The odds that P=NP is 3% | Scott Aaronson and Lex Fridman

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Lex Clips

3 жыл бұрын

Lex Fridman Podcast full episode: • Scott Aaronson: Comput...
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Пікірлер: 155
@sebastjansslavitis3898
@sebastjansslavitis3898 3 жыл бұрын
the very important part of this is that some problems that thought to be NP at the beginning was later discovered as P. That's why we ask is there a chance that all NP are actually P and we simply approach them wrong way.
@sb.sb.sb.
@sb.sb.sb. 3 жыл бұрын
explain ur thoughts more
@4xelchess905
@4xelchess905 2 жыл бұрын
We do approach the issue from all angles, some people are still working on particular problems. The reasons "does P equal NP?" is a very natural question is that some problems are NP-complete, and showing only one of them to be P is really the same thing as showing P=NP.
@chunkyMunky329
@chunkyMunky329 9 ай бұрын
It OK if not all NP are P. It would still be amazing if someone proves even one NP-Complete to be P because then it means that all NP-Complete = P.
@tjejojyj
@tjejojyj 3 жыл бұрын
“If we were physicists we would have just declared that to be a law of nature.” 😂
@marcusklaas4088
@marcusklaas4088 3 жыл бұрын
That bit was hilarious. Especially the part where you give yourselves more Nobel prizes if you find out you were wrong.
@sardinhunt
@sardinhunt 5 ай бұрын
what a troll, poor physicists
@KevinFi747
@KevinFi747 3 жыл бұрын
This is probably the best explanation of P vs NP I've heard.
@willcomptonmusic
@willcomptonmusic 3 жыл бұрын
I agree.
@dharmilsakhida2355
@dharmilsakhida2355 3 жыл бұрын
Hackerdashery's video was my first introduction to it, and it's great too!
@stoopidpants
@stoopidpants 3 жыл бұрын
I completely agree; he explained in under 5 minutes what takes people hours and hours to learn.
@pussiestroker
@pussiestroker 2 жыл бұрын
@@stoopidpants explanation for the layman. formal definitions are needed if you need to prove, via polynomial-time reductions, that a given problem belongs to a particular class.
@stoopidpants
@stoopidpants 2 жыл бұрын
@@pussiestroker Yes, obviously. But what I was saying is he explained a concept that's so fascinating it took me a REALLY long time to understand. This is just an extremely good example of what I call the "Feynman Effect" wherein a person has taken a complex topic and made it perfectly accessible, on a lay level, to just about anyone willing to listen for 5 minutes. Even after hearing it a few times I still can't explain it as well as he does; no even friggen close.
@brendonpitcher5611
@brendonpitcher5611 3 жыл бұрын
"in p" vs "np" - very confusing choice of words
@Vohtwomax
@Vohtwomax 3 жыл бұрын
Not going to pretend I really understood any of that, but it sounds like you guys are having fun and that’s what makes this enjoyable.
@JurgisKuksa
@JurgisKuksa 3 жыл бұрын
Indeed
@jaftem2x
@jaftem2x 3 жыл бұрын
It's super interesting stuff you learn in CS curriculum. If tomorrow it was discovered P=NP, computers overnight would become super computers that would be able to do unimaginable things, solving world problems including a possible cure for cancer (the idea is to make an algorithm that could quickly compute customized treatments for individual patients with cancer, diabetes, AIDS, etc.) The gut feeling though is that P != NP, but there is no formal proof of that yet.
@eofirdavid
@eofirdavid 3 жыл бұрын
@@jaftem2x P=NP doesn't mean automatically that computers become super computers. Most problem that we usually talk about which are in P can be solved "quickly", but we can easily find problems in P that solving them will take so long that one life time will not be enough. If we do manage to prove that P=NP, there is a good chance that the hard problems in NP are actually in the part of P which take very long time to solve. We do, however, have many tools to "almost" solve problems in a short amount of time, for example, using all sorts of heuristics and probabilistic methods. If our goal is to solve hard problems quickly, this is a much better method, than trying to prove that P=NP.
