, not the other way around. Now we'll see 3*** SPX this year, and then a lower high in 18-30 months after we bottom... Second Great Depression is coming soon.
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
@@cjb8993 Nope but have fun being 2 years early. You're still wrong. Short away and we'll see what happens.
@cjb8993
@cjb8993 4 күн бұрын
@@Fearzero your thesis? Right, you don’t have one, just emotion steeped in confidence. What could go wrong? 😂
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
The problem with printing money is that it doesn't work when there's weak demand. What is money printing really? It's mainly banks lending money into existence. The thinking is that if rates are low, banks will lend more of it. But if the economy is slowing lending becomes much riskier, and banks will want a higher interest rate to compensate their increased risk, which works against the Fed's stimulus efforts. The situation is much more complicated than lower rates = more money in the economy.
@Resmith18SR
@Resmith18SR 4 күн бұрын
Sam Altman speaking to the Vulture, I mean Venture Capitalists is hilarious. 😂
@BruceWayne-sh4nb
@BruceWayne-sh4nb 4 күн бұрын
That wrestling reference about becoming a heel made my night lol
@Xdami87
@Xdami87 4 күн бұрын
I heard about market crash 2 ywars ago , 3 . Recently in october and since then almost everzz week or two. And its slways opposite.wjat everybody expects csn simply not happen.
@Bizzyphazilly
@Bizzyphazilly 4 күн бұрын
So your saying that the stock market CANNOT crash?? Is that definitely??
@JMRBR
@JMRBR 4 күн бұрын
For institutions to make money, they need to force price to extremes so that retail traders are convinced that price will keep going. Only then there will be enough retail liquidity that institutions will use to close out their positions with hefty profits. Otherwise they couldn't make a buck. Hence, when most retail thinks this market CAN'T go down, is when the market WILL go down. It's close now. A little more patience if you're a bear.
@LadyOrion2012
@LadyOrion2012 4 күн бұрын
Just waiting until it crashes. I am waiting for a 25% or more drop.
@RichardArthur-jh1ph
@RichardArthur-jh1ph 4 күн бұрын
It's mostly passive investing through 401Ks that's been driving up the price of a few stocks. Meanwhile, there are great companies that are values now that may fair better when the bubble bursts.
@Bizzyphazilly
@Bizzyphazilly 4 күн бұрын
I’m just waking up and beginning to stretch.. 🥱
@brynduffy
@brynduffy 4 күн бұрын
You don't need copper in a recession.
@illusions46n2
@illusions46n2 4 күн бұрын
The demand for copper is only going to rise.
@s0.0s
@s0.0s 3 күн бұрын
​@@illusions46n2Not in a recession.
@omartalamantes8398
@omartalamantes8398 3 күн бұрын
Great interview.
@HH-bc2bv
@HH-bc2bv 4 күн бұрын
Very interesting 👏👏👏
@s0.0s
@s0.0s 3 күн бұрын
"All you have to do is make a few assumptions" 🤣
@jerryphillips6809
@jerryphillips6809 4 күн бұрын
Sam nailed it... AI "generally intelligent."
@ChrisSwaenepoel
@ChrisSwaenepoel 4 күн бұрын
Still no time frame on the 3750 lol😂
@Bizzyphazilly
@Bizzyphazilly 4 күн бұрын
August ‘25….
@umbytrader8933
@umbytrader8933 3 күн бұрын
Improbable!
@kulvantsingh571
@kulvantsingh571 4 күн бұрын
Why didn't you ask any questions about de-dollarization, BRICS being able to bypass US Senctions and BRICS currency?
@filippxx
@filippxx 4 күн бұрын
Because it's irelevant to anyone else besides Russian bots. China doesn't need this, and the rest are irelevant.
@joepappas4968
@joepappas4968 4 күн бұрын
His speech is similar to Doomberg.
@martinroncetti4134
@martinroncetti4134 4 күн бұрын
Interesting...Same person perhaps?
