What if his record of being half right continues? We got a wild ride coming.

@TailExchange Russians don't controll Moldovia.

It seems like he's gone crazy, as further we go into future the more is just fantasy.

The things he got right weren’t exactly impressive. He was only predicting 10 years ahead. Should get somethings right

He trying to predict WWIII was almost like reading an astrologycal based romance…

@malta Double the likes babyyyyy

CIV5 ıs more realistic.

@@ilkergoksel5671 CIV V is better and has my beloved queen Maria I the madqueen, so i can build a civilization that will stand the test of time.

Why Civ V, the worst game of the series?

@@PewPew1234567 who says that? game critics? CIV V is the best game of the series in my opinion, even tho my heart will always be with CIVIII but every time i go back to that game i cry with the stupid game mechanics, things evolve but CIV VI just makes me mad for the overwhelming critic made by fans and buyers of the game that the game looks like it was designed for tablet or smarthphone use.

Yeah, speacially with that Mexico stuff

bro what a good point

@@miguelsilveira6803 that part seems believable though, Aztlán could become a country in the future if the US keeps ending up with conservative Presidents as the Southwest gets more left-wing.

y e s

@Egg T that has nothing to do with what I said.

Considering how he's born in 1949 it makes sense for him to imagine that despite how absurd it is. He grew up in the shadow of that event so his references are gonna include it.

He did indeed.

Pearl Spaceport

lol sounds like he is indeed a boomer thats salty that they will soon be gone and apparently the US economy will supposedly suffer from their loss hahaha

No he did that 13 years ago.

He sounds like an American exceptionalist. "Everyone will collapse, but the USA will still rule the world"

@Chad Summerchild i think monsieur Z must be inspired here

@@KateeAngel He's born in 1949. So his values reflect the era he grew up in. While people think of the 60s as the hippie era for persons who went on to work for the government or become associated with it the exact opposite was the case. A highly conservative view prevailed. Which would be seen in the 80s with guys like Tom Clancy.

I actually discovered Friedman through a "future history" timeline that used most of his predictions (The Second Renaissance by YNot1989 if you are interested). It's quite an interesting and well-written timeline, but it ends up feeling like American wish-fulfilment, with an Americas-wide US establishing what are little more than protectorates over the über-balkanized Old World while it undergoes the colonization of the Solar System in the first half of the 22nd Century.

@Egg T we need to kill It first, great idea

Usually it is assumed to be under the American-Bloc as well. Especially considering freidmans idea that America must maintain control of the western hemisphere, it makes sense it would mostly be static besides overthrowing governments that attempt to free themselves from the American Bloc. Based on how people view American influece within it I mean.

Also australia

Hoi4

lol idk why but that's prolly because in a US-dominated future worldview, the South Americas does not have any immediate benefit to the interests of United States e.g. there's no nuclear powered Russia, no aggressive expansionists etc. therefore there is not much attention placed into it by the world players of today.... however, nobody can say for sure when the center of power suddenly shifts to South Americas... nobody can predict that!

Literally it is "Alternate Futute of the World" but in book format instead of mapping video

