What This $100B Ghost City Reveals About China’s Property Crisis | WSJ

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The Wall Street Journal

The Wall Street Journal

Күн бұрын

Country Garden, once seen as one of China’s most stable property developers, is now struggling financially, leaving the future of unfinished megadevelopments like the $100 billion Forest City in doubt.
The real estate project in southern Malaysia was planned to house around 700,000 people, but only 9,000 people live there with most units left empty. So why are Chinese real estate companies like the Evergrande Group and Sunac falling into financial distress?
WSJ explains why China’s real estate developers are in the red.
0:00 Forest City
0:48 China’s real estate market
2:56 What’s next?
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Пікірлер: 1 100
@uncleshark1103
@uncleshark1103 10 ай бұрын
Being a Florida native, there is nothing that makes me happier than seeing real estate developers lose their pants for trying to rapidly urbanize an area for the sake of speculation.
@bigpoppa4094
@bigpoppa4094 10 ай бұрын
would be nice if tampa and miami homes went back to 2019 prices. its gotten ridiculous
@carefulconsumer8682
@carefulconsumer8682 10 ай бұрын
They are doing it all over Texas also. Ripping up beautiful, bucolic countryside and building massive apartment complexes and 6-lane highways.
@CHIEF_420
@CHIEF_420 10 ай бұрын
🧂
@Guapo10292
@Guapo10292 10 ай бұрын
@@carefulconsumer8682in terms of land use efficiency those apartments are far better than a suburban neighborhood
@Jeez001
@Jeez001 10 ай бұрын
Very similar happening here with people just buying multiple secondary homes as speculative asset and just looking it up or putting for Short or long term rent.
@spongebobubu
@spongebobubu 10 ай бұрын
I’m from Malaysia and I think properties are not meant to be speculated. It’s sad and ironic that we are living in this world yet may be priced out of having roof over our heads. There’s plenty of stuffs to speculate but properties should not be one of them.
@maggiemae7539
@maggiemae7539 10 ай бұрын
This is not about speculation. These ghost cities will be the smart cities
@0IIIIII
@0IIIIII 10 ай бұрын
I don’t understand why this is a bad thing. Developers adding dense housing to inventory is not a bad thing, isn’t it? That would help alleviate cost of living increases which seems to plague the world
@durand101
@durand101 10 ай бұрын
Dense housing is great. Real Estate speculation is bad. You can have one without the other.
@gormenfreeman499
@gormenfreeman499 10 ай бұрын
Yes it shouldn't because Residential buildings don’t create wealth, they are liabilities. Saying the building is adding to GDP is false. Any profit its making is clearly the illusion of the ponzi scheme. Now it all comes crashing down like every ponzi and creates trouble.
@ZombieBraintrust
@ZombieBraintrust 10 ай бұрын
The issue is these building are not added to the market as inventory. They are being left empty by investors who will never live in them. They won't be rented out either. Many of these investors believe the buildings will lose value once they are used.@@0IIIIII
@youtoobization
@youtoobization 10 ай бұрын
Evergrande eventually defaulted so I don't see how Country Garden could escape the same fate considering the housing market even gets worse everyday.
@artmaknev3738
@artmaknev3738 10 ай бұрын
they defaulted in US and EU, not in China, to avoid paying back western investors
@brotherbig4651
@brotherbig4651 10 ай бұрын
@@artmaknev3738Their balance sheet cannot pay back China’s investors either.
@serena-yu
@serena-yu 10 ай бұрын
Non of them will default in China, because the government is keeping them alive, requiring them to die after finishing their building projects. However, that caused their debt holders to fall, like construction companies and construction materials companies.
@DW-op7ly
@DW-op7ly 10 ай бұрын
Their Government was cracking down on these developers since 2011...thats why we heard of the underground economy and shadow banks... It's been crack down after crackdown and regulations since. Culminating in them seeking money flow and selling their junk bonds to foreign investors. The real problem is these developers are greedy. There are still a few hundred million rural people expected to move to the cities. But not enough affordable housing is being made for them
@Hypocrisywatch1
@Hypocrisywatch1 10 ай бұрын
Scammers
@G33KST4R
@G33KST4R 10 ай бұрын
Man it's almost as if we should be building to provide living for people and NOT using real estate for speculative investment. Crazy that, huh.
@innocentrichard2945
@innocentrichard2945 10 ай бұрын
China also give house to his citezen thorough relocation program
@Fellolkek
@Fellolkek 10 ай бұрын
People who don't own property complain property prices are too expensive. As soon as they can afford it, they start complaining their property value isn't going up fast enough. Rinse and repeat. "F*** you I got mine" mentality seems to be universal in humans.
@claycopter
@claycopter 10 ай бұрын
​@@UserName92149If only that apartment was the only one they'd ever buy. But we all know that's not the case.
@CHIEF_420
@CHIEF_420 10 ай бұрын
🧂
@yusrisaadun5497
@yusrisaadun5497 10 ай бұрын
Exactly... house and property industry must be overhauled around the world..the price is getting crazy each year
@oppenheim2
@oppenheim2 10 ай бұрын
The good side is that residential properties are transforming from investment to living-in properties because of the price drops.
@chanhou964
@chanhou964 10 ай бұрын
When you compare the cost/sqft (even after drop) against Malaysian average salary then you will notice where is the problem. This project simply put only targeting international buyer. So you will rarely see local business move there due to high cost and no demand.
@maggiejetson7904
@maggiejetson7904 10 ай бұрын
@@chanhou964 If the price collapse enough they would be able to afford it.
@DW-op7ly
@DW-op7ly 10 ай бұрын
Yup Their Government was cracking down on these developers since 2011...thats why we heard of the underground economy and shadow banks... It's been crack down after crackdown and regulations since. Culminating in them seeking money flow and selling their junk bonds to foreign investors. The real problem is these developers are greedy. There are still a few hundred million rural people expected to move to the cities. But not enough affordable housing is being made for them
@tchan5256
@tchan5256 10 ай бұрын
​​​@@maggiejetson7904This is not the case. Actually many buildings of the project in Malaysia have not been completed so they are not livable. Most parts have not started. Country Garden still has lots of projects in progress in China. The company does not have sufficient funding to complete these projects. The China government forces the company to use all funding to finish pending projects in China first to make sure that consumers can get their own properties. They totally have no intention to complete the project in Malaysia.
