Vector Auto Regression : Time Series Talk

  Рет қаралды 118,840

ritvikmath

ritvikmath

4 жыл бұрын

Let's take a look at the basics of the vector auto regression model in time series analysis!
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Пікірлер: 209
@phugia8367
@phugia8367 3 жыл бұрын
You deserve an Oscar for "Explain like I'm five"
@jordon603
@jordon603 3 жыл бұрын
"coincidentally the error term spells out Eat", - said with a straight face
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
hahaha
@changeme454
@changeme454 4 жыл бұрын
Why our university professor aren't like him!?
@SpontaneousOwl
@SpontaneousOwl 4 жыл бұрын
Cause they're tenured and don't care.
@lucasthim1
@lucasthim1 3 жыл бұрын
cuz theyre old and lazy.
@minjaejeong9808
@minjaejeong9808 3 жыл бұрын
hell why?
@toukka4
@toukka4 6 ай бұрын
Fart
@thetiskyeffect
@thetiskyeffect 3 жыл бұрын
I am currently working on my thesis and needed a refresher for Time Series. I am going through your time-series playlist and boy! Thank you for these videos. They are amazing at making really complex ideas intuitive.
@joachimwust
@joachimwust 2 жыл бұрын
good luck with your thesis
@MartinGAMERCZ
@MartinGAMERCZ Жыл бұрын
Hello, I am a statistics student and I admit that classes are sometimes super theoretical and after hearing you explain all of these topics in a rather simple manner, it gets much easier to understand all the math behind it. Thank you very much!
@mattslivestream
@mattslivestream 4 жыл бұрын
This helped me a lot understanding other research papers while working on my thesis.
@itsshopboy
@itsshopboy 4 жыл бұрын
It's so easy to flow with you man. I salute you. I literally laughed when you did that f(t-1).
@yuthpatirathi2719
@yuthpatirathi2719 4 жыл бұрын
Ritvik simply amazing ! Thank you so much
@GiulianoTaddei
@GiulianoTaddei 4 жыл бұрын
So simple to understand.. THANK YOU SO MUCH!
@princessgailx
@princessgailx 4 жыл бұрын
Beautiful video. I've been wracking my brain around this all week. Now I undestand it completely.
@ramishnishah3411
@ramishnishah3411 2 жыл бұрын
Astonishing, This guy is just amazing !!!
@librarystudyntour
@librarystudyntour 8 ай бұрын
Just wow. Thank you for this.
@fksons4161
@fksons4161 3 жыл бұрын
You 've done a wonderful job explaining somewhat difficult concepts
@vnpikachu4627
@vnpikachu4627 2 жыл бұрын
Simple, concise, straight to the point. An excellent video!!!
@matthewson8917
@matthewson8917 2 жыл бұрын
Awesome! You are so talented to teach concepts concisely.
@nguyendinhloc6437
@nguyendinhloc6437 4 жыл бұрын
Great video! Very easy to follow and understand the core! thank you so much :)
@alijafarzadeh8267
@alijafarzadeh8267 Жыл бұрын
I have been following you for a couple of months, and whenever I stock in comprehending an econometrics concept, I instantly search for the idea in your videos. You explain the complicated concepts of econometrics so effortlessly and fluently. I just wanted to thank you. Please keep making these fantastic lectures.
@mitsuinormal
@mitsuinormal 6 ай бұрын
I have learned a lot with your channel jajs !
@NazmulHasan-iv5qw
@NazmulHasan-iv5qw 8 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot Man. You made it so intuitive, connected to real life, and easy to understand.
@gmanthegreat1380
@gmanthegreat1380 3 жыл бұрын
Wow great explanation! Thank you so much
@liliansinyangwe9661
@liliansinyangwe9661 2 жыл бұрын
Fantastic explanation!
@nomi34
@nomi34 Жыл бұрын
I was looking for an easy to understand basics of VAR. This video does just that. Well done and thank you
@alexfarrar9980
@alexfarrar9980 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the explanation!
