WATCH THIS FIRST! MATH EXPOSED! NEW 25X PROGRESSIVE CHANCE SUMMON EVENTS

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WATCH THIS FIRST! MATH EXPOSED! NEW 25X PROGRESSIVE CHANCE SUMMON EVENTS | RAID: SHADOW LEGENDS

Рет қаралды 2,598

Күн бұрын

Breaking down the new 25x progressive chance summoning events and actual math behind what you are getting. It's so bad.
Let me know in the comments below what you think about my analysis.
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Пікірлер: 71

@chumskowsky 9 ай бұрын

U have to chose 3 prechosen leggos + 1 epic, so u have 25%/3 chances of getting the one u want. Scammers will never change, filthy, greedy scammers they are!

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Yes exactly. It dilutes your preferred champ selection unless you want all 3 equally. (the number of boxes will change too)

@davidahunt4699 9 ай бұрын

I agree with you! Despite what Raid says, the emperor still has no clothes!

@bigpops74 9 ай бұрын

By my calculations (I log data in this game) I make 15x almost the same percentage chance as 10x was in November 2022, when it was already woefully out of date. It's great for voids, but not good enough for ancients and sacreds. Even 25x is less than 11%. They need to move to a boost that isn't affected by the champion pool size.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Yes it's so bad. And deceptive for people that dont understand.

@Dharin. 9 ай бұрын

Paylarium sleight of hand, snake oil salesmen came up with this one. Anyone would think this game was owned by a gambling syndicate with the odds they're giving... Oh, wait!....

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

LOL XD

@Tikondrys 9 ай бұрын

Pretty much it's another whale out event. It's nothing for most players especially f2p just like regular 10x. I assume the summoning chance wont carry over to the next "25x event".

@Khaavrenbbb 9 ай бұрын

No way it carries over. And it’s definitely a whale mechanic. I have never had enough shards to pull more than 1-2 legos.

@edwardbakadingo4261 9 ай бұрын

Well they claim we can 'choose' which champions we want but there is a choice of 1 of 2 epics of which i already got stag knight a couple of months ago in a guaranteed drop event so i have a choice with only 1 option this is BS. I also agree with everything else you said effectively all they have done is upgraded from x10 to by x15. Given there are now 238 Legendary that means that your chance of getting the Leggo you may want (given 3 on x15) is about 15/(238+42) or about a 5.35% chance once you get a specific legendary on bonus chance list which was .5% which on a % basis is 0.0267% on one shard which works out as ~1 in 3733 chance on a ancient shard and improves to ~1 in 2480 if you manage to draw a 3rd Legendary

@BoozorTV 8 ай бұрын

Yea i'm counting approx 175 draftable non void legendaries so the #s are slightly different, but we get the idea. In the future I would not be surprised if they gave us 4 options, for further dilution even. It is what it is.

@MtgJedi 9 ай бұрын

Thanks for the info! Definitely going to reference this on my channel.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

You bet, thx for the msg !

@pw5232 9 ай бұрын

Excellent commentary. However i am little bit more positive about it. When u have 50 sacreds there is good chance for specific lego. Definietly better than 10x

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

It's a tall ask for that level of shards, but even at best case scenario the situation is not THAT great (worse then 10x voids example) if everything plays out as expected.

@JakeJarmel 9 ай бұрын

"there is good chance for specific lego" a specific lego from a very small pre-selected group of legos.

@uchihaclan77 9 ай бұрын

Will see how long your positivity last when all you summon with 25x is nothing but poop

@JoeLeasure 9 ай бұрын

Wow, a big FU from Plarium. Shocker. Thanks for going through the math and revealing that Boozer.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Yes always be careful of their events

@ShooterMcGavin__ 9 ай бұрын

25x… if you have 600 voids laying around. The latest face plant from Palarium. They could of just made 20x on a targeted champ and been heros when they need a win so bad. 😒

@Nexard237 9 ай бұрын

the scam is that this event will never have 2 or 3 good champs. if you have to put alongside a rotos a drokgul and a pyxniel this is far worse than a single 10x champ. this is scamming the one who is not smart. this is even more bad than the 10x on a solo champ... people cant imagine how bad this is. its devalueing shards.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

yes 100%, they didn't provide all the details yet and it seems still some subject to change like the picture they gave us. so we will have to see to be 100% certain.

@nguyenngoctoan8884 9 ай бұрын

It's definitely a whale mechanic! However, I still try to look at the positive side of it, cuz f2p players still get 15X instead of 10X to begin with, which is better than nothing lol

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

100% you are right. 15x is still better. However if plarium forces us to apply 3x+ different 15x champs into the pool. it's not going to be much better then a regular 10x for 1 champ :(

@Pittank69 9 ай бұрын

not this changes much but remember for 10x you only add 9 to the pool number and 15x you add 14 to the pool

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Cheers I mention the numbers rough and this was the reason why I said that ;) thx for pointing it out