@joeblow4499
@joeblow4499 3 күн бұрын
Globalist investors always consider how politics affect current investments. Encouraging corporate growth through tariffs have an immediate effect, but like growing date palms(long term growth benefit), it will return industry to the USA. What is unknown is if common sense economic policy will turn our economy around before debt sinks the nation.
@YS-ys1us
@YS-ys1us 4 күн бұрын
An economist predicts stock market like a scientist treats patients. Noah, you need a physician. 😂
@Psychetwo
@Psychetwo 3 күн бұрын
That was a good question from David. With ecb, boe, boc, cutting, why is the fed keeping higher for longer. For me, I feel like partly it is because the US is exporting inflation throughout the world. We have printed money non stop in response to covid shut down. Somehow we are not expecting inflation? Or are somehow shocked by how much inflation we are getting?
@AMP98765
@AMP98765 4 күн бұрын
We have been hearing 30-40-50 percent correction/crash is about to happen for nearly a full year now yet nothing of the sort has happened. It’s getting real old but the truth is everyone on all these YT channels since early fall last year saying it was about to happen have been way too early and have lost much credibility with listeners. It’s their fault though so they really have to look at themselves and ask why they were saying it 8-10 even 12 months ago.
@JustinClawson-ix1ic
@JustinClawson-ix1ic 4 күн бұрын
This seems like the worst period. Even the market are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high,today I am more than 60% down!
@BrianLyke
@BrianLyke 4 күн бұрын
Don’t be confuse buying the dip in a bear market, with guaranteed future returns. Just because that company is down 60%+ from ATH does NOT make it a sound long-term investment. Make sure you’re investing in great companies. kudos to Sonia campbell
@RileyWilliams-lq3jh
@RileyWilliams-lq3jh 4 күн бұрын
Only God knows how much grateful i am. After so much struggles I now own a new house and my family is happy once again everything is finally falling into place!!Sonia campbell
@JustinClawson-ix1ic
@JustinClawson-ix1ic 4 күн бұрын
Amazing You trade ?? Wow that's huge, how do you make that much monthly?
@Lionadmike
@Lionadmike 4 күн бұрын
Sonia campbell is my hope on the current 'bear summer' . I did so many mistakes but also learned so much from it, and of course from Sonia campbell.
@burnettmeldon
@burnettmeldon 4 күн бұрын
Is this not same mrs Sonia my neighbour posted on her Whats App status 8 hours ago thanking for making her rich
@bibibachmd9995
@bibibachmd9995 4 күн бұрын
We shall see about TLT longterm. Robert Prechter, Charles Nenner, and other market cycle analysts are forecasting a longterm bear market in bonds.
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
When countries like Japan dump US debt (the largest holder btw), it will drive interest rates higher. The bullish calls on long bonds are not without risk.
@bibibachmd9995
@bibibachmd9995 4 күн бұрын
@@billadama Agree.
@billybudapest3129
@billybudapest3129 4 күн бұрын
I’m skeptical on a long term basis, but I think there is a strong case for a short to intermediate term rally in U.S. bonds. I definitely would approach it as a trade not a long term investment.
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
@@billybudapest3129 Yes, they could rally early into rate cuts, as could the stock market for that matter.
@RichardArthur-jh1ph
@RichardArthur-jh1ph 4 күн бұрын
TLT during the crash only.
@vincentmurphy9252
@vincentmurphy9252 3 күн бұрын
Guy makes sense more then most on
@brynduffy
@brynduffy 4 күн бұрын
This didn't make any sense: Regarding Chinese individual savings, it goes into households but even though the housing in China is a complete potemkin village, "The assets still exist"? This is the lie in this interview. I believe we're talking about $20 trillion dollars representing the Chinese housing market and at least half of that is 100% fiction. Maybe 9/10ths. This is a massive failure in this interview.
@jimscherer8072
@jimscherer8072 Күн бұрын
You have a main line to PBOC ? No one does. Put you head back up your butt hole.
