Ten years ago, I predicted 2022. Did I get it right?

Рет қаралды 11,932,496

2 жыл бұрын

Predicting the future is a fool's errand, but I tried it: talking about phones, lifelogging, and social changes. And on top of that: what do I think's coming in 2032?
2012 photo credits:
Andy Davidson, IMG_1790, www.flickr.com/photos/andy_d/...
Andy Davidson, IMG_1791, www.flickr.com/photos/andy_d/...
both licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 creativecommons.org/licenses/...
The Brief History of the Dead by Kevin Brockmeier: amzn.to/3qkj9jP [that's an affiliate link]
Thanks to Garry, Alex and K for suggesting this video!
🟥 MORE FROM TOM: www.tomscott.com/
(you can find contact details and social links there too)
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Пікірлер: 14 000

@TomScottGo 2 жыл бұрын

And yes, to avoid the obvious comments: I have aged in the last ten years. It'll happen to you, too. And it's better than the alternative!

@figoff2173 2 жыл бұрын

Inevitable, isn’t it?

@JP03 2 жыл бұрын

Impossible 😂😂

@cfgcfh6350 2 жыл бұрын

jesus the wall is brutal

@zinitaropiki9743 2 жыл бұрын

@SpiraltTheOne 2 жыл бұрын

Lies

@lach888c2 2 жыл бұрын

There’s 3 rules in predicting tech. 1. The laws of physics never change 2. Average consumers will always prefer simplicity (abstraction) over performance. 3. Technology can never solve social problems on it’s own.

@_blank-_ 2 жыл бұрын

3. Technology makes social problems worse

@StuntpilootStef 2 жыл бұрын

4. Every optimistic prediction turns out to be the opposite.

@the_undead 2 жыл бұрын

@@_blank-_ depends on the technology and depends on the social problem. Now if you're going to tell me social media makes divides in society worse then absolutely I agree with you on that. But if you're going to tell me that technology makes Healthcare worse I'm going to sit here and laugh at you for about 3 hours and then move on with my day as dealing with people that dumb is just a waste of time.

@estherpettigrew3042 2 жыл бұрын

@@_blank-_ Only because one of our social problems is that it's far easier to abuse than to use.

@alex22tp 2 жыл бұрын

damn thats true and kinda deep...

@pietro1102 2 жыл бұрын

"Our phones will record everything we say." Tom : "Ah,I got this one wrong". Facebook and Google that are listening to send you ads : sigh of relief

@alphagaming9004 2 жыл бұрын

Thought the same thing 😂

@Swifly_Norman 2 жыл бұрын

And Alexa, etc can probably hear everything you say

@MrNicoJac 2 жыл бұрын

Worse yet, some... 'less-democratic' governments are _known_ to have used the phones of activists and trouble makers to eavesdrop on their conversations. (as for the more-democratic governments, it's hard to say whether they never do that, or are just better at hiding it)

@MiguelFlores-fs7qv 2 жыл бұрын

@@MrNicoJac 😂😂😂😂 so profound wow very insightful 😂😂 get back to work bozo

@MiguelFlores-fs7qv 2 жыл бұрын

@@fischy947 keep working to get that GED you’ll do it one day buddy!

@noahpog6849 11 ай бұрын

He was actually right about Apple wanting people to record their entire lives. One of the big "selling points" of the Apple Vision Pro is being able to record your life and "relive" memories. He was just a year off

@cat1554 8 ай бұрын

To be fair, the pandemic wasn't really expected by anyone.

@davinchristino 8 ай бұрын

@@cat1554 This wasn't caused by the pandemic though. Seems like it would happen one way or the other.

@somethinglikemayer 7 ай бұрын

Also right about phones recording microphones, but in a marketing way

@theworm7156 7 ай бұрын

well not really, its just a form of 3d video. nothing like what was mentioned in the talk

@pjschu3297 22 күн бұрын

he was wrong with only 2 min. details: - not optional ; products name is Pegasus 😅

@meme-xn6po 8 ай бұрын

The fact that he was right in the way that short form videos are now really skyrocketing in popularity is making my heart ache.

@TitaniumDragon 7 ай бұрын

They were already skyrocketing in popularity back then. In fact, this prediction was a bit late - Tik Tok use has actually levelled off, by the looks of things. The average adult spends the same amount of time on TikTok today as they did in 2021.

@Bbouy1HD 4 ай бұрын

@@TitaniumDragon But youtube, facebook and instagram shorts have blown up.

@_..-.._..-.._ 19 күн бұрын

This vid is 2 years old, that’s not a crazy prediction for 2032

@Mayhzon 17 күн бұрын

If it helps you sleep at night, it's somewhat astroturfed. The algorithms are all set up to reward short-form videos AND on top of it all, these videos are forced onto mobile users as autoplay when you start up the KZfaq app. Longform videos still have a lot of viewers, though.

@Patterrz 2 жыл бұрын

I can't imagine a world without KZfaq, where would I procrastinate all day to avoid my responsibilities??

@MammaApa 2 жыл бұрын

You'll be old enough for Bingo soon.

@3nertia 2 жыл бұрын

I feel personally attacked by your statement ...

@danieljoybaguio7975 2 жыл бұрын

Tiktok? Nah.

@100percentmeep 2 жыл бұрын

No need to worry, KZfaq will probably replaced by something else counterproductive

@SpaceTimeBeing_ 2 жыл бұрын

Decentralised KZfaq alternatives like odyssey or something

@CallemJay_McNeill Жыл бұрын

I really like how you have no issue admitting where you were wrong, it's humbling and serves as an example to a few of us, myself included 😊

@ProphecyGaming. 4 ай бұрын

petition for tom scott to come back from retirement in 2032 and react to this

@revolver265 Ай бұрын

Nah. The Deconstruct: 2030 talk is probably better for this. (the video's called "Privacy's dead", more or less)

@LaidbackLost 2 жыл бұрын

2012: “The descendant of Siri will have advanced abilities” Actual 2022: “Hey Siri, call my dad” “Ok, showing google results for Call of Duty”

@EscapesAndRemoves 2 жыл бұрын

Bruh.

@wellsilver3972 2 жыл бұрын

This has 3 really funny meanings

@pacifico4999 2 жыл бұрын

"Hey Siri, call me daddy" "I don't see a father in your contacts"

@i.z2335 2 жыл бұрын

@@pacifico4999unus annus

@quandaliusdinglus3374 2 жыл бұрын

@@pacifico4999 that make sense tho because Irish english speakers say me instead of my alot of times

@kittywatchesyoutube 2 жыл бұрын

I think 2012 was the perfect year to have done this because it felt like a big transition year for smart phones and social media. Definitely didn’t see the death of blogs for a couple of years

@SentinalSlice 2 жыл бұрын

Well, people did think it was the end of the world.

@syferpolski4344 2 жыл бұрын

blogs didn't die. They just went into counterculture, and they're coming back in force now

@sulwhale3171 2 жыл бұрын

True

@brandonthesteele 2 жыл бұрын

@DAVID 2012 had a special end of the world energy, it was the Mayan prophecy thing. No year since then had that - we traded fun, immediate, supernatural apocalyptic notions for depressing, distant, concrete, and constant ones.