@synchronium24
@synchronium24 3 жыл бұрын
@@eofirdavid "but we can easily find problems in P that solving them will take so long that one life time will not be enough" I assume this would be in the cases where, as Scott discussed, the exponent of the polynomial function is large?
@eofirdavid
@eofirdavid 3 жыл бұрын
@@synchronium24 Yes. The degree of the polynomial is quite important when we speak about running time. As Scott said, linear, quadratic, and in general small exponents are "fast". On the other hand, if we have a problem which is solved in n^10 time and even for a very small input size n=10, we will need 10^10 computer actions to solve it. If each of these actions in such an algorithm takes 1/1000 of a second, then it will take more than 100 days to finish it. In most algorithms, the input size is much larger than n=10, to the point that in some of these problems even linear and quadratic is too much.
@Pfaeff
@Pfaeff 3 жыл бұрын
What I find so interesting about theoretical computer science, is that many of these problems are fairly easy to understand. Stuff like sorting numbers or coloring maps. Yet when you analyse their complexity, you find interesting relations such as that some problems can be reduced to other problems, meaning that there are sets of problems that are essentially equivalent. You can take the algorithm that solves one of those problems and use it to solve any of the other in the same set by transforming the input and the result. I find it fascinating that problems can be "ranked" by their difficulty and what the landscape of algorithmically solvable problems looks like.
@sb.sb.sb.
@sb.sb.sb. 3 жыл бұрын
I wonder what implications t will hv on philosophy
@carson2276
@carson2276 3 жыл бұрын
There is a 100% chance I'm a PIMP
@tomophobe
@tomophobe 3 жыл бұрын
well said
@moart87
@moart87 3 жыл бұрын
That’s a pretty high chance
@Ali.Abdulla
@Ali.Abdulla 3 жыл бұрын
No Cadillac. No perms you can't see.
@AlanBursteinSQL
@AlanBursteinSQL 3 жыл бұрын
Well played
@spungoflex3285
@spungoflex3285 3 жыл бұрын
I didn’t understand a single word of this. But I’m glad guys like this exist.
@frydac
@frydac 3 жыл бұрын
It's not that hard to understand really, there was just way too little context if this is totally new to you. If it was like a 1 hour course with some drawings and more examples to guide it, I think most ppl would be able to understand what P and NP problems are, and what the question P=NP? means. During my CS courses this was not the first lesson of theoretical CS, it had a few hours of lead in lets say. What can be a lot harder/impossible, is proving that some given problem/solution is P or NP.
@spungoflex3285
@spungoflex3285 3 жыл бұрын
@@frydac You are underestimating how stupid I am.
@jakec2229
@jakec2229 3 жыл бұрын
@@spungoflex3285 it's okay buddy, that just means dummies like us have to work a little harder.
@Schnorzel1337
@Schnorzel1337 3 жыл бұрын
@@spungoflex3285 Very abstract, if you play a computer game for the first time you got so many options and ways to achieve victory that you are confused and take forever to complete it. But if the equation P = NP holds, then every game comes with a book that 100% details how the game can be beaten, you still have to play the game, but you know exactly how.
@tobuslieven
@tobuslieven 3 жыл бұрын
The way it's described here it sounds like P=NP means: Does any hard to compute algorithm who's solutions can be checked easily, actually have an alternative easy to compute algorithm, that we just haven't found yet? Is that right?
