They not gonna decline instantly, they gonna decline slowly and as they slowly decline others nation are also slowly rising. India and Indonesia are example that slowly rising in this mid century

Even there fertility rates are falling

@@1wun1 Yup, India's is at 2.2 now.

Seems like a reverse Darwin. Shouldn't it be about survival of the fittest? Yet it seems that those who can least afford kids (even in developed nations) are the ones having children.

That's because they wipe half of it out through virus

UN is more reliable

Wow

One report shows the wold population hitting 8billion but not hitting 9billion many countries loosing population.

They really are more dire! Before Musk and before Lancet (if their study came out after 2005) I had a feeling that this 1 to no child policy either by government decree or citizen wish, was bad news. Since humans aren't immortal, this study was very relaxed and didn't take into consideration the various reasons for death, it just made old age the reason. I honestly believe that not only every country with a lower then 1.4 fertility rate is doomed but with the current system in place its just going to multiply. Since if by 2050 a nation has more retirees then workers, said country will have to raise the taxes in order to take care of them, which will in turn make those of working age shy away from having a family because its too expensive. Imagine 1 man taking care of six people? His wife and child, his parents and her parents.

@@josephaugello1527 it's good sign actually the earth can give sufficient for 5 billion people not more than that

The human population was ALWAYS going to top out at a certain number. I believe that UN researchers predicted this phenomenon happening decades ago (it's just that nobody took that prediction seriously, because they couldn't imagine human population growth slowing down). This is what happens to all animals. Their population reaches a certain number, and then they instinctively stop making too many more babies. Only when their numbers are threatened do they reverse this trend. I believe that humans are simply instinctively not encouraged to make babies right now. Because life expectancy is the best it has ever been. If World War III ever breaks out, watch this trend reverse itself, and humans start machine-gunning babies again, just like they did after World War II.

You've slighty missed the truth here, if we look at the industrial revolution in western countries, this was also alongside some of the highest population growth, in the early 1900's there were large cities and huge families all at once. The actual reason for the decline is the decline of single-income families. It is no longer affordable for one parent to pay for a child and the other (usually the woman) to rear them. In fact, things that are categorically morally good lead to lower birth rates: Contraception, Female education, Equality, Health care... Health care being interesting here -> If you increase the life expectancy of everybody, you inevitably pool the wealth into the older people, causing younger people to be much poorer for much longer, and to miss the 15-35 year old genetic window where we are best at having kids. Edit: Basically people of middle income usually only reach financial freedom and comfort about half way through their lives. This used to be around 20-30 and people would have kids at that time, now it is close to 40, which for many is simply too late.

India currently has a population density of 464+ per km2; 2/3 of the people could leave and the country would still have a higher population density than China. Which means a billion Indians could leave and probably generate more wealth elsewhere. 1.4 bln Indians only have a GDP comparable to that of the UK, which has 60 million people. So at some point we can assume India has crossed, more people doesn't make the GDP higher. Indians are among the wealthiest diasporas per capita in the US but we can assume this is because legal immigration to the US is exceptionally selective

@@benmaxwell115 I think it would be a good idea to encourage people to only include grandkids in the will, this would give the 18-35 demographic the financial foundation they need for families early enough to have children. Would the parents that were skipped over be happy about missing out on their share of the remaining retirement fund? No, but they've already gotten financially stable. Their kids sure could use it though.

Wooow, ure so damn right, that is why in my country from EU, around 90% of familys are having a maximum of 2 Kids and only 10% have 3 or 4 and almost none over 4 and at countryside they have at least 2 and rarely under and around 3-4 are having more than a quarter of them, and minimum 2 are having almost half of the couples...

Ideally we should be seeking a balance point, rather than this boom and lull cycle that we have. I have a suspicion that a balance point will be achieved eventually, but not until a couple more generations pass. Social pressure used to force people into heterosexual families with children. For a very long time at that. Give it a couple of generations of freedom from harsh societal controls, and those without the impetus to reproduce will naturally and drastically reduce in number. Without the social pressure, evolution gets to rejoin the game.

Great comment

People don't want children cause it's difficult to provide them with good education and life . Also you would spend all of your free time for screaming little nightmares . Like for me we must use cloning and genetic science to solve depopulation problems. But government should have balls for these decision . Their maximum is open borders for Africa.

Except the declining population is as a proactive response to Malthus - Africa, not so much, they still do famines.

It’s all ok as long as the surge of 70+ and 80+ year olds can still work. And that includes physical work…….so maybe not so easy. Unless they have a lot of flexible work-capable robots - and I mean multipurpose robots here not the limited early type of robot. Types that can pick fruit one day and shear sheep the next. If that tech becomes widespread then your requirement for physical labour enters a completely different era.