@colonelarmfeldt8572 2 жыл бұрын

@@PaulB_864 I think 2013-2015 was the transition, with 2014 being the main year. This is in terms of personal technology and culture.

@heatherprincipe8537 5 ай бұрын

If Google decides to "shut down this old product" I don't care. I would miss someone like you. You're intelligent and genuine and humble.

@Nickxxx85 3 ай бұрын

Dude was 20 in 2012 and is 45 in 2022, how the time flies:D

@RealGestumblindi 2 жыл бұрын

"Back in summer 2012 this was a warm, friendly temporary festival site with a load of people on it, and now it's a cold, run-down, deserted bit of scrubland" - well, this sums up the difference between 2012 and 2022 quite well, doesn't it?

@splattyfatty 2 жыл бұрын

I can't argue, you're right.

@Smalls-eye24 2 жыл бұрын

In 2012 all I could think about was the end of the world lmao

@1993greeksoldier 2 жыл бұрын

@@Smalls-eye24 what do you find yourself thinking about now?

@paul5324 2 жыл бұрын

@@Smalls-eye24 there’s a written theory out there that the world did “end” in 2012. Now I can’t find it.

@Izaac1337 2 жыл бұрын

@ObiWanBillKenobi 2 жыл бұрын

KZfaq getting shut down is honestly a scary thought to me. Not in terms of privacy, but in terms of how much information I have absorbed through it (like learning how to use an oscilloscope), or reconnected with from before KZfaq existed (like obscure TV show clips), that would have all been severed with one swift stroke.

@Jack-iv1ed 2 жыл бұрын

It will still be used for educational purposes, just less for entertainment. Just take tiktok for example, you cant even go to a specific timestamp or forward or reward by 10 seconds etc., it would be very annoying to watch a documentary there, KZfaq ist just way better for that. So in the bigger picture it might actually be a good thing; youtube being more educational than a potential distraction is something im looking forward to

@thefirehawk1495 2 жыл бұрын

I honestly think KZfaq does more good for the world than bad, but the censorship and demonetization and shadow banning of creators is really bugging me. I hope the content of youtube just gets reuploaded in other platforms and it dies, or, better yet, google decides to stop being evil again and lets freedom of speech have its place.

@snowfox780 2 жыл бұрын

I hope before shutting down KZfaq gives creators the option to move their content their own servers or other services.

@koolaid33 2 жыл бұрын

I think they'd keep the content in some history of some sorts, so they wouldn't remove all of this from ever existing. I bet though there's gonna be a new big social media, like how when Vine died a thing called Tik Tok appeared and now Tik Tok is a massive social media site.

@anlumo1 2 жыл бұрын

It's scary to me too, just imagine the amount of productivity I'd regain for doing actual work!

@alexia3552 Жыл бұрын

Holy crap it's only been 10 years that our entire lives have been mobile? How... did that feel embedded, like breathing, so quickly?

@gerthddyn 6 ай бұрын

I thought of this original video more as a warning tale. Kind of a shorter term 1984. The fact that we haven't gone where you feared completely is a good thing for humanity as a whole.

@safe-keeper1042 2 жыл бұрын

Problem with predicting anything is that predictions tend to just take the current trends and imagine that they will go on indefinitely. Real-life is full of plot twists, unexpected developments, and for that matter fads that just fizzle out on their own.

@Reyn_the_Insane 2 жыл бұрын

This is why "the future" in media in like the 50s, 60s, etc., looks like that era. You have no frame of reference other than your own current time.

@Vysair 2 жыл бұрын

pandemic completely changed everything and accelerated the growth insanely

@reinaldomartinez13 2 жыл бұрын

But one if the best ways to predict the future is to look at the past because a lot of things are cyclic in nature

@cheminem 2 жыл бұрын

agreed, its called the ""heuristic bias"

@syvulpie 2 жыл бұрын

Just like COVID. No-one could've predicted that.

@jamppamaattori Жыл бұрын

That prediction that the world will increasingly focus more and more on short-form videos was one of the most depressing things I've heard in a while.

@shawno8253 Жыл бұрын

I'm not entirely sure if I agree with it. At least until the algorithms improve. My biggest problem with shortform is that most of what is recommended to me is garbage.

@Slav4o911 Жыл бұрын

I don't think it would happen, it's the same when people though mobile games are going to replace PC games.... that's still not happening. Also most short videos are complete garbage. Recently I tend to watch even longer videos than before, not shorter ones... so no... not after 10 not after a 100 years, short videos are not going to replace anything.

@tripletoejoe5469 Жыл бұрын

@@shawno8253 but people still scroll and scroll waiting for one small good thing and they won’t stop.

@orshy1 Жыл бұрын

@@shawno8253 Agreed. Once in awhile I do run into a short that's almost like an advertisement for a long video that I would be interested in though.

@ogulin6039 Жыл бұрын

@@Slav4o911 the mobile gaming market is bigger than the pc and console markets combined no? its a massively lucrative business and at the very least it's killed browser games

@TerraNeedsAName 7 ай бұрын

"There's no money in Twitter, just the ability to promote other stuff." One year later and this line was already proven wrong, that's a terrifying thought process

@tinoesroho 7 ай бұрын

well, there's money in twitter --- as long as you're willign to kiss elon's ass. but there's still more money in other forms of S-- work!

@55CINCO55 7 ай бұрын

I don't use Twitter, how was it proven wrong?

@iSaint9 7 ай бұрын

@@55CINCO55 Elon decided that any person who pays him $8 monthly deserves to get paid for their engagement, so Twitter turned into a cesspool of bait posts and engagement farms to make some quick and easy money.

@TypicalBlox 7 ай бұрын

@@55CINCO55 You can get paid on twitter depending on how popular your tweet was.

@vitoc8454 7 ай бұрын

@@55CINCO55 It wasn't. The site is a disaster. Twitter (or... X) is hemorrhaging money, is currently worth less than half of the money Musk paid for it, and has just started the ludicrous offer of $16 a month for a "premium version"

@NobleNobbler Жыл бұрын

I love the honesty in the failures. We need more of that!

@logicturtle9838 2 жыл бұрын

Back around 2005-2006 I remember seriously wishing there was some way I could get the internet into a car so that I could listen to internet radio there. If you want to know what's going to happen in the next 3 or 4 years in tech, just ask a teenager what's missing.

@professordoungut 2 жыл бұрын

Better things for disabled people :)

@OpenFieldd 2 жыл бұрын

mm. Bigger nukes. Bigger guns. Bigger buildings. Bigger everything EXPAND THE WORLD

@BassMaster.454 2 жыл бұрын

@@OpenFieldd bigger balls

@leritykay8911 2 жыл бұрын

@@OpenFieldd Ah yes good old dystopia

@jerbob6407 2 жыл бұрын

@@OpenFieldd haha planet go boom

@TinkerManMick 2 жыл бұрын

I was dreaming of wireless headphones when I was skateboarding as a teenage kid. In my 30's now and the dream has finally come true. 😁

@TheOnlyHiMa 2 жыл бұрын

Hey champion

@Justm3180 2 жыл бұрын

I had the same idea

@PureRush94 2 жыл бұрын

Yoo I did the same! I remember tying my earbud wires to my hoodie strings so they wouldn’t get tangled or rip out of my ears haha

@Brandon-bc5um 2 жыл бұрын

Wireless headphones existed when you were a teen though.

