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Many thinkers and scientists believe that Bayesian reasoning is among the most important and at the same time most neglected ways of thinking. If it were better appreciated, it could certainly contribute a lot to public rationality in general. In particular, it could change the way you imagine science works and, more generally, how you evaluate your own beliefs. The essence of Bayesian reasoning can be expressed by a simple mathematical formula. This formula is easy to deduce but difficult to interpret. In this and the next video you will learn about this topic in detail and in the most educational way possible. This video is about Bayesian probability and theorem, a sophisticated subject, to further leverage your rational, logical and critical thinking.
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* This content had the technical and scientific contribution of Prof. Dr. Thaciana Malaspina
(CV lattes.cnpq.br/2600060786895700)
* Link to my Lattes CV (Eudes Fileti): lattes.cnpq.br/5294929829300325
BASIC REFERENCES
[1] Daniel Levitin; A field guide to lessons.
[2] Steven Pinker, Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters, 2021.
[3] en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_probability
[4] towardsdatascience.com/on-the-importance-of-bayesian-thinking-in-everyday-life-a74475fcceeb
[5] study.com/academy/lesson/conditional-probability-definition-examples.html
[6] /setosa.io/ev/conditional-probability/
[7] online.stat.psu.edu/stat500/lesson/2/2.5
[8] corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/other/conditional-probability/
[9] nrich.maths.org/9646
[10] scielo.br/j/prc/a/P6Yvr5538BCmzQxmjzpbtpq/?lang=pt
[11] quora.com/What-is-an-intuitive-explanation-of-Bayes-Rule
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