If there is no growth, there is no way any country can get a good quality of life. And a declining population means higher welfare, higher healthcare, more withdrawals from pension funds and social security. The young will suffer. They will have to pay higher taxes and higher contributions towards pension fund. Say goodbye to higher quality of life when depopulation starts to really kick in.

just decrease human population to 1-5 and increase no. of robot country will grow fast bigger economy increase life expectancy. No need for human/s if population increases it make easier to colonies solar system and secure human .

@@secrets.295 Growing the population and people's living standards on a finite planet means there's less to go around. Sure technology can stretch resources and energy out, but the more people there are wanting more and more, the more challenging it is. And we all depend on a healthy biosphere, which is in severe decline.

@@secrets.295 By that logic wouldnt china and india be the best countries in the world then? Wrong, despite the high density of population its pretty horrible

"Bigger does not always mean better" It can be grave danger if your country gets invaded by a much larger army than yours. And as we saw in the last 10 months history hasn't come to an end (suck it Fukuyama), there will always be wars and aggression. Sheer number is a big factor in how well your country can defend itself from outside threats.

And its because of migration.

That's good. Türkiye can take them over.

I think doesnt matter if low population it's can productive beacause lot things to do

Bulgarians don't want to live in Bulgaria.

Most of the rest of Eastern Europe aren't any better. Nearly everyone lost 20-30% of their Communist-era populations. The only two countries doing slightly better are Russia and Poland. Eastern Europe was sold a lie. The transition to capitalism only resulted in total industrial and economic collapse, plunging fertility rates, mass emigration to the West, and complete hollowing out of countries. Eastern Europe would have been much better off going the way of Vietnam, or China without the one-child policy.

Hello & greetings from Indonesia. As a country, I don't think Thailand has more issues than us because of geographic and political reasons. With huge advance in automobile manufacturing powerhouses at southeast Asia region, I could safely say that Thailand would still have plenty of potential going forward

Thailand has seen spectacular economic growth in the past three decades and its economy will be fine.

Africa will be full of people who would love to migrate to your country.

"Invite migrants" ....this is what intelligent policy would be - I won't speak for your country, just mine....The USA.

Honestly our education system and industry are not what they once were either, but what we really need are people who know how to fish/ farm/ build/ survive in bad weather environments. We have mostly forgotten.

Eastern Europe and East Asia will be effected the most from depopulation. South Asia and Africa will have a overpopulation problem. Middle East is in between because of war and emigration. Western Europe, Southeast Asia, and the Americas will be a steady increase, unless something changes that trend.

Immigration is ruining these countries.

I'm afraid that Russia isn't missing, however I'm not sure about Belarus. The video is based on UN population forecast, and, according to it, Russia is actually doing better than all the countries discussed in the video thanks mainly due to migration (yes, believe it or not, Russia receives more immigrants that it loses emigrants). Belarus is trickier since they no longer publish demographic data since 2020 round of bickering with the West so we don't have any data on their migration since then (and it could be really bad considering the level of repression the country has been experiencing since mass protests same year)

perhaps human extinction is your ultimate goal...as we should rejoice when it happens

Until you have no economy. Low population is catastrophic for a country. Can’t economically thrive with no people. It will eventually die out

I should marry a Belarussian woman.

@AngerIssues That's why you deleted your comment.

Belarus isn't really urbanized so It's not to late to change the way population goes

Bring migrants in

@@carymnuhgibrilsamadalnasud1222 No you shouldn't.

Singapore and Thailand populations are shrinking

@@harukrentz435 well singapore is already rich af, and with a small land area its not really a surprise.

It’s gonna be more challenging for Thailand to escape the middle income trap they’ve been facing since Asian financial crisis. Their population has officially started to shrink Unless they decide to take more migrants in (mostly labourers) just to keep their economy flowing smoothly

Too many males in the Philippines impregnating women and abandoning them for the population there to ever be in decline. It's basically a nation of single mothers

the world is stagnation toward a healthy replacement average per woman, despite Africa expexted to tripple in population... so, about anywhere outside of Africa the brith per woman are somewhat below the number for the next gen of 0 to 20ers to be exactly as numberous as the current 0 to 20yers, the only reason the population will keep on climbing until the 10 billion, is that also in asia, achieving higher, and thus pension age become way more lickely, = it's the 60+ age group that will be 2 billion people higher by 2050 , while the other age group stay pretty much as numberous as today , even slightly less!