@Brandon-bc5um 2 жыл бұрын

@@MK8MasterJunjie How the hell you have 150k subs but only average 200 views per video? Paid?

@geznicks 8 ай бұрын

It does give me some confidence watching stuff like this, that probably the dystopian predictions we have won't come true

@bigbossnass9240 4 ай бұрын

I really wish that in 2012, you would have filmed yourself answering interview questions from yourself in 2022. And you stitch it together to make it seamless as much as possible. That would be so cool to see and would have been a fantastic way to end your KZfaq career. We'll miss you, Tom!

@Nickxxx85 3 ай бұрын

waht an original idea, saw it dozens of times

@based_oregano 2 жыл бұрын

I would say that the whole "iLife" prediction actually ended up being right in the watered down form of Snapchat stories and Instagram stories. I still get notifications to this day of a "memory" from 6 years ago.

@tams805 2 жыл бұрын

Even OneDrive does that. I'm sure I clicked/tapped through some intro screen that set that up, but I don't recall doing it.

@evanswart480 2 жыл бұрын

But it’s your job to create the memory, it’s not being involuntarily recorded

@DarthGTB 2 жыл бұрын

Google Photos and Yandex Disk do that too

@DavidKnowles0 2 жыл бұрын

Same as Google, I get notifications about pictures taken 15 years ago. Now that because for some reasons those photos have the wrong date attached to them, 2007 instead of 2012, they are clear of the Olympic torch relay going through Barkingside.

@DavidKnowles0 2 жыл бұрын

The whole life blogging has taken off because battery technology and camera technology doesn't allow it, yet.

@Mahmoud.Kiblawi 2 жыл бұрын

Tom don’t worry, looking back at your past self and being embarrassed is something we can all relate to

@Cheesepuff8 2 жыл бұрын

Ye I’m not sure that’s anyone who isn’t embarrassed by things their past self did

@youkofoxy 2 жыл бұрын

In fact we can look back at a something done yesterday and be "what fool has... Wait it was made by me"

@jamesbw2 2 жыл бұрын

its personal growth :))

@cradle2resurrection 2 жыл бұрын

Indeed, especially if it happens some nights while you’re in bed and just ready to get some sleep.

@marisdussartre600 2 жыл бұрын

No I was born perfect

@steviemac2681 Жыл бұрын

I never even thought about the fact that I don't see blogs much anymore til I watched this.

@helmerkappert5152 Жыл бұрын

Appreciating your intention to share many failures in how difficult it is to predict the future..well done i hope to be able to see your next 10year prediction..thanks!

@aanrrat1354 2 жыл бұрын

I got a sinking feeling of dread when I saw the last panel. It's not even that I love KZfaq but the sheer amount of human knowledge and work and experience that is on KZfaq and will come to it in 10 years time. Gone from public eyes forever, with a single press of a button. It is unfathomable.

@CWINDOWSsystem32 2 жыл бұрын

I can see Google making it harder to upload videos, but I don't see them shutting down the service entirely in the near future.

@nabicx 2 жыл бұрын

simple, make youtube a public service. like water.

@kissit012 2 жыл бұрын

No different than throwing a book or your phone away. Information is always around, access to it is the issue.

@Omega_thehusky 2 жыл бұрын

@@nabicx 10 years later youtube is now pbs everyone has access to to it for ever

@mikesilver9476 2 жыл бұрын

:( This already happens to KZfaq who cover “sensitive” subjects or expose people/corporations.

@Flebsy 2 жыл бұрын

The prediction of short form content *completely* taking over long form content reminds me almost exactly how mobile games were "destined" to kill the traditional gaming industry. "Why make a console game if it cost 10x the amount and made 10x less money?" "Everyones going to have a phone, they won't need a console!" We now know how both can co-exist and continue to grow, but 10 years ago it really felt like it could happen. I think there's a very good place for both and it'll still be that way in 10 years. Short form will be king (it currently is), but long form will stay healthy and continue to grow.

@Jwm367t 2 жыл бұрын

Tom's prediction is not that bold. It's already started happening. TikTok has taken over for most of the z-generation as the go to platform

@HamTransitHistory 2 жыл бұрын

"Do You Guys Not Have Phones?"

@sirjmo 2 жыл бұрын

Except the mobile games cost a tenth the effort/money to make and have the potential to make over ten times more in 'micro' transactions. So many companies started shoving crap instead of quality

@star-army 2 жыл бұрын

The mobile games industry now makes more money than Hollywood. Look it up!

@xenos_n. 2 жыл бұрын

The primary reason why mobile gaming isn't much more huge is that most companies would rather produce cheap low quality mindless crap (which absolutely isn't necessary if you look at a game like Hearthstone which has been an excellent mobile game for years), but the other big hinderance is the control scheme. Only touch controls is very limiting. That said, if companies focused more on quality than whatever makes them the most money (which obviously will not happen), mobile gaming could potentially become better and more respected.

@L3NORE.RAWR.X3 6 ай бұрын

5:00 not me watching this with bluetooth headphones

@tomdave42 4 ай бұрын

You looked like a hippie Tom! I will say that you have matured very gracefully I appreciate your channel and I look forward to any and all new content and predictions of the future thank you for your hard work Tom

@EloLeChan 2 жыл бұрын

It's never occurred to me that Google might eventually shut down KZfaq, considering how much valuable content there is on it, but it makes sense. I hope people will make an archive until then.

@Nekotaku_TV 2 жыл бұрын

As long as most of it can be backed up, then it would be a good thing cause KZfaq is horrible, there just is no competition.

@bumpadump-5490 2 жыл бұрын

@@Nekotaku_TV that would not be a good thing

@CptJistuce 2 жыл бұрын

I remain surprised that KZfaq hasn't been shut down. Google has a well-earned reputation for buying services and shutting them down a few years later. In fairness, I also expected KZfaq to be merged into Google Video after the buy, not for the two to operate alongside each other independently until Google Video was deleted.

@tubester358 2 жыл бұрын

@@Nekotaku_TV it's not terrible, it just has some management issues, and as a consequence of being too big & diverse it can't please everyone. I though Tom Scott himself highlighted how if it wasn't for KZfaq's content id most content creators probably couldn't have made half the stuff they do now & not a fraction of the exposure, and getting a copyright strike or demonetisation is just better than dealing with lawsuits or not being allowed to make anything. The oversensitivity to various topics is truely annoying but they're at the whim of advertisers since KZfaq Premium never took off to the level of a streaming service (despite honestly having much more interesting content) Some niches are certainly better off having their own platform though

@dhayes5143 2 жыл бұрын

As of Feb. 2020, 30,000 hours of content were being uploaded to KZfaq per hour. I can't see that having decreased by 2022. I would hate to see it all lost, but good luck with being able to back-up all that data.

