Can you tell Thierry is a falcons fan? Malik Nabers drops on Patreon tomorrow - Bo Nix on YT next weekend! www.patreon.com/ThinkingFootball

Reminder that Kyle Pitts is younger than Michael Penix Jr

Accuracy can be improved through training. Fast and accurate reading will be improved through film room, development, and coaching. The only true gamble is Penix's durability/availability. Then again, injury is a matter of sheer luck or lack thereof (Watson, Murray, Rodgers, Burrow), and quickly forgotten if not forgiven (Lamar, Tua) when all goes well. Thanks a million for the best educational vids.

People act like Penix is gonna start when there's plenty of qbs like Pickett and Wilson that should've stayed in the bench their rookie years

I think it was a good pick, literally EVERY qb had flaws. Even Mahomes coming out out of college, there were lots of questions about his accuracy

Penix didn't put much scrambling on tape, but when you dig in and you find some of the times he threw on the run, and you look at his 40 time at the Combine which was 4.5 and change, he has the ability make things happen with his feet. He had three very important scrambles for first downs against Texas and the sugar bowl. It's definitely not his bread and butter, but I don't think coaches care too much about that, because takes so few sacks because he's very good at moving in the pocket and getting the ball out. If Kirk wasn't there, Atlanta would be such a perfect landing spot for him. I think the Falcons are going to move on from Kirk next off season if they can. As soon as Kirk spilled the beans about tampering, I think that's when the Falcons began thinking about life beyond Kirk. And they're going to want to get a pick for him next year because they're going to lose a pick for him next year.

Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson both improved their accuracy in the NFL.

Penix seems like a great quarterback. It seems kind of odd to go after Cousins and draft him though. They might have been better off getting a cheaper veteran for him to sit behind for a year or two.

The answer is "genius". Im a Bucs fan, so dont act like this is bias. Penix is elite talent.

Everyone is destroying this pick but if Cousins goes down week 5 the Falcons look like geniuses . Ask the Jets, Cardinals, Vikings etc what happens when you're main stud goes down

If Cousins gets injured, again, then the falcons had no acceptable backup. Pennix can be a backup and also the QB of the future in a couple of years.

I like that he's not playing right away so he have ample opportunity to correct the flaws in his game. Then it'll be up to the OC to highlight his strengths.

Love this deep dive

Rome said he cut his route off as soon as he saw the broken coverage at 9:15. I’d label that one more of a miscommunication

65% accuracy both seasons at Washington. That doesn’t scream red flag to me. Better than Mahomes and Josh Allen in college.

Extremely smart move to me. You’re gonna win now, and you’re going to win in the future… As a Vikings fan, Kirk cousins is exactly who he showed himself to be on that 4th & 7 play in the playoffs . You can’t win a Super Bowl with him, but he will never be bad enough to tank. You can get out of the Kirk cousins business after two years with a minimal dead hit, in an ever increasing salary cap league. Michael Penix Junior is in Atlanta, a team that is surrounded with a good offensive line and weapons that specifically fit his skill set… Which is the part I love the most. The move was definitely strange though, because somewhere between tampering with Kurt, cousins, and meeting with Michael Penny at the NFL, combine, the Falcons fell in love with the guy, I don’t think they would have tampered with Kirk cousins if they liked Michael Penick so much from the start. Somewhere along the line, the plan changed, and that can be concerning as a fan. But I think flexibility in your plan is a good quality to have as a front office, in addition, the concept of having a strong team first, while currently having the quarterback of the future on the roster, sitting and learning is a concept that has historically proven to work. So I like it a lot

Love the pick

It's SMART...moving on.

My main issue is definitely the allocation of resources. I hope it works out though, MPJ is definitely a dude I want to see succeed.

very much agree, frustrating as if he seriously played anywhere near the level he did against Oregon twice, we could have won natty comfortably. I give them some credit, but I think mainly Penix just missed open passes he normally made, we would have lost multiple times prior if he had played so poorly in many other games. Was hell of fun year though, just some unreal throws.

