The crazy ghost gambling adventures from the last weeks are finally going to KZfaq. If you haven't watched the streams you are in for a wild ride of hope, betrayal, and triumph in the war between doubters and believers. Enjoy part 1 of this saga!

1:15 'I've been feeling lucky all day'. Biggest famous last words I've seen in a while.

Interestingly, with hidden evidence, forced evidence does actually impact the probability of a certain ghost being the correct ghost. In Nightmare, there are 72 (i.e. 24*3) possible ghost/evidence combos since each ghost can hide 1 of 3 evidence. Forced evidence takes away 5 of these options, one each for Deogen, Goryo, Hantu, Moroi, and Obake. Since ghosts are equally likely to be chosen, this means at the start of the game, there is a 1.389% ((1/24)*(1/3)) chance for each non-forced combo, and a 2.083% ((1/24)*(1/2)) chance for each forced combo. Once you know the evidence, a number of options are ruled out, but this disparate chance for the ghost/evidence combos of the forced evidence ghosts causes a different chance of them being the correct ghost. I'll use the example at 27:00 for a visualization. Since we know the evidence shown are Ghost Writing and Spirit Box, we filter the ghost/combo options to that list. We are left with the following options and their original chance to appear with that evidence set (ruling out Moroi): Deogen: 2.083% Mare: 1.389% Poltergeist: 1.389% Spirit: 1.389% This means the sum of all the valid ghost/evidence options is 6.25% and can divide each probability by the total to see what the chance the ghost is one of these. That yields a 1/3 (33%) chance to be a Deogen and a 2/9 (22%) chance to be the other ghosts. This is certainly counter intuitive but is actually a version of a well known paradox called the Monty Hall problem. Because we know each ghost is equally likely from the start, when the game hides an evidence, it is encoding probabilistic information about the ghost/evidence combo in the same way that Monty Hall encodes information about the doors and sheep.

“It’s a Spirit”

The polty Spirit will never be forgotten 😂 ❤

Insym: * uses music box* Ghost: *shows shadow model* ME for the rest of the round: ITS A SHADE!!!

found your channel not long ago, u crazyyyyy man, glad to see you are as enthusiastic as ever, love your videos keep up the good work

43:00 spoiler explosion 🤣💀

Insym the pro gamer: "it's a demon" Me: " it's a shade" Dude knows how to play lmao

The spirit mimicing polter was kinda crazy in the yesterday's stream ngl

This was one of the craziest experiences in an Insym stream, Glad I was there

Love the videos Insym! Thanks for entertaining us!

When the irl Hail started Insym shoulda asked "Do you like my hail backround noise"

Thank you for the content Insym!

I've been watching you since... I think late 2020? After finding that big 1 mill video of the insane demon you fought against w/ a full team so long ago, and honestly, it's so refreshing to watch your videos every time. They're enjoyable to play when I'm doing college work and you're so interactive w/ your chat & the games you play. PLEASE keep doing these 2-hour long videos because I love watching them! Your content is awesome to watch :]

As per usual, the phasmo vids are nice (altough i can tume into the stream it's just 9pm when it starts for me)

I love your videos so much man, keep it up! ❤❤❤❤

The emf5 slap into book toss 😆

on the topic of fingerprints on that last round, we had a banshee the other week that left 1 set of fingerprints during the hunt. it was in the back bathroom in bleasedale, touched the door multiple times, we got multiple interaction photo's but no fingerprints. We were at a loss with which ghost it was, assumed it was obake that just didn't shapeshift during hunt much then turned out to be a banshee... we were so confused

hearing the hail was really funny because there was two tornados in my area about 2 weeks ago and there was really loud hail that started suddenly like that too

the spirit mimics went crazy yesterday

Devs removing silly/fun things from their games because they want them to be more serious, is actually a really bad idea. I've been flipping people off for 2 weeks. :) Broke my finger and busted the ligaments, so it's in a brace and unbendable!

we have the exact same rain here in the UK at 3am lol. One min it sounded like the end of the world with thunder and lightning, then it just stopped, gone!

Hey insym HUGEEE fan I've been here since 500k subs!!!

Ayy another great masterpeice

We believers were struck once again but we shall stay strong and rise!

Damn spirit gone crazy!

yesterday is like : ha! Spirit !

Super video! I love it

YO since WHEN did the flashlight sway?? I’ve had this game for a year+ there’s no way I haven’t noticed

Lol I was here when believers used to be 10-15% and now its rare to have more than 6% hahaha

99% of believers quit before their big payout

Will you play demonologist too? It got alot new stuff when u were gone

Great Video 👍

is this the stream where there wasnt a single believer win or am i thinking incorrectly?

Im going all in on believe for IL MIMO

The Lisa one was wild... ops spoiler

I challenge you to try playing the game, but you can only use one equipment slot (aka you can only hold one item at a time). Seems simple enough but I think it could be difficult especially with harder difficulties when you don’t have the ability to smudge.

I'm not sure if you would like this idea for tarot cards but The Fool - is starting on a new adventure. Forgo items that aren't there on the start. Survive a hunt with video camera, dots, emf, spiritbox, notebook, flashlight and UV to claim a spin. High Priestess - calls for your intuition. Go for some spins for two free items. Hermit - is removed from society. Respect the Ghost's personal space and find the bone before the next hunt to claim an spin. Wheel of Fortune Luck - have faith in the universe. Spin for free item. Wheel of Fortune Misfortune - Prepare for a bumpy ride. Survive until a hunt is over with no light source to claim a spin. Hanged Man - look at the world from a new perspective. Gain 1 spin for your next life. (carries over to next game if no High Priestess to Revive) Death - heralds new beginnings. Next game you get only tier 1 items to use. (stacks for multiple games if you get more than 1 death card) Devil - encourages you to indulge Allowed to use the another cursed item in the house. Tower - prepare for a storm. Survive being trapped in the current room you are in until the next hunt is over. Survive to claim a spin. Moon - reminds you of your trauma. Next game you lose 1 smudge stick (stacks) Sun - promises you sunny days ahead. Allowed to turn on the breaker.

I don't know if you or anyone else has done this, but can you do a video where you just say your thought process? Like, I have seen a lot of videos where something, or nothing happens and everyone just goes "Obake" or whatever the ghost is. It gets confusing cause there are so many and I am trying to learn through videos and playtime.

Video 1 of asking Insym to play Supernormal

crazy

SPIRIT

Metaphysical also has player HP.

Insym, good sir, please don't put spoilers in the description ( Q-Q) even us, youtube recordings crowd, want to feel the suspense

yeah

Home sweet home 2

O M Golly gosh

i love you insym 😘

Phasmacre.

TOP 1 tip for a player who cant lvl up 😭😭

@1h54min does he not know about the paramic?

Insym is there gonna be VR phasmophobia?

Where abiotic factor ? We continue that series soon ?

Day 3 of asking Insym to play Grenner Grass Awaits

early gang 🎉

18 sec, noice

No. 2

you will not be first

SPIRIT