@RajuCherry-rw3ie
@RajuCherry-rw3ie 4 күн бұрын
thanks for bringing up XAI80K pair - Watching all your videos when I get notified
@Nathan-om8es
@Nathan-om8es 4 күн бұрын
I'm new to trading, and I've lost a good sum trying out strategies I found in online tutorials. I would sincerely appreciate any recommendations you have.
@Stefanie-qj7lw
@Stefanie-qj7lw 4 күн бұрын
I think all you need is an expert assigned by a brokerage company that will trade for you and handle your capital professionally and give you weekly returns of investment without any extra fees attached
@Stefanie-qj7lw
@Stefanie-qj7lw 4 күн бұрын
Evelyn Turner is the professional that guides me and her optimal returns are really impressive
@Gilmore-ho8rz
@Gilmore-ho8rz 4 күн бұрын
Yeah, I believe investing with a professional is the optimal approach, as it mitigates the risk of significant losses. Did you genuinely know her? I was under the impression that I was the sole beneficiary of her guidance through the challenges of trading.
@Oprah34
@Oprah34 4 күн бұрын
Goodness gracious I'm so excited seeing Ms. Evelyn Turner been mentioned here also. Didn't know she has been good to other people too, this is wonderful because I also started with a KZfaq referral like this
@melissaziglar6620
@melissaziglar6620 4 күн бұрын
Seeing a remark regarding my manager Evelyn Turner is quite energizing. It was just like this when I first met her a few weeks ago. Having started with just 4k about 2-3 weeks ago, I have already made it to 21 k. She is very remarkable!
@Resmith18SR
@Resmith18SR 4 күн бұрын
Can I borrow the Frozen Glass analogy or do I have to pay a fee? 😂😂😂
@Key2DenverHomes
@Key2DenverHomes 3 күн бұрын
That was a weak analogy
@silviofontana5144
@silviofontana5144 4 күн бұрын
The Australian Reserve Bank also is playing with the people of Australia and not telling the truth. Like a rubber band, the RB keeps stretching out the inflation issue and now considering rising interest rates.
@davidlanham99
@davidlanham99 2 күн бұрын
US inflation isn’t 3% or 3.5%, it’s 11% the way they used to count it, so I’m ignoring all of this and buying more gold and silver. Have fun everyone.
@mirov77
@mirov77 3 күн бұрын
no peak or top especially when we have more bears coming out.
@yupingsun40
@yupingsun40 4 күн бұрын
he wants or predicts, but it is risky. You are reactive which is the right approach.
@thomasallen1951
@thomasallen1951 4 күн бұрын
Are people using their credit cards to buy Bitcoin?
@Hass-lz2tw
@Hass-lz2tw 4 күн бұрын
Hahaha
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
I have gotten loans to buy it. 68 percent CAGR for bitcoin. No brainer.
@jasoncortez1238
@jasoncortez1238 4 күн бұрын
@@Fearzeroit’s down almost 20% from the high 3 years ago. How is it a no brainwr investment? meanwhile SPY just hit another ATH and gold flirting with its ath set not too long ago
@marcobiagioni
@marcobiagioni 4 күн бұрын
Love the frozen glass analogy
@orvinstrickler2130
@orvinstrickler2130 4 күн бұрын
The economy was hot two years ago? Where did you get that from?
@PCGamer77
@PCGamer77 4 күн бұрын
Biden.
@jimscherer8072
@jimscherer8072 Күн бұрын
COVID stimulus
@orvinstrickler2130
@orvinstrickler2130 22 сағат бұрын
@jimscherer8072 Well if you were investing in Trump stocks with the Stimi checks, that's gonna pay off big in just a few months.
@PCGamer77
@PCGamer77 4 күн бұрын
22:59 U.S. Total Capital Expenditures 2010-2016: +47% 2017-2023: +52% Home construction went up and other cap ex held steady. Housing demand went up. The counterfactual is home construction going up and other cap ex *going* *down*. I want to be reincarnated as an economic commentator. You can just be wrong about everything all the time.
@mertcamlibel4661
@mertcamlibel4661 22 сағат бұрын
This channel is hilarious. Bears stroking eachother
@Ap_gmaing_yt
@Ap_gmaing_yt 4 күн бұрын
I'm staying in XAI80K till after ETFs being approved and will move into alts after that...