perfect summary

Well, the author said that he knows that he won't get everything right and if only a small portion of what he has written comes true, he would be happy. But I don't think that he got too many things wrong up to now, the most obvious error is the prediction of China fragmenting around 2020, and the Chinese economy stagnating after 2008 economic crisis, well, China's economic growth did slow down from 14% in 2007 to around 6% by the mid-2010s, but of course, it isn't stagnation, however, if you would look at the Chinese economy right now, it may be where they are heading towards in 2020s (so maybe he's got the timing wrong? maybe not.) He also said that Russia will try to reassert itself in the post-Soviet Union - recent events in Ukraine, Karabakh, Belarus (yeah he didn't specifically predict the war in Karabakh but he said that there will be a crisis in the Caucasus after which the Russians will reassert themselves in the region and it would lead to a security crisis in Turkey. So the Russians are now back in Azerbaijan and Armenia and Turkey by actively supporting Azerbaijan and sending its troops basically by all means possible tried to prevent Russians from returning to the region. So isn't this prediction right? He also said that the Arab world would destabilize in the 2nd half of the 2010s, (well it destabilized a bit faster since 2011) and that Russia would use this destabilization to turn the US and Turkish focus on the Middle East rather than Ukraine and the Caucasus, well, isn't that what kind of happens right now? The Russians are supporting YPG in Syria to force Turkey to focus its resources on Syria instead of the Caucasus? In addition, he predicted that Turkey would have to fight in Syria and Iraq to suppress the Kurdish uprisings there, isn't that true as well? He said that Russia will collapse not long after 2020 as a result of the Cold War 2.0 with the U.S. just as the USSR collapsed after the 1st one, well we don't know yet whether is he right or wrong yet, but Russia experiences severe economic problems since 2014 - Because of the low oil prices, high military spending and sanctions. So, can he be right? Maybe Russia won't collapse in 2023 but what about 2025? Wouldn't that be technically correct? And yeah he also predicted that the EU will struggle to maintain unity - BREXIT, Poland & Hungary not accepting the EU decisions about the refugees. Polish alliance - Poland did form the "3 seas initiative" in 2015.

Yeah I do believe that Turkey could lead the middle east but not forgetting that the greeks(which yes a have bad economy but put a lot of effort into military) and basically the whole Balkans hate turkey and would stop it in Europe Iran would also keep turkey in check in the middle east and Italy would also keep turkey in check in middle of Mediterranean sea all the regional powers are equal to Turkey

@Egg T A lot of people predicted that another major pandemic would occur around this time. Just looking at the trends, a large pandemic seems to happen every hundred years, and the last big pandemic was in 1918

"China is gonna collapse", if I had a penny for every time someone said that I'll be richer than Elon Musk

A few of his predictions seemed to loosely be throwbacks to the past actions of those countries. • Russia trying to amass its Soviet lands again • His predictions about China reminded me of Qing dynasty in the 18th 19th centuries, being massively powerful but economically attacked by multiple countries. • America got to keep on its usual path of military dominance • turkey tries to regain ottoman empire lands or something

I have heard from others that China is not as economically strong as everyone thinks, with the number of wealthy people who leave China for greener pastures and China becoming more and more authoritarian being given as examples of this. I can see it being true.

@@jonathancampbell5231 the wealth people who leave china right now are typically two types of people. First types are corrupt officials who fears that they will get catch one day so they bring the money they earned illegally from their government position and escaped to other countries. Second types are generally those old factories owners who are used to using lots of shady method to undercut employees wage and beneifits and facing the problem that government is actually starting to act on some of those questionable practices, they can't keep up with the regulation so they flee with the wealth they made.

Wishful? Seems rather pessimistic

But he was very right about the u.s. seeking to commercialize space.

He wrote a second book that is simply called "The Next Decade", which is simply the first half of this book in greater detail... adding some stuff mostly about Israel (which he thinks the US will slowly leave as an ally), North Korea (and how both Koreas might start working towards re-unification), and India is set up to surpass China.

This guy wrote a book - The Coming War With Japan in 91 how by the 2010s US and Japan would be in a Cold War (with possibility of it going hot). About how Japan would militarize within a generation. He is legit throwing crazy stuff to get publicity and sell books.

@@nikolatasev4948 Important to keep in mind that he didn't write the title for that book, his publisher did.

@@Petronium123 He accepted the title. And wrote the book, after all. About the war with Japan. About which he also writes in this book (though with a bit later date).

150% discipline

Actually this happens with Drones in the middle east right now, because they are cheap, no risk for your soldiers and can easily overwhelm enemie air defences. Militarys around the world tend to use more and more automatic targeting systems. You have to basically do nothing

*plays Preussens Gloria and takes Prussia back*

@@gaurav.raj.mishra 70% infantry combat ability

Mann vs Machine

Not really. More like a neo-Ottoman/weaboo wish fulfilment.