Actually Germans population is expected to even grow a little by 2100 because unlike the vast majority of other countries Germany gets A LOT of immigrand its only behind the USA in terms of immigration and the best part is the vast majority of people coming there (due to its geography and more)are usually highly educated young people from developing nations looking for a better life)

@@lepen_macron But the new batch who came during 2014-2015 were not able to integrated and become German, unlike Turkish guest workers in the 20th Century. And the political climate in the 21st century does not left a lot of time to do so. If anything, watch out for 2nd generation White and Turkish immigrants to band together to shoo these Arab newcomers away from Germany.

It’s gonna be new turkey anyways so it doesn’t really matter.

@@lepen_macron immigrants are having few babies too . Also immigrants are not the indefinite solution . People need to have babies too . BTW Asia and Arab population is also going down because of low fertility

@@lepen_macron this is the only reason a lot of western countries aren’t shrinking. Canada (my country) has an absolutely abysmal birth rate of less than 1.5 births per woman. Canada lets in like 1% if its population per year in immigration though.

Interesting. I didn't find the coverage to be nuanced. I think it was significantly oversimplified and one-sided, pushing a concern for depopulation without explaining the reasoning, and without mentioning any of the factors to consider, other than occasional references to a country's economy.

Regardless population decline and increasingly low birth rate is a real thing. The population decline in future is possible to be even worse than this video 's predictions

@@crossmaster77 Right, there's a large possible range of outcomes even with just the data we have now. Thus I remain skeptical.

I am skeptical of such a prediction for 80 years from now, also. Fifty years ago the prediction was the complete opposite. Birth control, with the availability of the pill, etc., becoming more prominent was a huge, major factor.

@@davidjackson7281 I think that internet porn has a lot to do with fewer babies.

@@paulsawczyc5019 Could be. Both sexes appear to not need each other that much.

its all the illegal migration most of it is non european

UK have a big immigration from India and they are indoeuropean speakers too.

Japan is too proud to take in immigrants, and that's the simple truth of the matter.

@@automnejoy5308 Japan have many filipinos immigrants, and many japanese are married with strangers

It won‘t, that's the thing. German demographers now calculate with 90 million Germans and a population that will peak at almost 95 millions….

So because he moves to Mars, he wouldn't care about the planet that he lived on all his life?

@@Andrew-df1dr he doesn't care now. 😆

You are right

@@scottcarter6623 Really? He has said that?

@@Andrew-df1dr He doesn't need to.

I've noticed an echo effect in the British birth rate, there's a dip about 20 years after WW2, then another about 22 years later (as the average age of child birth increases) and so on. There should be the next dip in a few years time, but we're already declining no, so I can only imagine a crash in a few years.

Hey Joe... This could be the same as the one experienced in Russia but on a way larger scale. Perhaps throughout history this has been the case, and the First World War should really show up on the radar. Yes, we are declining but expect our population to go up as it is industries/governments/economists want to do so.

This is false. Population is the bedrock of a nation's economy. It is why Gulf countries, in-spite of being rich, can never truly dominate on a geopolitical level and require immigration for their own survival. Population is the greatest long-term factor to determine the nation's health, economics/politics/technology are all short-term issues. Don't believe me? See how much South Korea & Japan are worrying about their demographics issue, they know the inevitability of all their economic prosperity & technological advancement is going to come crashing down due to population crisis.

Worse than that. UN data is always wrong. The number is expected to be closer to 600 million. By 2050 it is expected to collapse to 8-900 million. It will be truly catastrophic. Japan is now dropping by over 1 million people per year (far more than predicted previously). Not just that, but their GDP has decreased accordingly - from circa 5 trillion to 4.5 trillion more or less now (some of this is fluctuating currency) but the trend is already there. Japan will be the example for all of us. They are going first. China will really 'feel' the consequences from around 2030 or so. Japan's started with a few hundred thousand and then just fell off a cliff a year ago and again this year.

No matter how convincing it seems, current data and projections cannot predict the future all the way to 2100. It's too far in the future.

It's gonna be probably lower than that if this trend continues...

looks like you're part of the rich civilized elites. What's your net worth?

There are good reasons for that. Look at WW2

As long as it's technology to progress everything it's isn't much of a deal. It isn't like society will go back to horse and cart because of a few "smart" people didn't want children...

“ civilized “ are you trying to dogwhistle something here? Let’s not forget how that “ rich “ status came from

Lmfao Why do you think certain populations are more rich, educated and civilized?

I’m tired of people

Think again, That is less doctor to treat the sick, less teacher to teach about how to preserve the earth and less engineer to innovate.

oh no not the ecomommy

@@MrGilang100 less sick, less students

@@queensawayama6773 While less students might be true, less sick might not be the case since the demographic will mostly consist of middle to old age people. The 2nd demographic segment that is most likely to get sick after children.