@akane8615
@akane8615 10 ай бұрын
What are the chances of the GOV stepping in to complete the project if CG default? Letting it be abandoned is not really a good look and there's truly a potential in the project if completed. Even if the GOV have no money now, maybe in the future it will still be completed? I think there's a huge potential that CG is also looking for a bailout from the local GOV.
@MithunOnTheNet
@MithunOnTheNet 10 ай бұрын
Oh well, in a few years it will truly live up to its name as a 'Forest' City.
@daeseongkim93
@daeseongkim93 10 ай бұрын
its already happening, i was living there and you could see the monkeys and monitor lizards casually crossing the road. the place is devoid of human residents, though there are way more human staff working there.
@levitabacug3377
@levitabacug3377 10 ай бұрын
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂
@zam023
@zam023 9 ай бұрын
@@daeseongkim93 This is Malaysia, that is a normal sight.
@spaideman7043
@spaideman7043 8 ай бұрын
the new name is 'ghost'
@mediocre2
@mediocre2 10 ай бұрын
some places are experiencing housing shortage while others are over-building
@afroabroad
@afroabroad 10 ай бұрын
Over building can still lead to a shortage of affordable housing.
@luqmanfauzi3583
@luqmanfauzi3583 10 ай бұрын
funnily enough, the same places with housing shortages are also over bulding
@jamesgomez9151
@jamesgomez9151 10 ай бұрын
@@luqmanfauzi3583 Correct. It's a common mistake that wealthy people think that housing development for people like themselves is a smarter investment than making housing working class people. Just of a bunch of out of touch snobs, who overestimate their own intelligence.
@kylekuhn4046
@kylekuhn4046 2 ай бұрын
Build more,.. a Cedars Sinai & a Cleveland Clinic & a Raffle's, and a Cesars Palace and Trading floor & Casino floor in the Bellagio Shanghai, and Cesars Palace casino floor right Beside It,..
@lingzhigao
@lingzhigao 10 ай бұрын
Privately owned developers among the top 100 were nearly all wiped out, while nearly 90% of the party-owned developers stayed. That’s the scary thing.
@GBA811
@GBA811 10 ай бұрын
ah... that explain a lot of things.
@Western_Decline
@Western_Decline 10 ай бұрын
China should have pursued public housing models.
@geminiecricket4798
@geminiecricket4798 10 ай бұрын
THAT IS COMMUNISM
@vanessali1365
@vanessali1365 7 ай бұрын
CCP has deep pockets 😂
@user-ct4mu7jj5p
@user-ct4mu7jj5p 4 ай бұрын
yes there are public housing but occupied by families of corrupted governor​@@Western_Decline
@chi-jenyang9752
@chi-jenyang9752 10 ай бұрын
Country Garden is known for its very agressive expansion strategy, not for being prudent.
@brotherbig4651
@brotherbig4651 10 ай бұрын
@@WellSalt-Studio😂😂😂😂 Most of their buildings are in Tier 3 and 4 cities of China, with net outflow of young people. And the real estate price there have slumped more than 50%😂. What makes you think it can pay back their debt? Country Garden’s headquarter is in Shunde, a place I lived in for decades. We local people know how bad the situation is.
@haochengzhai7156
@haochengzhai7156 10 ай бұрын
No, this project is being pitched by Malaysia. This project was next to Singapore. The plan was to attract residents from Singapore, but it was sabotaged by the change of government palace fighting in Malaysia.
@marcusng8246
@marcusng8246 10 ай бұрын
​@@haochengzhai7156 There are a lot of problems within their internal structure, not just geopolitics. I got to see a glimpse of it firsthand. 1) It was started to attract "foreign" buyers. 2) When Captail outflow was restricted, Forest City demanded monthly payments still. Property owners complained and had to default payment. (Was the issue resolved, I did not know) But what I know it started the downward demand. 3) What they did next was to get Singapore property agents to start selling to Singaporeans. They built a mini showroom at Suntec City. They rely heavily on property agents to market the product. But fail to look into their own marketing channel. 4) Here is the kicker: marketing/creative companies came to pitch, but being hierarchical and authoritarian, they pretended to "know" (which means dun tell them what to do, they will tell us what to do) and said they already "did" it and rejected pitches and ideas. 5) The turnover rate of the local staff is crazy because if they fail 3 months in sales, you know what happens. Overall, internally they fail to manage the project properly and think highly of themselves. Only now they are desperate and start to talk and ask the Malaysian government for help. Which now PM Anwar is considering. So I hope this gives a bit of a clearer picture.
@Mrchengpeng
@Mrchengpeng 7 ай бұрын
​@@haochengzhai7156这些人是不会说政府政策的变动导致公司经营陷入困境的,碧桂园因为这个项目陷入债务困境,他们只会攻击中国人去他妈的。
@williamdrijver4141
@williamdrijver4141 10 ай бұрын
If such insane property developers are in immense trouble, so are many banks across China? Real estate trouble usually equals banking trouble.
@lancelotf.x3619
@lancelotf.x3619 10 ай бұрын
bank lend mortgages, because house are sold before they were built.. loan to developer are recovered by this mortgage. and gov fine developer low their selling price. you get it ?
@joonwonlee1567
@joonwonlee1567 10 ай бұрын
​@lancelotf.x3619 if you are correct, then how come developers default? The already sold all units before their completion and the owners paid for that? There must be a link that causes all this mess. Guess what? You get it?
@eaglesauce4095
@eaglesauce4095 10 ай бұрын
​@@joonwonlee1567covid
@serena-yu
@serena-yu 10 ай бұрын
Chinese biggest banks aren't real banks like those in the US. They are in fact government agencies. They have superior power and will never get in trouble, unless the government itself is in trouble.