The US's economic and military strength are fairly removed from changes in the rest of the world. It was probably a lot more difficult for him to imagine reasons why its influence would falter than why it would stay relatively the same.

This is exactly what I thought

@@denpadolt9242 I Don't think the US will decline in Economic and Military strength, I think it's more like China, India, and perhaps even Nigeria or some other African nation will catch up to the US.

"American patriot" "Friedman" something isnt right here...

hahaha

tannu what?

Tannu WHAT?

@@erenyeager3829 the electric city

@@electrom.1703 bruh that was a hoi4 reference

Completely agree with your take. Friedman just doesn't have what it takes to present a realistic scenario on the future. Being educated in International Relations this reeks of the realist, geopolitical idea of the how the world functions, which I think is an extremely reductionist take. What about changing economic conditions? What political systems will develop? How will technology go? Will economic cooperation make way for closer political, social and cultural ties? How will global culture develop in this world? But nope, all of this is overshadowed by uniform state actors just allying and fighting each-other. Wow, great job Friedman. If I wanted the exact same take, I would've asked a 14 year old who believes that all there is to geopolitics is just unchanging, united and competitive state-based interactions.

Poland stuff is ridiculous, of course but Turkey not so much. Their economy is growing to a point that they are pretty much a developed country.

Turkey isn't even that strong relative to its neighbors. Iran has a similar area, population, and economy. Saudi Arabia has a similar area, economy, and air force. Israel has better IT, missiles, and air force. Egypt has a similar area, population, navy, and air force. Greece is all around the Aegean Sea. And then there's Russia to the north.

he is for some reason really salty against japan...

Just like whatifalthist.

It's like my cursed Vic 2 New Era Mod game save in which WW2 took place in 1935 and consisted of the UK, Japan, Nazi Germany and the ROC against the USSR, Romania, Italy and a Communist Norway

You mean the Neo Ottoman Empire ?

"Yes, Pasha, harder!"

Whatifalthist be like:

And united Eastern Europe

Well, turkish women are beautiful ;)

Bir tahil actually has better chances of doing that although idk if they can surpass the industrial might of new sealand

İ personally bet on liechtenstein but thats just me

Bullshit, Somaliland will become the next global hegemon.

@@poke-champ4256 me too

Too bad all of you are too blind to see that Brunei will easily conquer the world by 2023

Ganyu

Mexican and Brazilian economy is increasing but the other stuff yep are crazy

I dont think the mexican stuff is ambitious to be fair but turkey is definitely

Wait until they get their Erdogan cloning technology off the ground, then we'll see who has the last laugh.

Joshua Barnes Turkey will become influential but not like this guy said. You see, turkey is surrounded by failed or weak states other than Russia and Iran. It will be easy for these to stretch influence in the Middle East. Of course, they will not recreate Ottoman Empire lol

World war 3 Germany: Thirds times a try

Ah come can't we even win the 3rd one

Germany: World War Three, Electric Boogatree

I'm pretty sure, we don't want to be in a third one, even, if we could win tis time.

@@ratatosk8935 depends on how easy we could win

Nukes are nothing more than a technology from the 1940s so becoming a nuclear power is not so hard for most G-20 countries. If even North Korea and Pakistan are nuclear powers be sure that Poland, Turkey and Japan can pull it of easily. Japan in particular has enough nuclear material, workforce and infrastructure to produce nukes in a matter of weeks if they want to. Turkey is a potential nuclear power too even though it is under NATO’s nuclear umbrella. Big investments are done in nuclear reactors, uranium production and missiles in the last few years+ Turkey already has nuclear technologies and know how of it’s own. Uranium enrichment Centrifuges used by Pakistan in their nuclear program were provided with the help of Turkey for example. Some even claim that Turkey already has a bomb but who knows. As for Poland I have no idea.

@@lokumftw2621 On paper Poland can pull it off within like (a vague guess) 30 years? But they and the rest of this trio have no reason or even care to do it.