@@MrGilang100 allow more immigrants, and teach them local language and customs to assimilate. Many countries would be losing population for long if not for immigration. Germany has natural population decline for 30-40 years, but its actual population is growing still

Well, start having children..even the Balkan countries have a higher fertility rate than Italy, yet much lower standard of living.

@@bingo737 I'm gay!

@@corsarodoro7890 Me too 😂 I was just speaking in general

@@bingo737 Can't have children if the wymen don't want to get pregnant or are using birth control. Women are enjoying the freedom of being child free and I don't see that changing.

Lucky you! The earth is over populated anyway

Australia tripled because of immigrants. The natives are declining infinitely.

I’m Australian, the fertility rate here has been below 2 since 1972, although due to immigration from other countries, particularly with the abolishment of the “White Australia Policy” (A policy where Australia only accepts immigrants from desirable western european countries), this opened up the country to many more people particularly from India, Indonesia, and China. The Population will continue to increase because of this until about 2060 and then start to decline. There is a similiar trend in Western European Countries like France, UK and Germany where the fertility rate is already below 2 (replacement level) but the overall population is still increasing due to Asian immigrants. in the UK in 2005, 77% of the population was ‘White English/Scottish/Welsh’, in 2020 that % is only 68%.

@@stantonclark tell me something I don't know.

@@martynhaggerty2294 fair enough

@@crossmaster77 Yeah no aboriginals

you cannot predict this... humans are always on the move. Lands maybe empty today and over-crowded 5 years from now.

European*

@@cinnamonstar808 List of countries that would rather move to eastern european country then western 1) Ukraine, because of proximity and language closeness 2)... 3) Really can't think of other

@@Poctyk Ukraine? Are you out of your mind? Its like saying you wanna move to Syria.

@@Pollicina_db From Ukraine to another EE country. Not from EE country to Ukraine

Don't worry, the end of globalisation will cut back overpopulated nations even if no WW III breaks out. But I doubt we can avoid that.

How was life different then compared to now ?

Finally a good boomer

People just aren't breeding in wealthy countries. Some of the poorest countries are making lots of babies. An economy doesn't grow when there aren't people to produce, buy, sell. It's not a money issue. It's a behavioral issue.

The wealthy sell the most goods and services to the poor and middle classes because what they're selling is valued the most, or we wouldn't be buying what they're selling. Instead of educating people to become good corporate slaves, financial literacy should be taught in schools. Students should come out of high school knowing how to manage their finances, invest, start their own business and mitigate taxes. That's not what government wants taught in their mandated indoctrination centers.

Rich country are more poor than poor country. It may sound weird but in rich country if you don't have job you are done, house gone, food gone. Poor country normally have their house, even though its not Fancy. They have land to grow food. They have family, neighbors to take care of your children if you work. Having baby also doesn't add alot of work and cost.

what a nonsensical argument. Population decline by an unexpected disease and population decline by consistent low birth rate has nothing to do with each other and its effects are totally unrelated. " Excessive consumerism " is present as long as capitalism exists and has nothing to do with population size. Countries with small population size also experiences excessive consumerism and sustained low birth rate with no end in sight. " Automation " won't solve low birth rate, it just somewhat reduces economic problems and this is also highly debated. There will be also no automation for newly created industries in the future. It can't solve the consumer culture and highly costly urban lifestyle that produce the current low birth rate.

This is not a great argument, the problem with population decline is in large part that we end up with aging population, a huge chunk of people who can't work or produce and much less young people who can sustain the nation. This is not like a pandemic that often hits the elderly, or at least hits everyone equally, this is much worse than that. Immigration can be a solution, but it has to be managed well to not cause problems in the short term, in the long term it does not matter but in the short term tensions can often arise within a nation. Honestly though it may be the only fix at least for some time, what sucks is that some nations have it easier than others. The US for example mostly gets Asian and Latin American immigrants, Latin Americans are Catholic or Christian and speak an European language so despite what the media says they integrate pretty fast when compared to past immigration waves, Asian immigrants are also culturally very hard working so they also integrate fast. Europe really does not have many places to get immigrants from, the middle east has the people but the culture is different enough it takes more time to integrate them. Asia has it the worst, they actually leave for the US, Canada or Australia instead of immigrating to places like Japan and SK. This is in large part because of how hostile nations like Japan are to immigrants.

More technology equals more energy consumption and thus more pollution.

Good, keep encouraging them not to breed. We do not need more humans. We need to care for those who are already here and unwanted or abandoned or starving. This should scare you: WORLD POPULATION 7,999,286,198 Current World Population 115,306,869 Births this year 38,625 Births today 57,740,279 Deaths this year 19,342 Deaths today 57,566,591 Net population growth this year 19,283 Net population growth today

Im in the same boat with them. Its only logical when you try surviving in our antagonistic economy just to make ends meet.