@radut1999 2 жыл бұрын

I just hope you're wrong and people will get fed up with extremely short, superficial TikTok videos. Your type of content/format is the one i prefer, and i hope it never dies.

@digdigdigo 2 жыл бұрын

it's a trend cycle, keeps falling in and out of popularity

@hubguy 2 жыл бұрын

I don’t see shortform videos going away anytime soon but I do think if it isn’t changed and more people use it to further spread misinformation that its growth will halt or be slowed

@aquss33 2 жыл бұрын

agreed

@mateuszbugaj799 2 жыл бұрын

There was this thing called Vine which hosted 7 sec long videos and it's gone now. I hope tiktok will be gone too as it's super bad for people's brains but I'm afraid that it is too important for the Chinese government to allow it

@tweer64 2 жыл бұрын

Google already started KZfaq Shorts.

@queenofthesalt5199 Жыл бұрын

I think that short form hasn’t fully taken over KZfaq in the same way, but rather, has acted as a sort of supplement. Stuff like TikTok has taken over the instant gratification that KZfaq used to do, but now, I do all of that bigger binging on KZfaq instead of stuff like Hulu and Netflix.

@ambarishkshirsagar458 10 ай бұрын

I love Tom, but how did he age like 20+ years in only 10 years.

@fabtjar 7 ай бұрын

My bad for always watching his videos with x2 playback speed 😅

@codyhanson1344 7 ай бұрын

that ages you as well@@fabtjar

@Michael-gi5th 5 ай бұрын

Yep how like, im surprised too, 20 years at the least

@babblingalong7689 5 ай бұрын

@@Michael-gi5th Maybe he had a rough decade.

@colbyboucher6391 8 күн бұрын

30s tend to do that

@andyyymp3 2 жыл бұрын

I can't believe 2012 was ten years ago... life really seems to go by faster and faster as you grow up. Ten years. Wow.

@shambhav9534 2 жыл бұрын

2020 was 2 years ago. That's crazier.

@VIZOP 2 жыл бұрын

@@shambhav9534 exactly

@its_zayaan 2 жыл бұрын

@@shambhav9534 WHAT THE HECK😳😭... I cannot process this! I can’t believe it. I’ve aged 4 years since 2020... it’s all hitting me now. Time has gone so fast like I can’t process the fact that 2020 was 3 YEARS AGO!! Like I lost a close friend to covid and I remember the exact date too (February 13th 2020) I’m scared of how fast time is going because I remember everything that happened in 2020 like yesterday, like I could literally make a whole documentary on it and remember every detail😳 Also how fast we’re aging... it’s actually scary to think about😰

@logicss2893 2 жыл бұрын

@@its_zayaan nah you just bored all that time

@gladysomoruyi9462 2 жыл бұрын

@@its_zayaan .omg sammeeee i cant get my mind out of 2020 being 2 years ago like i swear i was JUST in 2020 what theeee

@seijurolol 2 жыл бұрын

Tom: When has anyone been ever able to predict politics? The Simpsons: Hold my DUFF

@ClaraMercury 2 жыл бұрын

TRUE

@arib515 2 жыл бұрын

I was labeled a conspiracy theorist for the past 10 years now they are all coming true.

@alpha_jasperflair1097 2 жыл бұрын

FINALLY SOMEONE WHO UNDERSTANDS

@creekdojo4125 2 жыл бұрын

1:20

@homersimpson6362 2 жыл бұрын

Amen xD

@markkoetsier6475 Жыл бұрын

2012: College kid 2022: My dad

@a_plus_luxe3426 2 жыл бұрын

You’re right to say blogs are less significant now, but I don’t think it’s because of twitter, I think podcasts and high quality youtube essays+lifestyle vlogs are simply an evolved form of simple text blogging. Short form videos are nice but they really won’t be able to satisfy my need to interact with a content creator’s high level ideas.

@Acid_Ash 2 жыл бұрын

I agree completely. Even watching a bunch of shorts the content is too simple

@Sunnykr275 2 жыл бұрын

Honestly I don’t watch blogs at all. It does not give information. Or maybe they do? At the certain age of people which I completed (I’m getting old) now I watch just much more information videos and documentaries

@NathanGriffithsNZ 2 жыл бұрын

I'd say blogs to a certain extent didn't disappear, but they did stop being independently hosted. These days people use sites like Medium instead.

@Acid_Ash 2 жыл бұрын

@@NathanGriffithsNZ Either that or it’s overly sponsored

@MrNicoJac 2 жыл бұрын

Also, things like long Facebook posts are sorta like blogs. Rare for most users though

@pangolin83 2 жыл бұрын

I feel like the point about "iLife" not being real because "people don't like remembering everything" is not 100% wrong. Services like iCloud/Google Photos (and even Snapchat and Facebook) have everything stored in the cloud and would periodically throw up memories when you open those apps. It's not exactly the same sort of thing but I think it's a small piece of what Tom was going for.

@skymin 2 жыл бұрын

Google Photos also seems to be suspiciously good at identifying people in photos and videos at this point too, though they don't notify you if you've appeared in someone else's photos (yet)

@Communist-Doge 2 жыл бұрын

And maybe kinda Google Timeline (Location History) on Google Maps, tracking your locations every day and giving you an overview. Sort of similar in a tiny sense.

@CryptP 2 жыл бұрын

That's what I was thinking. The fact that your phone is constantly tracking your location and saves it to the cloud is accurate too. You can check maps and see everywhere you've been. I think he's being a bit too hard on some of his own predictions, not taking them with the pinch of salt that they need

@pangolin83 2 жыл бұрын

@@skymin Facebook did, with their "is this you" feature that they pulled when they recognised your face in one of your friend's photos - scary stuff

@pangolin83 2 жыл бұрын

@@Communist-Doge Yes, Google Location History is a similar thing! But then your photos are automatically geotagged so that's just another piece of data for making it even more accurate

@seriousface116 Жыл бұрын

It's been a rough 10 years hasn't it fella

@thek1ngcapybara 9 ай бұрын

1 year after "there is no money in twitter" and now people are getting bags left and right

@davidg5898 2 жыл бұрын

Moral of the story: Tom is much better at predicting the past and present, and being thrown through windows, than predicting the future.

@casonsbasketballtutorials 2 жыл бұрын

How many subs can I get from this Current 89

@argo1879 2 жыл бұрын

@@casonsbasketballtutorials none

@arcitekk 2 жыл бұрын

@@casonsbasketballtutorials none

@thenuka9954 2 жыл бұрын

@@casonsbasketballtutorials none

@helloitsmealex9853 2 жыл бұрын

Postdicting

@TheRealGuywithoutaMustache 2 жыл бұрын

I think the lesson we can take away here, is that nobody can truly predict the future, no matter how knowledgeable you may be in the topic.

@justsomeguycalledkaraka5614 2 жыл бұрын

Omg it’s you

@Bleeped 2 жыл бұрын

@@justsomeguycalledkaraka5614 omg its a bot!!! 😱😱😱

@justsomeguycalledkaraka5614 2 жыл бұрын

@@Bleeped ?

@monad_tcp 2 жыл бұрын

I would never predict Javascript would be used in everything, which is why I quit programming and become a musician.