Turkey have nuclear weapons in fact

@@lokumftw2621 Would Japan even want to be a nuclear power, though?

@@Compucles No, and that's the biggest reason why it hasn't happened yet. The only realistic scenario where I can see this happening is if the US withdraws from East Asia entirely (they'd have to scrap several treaties in order to stop being obliged to defend Japan) and Japan feels the need to have its own nuclear deterrent against N. Korea and China.

Germany: “Third times a try! We can win this time” Italy: “hey what are you guys talking about?”

*Nervous winged hussars noises*

@@michaelsayavong2656 "Third time's the charm" -Romania, two time World War losing champion

@La nova renaissance And you'd be wrong. They were on the losing side, albeit having the less harsher treaty than the other states the Central Powers invaded, them breaking it AFTER the war doesn't change the fact they still lost and had a treaty to start. That's like saying the Russians/Soviets didn't lose their end of the war because they were able to conquer most of their lost provinces almost immediately after.

Japan: "let's quickly and decisively strike US military bases far away from their mainland, that worked really good the last time we tried it"

I predict that sometime in the next 50 years a war will happen somewhere

@@amerashi1111 I predict some time in the next 50 years, someone famous will die

@@stagbeetle1050 Donald trump.

Eh he really could have done better than sidelining two of the major world powers (China and Russia) in favor of some weird mix between neo-Ottoman and weeb fantasies.

Except Bismarck's predictions, of course

lol

Poland was fourth country in space.

North Korea can’t get to space and they’re a nuclear power

No insult poland one day he will into space :(

*angry intensifies*

Are you saying you do 😅

True, he also likes Turkey and Poland very much

@@whitephoenixofthecrown2099 Yes

Stupid. He also predicts (rightly or wrongly) that Japan, Turkey, and finally Mexico will become superpowers and challenge the US for dominance. It doesn't mean he hates those countries.

Yea, like he have some sort of fetish for turkey and Poland

Well he is a Jew whose family survived the Holocaust. He probably doesn't like Germany a lot. So in the book he hopes that the countries that Germans most dislike, Poland and Turkey, will be great powers, because that would annoy Germany. But while Turkey is kind of plausible the part about Poland seems like wishful thinking.

A lot of alt-right social media channels that are US supremacist also have a fetish for Japan, Turkey, and Poland.

@@mikeisteinmongozwei5434 Isn't it more like Germany hate Poles and Turks the most?

@@kuvayinizamiye819 yeah turkish nationalists still praise german Empire and Not-see Germany

By 2100, Humans will have the complete ability to control the climate. We will be able to make it warmer, or wetter, or drier, or cooler. This ability will allow Humans to carefully control the Earth's climate and eventually terraform Mars and the rest of the Solar System. Climate Change is not necessarily evil. It is just the next step in human civilization. If we don't learn to control the climate then we just die. So there are really only 2 options here.

@@genericyoutubeaccount579 globel wernin not reel

@@genericyoutubeaccount579 lol what? How do you think we will control the climate?

@@genericyoutubeaccount579 That seems quite a stretch I'd settle for taking measures to mitigate or reverse the current situation.

@@error5202 We already control the climate. That is what climate change is. The problem is that humans are only pushing it one way. Using Carbon capture and other technology we will find a way to cool the climate. After that we are overdue for another ice age and we will find ways to carefully warm the climate out of another ice age. This is inevitable. Otherwise we all die.

Yeah, say what you want about China (and there are many, _many_ things that can be said), but their ecomonic growth over the last two decades is impressive.

@@concept5631 even pandemic couldn't hault their growth

And yet US seem more concerned with Russia. Country with 1/2 population of US and even less than that of GDP.

@@user-ns5di9on9n the US is paranoid with every country that isnt part of NATO.

@@prussianrocket2702 Because it was intentionally made as a bioweapon

Your ego but not reality inflation is 30 %, collapsing economy do sanctions and edrogan mismanagement your in conflict

@@varangianguard4726 shhh let him sleep.

