The First Round of Fantasy Football is DEAD WRONG

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The First Round of Fantasy Football is DEAD WRONG

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Fantasy Stock Exchange

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 74

@mlixmaster Ай бұрын

You guys are the most underrated source of fantasy rankings / info out there. Your positions are well thought out and love the risk factor framework. Keep doing great work!!

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Much appreciated!

@mlixmaster Ай бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchange also question for you guys: am I crazy to think that Puka's half-ppr ppg could actually increase YY in 2024? He averaged 14.6 0.5 ppr ppg last year and 14.3 ppg in games after Kupp returned. Typically WRs increase their production by a lot in year 2, and I could also see him winning some incremental share from Kupp this year.

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Honestly I’m more in the other direction, I think how he performed last year would be a great season if he were able to repeat it

@TomCashflowS1 Ай бұрын

I'm on team Amon at 1.04. That being said, I am on the fence with the Breece vs. Bijan.

@duncanpetrelli4986 Ай бұрын

Good shit, hope you’re doing rounds 2 n 3 next at some point! 👍🏻

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

We are indeed!

@TomCashflowS1 Ай бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchange let's go! Also a redraft mock would be awesome too

@brett4932 Ай бұрын

The bull case scenarios, for the Jets offense are intact, but they are far riskier than the bull case scenarios for the Falcons offense. Just based on division alone the Jets have a far more difficult schedule. Then the more important factor is Rogers. Rogers hasn’t thrown for more than 300 yards in a game since 2021. He also plays at one of the slowest paces of any starting quarterback in the league, regardless of the offense that he is in. This is how he works. His thing is efficiency and it always has been. But that efficiency was not there in Green Bay at the end and he had elite assets in Davante Adams and Aaron Jones. I love breece, but robinson’s floor in the new scheme is higher than hall’s floor. And their ceilings are the same. There is real concern that Aaron Rodgers just doesn’t have it anymore and that is better than what the Jets had last year it’s still isn’t indicative of incredibly high ceilings for both hall and Wilson. Nathaniel Hackett is also wildly overvalued. Give me Robinson and the Atlanta offense with either quarterback over the Jets.

@keenansmusiccorner3514 Ай бұрын

I love how much you both disagree and then make very valid points for each. Definitely changed my mind on the argument for Jefferson

@djquill3303 Ай бұрын

Great content!

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Thanks boss!

@jarrettpierce5626 28 күн бұрын

CeeDee is overvalued at 1 I feel, I took him last year with the last 1st round pick and won the lottery but I'd go with Tyreek or CMC with their track record, I just dont trust Dak

@FantasyStockExchange 28 күн бұрын

considering he’s the best QB those 3 players have it’s weird not to trust Dak

@aussiemanfishing 15 күн бұрын

If you are trading out of the 1.01 in a redraft league down to 1.04-1.06, what return should you expect to get?

@FantasyStockExchange 15 күн бұрын

I mean what’s he willing to offer?

@aussiemanfishing 15 күн бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchangethey haven’t offered yet, curious as what you could expect to get from moving off the 1.01 in a redraft league as I’ve never considered it before. You said you moved from top 3 to 6, what did you get for that? There are so many sites to figure out dynasty trades, but redraft I have no idea how to value a trade.

@louisperron6506 Ай бұрын

Fantastic content once again boys; is this more relevant for classic redraft or underdog bestball tournaments?

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

For classic redraft PPR leagues (like we play in) as well as Underdog bestball I feel like it's specifically advice suited for those two formats

@alejandrotoledo-navarro9783 Ай бұрын

Love the content fellas (no glaze) How would y’all rank all of the picks this year from worst to best? Where should I be trying to pick from?

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

1. Top 3 2. 6-8 (to catch the end of the mid 1sts tier) 3. 4-5 (despite having to make a tough decision on the mid 1sts tier) 4. 9-10 (Because I love Garrett & AJ) 5. 11 or 12 (I don't love being right on the turn to begin with and while double tapping Nacua and Marvin is nice, I'm worried for future rounds value that falls, seems like you're at a tier break at 3/4 and 5/6 a lot of the time) That's from best to worst*

@0lde40e3 Ай бұрын

Won my league last year with the rankings from these guys!

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Let’s goo!

@mitchellflynn8966 29 күн бұрын

Have the 12th pick in a 12 team half PPR league. Do you think it’s better from a team building perspective to take Puka and Harrison back to back if Gibbs is still on the board?

@andrewf8125 Ай бұрын

Bush, you definitely moved up in your home league after being tired of picking from the 1.06 in underdog. Great video boys

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

HAHA got enough Jettas and ARSB already

@andrewbracht7939 Ай бұрын

So we do a lottery (similar to NBA) for our draft order based on where we finished last year. I’m now on the clock to choose my spot with the 1,2,3, and 12 spots already gone. Is it a no brainer to just take the 4 spot? PPR league, full redraft, standard flex, start 9 (including K and DST), 16 rounds. 🤔

@brandonkg15 Ай бұрын

I think JJ gets a QB upgrade and with Hock injured and Addison in trouble the volume could be too much to pass on JJ this year

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

FWIW this was recorded pre-Addison nonsense

@joshslaats134 Ай бұрын

What up fellas!

@michaeldoherty5415 Ай бұрын

I’ve never been so sad that I won a league as I am this year lol! Picking at the 1.12 is just a gigantic cliff from the mid 1st.

@rarj13 12 күн бұрын

Easy Amon-Ra. Cooper Kupp like ceiling with the highest floor in round 1.