This is why demographic declines don’t solve themselves. People having fewer children one generation means 30 years later the new adults can’t get enough income to produce the following generation, and this is because the extra large elderly generation soaks up the social security benefits and stifles the country. Rome had centuries of demographic collapse. In their case, though, there wasn’t any social security, but the reduction of manpower still stifled Rome until the pressure of outside invasions and loss of influence killed the empire. Rome’s demographic crisis could maybe have been averted if they had understood that it was happening. Our crisis can essentially only be solved if we put massive tax incentives and welfare incentives on birthing children, though that will likely produce a poorly raised next generation, it’s better than a puny next generation.

@@J7Handle there is no population decline. The opposite is true. The world population is doubling every decade. The whole premise of this video is false. We have eight billion people for the first time in history. The notion that the world population is declining is a joke. This is why abortion is essential for the survival of our planet and species.

@@J7Handle This should scare you: WORLD POPULATION 7,999,286,198 Current World Population 115,306,869 Births this year 38,625 Births today 57,740,279 Deaths this year 19,342 Deaths today 57,566,591 Net population growth this year 19,283 Net population growth today

"how are they going to deal with it." Ever read Margaret Atwood?

If you pull up a list of the most populated countries and compare to a list of the greatest economies, you will see that they don't really match. Some countries come close to matching... for example, the US is the 3rd most populated and 1st in economy. China is 1st in population and has the 2nd. But the rest are all over the place. Germany is 19th in population but manages the 4th largest economy. Japan is 11th in population but is the 3rd largest economy. Canada, South Korea, France, UK and Italy all have lower populations than Russia, Brazil and Indonesia but they each edge all of them out in economic power. Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh and Mexico all make the top 10 in population, but none of them make the top 15 economies. Nigeria only has the 31st largest economy and Pakistan 44th. It's not all about population by any means. It's a helpful factor, but you need a lot more than that. You need a stable system of government, the right culture to promote industry, a certain amount of resources, wealth equality, good education for citizens across the board, higher quality of life, good fortune that nothing catastrophic is happening to you like natural disaster, wars, etc. Many things must align. The higher populated countries don't necessarily have to be the best in all of these factors to make it to the top, but they can't be the worst, either. Smaller countries have to have a great culture of entrepreneurship and high quality of life and then they can potentially punch far above their weight. So there is a lot at play and it's very complex, and each country must fulfill its own unique criteria and have its own game plan to be a great economy. What works for one country may not for another and so on.

@@automnejoy5308 Canada imports its population

No they have more immigration. Eastern Europe countries will loose more.

We would be fine here in the Netherlands if there wasn't a housing crisis. I'm just really angry that we both have a population collapse and a housing crisis at the same time.

@@mikaelnilsson7313 Denmark doesn't have much immigration. Didn't they released an ad named "Do it for Denmark"?

@@austinscott4695 Not so many asylum seekers but migrant workers from other european countries. The danish population is steady growing. But countries in eatern Europe decline.

@@mikaelnilsson7313 Immigration is not population

**if left as-is. BUT HUMANS are never as simple as a number. HUMANS ARE ALWAYS ON THE MOVE. I cant beleive people keep forgetting that people can walk. walk into a land / walk out of a land = yes that changes the population of any country. the 2 external factors that change any land population is politics and climate **8 these 100year predictions are not valid. 5 years top.

>More resources A function of technology and investment in technology. For that you need young-middle age minds. >Less anxiety Opposite the case, as humans get older they become more conservative minded meaning there will be more anxiety about replacing something that "worked for decades"

More automation will increase pollution remember that

@@codgamer1332 Yes, but as we move even forward into the future we should be expecting our energy base to become more greener with time. I say “should” because our governments have so far proven to be largely incompetent at providing the infrastructure for such a base…. more focused on getting back into office at the next election and short-term placation, rather than long-term infrastructure reform and modernisation.

I think eventually the decline will end and we will see population stablize by century's end.

@@codgamer1332 if it's powered by Fossil fuels

Happy to read about this. Indeed,at the pace that humans are growth is occurring, our planets wont sustain for long. We are also witnessing climate changes. We need a decrease in human population at this rate for ecological stability.

Though can technology overcome resource challenges? For example desalination for water. Greenhouse, hydroponic, and other indoor farming methods can be developed to grow some foods. Onshore fish production could mean that we take less from the oceans. Think creative and be optimistic. Human beings are smart enough to overcome challenges. Things are better than dramatic environmentalists think. Even paper use peaked in about the year 2000 for some developed countries. Smart phones have replaced alarm clocks, calculators, watches, and other devices.