@DW-op7ly
@DW-op7ly 10 ай бұрын
Their Government was cracking down on these developers since 2011...thats why we heard of the underground economy and shadow banks... It's been crack down after crackdown and regulations since. Culminating in them seeking money flow and selling their junk bonds to foreign investors. The real problem is these developers are greedy. There are still a few hundred million rural people expected to move to the cities. But not enough affordable housing is being made for them
@arjjun07
@arjjun07 10 ай бұрын
I went there a few months ago on my way to JB from Singapore, we didn't see more than 100 people there (that included the staff maintaining the gardens)
@gorbachevkhruschev3186
@gorbachevkhruschev3186 10 ай бұрын
I am staying near this ghost town in Johor Malaysia. It is dilapidated with many Chinese surveillance technologies.... Scary as well.
@liteo57
@liteo57 10 ай бұрын
The property bubble was there from the start, it was a matter of when it would burst. How can anyone not notice it when you have a huge proportion of completed residences go unoccuppied? The owners/speculators had to learn their lesson one way or another, unfortunately the painful way!
@alfonstabz9741
@alfonstabz9741 6 ай бұрын
if everyone is making money no cares to look.
@eroskaw5423
@eroskaw5423 10 ай бұрын
there are literally hundreds of these cities in China
@thewanderer8
@thewanderer8 7 ай бұрын
Their big mistake was transport links; they should have built a quay with regular fast ferries running to and from super-expensive Singapore, as well as rail links and bus routes to the rest of Malaysia. Forest City is not only in the middle of nowhere, it's also incredibly difficult to reach without a car.
@hari-haridrama4304
@hari-haridrama4304 7 ай бұрын
Yep, it's true..transportation is the main problem here.
@brontocat
@brontocat 7 ай бұрын
Totally agree. Decades on now, and the traffic jams at the Causeway remain ridiculous. Tuas second link is far.
@humanity2914
@humanity2914 7 ай бұрын
This is in Malaysian border. Even they build the ferry terminal, they would not legally able to go to Singapore without having to go through the immigration 😅
@thewanderer8
@thewanderer8 7 ай бұрын
So Singapore & Malaysia set up a new immigration point ....?
@lzh4950
@lzh4950 2 ай бұрын
Forest City did lobby for a train station on the now-cancelled HSR between Singapore & KL. Alternatively maybe KTM could extend its western branch in Johor state from Nusajaya to Forest City' & then to the 2nd Link border crossing to SIngapore, & join up with Tuas Link MRT station there
@joenichols3901
@joenichols3901 10 ай бұрын
For those of us who are over age 25, we got to see the modern Chinas golden age and we are now witnessing its end. Idk why people watch reality tv shows - this is far more compelling
@captain_context9991
@captain_context9991 10 ай бұрын
Oh, I have 2 friends with a combined 14 years experience of living in China and doing business there. They have now moved out. They come from England and South Africa. And they now moved to the US to work for big American corporations that are afraid of being scammed in China. They say the golden era is over. You cant even go there now without having secret police coming into your home asking for papers every other day. They really want white people out. They want to do things their way. And the corruption is equal to Russia. Just like America, Chinese government doesnt care. They just print new money at an insane rate.
@CaptainSkeletor
@CaptainSkeletor 10 ай бұрын
totalitarian empires in decline lashes out...
@jin_asap
@jin_asap 10 ай бұрын
Lol, you've got no idea how economics works.
@serebii666
@serebii666 10 ай бұрын
@@jin_asap Deflation and having the largest companies in a sector that makes up a stupefying 31% of your economy going bankrupt as your population begins to decline on top of not having built up the welfare state to counteract that decrease in working age population while having one of the highest levels of wealth inequality on the planet sure is not how healthy economies work. But hey, maybe China is just playing with 12D chess with it's eocnomics, just like how people claimed with their 1-child-policy for decades. Oh wait... that directly led them into these problems
@omarkenitra1558
@omarkenitra1558 10 ай бұрын
Enlighten us
@bklm1234
@bklm1234 10 ай бұрын
I went to Johor Bahru last year and saw Forest City. The high rises are very densely packed. That's doesn't make sense for JB which isn't a very populated city particularly not at that location. I hope they tear down the whole thing.
@dronepro53
@dronepro53 10 ай бұрын
Should tax the onwers at higher rate is it not occupied. If dont pay repossesd and auction off. If it is eyesore tear it down and return to nature. Too expansive to maintain in long term
@lzh4950
@lzh4950 2 ай бұрын
Maybe FOrest City was targeting people who wanted to live in Singapore but found it to expensive
@dancahill9585
@dancahill9585 10 ай бұрын
Nothing like building tons of units that are priced outside the wealth and incomes of the vast majority of the people.
@CHIEF_420
@CHIEF_420 10 ай бұрын
🧂🧂
@toasthuns
@toasthuns 10 ай бұрын
This is just my take on projects like this, as a Malaysian I feel like the idea of these types of projects are unfair, i mean I get it it’s original purpose was not directed towards Malaysians. I just feel that if they aimed this project towards actual citizens with genuine reasonable prices for owning the property some might actually move in, it’s a cool place
@charsiew88
@charsiew88 10 ай бұрын
Chinese people WHO bought a property unit in China from same developer will receive a free unit in forest city!
@mr.cannedble9724
@mr.cannedble9724 10 ай бұрын
@@charsiew88 seriously that's like buy 1 get free 1 but it's must very expensive for commoners buy their own land in China, another reason is there is communists policy that can take your your own land for government to develop
@charsiew88
@charsiew88 10 ай бұрын
@@mr.cannedble9724 properties in Shanghai can sell 20 Times the value Of Forest CITY apartments
@deathempire70
@deathempire70 10 ай бұрын
Unfair? This project was never built for locals in mind to begin with. Its for china people who need to move cash overseas to circumvent their internal policies.
@leonjiang-kq2qo
@leonjiang-kq2qo 10 ай бұрын
Only 5 comments, but 4 comments are wrong or biased. 1. @charsiew88 a lie about getting free unit. 2. @mr.cannedble9724 a lie about govt will take your land. In China, all land belongs to all peoples in form of govt. No own land in China. 3. @keanhonglau is right. The original target customer is the people working in Singapore, whether they are which country from, even from China. 4. @deathempire70 it's a stupid idea to invest on real estate to move cash, especially on a in-completed project.
