Wayne Sussman talks the real numbers behind the upcoming polls!

Рет қаралды 51,678

Ай бұрын

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Пікірлер: 208

@DerekChaplin-mu1gc Ай бұрын

Very informative discussion, thanks Mike!! Chris Pappas fluent in IsiZulu as well as totally understands their culture!! Must see him gain respect and traction in the province's communities!!

@shafiyaalgiquadra1105 Ай бұрын

Trust me, it does not. We just find the effort endearing since his kind don't usually do that but it does not translate to the polls sorry

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

Hi Derek, we don't have long to wait to see if Chris Pappas will have an effect on the election in KZN, he has certainly been busy.

@kevinjacobs1006 Ай бұрын

Mike, people do care about good governance. The point is that that the DA ignored a sector of the their voter base and they are being punished for it

@Benjamin.Jamin. Ай бұрын

Accidently came here looking for UK election news. Watched the whole thing. Fascinating picture. Have subbed.

@sonacoza Ай бұрын

Thank you for subscribing. I hope you enjoy the content.

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

Weirdly enough, a large number of Europeans do watch news about South African politics.

@SmisoMadanga Ай бұрын

Wayne knows his story, big up man 👏👏👏

@dannystevens1749 Ай бұрын

MK is a pop up party. Zuma is still ANC. So they can form a coalition with the ANC - presto ANC keeps ruling SA.

@mgodoyikzn Ай бұрын

Yhhhhoooo ngingahlanza,lo baba,asimfuni kwi ANC maka hlale emkhontweni

@dannyarcher6370 24 күн бұрын

If the ANC drops below 46%, this is exactly what will happen.

@sibonelonxumalo3897 22 күн бұрын

Forget MK can work with any party to unseat ANC that's not possible

@dannyarcher6370 22 күн бұрын

@@sibonelonxumalo3897 Sorry. Can you restate your comment. It doesn't make sense. Punctuation perhaps?

@GaragePie22 Ай бұрын

Turn your solar off in the last week of May. Turn on your heaters. Let's give Eskom lots of business!

@shafiyaalgiquadra1105 Ай бұрын

Be careful when the ANC loses it will not be DA or your interests that come out on top, you seem to be unaware how good to your fill the ANC has been.

@GaragePie22 Ай бұрын

@shafiyaalgiquadra1105 what ever, ANC should stand down in embarrassment. I'm surprised they still appear in public, they should be ashamed of themselves! In white culture they would have resigned! But in black culture they duck and dive and carry on. Stop supporting thieves it shows your own dishonesty!

@GaragePie22 Ай бұрын

@@shafiyaalgiquadra1105 because we pay all the tax...

@nivi3418 Ай бұрын

I think its crazy that in this day and age a podcast doesn't have timestamps for the conversation.

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

Our apologies, we will get onto this.

@BanditZA Ай бұрын

They have lazy editors, even the AI subtitles in their shorts are wrong

@karldrogo9765 Ай бұрын

Bunch of whiners...

@Sifisomabanga Ай бұрын

Ha guys.... Mina I think maybe Mike doesnt want you skipping around the episode, just listen to the whole thing😃

@noxolothabatha2174 Ай бұрын

Great commentator, great discussion points, great episode. Thank you for these conversations, keep them coming 😍

@trevorsithole238 Ай бұрын

I don’t care which party people will vote for, as long as it’s not the ANC

@alpheusmabotja8931 Ай бұрын

We are the people and will make sure that ANC sweep it clean

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

@@alpheusmabotja8931You and nobody else. Nobody under 60 is willingly voting anc.

@Propfirmtrader818 Ай бұрын

I wont be voting for the ANC for the first time in history 🎉

@alpheusmabotja8931 Ай бұрын

We are here to replace your vote. Viva ANC

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

@@alpheusmabotja8931According to every election since Mbeki, you don't have enough people coming in to make up for the people living.