@@varangianguard4726 let him dream

@Ksjs Jdjdb how am i jealous that was a joke

@@varangianguard4726 I do know about the problems of my country, just wanted to make a joke about that guy forcefully making Turkey a great power.

I don’t really understand what it’s getting at

@Egg T I mean the “especially if the future”. Prediction are all about the future. It must have a double entendre

Niels Bohr, just FYI.

Also he has a lot of affection for Poland which is understandable due to his Hungarian origin.

And he hates Russia and China.

The Japanese actually are surprisingly efficient, they've modernized faster than most of the West on two notable occasions

@@jzargowinterhold1942 as most should in all honesty

One of the only thing people should really hate about Japan (at least surface level) is the police interrogation, it's practically torture, which is why do many people plead guilty

Yeah NATO was founded for the exact purpose of defending these countries

@@ilikewatermelon2401 ??? They weren't part of NATO when it was founded.

@@HAL-ov6nv That's not what he said

@@fgqgqlfqsfsffeff What did he mean then?

@@HAL-ov6nv He actually didn’t say they would be kicked out of NATO per say. Instead he said that NATO as whole would simmer out because most of its members wouldn’t be interested in it anymore. Countries like Spain or even Germany just wouldn’t be interested in protecting Poland or the Baltic’s from Russia. He seems to have been right about that at least to an extent.

Let's start with the countdown to celebrate the WW III as a new year party

I have a feeling his publisher made him dramaticise/simplify certain ideas for the book to appeal to the general public. I mean, just looking at youtube video watch count trends, videos about turkish and polish nationalism seem really popular, along with those about downfall of China

For a more sophisticated take on Realism take a look at John Mershiemer's lectures on youtube where he makes the case for a more restrained US foreign policy with less intervention in foreign countries. He predicts that rising nationalism and national sovereignty will prevent any country from exerting influence on any other country in the future. This is true today in military terms (look at US failures in Iraq and Vietnam) but increasingly this will also be true in economic areas. If China turns Africa into an economic colony, Africans will resent this and counteract this change. No need for the US to get involved in African politics. This will restrict China's growing influence if they choose to go that direction and will also lead to diminishing US power. In essence, the powerful countries like US, China, Russia, India will still be strong but that won't mean much besides a seat at the US security council which will itself will mean less and less. National sovereignty is going to be way more important than universal ideologies like Democracy, Communism, Islamism, ect.

Japan's economy was larger than China's in 2009, of course they are nowhere near each other today.

@@genericyoutubeaccount579 That sounds like a much better realist take on the future, thanks.

@@markhenley3097 True, although China’s economy was still rapidly expanding at that point. You don’t have to be a sophisticated economist to see that China’s economic potential was going to exceed that of Japan’s. The fact is, Friedman was deliberately contrarian compared to other economic predictions that would place China as one of the pre-eminent economies in the world. So I can kinda understand WHY he places Japan as more economically powerful than China, it just seems stupid when considering China’s economic growth trends over the past 30-40 years.

Glorious

The biggest issue with Friedman is the biggest issue I had with Clancy. Major events happen but society is not changed fundamentally and by extension the state. The America of Tom Clancy novels goes through major upheavals( like the nuking of Denver) yet there's very little indication of a changed society. Same here WW3 as presented in this book is a hilariously cozy affair with the japanese still the bad guys(I guess Friedman listened too intently to stories about Pearl Harbor as a kid). Again because a trully brutal war would radically change politics. Europe was largely unrecognisable in 1923 after a decade of upheaval.

@M. Hobo Fun fact: Polish writers during interwar period get it right and prophesied the rise of China and fall of the soviet union.

I feel like there so amarican allies dominant like how would you think china and russia would collapse but smaller countries right next to them would rise and wouldn't african birth rates rise and industry increases and improve making at east 1 african superpower who would have an african block of some kind

I know right? The continent that's gonna change the most dramatically is conspicuously absent....

who cares about Africa lmfao

@@emptychair3932 Everyone. Asia and Africa are literally the future.