@ryanverley5894 28 күн бұрын

St brown is too safe and too consistent in a better situation than Jefferson

@FantasyStockExchange 27 күн бұрын

Definitely, can't have my first round pick always being good right? haha

@ethanentze1068 Ай бұрын

Due diligence

@kevintheis6359 Ай бұрын

I have 6th pick in PPR redraft. (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex) do you recommend going elite RB in round 1 with Breece / Bijan or elite WR with Amon Ra / Jefferson? 15 round home league, 12 team. If I go WR in round 1, I’m looking to target Henry or Kyren in the 2nd.

@THCAtomicjuice Ай бұрын

PPR Redraft would you take Pickens or Flowers as your WR3?

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

I'd prefer Flowers slightly but I like both guys

@stephensneed8181 Ай бұрын

This is almost to a T how I feel about this first round. I would put Gibbs at 1.09 but that's it

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Yeh no argument with Gibbs tbh

@Aterribleterp Ай бұрын

Amon, Bijan and Hall > Jefferson, not paying a top 5 price tag for a wr tied with a rookie qb even though he will still have a great season

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

I agree - Bush

@MrBeanz32 Ай бұрын

In a standard league are you still targeting WRs ahead of CMC and do any guys like saquon or JT jump into the top 12?

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Yeh those RBs would move ahead of those Puka/Garrett types and my top 5 would look like this 1. CMC 2. Lamb 3. Hill 4. Bijan 5. Breece

@stormpooper4 Ай бұрын

What do you think about J Taylor? I am at 1.09 and am thinking about picking him first, seems like such a safe pick with also a high ceiling. Wilson, AJ and Gibbs all have some sort of risk, can’t see a lot for JT

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

JT has more risk than those guys, he's career touches sneakily piling up, dealt with injuries, offense I believe in but ARich may limit his goal line work and he doesn't have a high receiving ceiling. If were in your spot I would roll with Garrett Wilson or AJ, Gibbs if u wanted a RB that bad

@stormpooper4 Ай бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchange thanks ❤

@muchskills Ай бұрын

What I like about y’all is different takes. I don’t think you both should be agreeing because obviously one is for ceiling and one is for floor. There are definitely people who want to build their teams based on ceiling or floor so different takes helps with that.

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Glad you enjoyed! That’s something we’ve definitely tried to display better this year, adds more substance when there’s organic contrast 💪

@muchskills Ай бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchange I’ve always found myself to draft steady players over high ceiling so to not see you two having the order the same was great especially with the explanation to why. Be great when y’all do a full draft explaining why you made the picks you did because if u going safe with certain positions does that mean getting a stud qb 2nd or 3rd round?

@gsp427 Ай бұрын

How high would you take bijan? I have the 1.02 and keep g will late so I have a solid wr. Ppr

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

In full PPR assuming Lamb and Hill are not kept I would 100% go with them over Bijan, however, Bijan is worthy of that pick if CMC, Lamb, Hill, ARSB and maybe Jettas are kept/off the board

@yaroslav64 Ай бұрын

Doesn't it make more sense to speak as a default relative to half PPR? I don't get why y'all always say this is assuming PPR, half allows for easier relative comparisons to standard or full.

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

It does, but 90% of the leagues we play in are PPR and we're trying to win just the same as y'all

@Maximus20345 Ай бұрын

If this was a half ppr tier list would you bump the rbs up a bit or leave them the same?

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

They'd slide a little bit potentially but round 1 isn't really where most of the changes would happen, maybe you'd see Saquon sneak into the back of 1

@dawsonraney5289 Ай бұрын

In dynasty, would you send Addison and Polk for Waddle? Or how about for London? Have too many players rostered and might be able to pull off the Waddle deal.

@imjedi75 Ай бұрын

Duh

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Either or is fine with me! But I prefer London

@TheMonoGhost7 Ай бұрын

I think Marvin is going to explode, agree with Bush. Dont care if he’s a rookie I’d love a Gibbs-Harrison start from the 1.12

@natjam13 Ай бұрын

Great video! I’m excited for round 2. Rd 2 is a fkin shit show this year!

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Yessir!

@donaldadams3301 Ай бұрын

"I love Puka...I just think that we've seen the best season of his career so far" Can you clarify this? You believe the best season of Puka's career, in his rookie season, has already occurred?

@kademurphree8806 Ай бұрын

They are saying the best season of his career will be that rookie season of his last year

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

Yes sorry I misspoke, I meant this past season in 2023 will be the best of his career - ik it's outlandish to say but Matt Harmon has documented that he's very much lifted by the scheme and QB play (even though he's a great WR) my point is he's not elite

@donaldadams3301 Ай бұрын

@@FantasyStockExchange Thats fair. What would your take be though on him also being a positive TD regression candidate? Thanks for the reply!

@njralliartkid22 Ай бұрын

🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻🙌🏻

@FantasyStockExchange Ай бұрын

💯💯💯

@brianznidarsic2266 Ай бұрын

2nd 😢

@TomCashflowS1 Ай бұрын

I have a 6 man league must start 2 QBs (not SuperFlex) PPR - it is with my family - any thoughts on this changing the market?

@qazzaqstan Ай бұрын

It depends what the rest of the roster requirements looks like. I view a player's points above replacement as how they compare to a late round pick or a waiver wire player. 6 person 2 QB you are probably comparing QBs to a typical QB 15 season so it really depends if you are comparing WRs to the WR 24 or the WR 45 based off how many WRs and flexes you are starting, same applies to RBs.