Today, Cem & I welcome Bob Elliott, the founder of Unlimited Funds, who use to work for 10 years as the right-hand man of Ray Dalio. We discuss the uniqueness about the current income led economic expansion in the US, unlike the usual credit driven expansions. We find out what Bob learned from working at Bridgewater, before moving on to topics like the current "mispricing" within the US interest rate term-structure and how the current level of inflation influences the Federal Reserve's policy. We also turn our attention to more global macro issues including what is happening in China and Europe. And at the very end, Cem gave us an update on his current outlook for 2024.
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Episode Summary
01:42 - What Bob learnt from working close to Ray Dalio?
04:24 - The secret to Bridgewaters success
07:17 - Elliott's perspective on the current global macro framework
10:46 - The outlook for interest rates
15:31 - Is inflation here to stay?
20:48 - The outlook for asset allocation
25:48 - The role of demographics
30:04 - A collective memory
32:53 - Advice for achieving a balanced and diversified portfolio
36:37 - Elliott's approach to diversification
42:22 - How to get access to alternative markets
46:24 - What drove Elliott intro replication?
51:45 - Why the majority of investors are invested in the wrong way
57:15 - The state of the global exchange rate markets
01:00:44 - Are US stocks trading as Cem exptected into the June Opex?
Full episode can be found here:
toptradsersunplugged.com/gm62
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