@@emptychair3932 you are just ignorant

Because he's cut from the same mold and generation as Clancy. Its also convenient that WW3 instead of being an even more brutal war seems like a pretty nice affair. Sure people die but nothing like the brutality of the previous world wars. Maybe because it allows peace without trully radical changes to politics. A WW3 that makes WW2 seem civilised would make it unlikely that politics would return to relative tranquility.

Hes gotta sell those books somehow. A boring prediction of a future were countries are too tied down by day to day domestic politics to engage in history making events would put his audience to sleep.

It’s not history... yet.

Bad future

@Egg T i can't wait to be 93 and see what 2100 is like *looks at average life expactancy in my country* F***

"Don't worry, we'll solve it with weather technology or something. Can we go back to space Pearl Harbor?"

He actually did talk about climate change it just wasn’t in the video. He essentially predicted that over the coming decades gas emission would resolve itself due to the rise of electric technology. It remains to be seen how right he was, but the rise of Tesla and the like certainly gives some credence to him.

@@mrtusason6847 That sounds a bit too optimistic, tbf. Zero carbon emissions by 2040 is already an almost utopian objective for most developed nations, let alone the developing world who are still industrializing. Maybe we do manage to pull a "Green Revolution"-like situation with that kind of technology, but I'm personally quite pessimistic in that regard.

@@mrtusason6847 also GM is switching to an all electric line up and other car companies may follow suit, so there is some hope on the horizon

@@MaylocBrittinorum Well, maybe with could remake that Green revolution with a nuclear one.

Actually, Japan and Germany were on opposite sides in World War I.

@@BananaBrainsZEF but the german troops applauded japanese troops

@@Bruh-hq1hx Still wouldn't change the fact that Japan fought in active combat against Germany in the First World War.

@@BananaBrainsZEF And stole a bunch of German controlled islands in the Pacific

@@prashanthraghavendran2628 "stole" is such a harsh term. I prefer "invaded"

not really they only share that they were all allies of German in one of the world wars, Japan was against Germany in ww1 and turkey's neutral in ww2

@@noaht8592 It's a WW3 where Germany manages to get the whole squad together.

Lets get the band back together guys!

Ok, but what about italy.

@@historyman9436 Mussolini's granddaughter is an Italian politician...

Thats mostly due to their "particular" ideology and mindset that arrived in the last decade as well as big daddy Russia being at their doorstep all the time. There's quite a stretch between that and reforming the Commonwealth of old, specially considering how the Polish economy literally depends on EU aid still.

oh boy mark my words, YOU WILL NOT SEE RUSSIA next year

@@stone8905 lmao

@@stone8905 lol

@@stone8905 I guess your predictions were slightly off, huh?

@@giannis_m I was wrong, I accept it, USA and West in general do not want Russia to collapse, they afraid of nukes, imagine Russian Federation collapsed and 4000+ nukes are in black market. I changed my opinion. Real war is going to happen in East Pacific, AUKUS(Australia, United Kingdom, United States) want to use Russia against China, after 10 years, China will be superior to USA in navy and UAV, big big aircraft carriers become OBSOLETE. that is a problem, so they decide to kill China while they can. Problem is that, USA and West in general became as soft as little girls in kinder garden they need someone to do dirty job.

yeah it really seems more like his personal fantasy than an actual prediction. though i guess this was before Xi Jinping came along and i don't know anything about Hu Jintao so who knows

You forgot the part where China constantly collapses.

He is clearly basing his prediction off of the Chinese history of a central power giving way to localism, but modern China is definitely not in that stage yet.

@@ennui9745 yes, there have been many devastating collapses, some lasted for decades. But every time a new ruling entity united the land, realm peace was restored, that lasted for centuries

90% of future books written among persons associated with political science are actually about what they think their countries should do. They're also quite cautious. No one thinks of trully daring scenarios say 'the rise of a new Hitler' or something. Even the daring scenarios are not really that daring 'WW3 without genocide? how convenient'.