@Schnorzel1337
@Schnorzel1337 3 жыл бұрын
Pretty much yes. A different way of viewing the class of NP is like this: We have a problem where we can try one possible solution out of many in a small amount of time. But to always find the correct solution we need to check alot of possible solutions. If P = NP holds, then we will always check the correct solution first. So to speak we are always lucky. Lets say we want to solve a sudoku where 78 spaces are already filled and we know the last 3 spaces contain 1,2 or 3. A possible Solution contains 3 numbers that might fit the board but probably dont comply with the rules. So we have to check (1,2,3),(2,1,3),(3,1,2),(1,3,2),(2,3,1),(3,2,1). If P = NP we can find a way of sorting our possible solutions in a way that we just try the correct one. And that is without actually solving the sudoku. If this leaves you suprised: "But wait that is all you have to do in Sudoku, find the correct set of numbers". Then you know why most Computer scientists say it cant be P = NP.
@letsthink8245
@letsthink8245 3 жыл бұрын
​@@Schnorzel1337 Adjust the environment so the physics of the environment will dictate that the correct answer always rises to the top instead of interacting directly with the "solutions". In a sense, make laws for your program that dictate certain influences should take hold where correct answers are favored and incorrect answers are demerited. Do this to an extreme degree until you can reach certainty, shift the need for probabilistic thinking one floor up so you can deal with the program in a more sleek manner.This is different from machine learning where you recognize patterns because this is more of you directly establishing laws for your environment. Where do laws arise from?
@123100ozzy
@123100ozzy 6 ай бұрын
sounds so fantastical to even expect that such an amazing thing could be possible at all.
@MrEengstrom77
@MrEengstrom77 3 жыл бұрын
Curious is if P=NP are dreamers, glass half full, lottery players and PNP are realists, glass half empty, hex players?
@shivamjalotra7919
@shivamjalotra7919 3 жыл бұрын
This is quite well explained.
@Danny-qh4su
@Danny-qh4su 3 жыл бұрын
Scott Aaronson is a comedian omg his joke I'm dying laughing
@Sunmarkobjects
@Sunmarkobjects 3 жыл бұрын
I really want to understand this conversation
@Layneee
@Layneee 3 жыл бұрын
It's not really that hard. Imagine a simple algorithm, it has an input and an output. The algorithm has a set of operations to do on the input to get the output, and we can count them. We then say that an algorithm is of complexity O(n) if, with an input of size n (you can think of an array of n elements for simplicity) we need to do n operations to get the output. We call P the set of problems of complexity O(n^a), where a is a natural number. These are problems that we can solve easily with our current computer, even with huge inputs. We call instead NP problems that are of complexity O(2^n) or similar, basically where n Is the exponent. This means that for every new element you have in input, the number of operations you need to do at least doubles. You can see where the problem is. So why are they asking if P=NP? Because if we find a way to solve an NP-complete problem (meaning all other NP problems can be reduced to that) in polinomial time, then we can solve all NP problems in polinomial time and it would be a revolution for computer science and mathematics
@Layneee
@Layneee 3 жыл бұрын
@@AL3X2011 well yeah that's my background so i probably took some things for granted, but this channel talks pretty advanced topics so i hope people know at least the basics of cs
@adamdaly4847
@adamdaly4847 3 жыл бұрын
@@AL3X2011 you mentioned that most don't know what an array is...I also pondered over what "0(n)" could mean, tried to picture in my mind what "n elements" might look like, wondered where the "a" appeared from in the previous "0(n)" thing, and then we learned that NP describes "problems of complexity 0(2^n) or similar" apparently, which brought me back to ponder over what "0(n)" means...🤷‍♂️
@theDudeAbid3s
@theDudeAbid3s 3 жыл бұрын
@@Layneee like the traveling salesman model, but applied to a comedian doing circuits of clubs, maybe a picture like that
@Layneee
@Layneee 3 жыл бұрын
@@adamdaly4847 imagine a list of n numbers, okay that's your array. Imagine i write a program that sums all those numbers, well i would have to cycle through the array adding the number to the sum. This costs O(n), meaning i need to visit all numbers of the array once to get my result. If i needed to visit them all twice, the cost would be O(2*n). It's pretty hard to explain it to someone with no cs background whatsoever though
@lucasb3895
@lucasb3895 3 жыл бұрын
Lol five dislikes from Nobel prize in physics recipients
@stefanaursulesei6104
@stefanaursulesei6104 3 жыл бұрын
So you're telling me there's a chance?