@Afriyie546
@Afriyie546 2 жыл бұрын
this was perfect, thanks so much!!!!
@Ks-oj6tc
@Ks-oj6tc 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent Explanation. Thanks
@dariosilva85
@dariosilva85 4 жыл бұрын
Great job explaining.
@jeeves31415
@jeeves31415 Жыл бұрын
it's so well explained, thank you. I haven't touched matrices in over 10 years but it came back so intuitively with your explanation.
@sounakmondal9094
@sounakmondal9094 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you sir for this awesome video. The way you simplify such a complex model is simply awesome.
@mattst.hilaire9101
@mattst.hilaire9101 2 жыл бұрын
God, why is it so hard for people to explain stuff this simple and easy? You're the Dude. Keep it up.
@Sarpamus
@Sarpamus 8 ай бұрын
extremely clear. thank you
@GarimaGupta
@GarimaGupta 3 жыл бұрын
Great explanation!
@felipebs98
@felipebs98 3 жыл бұрын
Excellent video!!!!!
@wolfgangi
@wolfgangi 4 жыл бұрын
coicidentally error term spells out Eat. This is crucial for my understanding thank you! LOL
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 4 жыл бұрын
hahaha
@Abrar_live500
@Abrar_live500 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for your brilliant help
@shubhamjindal4071
@shubhamjindal4071 3 жыл бұрын
Amazingly explained!! By far the only video I have seen with ZERO dislikes! And that explains...
@matthewfedoseev580
@matthewfedoseev580 3 жыл бұрын
Zero dislikes? I guess I am not the only one who found this explanation to be the most intuative. Thanks!
@BrickyTrainWhoosh
@BrickyTrainWhoosh 3 жыл бұрын
Wow its really helpful! Thanks!
@SatendraKumar36777
@SatendraKumar36777 4 жыл бұрын
first of all, thank u for ur videos and making things easier and if u have some other detailed videos on the same topic ( like in here VAR model) then please provide the link in the description/comments.
@jingnanwu1725
@jingnanwu1725 3 жыл бұрын
Very helpful and intuitive
@satriyodwicahyo2999
@satriyodwicahyo2999 3 жыл бұрын
Great video! simple and clear explanation
@tannerhoughton160
@tannerhoughton160 4 жыл бұрын
Very helpful! Thank you.
@pawalucious89
@pawalucious89 11 ай бұрын
👌. The very best teacher ❤
@Onropas
@Onropas 4 жыл бұрын
Great video, thanks!
@VarunVargheseMuriyanat
@VarunVargheseMuriyanat 4 жыл бұрын
Awesome content and presentation.
@SinghSajal
@SinghSajal Жыл бұрын
Everyone loves the work that you do! I believe this is the best gift from the universe that you are blessed with. Thanks a lot for the unconditional teachings that you are giving to all of us. In Sikhi, it is called "SEWA" which is serving mankind and giving back to society and you are doing it to the best. Your videos are so useful for our studies. Thanks once again!
@wordsexplained7565
@wordsexplained7565 4 жыл бұрын
I'm a brazilian student in the high school, and I really need to thank you about your spetacular didatics and knowledge you share with people from all the world, I saw many channels about this subject, many of them just had the good talk but didn't have the mathematics necessary to decodify all of these beautiful subjects, you instead, have it both, never give up on this beautiful work of yours.
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you! I really appreciate your kind words
@justanotheraccount4u
@justanotheraccount4u 3 жыл бұрын
This one was the easiest explanation for this models. Thanks!!! I already click the subs
@danielernestoduranperdomo2539
@danielernestoduranperdomo2539 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks Teacher! , Regards from Colombia!
@frankfff976
@frankfff976 4 жыл бұрын
Very good video. Thank you!
@mauricioperedo9657
@mauricioperedo9657 3 жыл бұрын
Dude... you are the best! Thx
@01hZ
@01hZ 5 ай бұрын
nice lecture presented in a clear and easy to understands manner
@transformationmotivation7549
@transformationmotivation7549 Жыл бұрын
Love the example ❤️
@adarshvemali2966
@adarshvemali2966 2 жыл бұрын
I cannot believe how easily I understood this!!