@@vinnieriley7227 unfortunately, it doesn't work that way. Those ideas are not closed loop systems and depend on external inputs. Plus, they only buy time. Human greed will quickly nullify any advantages of new technology and techniques. That includes regenerative and permaculture farming. It's not a technology issue. It's a greed times population size issue.

@@vinnieriley7227 desalination is 100 years before being profitable

And before war too

Ukraine fell from 52.000.000 to 36.000.000 in only 30 years

just adjust the economy, go green and ruin your economy, just like complaining about capitalism is easy, People have alot of just but am not seeing any fixes to the problem from you, care to explain how to actually just adjust the ecnomy to work?

the UK population is Rising fast as hell and is projected to grow another 13 million in the next 50 years, a rise of around 2.2 million every 10 years until a peak of around 91 million in 2200, a healthy growth, France is expected to grow another 5 million during the same time frame before levelling off and peaking in around 2100

@@SirZanZa ummmm only black and brown people in theUK

@@easyb622 okay?

@@Mainz_1901 alright

@@easyb622 who cares? Obsessing over skin colour is as dumb as obsessing over eye colour

Mas tbm galera da américa do Sul fica migrando pra cá, e se os boom da Angola e Mozambique vim cá ai fudeu

Brazil does not have enough young people to replace the old people when it comes to economic productivity. That will accelerate the economic chaos and population decline. Brazil also has the challenge that it has to import its oil and gas in a world of shrinking oil and gas production.

@@bighands69 most of Brazil's energy is renewables dawg

@@splashnskillz37 that's good . 👍

And Poland.

Indeed, I saw graph that it is starting to lose 2 million a year.

Yes, Russia "started declining its population" when most of its men left the country to avoid the draft and those who did not leave are sent to Ukraine to die as cannon fodder.

Ukraine war !

The population was predicted to fall by 20 million by the end of the century, but that was before they invaded Ukraine. Now large numbers of young adults are fleeing the country and will not be in a hurry to return. Worsening conditions in Russia will probably reduce the birth rate even further, so now the population could fall by even more.

Especially if Ukraine keep popping them off at the current rate

don´t believe that. fertility rate reduction for these 2 will probably kick in way before that.

Source : dude trust me 😜

No problem in imagine that!Maybe i will be dead within the next 15 years!Nothing special about dieing!

The world is heading into a decline expect to see less than 7 billion people in 20years time

In west bengal muslim are having 3 or 4 kids But hindus bengalis are having 1 or 2 kids Also same are not even marrying 😕 or Are reluctant to take a kid

@@soumyanilroy8402 it will be the same with Muslims if they at all become middle class. Look at a middle class Muslim and your observation falls flat.

@@caniblmolstr4503 the population middle class muslim is very less Than it is with bengali hindus

@@soumyanilroy8402 then wtf r u worried about? In such situations what usually happens is mass migration or mass conversion. So what do you want?

ITS SHORT SHORTSIGHTEDNESS. when Europe over-bred 3 continents outside Europe in record time!!! 😡😠 ( no concern there) there is no whites OUTSIDE Europe can fit back into it. because its 8-fold over its normal percentage on Earth. LETS look at the places that speak English: USA Canada Australia and South Africa = cannot sail back to England. you know this, I know this. 1+1 =2 so the question is " is the current trend return back to par FROM OVER-BREEDING?" = i havent even entertain the WW1 and WW2 number: if those wars did not happen .... we would have seen what im talking about. its not a decline but a correction from over-breeding

+ South Korea, Japan, China

Europe and East Asia

The difference is that western, central and northern Europe have a lot of immigration - for example, the population of Germany increased from about 80 million people 10 years ago to 84 million now - while the East Asian countries have much less immigration. Therefore the Japanese, South Korean and Chinese populations will decrease faster.

+India except 4 backward states

@@KLRJUNE Thank you for taking the time to reply - that makes a lot of sense :)

the rising productivity of the 20th century has gone way too much toward more stuff, that breaks faster, to make sure you keep spending in the future.. and some population decline is nescesairy, to start a nett carbon gas lessening, instead of more building up... otherwise our great-great grandchildren would see some kinde of global catastofy, probably followed by a world war, causing a sudden population fall in our place.. sure, it well be a hell off challenge, redesining our societies, to cope with the huge graying, but... it's needed.. only the extreme population boom in africa is really worrying .. they are the poorest contenent, having so many children per woman makes an general further schooling of all childres a very difficult goal.. and America is ocean away, but too many young african search to go toward europe.. but with very little skills that can really help europe's economy... population in africa is what, trippling ... that's really worrying ... it really puts pressure on europes values... to many only come thinking they will be way better off money wise, not realising that earning a minimal wage really just about covers basic housing and such, and only looks that much if you imagine living in a way cheaper country from such a wage.. to over influx has let unskilled , not higher school workers wages stagnate for over a decade now... that a big part of why the social security system in under threath almost everywhere in europe now...