The Stupid love was paying Cousins all that money. He's coming off a massive injury

Falcons fans are going to love Penix once its his time to shine. He will have a similar career to Kirk and Matt Ryan so thats a good start, if he can win a Superbowl (he has the talent to do it) then he will be even more respected.. All this stuff right now is stupid because in a year or two or three from NOW, the Falcons will have an entirely different take and respect for the QB they currently have.

Falcons might not have a 1st round pick in 2025 as a penalty for tampering with Cousins, so if they wanted to take their future QB with that pick, they’re just doing it a year early. One year less on a rookie contract is nothing if you think he’ll be your guy for the next 10-12 years once he gets to start. An odd pick but I see the reasoning- I just don’t think it was on anyone’s radar

He reminds me of a baseball pitcher who likes to whip his arm around his torso to get that extra spin rate, the release has to be perfect or you're going to miss the target. It's probably also going to result in fatigue on his joints. I would like to see him drive with his feet through his right shoulder instead of the left. It would result in a shower ball, but give him a much larger window for his release point. I hope he works it out, but I think he's a reach even before the 2nd round. That high of a pick you have to be certain that his extension will be top 5 money AND it will be a good investment. I would not bet my job on that. Also, "RPO-heavy" is the TV Babysitter of offensive schemes, it's mean to engage and occupy without teaching you anything.

As a Falcons fan....I must say I'm loving every minute of this. It is too funny to me how the Falcons of all teams drafting a QB is causing such a stir 😂 🤣. My goodness. Listen, folks, God bless yall. But all folks in the A know is.... Damn "Shaft" just landed in the Chocolate City.... with a Golden Arm!!! It's up! 😂 You all can be perplexed, dumbfounded, a taken back, confused, and lost for words all yall want. "Shaft" is in Chocolate City. Let's go!!!

Ain't nothing stupid about getting your future QB at least 2 years early. All that means is he will be ready to go when his time comes. Look at the dynamics of it, it was a strategic move.

Same age as the number 2 pick Jayden Daniel’s

Thinkingfootball... Have you scouted williams, Daniels, maye like you have with Penix in this video? Interested to hear where you think penix stacks up with these guys. I've heard severl nfl teams had penix as their qb 2

I love the pick

Penix is that good. If you're winning you wont ever get the chance to draft a player of that level when that bum cousins leaves.

Not sure I appreciated just how good our line was. Rooting for Rosengarten and the polynesian

Very Smart..the Media is behind on new realities in NFL.

Why I’m reading about accuracy. His accuracy WAYY better than what we in Atlanta the last two years. And he gonna have a fresh arm in 2 years

The problem is the Penix pick is a hedge. It doesn't really look good if he has to sit for four years and they have to extend him before they get to build without cousins.

Smart

We g on to the superbowl

Is it possible to do a Mahomes college tape analysis? It would be nice to have some reference point to compare other college talents to.

As a saints fan it's smart 😎😎🤓

You bring up the old question of can you teach accuracy. Most coaches say no. Nonetheless, Penix's multiple injuries are a concern since NFL is ta big step up in weight and speed. Overall, it is a tough decision.

Looks to be smart bold move move with low risk high reward

I wouldn't call a competent pocket passer with some mobility gamble.😮

Great pick ATL.

Penix elite

Can we get shedeur breakdown ?

The good should've been Texas and the bad should've been the entire Michigan game. In Penix defense as great as his oline was it couldn't block Michigan. Vs Texas however Penix oline gave him 3.5 secs per dropback compared to only 2.5 sec vs Michigan. Huge difference. Penix needs an oline, clearly.

Perfectly said. Was it dumb to sign a qb for 4 years to draft one? Yes but Penix is good and everyone is acting like they traded their first for a 7th rounder in 25 years.

It’s actually an anti-gamble. They’re talking all the risk out of the QB position in exchange for giving up all possible surplus value, at great opportunity cost.

Yk if he was only a 3 year college QB with no injuries and a high ceiling than it would make sense for him to sit n learn behind Kirk before becoming your franchise QB but drafting the OLDEST QB with 3 SEASON ENDING injuries just in college and a guy who has a higher floor than he does ceiling is an absurd risk.

Ain’t worried bout it. Just win A.