@MarieGroenewald-eq6pk Ай бұрын

There's quite n few new parties with potential ,I have listened to rise mzani the other day and was quite impressed

@DrRed-dj6or 26 күн бұрын

Who asked ?

@user-hr7to5jr1k Ай бұрын

The DA is not only worried about the PA they also worried about the NCC a ot of coloured folks are voting for the NCC in Cape Town

@nielwillemse1167 Ай бұрын

Agree...double threat. John and his cadres can already surrender...it is game over for DA.

@bernardwelff8089 Ай бұрын

Oh yes they need the MPC to save them

@ShaunJulies Ай бұрын

Brilliant analysis Wayne.

@colleenrajpaul6023 Ай бұрын

I pray that we get da in munsduzi

@tonysham3169 Ай бұрын

This was most interesting!

@sasha8664 Ай бұрын

By the way Mike,Indians in SA overwhelmingly speak English as their First language

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

The point wasn't about language. I asked Wayne about the appeal of Chris Pappas in the context of the KZN vote and Wayne switched to analysing the effect on the DA drawing a lot of Indian voters as the parties that attracted Indian votes in the past are not doing so anymore. I understand that we started talking about his isiZulu skills, but switched to Indian voters without clearly explaining why.

@Fuchsy01 Ай бұрын

Interesting info. I think it would be good to ask your guest to summarise his prediction for the provinces and nationally by party and by percentage. Just gives a clearer picture

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

I m doubting about by elctions can reflect general election MIKE

@linrienterprises-wx2vv Ай бұрын

I believe there should be age restrictions on people running for elections. Probably 70 years old should be the limit. Where are yhe young people? (Particularly in America.)

@YesThatsJohnno 27 күн бұрын

GOOD POINT. AGREED.

@JanRademan Ай бұрын

Wasn't the seat the DA lost the one where they forgot to submit a candidate?

@user-mf6sr4ho1f Ай бұрын

They did not forget,the were afraid

@user-md4op6ko3y Ай бұрын

No I think they weren't really bothered to many ANC perfect for Gayton he will side with the ANC at any time the DA will still win the Western Cape with a majority

@ProcaviaCapensis-ts8ub Ай бұрын

No. The seat that they lost was a marginal one. In the previous election they got below 50% but still won the ward. In the by-election the PA got below 50% but won the ward. The DA actually increased the number of votes compared to the previous election but lost by about 30 votes to the PA.

@willene58 Ай бұрын

THe DA is the Renaissance ...respect for all that they have done... think and dont just speak your mind.... think about the Renaissance...

@UDFMDMDieHard Ай бұрын

This is an interesting interview but I do think Wayne is missing a point. I have serious doubts about any ancestral democracy in the ANC. The most die-hard guys have turned on them and this didn't ever happen previously.. I spoke to one of the great icons of the movement and he told me it only seems guys who have got tenders and jobs are supporting them. Many former questioned CR's bona fides in terms of Black Consciousness previously but remained loyal. Now they're totally gatvol of him and this has given Zuma types credence. It's a Catch 22. Most white people like CR and most black people cant stand him and he is called a sellout openly. This is a fact and we ignore this at our peril. It seems black pride is at stake here and this is going to show in the elections.. Remember how Hillary was punted as a clear winner in almost every poll in 2016 and it all backfired. I think what all pollsters are ignoring this scenario on purpose.. Maybe someone should explore this as it could be a reality..

@mphoneluvhola3059 Ай бұрын

Good analysis

@zode2926 Ай бұрын

Wayne Sussman always giving us more information that we never knew about polls🤌

@whiteheartsilverpelt7869 Ай бұрын

How do you explain 6 years back the EFF would bus fighters from all over South Africa to fill a stadium now EFF don't need to bus in fighters to fill it's,it get fill now with fighters from the serounding so how can it be that the EFF is declining ???