@rocketman99
@rocketman99 4 күн бұрын
There might be a consumer recession but this wont effect rhe fact that megacaps will massively increase capex for genAI as they are doing now most tech smh companies are sold out for 2025 too those earnings will come insane
@jaynawilliams8923
@jaynawilliams8923 4 күн бұрын
And...In the meantime....price go up.
@whdndrn
@whdndrn 4 күн бұрын
Will any youtuber point out all those who make horrendous false calls about bull run or crashes?
@JulioFastcruise
@JulioFastcruise 3 күн бұрын
Lazy people get what they deserve. Doesn't take much effort to search what someone has predicted before and if they were correct
@ampiciline
@ampiciline 4 күн бұрын
YOUR GUEST = MR ANALOGY
@veeruavamish8245
@veeruavamish8245 Күн бұрын
Every market expert says...means it wont happen😀😀
@gianfrancobergagna4024
@gianfrancobergagna4024 3 күн бұрын
Each time this guy comes out markets outperform 10/15% up😂
@ryandeleon222
@ryandeleon222 Күн бұрын
See I don't think 150 BP cut is going to help much. For companies refinancing it's going to be way higher than when they financed with rates 0 in 2020-2021. CRE values are way underwater and vacancies are worse than the GFC so prices won't go higher. Housing prices are at 126 year high adjusted for inflation, so those can't go higher, and the consumer is... toast. The Fed hikes lag and so do the cuts. The last hike from July 2023 will still affect the economy 18 months down the line, as will the FFR every month since then affect the economy 18 months in the future. There's much more, I'm not even being creative.
@sokratzmmf
@sokratzmmf 4 күн бұрын
The problem is the easy times are over for the American empire. Now inflation is a major risk since the world will no longer subsidize American consumption at the same levels through the dollar’s world reserve currency status. The Fed has 2 options: let a recession cure inflation or give up and let stagflation take over. No easy solution for decades of American overconsumption.
@francoperrotta4968
@francoperrotta4968 2 күн бұрын
That mean it goin to run up more and more ..I don’t see any bearish stock anytime soon ..don’t listen to anyone juts watch the number ..number don’t lie people do
@yashrabarirajodaoffice
@yashrabarirajodaoffice 4 күн бұрын
Good news XAI80K will be added to Binance 🚀🚀
@gianfrancobergagna4024
@gianfrancobergagna4024 3 күн бұрын
Nvidia is a factoryless and use industry like Intel tmsc to produce!
@larrysmith2608
@larrysmith2608 3 күн бұрын
By Aug 2025. The floor by Oct 2024 is 46xx
@hemayadav5678
@hemayadav5678 4 күн бұрын
Why is XAI80K doing so well? That is concerning to me.
@amirfromisrael5662
@amirfromisrael5662 4 күн бұрын
Great interview!
@Mark-ez2vw
@Mark-ez2vw 3 күн бұрын
Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. Scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin and bitcoin, when things aren't going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.
@dwaynediesel6079
@dwaynediesel6079 4 күн бұрын
Goolsbe said they should cut soon. Jp Morgan just fired top guy for advice like this
@jimscherer8072
@jimscherer8072 Күн бұрын
The Fourth Turning is Now.
@TomHawk640
@TomHawk640 4 күн бұрын
Very interesting, transformation to “pessimism.”
@AmarjeetSingh-vv9qt
@AmarjeetSingh-vv9qt 4 күн бұрын
Thank you for the update XAI80K is done right, and waiting is part of the process.
@lucanidae100
@lucanidae100 4 күн бұрын
Dow Jones will hit 50,000 then comes the big crash. Food prices will go much higher as commoidity futures skyrocket and force all the prices up. Food prices are more like oil prices. Generalities with a hundred variables. 25%+ of consumers will have to stop spending. New comers will be spending more as they have never had it so good.