@katiemcclellan 24 күн бұрын

One of my most controversial posts was about Prisims Shards as a way to try and get epics for Mikage. Can you verify if this math is correct? 214 summonable epics Regular rates: 1÷214=.46% to get epic. 8% chance at 1x rate = 8% x .46% = .0368% chance to get exact epic champ. 10x rates: 10÷224= 4.46% to get epic. 8% chance at 10x rate = 8% x 4.46% = .356% chance to get exact epic champ. PROGRESSIVE EVENT: 15x rates: 15÷229= 6.55% to get epic. 8% chance at 15x rate = 8% x 6.55% = .524% chance to get exact epic champ. 20x rate: 20÷ 234= 8.54% to get epic. 8% chance at 20x rate = 8% x 8.54% = .683% chance to get exact epic champ. 25x rate: 25÷239= 10.46% to get epic. 8% chance at 25x rate = 8% x 10.46% = .837% chance to get exact epic champ. WITH 2X ANCIENT EVENT: No Progression Event: 16% x .46% = .0736% chance to get exact epic champ. 15x Progression: 16% x 6.55% = 1.05% chance to get exact epic champ. 20x Progression: 16% × 8.54% = 1.37% chance to get exact epic champ. 25x Progression: 16% x 10.46% = 1.67% chance to get exact epic champ. WITH SACREDS No Progression event: 94% × .46% = .43% chance for exact epic champ. 15x 15x Progression: 94% x 6.55% = 6.16% chance to get exact epic champ. 20x Progression: 94% × 8.54% = 8% chance to get exact epic champ. 25x Progression: 94% x 10.46% = 9.8% chance to get exact epic champ. If combined with 2x event chances are lower because it drops the epic pull rate from 94% down to 88% chance. VS PRISM SHARDS: (current lizard pool) 10 epics in pool = 10% chance to pull exact epic you want if you pull an epic. 94% x 10% = 9.4% chance to get exact epic champ. Delijah in this case.

@katiemcclellan 24 күн бұрын

Slight miscalculation here. I subtracted any epic void that is not summonable from the total non void pool. So total number of non void epics (214) should be raised by the same number of void epics who cannot be summoned as they were subtracted out incorrectly.

@BoozorTV 24 күн бұрын

yes correct if you pulled 1 random shard - your odds of getting exactly 1 epic is as you described. if you manage to pull an epic - then you will have the progressive boosted rate to land that epic for example. So your argument is good if you have limited shards (prism pulls) if you have many shards (ancient shards) you have many chances to pull epics and can bridge the gap slightly during 2x + progressive for example (1.67% speicfic epic per ancient) basically prism is better for 1 lottery ticket - but if you have many lottery tickets - you can outdo the prism system with enough ancients during a good event.

9 ай бұрын

I see this like a good thing for pulling a certain epic, like those for the Mikage fusion, or the Geo I never got and I play this game since before he was released as a champ.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

base 15x is better then 10x ya for sure, but it doesn't mean anything. the odds are are still so uselessly low.... and if thats even if anything useful is offered by them.

9 ай бұрын

@@BoozorTV it might be low, but epics you get by the dozen compared to legendaries, so you get to 25x a lot faster

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

true - boosted 25x epic will be very quick at least

@Nathan_Coley 9 ай бұрын

Thanks for the math Boozer bro

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

You bet. ty for watching.

@louisspawn 9 ай бұрын

If we have to pull 2 legos to hit 25x on voids that could be an investment of $500 just to get there...the odds are still horrible and the events too expensive.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

nasty

@stektirade 2 ай бұрын

Yeah it's telling me to match the rarity but there is only 1 of each legendary and epic so how are we supposed to match them?

@BoozorTV 2 ай бұрын

U only pick one that gets the boost

@DGrayson-ex1kc 9 ай бұрын

Excellent reasoning and good mathematics.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Appreciate you, thx for watching

@user-nu9ed8fw9l 9 ай бұрын

its still better than 0% or plarium should just remove this kind of event since even if they boost or not on the chances people will hate on it even if its a 100% people will still complain on it

@asmo8725 9 ай бұрын

Third lego should garntee the one you picked

@lurswenl.619 9 ай бұрын

Or just you can leave rest of box empty

@davooberger5790 9 ай бұрын

Also, 99% have a bunch of Champs they want to pull - adding 15x to one or two trashchamps lowers the odds of pulling any of the others U way want.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

yes exactly. we will see how they implement it. they said things might change

@retracer77 Ай бұрын

Has your opinion on these 15/25 % progressive chance events changed? Is the math better now? or is it as bad as when you first made this video?

@BoozorTV Ай бұрын

Ya the 15x math is not that much better than 10x. It's just a different way to market it.

@user-yw5xu5sq6o 9 ай бұрын

I play lotto its a higher chance:D Play Plarium F2P and play WOR next to it;) Whales and Kraken get all and we get nothing. Try to play F2P or very low spender

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

i still have fun as f2p in this game!

@alexwalrus4111 9 ай бұрын

I won't be doing the fusion or this event

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

Enjoy the break!

@jasonsaulters6027 9 ай бұрын

Is my math wrong? Theres 148 non void legendaries according to google Adding 9 copies is 157 10 ÷ 157 is 6.3% on a regular 10x

@Dharin. 9 ай бұрын

Outdated info. There is 176 non-void leggos + 1 from this frag event = 177 as of tomorrow.

@jasonsaulters6027 9 ай бұрын

@StephenMarkley-ib6bd ok thank you. It said it was updated 6 days ago.

@BoozorTV 9 ай бұрын

I went through the index and counted 175, but I definitely can be wrong - was just using ballpark figure :)

@Dharin. 9 ай бұрын

@@jasonsaulters6027 No problem, I had cause to count them, as the influx of void leggos this year has seriously changed the odds of pulling a specific champ, so I wanted to know what the ratio was and that's the only reason why I know lol.

@amitavabiswas2724 3 ай бұрын

Shard system is complete worse in this game i have 94 ancient shards what should i do im scared i already open many shards but i can't got 1lego this chances are fk they say 15% but actually it's 1%

@BoozorTV 3 ай бұрын

It'd not 15% Your chance is 0.5% for ancients. And you actually have. Roughly a 7-8% chance of hitting your desired legendary if you can hit your 0.5% What you should do is wait for a 2x chance ancient event. Then you will have 1%