@Bleeped 2 жыл бұрын

@@justsomeguycalledkaraka5614 oh I see, this goes even deeper. So are you running all these accounts? I feel like I have stumbled on a rabbit hole

@shanesquuaaaddd7031 Жыл бұрын

And here we are a year later, nine years ahead of prediction, short-form video taking over. KZfaq Shorts, Tiktok, IG Reels

@TheOfficiaITristam 5 ай бұрын

He aged 30 years in 10 years thats amazing

@SouL-nb4wm 2 жыл бұрын

As long as you include the words “big” and “disaster” in somewhat close proximity then yes you predicted correctly

@carrieon2912 2 жыл бұрын

😂😂😂

@LavenderDoesStufYT 2 жыл бұрын

Very true

@Dark_Side_Productions 2 жыл бұрын

“There will be no big disaster”

@Erealista300 Жыл бұрын

@@Dark_Side_Productions That and any phrases implying the same are outlawed by law 189 article 3 of the constitution in the ass of the main commentor 😅

@dixienormus-6916 Жыл бұрын

@@Dark_Side_Productions exactly, its a perfect year. Also nothing happened in Tiananmen Square.

@Cyranek 2 жыл бұрын

I'm gonna be the boomer talking about the good ole youtube days

@cyb8490 2 жыл бұрын

You ain't alone buddy

@Pikachowww 2 жыл бұрын

This is Sparta!!!

@virtualtools_3021 2 жыл бұрын

Bring it back

@TayoEXE 2 жыл бұрын

I'm already a KZfaq Boomer since it was new when I was a preteen just making dumb videos. It surprises me is that there are now young adults who have never existed in a pre-KZfaq era.

@Michael-Archonaeus 2 жыл бұрын

Welcome to the club. I miss the good ol' days, when KZfaq was a small independent website, with a huge mess of nothing but David Icke conspiracy theories and blurry clips of flying saucers...

@Penfold497 Жыл бұрын

I have to admit, you grew old very gracefully

@thebatman4279 Жыл бұрын

😂😂

@PhilAndersonOutside 4 ай бұрын

Respect to you for making some bold guesses, missing a few, but having the guts to share this with us.

@user-ot1dv6ri4f 2 жыл бұрын

Tom Scott made this to throw us off the scent that he's actually 400 years old and can travel forwards and backwards in time

@jonb0i 2 жыл бұрын

@@slevinchannel7589 Scott the woz

@inari.28 2 жыл бұрын

tom is the doctor...?

@TheEmolano 2 жыл бұрын

@@slevinchannel7589 I like Scotty Kilmer more

@TheEmolano 2 жыл бұрын

He's John Titor

@crackhead5238 2 жыл бұрын

@@TheEmolano John Scott

@daver7465 2 жыл бұрын

"And it's better than the alternative!" well said...we lost a friend of ours at 29 so whenever the rest of us hit a milestone birthday now we think of what the alternative is to getting older.

@saverio_6990 2 жыл бұрын

Well tbh we dont know what the alternative really is like. Maybe the after life is cool af, so maybe no, its not better than the alternative

@djnolan00000 2 жыл бұрын

Same here exactly. Im turning 30 this year and because im a recovered addict ive seen a few dozen people die before 30. Its bittersweet. Im greatful to be here but it hurts thats all those people arent. even 2 of my exes overdosed.

@snailseyes 2 жыл бұрын

@@saverio_6990 Whether there is an after life or not, it's still better to live out your full life so I would beg to differ

@marksilla8276 2 жыл бұрын

@@saverio_6990 We'll get there all eventually so it doesn't matter where it's cool or not. Or whether it exists or not. You're here now

@saverio_6990 2 жыл бұрын

@@marksilla8276 all I am saying is that you cant say for sure that this life is better than the alternative

@roquea.deleon6175 8 ай бұрын

This is a cool video! Thanks for looking back and giving your insights. Already wrong about youtube video though as short form seems to becoming a bigger part of the platform and you can obviously monetize that directly via ads and the new subscribe/patreon like features.

@orangecroc 9 ай бұрын

No money in twitter... not even a year for that one to go away.

@HelloFutureMe 2 жыл бұрын

The end of this video genuinely sent a shiver down my spine as someone who relies on longform content.

@edrick7260 2 жыл бұрын

i also got that shivers, i just can't imagine the world without youtube and the ogs videos

@safisaurus8686 2 жыл бұрын

hey, love ur vids bro.

@LambentLight00 2 жыл бұрын

It gave me a very sad, sinking feeling.

@peterbraunschweig2779 2 жыл бұрын

That battle has already been fought, and Vine lost. I wouldn't worry about it too much.

@spingebill8551 2 жыл бұрын

I don’t think such a prediction is accurate. The technology for short form has been out for a long while now, and if short form is so good, it should have completely taken over by now. Also sure, short form videos are becoming increasing popular, but long form videos have many advantages over short form.

@myleshigh4225 Жыл бұрын

"KZfaq didn't kill television and television didn't kill radio" But video, video killed the radio star

@VioPLayable Жыл бұрын

BIG reference

@edwardmiessner6502 Жыл бұрын

👍👍

@evilocto22 Жыл бұрын

But in my mind? And in my car?

@Shm11xx Жыл бұрын

You’re right. Whenever ppl make this type of prediction, they daily to acknowledge the inevitable flaws that exist with each software/algorithm/system/tech.

@ocarinadude762 Жыл бұрын

Television isn’t dead yet, but it’s user base is dying. Literally

@friedpicklezzz Жыл бұрын

You could have defended your “mistakes” out of ego but you just admitted to them, which is both more entertaining to watch and a more humble/realistic… well done.

@IsaacShelp Жыл бұрын

wow, that decade did a number

@Miata822 2 жыл бұрын

The thought of KZfaq shutting down is rather terrifying. So much of our modern culture is recorded here. I was no longer using Yahoo mail when it ended premium accounts and didn't notice that memories I was archiving there was missing until it was irretrievably just gone. One day Flickr will probably do the same.

@redtro8678 2 жыл бұрын

I'm almost sure KZfaq will one day start to delete videos too old and with not enough views or whatever

@007i1 2 жыл бұрын

@@redtro8678 at the very least crushing the quality and deleting higher quality versions. Only 144p available with ultra high compression

@d9zirable 2 жыл бұрын

flickr is still around?

@stephanieamare 2 жыл бұрын

There are still active communities on Flickr, especially for those in virtual worlds such Second Life--for blogging (although the line between influencer and blogging is blurred these days) and photographing, which I do. It's also easy due to their idiot bots or some asshats out there, for your account to be terminated and for you to lose all of those photos or blog posts. I made the mistake of putting all of my eggs in one basket there--spent most of last year regaining my following, and re-establishing the rep I had/have in SL.

@pinki2568 2 жыл бұрын

Tom Scott LOSER! I HAVE A BETTER VIDEO!

@chersegems2315 2 жыл бұрын

It’s sad to me that a lot of the ways in which Tom was wrong pertain to the increased centralization of the internet-the effective replacement of blogging and private forums with the same few social media sites that everyone uses nowadays. They may be more convenient to use and easier to find other people & communities with, but I’ve always been wary of this model and I hope some cultural shift occurs soon that makes decentralization popular again (but I don’t actually expect it).

