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The current market/economy is unnecessarily tougher for boomers/senior citizens, I’m used to just buying and holding assets which doesn’t seem applicable to the current rollercoaster market plus inflation is catching up with my portfolio. I’m really worried about survival after retirement.

Investors often view treasury bonds or gilts as safer bets for their portfolios. With the current economic climate, is this wise? I'm considering investing $200k but I'm unsure how to mitigate risk.

I was informed by a financial planner Making ensuring you have enough money for a comfortable retirement can be achieved by contributing at least 15% of your income into a 401(k). How can you possibly boost your retirement funds over time by utilising compound interest?

The market's direction can swiftly change, with indexes frequently transitioning from a bear market to a bull market precisely when the news is most negative and investor sentiment reaches its lowest point.

I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 85K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% per year in dividend returns. Any advice?

I am a Nurse and have been investing for a few years. I have reached a point where I could benefit from financial advice to improve my $200,000 portfolio for retirement, how do I maximize my ROI?

I agree with you, the b0nd market does have a problem. the yield on bonds have decreased especially on the long end (30 and 10 Y) indicating that the demand is still there even if the supply remains huge showing a preference for safety. I'm still at a crossroad regarding whether or not to liquidate my $138k

We can't ignore the potential impact on portfolios. Bonds are often considered a safe haven, and if they crumble, investors like me might scramble. I’ve been investing for 11 yrs and my $1m portfolio has never been this depleted, how i do hedge this?

If the cakes can't be sold , the baker has to eat its own cake.

it's so obvious that things are not improving. I'm looking at high-yield dividend stocks. Selling 200k worth of stocks is stupid without reinvesting it. I might turn to cash soon if I don't invest it. Any particulars? (Buying bonds or CDs is not for me)

Smaller, speculative stocks have endured a historically weak stretch. Investors are betting that a turnaround is finally in the works. I’ve lost about $320k within a few months, how do i take advantage of the market turnaround?

Thanks Jack - you have great summarizing skills that bring your audience along on the learning curve!

The ongoing sell-off in bonds and worries about an escalation in Middle East hostilities are weighing on the market, I want to diversify my stock portfolio of $400K but not sure on how to mitigate risk because my portfolio has been declining rapidly since Q2 2022

Im so thankful i found this show. How lucky are we to have this opportunity to learn from this individual and his guest. Thank you

Wherever i listen to this guy, he blows my mind all over again. Get him again soon! ❤

This is so in-depth and informative! Thank you very much for sharing!

Great guest, great conversation, very informative.. cheers!

Good job interviewing, you asked timely questions to clarify. Thank you.

Amazingly educational for me. Thanks

This has been so educational!

I have a bit of a problem following all this. Would be great if you released bonds for dummies tutorial, explaining the auction process etc.

Great interview. Nick is a class guest and his knowledge of markets and matter of factness continue to impress.

Very crisp and logical. No fluff

U r such a humble and always-learning interviewer even though you already know alot. Love your past interviews!

Thanks for this professional talk. Education at it's master class on bonds

Great session with Nick, Jack! I'm seeing "Sequential QTR over QTR earnings" we just had start to decline in growth and in margin while costs of operations are increasing for corporations and am trying to forecast how the 10yr yield will move as projections of GDP/growth get revised down for 2024 -25. So, I guess I am in the Stagflation camp but do believe assets will deflate with corrections in stocks and real estate as we move into recession. I agree with Jim Bianco when he thinks the 10yr US Treasury bond will be closer to 5.25%. Since most corporate LOC need to flip to a more costly cost of capital (by 300 bps), this will drive margins down further. I also do not think the Fed is restrictive today and they have no control of the long end. Kind of a mixed bag that makes valuing 'duration premium' difficult for the 10 year bond. With stagflation (with Asset bubble deflation), what would you predict for the 10yr bond yields? Struggling to conclude anything.

It’s rare to hear actual wisdom like this on fintwit or podcasts. Bravo

Nice is one of the best minds in bonds. Great guest and great interview 👍

Thank you

Awesome content! Get this guy back soon!

Lovin the spectacles Jack & the content! 👍🏻💛👓

Nick is fantastic..

Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia is following this informative content cheers Frank 😊

For the first 7 month of the 2024, federal debts interest payment is $514billion. It is more than defense spending.

It would be great if Jack was in the thumbnail for his interviews. I always enjoy his interviews and I would watch the channel anytime I get the privilege to listen to him

There will be no auction failures, bank legislation can always be changed to accommodate the government's needs

The timing on this is epic.

Fourprime token is listing soon, gonna be huge 🔥

Would love to hear a guest discuss thoughts on whether they see the Fed headed toward mirroring the BoJ’s predicament of choosing between defending their currency or their bond market. Seems to me like BoJ is at forefront of externalities related to central banks intervening in markets.