@posthocprior
@posthocprior 10 ай бұрын
This doesn't seem at all related to China's property crisis. The reason for the poor apartment sales was, as mentioned in the video 1) Beijing refusing overseas money transfers and 2) Kuala Lumpur possibly restricting the number of Chinese buyers. That is, the large debt of Country Garden and poor home sales is related to a (presumed) change of government policy in China and Malaysia. Whereas, in China, the large debt of real estate construction companies is directly correlated with slowing demand for new homes.
@drewh3224
@drewh3224 10 ай бұрын
WSJ lies again. Smh
@leongwp
@leongwp 10 ай бұрын
this sums it very well
@abdiganiaden
@abdiganiaden 10 ай бұрын
China capital controls and Malaysia preferences for locals was well known, so why build first. Just excuses for company that was careless and aggressive to meet numbers.
@ssuwandi3240
@ssuwandi3240 10 ай бұрын
1st tier cities have recovered.. as soon as the rest have restocked the empty shelves it would be business as usual
@rcbrascan
@rcbrascan 10 ай бұрын
WSJ should go to China to verify these ghost cities they mentioned because all of them are currently occupied but I guess it can't because it was banned from China for producing fake and anti-China news. Associated Press did go and verified that there are no ghost cities.
@kenyup7936
@kenyup7936 10 ай бұрын
that's totally true about county garden atm, for real estate bubble burst, stay away from Chinese stock no joke
@Sjalabais
@Sjalabais 10 ай бұрын
It's hard to tell how much of the greenery on the buildings in Forest City is intended to be there. For now, it's just a great set for a post apocalyptic movie. Hardly any need for editing.
@drw1926
@drw1926 8 ай бұрын
@@gaius_octavius oh, please. 🙄 "but okay", indeed.
@pushslice
@pushslice 10 ай бұрын
Us Filipinos have our own Forest City disaster-in-the-making; possibly even worse. Mainland-China dredging & construction contractors , along with some unscrupulous local politicians, have been trying to pave over Manila Bay for the last few years. This rampant reclamation is setting up to be an absolute ecological disaster for the body of water That is “the lungs of the greater metro manila” area. They want to turn it into a new Expat haven for Chinese mainlanders . Thankfully, the new president has placed an executive order to suspend these projects for now; but for how long? Unsure yet .
@HusseinDoha
@HusseinDoha 10 ай бұрын
I say, god bless! Philippine needs the Chinese investment. Let it be!!
@enigma0876
@enigma0876 10 ай бұрын
Stop electing a duterte. Edit: and a arroyo.
@scholargnome
@scholargnome 10 ай бұрын
Condo prices in Manila have even started to cool down. It's mainly mainlanders pushing prices up in the last ten years. I wonder where condo prices will be headed without Chinese investors.
@seashellbeesaveres7951
@seashellbeesaveres7951 10 ай бұрын
Y'know what, stop liberal party from ever eroding filipino interests by their presidential proxies. Liberal party is run by the corporate oligarchs and super clans of the country
@romeocivilino6667
@romeocivilino6667 10 ай бұрын
Nope, that's a mixture of some truth and malicious fallacies with a political undertones which is in liberal leftist side of the spectrum.
@eddycolumbusohio6063
@eddycolumbusohio6063 6 ай бұрын
0:20 are those nutcrackers for sale i want them
@kookmania1405
@kookmania1405 10 ай бұрын
they destroyed the mangroves to build this monstrosity, our views at Sg Buloh destroyed. Glad the properties gone down the way of the dogs.
@lzh4950
@lzh4950 2 ай бұрын
Actually The B1M made a video claiming that FOrest City being built on reclaimed land reduces the amt of deforestation needed
@benjaminchen5715
@benjaminchen5715 10 ай бұрын
One man's loss is another man's gain. Back in 2010 in the US, we bought a bank-owned house for $289,000. In 2022, it was worth $1.2 million. China's population size can withstand a housing crisis. The people who are losing their butts are speculators, not everyday people. Lower housing prices are fantastic for new buyers, just like what happened to us back in 2010.
@captain_context9991
@captain_context9991 10 ай бұрын
Hundred billion? Hundred billion what.... 90% of that went to yachts and supercars.
@hakon1027
@hakon1027 10 ай бұрын
When Housing is not build for real demand, but just for investment, you know the system is f..ed up.
@HusseinDoha
@HusseinDoha 10 ай бұрын
Excess capital, excess labour, excess in know-how (engineers) led to this. They also built massive infrastructure in East Africa with little thought about usage (the new passenger train and railways from Addis, Ethiopia to Djibouti). The cargo rail makes sense but the passenger rail is losing money and barely utilised. Would have been better buildings between Ethiopian big cities rather than to Djibouti. But anyway, thank you China!!
@DW-op7ly
@DW-op7ly 10 ай бұрын
Their Government was cracking down on these developers since 2011...thats why we heard of the underground economy and shadow banks... It's been crack down after crackdown and regulations since. Culminating in them seeking money flow and selling their junk bonds to foreign investors. The real problem is these developers are greedy. There are still a few hundred million rural people expected to move to the cities. But not enough affordable housing is being made for them The homes are used to store equity/wealth. In 2008 around 70% of the people were buying their first homes in the city. By 2018, 70% of the people were buying their 2nd or 3rd homes
@barryraymond9004
@barryraymond9004 10 ай бұрын
@@DW-op7ly The developers and the government is the same in the Chinese model.
@enricol5974
@enricol5974 10 ай бұрын
Djibouti is a sea harbour, when you fund/build railway connection you connect to the nearest harbour first.
@enricol5974
@enricol5974 10 ай бұрын
@@DW-op7ly the quality of the buildings is questionable, not sure how many will last 20 years. Cheap buildings is a problem everywhere not only in China btw
@lawlaw585
@lawlaw585 10 ай бұрын
It reveals capitalism subprime mortgage wont happen in China. China government will break it before uncontrollable like US.