@alantan79
@alantan79 22 сағат бұрын
shorts are rekt again
@0monroy
@0monroy 4 күн бұрын
Tech stocks will plunder for at least 8 months. A correction of the current improvements with AI 86% failure in projects in the corporate world.
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
Nope. AI isn't like the dot com bubble at all. It has real world use case and will continue higher, particularly because the money printer must also go BRRR as deflation is a risk at this point.
@celcorsystems1890
@celcorsystems1890 4 күн бұрын
@@Fearzero exactly, i have been using AI a lot for the past 1 year
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
@@Fearzero Yeah it was pretty disappointing when no one ended up using the internet.
@Scarborough-c26
@Scarborough-c26 4 күн бұрын
I am at the beginning of my "investment journey" I plan to put 185K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% per year in dividend returns. Any advice for stocks that can outperform the S&P500 this 2024?
@cortez9978
@cortez9978 4 күн бұрын
the ones you dont buy
@RayWalker-mo
@RayWalker-mo 4 күн бұрын
I’m not well vast with the conditions of the marketplace, the avenue flow of transactions, not equipped enough with information. My best guess as to what outperforms the S&P is BRK or perhaps NVDA
@Lindsay-jy
@Lindsay-jy 4 күн бұрын
The issue is most folks have the “I want to do it myself mentality” but not skilled enough during crash, apparently they get burnt. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 350%, since the covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
@CaroLewis-j8k
@CaroLewis-j8k 4 күн бұрын
@@Lindsay-jy truly appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor... mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@Lindsay-jy
@Lindsay-jy 4 күн бұрын
Katherine Nance Dietz is the licensed advisor I use. Just google the name. You’d find necessary deets. To be honest, I almost didn't buy the idea of letting someone handle growing my finance, but so glad I did.
@dianamsw245
@dianamsw245 4 күн бұрын
Time for shopping
@annihilationHaven
@annihilationHaven 3 күн бұрын
I think it will be imperative to almost completely isolate most people before they start using AI as a human friend replacement. To achieve that, I believe they are starting with their "new normal" strategy, and soon they will literally give everyone Chinese style shoebox housing with free connection to AI. Average incomes will be too low to afford anything, so city owned bikes and scooters will be rented out to everyone to enjoy their economic 15- min city. Now THAT is control.
@PatamaGomutbutra
@PatamaGomutbutra 4 күн бұрын
I do not care about stock. The face reality make me tight belt and reduce spending as much as I can.
@Mrtrancefreak50
@Mrtrancefreak50 2 күн бұрын
Dividends in the right stock keep up with inflation, do yourself a favor
@Steve-mc9rk
@Steve-mc9rk 2 күн бұрын
One important aspect of Trump returning to office would be the U.S. returning to energy independence. This would lower costs across many sectors.
@xDownwithBigBrother
@xDownwithBigBrother 7 сағат бұрын
fascist clown
@benjaminbai2192
@benjaminbai2192 2 күн бұрын
A somber warning of what the market could do. Clearly the guest does not understand AI. I bet he does not invest in Bitcoin.
@SteveMartile
@SteveMartile 3 күн бұрын
Not until it hits $7,000+ first
@Bigredbulldog401
@Bigredbulldog401 4 күн бұрын
Trump said multiple times he’s gonna negotiate better Trade agreements because we get tariffs That means he’s gonna try to work out a deal for free trade if not I want tariffs because other countries do the same to us
@originalfred66
@originalfred66 4 күн бұрын
Fake news says Trump just wants to increase tariffs. You are right that the real story is that Trump wants to use tariffs as a bargaining chip to get better trade deals, especially with China. The irony is that better trade deals would actually help China as well as the U.S. in the long term.
@ericsmoove2165
@ericsmoove2165 4 күн бұрын
Tariffs is going raise interest rates. Trump had good economy because Obama. 4 yrs in office he made ecomomy bad because he didnt take covid serious 400k people die over his watch.
@CreativeBotSam
@CreativeBotSam 4 күн бұрын
Tariffs increase the price that you the consumer pays for a product. They are actually a terrible policy.