The Falcons took a gamble signing Kirk with a torn Aquilles, perhaps that recovery isn't as good as they thought and went for a QB that could be starting in a year. Penix will have some time to develop and improve his mechanics, but more than 2 years could too much time sitting

What if Penix ends up being the answer prior to the expiration of Cousins massive contract? Does that allow for a massive reduction of salary cap if that happens?

Idk why ppl have a problem with the pick ,the problem was with giving cousins the inflated payday imo,..they've invested in a young qb that'll have a good offense when he's ready ....

6:40 😮

Have to remember that these are grown men. If losing or struggling in your rookie season hurts your poor little confidence, then you were never going to be the guy anyways. The only way to adapt to the game speed is to play the game.

To Penix credit he's been healthy the past 2 years. So hopefully that's a good sign but like you said how much more can a 26 year old college player improve

I don’t think drafting Penix was the issue I think why everyone is scratching their heads is y they paid to put Cousins under center with that huge contract all to draft a qb high in the draft. I do believe Penix could be a good qb.. ya he’s older and there are wholes in his game like every rookie that comes into the NFL .. if he buys n an coaches can develop an teach he could be a star. There’s no exact science when choosing a qb most of them don’t end up being a star.

He was a reach according to the “experts, that ride each other”. I agree. However, Penix is going to be 🔥 for ATL! 💯

Brilliant.

I think the gamble in a vacuum is sound especially 'investing' on a commodity in the NFL like a QB. But when you lay out the Falcons process, reaching for Kirk and the GMs/execs falling in love with Penix to reach for him, the gamble gets real sketchy. Apparently Blank didn't like watching the quality of QB play last season so he gets to love the idea that he spent big on Kirk and for a really expensive backup 'developmental' QB picked in the first round. I think Penix probably can turn to a starter sooner than McCarthy or Nix. But I'm not confident he earns his 2nd big payday from the Falcons unless its out of desperation. I'm still willing to hedge on the pick being justified if the rumors of tampering are true with how the Falcons got to sign Kirk and the penalty was not having a first pick in 2025.

i guess penix panics.

can you do some defensive players

I don't know why people are so surprised with this pick. I doubt even Kirk believed he was the future of the Falcons and would be lucky to last beyond the first two years (where the 100m guarantee is and can be cut in the third with almost no cap). And if he is as good as so many love to claim him to be, we are not going to see a chance to draft a solid replacement QB without giving up a ton of draft pick to move back up. The falcons went after Kirk because they have the offensive tools now (they would have been a play off team last year with a good QB) and this pick will secure the position for the future. It's not like a pass rushing DE was suddenly going to make them a super bowl favorite...

Will there be a Ricky pearsall video eventually?

It's good no tell how long kirk can play I'm thinking not at 40 year's old

At the conclusion of bo nix video im interested to see you put out your final rankings now that your done the "Big 6" i personalyl have Caleb, drake, jayden. penix, nix mccarthy your shud be similar too

He’s had 4 surgeries and is 23. If he waits 3 years to start he will be 26. I don’t see why this decision was made.

Time will tell lmao, i saw that boy spooked vs my michigan wolverines in the natty.

My question is does Kirk Cousins have an injury clause? If he goes out there and gets smashed up in the first few games, then Penix Jr will step up

Regardless it’s poor management. Don’t sign cousins. That’s $40M/yr in talent you could have added to your team to support your rookie qb.

It's funny that everyone brings up his age, because the media has pounded this narrative. It's not like every 21-24 year old QB goes on to play for the same franchise for 10-15 years years. His age could be an advantage.

The Falcons created a problem in the locker room---we'll see how smart it is roster wise but I'm banking on "not very". They had their pick of any of the d-lineman and pass rushers (maybe even an offensive tackle which is something they definitely needed over a quarterback). I'm sure when Kirk Cousins is getting blasted off the edge and Kaleb McGary and Jacob Matthews are getting abused they'll be glad they passed up an offensive tackle! Grady Jarrett's been there since 2015--your telling me the Falcons couldn't have used Latu, Murphy, or Dallas Turner (all would have been available at #8)? If any of those 3 make any Pro Bowls or produce like the should (my money's on Murphy or Turner) than that'll just be more justification for cleaning house and firing Fontenot and Morris. This all presuming Penix doesn't get on the field---even if he DOES the Falcons are still weak and those needs were either defensive or offensive tackle...or pass rush. Kind of a luxury pick that should have been addressed later (if they wanted to take a hot at a quarterback to groom they could have got one later) when it really wasn't called for....but we'll see!