@romniyepez5206
@romniyepez5206 4 жыл бұрын
Some years have passed, but I still remember how traumatic and horrible my first VAR class was. Definitely, the level of humility and maturity of our instructors are hidden variables but clearly would affect the performance of their students. Thanks for your video !
@alteshaus3149
@alteshaus3149 3 жыл бұрын
Thank you very much for this clearly video
@debashreebiswas6909
@debashreebiswas6909 4 жыл бұрын
excellent.. really very easy to understand in this way .. thank you
@screenager2009
@screenager2009 3 жыл бұрын
This is excellent! Thank you so much Ritvik
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
Glad you liked it!
@jimbaker5110
@jimbaker5110 2 жыл бұрын
Very good video and explanation.
@tosinolofinsao5404
@tosinolofinsao5404 3 жыл бұрын
This is helpful, thanks
@Clarbomba
@Clarbomba 6 ай бұрын
Very nice video.. super insightful.. good info... i love maths!
@limav1ew651
@limav1ew651 3 жыл бұрын
great explanation.
@manuelcaba2
@manuelcaba2 4 жыл бұрын
Wow, so magnificent, thanks!
@suchitrakulkarni4559
@suchitrakulkarni4559 4 жыл бұрын
great video man!!! thanks a lot.
@rosierui8119
@rosierui8119 3 жыл бұрын
You literally saved my job!!!
@abhijitmahapatra8024
@abhijitmahapatra8024 4 жыл бұрын
Dude, the best playlist for time series!! Thank you for all your effort.
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 4 жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoy it!
@MusicMonster26000
@MusicMonster26000 4 жыл бұрын
Your explanations are brilliant and I love your videos. What could be useful is implementing all these methods into real data sets within excel. This will give a more applied nature to the vids. Keep up the good work, gained a sub!
@jairoalves8083
@jairoalves8083 4 жыл бұрын
Very nice, thank you!
@ekumarmanoj
@ekumarmanoj 4 жыл бұрын
superb... very easy to understand.... nicely explained... i expect morecomplex VAR models... and if possible, coding of the same using R or Python
@PedroRibeiro-zs5go
@PedroRibeiro-zs5go Жыл бұрын
Thanks man! Great video!!
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath Жыл бұрын
No problem!
@osamaaljarrah9851
@osamaaljarrah9851 3 жыл бұрын
You are awesome. More videos.
@bontlemahoda3080
@bontlemahoda3080 3 жыл бұрын
Sir, you are a legend
@deplo
@deplo 3 жыл бұрын
Hi! thanks for your videos that I find really highly informative. Could you expand on this and the stationarity video by introducing some time-varying VAR? thanks a lot
@tdreamgmail
@tdreamgmail 4 жыл бұрын
Why do I understand this? You are a good teacher mate.
@truthrevealed7478
@truthrevealed7478 4 жыл бұрын
Very easy way. Awesome
@okoshtr8876
@okoshtr8876 4 жыл бұрын
Amazing you helped me a lot thx
@laetitiakienbacher
@laetitiakienbacher Жыл бұрын
Okay this was too good.
@drmearajuddin2334
@drmearajuddin2334 4 жыл бұрын
Wowwwwww... I wish every university must have a teacher like you... Sir I have a request.. Can u plzz make a detailed video of VAR by taking 4 5 variables like effect of 4 variables on one variable... In VAR framework.. In detail.. Plzzz plzz humble request sir
@uffutgtr4
@uffutgtr4 4 жыл бұрын
thank you from Korea :)
@putumaharanianggunningtyas7506
@putumaharanianggunningtyas7506 2 жыл бұрын
this is so helpful :")
@HH-nw4gr
@HH-nw4gr 3 жыл бұрын
Thanks Sir!