That's not true here in my African country women get one to three children

@@alvarobusquets so scholing and health care can really improve there? :-)

@@JeroenJA yeah

they probably did based on fertility numbers witch are low

it all depends on the spectrum of age distribution. if most of the population (the median) is above 60, we have a big problem. the ideal distribution is uniform across all ages.

"The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality, and an Inflation Revival" a bit dry, but an interesting look into exactly this question.

Japan, Greece and Italy are showing us exactly what happens. High debt to GDP ratio. Of course, there are bad policy decisions that have exacerbated this. But it's in large part because of their demographic collapse. What happens is a waning of economic power, but not necessarily a total collapse. Why? Well, it all depends on the culture and the government. Something that happens is that the elderly remain in the workforce. They work into their 80's and even 90's. That's what you see in Japan nowadays. This can be very good but also very bad, but it is a workaround to some degree. What would really help is immigration. That is a touchy topic, though, and there are obviously some cons that go with the pros. Not every country is culturally set up for immigrants. Japan seems allergic to them. Some of these countries would rather wither away into insignificance than take in large numbers of immigrants.

Caring is the least of the issues. Productive output at an economic scale will be the challenge. Many countries are going to face an economic collapse at the same time they face a population collapse because they are one in the same thing.

Depth are only a problem if you want or are forced to stay in the system. If a country just terminates the depts the fortunes counting on repayment disappear overnight. Happened so often in the past, will happen in future again.

I wonder if the burden of looking after the old people will encourage the workforce to leave for a country with a growing economy and lower taxes.

One there's less population growth there's more old people than young people which will take a huge tool on a countries economy since old people don't work

how does people not realize that economy is really important, and also more things will be effect by depopulation then just economy

@@tankvinl9805 so when those new rich countries will face the same in 50 years what will happened next ? there won’t be many other countries unless old countries return to grow once again . Germany was destroyed 3 times and they managed every time to come back

​@@theteamxxx3142 germany was never destroyed, Modern day germany is actually being destroyed, What will come after germany actually get destroyed is up to who knows, But it wont be germany, mussolini tried to fix population decline and that guy failed, Surely a democratic nation will do better, And no, immigration does not fix the problem, Your just adding another problem ontop of depopulation

You are talking crap and living in a delusional fantasy. Population decline will not be smooth it will create demographic instability in many countries that means economic collapse. That means the likes of Russia and China will exercise massive conflicts in their collapse. That may mean nuclear exchange so do you think that is a good thing?

@@bighands69 Well considering I'm typing this message right now, I would disagree about being in a delusional fantasy. Yes... that what I said "it seems grim", it will be a smooth and long process of less people being born and populations declining, despite what you may think, sure economies may feel some pain, but I highly doubt that it would result in nuclear exchanges, that would a brash and nonsensical thing to do. Look at Russia despite losing a war and having a declining population, not one nuke has been fired, world leaders aren't that trigger-happy.

you are a cuck and should keep your mouth shut. overpopulation is a probelm in africa with massive low IQ uneducated peasants. low birth rates in europe will be horrible for inovation and the future of the planet. have fun fighting one wave of refugees after another. because africa will only grow and the misery will only deepen. these people will look for welfare handouts in your city and you will be damned. while the smart people will die out.

@@qefewfwdcwdc Starting off with a insult, very courteous. You’re thinking that governments around the world would just open boarders for anyone to pass through and create a helter skelter type scenario, which is certainly a interesting take on it, I didn’t say we’ll be replaced, or we’ll bring more people in to make up the difference. My thought was based on a premise of just letting things take there course. And to discredit the helter skelter argument Many of those developing nations birth rates have been seeing a steady decline for the past few years, due to higher economic development and more educational opportunities. I understand the concern of having ones culture and people replaced though.

Just wait until china has little to no working men left… who will construct our devices?

i'm sorry i don't speak baguette

@@nzredwolf4048 🤣On the baguette...?!