@matzmn
@matzmn 10 ай бұрын
The problem with Chinese Developers is that when they want to build something, they really want to it make big. They also do so many projects at the same time. Forest city is huge and Country Gardens alone have more than 3000 projects across China. The amount of investment is just crazy and that is why they have to rely so much on debt. It is all about greed.
@TheArtPerspective
@TheArtPerspective 9 ай бұрын
What usually happens is it's gonna sit for decades, turning into rumbles whilst the mortgaged papers or debt value increases. It's a game of physical and auditory property valuations. And at the end game, most are forced to sell or forfeited/confiscated by the developer itself due to service fees or any other maintenance fees dues for decades.
@jybrokenhearted
@jybrokenhearted 8 ай бұрын
These properties often fall apart within a few years due poor materials and construction practices. I have seen videos where Chinese contractors poured concrete over cardboard.
@Mrchengpeng
@Mrchengpeng 7 ай бұрын
​@@jybrokenhearted造谣你是最厉害的等战争爆发的那条让你知道谁才是真的爸爸
@alvinangxunjie3446
@alvinangxunjie3446 10 ай бұрын
This what happens when greed works on a national scale. Everyone wants to invest, but no one wants to stay so there is no real demand. When there is no real demand to stay, property value plummets and all these investors make losses. Just imagine living in a city where every single home owner wants to rent out their unit, obviously competition for tenant is going to be insane as price war would ensue.
@Dieseloutlaws
@Dieseloutlaws 10 ай бұрын
Confucius say “The world of speculation is very speculative”😊😊
@Petergoforth
@Petergoforth 10 ай бұрын
As I walked around Beijing during my time there, I would pass by numerous residential construction projects. But were the buildings going up or being taken down? The quality, or lack thereof, of the construction in front of me made me wonder. Forest Garden looks like so many nondescript, hulkish buildings, kind of like vertical McMansions. Perhaps beauty is in the eye of the beholder, if beauty is at all at issue.
@notme9976
@notme9976 9 ай бұрын
Bit of a stretch to try and work in the word McMansion. Apart from the copy/paste aspect they are in no way similar. One is a finished home, built to standards, that appreciates in value. At a minimum at least the property it is built on would. Those apartment complexes in 60 years will have a value of exactly 0 dollars.
@V0YAG3R
@V0YAG3R 7 ай бұрын
McTofu 💩
@keithng5249
@keithng5249 10 ай бұрын
To me, as a Singaporean, Forest City was a joke right from the get go. Singaporeans are smart and we are cash rich. If this had been viable we would have long invested in it. This is not a project that failed because of China's property crisis. It was announced way earlier in at least 2016 when China's property market was still booming. It failed because these developers completely fail to factor in locality (Malaysian politics and supporting infrastructure etc), and treat Singapore like a Chinese city where Chinese nationals can easily come and work and study (hint: it's not that easy because it is a completely different country in a different region).
@soundyoucantouch
@soundyoucantouch 10 ай бұрын
The dreadful thought of daily commute through Tuas checkpoint alone was awful enough. That's why Forest City was only for PRC Chinese buyers alone to begin with, No one who lived in Singapore long enough would have been so insane to buy there, no matter how much of a discount it was at.
@mrslcom
@mrslcom 10 ай бұрын
This project was originally created to boost the Malaysian and Singaporean economy. It was designed primarily for wealthy Chinese entrepreneurs and investors, and also provided a way for them to diversify internationally and move money out of the PRC. Change in political and economic climate eventually led to its downfall. The master plan included infrastructure upgrades, creation of a special economic and taxation zone, and exclusive internal customs and border checkpoint. There was also to be special visa status for the residents there travelling to Singapore and Malaysia. However, the project was overly optimistic and the construction and environmental costs were staggering.
@aceryer
@aceryer 10 ай бұрын
Not all singaporeans are cash rich bruhhh
@keithng5249
@keithng5249 10 ай бұрын
@@mrslcom 'boost' the economy by real estate? No thank u. Malaysia has no lack of good developers or houses. Even tiny Singapore has her HDB. This is purely a Chinese play from Chinese perspective in Chinese interest. The Iskandar project makes much more economic sense for us, and even so we were also very careful with it.
@keithng5249
@keithng5249 10 ай бұрын
@@aceryerof course bro
@doughboi007
@doughboi007 10 ай бұрын
Kinda crazy that Country Garden has nearly a quarter trillion dollars of debt
@your_bases_are_belong_to_us
@your_bases_are_belong_to_us 10 ай бұрын
how is the build quality of Forrest City? Because there is a bunch of country garden buildings somewhere in china that are slowly sinking. Have they exported their tofu dreg standards to malaysia and other parts of the world?
@DoublePenjamins
@DoublePenjamins 10 ай бұрын
Tofu dreg was a term coined by the Chinese themselves to describe buildings which collapsed during the 2008 Sichuan Earthquake, most of which were constructed prior to China's economic boom. The fact that you think modern buildings in China are constructed similarly betrays a typical ignorance, especially with how much China has built all over ASEAN. Where is the news of Chinese construction collapsing from Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar? I also wouldn't be laughing at Chinese build quality when you live in the Philippines. All it takes is one change in weather patterns and thousands of you die each time.
@daeseongkim93
@daeseongkim93 10 ай бұрын
As a former resident of Forest City, I can tell you that at least the unit exterior is falling apart at the seams. The drainage clogs up almost instantly in the shower, even before moving in, and no amount of drainage cleaners could deal with it. The bathroom lock is a pivot hook on a sliding door and on my second night moving in, it locked itself from the inside and its near impossible to jiggle something to unlock the hook from the other side. The insulation is horrendous in the lobbies of buildings, and their central air-conditioning was probably either not operational or for budgetary reasons not considered even in their hotel lobbies. The bedside lamp in one of the hotel rooms was knocked completely off the wall when a foam ball made slight contact with it, it was hollow beside the wiring and the lamp not screwed in properly. WiFi infrastructure was also terrible because for an entire half of the island's towers called Ataraxia, there was a whole network outage and none of the landlords or management would inform us about the reason why for half a day it was out. And on another day when a considerable part of the bridge that connects Forest City to mainland Johor Bahru collapsed because of its shoddy construction, island residents could not leave for a day while they worked to build an alternative dirt road and ramp to connect the working lane of the bridge. Because of the bridge collapse, we were notified that they had to shut down the island's power for several hours to divert it to the building of the alternate road and minor repairs of the bridge.