@arnavrawat9864
@arnavrawat9864 3 жыл бұрын
It's uncertain what the probability is And if the probability itself is uncertain, you cannot say what chance is there
@stefanaursulesei6104
@stefanaursulesei6104 3 жыл бұрын
@@arnavrawat9864 It was a joke. It's from a meme. However, I never implied that the chance is known. So your whole comment is redundant.
@arnavrawat9864
@arnavrawat9864 3 жыл бұрын
@@stefanaursulesei6104 cool
@anandsuralkar2947
@anandsuralkar2947 8 ай бұрын
Mask
@DisasterxUs
@DisasterxUs 3 жыл бұрын
Oh, I know.
@r-gart
@r-gart 3 жыл бұрын
Good clip.
@MikeIsCannonFodder
@MikeIsCannonFodder 3 жыл бұрын
My favorite big-O, which is very NP, is 2^(2^n). The doubling doubles!
@RTC1655
@RTC1655 3 жыл бұрын
Back in the day, one line of O(2^(2^n)) code would make your server kneel. Good times.
@deejayaech4519
@deejayaech4519 2 жыл бұрын
That would be 2exp or exspace not np
@derrsonn
@derrsonn 3 жыл бұрын
This is one of the 7 Millenium Prize Problems outstanding as of 2000. Solving or in (all) most cases, proving, the idea true or false will net you USD$1 million. Only one of the 7 has been solved, the Poincaré Conjecture, which dealt with hyperspheres. It was solved in 2006 by Russian mathematician Grigori Perelman, who refused the $1 million cash prize. Fascinating.
@anandsuralkar2947
@anandsuralkar2947 8 ай бұрын
Graph coloring problem is solved recently last in 2-3 years turns out any graph can be colored with Minimum 4 colors. Solution was very inelegant it was brute force approach but meh we got the answer
@Iaminationman
@Iaminationman 3 жыл бұрын
Can you please do a long-form interview with GPT-3? Its responses depend heavily on the questions asked and I think you could extract some fascinating answers from it.
@sean3533
@sean3533 3 жыл бұрын
I have to go to bathroom really bad now for some reason
@checkboxxxproductions
@checkboxxxproductions 3 жыл бұрын
1% enjoyed this to the fullest. Thanks for the mingasm.
@rtod4
@rtod4 3 жыл бұрын
Good brain exercise. I'll have to google the three divisor problem.
@Cheo97
@Cheo97 3 жыл бұрын
At this question at the end of the show to every guest in the hot seat please this was pretty interesting thanks
@Tehcarp
@Tehcarp 3 жыл бұрын
Dungeon decor is good for the cast
@GorillaStrengthEquipment
@GorillaStrengthEquipment 3 жыл бұрын
Interesting, freelance predictive AI in the late 90s using methods like Bayesian probability, hidden Markov models, deterministic selection, etc... Did a major multi year project to predict stock dumps. Worst years of my life. It is extremely interesting to hear about the direction classes and education has take in cs. I still have a intrest in AI but wouldnt trade the life I have now. Work with my hands, designing and building things others use, and the connection this process gives me with my family is so rewarding. -David Dennis
@alexanderwilliamson6780
@alexanderwilliamson6780 3 жыл бұрын
I hove no idea how I came to this video an I have no idea what's going one
@Meinan4370
@Meinan4370 3 жыл бұрын
god damn this sounds like my numerical methods class
@allurbase
@allurbase 3 жыл бұрын
I predict P=NP for a large enough N
@lukepeterson1467
@lukepeterson1467 3 жыл бұрын
Where r u guys.
@westonharby165
@westonharby165 3 жыл бұрын
This guy is really gonna eat his words when I drop my P = NP proof next year.