Ganyu

Liar. Stuff will happen in 10 years.

Fine then, I’ll just pause the world for 10 years so people can’t do anything! How’s that? You couldn’t have predicted that!

but what if the universe is gone by then? Then nothing can happen in 10 years.

Turkey: hey Japan lets Start ww3 and occupy everything Japan: sure 1 sec Later Germany: hey guys can i be in your alliance? Neo Ottoman Order: sure Poland: not so fast itsa me NEO COMMONWEALTH: NEO WİNGED HUSSARS!!!!

This guy had such a fetish for a neo ottoman empire

@@aldogarciarussia fr not even turks want a old fashioned ottoman Empire

It's entertaining definitely

Yeah

you mean the spelling mistake?

@@furkanunsal5814 I believe so.

Yeah, its Chechnya, but who cares.

"Eye-ran"

lol Mexico has always been a kleptocracy, what was this guy on?

its economic integration that led to the "break up" and economic isolation (real, including no diplomatic recognition, not this current fake isolation) of the 1920s that built/created the country.

He started pretty well on his predictions about Turkey but weng off the rails when he said that they were going to claim Crimea from Russia. Also for some reason he seems to think that the russians are already over even if they still exert control over their inmediate region.

@@perrypro1263 The Russians are absolutely a paper tiger though. Their economy is frail and I fear for what happens when Putin is no longer in power. They're a dying empire lashing out during their last breaths before they become a shell of their former selves.

Ganyu

Ceddin deden ear rape

I don't know what the author has with Pearl Harbor 2, but in an earlier book (in the 90's) he already said a US-Japan war was coming... in the next 20 years. Well, still waiting for it.

In book - Poland make a strong Trójmorze and be a superpower. In real life - Poland becomes a Christian Kaczogród Dictature, and destroys his economy during a pandemic and leads to national protests through its actions

@@bar88888 Just some temporary technical difficulties. Things will surely get better. :) Is what I tell myself to maintain my increasingly fragile sanity...

And apparently he founded Stratfor and worked as a geopolitical forecaster and a strategist on international affairs lmao

@@hx5525 that's so sad, hahaha

He doesn’t really have that excuse as a political scientist. He is clearly completely blinded by ideology to the point where he wrote edgy 14 year old level fanfic.

@@XMysticHerox it's soooo cringey it goes *beyond* ideology, lmao 🤣

Turkey: Knowing extended spending on a lot of Turkish military companies and Turkey's extended national arms production, i'd say somewhat plausible. Poland: What in god went here?

In the book he did actually talk about the EU a lot it just wasn’t mentioned in the video. He said that the Union would face growing tension between member nations and a nationalist resurgence. He defiantly got that spot on. It remains to be seen though if the EU will collapse like he said it would.

It's not even a sort-of-country it's just "here are the people I despise but we would rater die from Russia than anybody in this treehouse"

@@BBP-OMO It does work like a country many times. And economically it's very connected and very much works like a country. Which is why the UK shot themselves in the foot with their foolishness. I would say it is a country, but not in the common/modern sense. It's a country in the way that the HRE was a country. Well, it basically IS the modern HRE.

@@jach99 i have to disagree, to put it simply if the EU tried saying we are 1 nation half the union would leave then and there

@@BBP-OMO nation ≠ country . We are not one nation, but the EU itself is very much a grey area whether or not it is a country. It has its own debt for example but currently doesn't raise it's own taxes(tho it has legal basis to do so). It also has the ability to pass laws which have primacy over national laws. It doesn't have an army, but does have some limited ability to use member state troops. It's not fully a country but it's not any less of a country than say the US before the current Constitution. In some areas the EU does have jurisdiction over the member states, say in matters relating to trade as well as some regulations. So you can't really say it is a country nor can you it's definitely not.

It would have to be because 1 + 2 = 3