@gerhardbotha7336 Ай бұрын

I see the opposite here. The EFF can not find enough morons to fill a bus.

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

Just a lie EFF is growing

@TimuRexGeorge Ай бұрын

They are fooling themselves these ones. They underestimate the job that we the ground forces are doing

@itumelengmodutwane4893 Ай бұрын

If u want to see the real south African.u just have to listen to the presenter of the show. silent hate for the eff is what's happening in offices in community,in building 1 south africa.they plant a seed of doubt in ppl who don't follow their line.i mean by speaking Zulu u can win the hearts of zulus.imagen malema being fluent in Afrikaans and u assume Afrikaaners following eff 😮

@nomfunekonosilela3895 Ай бұрын

They are in denial about the growth of EFF

@jcmacfarlane9867 Ай бұрын

Would have been interesting if you asked Wayne about the Freedom Front Plus.

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

I like Wayne analysis no bai

@bevanschwartz1875 Ай бұрын

Us poor eastern cape will be stuck again with the anc😢

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

Vote eff

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

Looks like it!

@siyabonganxumalo4574 Ай бұрын

I don't why because you are right next to KZN and KZN don't play, there are no questions that there will no ANC in KZN after 29 May.

@sindiletobayo3350 Ай бұрын

It's in your hands

@user-hn3ve5bu4o Ай бұрын

Sorry , if eastern cape votes cANCer that's what you get

@deniscoyne5671 Ай бұрын

So we will go through the next five years experiencing a bun fight like Gauteng with the likes of the PA, Al Jamaa etc etc fighting for senior positons in the W.Cape.

@shanaazcloete8531 Ай бұрын

They only there because of DA failures to the poor. DA lies have short legs with regards to good governance to all. They were asking for a coalition.

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

Vote for EFF

@francoismatolla6113 Ай бұрын

It's about Demographics my brother, DA is DONE!

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

Ya. It probably won't be fun. Johannesburg has been shuffling 😆 🤣

@user-hr7to5jr1k Ай бұрын

The DA must put their pride in their pocket and work with other parties to to get the ANC out of government the way the DA is going on people are thinking that this multi party coalition will not work

@lynpetzer2746 Ай бұрын

DA 2024.🙏❤

@ishmaelphali529 Ай бұрын

ANC only gets back its grounding not fairly Gauteng because of the squatter camps it creates, for instance in Vereeniging Arconpark Bi-Elections it took DA's wards due to those camp. Infact is EFF that encourage people to create this camps but ANC...

@AndrewMcFarlane_1 Ай бұрын

Thanks. Great interview

@GaragePie22 Ай бұрын

The DA and Rise Mzansi should be focusing on the Eastern Cape. Gauteng and KZN are too steamy! If they could get W and E Cape it would be a win! They could then turn things around down there over the next 5 years and prove the difference!

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

Gauteng and KZN are very vital. Othe r provinces shouldn't be ignored like the Free State and Mpumalanga

@teeeceee624 Ай бұрын

Numbers from Whom

@ProcaviaCapensis-ts8ub Ай бұрын

While the DA is losing some votes to the PA , the ANC is losing even more.

@supermanonemillion7222 Ай бұрын

*DA is gaining votes there ad made impressions everywhere*

@vik4741 Ай бұрын

@@supermanonemillion7222 Your delusions are something of wonder

@supermanonemillion7222 Ай бұрын

@@vik4741 *I thank you for that astonishing remark by you it serves me well by describing the facts and truth*

@supermanonemillion7222 Ай бұрын

@vik4741 *I thank you for that astonishing remark by you which serves me well telling the truth based on facts with visual conformation*

@vik4741 Ай бұрын

@@supermanonemillion7222 it's a pleasure

@rishigenviranna8080 Ай бұрын

A bit sad that there was no discussion on expected voter turnout. Please include questions on this in your interview with Wayne Sussman or any other pollster

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

I am not sure that anyone can predict the voter turnout. This is a number which can be effected by a wide range of factors that nobody can predict. Most of the polls will have allowance for large, medium and small turnouts.