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
Well, its one of the Millennial problems so if you do, you get $1,000,000.
@christopherknight4741
@christopherknight4741 2 жыл бұрын
We're still waiting...
@pawanbhatt314
@pawanbhatt314 Жыл бұрын
Times up dude!
@heatvisuals
@heatvisuals 3 жыл бұрын
1:35 ok!!
@JasonKT13
@JasonKT13 3 жыл бұрын
so theres a chance hmmm
@markcarey67
@markcarey67 3 жыл бұрын
I have to P
@coolfrog23
@coolfrog23 3 жыл бұрын
Factoring numbers is not known to be in P or NP.
@Schnorzel1337
@Schnorzel1337 3 жыл бұрын
It is in NP. Without any theory, if it would be a problem in P we could solve it easily rendering most encryption techniques useless.
@jamiekawabata7101
@jamiekawabata7101 3 жыл бұрын
It is known to be in NP. It is true that it is not known whether it is or is not in P.
@coolfrog23
@coolfrog23 3 жыл бұрын
I should have been more clear -- it's not known if factoring is in NP-complete or not.
@Mr.FranciscodeMiranda
@Mr.FranciscodeMiranda 3 жыл бұрын
What’s the difference between physicists and mathematicians you ask? “If we were physicists we would just declare that P =/= NP as a law of nature and give ourselves Nobel prizes for it's discovery, and if later it turned out that we were wrong we would just give ourselves more Nobel prizes.” 😂😂😂
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
Mathematic Axioms beg to differ when it comes to declaring things to be true smh.
@4subvoid4
@4subvoid4 3 жыл бұрын
What is the complexity of solving this problem (P=NP)?
@Tenebrousable
@Tenebrousable 3 жыл бұрын
It basically means solving impossibly hard problems, easily. Like, solving an equation spits out the nuclear launch codes or money transfer confirmation IMF codes. What's funny is, that's not even hyperbolic.
@xXtim128Xx
@xXtim128Xx 3 жыл бұрын
Proving something is also in NP. Given a proof you can easily verify it but there's no easy way to to find it.
@libertarianPinoy
@libertarianPinoy 3 жыл бұрын
I thought it was a discussion on statistical probability.
@massojupiter3436
@massojupiter3436 3 жыл бұрын
So there is a 3% chance that a problem is equal to no problem?
@MrCodigoFuente
@MrCodigoFuente 3 жыл бұрын
P = NP P/P = NP/P 1 = N 1 = true Since N stands for "Not" the "not" part of this problem is true (N=1). So since the ' "Not" polynomial' part is true, P != NP
@g0dsavethequeen_323
@g0dsavethequeen_323 3 жыл бұрын
I don't think that's how that works lol.
@tyrantula767
@tyrantula767 3 жыл бұрын
Quick Mafs
@otmanighoulassen6177
@otmanighoulassen6177 3 жыл бұрын
🤣 The = here does not mean the arithmetic equality but the mutual inclusion in the set theory P ⊆ NP and P ⊇ NP
@chaoticstorm8145
@chaoticstorm8145 3 жыл бұрын
Give this man a million dollars!
@MrCodigoFuente
@MrCodigoFuente 3 жыл бұрын
I appreciate you guys for not taking this seriously 😊
@mrajkishor331
@mrajkishor331 10 ай бұрын
P=NP is an axiom.
@nsambataufeeq1748
@nsambataufeeq1748 3 жыл бұрын
Could have been my lecturer
@Deez-Master
@Deez-Master 3 жыл бұрын
GANs are the best hope I have for P=NP
@Schnorzel1337
@Schnorzel1337 3 жыл бұрын
If you are talking about Neural networks I can assure you, no neural network can ever prove that P =NP. Think about this way. There is no known algorithm specificly designed for a problem that breaks open the NP part. And now you throw that all in the wind and use a generic method to solve that? Very very unlikely.
