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Description: Over the course of the war in Ukraine, Yevgeny Viktorovich Prigozhin and Wagner Group became household names around the world. From their fighting at Bakhmut, to their standoffs with the Russian MoD leadership, to the dramatic march on Moscow followed by a public truce, the PMC and its leader often dominated the news.
But on 23 August, Prigozhin's story seems (so far) to have come to a very public end, when a jet carrying him and other Wagner members crashed in Russia with no reported survivors.
What does that mean for the PMC, Russia, Africa & the West? Those are questions I'll ask today.
Patreon:
/ perunau
Comments & Caveats:
All usual caveats and notes apply - and to those I'd add those I very specifically raise in the video around the quality of the evidence we currently have.
Reading and source notes:
TASS - Business jet crashes in Tver region
tass.com/emergencies/1664307
Utkin's sanctions
www.opensanctions.org/entitie...
Russian Aviation Authority on the manifest:
t.me/favt_ru/1278
TASS - aircraft flight pattern
tass.com/emergencies/1664559
TASS - passengers
tass.com/emergencies/1664395
Putin on Prigozhin's death
www.watoday.com.au/world/euro...
Simon Rynn (published by RUSI) - Where next for Wagner Group in Africa
rusi.org/explore-our-research...
Moscow Times on the crash:
www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/0...
Reporting on Wagner handing over heavy weapons:
www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/7...
Poland moving troops to Belarus border
www.nbcnews.com/news/world/po...
Reporting on Wagner presence near Polish Border
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-3...
www.bbc.com/news/world-europe...
Mark Galeotti article
www.spectator.co.uk/article/p...
Putin orders Wagner fighters to sign pledge of allegiance
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-2...
Lavrov on Wagner operations in Africa
www.euronews.com/2023/06/26/r...
TASS - Lukashenko says Prigozhin's family confirm that he's dead
tass.com/world/1665595
Prigozhin Africa Video:
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Reporting on Russian airlines
www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/0...
UK House Foreign Affairs Committee - the Wagner Network
exposed committees.parliament.uk/publ...
TASS - flight recorder
tass.com/society/1665625
Expert reactions published by Atlantic Council
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs...
US reporting on causes
abcnews.go.com/International/...
www.reuters.com/world/europe/...
Western reporting on the crash
www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-2...
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
www.bbc.com/news/world-europe...
Prigozhin in Belarus
www.theguardian.com/world/202...
Prigozhin at the Africa summit
www.bbc.com/news/world-africa...
Reporting on Niger coup
www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/8...
More video:
t.me/ENews112/15120
Video footage:
t.me/breakingmash/47183
Accompanying commentary:
meduza.io/en/feature/2023/08/...
Timestamps:
00:00 - The Death Of Prigozhin
01:34 - What Am I Talking About?
03:56 - Background
12:58 - What Do We Know?
23:09 - Causes & Responsibility
32:40 - What Does This Mean: Ukraine & NATO
34:24 - What Does This Mean: Africa And Overseas Operations
43:26 - What Does This Mean: Wagner Group
47:24 - What Does This Mean: Russia
52:06 - Winners And Losers?
56:28 - Conclusion
57:15 - Channel Update