@rishigenviranna8080 Ай бұрын

@mikesham3204 thanks for the response. Perhaps ask Wayne next time, how by-election turnout compares to 2021 voter turnout? It may show whether there is greater or lesser voter enthusiasm. Normally by-elections have very low turnout but if turnout is somewhat up, it may indicate something

@Futurethinking2337 Ай бұрын

Timestamps please

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

We will get onto this.

@user-lg2ov9hq3n Ай бұрын

Anc is not on the social media , tv and radio ; Anc is on a door to door campaign e.g 7 million srd grant , child grant and elderly grants ,thus gives ANC a strong 8 million

@sulethofmeyr2906 Ай бұрын

true and this makes them strong especially in rural areas where people don't have access to social media, tv etc. The other parties will do well to do the same.

@user-lg2ov9hq3n Ай бұрын

Duduzile said im the neck and Zuma a head ; a family tree

@jamludentertainment Ай бұрын

Thanks for the analysis, why are the black and indian voters are the only people discussed? what about the whites in these areas?

@bafanamahlatse1923 Ай бұрын

Because their just gonna vote DA mostly

@nhlanhla61 Ай бұрын

wow how he rattles off the names of the towns like that

@BielieVanDieBosveld Ай бұрын

OHM

@Rj12922 Ай бұрын

Papas practicing hindi? Thats fine but literally all of us speak english so kinda pointless to learn hindi

@The_Zohan_qq Ай бұрын

Imagine voting for the ANC😂

@nomfunekonosilela3895 Ай бұрын

Songezo Zibi to disrupt Eastern Cape, the funniest joke I heard today 😂😂😂

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

Could happen. South Africa has home town hero syndrome. It a term I made up. But generally, people perform better in the place they came from.

@davidfield533 Ай бұрын

I for one don't want to live in a DA run municipality

@pacoraye8866 Ай бұрын

Then move..

@fin2-em2mf Ай бұрын

@@pacoraye8866 we not moving...we not voting for Da

@pacoraye8866 Ай бұрын

@@fin2-em2mf ok thats good..however there re no better options

@elizeoosthuizen1875 Ай бұрын

Is Suzzman related to Helen Suzzman

@mikesham3204 Ай бұрын

Wayne Sussman is spelt differently to Helen Suzman so they are not related.

@keithmhlanga9786 Ай бұрын

The guy is just here to de-campaign and create doubt over EFF. EFF is growing whether he likes it or not.

@ProcaviaCapensis-ts8ub Ай бұрын

EFF was growing until MK showed up.

@leopillay3690 Ай бұрын

No show for EFF in KZN ....Hamba ..

@Ilovedoggie313 Ай бұрын

Giving "credit to Gayton"? Yes, credit to being a demagogue. Being a demagogue is easy.

@JosiahManganyi-xs8bi Ай бұрын

I encourage all coloureds to vote for PA!I'm not coloured but I see they have been discriminated by the present government!

@leopillay3690 Ай бұрын

You want the coloured people to vote for an ex criminal....how insane is that....

@viviennearnot 28 күн бұрын

💚

@airtight_ph Ай бұрын

The title to the this video should've been 'The DA' lol. One could literally play a drinking game for every time DA is mentioned.

@markwainwright6243 Ай бұрын

We would be so drunk😂

@prk5339 Ай бұрын

You are confusing national issues. Poverty due to national governance. This does not fall within manicupality responsibility. Any party can only do so much without national goverment funding and support. A lack of jobs and poverty purely lies on ANC shoulders.