@Deez-Master
@Deez-Master 3 жыл бұрын
@@Schnorzel1337 www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-03348-4 Honestly wondering what you think of this result. I don't have a ton of context but I have understood protein folding to be one of the most classic examples of an NP problem, is that not the case?
@Schnorzel1337
@Schnorzel1337 3 жыл бұрын
@@Deez-Master Very interesting for that field of reasearch. But unless you can prove that you can understand the folding of every possible protein you are not one step closer to P = NP. In my experience it is often easy to find a NP problem for which some inputs are trivial to solve. Lets say you want to calculate a solution for the Traveling Salesman Problem, which asks for a minimal tour through n different cities and returning back to the starting city. This problem is NP-hard. But if all cities lie on a grid or a structure of some sort, it becomes trivial for any number of cities. The general case is what breaks the argument. Excursion: There is a class of problems that are known to be undecidable. So even with infinite time and the best computers you cant find a solution. One of those problems is the well known halting problem. It loosely states: Can you decide if a given computer and an algorithm eventually stop running or run forever. This is completely trivial for most computer programs. 1. Does it have an loop, it cant escape => never halts. 2. Does it every repeat a state it was already in => never halts 3. Does it have no means of repeating code => always halts. But there is a proven program where you cant tell if it halts or not and therefore the problem is undecidable (for every case).
@quosswimblik4489
@quosswimblik4489 3 жыл бұрын
If p does not equal np then there should be some way to map computational irreducibility if computational irreducibility can't be mapped and demonstrated then we may be left with the question why not. When Wolfram showed his branch and fold mapping of tick tack toe surely even with such a simple game you could demonstrate where harder or softer computation is necessary.
@ryananderson8817
@ryananderson8817 3 жыл бұрын
this guy passed discrete math first try
@magnuswootton7368
@magnuswootton7368 7 ай бұрын
so if its easier to check 1 solution, can you check an exponential amount of solutions in polynomial time.
@MomoWax1000
@MomoWax1000 3 ай бұрын
No, that would by definition take an exponential amount of time on a deterministic turing machine. On a non-deterministic turing machine, yes. Infact, that is how you go about proving that a problem is in NP: you prove a solution can be checked in a polynomial time (known as the certificate) then a non deterministic turing machine can simply non deterministically check every possible solution (in polynomial time)
@MrM12LRV
@MrM12LRV 3 жыл бұрын
What if the P=NP algorithm is to _know_ the answer?, like Neo.
@skepticmoderate5790
@skepticmoderate5790 3 жыл бұрын
If you know the answer, then it's not a problem and therefore not in P or NP.
@SullivanMarsters
@SullivanMarsters 3 жыл бұрын
what
@heatvisuals
@heatvisuals 3 жыл бұрын
1:12 K!!
@ssleddens
@ssleddens 7 ай бұрын
quantum computing will start to solve P=NP by sorting algorithms, over next 100 years P=NP
@keithvanantwerp3198
@keithvanantwerp3198 3 жыл бұрын
Wait he says 2-3% odds that P = NP right after saying if he were a physicist he would declare it so that N not = P. The 5-sigma standard is highly offended.
@SymEof
@SymEof 3 жыл бұрын
Well if you look at concrete trials that have been made to transform NP problems into P solutions, so far all of them failed so we easily get to 5-sigma standard. Maybe a bit harsh to physicists though.
@keithvanantwerp3198
@keithvanantwerp3198 3 жыл бұрын
@@SymEof fair point. Probably some fairly deep philosophy of science happening comparing natural experiments with formal computational "experiments." It's still bogus imo to connect 2-3% odds to absolute certainty for a physicist.
@iM7SnaKe
@iM7SnaKe 3 жыл бұрын
@@SymEof there are NP problems that can be solved by reducing the problem to another solution that exist in P. The issue is that we need to prove that every NP problem can be solved that way, it's a math demonstration, and they are very complex and long to do on such argument. there is a prize for one that can prove it, of several milions $.