@Notmyday2009 2 жыл бұрын

*All human history says* Hasn't happen yet.

@thewiseturtle 2 жыл бұрын

As with all learning, from walking to politics, it's a helical process, where you go too far in one direction, and then too far in another, so that in the middle, you tend to be balanced and moving forward. We'll start seeing more localized networks and self-hosting content again, while also having some centralized platforms as well, but they will likely stop being for-profit companies, as that's just stupid altogether. For-profit companies make life worse, for everyone, in the long run. Corporations and national governments (non-consensual laws) are the dinosaurs of memetic evolution. Too big and dangerous to last, as compared to small and furry pro-social memes.

@Hexagonaldonut 2 жыл бұрын

This has definitely been a rising concern in recent years, I think. We've seen a lot of high-profile, widespread outages recently that definitely would not have been anywhere near as severe as they were if the internet wasn't so overcentralized, and there's definitely a big concern with respect to how vulnerable some platforms (Discord in particular) actually are. The internet as-is really isn't sustainable. But unfortunately, corporations do not care about sustainability in any form.

@oriselkirk2726 2 жыл бұрын

I think the answer should be democratic control of the internet by its users rather than going back to decentralisation. Most if not all of the downsides to the sort of centralisation we have now is due to the fact that it's owned by huge private companies that leave us no say in how we interact on the internet.

@davidt01 2 жыл бұрын

Web 3.0

@sonicjhiq 8 ай бұрын

It's been a year, and I don't believe shorts have taken over yet? I personally still hardly ever use shorts, only ever watch the ones in my subscription feed

@fleurlite 8 ай бұрын

short videos are definitely close to taken over, maybe not on KZfaq but short videos on Instagram and TikTok. I have barely seen people talking about KZfaq lately, but everyone is talking about Tiktok. I go to high school and during almost every break I hear other students saying “omg look at this tiktok” or “let’s do *tiktok trend*” or the same with reels on instagram. Even my teachers mention Tiktok sometimes. It’s a little sad because short videos grab a lot of peoples attention and makes them procrastinate :(

@derpett9999 4 ай бұрын

Wow, that ending very thought provoking. Not only with KZfaq, but with many other systems we rely on to hold memories. What happens when they are gone? How would people hundreds of years from now learn about us if they cannot access this major part of our society?

@peppybrungus 2 жыл бұрын

As someone who grew up using this site, it's hard to imagine that there may be a future generation that doesn't grow up watching youtube....

@branthebrave 2 жыл бұрын

Children are already all watching Tik Tok a lot instead

@DeadlySkill15 2 жыл бұрын

Think about this. Those episodes of Cartoon Network you were wishing would play when you got home only to miss it by 30 minutes and now you have to wait for 3 days? A kid today will probably have an tablet of any sort, with media apps, whilst the parents keep the subscription for that platform. They can Bing watch an entire series in a few days. And never miss an episode

@b-zar8912 2 жыл бұрын

Damn, fam, I'm probably just 4-5 years older than you, and I'm part of the generation that didn't grow up with this site. We didn't miss much.

@ARTala88 2 жыл бұрын

i believe so too.

@litcostello1223 2 жыл бұрын

As long as they dont grow up watching tik tok

@iblame_nargles 2 жыл бұрын

"KZfaq has now closed. Thank you for watching." Hits hard as a creative who grew up with/alongside KZfaq. The idea of this formative piece of my life being removed because the company behind it isn't making money anymore or whatever is super sad. I don't think it will come to that in the next 10 years but still, super not fun to think about. Love your stuff as always x

@aryaaswale7316 2 жыл бұрын

crowdfund a KZfaq trust fund, pool money and run it on the interest indefinitely

@Nothing-pb8hu 2 жыл бұрын

the thing is though that youtube has actually never made money. google can afford to run youtube at a deficit and always has done.

@gammarayneutrino8413 2 жыл бұрын

@@Nothing-pb8hu KZfaq made $15 billion in 2019 alone, and who knows how much more during the pandemic since everyone is at home

@nyon7209 2 жыл бұрын

As nothing said, google looses money on KZfaq. What they gain from it is information. Google will only consider shutting down KZfaq if the amount of viewers declines too much. I have a feeling TikTok will start to stagnate before seriously harming KZfaq. There might, however, be a shift towards content with less editing on KZfaq as a result of Twitch and TikTok.

@whuzzzup 2 жыл бұрын

@@Nothing-pb8hu KZfaq has been profitable for some years now.

@juniusrucker5004 Жыл бұрын

You went from 0 to 100 real quick.. Or should i say teen to elder 😆😆😆

@mechx3247 5 ай бұрын

I watched this video in 2022 it feels like yesterday but how am I in 2024

@mrmoth26 2 жыл бұрын

I predict that in 10 years it will be 2032. Might sound crazy now but we'll see who will get the last laugh in ten years when I would've successfully predicted 2032.

@Alan_Marin 2 жыл бұрын

*Wow, you will be predicting something no one will ever predict! That’s crazy of you!*

@RafaelMunizYT 2 жыл бұрын

plot twist: historians find out jesus' birthdate was wrong and they change the calendar

@SqueezeBenzOnGta 2 жыл бұрын

I predict the end of civilization in 2088

@WakaWaka2468 2 жыл бұрын

Take off the tin foil hat

@koray3774 2 жыл бұрын

would be funny if they just skip a year or somethind and it'd be 2033 in ten years

@Maronicam 2 жыл бұрын

2022 Prediction: The school works on Disco. Actual 2022: The schools work on DISCOrd and alternatives. You were 2 characters off Tom, not that bad.

@jishnudayanidhi9326 2 жыл бұрын

No school will use DISCOrd but instead zOOm and alternatives

@sauceboss3901 2 жыл бұрын

@@jishnudayanidhi9326 that’s funny. My school has literally used discord before and I’ve seen other schools use it too. You’d be surprised with how ridiculous schools can be.

@amethystdene 2 жыл бұрын

@@sauceboss3901 discord added a thing to put an edu email

@saloni.sharma 2 жыл бұрын

@@sauceboss3901 "you'll be surprised how ridiculous schools can be" they never disappoint, do they 😂

@imienazwisko4219 2 жыл бұрын

@@jishnudayanidhi9326 Discord is quite popular among schools in Poland

@pjw3d87 Жыл бұрын

How did you age 30 years in only 10 years?

@spike7334 Жыл бұрын

Went from looking 19 to 49

@chrisrj9871 Жыл бұрын

@@spike7334 - 49 would be a LOT more lined than he is now. Your math is broken.

@chrisrj9871 Жыл бұрын

It's been an extremely rough 10 years for any intelligent adult.

@24magiccarrot Жыл бұрын

Cause he time travels, he still ages even though he's in a different time, so when he returns to our time he's aged.

@errorx_x1063 9 ай бұрын

Past 3 years feel like a fever dream @@chrisrj9871

@Pointmeatthesky124 Жыл бұрын

Short form video is already winning

@kemurinine4272 2 жыл бұрын

KZfaq deserves some kind of protection like a world heritage site. It's one of the biggest libraries to ever exist, it would be an injustice to wipe perfectly logged history and education let alone the livelihoods of independent artists and content creators which rely on this platform to survive.