@huaiwei
@huaiwei 10 ай бұрын
@@mao_zedong1921 there is no operational hotel there. Only residences. I just find it amusing that he called his condo lobby a "hotel lobby".
@daeseongkim93
@daeseongkim93 10 ай бұрын
@@mao_zedong1921 I was a former resident that also worked at the hotel. I was living there over this summer but have since returned home to Korea.
@daeseongkim93
@daeseongkim93 10 ай бұрын
@@huaiwei What? There are two operational hotels in Forsst City. You obviously dont know what youre talking about. There is the Phoenix Hotel and the Marina Hotel both on the eastern side of Forest City's island. There are both residential condominiums and apartment towers and two operational hotels in Forest City, all of which have lobby levels.
@deano2160
@deano2160 9 ай бұрын
Also because the quality of construction is so bad they will all either fall down or be demolished.
@kshepard52
@kshepard52 9 ай бұрын
How does high demand to buy lead to many empty properties? It's when the number of available properties exceeds demand to buy that properties stand empty.
@fretstain
@fretstain 10 ай бұрын
when they say traditionally real estate has been how they've grown their wealth, how far back does that go?
@serena-yu
@serena-yu 10 ай бұрын
1994 as a partial start of commercialization of houses. 1998 in full blow. However mass investment didn't come until 2008
@thomasd4738
@thomasd4738 10 ай бұрын
@@serena-yu 👍exactly
@fretstain
@fretstain 10 ай бұрын
@@serena-yu thank you!
@monkeybusiness2204
@monkeybusiness2204 10 ай бұрын
If the developer start selling the properties at half the price, I'm sure the whole city will be vibrant in a matter of months.
@Epiderm91
@Epiderm91 10 ай бұрын
No it will start a chain reaction like in 2008. When new properties are sold way cheaper than existing ones, speculation will be high, homeowners will start selling, putting more supply than demand, and continue down the death spiral, people will default their loans, properties market will crash, sending the country into huge recession and economic depression 😂😂😂
@gund89123
@gund89123 10 ай бұрын
Not really, no of homes in China is greater than no of people. And population growth is slowing.
@phoenix5054
@phoenix5054 10 ай бұрын
@@gund89123”Population growth is slowing”…. Not just slowing, it’s decreasing. They are the fastest aging population and their kids doesn’t want to reproduce even when one child policy has been lifted.
@michaelsmith953
@michaelsmith953 10 ай бұрын
i mean they're already down from $236 a square foot to $100 a square foot so we may already be in that recession lol@@Epiderm91
@joerudnik9290
@joerudnik9290 10 ай бұрын
You need jobs, excess cash, an optimistic attitude in order to purchase large assets such as homes.
@s-sugoi835
@s-sugoi835 10 ай бұрын
no wonder why they are being even more aggresive with territorial disputes now.
@Nerinav1985
@Nerinav1985 10 ай бұрын
Praiseworthy standards of journalism.⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
@valleeny
@valleeny 10 ай бұрын
Great job to the astute planning and due diligence process by the Malaysian government.
@usapanda7303
@usapanda7303 10 ай бұрын
What happens when you get insane levels of corruption, extremely low quality construction selling for 45x the average salary, buildings that literally fall apart, and disaster economy
@honestlynate7922
@honestlynate7922 10 ай бұрын
Wow this guy giving this presentation is doing a great job
@absolutelyabsolute4671
@absolutelyabsolute4671 10 ай бұрын
Hopefully, the New Clark City in the Philippines could avoid this from happening.
@maemilev
@maemilev 10 ай бұрын
Pacific City already went missing in Malaysia. 🐈🤭🤣😂 no want would buy properties in a country where mosque can make 5 times daily sound pollution. Totally unlivable.
@jayvan4353
@jayvan4353 10 ай бұрын
Not a single mention of all the corruption.
@akane8615
@akane8615 10 ай бұрын
There's a blessing in disguise for the drop in price for forest city, now the local can make it a truly liveable town.
@Miquiztli_tochtli
@Miquiztli_tochtli 9 ай бұрын
This is more socially frightening than economically. Cities built and maintained in excess affordable to only a small selection of human. Meanwhile majority of people are living on small food rations in delapidated housing with no running clean water.
@mikegrok
@mikegrok 10 ай бұрын
China counted the same person at the city, county, state and national level. So there are actually many fewer people in rural areas than their census indicated. Now that there is rural housing, they are discovering that the population they were expecting, is absent.
@h5mind373
@h5mind373 10 ай бұрын
Nothing the CCP does would surprise me.
@mikegrok
@mikegrok 10 ай бұрын
@@frankthefkintank it depended on the level of corruption. But if a state did not subtract the population of their cities from the state population, it looked like there was a large rural population. The developer collapsing this week specifically targeted large rural populations, which were counted twice and already lived in the cities.
@mikegrok
@mikegrok 10 ай бұрын
Since the population does not live close to the new housing, they are unable to sell it.
@antihypocrisy8978
@antihypocrisy8978 9 ай бұрын
So are you saying China's 1.3bn population is actually much lower?
@mikegrok
@mikegrok 9 ай бұрын
@@antihypocrisy8978 One of the other Chinese news sites on youtube said that china has 1.4 billion new apartments becoming available in the next 3 years. That is larger than their entire population. It does not look like the majority of the Chinese population is currently homeless. I don't know who they expect to occupy these new apartments.
@xutao323
@xutao323 10 ай бұрын
Those big companies invested overseas may just wanted to transfer part of their wealth into international concurrency. The debt owners may just be themselves through some associated companies. This is what people have discussed in chinese quora "zhihu". And the investment loss belongs to those chinese buyers.