@fatinelbouhssini1120
@fatinelbouhssini1120 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for your video, very helpful ! A question : what about the case when the series are cointegrated?
@prakashd842
@prakashd842 3 жыл бұрын
U rocked it .
@brunomello4920
@brunomello4920 3 жыл бұрын
Excelent video. Thanks.
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@dineafkir5184
@dineafkir5184 4 жыл бұрын
Great video :-)
@jayasreemangalagiri971
@jayasreemangalagiri971 2 жыл бұрын
Thank You for this. I have 2 questions. 1. when we use lags in this model, how do we know variable's lag we have to use? 2. when we get the model summary, why do we have coefficients for all the variable regardless of which variable is being predicted?
@joybagchi
@joybagchi 3 жыл бұрын
@ritvikmath: Thank you so much for such an excellent and amazingly intuitive explanation of VAR. Do you perhaps have a video on VECM? If not can you please do a video on VECM. That would be hugely appreciated
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
Great suggestion!
@humphreyz6709
@humphreyz6709 3 жыл бұрын
lots of thanks and support from a former bruin!
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
Much appreciated! Go Bruins!
@kuchunyeh7251
@kuchunyeh7251 2 жыл бұрын
I couldn't stop thinking how genius the "Eat" variable is
@al38261
@al38261 Жыл бұрын
Amazing really!
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath Жыл бұрын
Thanks a lot!
@zainabkhan5859
@zainabkhan5859 3 жыл бұрын
Perfect Explanation
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
Glad you think so!
@MariaGarcia-ey3fg
@MariaGarcia-ey3fg Жыл бұрын
"So go ahead and convince yourself" 5:38 I WAS LAUGHING SO HARD
@valentinfrappier7921
@valentinfrappier7921 Жыл бұрын
Hello Ritvik. Awesome vid as always. My question is the following : if you have a d dimentionnal time serie and you try to predict all the values at the same time, can you use the pacf to estimate the order p of the VAR(p) model? If so, will it be the same principle as in your video with the python application?
@evvolita
@evvolita 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you so much ritvikmath. So easy to understand with your teachings! When will the follow up video on VAR be available? Also do some on cointegration please...
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 4 жыл бұрын
Some more time series vids coming up soon! Thank you!
@Lostsummer
@Lostsummer 3 жыл бұрын
clear! thx!
@vixxiv515
@vixxiv515 3 жыл бұрын
thanks for this man! keep up the good work. Cointegration next?
@mathman2170
@mathman2170 3 жыл бұрын
Great video -- very nicely done. Philosophical point about the assumptions: The number of apples sold last month may not be related to the number sold this month (or to the number of bananas sold last month), never mind a linear relationship -- I am sure you know this -- I only bring this up as a pedagogical point that might be useful to beginners -- that is, ask them to think about that relationship and see if it makes sense to them on a gut level before getting buried in the mathematical symbols and copying whatever equation is given etc. Loved the video -- keep up the good work!!!
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
love your deep analysis!
@ramshasiddiqui8893
@ramshasiddiqui8893 3 жыл бұрын
I regret that i cannot find this video early your explaination is so good
@ritvikmath
@ritvikmath 3 жыл бұрын
thanks!
@TheSerbes
@TheSerbes 2 ай бұрын
I watched all your videos with pleasure, you are great 👏I will ask you a question for the first time, I am doing a project with the varmax method, but since I have hourly data in the estimation of the number of rail system passengers, I think it causes noise both annually and seasonality during the day, how can I overcome this problem. Also, my prediction variable is not normally distributed, do I need to do anything for this? Otherwise ,Should I do deep learning methods?
@gabrielwittenberg1
@gabrielwittenberg1 4 жыл бұрын
Thank you for the video! Is there a name for a model that is autoregressive and a function of an exogenous variable? For instance, we want to know future banana sales using last month's sales and last month's apple sales...but last month's apple sales are exogenous.
@CAIJianping
@CAIJianping 4 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the video. How about the case that a_t and b_t can affect each other?
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