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
@@SymEof well, 5-sigma is more of an experimental probability of significance though. It doesnt really apply to mathematical proofs. Also, you cant have a proper probability rating for whether a conjecture is true or not. You can have a confidence rating (which is what that 3% estimate would be) but its not quite the same thing as a probability in the experimental sense. Also, there are many NP problems that have been reduced to P, but there are also many NP problems that have NOT be reduced to P. The NP problems that have been reduced to P are obviously the ones where it was possible. But any NP problem that cannot be reduced to P could very well be impossible to reduce which is why it hasnt been done yet. Actually, more on that, there is a specific type of NP problem that has shown up many times in many different fields and problems that has not yet been reduced to P, and its conjectured by many that it is impossible to reduce it to P. This may actually be the key to solving the P = NP conjecture but nobody has devised a proof yet so that remains to be seen.
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
@@iM7SnaKe Yea, its one of the Millennial problems. That alone has a $1 million prize for solving it. And thats just 1 of the prizes for it.
@ARVash
@ARVash 3 жыл бұрын
Seems a bit high but okay
@jamiekawabata7101
@jamiekawabata7101 3 жыл бұрын
I think it's about 1 in 14,000,605.
@vitorodino8760
@vitorodino8760 3 жыл бұрын
How did you arrive at this number? Genuinely interested
@jamiekawabata7101
@jamiekawabata7101 3 жыл бұрын
@@vitorodino8760 Dr. Strange searched for it (nondeterminstically) in Avengers: Infinity War: kzfaq.info/get/bejne/kKmAgZyEy8qsZ5c.html
@FaranAiki
@FaranAiki 2 жыл бұрын
@@vitorodino8760 "Infinity Wars".
@iamtrash288
@iamtrash288 3 жыл бұрын
From what I understood, the title means that if we were given, like, n questions about NP algorithms such as "Is this algorithm P" and had the correct answer to them, then the probability that the answer is correct would be ~3%, is what he believes? It's just that the title weirded me out, that's all.
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
no, he believes that the probability that the Conjecture P = NP is true is about 3%. (thats his confidence in the answer). So he thinks there is a 97% chance that there exist at least 1 NP problem that cannot be reduced to P which would make the conjecture P = NP false.
@iamtrash288
@iamtrash288 3 жыл бұрын
@@eragon78 But then it's become hard to understand the meaning of the statement itself. 3% of a statement where we can't take samples being true is very hard for me to get my head around. I am not very knowledgable in probability and statistics though, so maybe it does make sense in some way
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
@@iamtrash288 well, its pretty much just pulled out of his ass. Its not a real statistic. Its a confidence ratio. Like, if I say something like "Im 90% sure I left my keys in my house", thats like saying I am 90% confident that I left my keys in my house. And confidence ratios do have ways to measure them to a degree, but in any non incredibly technical way,they are usually just gross estimates based on a gut feeling. Basically, by saying "I think the chance P = NP is 3%" is just him saying he thinks its VERY unlikely but not quite impossible or even incredibly unreasonable, just very unlikely. Like, if he said he's 50% sure, then he doesnt really know either way. If he said he was 70% sure, then he thinks its more likely than not, but still a decent chance it isnt. 90% sure means hes really likely, but the chance that its not is still somewhat reasonable. 97% means that he thinks its VERY likely, but that there is a non-negligible chance it isnt. something like a 99.9% would mean he thinks its almost certain it is the case, but not quite 100% positive, there is still some minuscule doubt, and etc. Its just like an estimation. Not a rigorous thing. (at least in this case. Confidence ratios can be rigorous, but usually only in more like technical philosophical ways but thats not really what this is).