@cd221
@cd221 7 ай бұрын
Is the "value" of a unit really $116/sqm if there is no market and not prospect for development in the foreseeable future? I would think owning a unit as more liability than asset.
@LC-zi8jw
@LC-zi8jw 10 ай бұрын
Not forgetting these buildings might be "tofu dreg" projects. Those apartments might not even be safe to live in.
@drw1926
@drw1926 8 ай бұрын
You can count on that.
@daeseongkim93
@daeseongkim93 8 ай бұрын
living there it was generally safe just inefficient. The insulation in lobby areas is lacking so its so humid and it didnt seem like they built an AC system to accommodate the tropical weather in areas where its absolutely necessary. I had once closed the door to my units bathroom and the medieval hook latch lock locked my bathroom door from the inside. The plumbing also was ridiculous. Not even a day living there, my shower needed some drainage clog liquid.
@vordark304007
@vordark304007 10 ай бұрын
better build an affordable house for low to medium income people
@afl6786
@afl6786 10 ай бұрын
I think that government problem,not all those company
@Mark-lj1dj
@Mark-lj1dj 10 ай бұрын
0:17 I'm pretty sure the beach was already there 😂😂
@Fitzphotos1
@Fitzphotos1 5 ай бұрын
Good report
@sammailbox2006
@sammailbox2006 10 ай бұрын
有房屋沒人住,有人沒有房屋住😂
@Hasssbi
@Hasssbi 10 ай бұрын
the world is so surprising😂
@akane8615
@akane8615 10 ай бұрын
Looking at the cost of this city (100BN) compared to Indonesia relocating a whole capital city (30BN), This city is truly on a whole another level of development. People in indonesia are scare of cost and debt of their new capital but if we compare these two cities, it's almost look cheaper.
@TheAp9er
@TheAp9er 10 ай бұрын
Or the costs of Nusantara are unrealistic and reflect why there has been no private investment commitment which is what the govt is relying
@akane8615
@akane8615 10 ай бұрын
@@TheAp9er That could be a possibility, even forest city which is a commercial project doesn't have that much investor so idk if nusantara would attract much investor. I do think that forest city would've been much more valuable than nusantara if completed tho.
@NEAAFFAIRS
@NEAAFFAIRS 9 ай бұрын
Inflated cost to fund kickback to malaysian politicians
@amateurgamer149
@amateurgamer149 10 ай бұрын
They thought all this is Lego pieces😂😂
@laurochaves4169
@laurochaves4169 10 ай бұрын
Similar to what happened in Spain but on a massive scale .
@bg24955
@bg24955 10 ай бұрын
Manhattan upper east side is 80% empty. Billionaire’s row is a ghost street in the night. Affluent people have many place to live. WSJ’s editor is from ghetto.
@davidlea-smith4747
@davidlea-smith4747 10 ай бұрын
I am assuming the construction is also very poor quality.
@SonnyDarvishzadeh
@SonnyDarvishzadeh 10 ай бұрын
"Fast selling" posters on the buildings 😆
@tinuseska5948
@tinuseska5948 9 ай бұрын
Tbh when I visited Johor I saw a lot of empty places like this, to many new buildings IMHO.
@MadBrit26
@MadBrit26 10 ай бұрын
God those high rise builds are awful !
@AnBS3
@AnBS3 9 ай бұрын
Obviously they built and invested in real estate to get richer. But this would work only in a growing population type of situation. Which would never be the case with the one child policy in the past. Greed and stupidity have destroyed them.
@youen1821
@youen1821 9 ай бұрын
Is it cheap to buy now?
@anthonyk423
@anthonyk423 9 ай бұрын
Why would the government be so foolish to allow this to happen. Why overbuild especially so fast when that always brings down the price of the market.
@ragingcamel
@ragingcamel 10 ай бұрын
Country Garden also ran into several hurdles in Indonesia on the Meikarta project, a cooperation with Lippo Group.
@rbtjan
@rbtjan 10 ай бұрын
Wait, they also own meikarta?
@Hasssbi
@Hasssbi 10 ай бұрын
​@@rbtjanOf course tons of money come from the river
@user-fq7vs8dl5k
@user-fq7vs8dl5k 10 ай бұрын
The buildings are more then likely not safe to live in.
@TheSateef
@TheSateef 10 ай бұрын
A lot of the island was built on sand dredge up from the sea floor and not given enough time to settle, so many of the building are already cracking. not something you want in a million dollar condo
@mr.crowgamer6250
@mr.crowgamer6250 10 ай бұрын
Good filming location
@khoolw2501
@khoolw2501 10 ай бұрын
Why use a project in Malaysia to discuss the troubles in China? The Iskandar project where Forest City is was DOA. Why build homes for 3m people when the population of Johor Bahru is only 1m? Were they hoping to target Singaporeans or Chinese to live there, placing the bets not on actual people but the govts of China, Malaysia and Singapore to allow the free flow of people.
@jayguerrero120
@jayguerrero120 10 ай бұрын
I saw the project in 2019 when I visited Lego land in johor, and I was surprised to see a beautiful place like that pretty much empty
@jdrancho1864
@jdrancho1864 10 ай бұрын
I did some googling about that development. I'd love to do some bottom fishing there.
@justgeneric2876
@justgeneric2876 10 ай бұрын
Living in the UK we know social housing can be built quickly, affordably but that would damage real estate developers
@purplesprigs
@purplesprigs 9 ай бұрын
You mean putting scummy, selfish illegal immigrants into shipping containers? Yeah, we've seen it.
@rosecolouredglasses
@rosecolouredglasses 10 ай бұрын
Forest City is also part of China's Belt and Road Initiative
@shaozhihao
@shaozhihao 10 ай бұрын
扯淡一样。一带一路是政府行为,森林城市是企业行为。
@Jabberstax
@Jabberstax 10 ай бұрын
​@shaozhihao China gives loans and grants for Chinese companies to build in other countries. So yes, it is B&R connected.