@Bigredbulldog401
@Bigredbulldog401 4 күн бұрын
@@CreativeBotSam guess u don’t know what a negotiation is? So you’re ok with them giving us tariffs but we shouldn’t? Idc if it is more I rather not put money in our enemies pockets either way
@Fifamud2023
@Fifamud2023 4 күн бұрын
no one wants to hear the truth; nothing keeps going up for ever
@terryli340
@terryli340 4 күн бұрын
👍👍👍👍👍
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
Being early is still being wrong.
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
Only if your horizon is 3-6 months out. If you're willing to wait a few years it's a different story.
@RichardArthur-jh1ph
@RichardArthur-jh1ph 4 күн бұрын
Being early is getting out the exit door before you're trampled. Avoiding the big loss is far better than missing the last 15-20% of the melt up.
@Fearzero
@Fearzero 4 күн бұрын
@@RichardArthur-jh1ph Stop losses exist for a reason.
@toram6210
@toram6210 3 күн бұрын
ITS 50 50 CHANCE NO POINT SAYING THIS
@TB-LivingFree
@TB-LivingFree 4 күн бұрын
Happy Freeday all
@ph00n0
@ph00n0 3 күн бұрын
Eltp new nvidia, brace for the moon
@FranklinCheng
@FranklinCheng 4 күн бұрын
do you only interview with permabear guest? cause the market is going up for a while
@and1play5
@and1play5 4 күн бұрын
they make more money on bear content
@azzeddinemechedal666
@azzeddinemechedal666 4 күн бұрын
Another bear 🐻 man here. I'm bullish based on all those people. I'm 1000% the market will skyrocket next week. Don't listen to those foolish analysts.
@maxangeles6279
@maxangeles6279 4 күн бұрын
so what american companies are still in china????????????????????? he's wrong about that fact.
@boglehead5822
@boglehead5822 4 күн бұрын
Which stocks will cause this crash?? The S&P 500 has 500 stocks, its impossible to predict what it will do.
@deseosuho
@deseosuho 4 күн бұрын
Peak to trough S&P 500 declines for the last 10 recessions (going back to 1957) range from -14% to -57%. Average and Median declines of ~31%. Conditional on a recession getting called prior to a further meltup, a 30% decline is extremely reasonable.
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
The epic 15 year credit pump leading into the recession makes me think 50% is the minimum drawdown we'll see. People have faith in the Fed now, but when they don't, lookout below. We'll see I guess.
@youcanthandlethetruth6007
@youcanthandlethetruth6007 3 күн бұрын
Who’s buying the debt? I sense cheating
@Resmith18SR
@Resmith18SR 4 күн бұрын
I hope Bitcoin returns to 16K. 😂😂😂
@CreativeBotSam
@CreativeBotSam 4 күн бұрын
How about to zero 😂
@VishalKumar-xm3th
@VishalKumar-xm3th 4 күн бұрын
Tomorrow you gonna be mad if you are not in XAI60T yet
@user-mc1os4oq6n
@user-mc1os4oq6n 4 күн бұрын
What goes up must come down, I know it and vegetable lasagna know it ,and all these so-called economists ,they know it .they have been talking The talk walking the walk for a deacade ,can you give me a window..,that window is within 12 months.
@serhiykondratyuk7919
@serhiykondratyuk7919 4 күн бұрын
2000 , not 3750
@bradw2k
@bradw2k 4 күн бұрын
7000 then 2000
@billadama
@billadama 4 күн бұрын
Agreed. We should test COVID lows within 2-3 years I think.
@CreativeBotSam
@CreativeBotSam 4 күн бұрын
2000 would be amazing, but we’ll have to see
@sergiomagalhaes3240
@sergiomagalhaes3240 3 күн бұрын
Sure, someday, somewhere, a crash will occour. These apocalypse knight riders will eventually get it right once.
@eh7599
@eh7599 4 күн бұрын
great guest
@TT3TT3
@TT3TT3 4 күн бұрын
All these old farts predicting doom and gloom....we re going higher...😂
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