@fos1451 2 жыл бұрын

It literally won't shut down if it keeps generating revenue

@windsurfer8824 2 жыл бұрын

There are some sites that saves many KZfaq videos

@MsDestroyer900 2 жыл бұрын

@@fos1451 youtube is run at a loss, so if anything happens to Google, well ggs

@fos1451 2 жыл бұрын

@@MsDestroyer900 KZfaq is run at a loss? Where do you even get that information

@LakituKoopa 2 жыл бұрын

na, looking on what happened since 2016 on KZfaq I would say we should burn it to the ground and not look back. I think it is best to stop when something is awesome instead of continuing and making it worse and worse by the years.

@tournevic 2 жыл бұрын

Despite making errors, Tom Scott was actually kind of very realistic about our future/present, let's just hope we begin to do things to save our planet

@nolongerjuicyboiz4413 2 жыл бұрын

There's a lot more dangers to humanity than the climate

@zexfafa2794 2 жыл бұрын

@@nolongerjuicyboiz4413 and all of them come from humans

@Skemmm 2 жыл бұрын

@@zexfafa2794 no, it comes from the universe's existence.

@zexfafa2794 2 жыл бұрын

@@Skemmm exampel

@amer2142 2 жыл бұрын

@@zexfafa2794 duck the Politicians and there supporters

@Jimbobthegreat90 10 ай бұрын

I would've liked a few more predictions for 2032, just some wild speculations on things would've been interesting to hear your thoughts x

@FranzzzWasTaken Жыл бұрын

Bro aged 30 years in those 10 years 💀💀💀

@toast267 Жыл бұрын

exactly 💀

@MrMikeSuth 2 жыл бұрын

I believe there's a value in making these predictions 10 years in the future. Your predictions, while wrong in many cases, were well informed and researched at the time and provide us a reference to see the real change that happened in the subsequent years. We experience change incrementally which makes it very difficult to see how big the change is over a span of time without having a reference point that captures the sentiment at that time, almost like taking a screenshot of history.

@doge_the_cat 2 жыл бұрын

im happy for u bro or sad idk im not reading all that

@Snail.5 2 жыл бұрын

In 10 years I'll be 10 years older than before

@dsilverleaf4668 2 жыл бұрын

Well said Sir.👌.

@dsilverleaf4668 2 жыл бұрын

@@doge_the_cat your missing out, eh. Sincere wisdom, is hard 2 find.

@NameName-ho3ej 2 жыл бұрын

ok nerd

@ElderFoxDocumentaries 2 жыл бұрын

I don't think KZfaq will ever be shutdown. The historical value of the information stored on this site is too great. They might slowly reduce the amount creators receive and save costs by further raising the bar for new uploads, but I just can't imagine the world without KZfaq for the next 20 years atleast. In the far future if it must be shutdown, I believe a lot of the videos will be archived.

@Gammix 2 жыл бұрын

Maybe they'll just phase out uploading so all the existing videos stay, but new ones can no longer be added

@Tevildo 2 жыл бұрын

They said that about GeoCities...

@mothcub 2 жыл бұрын

Given what happens to so much old media combined with hosting costs I doubt it's possible that youtube would be archived indefinitely, just considering the sheer amount of videos.

@xerzy 2 жыл бұрын

They could keep that information but close it down for the public. They're on their legal right and it'd be far cheaper.

@scalesconfrey5739 2 жыл бұрын

@@xerzy "For $10000, you too can enjoy a three day free-form exploration through the audio-visual media consumed in the 21st century." Some rich mcguffins would probably pay for the hosting...

@me-kd7bw Жыл бұрын

He looked 16 10 years ago to 70

@ronnie101ke Жыл бұрын

Interesting video. I’m very impressed. Well done.

@razbuten 2 жыл бұрын

Thanks for the thoughtful dread, Tom.

@justinzhang9084 2 жыл бұрын

thoughtful dread XD

@pinki2568 2 жыл бұрын

Tom Scott LOSER! I HAVE A BETTER VIDEO!

@SkyFlame27 2 жыл бұрын

I would definitely be sad if your videos were to be lost with KZfaq. I love your work.

@pinki2568 2 жыл бұрын

Tom Scott LOSER! I HAVE A BETTER VIDEO!!

@PurplePolterguist 2 жыл бұрын

Bot

@Welgeldiguniekalias 2 жыл бұрын

This is why I am concerned with products getting transmogrified into "services" with terms and conditions. Services that could be terminated at the provider's discretion without prior notice. Never get rid of a product when it is replaced by a service. Just hang on to your product. You never know when you will need it.

@Cobalt985 2 жыл бұрын

Absolutely. Not to mention, a good way to avoid this is to use libre/open source software wherever you can. Krita instead of Photoshop, Libreoffice instead of Office 365, Kdenlive instead of Premiere, and while you're at it why not switch to Linux? :) dual boots are easy to achieve, and 80% of people will find themselves gravitating to Linux once you know how to do everything. It's like all the good parts of macOS with even more freedom than Windows.

@_karla._ 2 жыл бұрын

@@Cobalt985 I cautiously agree.

@edherdman9973 2 жыл бұрын

I'm really 'excited' about that whole prediction we only will get to rent cars, especially considering they should be darn near maintenance-free...

@MiloMurphysLaw 2 жыл бұрын

@@edherdman9973 eventually, once self-driving cars have progressed enough to become the norm, I could easily see a lot of people just getting self-driving Ubers or whatever every time they need to go somewhere. It would be so much easier than having to worry about maintenance or paying bills or whatever

@coweatsman 2 жыл бұрын

In the future you will subscribe to everything.

@grapesodaboy 9 ай бұрын

Crazy how in the last year short form video has started to completely take over!

@dannahbanana11235 8 ай бұрын

Everybody acts like short form video and long form video are inherently competitors. I like the analogy to KZfaq vs TV vs radio.

@Demonrifts 2 жыл бұрын

I'm very surprised at how emotional I got seeing the "KZfaq has now closed" card at the end of the video. For the last ten years or so, its been a very big part of my life and has introduced me to more new loves and hobbies than I can count. In ten years, I'll be nearing 40 years old, and I'm curious to see whether KZfaq is still a big part of my life at that point.

@Dannyboyyay 2 жыл бұрын

Oof, you got me there bud. Same age, same thoughts.

@Drekromancer 2 жыл бұрын

I'm younger (25), but I felt the same way. Honestly, KZfaq was a formative influence for me and my age group, as well as a cultural touchstone for the rapidly changing times into which I was born. As such, my generation and I feel a strong personal connection to the site. I feel like shutting down KZfaq at any time would be politically difficult, though, due to the increasingly vast amount of personal and archaeological significance it bears. However, I could imagine that one day, people would be banned from uploading on this platform, so it would become a vast digital archive. I just can't imagine a world where Google users let Google get away with deleting KZfaq for good.

@johnreese7973 2 жыл бұрын

Rashly deleting all KZfaq would be akin to the fire of Alexandria. Enormous vacancy of knowledge would set humanity backwards for awhile.