At what price?

Great get

If FourPrime Token has the growth as it has atm then no doubts it will dominate the industry

Please explain the significance of bill/bond ratio.

Check out sales at McDonald’s and Costa, and then check out credit card delinquency.

Thank you for sharing. Financial education is crucial today to show incredible resilience and discipline in the volatile market, masterfully balancing strategy and insight for success. This dedication to continuous learning is inspiring...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.1BTC to a decent 11B TC in the space of a few weeks... I'm especially grateful to Russell Greener, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape..

Depends on whom original investment bond in early stage they still have certain value is if get good auctions price so on cryptocurrency still unknown future we are just start in first step not affordable any mistake ok

This was a great guest. I have 3 suggestions for the host that might improve these interviews: 1) Please work on making your comments and questions more succinct. You have a habit of rambling that often makes the point your trying to make difficult to follow. That is, when you’re just making a point. Thankfully, when asking a question you usually wrap up all the rambling with the simple question you should have asked in the first place. Also, if you worked on making your questions more succinct you wouldn’t have to talk so fast. 2) You often come across like you’re arguing with your guest as if you’re in a debate. My understanding is that you’re a journalist with little, or no, experience managing other people’s money. As a journalist you do need to challenge your guests but one doesn’t think you have the experience, or background, to debate them. This can be fixed by not using, “I believe …”, but a third person approach, “There are analysts who believe…”, “Some argue…” 3) Leave the humor for a different type of broadcast or at least be more careful in how you use it.

Yes this is the elephant in the room. What if the 10 year yield goes up and keeps going?

This might be confirmation bias, but Nick is affirming my investments in a TIPS ladder and shifting from T-Bills to levered long 2 year via TUA ETF.

This video marks top on long term rates. Notice the thesis divergence on duration between this gentlesir and Lacy Hunt...

The purpose of investment is profit? Vs risk...and all investments requires anticipation of future. One cannot not do otherwise

Not me!

what would be the dollar currency physically used in all type of banned activities ; practically speaking it is much easier to carry 1 mn $ than to carry gold equivalent. Some light on my observation would be highly appreciated

Are we talking about bons growth against inflation? At least its pedictable. This is the first Ive ever heard of bonds reducing by 20%.

How can stocks keep performing if US bonds crash? That makes zero sense because it is the end of the world economy scenario!

One thing for sure is interest rate will be going up as the only way to attract buyer and this is be a major problem for the economy .

Why would anyone buy debt from a collapsing empire? 😮

For your info: The Fed only buys from primary dealers, not directly from the Treasury.

Central banks and banks(use as collateral to lend more)

How can interest rates go down when the fed has to sell 1 trillion dollars of debt every 3 months. People will not buy them without high interest rates.

9:40 Individuals and companies suck up TBills because they pay interest, before, they were simply holding cash...

Roughly £120k in my portfolio are in tech/TSLA stocks, can I get an advice on any other stocks that I can acquire to diversify my reserve across multiple markets while creating a comprehensive portfolio allocation that balances my concerns of risk aversion and returns that meet yearly inflation.

I am regretting not taking advantage of Nvidia's boom ever since but still grateful i kept money in the money market. With about $150k maturing soon, i plan investing in the stock market. What stocks should I look into to average down in and safely grow my money?

At some point, boomers haved kicked off and Gen X are the bulk of the retirees, of which there aren't very many. Doesn't the Federal balance shift into surplus at that point?

"The US market remains robust, resilient, or whatever you want to call it"... Oh, I know another word that describes it more accurately, even two actually...

FED will. At exactly 79 USD for TLT. WE ARE VERY CLOSE.

Grécia, Portugal Islândia...they will by ...

The market can stay irrational longer than you cam stay liquid.

I have already said that I am going to buy as many as I can as long as I can 👀👂👂✨

Supply is going to overwhelm the bond market due to highly irresponsible spending by the Federal government . At the same time the Federal government is pursuing a sanctions policy that is and will cause the BRICs countries to avoid buying and in some instances actual sell bonds . But this problem is not isolated to bonds . The higher the interest rate the lower the valuation of stocks and the more expensive it is for companies to buy back stock . P/Es are much too high for the largest stocks . Sell duration in bonds and sell high equity valuation .

The Fed has a pozi scheme method of buying their own debt. Like kiting checks, the Fed simply has their member banks buy the debt under a repurchase agreement...

Investing in the stock market has HISTORICALLY provided higher returns than other forms of investment. According to Morningstar, the average annual return for the S&P 500 index, which measures the performance of 500 large-cap stocks, was approximately 10% in the last decade

I recommend diversifying your investments by considering stocks alongside real estate. During a recession, there are potential buying opportunities in the stock market if approached cautiously. Additionally, market volatility can offer short-term buying and selling opportunities. However, please note that this is not financial advice. It's important to be proactive in investing as cash may not be the most advantageous option during these times.