@shaozhihao
@shaozhihao 10 ай бұрын
@@Jabberstax 你懂个几把的中国。
@Funktastico
@Funktastico 10 ай бұрын
@@shaozhihao 靠!你就懂个屁啊。寻搜 Forest City 到处都说是 BRI
@drw1926
@drw1926 8 ай бұрын
Yeah, how's that working out 😂
@hasunokirie8864
@hasunokirie8864 10 ай бұрын
WSJ is using a ghost city in Malaysia as an example...while I was expecting one that's in China. Is it that hard to find one?
@RayMak
@RayMak 10 ай бұрын
This is very very scary
@tuapuikia
@tuapuikia 10 ай бұрын
One of the best place for 7th month visitors to stay. So many empty house and garden.
@moozillamoo2109
@moozillamoo2109 10 ай бұрын
This project is based on opening a very wide door for affluent Chinese to get a foreign residence (in this case, Malaysian). Both Malaysia and Xi Jinpin now frown upon this practice.
@maikerlowe
@maikerlowe 10 ай бұрын
Please be advised this project is in Malaysia, not China。
@TheDavidlloydjones
@TheDavidlloydjones 5 ай бұрын
At 1:07, the woman appears not to understand the meaning of "outstrip." Has the Journal considered editing their output?
@PHXSJAZ
@PHXSJAZ 5 ай бұрын
Is there a longer version of this report? It seems like it was edited to death.
@pannyvet92
@pannyvet92 10 ай бұрын
Why they don't give to poor people who lives in basements??? They have millions of poor people that may afford a cheap rent, better than keep it empty
@bullpup1337
@bullpup1337 10 ай бұрын
nah, maintenance cost will be higher than what the rent can cover
@rollinghippo2940
@rollinghippo2940 10 ай бұрын
they have no 'living in mom's basement' culture in malaysia
@pannyvet92
@pannyvet92 10 ай бұрын
@@rollinghippo2940 and what they have? "living directly on the streets"?? I am sure there is also poor people there.
@AInet-ej5bv
@AInet-ej5bv 10 ай бұрын
Most Malaysians have a roof over their head and the culture here is different from the West. Extended families are normal with 3 generation within a household. Homeless are probably the migrant neighbours who came illegally.
@ambessaseway5594
@ambessaseway5594 10 ай бұрын
Forest city is in Malaysia how is this chinas problem??
@Elcollpohorrible
@Elcollpohorrible 10 ай бұрын
It’s kind of strange to think that is the USA many houses are empty because people could not pay for them. And in China there are too many houses to house people
@trivatha
@trivatha 10 ай бұрын
If there is a railway line connected from this project to JB sentral, surely it will be fully occupied soon.
@ahan300
@ahan300 10 ай бұрын
Sometimes these developers like having F in math class...usually the number given is unrealistic like fitting 700,000 people, developing 100 billion dollar city etc. You have to divide it by 10 to sound more convincing. Otherwise it just doom they are trying too create. I wonder who can stop developers' nonsense, provide some reality checks or a small working calculator? Luckily it affects only greedy people.
@ScoobyDoo-zp1sq
@ScoobyDoo-zp1sq 10 ай бұрын
Most of the debt chinese developers have are to state owned banks. If the central government wanted to, it would be able to relieve a large extent of the debt. However, it’s clear the chinese government wants the property developers to fight out of these issues and restructure tethering business model. The property market was rife with speculation and this is a way for the government to intervene without interfering
@Claude_van
@Claude_van 10 ай бұрын
Maybe the central government has given up the idea of capitalist communism? And will return to real communism?🤔
@RTSFirebatYT
@RTSFirebatYT 9 ай бұрын
Er... No that not how it would work. The CCP would need to find the money from somewhere. And yes money is made from nothing but they amount of debt they'd need to cover would instantly devalue their currency. China entire property market is one big Ponzi scheme
@abelardoruiz5544
@abelardoruiz5544 9 ай бұрын
This demonstrate that the real state business is rotten when even with an offer massive against the demand the prices still don't go down.
@glennalexon1530
@glennalexon1530 10 ай бұрын
One does not "swim in.... a beach". The beach is a sandy shore on which one relaxes in the sun. Read a book, WSJ.
@Go0ofygoober
@Go0ofygoober 10 ай бұрын
It’s ask for the propaganda anyway lol
@Go0ofygoober
@Go0ofygoober 10 ай бұрын
All*
@JorgeCrypto
@JorgeCrypto 10 ай бұрын
Didnt hear anything new or original in this video. If you are copying from other sources at least put a smile in your face...
@adiposerex5150
@adiposerex5150 10 ай бұрын
We had a Forest City and it became a Home Depot.
@Snp2024
@Snp2024 10 ай бұрын
I lovee home depot
@minuii
@minuii 10 ай бұрын
So many buildings to hide if zombie apocalypse comes..
@limtc1733
@limtc1733 4 ай бұрын
Locals won’t buy. They stay on landed properties near to eateries and markets. Foreigners won’t buy too. There is no rental value. Cost of ownership is high too, more than 1 mil rm? And no one to sell to once you are done. Not to mention the currency depreciation. How about the stability of reclaimed land? Soil given time to settle?
@tonyv596
@tonyv596 10 ай бұрын
While in America we have 1.2 million people are homeless.
@huaiwei
@huaiwei 10 ай бұрын
You have plenty of empty houses in America too, which the homeless can't afford.
@arieltaylormo3111
@arieltaylormo3111 10 ай бұрын
You didn't explain why the fate of the city would have ripple effects around the world.
@TestMyVidsOut
@TestMyVidsOut 10 ай бұрын
Debt fuels expansion. Firstly if these developers can’t repay their debts to investors and consumers that hold bonds or shares these folks are SOL. If developers suddenly stop building homes all the downstream suppliers that are involved in supplying materials and labor will suddenly need to cut costs and layoff staff due to drop in demand. A failure to repay debt also creates a massive loss in confidence hurting markets and creditors will demand more interest to loan hurting debt markets, if it’s harder to borrow, its harder for other companies to grow or finance existing debt. The death spiral continues until demand picks up again.
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