@bonganishezi3449 Ай бұрын

Victory for MK is certain.. Viva MK viva

@plaatjiemashego2256 Ай бұрын

uMkhonto We Sizwe Unemployed Ground Forces makes a clarion call to all unemployed people in South Africa to rally behind Msholozi and vote for MK PARTY on the 29 May 2024 to achieve the two thirds majority victory in our lifetime🖤💚💚🖤

@altonlewis7893 22 күн бұрын

For the first time in history I will not vote for the DA😎

@meto138 Ай бұрын

I think the analysis on Eff is not correct

@Landless_farmer Ай бұрын

The Coloured people have been the most neglected community since the dawn of democracy, It’s time They stand up and support the Patriotic Alliance in huge numbers especially in the western cape. And vote EFF in the rest of the country

@MphoD-fx3gq Ай бұрын

Everybody else is doing great, they say but not EFF?

@thatomahlabe210 Ай бұрын

😃 no one wants to give EFF credit .

@LionGangMusic Ай бұрын

EFF is gonna surprise u.

@TimuRexGeorge Ай бұрын

They are in for big big surprise. They think we exist on luck 😂

@keithmhlanga9786 Ай бұрын

It won’t be a surprise, he knows very well that EFF is growing, he is just creating doubt in people, psychology.

@TimuRexGeorge Ай бұрын

@@keithmhlanga9786 with this pathetic channel he thinks he's running a propaganda 🤣

@KutloanoMatela 11 күн бұрын

"I'll die for Zuma"😂

@colleenrajpaul6023 Ай бұрын

Juma must stay out

@allanhutton1123 Ай бұрын

I expect the anc on the day will get 52% and that's going to be sad for many in SA.

@bernardwelff8089 Ай бұрын

No chance, the Anc will be lucky to get 42 to 44%

@Munkey205 Ай бұрын

If the ANC don’t get 50+% the rand will tank, inflation will skyrocket and we will all feel the pain

@allanhutton1123 Ай бұрын

@@bernardwelff8089 I hope so but let's see, poles are hope crushers and seldom detects the actual voters in the country side where most of the ANC support comes from.

@ladygrace6208 Ай бұрын

@@bernardwelff8089 agreed, I estimate the MK taking maybe 5-10% votes away from ANC, and PA taking also maybe 5-10% votes from ANC, let's not forget about the EFF maybe also taking another 2-5%. And then there are the other smaller parties like those in the MPC that will collectively take away maybe another 2-5%. Either way, ANC will definitely lose at least 10-15% compared to previous election, bringing them under 50% for sure. Im also estimating around 40-42% ANC (45% max).. My estimation are based on watching about a million political videos and reading their comments😅.. And also from speaking to people from all walks of life about the upcoming election.. so still not really accurate, but it gives an idea of what might happen.

@ElectrostatiCrow Ай бұрын

@@bernardwelff8089I see them in the 30%s

@MBReader410 Ай бұрын

Hedging a bit

@angeloarthur5446 Ай бұрын

DA PA sounds much better then DA ANC. I'm voting PATRIOTIC ALLIANCE

@jacklenge531 Ай бұрын

Hell waiting for u

@bernardwelff8089 Ай бұрын

Correct Angelo, Gayton Mckenzie for President🎉🎉🎉

@FernandoCosta-mo7of Ай бұрын

Mashaba for president! 💚💚💚

@leslenesantana7575 Ай бұрын

Please don’t 🙏

@bernardwelff8089 Ай бұрын

@@FernandoCosta-mo7of he is also a good choice but not this time around, it first requires a no nonsense fearless leader who needs to shake things up immediately and that's Gayton Mckenzie

@kabaisekgololo7632 Ай бұрын

😮To politically matured,they see Da as corpse that lovev the smelly colonialism and imperialism bad smell😅

@TimuRexGeorge Ай бұрын

Ill wait for sober analysis from other people this one is just as drunk as the host

@shanaazcloete8531 Ай бұрын

Identity Politics only came about because of the failure of the DA to provide good governance to all in the Western Cape. They will have even less support in 2029, if they carry on with the tale of two cities.