Thanks for the update. I bet those Fourprime token holders aren't too worried about the markets.

Musinformation thank you

8:00 Great question. And I get what he was saying in his answer,.. that 3 years ago banks funded with cheap Fed money at the very short term,.. and then bought the long end even if the spread was just 100 bps,.. but now they have to pay the Fed to borrow at a rate that is north of bonds yields. And that would explain why the regionals failed last year and this,... and why BAC has, last I heard,.. about $100 billion in unrealized losses on their bond holdings. Kind of makes you wonder why JPM didn't get stuck. Actually they did,. about half of what BAC has. But that doesn't mean this isn't a great time to buy bonds by non-banks,... or even banks like JPM who don't paysquat for deposits. Especially if you can hit the peak of rates. If the banks or anyone else buys the zero coupon on the 20 or 30 year,... they could triple their money if rates go back to near zero. And if it just stays flat,.. which is unsustainable for the government interest payments on the debt,.. then they earn 4 or 5% with very little risk. The risk would be that yields might go higher,.. which would be even more unsustainable for government debt,.. and would certainly break something causing the Fed to have to drop rates. I can guarantee if we can't get a government that will work on balancing the budget,... and we continue on the current insane deficits and debt don't matter MMT nonsense,.. we'll have to become like Japan where the government buys 90% of the debt and they enact yield curve control. And that's unsustainable. At some pint the chickens will come home to roost. Stopped at about 11:00 to post this,.. let's see if this guy,.. I've never heard of has anything good to hear. Turned out to be a good discussion,.. although his preferring equities at this point at all time highs with such a narrow breadth over bonds which are rallying (this was pre CPI,.. but CPI helped the rally) is counter intuitive. And also have made good returns selling way out of the money puts on GME and AMC. And I wasn't involved in the mania a few years ago and not a meme stock gambler,.. but the wat OTM puts were paying a couple hundred percent on an annualized basis,... ie several percent on few says to weekly basis. When on the companies I normally sell the puts on when IV is high, pay 1 to 2% in a week or about 50% to 100% on an annualized basis.

Stocks over bond yeah. What is the ratio of stocks over GDP? 190% Bubble!

Why wouldnt they buy them, they pay a hefty amount of interest (short duration), the thing which was missing in them for a very long time. What I actually dont get it is why are people still buying up stocks.

My strategy has always been to invest half of my income in the stock market at the beginning of each month. The second part of my strategy is not to sell for at least 5 years, but recently my portfolio has suffered major decline about $150k in losses. What can I do please?

Who? Me. I'm the buyer of treasuries here. U.s. citizen. Old enough to know how to play these cycles. Great time to buy 5-10 yr treasuries just like 2007 before the crash. I don't need to borrow money to invest. I have money already. No leverage so no risk.

yayyy

I thought it was against the law for the fed to buy directly from the Treasury.

I heard a week or so ago, that the U.S. treasury was going to start buying back long duration treasuries ? That suggests to me they are going to sell short term treasuries to buy the long term treasuries. Because..... they know they will HAVE to lower (to near zero) rates in the future and those short term t-bills will roll over into much LOWER interest rates. in a couple years. They are getting desperate.....

why not just buy commodities? All this bond math seems unnecessary

Terrible time to buy bonds. T bills short duration only.

Fun fact: Federal Reserve liabilities have about a 2% impairment due to realized losses in excess of their capital.

Buying computer generated digital codes a.k.a. Bitcoin, that are registered / recorded in invisible virtual reality of cyberspace ...can it be the greatest idea of monetary investment into the future ??

The GDP's good because a lot (a lot!) of borrowed money is injected in it by the government to sustain it. Can't have the economy floundering in electoral year, right? What will happen when that money stops flowing because at one point it will become unsustainable as JP claimed. 2025? Later? How will that affect markets and banks? Recession in sight?

Military industries complexes could buy uo ...

Because the Fed is keeping the interest rate high to sell bonds and treasury bills .because to cover the debts

So keep buying stocks and short bonds here? An ultimate contrarian call i think

Jack missed the inverted yield curve, even with the glasses on....

Banks with need for regulatory capital duh

if the govt is buying more equity soon those listed companies will go belly up as it a debts

War and economics experts suggest that if interest will never go, then we all better buy solid pure golds,?. Instead of unguarantee usa very very cheap 0.002cents apiece to mass print each 100dollars usa face value dollars, ??..

Cold water on the face of the duration bull 🚿

gold , silver 🚀

Fed has a choice.. save the currency or the bond market.

Won’t these guys never talk against the trades they have on 😅 dizzying the complexity but to these guys, simplicity 😄