@@ASVoriginal what

we're just gonna have old people everywhere then lol

Après ce sont des études purement statistiques, ne prenant absolument pas compte de l'immigration et surtout des crises à venir. Parce que c'est bien gentil de dire que l'espérance de vie va augmenter mais bon vu le réchauffement climatique on risque plutôt de se diriger vers des famines et autres pénuries de ressources qui mèneront à de l'immigration et des guerres, pas super super pour la démographie tout ça... Ce que cela veut surtout dire c'est que sans une immigration contribuant à l'économie du pays les pays cités dans cette vidéo (et de nombreux autres) ne pourront peut-être plus supporter leurs régimes de retraites et leurs sécurité sociale. Enfin bref tout ça pour dire que si ces chiffres sont utiles pour déterminer l'évolution de la population à facteurs constants, seule ils ne servent à rien et ne prédiront absolument pas notre futur. Sans compter que les taux de natalité peuvent évoluer avec des changements de mentalité et de conditions de vie. Déjà tous les pays développés n'ont pas le même taux de natalité, si ces pays adoptent le taux de natalité français (ce qui est réaliste) leur population recommenceront à augmenter. Si on voit le retour de guerre en europe de l'ouest et en Asie (je parle de guerre touchant directement ces pays) la natalité risque aussi d'augmenter. Et puis d'autres facteurs peuvent complètement déformer la pyramide de population.

They were never 30 percent of the world's population at any time.

That's what happens when you invite immigrants to your country especially black people

bad news for the planet really.

Asian population and Arab population is also going down and they are having very less children too . Fertility rate in Iran , Turkey , Algeria and SAUDI Arabia are also less than 2

@@davis2420 Asian population and Arab population is also going down and they are having very less children too . Fertility rate in Iran , Turkey , Algeria and SAUDI Arabia are also less than 2

I’ve heard that China will contract down that to population in the next twenty to thirty years.

He is citing the united nations which has a population projection which is more optimistic that that of The Lancet , which estimates a catastrophic decline

@@sidneydhoro1554 As I understand it, the Chinese government’s own data says that they overcounted their population to the tune over a hundred million people. If that’s accurate, then the Chinese population stopped growing fifteen or twenty years ago, which means China’s population is going to contract a lot harder and fast than we initially expected, and China is already the fastest aging society in human history.

@@sidneydhoro1554 The same anti-science UN that predicted Climate Doom by 2000? It's a PC cesspool, that either inflates minimal data, or rejects it. Example: Has the UN condemned China for its release of COVID from a Wuhan lab yet? It's a hard scientific fact.

@@terrylong8894 That report is very contradictory and mostly fantasy. If China's population peaked in 2005, their economy still grew by over 200 percent from 2005 to 2020. That would mean a declining population does not equal economic stagnation. Yet the people who use that report ignore this.

Climate will change substantially wether there's 100 people or 10 billion living on earth.

Overpopulation is not synonymous with climate change. Overconsumption is the issue

Somali population is booming very family has more than 6 children.

What you fail to understand is that with the current political mess the West and countries like Italy are in (ideological crisis, heightened xenophobia, austerity, lack of economic opportunities), the appeal to go to Italy will reduce. Couple this with poorer countries increase in population because, not in spite, of disasters (for eg Syria has the highest birth rate).

To just 766million😂

@@mjones8170 That's a 50% drop in just 80 years with the age distribution being tilted towards old people. China won't even be in the top 5 countries by population when it's population hits 766 million.

i have even seen a even far more horrifying one of just over 565 M 🥶, basically almost 1B decline

@@mjones8170 That's a near 50% decline in population and 41% over 65!.

Zero economic growth is a curse you place on future generations. Imagine what your life would be like today if the people in 1930 adopted your policy. They didn't even have televisions and people died from treatable diseases. Growth means wealth creation.

Interesting - do you happen to have a source for this projection?

@@bruceritchie7613 The ABS (Australian Bureau of statistics) and an article by the ABC about big Australia intakes on high immigration population trends until 2100.

Lol 😂😂 Who will immigrate to Australia . Aliens ? Because Asian population is decreasing rapidly too . Even fertility rates in countries like India and Iran and Turkey is less than 2 now

@@bobfaam5215 india's is 2.1

@@aadityaranjan2159 they will not take indians and africans too much. Now a days i see alot of racist see immigrants as imvadirs

ur a treacherous human traitor...why not bring back the final solution so u can hug a tree in peace

Spain has always been an attractive destination for migrants from Latin America. They are also easy to integrate into Spanish society.

Depends on the ability of each country to manage their ecology. But economically speaking, decreasing population will be devastating. Think of all the countries that have or are trying to export their way to wealth - when the world population is growing everyone can benefit and get wealthy, but now everyone will be competing for a shrinking piece of an ever shrinking pie - that's a recipe for shrinking wealth and even war. As for the countries that are consumption led, when you have less people to sell to, you have less profit potential. At the end of the day, it would be best if we could all stabilize the human population while having sound ecological policies that we all cooperate around.

@@Nick-bh5bk Consumption consumption, wealth, wealth, . Are you trained in economics by any chance ?