@iamtrash288
@iamtrash288 3 жыл бұрын
@@eragon78 hm... I see. it's just strange to see him speak that computer science is an offshoot of mathematics and that they have to be rigorous and use such a confusing expression I guess
@eragon78
@eragon78 3 жыл бұрын
@@iamtrash288 yea, its a bit weird, but its a pretty hard topic to talk about rigorously. We know a lot about the problem, but its still an unsolved problem for a reason. Its really complicated and difficult. So we can say some stuff about the problem, but there is a lot we just really cant say because we dont know yet. But yea, the title is definitely a bit misleading. Its not really clear at all.
@sapientum8
@sapientum8 2 жыл бұрын
Intuitively, P!=NP.
@millec60
@millec60 Жыл бұрын
Yep but human intuition is not always correct
@cryptoniandream1278
@cryptoniandream1278 3 ай бұрын
(P=Np) = 🌞
@LofiWurld
@LofiWurld 3 жыл бұрын
Nobel prizes for everybody! (3/everybody)
@NotAnotherDude
@NotAnotherDude 3 жыл бұрын
P=NP. is such an elementary question if you look at 1:58 you can see how annoyed Lex is that he took 2 minutes to explain something so simple. Basically to verify a question you have to solve the question, because you tend to just redefine in maths. But is this ALWAYS true? Is verifying always just doing the solving again. I always get annoyed by these questions, because instead of solving the million dollar question people just find ways of explaining it. I truly think some people like to make things "complex"
@Luczadee
@Luczadee 3 жыл бұрын
Mmmkay
@101Jman
@101Jman 3 жыл бұрын
Let P = NP N = P/P N = 1 QED
@stevesmith7413
@stevesmith7413 3 жыл бұрын
Lex looks somewhat out of it in this interview. Obviously he is a very accomplished person, but perhaps he should delegate more time as to be able be more present for interviews such as these.
@jeremykayy
@jeremykayy 3 жыл бұрын
How DARE you post such a title
@jeremykayy
@jeremykayy 3 жыл бұрын
But also that was WAY higher than I would have expected to hear
@MarkKingtech
@MarkKingtech 3 жыл бұрын
P = all the stuff we can do now with computers. NP = all the stuff we can't do yet (at least within a realistic amount of time) Example: What is the most efficient route to visit every Walmart once. This would take years to calculate. Also has other applications like motherboard layouts. The 3% thing is asking, what are the odds that we can use our current P methods to solve those really hard NP problems but we just haven't figured it out yet. Lex (and myself) was surprised the odds were that high.
@SlayerFoxX
@SlayerFoxX 3 жыл бұрын
What are the odds that there exists a solution to solve those really hard NP problems that belongs in P*
@AlanBursteinSQL
@AlanBursteinSQL 3 жыл бұрын
The real question is not, "is N=NP?" Of course it is. When N=1 then P=NP, how could it not be?!? Think about it: can you you determine the distance between one location(TSP) or if this 1 ball fits in this bag(Knapsack) in polynomial time? Sure. I could crush 4-sqaure Sudokus all day... The REAL question is, "at what point, if ever, does N *STOP* being equal to NP? I think there is a 2-3% chance that N != NP. The 97% who say otherwise are quitters grappling their own limitations IMHO. More evidence that when this problem is solved it won't be by a "professional" mathematician or a PHD from from some Information of Tech school in a lab, but rather an out of the box thinker with a laptop who's out of the box idea came from not going into the box in the first place. "Thats an easy one... If we were physicists we would just declare it to be true." - this only works if you say if with a lugubrious Tennessee accent and begin your sentence with, "I do declare..."
@KilgoreTroutAsf
@KilgoreTroutAsf 3 жыл бұрын
Clickbaity title
@27merk
@27merk 3 жыл бұрын
P=NP
@Dziaji
@Dziaji 3 жыл бұрын
I’d say it is more like 0.0000001%
@protocolsoftheeldersofchic1215
@protocolsoftheeldersofchic1215 3 жыл бұрын
Dear yt stop recommending me this jew appreciation channel thanks
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