This looked so stupid in the eyes of a casual, but I feel like this could work out very well because the pieces are around him therefore making it a stupidly great pick

The only thing not to like about Penix is his throwing motion. It looks weird to me!

We are very excited to have Ryan Grubb over Shane Waldron.

The only thing I dislike about the pick is the fact that the Falcons made it. They just paid Kirk Cousins a lot of money for four years. Why pay all that money for that amount of time and then draft his replacement a month later? It makes no sense from a business standpoint. The Falcons are continuing to show that they’ll never recover from 28-3.

Kirk Cousins had a no trade clause in that contract! Yikes?

It's a gamble but i think it was the right move learning from Kirk could help him injurys the biggest question for pennix not talent

Think if you had Desmond ridder

Cousins has repeatedly put on tape how he can put up great numbers only to falter in big games. All while driving truckloads of cash to the bank. Atlanta made the right move to make sure they have a good backup QB to ride the bench and learn until it's time to pull Cousins when he shows any signs of choking.

Jayden Daniel’s video yet?

Matthew 11:30 For my yoke is easy, and my burden is light.

I can’t say smart but it wasn’t a bad pick at all

Gave KC a no trade clause in that contract as well? Yikes?

Teams have been looking for a franchise qb for over 30 years lol, I would have drafted Penix and JJ and had them both sitting behind Cousins🤣 we'll work on defense next year lol and ya'll can tell me I made a bad decision drafting Penix and JJ but I'm not getting fired over a qb, I'm with Raheem Morris on this one not like Kirk Cousins going to win a championship coming off a torn achilles with a mediocre defense.

Mahomes has three SB under his belt at the same age Penix gets to start a game 😅

This is less like a gamble, more like buying a house and using your first year's mortgage exclusively on lottery tickets in hopes that you can pay the house off early

It's not a bad choice if it wasnt the oldest god damn prospect with our EIGHT OVERALL PICK

As a falcons fan fuck y’all opinion

Everybody saying the Falcons should have done with Cousins what the Jets did after signing Aaron Rodgers, hope and pray he doesn’t get hurt with no backup plan on a playoff ready team. 🙄 Signing a backup QB and expecting to win is dumber than drafting Penix. Cousins is aging and coming off a serious injury that may make him less mobile. Good win now decision by the Falcons 100%

If they were going to sit a QB for 2-3 years why not get JJ? Younger and healthier option

Oh but wasn’t your argument on earlier vids that teams need to take risks at qb? So that thinking only holds if you personally like that prospect or not. The industry doesn’t work that way, either you agree with the strategy of taking QBs with high draft capital or you agree with the strategy of building talent on the rest of the team first. You can’t have your cake and eat it too.

I would have more faith in Penix if the Rams or Minnesota took him because those team have great coaches. I don't know if im that confident in Morris as a QB coach. They trying the Jordan Love experiment 😂.

Bro, quarterback in the NFL or college level arent perfect you're going to see those type of throws occasionally

Penix's strengths are essentially justin fields's weaknesses, Fields isnt good at throwing fast or making reads fast thats the only thing holding him back.

man idk I thank these teams up to some. I’m lookin at Packers taking Jordan Loveno he tha starter n they don’t have to pay him top 5 QB money when he is ascending to a top 5 young QB. so he’ll probably be playin at an All Pro lvl & maybe getting paid top 10 - 15 money. could be doing tha same w/ Penix becus personally I thank bro is gone be an elite passer.

Drake has a daughter

Penix has talent but ATL picking him was a terrible choice! Extremely unfair to Penix as he most likely will have to wait 2-3 years before he even steps in as a starter. You also create tension in the QB room. Falcons would’ve been better off taking Odunze.

He’s Geno Smith

Michael Penix is us making up for letting Brett Favre go too soon… because he is likely the return of him… (on the field only obviously)

It's such a terrible macro pick that the only way it works out in the micro is if Penix hits his 95th percentile projection.