@rickascii 2 жыл бұрын

For what it's worth, I think Google would be much more inclined to *sell* youtube than to just discontinue it if they decided it was no longer worth the effort to avoid all the bad press from nostalgic people, and since there are so many career youtubers it could very quickly cause a Lot of bad press.

@harshityadav0 2 жыл бұрын

@@Drekromancer 20 and same thoughts, but I don't think tik toks or any other short video form can't replace youtube.

@singate 2 жыл бұрын

Tom has some of the most creative and engaging content I’ve seen on this platform. It’s always something different, new, and entertaining.

@apocalypticavenger4538 2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@existence.5806 2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@Lastname6955 2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@cateyestudios6592 2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@LauchTV2311 2 жыл бұрын

I agree

@alechodgkinson8915 8 ай бұрын

Defo tuning in to see the next 10 years

@geetugupta7244 Жыл бұрын

I literally start to talk in British after watching your videos, I love them👍❤

@lloydpickles Ай бұрын

How does this comment have no likes or replies in almost a year 😂

@orest58008 2 жыл бұрын

Always was interested in comparing old predictions to the actual reality

@Ludix147 2 жыл бұрын

You'll love metaculus and other prediction markets

@Varksterable 2 жыл бұрын

Especially when civilization was predicted to end in 2020. And 2012. And 2010. And 2000. And... (You get the idea. )

@JRes_ 2 жыл бұрын

"If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear...right?" is such a powerful statement. I'd never be willing to let the state know where and what I'm doing at all times, even if it means that terrorism would be investigated slower

@bsbg-lifts 2 жыл бұрын

The funny thing is that the Patriot Act hasn’t intercepted a single terrorist attack

@kenbrown2808 2 жыл бұрын

@@bsbg-lifts the worse thing is that the people who brought you the patriot act perpetrated the biggest attack on the US government since its inception. and it didn't intercept that, either.

@foxtail286 2 жыл бұрын

@@kenbrown2808 IIRC those weren't exactly the same people, it was the same party, but it wasn't the same people.

@kenbrown2808 2 жыл бұрын

@@foxtail286 no, a lot of them are the same people who have been in power this whole time.

@foxtail286 2 жыл бұрын

@@kenbrown2808 i guess? but the main person who created the patriot act (bush) criticized trump's actions

@lilacsilk 7 ай бұрын

He got the “Is this you?” thing perfect on iPhones.

@theblockybanana5537 2 ай бұрын

You made a very good prediction for short-form video

@Nulono 2 жыл бұрын

Another small miss: Nowadays, it would be "Apple Life", not "iLife". Apple has been moving away from "i_____" branding for new products since at least the Apple Watch, since it was a difficult trademark to defend.

@3nertia 2 жыл бұрын

How was it difficult to defend?

@gentlydown41 2 жыл бұрын

@@3nertia can't just trademark the letter i

@toagradius8856 2 жыл бұрын

@@3nertia Having the letter “i” in front of a word has infinitely more possible contexts than just being an Apple product. Because of that, other companies that want to use that kind of naming scheme would have an easier time defending themselves if Apple were to sue them. Having “Apple” is a lot more specific to the brand and harder for a third party to justify using.

@mattp6244 2 жыл бұрын

bro what is on ur profile

@kilianortmann9979 2 жыл бұрын

@@3nertia because the BMW I5 is not an apple product and neither is the book I robot. That makes the prefix I not exclusive to apple products ad thus almost impossible to defend.

@lukerhode8988 Жыл бұрын

Bro aged 30 years in 10 years

@Nostalgia_Realm 2 жыл бұрын

That's too scary to think about for me as a channel owner with more than 2000 videos on it. And if it does happen, I really really hope that the videos on this platform will still be archived somewhere.

@susantummon3463 2 жыл бұрын

Please keep personal backups. Google has a history of killing its products and KZfaq has not been making as much money as they want for years now.

@lineseyaether 2 жыл бұрын

Save your backups now, don’t count on google being reasonable about it.

@jeromesuarez5293 2 жыл бұрын

@Cobalt985 2 жыл бұрын

There's many of us archiving videos we like or think are important, but no individual person has the means to host such a huge amount of content for so many people. If you don't have a personal archive of your stuff, start now. Storage is not that expensive. Redundancy is important.

@calvinjewett8216 2 жыл бұрын

You could convert them to mp4 files and put them on a hard drive if you wanted to

@k_so1 4 ай бұрын

its scary to see how fast these changes are already happening. Twitter is increasingly becoming more profitable especially through "memes" or reactionary posts. Certain content creators are paying to be on top of the post comment thread by the poster interacting so that they can gain more engagement. Adult content sites are also trying to join the short term content trend, so his guess of 10 years later is certainly already observable. That being said the difference with long and short term content is how I know that I am being hooked, addicted to short term, whereas long term I am making a deliberate choice of whether if the video will be entertaining to me, rather than it being entertaining from the start and hooking me.

@k_so1 4 ай бұрын

Much like how academic papers exist despite media company articles publishing a more concise, inaccurate summaries, I think long video formats will still be available in accordance to short term content. I think what will change the most is pacing in video. We already somewhat see this in hollywood cinema and how they focus on action rather than build up. KZfaq and other visual / auditory forms of media will likely transition the same way, by fitting more in the same video.

@k_so1 4 ай бұрын

I might be speaking just a bunch of nonsense tho

@VenoBeatz 5 ай бұрын

1 year later, and short form is EVERYTHING

@SoniasWay 2 жыл бұрын

“I don’t like looking back at things I made in the past” I relate so hard

@butterfly1245 2 жыл бұрын

💯

@Dheord26 2 жыл бұрын

I think everyone relates

@ColinBFClarke 2 жыл бұрын

When I look back it usually has the n word in it

@awmperry 2 жыл бұрын

I do. It’s nice to remember a time when I still had energy, time and creativity…

@offichannelnurnberg5894 2 жыл бұрын

Whenever I watch an old video by me I always get the urge of just redoing it from scratch. So many wrong things, bad editing and even mistakes in there.

@theonefilmguy 2 жыл бұрын

Honestly, no matter how correct or how wrong you are on a prediction, it just shows your open-mindedness on the future, both for good and bad. Lots of respect for that, Tom.

@DyslexicMitochondria 2 жыл бұрын

indeed

@moremitochondria2737 2 жыл бұрын

@@DyslexicMitochondria heyyy bro. I watch ur vidz. Love ur channeI

@gizmodobaggins7040 2 жыл бұрын

I don't even get this compliment. Like how is making a prediction "open-minded". Like mate I think this was just a bit of fun, nothing deeper.

@theonefilmguy 2 жыл бұрын

@@gizmodobaggins7040 I get what you’re saying, I suppose I was more targeting just that predictions are a good way to see the possibilities for what could be, and I just think it’s cool that Tom revisited them. I can see where you’re coming from, though, predictions can also be just fun and not deep.

@relaxingvibez3980 2 жыл бұрын

Okayyyy very deep🔥🔥🔥 I’m trying to get my subscribers up too💯 keep it up❤️